Space Weather — History and Current Status
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Statistical Properties of Superactive Regions During Solar Cycles 19–23⋆
A&A 534, A47 (2011) Astronomy DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201116790 & c ESO 2011 Astrophysics Statistical properties of superactive regions during solar cycles 19–23 A. Q. Chen1,2,J.X.Wang1,J.W.Li2,J.Feynman3, and J. Zhang1 1 Key Laboratory of Solar Activity of Chinese Academy of Sciences, National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, PR China e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected] 2 National Center for Space Weather, China Meteorological Administration, PR China 3 Helio research, 5212 Maryland Avenue, La Crescenta, USA Received 26 February 2011 / Accepted 20 August 2011 ABSTRACT Context. Each solar activity cycle is characterized by a small number of superactive regions (SARs) that produce the most violent of space weather events with the greatest disastrous influence on our living environment. Aims. We aim to re-parameterize the SARs and study the latitudinal and longitudinal distributions of SARs. Methods. We select 45 SARs in solar cycles 21–23, according to the following four parameters: 1) the maximum area of sunspot group, 2) the soft X-ray flare index, 3) the 10.7 cm radio peak flux, and 4) the variation in the total solar irradiance. Another 120 SARs given by previous studies of solar cycles 19–23 are also included. The latitudinal and longitudinal distributions of the 165 SARs in both the Carrington frame and the dynamic reference frame during solar cycles 19–23 are studied statistically. Results. Our results indicate that these 45 SARs produced 44% of all the X class X-ray flares during solar cycles 21–23, and that all the SARs are likely to produce a very fast CME. -
Executive Summary
The Boston University Astronomy Department Annual Report 2010 Chair: James Jackson Administrator: Laura Wipf 1 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 5 Faculty and Staff 5 Teaching 6 Undergraduate Programs 6 Observatory and Facilities 8 Graduate Program 9 Colloquium Series 10 Alumni Affairs/Public Outreach 10 Research 11 Funding 12 Future Plans/Departmental Needs 13 APPENDIX A: Faculty, Staff, and Graduate Students 16 APPENDIX B: 2009/2010 Astronomy Graduates 18 APPENDIX C: Seminar Series 19 APPENDIX D: Sponsored Project Funding 21 APPENDIX E: Accounts Income Expenditures 25 APPENDIX F: Publications 27 Cover photo: An ultraviolet image of Saturn taken by Prof. John Clarke and his group using the Hubble Space Telescope. The oval ribbons toward the top and bottom of the image shows the location of auroral activity near Saturn’s poles. This activity is analogous to Earth’s aurora borealis and aurora australis, the so-called “northern” and “southern lights,” and is caused by energetic particles from the sun trapped in Saturn’s magnetic field. 3 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY associates authored or co-authored a total of 204 refereed, scholarly papers in the disciplines’ most The Department of Astronomy teaches science to prestigious journals. hundreds of non-science majors from throughout the university, and runs one of the largest astronomy degree The funding of the Astronomy Department, the Center programs in the country. Research within the for Space Physics, and the Institute for Astrophysical Astronomy Department is thriving, and we retain our Research was changed this past year. In previous years, strong commitment to teaching and service. only the research centers received research funding, but last year the Department received a portion of this The Department graduated a class of twelve research funding based on grant activity by its faculty. -
Space Weather and Aviation Impacts
