Precipitation Bands of Typhoon Vera in 1959 (Part I)*

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Precipitation Bands of Typhoon Vera in 1959 (Part I)* 298 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 47, No. 4 Precipitation Bands of Typhoon Vera in 1959 (Part I)* By Staff Members** Division of Meteorology, Geophysical Institute, Tokyo University, Tokyo (Manuscript received 22 March 1969) Abstract A case study of the rainfall associated with Typhoon Vera (the Ise Bay Typhoon) in 1959 is made. From an inspection of hourly precipitation charts, one gets an imprestion that the rainfall amount with the typhoon is solely dependent upon the orographic elect. However, the analysis of time changes of rainfall intensity reveals the existence of well-organized zones of alternating heavy and weak rainfall intensity surrounding the storm center. The surface pressure field also contains similar banded structure. A comparison with the radar pictures shows the correspondence of these zones to groups of radar rain bands. the rainfall amount is the forced lifting of warm 1. Introduction and moist air around the storm along the upslope Some of the heaviest rainfalls in Japan occur of a mountain range or the existing frontal in connection with typhoons. The total rainfall surface rather than the convective rain inherent during the passage of a typhoon frequently to the typhoon (Arakawa, 1939; Takahashi, 1952; amounts to 400-500 mm. There are a number Masuda and Kasahara, 1956; Dunn and Miller, of factors contributing to the torrential rain 1960; and many others). associated with a typhoon. Probably the observed rainfall over Japan Consider an idealized typhoon which is at sea. Islands during the passage of a typhoon has dual Although we do not have direct rainfall measure- characteristics of both convective and continuous ments over the sea, the average rainfall rates in rains. Then we may raise questions like the various sectors within the typhoon may be calculated by the low-level inflow and the moisture content of the air. Hughes (1952) made such a calculation. The calculated rainfall rates were such that if a storm center had passed directly over a station while moving in a straight line, there would have been a total rainfall of about 280 mm in 48 hours. It is also known that the rainfall in a typhoon is highly convective and concentrated within a series of spiral bands as seen by radar pictures (Maynard, 1945; Wexler, 1947; and many others). However, the observed features of the typhoon rainfall over land are much more complex. The rainfall rates are often much larger and their horizontal distribution is dependent upon many factors. It has been widely recognized that one of the most important factors which determine * Division of Meteorology , Contribution No. 174. ** M. Hamuro , late Y. Kawata, S. Matsuda, T. Matsuno, N. Nakamura, T. Pak, T. Takeda and M. Yanai. Fig. 1. Track of Typhoon Vera. August 1969 Staff Members, Tokyo University 299 Fig. 2. Hourly precipitation amounts from 1600 JST to 2100 JST 26 September 1959. The orography is indicated by light and heavy shadings. 300 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 47, No. 4 following. Can we detect the banded convective the rainfall over land is mostly controlled by nature of the rainfall from the observed precipita- orographic effects. However, when one examines tion data? What is the relation between the the time change of rainfall amount at various original convective rain of the typhoon and the stations, there are marked variations of rainfall rain caused by forced lifting of air which appears intensity with time, which are commonly observed to dominate in the distribution of rainfall amount? at separate stations. In this paper we present a case study of the Fig. 3 shows time changes of hourly rainfall rainfall during the passage of Typhoon Vera in amounts at two rain gauge stations, Ookawa and 1959. Typhoon Vera, or the Ise Bay Typhoon, which occurred in late September 1959 was one of the most intense typhoons in Japanese weather records. The path of the typhoon is shown in Fig. 1. At its maximum intensity on the 23 rd September, the minimum sea-level pressure was 894 mb and the maximum wind speed was more than 70 m sec-l. The typhoon landed near Shionomisaki weather station at the southern- most tip of the Kii Peninsula on the evening of the 26th September. The recorded minimum surface pressure was 929.5 mb at the station. After the landing, the typhoon took a course heading towards the NNE. By the passage of the typhoon, unusually large-scale storm surges were caused in Ise Bay. The highest meteorological tide at Nagoya harbor reached 3.45 m. The storm killed 4,800 people in Nagoya and its vicinity. A detailed documentation of this typhoon was published by Japan Meteorological Agency (1961). 