Strategic Plan 2010-14 Presentation Contents
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STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION CONTENTS Why a new Strategic Plan?... New Context, New Challenges, Ambitious Answers Wrap-up Q&A 2 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • Since the presentation of 2007-12 “Sustainable Ambition” plan, SDC’s profile has changed significantly, with a considerable investment in the transport concessions business and becoming increasingly more international, entering in new markets • We would highlight some details of the 2007-12 strategic plan: With the domestic market with On geographical diversification: “Three core markets with a gloomier than ever prospects, physical presence founded on construction – Portugal, now is the time for choosing a Angola and the USA (Florida) – complemented by a new new platform platform for growth to be selected in the next few years” Still makes some sense the On the concession business: “Prepare the ground for diversification, although the deep diversification/deepening of concessions from 2010 onwards, changes in the financial markets developing competences in: infrastructure management lead to the need of a new model services – motorways / buildings, renewable energy sources” of investment/ partnerships On dividend policy: “(...) will enable dividends distribution Which has been achieved in spite from 2009 onwards” of the investment programme 3 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • SDC has experienced a significant growth, both in terms of turnover and EBITDA TURNOVER EBITDA CAGR CAGR 14.0%% 18.9%% 936 86 90 835 57 25.6% 8.2% 54 53 55 554 562 551 570 45 529 CONSTRUCTION 37 22 36 322 & OTHERS OTHERS 416 367 1) 1) 1) 33 35 11.1% 27.6% CONCESSIONS 23 18 20 305 366 ANGOLA 195 228 138 20051) 20061) 20071) 2008 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 EBITDA MG 4% 6% 7% 10% 9% EBITDA MG 90% 83% 80% 69% 62% CONCESSIONS 1) Equivalent integration of 20% of Scutvias 4 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • ROCE has been improving since 2007, almost reaching 5.0%, although still slightly below the 5.5-6.5% defined as target NET INCOME ROCE 6.6% 12.0 11.5 4.8% Average = 4.7% 8.2 4.6% 4.2% 5.8 1.3% 0.4 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 5 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • Given SDC’s good evolution, “Sustainable Ambition” plan targets become less challenging: in 2009 the group’s performance not only surpassed that year’s target but also got very close the 2010’s planned figures TURNOVER EBITDA Margin 9.9% 9.0% 10.7% 11.9% 1,039 124 936 932 99 801 +17% 90 79 +13% 2009 2009 2010 E 2012 E 2009 2009 2010 E 2012 E Plan Real Plan Plan Real Plan 6 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • Though some challenges exist: LARGEST IBERIAN CONSTRUCTION INTERNATIONAL TURNOVER (%) MAIN NON-DOMESTIC MARKET (%) GROUPS’ INTERNATIONALISATION Market 26% n.a. PROFILE (2009) n.a. 44% 36% Europe SDC has a high internationalization level, 65% 55% Europe surpassing the sector’s benchmark, 24% 14% Europe though geographical portfolio could be 19% 14% Europe more balanced, with a lower degree of East Europe dependence Angolan market 59% 12% 29% 14% East europe 61% 51% Africa 48% 38% Africa 44% 27% Africa 20% 14% Europe (Spain) 40% Source: Companies’ reports, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 7 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • Though some challenges exist: LARGEST IBERIAN CONSTRUCTION GROUPS’ TURNOVER NON EBITDA NON BUSINESS DIVERSIFICATION PROFILE (2009) CONSTRUCTION (%) CONSTRUCTION (%) SDC has achieved some diversification of its 61% 69% business with the transport concession segment, 43% 72% though, compared with its peers, non- 63% 91% construction segment contribution could be more significant 45% 80% 55% 61% 22% 63% 21% 56% 45% 69% 12% 40% 19% 71% Source: Companies’ reports, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 39% 67% 8 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because Soares da Costa has moved forward… • Though some challenges exist: LARGEST IBERIAN CONSTRUCTION NET DEBT TO EBITDA (2009) Growth path and market 10.6 9.5 conditions (namely in terms of 8.8 7.5 7.5 working capital needs) has led to 7.0 6.4 7.5 a increase in the indebtness level, 5.2 with a deterioration of the net 4.6 debt to EBITDA ratio. Recourse net debt to EBITDA ratio is significantly above its peers LARGEST IBERIAN CONSTRUCTION RECOURSE NET DEBT TO EBITDA (2008) 8.1x (2009) 7.3 6.9 5.5 Average: 4.4x 3.7 2.7 2.3 2.0 Source: Companies’ reports, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 9 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because the world has changed… MAIN CHANGES IN THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR ACTIVITY / OPERATIONAL FINANCING • Strong