Space Weather and Aviation Impacts Char Dewey NOAA/National Weather Service Salt Lake City, UT @DeweyWx [email protected] IWAWS 2020 Space Weather and Aviation Impacts What is space weather? How space weather affects Earth and aviation; hazards and impacts How to monitor conditions and be space weather-aware Space Weather 101 Space Weather 101 Weather originating from the Sun and traveling the 93 million miles to reach Earth and our atmosphere, interacting with systems on and orbiting Earth. Observations come from satellite sources with instruments that monitor space weather. Model data (some now operational!) developing. Coronal Mass Ejections (CME), Solar Energetic Particles (SEP), and Solar Flares. Space Weather 101 Active regions on the sun are where solar activity begins; where sunspots are located on the solar disk. Magnetic “instability” where solar storming forms. Space Weather 101 Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) An eruption of plasma particles and electromagnetic radiation from the solar corona, often following solar flares. Originate from active regions on the Sun’s surface (sunspots). Very slow to reach the Earth from 12 hours to days or a week. Space Weather Impacts Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) Impacts: Geomagnetic storming compresses Earth’s magnetosphere on the day-side, extending night-side “tail” and reconnecting, focusing energy at the poles and resulting in Aurora. Increase electrons in the ionosphere at high-latitude regions, exposing to higher radiation values. Space Weather 101 Solar Energetic Particles (SEP) High-energy particles; protons, electrons Originate from solar flare or shock wave (CME) reaching the Earth from 20 minutes to many hours, depending the location it leaves the solar disk. -
On Polar Magnetic Field Reversal in Solar Cycles 21, 22, 23, and 24
On Polar Magnetic Field Reversal in Solar Cycles 21, 22, 23, and 24 Mykola I. Pishkalo Main Astronomical Observatory, National Academy of Sciences, 27 Zabolotnogo vul., Kyiv, 03680, Ukraine [email protected] Abstract The Sun’s polar magnetic fields change their polarity near the maximum of sunspot activity. We analyzed the polarity reversal epochs in Solar Cycles 21 to 24. There were a triple reversal in the N-hemisphere in Solar Cycle 24 and single reversals in the rest of cases. Epochs of the polarity reversal from measurements of the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) are compared with ones when the reversals were completed in the N- and S-hemispheres. The reversal times were compared with hemispherical sunspot activity and with the Heliospheric Current Sheet (HCS) tilts, too. It was found that reversals occurred at the epoch of the sunspot activity maximum in Cycles 21 and 23, and after the corresponding maxima in Cycles 22 and 24, and one-two years after maximal HCS tilts calculated in WSO. Reversals in Solar Cycles 21, 22, 23, and 24 were completed first in the N-hemisphere and then in the S-hemisphere after 0.6, 1.1, 0.7, and 0.9 years, respectively. The polarity inversion in the near-polar latitude range ±(55–90)˚ occurred from 0.5 to 2.0 years earlier that the times when the reversals were completed in corresponding hemisphere. Using the maximal smoothed WSO polar field as precursor we estimated that amplitude of Solar Cycle 25 will reach 116±12 in values of smoothed monthly sunspot numbers and will be comparable with the current cycle amplitude equaled to 116.4. -
Solar Activity and Transformer Failures in the Greek National Electric Grid
J. Space Weather Space Clim. 3 (2013) A32 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2013055 Ó I.P. Zois, Published by EDP Sciences 2013 RESEARCH ARTICLE OPEN ACCESS Solar activity and transformer failures in the Greek national electric grid Ioannis Panayiotis Zois* Testing Research and Standards Centre, Public Power Corporation, 9 Leontariou street, GR 153 51, Kantza, Pallini, Athens, Attica, Greece *Corresponding author: [email protected] Received 3 August 2012 / Accepted 27 October 2013 ABSTRACT Aims: We study both the short term and long term effects of solar activity on the large transformers (150 kV and 400 kV) of the Greek national electric grid. Methods: We use data analysis and various statistical methods and models. Results: Contrary to com- mon belief in PPC Greece, we see that there are considerable both short term (immediate) and long term effects of solar activity onto large transformers in a mid-latitude country like Greece. Our results can be summarised as follows: 1. For the short term effects: During 1989–2010 there were 43 ‘‘stormy days’’ (namely days with for example Ap 100) and we had 19 failures occurring during a stormy day plus or minus 3 days and 51 failures occurring during a stormy day plus or minus 7 days. All these failures can be directly related to Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs). Explicit cases are briefly pre- sented. 2. For the long term effects, again for the same period 1989–2010, we have two main results: (i) The annual number of transformer failures seems to follow the solar activity pattern. Yet the maximum number of transformer failures occurs about half a solar cycle after the maximum of solar activity. -