2. Hourly rainfall amounts Based upon the data from the rain gauge stations mostly belonging to Japan Meteorological Agency, hourly precipitation charts were construct- ed. Fig. 2 shows the distribution of rainfall amount in units of mm during the period from 1600 JST (Japan Standard Time) to 2100 JST 26 September. The positions of the storm center at 1800, 1900, 2000 and 2100 JST are marked in the figures. The orographic feature is also indicated in the figures by light and dark shadings. When we look at the hourly precipitation charts, we note a high correlation between the rainfall amount and the orography. The maxima of the hourly rainfall amount are generally located at upslopes of mountain ranges. It is difficult to detect banded structure of the rainfall from the analysis of the hourly precipitation charts. 3. Analysis of the time change of rainfall intensity Fig. 3. Time changes of hourly precipitation amounts at Ookawa and Shizuoka. Black From the hourly rainfall distribution presented circles correspond to positive R and white in Section 2, one might get an impression that circles to negative OR (see text). August 1969 Staff Members, Tokyo University 301 Fig. 4. Horizontal distributions of oR from 1600 JST to 2100 .1ST 26 September 1959. 302 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 47, No. 4 Fig. 5. Major zones of positive R relative to the storm center (from 1300 JST to 2400 JST 26 September 1959). August 1969 Staff Members, Tokyo University 303 Shizuoka. These two stations are only 20 km to the storm center studied by Senn and Hiser apart (see Fig. 8). Ookawa is situated in a (1959). valley and its elevation is 200 m from the mean sea level, while Shizuoka is in a plain and its 4. Band structure of surface pressure elevation is 13.5 m. We note two marked features Many investigators have shown that minor in this figure. Firstly, the hourly rainfall amounts pressure dips are associated with the passage of at Ookawa are much larger than those at Shizuoka, typhoon rain bands (Wexler, 1947; Ligda, 1955; showing the high correlation between the rainfall Ushijima, 1958; Tatehira, 1961, 1962; and several amount and the station's elevation. Secondly, others). Most of these studies are concerned there is a parallel time change of the hourly rain- with small-scale fluctuations of the barograph fall amounts at the two stations. Four peaks of trace in comparison with the passage of individual intense rainfall at about 13 JST, 17 JST, 20 JST rain bands above the station. It is generally and 23 JST are commonly observed at the two recognized that there is a rapid fall of the stations. pressure before the arrival of a rain band and As a simple measure of the time change of the then it is followed by a slow recovery of the hourly rainfall data, we define barograph trace. The pressure dip is usually of the order of 1 mb. Similar features have been observed in upper levels by flights penetrating rain where h(t) is the hourly rainfall amount ending bands (Simpson, 1954; Simpson and Starrett, at time t. Then positive values of oR should 1955). correspond to the peaks in the time series of The zones of positive R analyzed in Section hourly rainfall data. On the contrary, negative 3 have much larger horizontal scale as compared values correspond to the minima in the time with individual bands observed by radar. Each series. In Fig. 3, signs of OR are shown below zone may correspond to a group of several by black ( R>0) and white ( R<0) circles. bands rather than a single band. To reveal the The four peaks mentioned before are well traced fluctuations of the surface pressure with time and by this method. space scales comparable to those of OR, we read We expand the computation of OR for all the the barograms of all regular stations at every 15 rain gauge stations. The result is presented in minutes and computed the average hourly pressure Fig. 4. It is rather surprising that positive and p(t), where t is the ending time. Then we negative signs of R are systematically distributed calculated in several zones and that they rarely mix together except for a few stations. We further note that the zones of positive or negative R are propaga- The analysis of Op eliminates the sea-level reduc- ting with the movement of the storm center. tion problem which usually complicates the meso- To see the latter point more clearly, we mark scale pressure analysis. centers of the zones of positive R at every 1 Fig. 6 shows the horizontal distribution of 4 P hour and plot the position of the zones relative in units of mb during the same period as for the to the moving storm center (.Fig. 5). We recognize analysis of OR. We notice a general correspond- four major zones of positive R around the ence between the zones of negative P and those center of the typhoon.
