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Cape Agulhas 2017 Socio-Economic Profile

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Cape Agulhas Municipality 2017 CAPE AGULHAS: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 34 Cape Agulhas: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 35 331 11 321 2016 2016 Matric Pass Rate 97.3% Gini Coefficient 0.57 Learner-Teacher Ratio 44.7 Human Development Index 0.72 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 27.1% 2016 3 78.1% 0.0 10.5% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 -9.6% 4.1% 23.6% 17.2% -33.7% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 93.2% 90.2% 97.6% 92.0% 88.1% 2016 2016 Drought 7 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 11 10.0% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Wholesale and retail trade, Finance, insurance, real Manufacturing catering and accommodation estate and business services 22.1% 20.0% 14.1% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS 2015 This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in Cape Agulhas. A demographic perspective of a municipality allows the observation of not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other developments that influence the social lives of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise on aspects such as gender, race, migration and life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect, in most cases, at least one aspect of demographics. A good understanding of this area is therefore crucial. The overview of key demographic features provided in this chapter comprises of estimates of population size, the distribution of the population across age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short overview, the SEP tries to help municipalities in their planning processes by delivering credible data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality POPULATION 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 Cape Agulhas Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof 2018 35 331 91 190 38 700 119 052 2019 35 637 92 624 39 078 120 413 2020 35 934 94 028 39 449 121 739 2021 36 223 95 401 39 813 123 029 2022 36 503 96 746 40 168 124 284 2023 36 773 98 065 40 518 125 505 The total population of Cape Agulhas is estimated to grow every year from 35 331 in 2018 to 36 773 in 2023. This equates an estimated growth rate between 2018 and 2023 of 4.1 per cent; this is lower than the 5.8 per cent estimated growth for the Overberg District’s for this period. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 - 14 Years 15 - 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 7 736 22 343 2 952 47.9 2018 8 001 23 629 3 701 49.5 2023 8 276 24 257 4 241 51.6 The above table depicts the population composition of age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. The comparison of the base year of 2011 and the estimated numbers for 2023 show a growth in the percentage of seniors and children. This is an important factor in the calculation of the dependency ratio. In Cape Agulhas, this ratio was 47.9 per cent in 2011 and will only increase to an estimated 51.6 per cent in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 11 118 5 652 18 245 4 527 2015 11 436 5 685 18 815 4 565 2016 11 696 5 724 18 815 4 606 Learner enrolment in Cape Agulhas increased at an annual average growth rate of 1.7 per cent between 2014 and 2016. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner–teacher ratio in Cape Agulhas increased from 28.8 in 2014 to 50.2 in 2015 and fell back to 44.7 in 2016; this could affect learner performance within the Cape Agulhas municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio include the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES A total of 27.1 per cent of students that enrolled in Grade 10 in 2014 dropped out of school by the time they reached Grade 12 in 2016. This is an increase from the 23.7 per cent in 2015. These high levels of drop-outs are influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income or rely on less than R515 a month and teenage pregnancies. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 6 10 2015 7 10 2016 6 10 Cape Agulhas had 10 schools in 2016. The number of schools equipped with libraries declined from 7 to 6 between 2015 and 2016, which could in future affect overall education outcomes within the Cape Agulhas municipal area. Given the tough economic climate, it is expected that parents are increasingly unable to pay school fees. The figure below displays the proportion of no-fee schools within the Cape Agulhas municipal area. 100,0% 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Proportion of no-fee schools 2014 80,0% 2015 80,0% 2016 80,0% The proportion of no-fee schools within Cape Agulhas municipal area remained unchanged at 80.0 per cent between 2014 and 2016. 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economy and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section measures the matric pass rate within the Cape Agulhas municipal area. 100,00% 98,00% 96,00% 94,00% 92,00% 90,00% 88,00% 86,00% 84,00% 82,00% 80,00% Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 86,40% 88,20% 88,80% 87,80% 2015 88,20% 94,90% 88,00% 94,00% 2016 90,90% 92,70% 92,40% 97,30% Cape Agulhas’ matric pass rate increased from 87.8 per cent in 2014 to 94.0 per cent in 2015 to 97.3 per cent in 2016, which could improve access for learners to higher education to broaden their opportunities. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Cape Agulhas. It is therefore important to monitor the public health facilities as well as a variety of factors such as diseases like HIV or TB and general topics that affect the community, like maternal health. This Socio-economic Profile provides the basic statistics concerning those issues. Since this profile focusses on the public health facilities, private facilities do not appear in it. Data source: Department of Health, 2017 7 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Cape Agulhas Municipality HEALTHCARE FACILITIES All citizens’ right to access to healthcare services are directly affected by the number and spread of facilities within their geographical reach. South Africa’s healthcare system is geared in such a way that people have to move from primary, with a referral system, to secondary and tertiary levels. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Number of PHC Total number of Number of ART Number of TB Number of Clinic - non-fixed Number of PHC PHC facilities clinics/ clinics/ district hospitals (mobiles/satelite Clinics - Fixed (Fixed Clinics, treatment sites treatment sites ) CHCs and CDCs) 2014 3 1 4 3 8 3 2015 3 1 4 3 7 3 2016 4 1 4 3 7 3 In terms of health facilities, in 2016, Cape Agulhas had 3 (fixed) primary healthcare clinics, 4 mobile/satellite clinics, 1 district hospital, 4 ART clinics/treatment sites and 7 TB clinics/ treatment sites which serve the area. There were 4 non-fixed clinics in the Municipality and although there were no community day or community health centres, there was 1 district hospital to serve the local community.
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