Nonaxisymmetric Component of Solar Activity and the Gnevyshev-Ohl Rule
Solar Physics DOI: 10.1007/•••••-•••-•••-••••-• Nonaxisymmetric Component of Solar Activity and the Gnevyshev-Ohl rule E.S.Vernova1 · M.I. Tyasto1 · D.G. Baranov2 · O.A. Danilova1 c Springer •••• Abstract The vector representation of sunspots is used to study the non- axisymmetric features of the solar activity distribution (sunspot data from Greenwich–USAF/NOAA, 1874–2016).The vector of the longitudinal asym- metry is defined for each Carrington rotation; its modulus characterizes the magnitude of the asymmetry, while its phase points to the active longitude. These characteristics are to a large extent free from the influence of a stochastic component and emphasize the deviations from the axisymmetry. For the sunspot area, the modulus of the vector of the longitudinal asymmetry changes with the 11-year period; however, in contrast to the solar activity, the amplitudes of the asymmetry cycles obey a special scheme. Each pair of cycles from 12 to 23 follows in turn the Gnevyshev–Ohl rule (an even solar cycle is lower than the following odd cycle) or the “anti-Gnevyshev–Ohl rule” (an odd solar cycle is lower than the preceding even cycle). This effect is observed in the longitudinal asymmetry of the whole disk and the southern hemisphere. Possibly, this effect is a manifes- tation of the 44-year structure in the activity of the Sun. Northern hemisphere follows the Gnevyshev–Ohl rule in Solar Cycles 12–17, while in Cycles 18–23 the anti-rule is observed. Phase of the longitudinal asymmetry vector points to the dominating (active) longitude. Distribution of the phase over the longitude was studied for two periods of the solar cycle, ascent-maximum and descent-minimum, separately. -
Space Weather ± Physics and Effects Volker Bothmer and Ioannis A
Space Weather ± Physics and Effects Volker Bothmer and Ioannis A. Daglis Space Weather ± Physics and Effects Published in association with Praxis Publishing Chichester, UK Dr Volker Bothmer Dr Ioannis A. Daglis Institute for Astrophysics National Observatory of Athens University of GoÈttingen Athens GoÈ ttingen Greece Germany SPRINGER±PRAXIS BOOKS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES SUBJECT ADVISORY EDITOR: John Mason B.Sc., M.Sc., Ph.D. ISBN 10: 3-540-23907-3 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg New York ISBN 13: 978-3-540-23907-9 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg New York Springer is part of Springer-Science + Business Media (springer.com) Bibliographic information published by Die Deutsche Bibliothek Die Deutsche Bibliothek lists this publication in the Deutsche Nationalbibliogra®e; detailed bibliographic data are available from the Internet at http://dnb.ddb.de Library of Congress Control Number: 2006921904 Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms of licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside those terms should be sent to the publishers. # Praxis Publishing Ltd, Chichester, UK, 2007 Printed in Germany The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a speci®c statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. -