Recommended publications
  • Contextualizing Disaster
    Contextualizing Disaster This open access edition has been made available under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, thanks to the support of Knowledge Unlatched. Catastrophes in Context Series Editors: Gregory V. Button, former faculty member of University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Mark Schuller, Northern Illinois University / Université d’État d’Haïti Anthony Oliver-Smith, University of Florida Volume ͩ Contextualizing Disaster Edited by Gregory V. Button and Mark Schuller This open access edition has been made available under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, thanks to the support of Knowledge Unlatched. Contextualizing Disaster Edited by GREGORY V. BUTTON and MARK SCHULLER berghahn N E W Y O R K • O X F O R D www.berghahnbooks.com This open access edition has been made available under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, thanks to the support of Knowledge Unlatched. First published in 2016 by Berghahn Books www.berghahnbooks.com ©2016 Gregory V. Button and Mark Schuller Open access ebook edition published in 2019 All rights reserved. Except for the quotation of short passages for the purposes of criticism and review, no part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission of the publisher. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Button, Gregory, editor. | Schuller, Mark, 1973– editor. Title: Contextualizing disaster / edited by Gregory V. Button and Mark Schuller. Description: New York : Berghahn Books, [2016] | Series: Catastrophes in context ; v.
    [Show full text]
  • Nearshore Dynamics of Storm Surges and Waves Induced by the 2018
    Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Article Nearshore Dynamics of Storm Surges and Waves Induced by the 2018 Typhoons Jebi and Trami Based on the Analysis of Video Footage Recorded on the Coasts of Wakayama, Japan Yusuke Yamanaka 1,* , Yoshinao Matsuba 1,2 , Yoshimitsu Tajima 1 , Ryotaro Shibata 1, Naohiro Hattori 1, Lianhui Wu 1 and Naoko Okami 1 1 Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-8656, Japan; [email protected] (Y.M.); [email protected] (Y.T.); [email protected] (R.S.); [email protected] (N.H.); [email protected] (L.W.); [email protected] (N.O.) 2 Research Fellow of Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Tokyo 102-0083, Japan * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 30 September 2019; Accepted: 11 November 2019; Published: 13 November 2019 Abstract: In this study, field surveys along the coasts of Wakayama Prefecture, Japan, were first conducted to investigate the coastal damage due to storm surges and storm-induced waves caused by the 2018 Typhoons Jebi and Trami. Special focus was placed on the characteristic behavior of nearshore waves through investigation of observed data, numerical simulations, and image analysis of video footage recorded on the coasts. The survey results indicated that inundation, wave overtopping, and drift debris caused by violent storm-induced waves were the dominant factors causing coastal damage. Results of numerical simulations showed that heights of storm-induced waves were predominantly greater than storm surge heights along the entire coast of Wakayama in both typhoons.
    [Show full text]
  • Japan's Insurance Market 2020
    Japan’s Insurance Market 2020 Japan’s Insurance Market 2020 Contents Page To Our Clients Masaaki Matsunaga President and Chief Executive The Toa Reinsurance Company, Limited 1 1. The Risks of Increasingly Severe Typhoons How Can We Effectively Handle Typhoons? Hironori Fudeyasu, Ph.D. Professor Faculty of Education, Yokohama National University 2 2. Modeling the Insights from the 2018 and 2019 Climatological Perils in Japan Margaret Joseph Model Product Manager, RMS 14 3. Life Insurance Underwriting Trends in Japan Naoyuki Tsukada, FALU, FUWJ Chief Underwriter, Manager, Underwriting Team, Life Underwriting & Planning Department The Toa Reinsurance Company, Limited 20 4. Trends in Japan’s Non-Life Insurance Industry Underwriting & Planning Department The Toa Reinsurance Company, Limited 25 5. Trends in Japan's Life Insurance Industry Life Underwriting & Planning Department The Toa Reinsurance Company, Limited 32 Company Overview 37 Supplemental Data: Results of Japanese Major Non-Life Insurance Companies for Fiscal 2019, Ended March 31, 2020 (Non-Consolidated Basis) 40 ©2020 The Toa Reinsurance Company, Limited. All rights reserved. The contents may be reproduced only with the written permission of The Toa Reinsurance Company, Limited. To Our Clients It gives me great pleasure to have the opportunity to welcome you to our brochure, ‘Japan’s Insurance Market 2020.’ It is encouraging to know that over the years our brochures have been well received even beyond our own industry’s boundaries as a source of useful, up-to-date information about Japan’s insurance market, as well as contributing to a wider interest in and understanding of our domestic market. During fiscal 2019, the year ended March 31, 2020, despite a moderate recovery trend in the first half, uncertainties concerning the world economy surged toward the end of the fiscal year, affected by the spread of COVID-19.
