Solar Cycle Variation and Application to the Space Radiation Environment
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Solar Modulation Effect on Galactic Cosmic Rays
Solar Modulation Effect On Galactic Cosmic Rays Cristina Consolandi – University of Hawaii at Manoa Nov 14, 2015 Galactic Cosmic Rays Voyager in The Galaxy The Sun The Sun is a Star. It is a nearly perfect spherical ball of hot plasma, with internal convective motion that generates a magnetic field via a dynamo process. 3 The Sun & The Heliosphere The heliosphere contains the solar system GCR may penetrate the Heliosphere and propagate trough it by following the Sun's magnetic field lines. 4 The Heliosphere Boundaries The Heliosphere is the region around the Sun over which the effect of the solar wind is extended. 5 The Solar Wind The Solar Wind is the constant stream of charged particles, protons and electrons, emitted by the Sun together with its magnetic field. 6 Solar Wind & Sunspots Sunspots appear as dark spots on the Sun’s surface. Sunspots are regions of strong magnetic fields. The Sun’s surface at the spot is cooler, making it looks darker. It was found that the stronger the solar wind, the higher the sunspot number. The sunspot number gives information about 7 the Sun activity. The 11-year Solar Cycle The solar Wind depends on the Sunspot Number Quiet At maximum At minimum of Sun Spot of Sun Spot Number the Number the sun is Active sun is Quiet Active! 8 The Solar Wind & GCR The number of Galactic Cosmic Rays entering the Heliosphere depends on the Solar Wind Strength: the stronger is the Solar wind the less probable would be for less energetic Galactic Cosmic Rays to overcome the solar wind! 9 How do we measure low energy GCR on ground? With Neutron Monitors! The primary cosmic ray has enough energy to start a cascade and produce secondary particles. -
Statistical Properties of Superactive Regions During Solar Cycles 19–23⋆
A&A 534, A47 (2011) Astronomy DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201116790 & c ESO 2011 Astrophysics Statistical properties of superactive regions during solar cycles 19–23 A. Q. Chen1,2,J.X.Wang1,J.W.Li2,J.Feynman3, and J. Zhang1 1 Key Laboratory of Solar Activity of Chinese Academy of Sciences, National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, PR China e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected] 2 National Center for Space Weather, China Meteorological Administration, PR China 3 Helio research, 5212 Maryland Avenue, La Crescenta, USA Received 26 February 2011 / Accepted 20 August 2011 ABSTRACT Context. Each solar activity cycle is characterized by a small number of superactive regions (SARs) that produce the most violent of space weather events with the greatest disastrous influence on our living environment. Aims. We aim to re-parameterize the SARs and study the latitudinal and longitudinal distributions of SARs. Methods. We select 45 SARs in solar cycles 21–23, according to the following four parameters: 1) the maximum area of sunspot group, 2) the soft X-ray flare index, 3) the 10.7 cm radio peak flux, and 4) the variation in the total solar irradiance. Another 120 SARs given by previous studies of solar cycles 19–23 are also included. The latitudinal and longitudinal distributions of the 165 SARs in both the Carrington frame and the dynamic reference frame during solar cycles 19–23 are studied statistically. Results. Our results indicate that these 45 SARs produced 44% of all the X class X-ray flares during solar cycles 21–23, and that all the SARs are likely to produce a very fast CME. -
Properties of the Solar Velocity Field Indicated by Motions of Sunspot Groups and Coronal Bright Points
DISSERTATION zur Erlangung des Doktorgrades an der Naturwissenschaflichen Fakultät der Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz Properties of the solar velocity field indicated by motions of sunspot groups and coronal bright points Ivana Poljančić Beljan begutachtet von Univ.-Prof. Dr. Arnold Hanslmeier Institut für Physik Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz und Dr. Roman Brajša, scientific advisor Hvar Observatory, Faculty of Geodesy University of Zagreb 2018 Thesis advisor: Univ.-Prof. Dr. Hanslmeier Arnold Ivana Poljančić Beljan Properties of the solar velocity field indicated by motions of sunspot groups and coronal bright points Abstract The solar dynamo is a consequence of the interaction of the solar magnetic field with the large scale plasma motions, namely differential rotation and meridional flows. The main aims of the dissertation are to present precise measurements of the solar differential rotation, to improve insights in the relationship between the solar rotation and activity, to clarify the cause of the existence of a whole range of different results obtained for meridional flows and to clarify that the observed transfer of the angular momentum to- wards the solar equator mainly depends on horizontal Reynolds stress. For each of the mentioned topics positions of sunspot groups and coronal bright points (CBPs) from five different sources have been used. Synodic angular rotation velocities have been calculated using the daily shift or linear least-square fit methods. After the conversion to sidereal values, differential rotation profiles have been calculated by the least-square fitting. Covariance of the calculated rotational and meridional velocities was used to de- rive the horizontal Reynolds stress. The analysis of the differential rotation in general has shown that Kanzelhöhe Observatory for Solar and Environmental research (KSO) provides a valuable data set with a satisfactory accuracy suitable for the investigation of differential rotation and similar studies. -
Pos(ICRC2019)1148 1 GV