Arxiv:1901.09083V2 [Astro-Ph.SR] 3 Jun 2019 2 University of Maryland, Department of Astronomy, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Solar Physics DOI: 10.1007/•••••-•••-•••-••••-• What the Sudden Death of Solar Cycles Can Tell us About the Nature of the Solar Interior Scott W. McIntosh 1 · Robert J. Leamon 2,3 · Ricky Egeland 1 · Mausumi Dikpati 1 · Yuhong Fan 1 · Matthias Rempel 1 c Springer •••• Abstract We observe the abrupt end of solar activity cycles at the Sun's Equa- tor by combining almost 140 years of observations from ground and space. These \terminator" events appear to be very closely related to the onset of magnetic activity belonging to the next Solar Cycle at mid-latitudes and the polar-reversal process at high latitudes. Using multi-scale tracers of solar activity we examine the timing of these events in relation to the excitation of new activity and find that the time taken for the solar plasma to communicate this transition is of the order of one solar rotation { but could be shorter. Utilizing uniquely com- prehensive solar observations from the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) and Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) we see that this transitional event is strongly longitudinal in nature. Combined, these characteristics suggest that information is communicated through the solar interior rapidly. A range of possibilities exist to explain such behavior: for example gravity waves on the solar tachocline, or that the magnetic fields present in the Sun's convection zone could be very large, with a poloidal field strengths reaching 50 kG { considerably larger than conventional explorations of solar and stellar dynamos estimate. Regardless of the mechanism responsible, the rapid timescales demonstrated by the Sun's global magnetic field reconfiguration present strong constraints on first-principles numerical simulations of the solar interior and, by extension, other stars. -
SOLAR CYCLE 23: an ANOMALOUS CYCLE? Giuliana De Toma and Oran R
The Astrophysical Journal, 609:1140–1152, 2004 July 10 # 2004. The American Astronomical Society. All rights reserved. Printed in U.S.A. SOLAR CYCLE 23: AN ANOMALOUS CYCLE? Giuliana de Toma and Oran R. White High Altitude Observatory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80301; [email protected], [email protected] and Gary A. Chapman, Stephen R. Walton, Dora G. Preminger, and Angela M. Cookson San Fernando Observatory, Department of Physics and Astronomy, California State University at Northridge, 18111 Nordhoff Street, Northridge, CA 91330; [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] Received 2004 January 24; accepted 2004 March 19 ABSTRACT The latest SOHO VIRGO total solar irradiance (TSI) time series is analyzed using new solar variability measures obtained from full-disk solar images made at the San Fernando Observatory and the Mg ii 280 nm index. We discuss the importance of solar cycle 23 as a magnetically simpler cycle and a variant from recent cycles. Our results show the continuing improvement in TSI measurements and surrogates containing infor- mation necessary to account for irradiance variability. Use of the best surrogate for irradiance variability due to photospheric features (sunspots and faculae) and chromospheric features (plages and bright network) allows fitting the TSI record to within an rms difference of 130 ppm for the period 1986 to the present. Observations show that the strength of the TSI cycle did not change significantly despite the decrease in sunspot activity in cycle 23 relative to cycle 22. This points to the difficulty of modeling TSI back to times when only sunspot observations were available. -
NASA Living with a Star TR&T Town Hall Renaissance Washington, DC
NASA Living With a Star TR&T Town Hall Renaissance Washington, DC Downtown 13 December, 2018 LWS Town Hall Agenda Item Time Agenda Item Presenter 1 6:30 PM Welcome Nicky Fox 2 6:35 PM LPAG Status Anthea Coster / Mark Linton 3 6:55 PM LWS Program Status Jeff Morrill / Simon Plunkett 4 7:15 PM Multi-Agency Collaborations & Space Janet Kozyra Weather Activities 5 7:30 PM GDC STDT Status Jared Leisner 6 7:45 PM LWS Infrastructure & New Initiatives Lika Guhathakurtha 7 8:00 PM ADJOURN 2 LWS Town Hall Agenda Item Time Agenda Item Presenter 1 6:30 PM Welcome Nicky Fox 2 6:35 PM LPAG Status Anthea Coster / Mark Linton 3 6:55 PM LWS Program Status Jeff Morrill / Simon Plunkett 4 7:15 PM Multi-Agency Collaborations & Space Janet Kozyra Weather Activities 5 7:30 PM GDC STDT Status Jared Leisner 6 7:45 PM LWS Infrastructure & New Initiatives Lika Guhathakurtha 7 8:00 PM ADJOURN 3 NASA Living with a Star