Cuban Americans’ Viewpoint on the Cuba Opportunity April 1, 2015 Methodology
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Polling Results on Cuban Americans’ Viewpoint on the Cuba Opportunity April 1, 2015 Methodology Sample 400 Cuban American adults living in the United States Dates of Interviews March 20 – 25, 2015 Languages of Interviews English, Spanish Margin of Error +/- 4.9 percentage points 2 3 Change in United States - Cuba Policy Summary of President Obama’s Announcement On December 17th, 2014 President Barack Obama announced that the United States would begin to normalize relations with Cuba for the first time since 1961. Normalizing relations with Cuba would mean: . re-establishing an embassy in Havana; . carrying out high-level exchanges and visits between the two governments; . working with Cuba on issues like drug trafficking, environmental protection and human trafficking; easing travel restrictions; . allowing greater banking ties; . raising the level of remittances allowed to be sent to Cuban nationals; and . allowing American travelers to import goods from Cuba. 4 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama’s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? 9% 40% 51% Agree Disagree Don’t know/No answer 5 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama’s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 45% 46% 8% Born in the U.S. 66% 22% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don’t know/No answer 6 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama’s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before 1980 32% 60% 8% After 1980 56% 35% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don't know/No answer 7 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama’s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 69% 20% 11% 30 to 49 60% 32% 8% 50 to 64 47% 45% 8% 65+ 38% 54% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don't know/No answer 8 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama’s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By State of Residence Living in Florida 41% 49% 10% Living in the rest of U.S. 69% 23% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don't know/No answer 9 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama’s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? 2014 vs. 2015 60% 50% 40% 30% 51% 48% 20% 44% 40% 10% 8% 9% 0% Agree Disagree Don't know/No answer Dec-14 Mar-15 10 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? 9% 35% 56% Favor Oppose Don't know/No answer 11 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 51% 39% 10% Born in the U.S. 69% 21% 10% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favor Oppose Don’t know/No answer 12 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before 1980 43% 49% 8% After 1980 58% 32% 10% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favor Oppose Don't know/No answer 13 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By State of Residence Living in Florida 46% 43% 11% Living in the rest of U.S. 74% 18% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favor Oppose Don't know/No answer 14 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? 2014 vs. 2015 60% 50% 40% 30% 56% 20% 47% 39% 35% 10% 14% 9% 0% Favor Oppose Don't know/No answer Dec-14 Mar-15 15 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? 9% 24% 67% Yes No Don't know/No answer 16 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 17% 75% 8% Born in the U.S. 40% 45% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don’t know/No answer 17 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? By Age 18 to 29 49% 36% 15% 30 to 49 25% 61% 14% 50 to 64 19% 72% 9% 65+ 14% 83% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/No answer 18 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 17% 36% 47% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/No answer 19 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 41% 43% 16% Should continue Should not continue Don’t know/No answer Born in the U.S. 23% 60% 17% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 20 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before 1980 50% 35% 15% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/No answer After 1980 35% 49% 16% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 21 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Age 18 to 29 26% 51% 23% 30 to 49 28% 56% 15% Should continue Should not continue 50 to 64 40% 48% 12% Don't know/No answer 65+ 45% 36% 19% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 22 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 2014 vs. 2015 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 47% 20% 40% 44% 15% 36% 10% 17% 5% 16% 0% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/No answer Dec-14 Mar-15 23 24 Image Ratings Barack Obama 2% 43% 55% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 25 Barack Obama 2014 vs. 2015 60% 50% 40% 56% 55% 30% 43% 20% 41% 10% 3% 2% 0% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer Dec-14 Mar-15 26 Barack Obama By Voter Registration Status Registered voters 44% 55% 1% Non voters 40% 55% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 27 Barack Obama By Country of Birth U.S. 52% 48% Cuba 40% 57% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 28 Barack Obama By Decade of Arrival Before 1980 31% 69% After 1980 47% 49% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 29 Barack Obama By Political Party Affiliation Democratic 78% 21% 1% Republican 15% 84% 1% Independent 54% 46% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 30 Barack Obama By Age 18-29 57% 41% 2% 30-49 46% 51% 3% 50-64 40% 59% 1% 65+ 37% 62% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 31 Barack Obama By Opinion on Normalization Agree 64% 35% 1% Disagree 19% 80% 1% Undecided 33% 50% 17% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 32 Barack Obama By Opinion of the Embargo Shouldn't Continue 62% 38% Should Continue 20% 80% Undecided 40% 48% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 33 Barack Obama By Region Florida 37% 62% 1% Rest of the U.S. 55% 42% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 34 Barack Obama By Political Ideology Liberal 71% 29% Moderate 50% 48% 2% Conservative 27% 73% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 35 Barack Obama By Language of Interview English 51% 47% 2% Spanish 38% 60% 2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 36 Hillary Clinton 6% 46% 48% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 37 Hillary Clinton By Voter Registration Status Registered voters 48% 45% 7% Non voters 46% 48% 6% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 38 Hillary Clinton By Country of Birth U.S. 62% 38% Cuba 43% 49% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 39 Hillary Clinton By Decade of Arrival Before 1980 32% 57% 11% After 1980 50% 42% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 40 Hillary Clinton By Political Party Affiliation Democratic 84% 10%6% 19% 75% Republican 6% Independent 64% 24% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 41 Hillary Clinton By Age 18-29 68% 29% 3% 30-49 44% 54% 2% 50-64 51% 49% 65+ 35% 44% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 42 Hillary Clinton By Gender Female 47% 44% 9% Male 48% 47% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 43 Hillary Clinton By Region Rest of the U.S. 60% 34% 6% Florida 41% 52% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 44 Hillary Clinton By Political Ideology Liberal 51% 44% 6% Moderate 51% 39% 10% Conservative 26% 69% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 45 Hillary Clinton By Language of Interview English 51% 44% 5% Spanish 46% 47% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 46 Jeb Bush 19% 22% 59% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 47 Jeb Bush By Voter Registration Status Registered voters 58% 25% 17% Non voters 61% 16% 23% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer 48 Jeb Bush By Country of Birth U.S.