    [Show full text]
  • DATA and MONITORING
    WORLD CLIMATE PROGRAMME DATA and MONITORING MEETING OF EXPERTS ON THE CLIMATE OF THE 20TH CENTURY (Geneva, Switzerland, 26-30 April 1999) WCDMP-No. 42 WMO-TD No. 972 * m World Meteorological Organization (Geneva, September 1999) The WCP implemented by WMO in conjunction with other international organizations consists of four major components: The World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme (WCDMP) The World Climate Applications and Services Programme (WCASP) The World Climate Impact Assessment and Response Strategies Programme (WCIRP) The World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) World Meteorological Organization Case postale N° 2300 1211 Geneva Switzerland World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme Telephone: (+41-22)730 81 11 Telefax: (+41-22)730 80 42 Telex: 414199 Email : [email protected] World Wide Web:http://www.wmo.ch/web/wcp/wcdmp/wcdmp.html NOTE The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secreta­ riat of the World Meteorological Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Editorial note: This report has for the greater part been produced without editorial revision by the WMO Secretariat. It is not an official publication and its distribution in this form does not imply endorsement by the Organization of the ideas expressed. MEETING OF EXPERTS ON THE CLIMATE OF THE 20TH CENTURY (Geneva, Switzerland,
    [Show full text]
  • Effects of Horizontal Resolution and Air–Sea Flux Parameterization
    Effects of Horizontal Resolution and Air–Sea Flux Parameterization 已刪除: Impacts on the Intensity and Structure of simulated Typhoon Haiyan (2013) Mien-Tze Kueh1, Wen-Mei Chen1, Yang-Fan Sheng1, Simon C. Lin2, Tso-Ren Wu3, Eric Yen4, Yu-Lin Tsai3, Chuan-Yao Lin1 5 1Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan 2Academia Sinica Grid Computing Centre, Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan 3Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Sciences, National Central University, Taiwan 4Academia Sinica Grid Computing Centre, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan 10 Correspondence to: Chuan-Yao Lin ([email protected]) Abstract. This study investigates the effects of horizontal resolution and surface flux formulas on typhoon intensity and 已刪除: impacts structure simulations through the case study of Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013). Three sets of surface flux formulas in the 已刪除: the 15 Weather Research and Forecasting Model were tested using grid spacings of 1, 3, and 6 km. Increased resolution and more 35 已刪除: different 已刪除: Both i reasonable surface flux formulas can both improve typhoon intensity simulation, but their effects on storm structures differ. A combination of a decrease in momentum transfer coefficient and an increase in enthalpy transfer coefficients has greater potential to yield a stronger storm. This positive effect of more reasonable surface flux formulas can be efficiently enhanced when the grid spacing is appropriately reduced to yield an intense and contracted eyewall structure. As the resolution increases, 20 the eyewall becomes more upright and contracts inward. The size of updraft cores in the eyewall shrinks, and the region of 已刪除: ed downdraft increases; both updraft and downdraft become more intense.
    [Show full text]
  • 2£ Nome Nugget Oldest Newspaper in Alaska—Member Associated Press
    2£ NOME NUGGET OLDEST NEWSPAPER IN ALASKA—MEMBER ASSOCIATED PRESS_. ** I VOL. LX No. 115 NOME, ALASKA, FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 1958 Per Copy—15^ — V- ■- — —=r U. S. Puts Weather AVA STARTS NOME MEET TODAY Supplies Reaching Quemoy Despite Satellite Red But Is That Probing AVA WILL START their three-day meet here Blockade, Feeling Into Orbit THEat 1 o’clock this afternoon, at the U. S. Court Room. Directors who have arrived to attend the By JACK KING meeting Effort Must Fail -4 ►are as follows: Massive Eventually CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla., [ffl < »- Chuck West, of Alaska Travel By JAMES CAREY — A weather probing Vanguard Lana’s To int» can be up. Daughter Bureau; Bob Ellis, Ellis Airlines; — kept TAIPEI, Formosa, OP Fresh satellite was blasted into space These are vital questions be- Everett Patton, Alaska Highway supplies poured to Quemoy’s de- today and preliminary instrumen- Remain In Custody cause American policy of contain- Tours, and president of the Board; fenders by air and sea amid tation showed the rocket’s three ing the Formosa Strait war seems Of Her Grandmother O. F. Benecke, Alaska Coastal heavy Communist artillery fire engines performed normally. now to on the Reds Airlines; Jim Binkley, Alaska hinge denying — today. That meant the huge rocket SANTA MONICA, Calif., GP> the chance to starve out Quemoy. Riverways; Frank Downey, White The buildup came as the Chi- blazed some 300 miles high in Cheryl Crane will remain in the Warships of the U. S. 7th Fleet Pass Railroad; Wm. Ferro, Skag- nese Nationalists announced an- space, probably reaching a speed custody of her maternal grand- are escorting the convoys.
