Statistical Properties of Superactive Regions During Solar Cycles 19–23⋆
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Properties of the Solar Velocity Field Indicated by Motions of Sunspot Groups and Coronal Bright Points
DISSERTATION zur Erlangung des Doktorgrades an der Naturwissenschaflichen Fakultät der Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz Properties of the solar velocity field indicated by motions of sunspot groups and coronal bright points Ivana Poljančić Beljan begutachtet von Univ.-Prof. Dr. Arnold Hanslmeier Institut für Physik Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz und Dr. Roman Brajša, scientific advisor Hvar Observatory, Faculty of Geodesy University of Zagreb 2018 Thesis advisor: Univ.-Prof. Dr. Hanslmeier Arnold Ivana Poljančić Beljan Properties of the solar velocity field indicated by motions of sunspot groups and coronal bright points Abstract The solar dynamo is a consequence of the interaction of the solar magnetic field with the large scale plasma motions, namely differential rotation and meridional flows. The main aims of the dissertation are to present precise measurements of the solar differential rotation, to improve insights in the relationship between the solar rotation and activity, to clarify the cause of the existence of a whole range of different results obtained for meridional flows and to clarify that the observed transfer of the angular momentum to- wards the solar equator mainly depends on horizontal Reynolds stress. For each of the mentioned topics positions of sunspot groups and coronal bright points (CBPs) from five different sources have been used. Synodic angular rotation velocities have been calculated using the daily shift or linear least-square fit methods. After the conversion to sidereal values, differential rotation profiles have been calculated by the least-square fitting. Covariance of the calculated rotational and meridional velocities was used to de- rive the horizontal Reynolds stress. The analysis of the differential rotation in general has shown that Kanzelhöhe Observatory for Solar and Environmental research (KSO) provides a valuable data set with a satisfactory accuracy suitable for the investigation of differential rotation and similar studies. -
Space Weather — History and Current Status
Space Weather — History and Current Status Ji Wu National Space Science Center, CAS Oct. 3, 2017 1 Contents 1. Beginning of Space Age and Dangerous Environment 2. The Dynamic Space Environment so far We Know 3. The Space Weather Concept and Current Programs 4. Looking at the Future Space Weather Programs 2 1.Beginning of Space Age and Dangerous Environment 3 Space Age Kai'erdishi Korolev Oct. 4, 1957, humanity‘s first artificial satellite, Sputnik-1, has launched, ushering in the Space Age. 4 Space Age Explorer 1 was the first satellite of the United States, launched on Jan 31, 1958, with scientific object to explore the radiation environment of geospace. 5 Unknown Space Environment Sputnik-2 (Nov 3, 1957) detected the Earth's outer radiation belt in the far northern latitudes, but researchers did not immediately realize the significance of the elevated radiation because Sputnik 2 passed through the Van Allen belt too far out of range of the Soviet tracking stations. Explorer-1 detected fewer cosmic rays in its orbit (which ranged from 220 miles from Earth to 1,563 miles) than Van Allen expected. 6 Space Age - unknown and dangerous space environment 7 Satellite failures due to the unknown and Particle dangerous space environment Radiation! Statistics show that the space radiation environment is one of the main causes of satellite failure. The space radiation environment caused about 2,300 satellite failures of all the 5000 failure events during the 1966-1994 period collected by the National Geophysical Data Center. Statistics of the United States in 1996 indicate that the space environment caused more than 40% of satellite failures in 1958-1986, and 36% in 1986-1996. -
Our Sun Has Spots.Pdf