slowdown of the Iberian • Maior dificuldade no acesso a construction market, with very pressured financiamento, restringindo por exemplo margins and weak recovery prospects. investimentos em negócios mais intensivos Government budget restrains have led to em capital. severe cuts in the infrastructure plans. • Increasing spreads for the same level of nd Private/ residential investment (2 risk. housing, etc) has also suffered a decline. • Pressure over the construction • Growth opportunities concentrated in companies to reduce their indebtness Latin America and African countries with level, namely via assets’ alienation/ sale. very positive outlook in terms of investment in construction and • Increase in the number of investment infrastructures. funds acquiring the construction company’s stakes in infrastructures • In mature markets, the new concessions concessions. return are on the limit of value creation. 10 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... … because the world has changed… MAIN CHANGES IN THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR PORTUGUESE CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT EVOLUTION (2000-12E, € bn, base 100) 100.0 100.3 Base 100 93.0 91.3 90.8 85.9 85.5 Previous 85.0 Estimate 31,3 80.0 30,7 30,7 75.2 76.0 28,5 28,0 27,8 69.0 26,3 26,2 Public Works 7,5 8,1 7,9 26,1 65.9 Financial crisis 23,6 62.5 7,5 7,8 7,4 impact estimate 6,9 6,9 21,3 7,1 20,2 Non 19,2 Residential 5.8 6.2 6.6 7,3 6.8 6.5 6.0 7,4 5.8 6.1 6,4 7,0 6,7 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.5 Residential 17.3 17.1 16.3 14.2 13.7 14.4 13.6 13.2 12.6 10.0 7.8 7.4 7.1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E Source: Euroconstruct; Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 11 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... So WHY A NEW STRATEGIC PLAN?... .... BECAUSE SOARES DA COSTA MUST ANSWER TO NEW QUESTIONS: 1. How to continue in a sustainable growth path, but defending and even improving profitability and shareholders' remuneration? 2. How to continue to have access to the necessary financing that allow the company to invest in the current financial markets context? 12 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION NEW CONTEXT, NEW CHALLENGES, AMBITIOUS ANSWERS SEEKING FOR GROWTH AND PROFITABILITY… 5 MAIN CHALLENGES: • Very weak domestic construction and transport concession markets prospects • Angolan construction sector growth pace slowdown, with increasing margin pressure (although still above the margins achieved domestically) • Attractive growth prospects in the construction market only in emergent countries, namely in some Latin American and African countries • Attractive growth prospects in some segments of the US market, namely in the PPP and in the renewable energy segments • More restrictive and expensive financing with a growing pressure to reduce indebtness levels and improve return on capital 13 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION NEW CONTEXT, NEW CHALLENGES, AMBITIOUS ANSWERS SDC’s ANSWERS take the form of a NEW STRATEGIC PLAN • Very weak domestic construction and 1. Diversify to the Environment and concession markets prospects Renewable Energy sectors • Angolan construction sector growth 2. Enter the Brazilian construction market pace slowdown, increasing margin pressure but opportunities in other segments 3. Open SDC Angola’s capital to a local partner, reducing exposure to the Angolan construction, diversify to other segments • Attractive growth prospects in the construction market only in emergent countries 4. Increase exposure to the US market: construction, PPPs, renewable energy • Attractive growth prospects in some segments of the US market, namely in 5. Explore construction and concessions the PPP and in the renewable energy opportunities in other countries (other segments African countries, Latam countries) • More restrictive and expensive 6. Alienate non core and/ or mature assets financing 14 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION NEW CONTEXT, NEW CHALLENGES, AMBITIOUS ANSWERS 1. Diversify to the Environment and Renewable Energy sectors DIVERSIFICATION SECTORIAL SECTORIAL 2. Enter the Brazilian 3. Open SDC Angola’s capital to a construction market local partner, reducing exposure to the Angolan construction, diversify to other segments GEOGRAPHICAL GEOGRAPHICAL DIVERSIFICATION 4. Increase exposure to the 5. Explore construction and US market: construction, concessions opportunities in PPPs, renewable energy other countries 6. Alienate non core and/ or mature assets MAIN GOALS: Sustainable Growth | Improve Profitability | Reduce Indebtness Level 15 STRATEGIC PLAN 2010-14 PRESENTATION NEW CONTEXT, NEW CHALLENGES, AMBITIOUS ANSWERS 1. Diversify to the Environment and Renewable Energy sectors Why enter in these sectors? The Renewables, waste and water have a ..