Evolution of geomagnetic cutoffs at the South Pole and neutron monitor rates PoS(ICRC2019)1148 Laura Rose Rosen∗ Washington State University E-mail: [email protected] Surujhdeo Seunarine University of Wisconsin-River Falls E-mail: [email protected] Neutron monitors are among the most robust and reliable detectors of GeV cosmic rays and are sensitive, with high precision, to modulations in Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR). Hence, they can be deployed for extended periods of time, decades, and are able to observe the modulation of GCR over many solar cycles. The South Pole Neutron Monitor, located at the geographic South Pole, which is both high latitude and high altitude, has an atmospheric cutoff of around 0:1 GV. In the first four decades of its operation, a secular decline in the neutron rates have been observed. The decline may have leveled off recently. Environmental effects, including snow build up around the housing platform and the emergence and relocation of structures at the South Pole have been ruled out as causes of the decline. A recent study challenged the assumption that geomagnetic effects can be ignored at the South Pole, in particular for cosmic rays approaching from select regions in azimuth and at large zenith angles. This work confirms that ignoring geomagnetic cutoff effects could be important for the South Pole Neutron Monitor rates. We extend the investigation to include particle propagation in the Polar atmosphere, and the evolution of cosmic ray cutoffs at the South Pole over several decades. A connection is made between the evolving cutoffs and the decline in neutron monitor rates. -
Study of Intense Geomagnetic Storms and Associated Cosmic Ray
29th International Cosmic Ray Conference Pune (2005) 2, 151–154 Study of Intense Geomagnetic Storms and associated Cosmic Ray Intensity Variation ¡ ¡ Subhash C. Kaushik , A. K. Shrivastava and Hari Mohan Rajput (a) Department of Physics, Government Autonomous PG College, Datia, M P 475 661, India (b) School of Studies in Physics, Jiwaji University, Gwalior, M P 461 005, India Presenter: H. M. Rajput(subash [email protected]), ind-kaushik-SC-abs1-sh34-oral Shocks driven by energetic coronal mass ejections (CME's) and other interplanetary (IP) transients are mainly responsible for initiating large and intense geomagnetic storms. Observational results indicate that galactic cosmic rays (GCR) coming from deep surface interact with these abnormal solar and interplanetary conditions and suffer modulation effects. In this paper a systematic study has been performed to analyze the cosmic ray intensity variation during highly geoeffective conditions, referred by geomagnetic storms. These intense geomagnetic storms period have been categorized on the basis of ¢¤£¦¥ index. Study reveals the significant decrease in the cosmic ray intensity following the similar pattern as the ¢§£¨¥ index depicts. Analysis further indicates that magnitude of all the responses depend upon © component of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) being well correlated with solar maximum and minimum periods. Transient decrease in cosmic ray intensity with slow recovery is observed during the storm phase duration. 1. Introduction Investigators have revealed that various activities taking place on Sun and other interplanetary proxies of coro- nal mass ejection's (CME's) lead to Cosmic ray (CR) modulations at neutron monitor energies. This helio- spheric modulation process reflects the dominant role played by solar wind parameters (bulk speed and the IMF intensity). -
Our Sun Has Spots.Pdf
THE A T M O S P H E R I C R E S E R V O I R Examining the Atmosphere and Atmospheric Resource Management Our Sun Has Spots By Mark D. Schneider Aurora Borealis light shows. If you minima and decreased activity haven’t seen the northern lights for called The Maunder Minimum. Is there actually weather above a while, you’re not alone. The end This period coincides with the our earth’s troposphere that con- of Solar Cycle 23 and a minimum “Little Ice Age” and may be an cerns us? Yes. In fact, the US of sunspot activity likely took place indication that it’s possible to fore- Department of Commerce late last year. Now that a new 11- cast long-term temperature trends National Oceanic and over several decades or Atmospheric Administra- centuries by looking at the tion (NOAA) has a separate sun’s irradiance patterns. division called the Space Weather Prediction Center You may have heard (SWPC) that monitors the about 22-year climate weather in space. Space cycles (two 11-year sun- weather focuses on our sun spot cycles) in which wet and its’ cycles of solar activ- periods and droughts were ity. Back in April of 2007, experienced in the Mid- the SWPC made a predic- western U.S. The years tion that the next active 1918, 1936, and 1955 were sunspot or solar cycle would periods of maximum solar begin in March of this year. forcing, but minimum Their prediction was on the precipitation over parts of mark, Solar Cycle 24 began NASA TRACE PROJECT, OF COURTESY PHOTO the U.S. -
Prediction of Solar Activity on the Basis of Spectral Characteristics of Sunspot Number
Annales Geophysicae (2004) 22: 2239–2243 SRef-ID: 1432-0576/ag/2004-22-2239 Annales © European Geosciences Union 2004 Geophysicae Prediction of solar activity on the basis of spectral characteristics of sunspot number E. Echer1, N. R. Rigozo1,2, D. J. R. Nordemann1, and L. E. A. Vieira1 1Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), Av. Astronautas, 1758 ZIP 12201-970, Sao˜ Jose´ dos Campos, SP, Brazil 2Faculdade de Tecnologia Thereza Porto Marques (FAETEC) ZIP 12308-320, Jacare´ı, Brazil Received: 9 July 2003 – Revised: 6 February 2004 – Accepted: 18 February 2004 – Published: 14 June 2004 Abstract. Prediction of solar activity strength for solar cy- when daily averages are more frequently available (Hoyt and cles 23 and 24 is performed on the basis of extrapolation of Schatten, 1998a, b). sunspot number spectral components. Sunspot number data When the solar cycle is in its maximum phase, there are during 1933–1996 periods (solar cycles 17–22) are searched important terrestrial consequences, such as the higher solar for periodicities by iterative regression. The periods signifi- emission of extreme-ultraviolet and ultraviolet flux, which cant at the 95% confidence level were used in a sum of sine can modulate the middle and upper terrestrial atmosphere, series to reconstruct sunspot series, to predict the strength and total solar irradiance, which could have effects on terres- of solar cycles 23 and 24. The maximum peak of solar cy- trial climate (Hoyt and Schatten, 1997), as well as the coronal cles is adequately predicted (cycle 21: 158±13.2 against an mass ejection and interplanetary shock rates, responsible by observed peak of 155.4; cycle 22: 178±13.2 against 157.6 geomagnetic activity storms and auroras (Webb and Howard, observed). -