Program Analysis Group (LPAG) Executive Committee (EC) Co-Chairs: • Anthea Coster (MIT Haystack Observatory) • Mark Linton (Naval Research Laboratory, NRL) EC Members: • Joe Borovsky (Space Science Institute) • Richard Collins (University of Alaska) • Seebany Datta-Barua (Illinois Institute of Technology) • Matina Gkioulidou (JHU / APL) • Fan Guo (Los Alamos National Laboratory) • Jorg-Micha Jahn (Southwest Research Institute) • Enrico Landi (University of Michigan) • John Leibacher (National Solar Observatory) • Sabrina Savage (NASA / MSFC) • Brian Walsh (Boston University) See website at https://lwstrt.gsfc.nasa.gov/lpag 4 Living with a Star LPAG, continued Liaison Members: Charles N. -
NASA's Office of Space Science and Applications: Process, Priorities and Goals
NASA's Office of Space Science and Applications: Process, Priorities and Goals January 1992 NTIS order #PB92-152503 Office of Technology Assessment Congressional Board of the 102d Congress GEORGE E. BROWN, JR., California, Chairman TED STEVENS, Alaska, Vice Chairman Senate House EDWARD M. KENNEDY JOHN 0. DINGELL Massachusetts Michigan ERNEST F. HOLLINGS CLARENCE E. MILLER South Carolina Ohio CLAIBORNE PELL DON SUNDQUIST Rhode Island Tennessee ORRIN G. HATCH AMO HOUGHTON Utah New York CHARLES E. GRASSLEY (Vacancy) Iowa JOHN H. GIBB0NS (Nonvoting) Advisory Council CHASE N. PETERSON, Chairman MICHEL T. HALBOUTY MAX LENNON University of Utah Chairman of the Board & President Salt Lake City, Utah Chief Executive Officer Clemson University Michel T Halbouty Energy Co. Clemson, South Carolina Houston, Texas JOSHUA LEDERBERG, Vice Chairman - NEIL E. HARL JOSEPH E. ROSS Professor Professor Director Rockefeller University Department of Economics Congressional Research Service New York, New York Iowa State University The Library of Congress Ames,. Iowa Washington, D.C. CHARLES A. BOWSHER JAMES C. HUNT JOHN F.M. SIMS Comptroller General of Chancellor Vice President Marketing the United States Health Sciences Center Usibelli Coal Mine, Inc. Washington, D.C. University of Tennessee Fairbanks, Alaska Memphis, Tennessee LEWIS M. BRANSCOMB HENRY KOFFLER MARINA v.N. WHITMAN Director of Science, Technology & President Emeritus Vice President & Group Executive Public Policy Program University of Arizona Public Affairs Staffs Group Albert Pratt Public Service -
The Hubble Space Telescope Aurora C
Instrumentation and Facilities Research Students have access to rooftop instructional optical and radio telescopes in the Judson B. The Department of Astronomy, through its affiliated research units (the CSP, the IAR, and CISM), has a robust and thriving research program. Research areas in the Department include observational and Coit Observatory. Through the B.U.-Lowell Observatory partnership we have guaranteed time theoretical studies in a variety of fields. To learn about the research programs of individual faculty-led groups, go to www.bu.edu/astronomy/research. A few of the current research projects at BU are: on the 1.8m Perkins telescope and the 4.3m DCT near Flagstaff, AZ. We are frequently guest investigators at national and international facilities in Puerto Rico, Chile, Hawaii, Massachusetts, The Hubble Space Telescope Arizona, New Mexico, West Virginia, and Australia. Members of the Department also use Aurora Campaign space-based facilities, such as NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope; the Fermi Gamma-ray Space The aurora on Jupiter and Saturn Telescope; the Cluster suite of four satellites; the Chandra X-Ray Observatory; and Spitzer, have been studied with increasing Herschel, and Swift satellites. sensitivity and resolution in a series of HST Guest Observer programs of UV imaging and spectroscopy. These have revolutionized our understanding of the auroral phenomenona on both planets, and the auroral emissions provide the only remote method to study the magnetospheres of these giant planets. Discovery Channel Telescope (DCT) Boston University has recently partnered with Lowell Observatory in the Discovery Channel Telescope (DCT). The BU Astronomy Department will have guaranteed observing time on the 4.3 meter telescope, located on a site called “Happy Jack” about 40 miles from Flagstaff, AZ.