A Space for Predictive Modelling in England’s Archaeological Heritage Management System: A case study of modelling site patterns in Roman Hertfordshire, England Jennifer Stacey Figure 1: A collaboration of different data layers that were used to influence and create the Roman Hertfordshire predictive model. From left to right: land-use, modern roads, Roman roads, bedrock geology, digital elevation model, modern rivers, superficial bedrock, archaeological sites (Stacey 2020). E-mail:
[email protected] 1 A Space for Predictive Modelling in England’s Archaeological Heritage Management System: A case study of modelling site patterns in Roman Hertfordshire, England Jennifer Stacey S1829424 MSc Thesis Archaeology (4ARX-0910ARCH) Supervisor: Dr. K. Lambers Specialisation: Archaeological Science University of Leiden, Faculty of Archaeology Leiden, 21/08/20 Final draft 2 Contents 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................... 7 1.1. Brief Introduction to Archaeological Predictive Modelling .......................... 7 1.2. The Motive for the Research ......................................................................... 8 1.3. Aims and Research Questions ....................................................................... 9 1.4. Thesis Outline .............................................................................................. 10 2. Hertfordshire and Archaeological Heritage Management (AHM) .......... 13 2.1. Characteristics of Hertfordshire