Governance in North Africa Following the Uprisings in 2011-2012
GOVERNING UNCERTAINTY: THE FIRST PROVISIONAL ADMINISTRATIONS IN TUNISIA AND LIBYA FOLLOWING THE UPRISINGS IN 2011-2012 By Sabina Henneberg A dissertation submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Baltimore, Maryland February, 2017 Abstract This dissertation examines the actors, institutions and strategies that characterized the first provisional administrations (the governing structures in place from anti-authoritarian uprisings to first elections) in Tunisia and Libya in 2011-2012. It explores two central research questions. First, to what extent are first provisional administrations shaped by pre-existing structures, and to what extent are actors able to shape them? Second, to what extent do first provisional administrations impact the phases of political change that follow them? The results are based on interviews with Tunisians and Libyans and a wide array of secondary sources, including books, journal articles, and reports by international organizations. The dissertation argues that the two first provisional administrations were largely shaped by pre-existing institutions. In addition, the distinct choices made by actors in both— while also constrained by pre-existing institutions—had important effects on later phases of post-authoritarian governance. A comparison of the actors, institutions and strategies of the first provisional administrations in Tunisia and Libya show that, in fact, Libya’s building of democratic institutions was more profoundly challenged than Tunisia’s even before the first transfer of power via the ballot box. Committee members: Dr. Peter Lewis, Dr. William Zartman, Dr. Karim Mezran, Dr. Eva Bellin, and Dr. Jennifer Seely ii Acknowledgments I owe sincere thanks to each member of my dissertation committee: Peter Lewis, William Zartman, Karim Mezran, Eva Bellin, and Jennifer Seely, for their support and guidance.
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