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Miami Valley Diversity Regional Profile MVRPC

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Miami Valley Diversity Regional Profile MVRPC Miami Valley Diversity Regional Profile MVRPC Our 5+ County Region includes Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, and northern Warren Population growth is mostly occurring 927,133 PEOPLE outside of Montgomery County. Up 2% from 1980 40,000 80% 20,000 85% live in URBAN AND SUBURBAN 40% areas 0 0% Up 4% from 1980 % change -20,000 -40% 85% Our Region has 81% 78% population change (1980-2010) more people -40,000 -80% living in urban Darke Greene Miami Mont- Preble northern and suburban gomery Warren areas when compared to Between 1980 and 2010, Greene County gained the the U.S. and most population while northern Warren County Ohio. Region U.S. Ohio experienced the highest percent change. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 Census and 2010 Census The Region’s population is less diverse, compared to the United States. A diversity index shows the likelihood that two people, Our Region is reflective of the Midwest, which has been chosen at random from the same area, belong to different historically less diverse when compared to southern and races or ethnic groups. coastal regions. Diversity Index MoreDiverse 0–15 16–30 31–45 46–55 56–100 2010 2014 Source: “Mapping the USA’s Diversity from 1960–2060,” USA Today, Source: ESRI, 2014 USA Diversity Index last modified October 21, 2014, http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/ nation/2014/10/21/diversity-map/17657485/ Our Region has become more diverse, especially for younger generations, but not at the same level as the entire U.S. 4% increase in the number of minorities 1% increase of Hispanics or since 1980 Latinos since 1980 82% White, compared to 72% in the U.S. 2% Hispanic or Latino, compared to 16% in the U.S. 14% Black or African American, compared to 13% in the U.S. The Region’s most prevalent 2% Asian, compared to 5% in the U.S. ancestry groups TOP 26% German 3 13% Irish White 9% English Black or Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 Census and 2010 Census, U.S. Census Bureau, 2009–2013 5-Year American Community African American Survey Asian Most people speak only English Two or more races at home. 95% 2% English Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 Census and 2010 Census Spanish Only 3% Younger people are more diverse. Other language Younger generations in the Region are following the national spoken trend of becoming more diverse, just at a slower pace. In the at home Region, 25% of children under the age of 10 are minorities, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009–2013 5-Year American compared to 48% in the U.S. Community Survey 59% of people do not claim a religion Silent 80 and older Generation 41% of people adhere to a religion (1924–1945) 70 to 79 years 60 to 69 years Baby <1% Jewish Boomers 50 to 59 years <1% Muslim (1946–1964) 39% 40 to 49 years Evangelical 2% Hindu Generation X Protestant (1965–1981) 30 to 39 years 2% Other 5% Black Millenials 20 to 29 years Protestant (1982–1995) 10 to 19 years Generation Z (1996–today) < 10 Years 21% 29% Mainline Catholic Minority White only Protestant Source: Association of Statisticians of American Religious Bodies, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Note: Data is at the county level and includes: Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, and Warren The Region’s population is stable and has seen only minor shifts in who lives here. 71% of people in the Region were Overall birth rates are dropping. born in Ohio Women in the Region, like those nationwide, are having fewer babies and waiting longer to have them. Women in their compared with the U.S. at 59% born in their state of residence. twenties still have the largest share of babies. However, since 1990, birth rates for women under 25 have decreased. Darke % of people born in Ohio % change in birth rates from 1990–2010 Under 19 20s 30s 40+ 150% Miami 81% 100% 80% 50% 0% Preble Montgomery Greene -50% 72% 70% -100% 63% <15 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45+ Source: Ohio Department of Health Center for Vital and Health Statistics Note: Data is at the county level and includes: Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, 67% Preble, and Warren northern Warren 25% were born in a different state Fewer new people are coming into the Region. In 2014, approximately 88,000 people moved in, around or out compared with the U.S. at 28% of the Region. Overall net migration was close to zero. 3% were born in a different country compared with the U.S. at 13% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009–2013 5-Year American Community 20% Survey 40% migrated migrated 40% migrated into the Region within out of Region The composition of our foreign Region born population is unique. are from Asia Top 3 Out of State Regions Top 3 Out of State Regions 50% people moved from: people moved to: compared to the U.S. at 29%. 1. Northern Kentucky 1. Austin, Texas 2. Chicago, Illinois 2. Northern Kentucky 4% <1% REGION 3. Richmond, Indiana 3. San Antonio, Texas 11% In and Out Migration by County (2013 thru 2014) <1% Darke 4%2% 12% 29% 18% U.S. 50% Preble Miami Out Migration 53% Greene In Migration 18% Warren Asia Africa Montgomery Latin America Northern America Europe Oceania 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Source: IRS Tax Stats Migration Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009–2013 5-Year American Community Note: Data is at the county level and includes: Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, Survey Preble, and Warren While the Region is not expected to grow, our population will continue to become more diverse in the future. 2040 Projection: 907,024 PEOPLE The Region is aging. A projected decrease of 2% from 2010 41% increase in the number of adults that are 65 and older. 40,000 80% 2040 20,000 40% 2010 0 0% % change -20,000 -40% 19 and under population change (2010-2040) 20–64 -40,000 -80% 65+ Darke Greene Miami Mont- Preble northern gomery Warren 11% decrease in the number of From 2010 to 2040, Montgomery County is expected to see the largest working age adults. population loss while northern Warren County is expected to almost Source: Ohio Development Services Agency double its population. Note: Data is at the county level and includes: Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, and Warren Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census, Ohio Development Services Agency, and Ohio Kentucky Indiana Council of Governments By 2040, the Region is expecting a 5% increase Diversity Index in 2040 in minorities from 2010. The likelihood two people, chosen at random from the same area, belong to different races or 77% White, compared to 66% in the U.S. ethnic groups. 13% Black or African American, compared to 14% in the U.S. Darke 9% Other Race, compared to 20% in the U.S. Miami 9 Darke 19 Greene Preble Montgomery Greene Miami 8 53 35 Montgomery Warren Preble 27 Warren 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0–15 16–30 31–45 46–55 56–100 Black or White Other African American More Diverse Source: “Mapping the USA’s Diversity from 1960–2060,” USA Today, last modified October 21, 2014, http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/10/21/diversity- map/17657485/ Note: Data is at the county level and includes: Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, and Warren Contact: Martin Kim, AICP, GISP, Director of Regional Planning This profile is available at: Miami Valley Regional Planning Commission http://www.mvrpc.org/regional-profiles. 10 North Ludlow St., Suite 700 | Dayton, Ohio 45402-1855 Contact us for your community’s email: [email protected] t: 937.223.6323 | TTY/TDD: 800.750.0750 information. mvrpc.org.
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