THE A T M O S P H E R I C R E S E R V O I R Examining the Atmosphere and Atmospheric Resource Management Our Sun Has Spots By Mark D. Schneider Aurora Borealis light shows. If you minima and decreased activity haven’t seen the northern lights for called The Maunder Minimum. Is there actually weather above a while, you’re not alone. The end This period coincides with the our earth’s troposphere that con- of Solar Cycle 23 and a minimum “Little Ice Age” and may be an cerns us? Yes. In fact, the US of sunspot activity likely took place indication that it’s possible to fore- Department of Commerce late last year. Now that a new 11- cast long-term temperature trends National Oceanic and over several decades or Atmospheric Administra- centuries by looking at the tion (NOAA) has a separate sun’s irradiance patterns. division called the Space Weather Prediction Center You may have heard (SWPC) that monitors the about 22-year climate weather in space. Space cycles (two 11-year sun- weather focuses on our sun spot cycles) in which wet and its’ cycles of solar activ- periods and droughts were ity. Back in April of 2007, experienced in the Mid- the SWPC made a predic- western U.S. The years tion that the next active 1918, 1936, and 1955 were sunspot or solar cycle would periods of maximum solar begin in March of this year. forcing, but minimum Their prediction was on the precipitation over parts of mark, Solar Cycle 24 began NASA TRACE PROJECT, OF COURTESY PHOTO the U.S. -
Prediction of Solar Activity on the Basis of Spectral Characteristics of Sunspot Number
Annales Geophysicae (2004) 22: 2239–2243 SRef-ID: 1432-0576/ag/2004-22-2239 Annales © European Geosciences Union 2004 Geophysicae Prediction of solar activity on the basis of spectral characteristics of sunspot number E. Echer1, N. R. Rigozo1,2, D. J. R. Nordemann1, and L. E. A. Vieira1 1Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), Av. Astronautas, 1758 ZIP 12201-970, Sao˜ Jose´ dos Campos, SP, Brazil 2Faculdade de Tecnologia Thereza Porto Marques (FAETEC) ZIP 12308-320, Jacare´ı, Brazil Received: 9 July 2003 – Revised: 6 February 2004 – Accepted: 18 February 2004 – Published: 14 June 2004 Abstract. Prediction of solar activity strength for solar cy- when daily averages are more frequently available (Hoyt and cles 23 and 24 is performed on the basis of extrapolation of Schatten, 1998a, b). sunspot number spectral components. Sunspot number data When the solar cycle is in its maximum phase, there are during 1933–1996 periods (solar cycles 17–22) are searched important terrestrial consequences, such as the higher solar for periodicities by iterative regression. The periods signifi- emission of extreme-ultraviolet and ultraviolet flux, which cant at the 95% confidence level were used in a sum of sine can modulate the middle and upper terrestrial atmosphere, series to reconstruct sunspot series, to predict the strength and total solar irradiance, which could have effects on terres- of solar cycles 23 and 24. The maximum peak of solar cy- trial climate (Hoyt and Schatten, 1997), as well as the coronal cles is adequately predicted (cycle 21: 158±13.2 against an mass ejection and interplanetary shock rates, responsible by observed peak of 155.4; cycle 22: 178±13.2 against 157.6 geomagnetic activity storms and auroras (Webb and Howard, observed). -
Space Weather and Aviation Impacts
Space Weather and Aviation Impacts Char Dewey NOAA/National Weather Service Salt Lake City, UT @DeweyWx [email protected] IWAWS 2020 Space Weather and Aviation Impacts What is space weather? How space weather affects Earth and aviation; hazards and impacts How to monitor conditions and be space weather-aware Space Weather 101 Space Weather 101 Weather originating from the Sun and traveling the 93 million miles to reach Earth and our atmosphere, interacting with systems on and orbiting Earth. Observations come from satellite sources with instruments that monitor space weather. Model data (some now operational!) developing. Coronal Mass Ejections (CME), Solar Energetic Particles (SEP), and Solar Flares. Space Weather 101 Active regions on the sun are where solar activity begins; where sunspots are located on the solar disk. Magnetic “instability” where solar storming forms. Space Weather 101 Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) An eruption of plasma particles and electromagnetic radiation from the solar corona, often following solar flares. Originate from active regions on the Sun’s surface (sunspots). Very slow to reach the Earth from 12 hours to days or a week. Space Weather Impacts Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) Impacts: Geomagnetic storming compresses Earth’s magnetosphere on the day-side, extending night-side “tail” and reconnecting, focusing energy at the poles and resulting in Aurora. Increase electrons in the ionosphere at high-latitude regions, exposing to higher radiation values. Space Weather 101 Solar Energetic Particles (SEP) High-energy particles; protons, electrons Originate from solar flare or shock wave (CME) reaching the Earth from 20 minutes to many hours, depending the location it leaves the solar disk. -