    [Show full text]
  • Introduction of Confidence Interval Based on Probability Limit Method
    water Article Introduction of Confidence Interval Based on Probability Limit Method Test into Non-Stationary Hydrological Frequency Analysis Keita Shimizu 1,*, Tadashi Yamada 2 and Tomohito J. Yamada 3 1 Civil, Human and Environmental Engineering Course, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Chuo University, 1-13-27, Kasuga, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 112-8551, Japan 2 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Chuo University, 1-13-27, Kasuga, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 112-8551, Japan; [email protected] 3 Faculty of Engineering, Hokkaido University, N13 W8, Kita-ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido 060-8628, Japan; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +81-3-3817-1805 Received: 15 September 2020; Accepted: 27 September 2020; Published: 29 September 2020 Abstract: Nonstationarity in hydrological variables has been identified throughout Japan in recent years. As a result, the reliability of designs derived from using method based on the assumption of stationary might deteriorate. Non-stationary hydrological frequency analysis is among the measures to counter this possibility. Using this method, time variations in the probable hydrological quantity can be estimated using a non-stationary extreme value distribution model with time as an explanatory variable. In this study, we build a new method for constructing the confidence interval regarding the non-stationary extreme value distribution by applying a theory of probability limit method test. Furthermore, by introducing a confidence interval based on probability limit method test into the non-stationary hydrological frequency analysis, uncertainty in design rainfall because of lack of observation information was quantified, and it is shown that assessment pertaining to both the occurrence risk of extremely heavy rainfall and changes in the trend of extreme rainfall accompanied with climate change is possible.
    [Show full text]
  • Downloaded 09/24/21 02:19 PM UTC 1092 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 126
    APRIL 1998 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE 1091 Statistical Analysis of the Characteristics of Severe Typhoons Hitting the Japanese Main Islands TAKESHI FUJII General Education and Research Center, Kyoto Sangyo University, Kyoto, Japan 5 May 1997 and 19 July 1997 ABSTRACT Characteristics of 51 severe typhoons hitting the Japanese main islands with central pressure equal to or less than 980 hPa during the period 1955±94 were analyzed by an objective method using hourly station observation during typhoon passages. Position of a typhoon center, central pressure depth Dp, and radius of the maximum wind rm, were obtained at hourly intervals after landfall on the main islands of Japan. The pressure pro®le of severe typhoons used in this analysis was chosen from formulas presented in previous papers, namely the same as one used by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for hurricanes hitting Florida. Coastlines of the main islands were divided into three sections: areas A, B, and C extending from west to east. Statistical analyses of parameters were made for each area. At time of landfall, the maximum value of Dp was 83.2 hPa for area A, 85.2 hPa for area B, and 47.8 hPa for area C. The differences in return period of Dp among areas are considered to be caused by the SST distribution off the Paci®c coast. On average, typhoons making landfall in area C have larger rm and speed, and display a more eastward component of translation than those in the other two areas. The differences of speed and direction among areas and months can be explained to be caused by variation of the synoptic-scale air current at the 500-hPa level.
    [Show full text]
  • A Multimodel Intercomparison of an Intense Typhoon in Future, Warmer Climates by Four 5-Km-Mesh Models
    1AUGUST 2017 K A N A D A E T A L . 6017 A Multimodel Intercomparison of an Intense Typhoon in Future, Warmer Climates by Four 5-km-Mesh Models a b a c SACHIE KANADA, TETSUYA TAKEMI, MASAYA KATO, SHOTA YAMASAKI, c a d e HIRONORI FUDEYASU, KAZUHISA TSUBOKI, OSAMU ARAKAWA, AND IZURU TAKAYABU a Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan b Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji, Kyoto, Japan c Yokohama National University, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan d University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan e Meteorological Research Institute, JMA, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan (Manuscript received 2 October 2016, in final form 13 February 2017) ABSTRACT Intense tropical cyclones (TCs) sometimes cause huge disasters, so it is imperative to explore the impacts of climate change on such TCs. Therefore, the authors conducted numerical simulations of the most destructive historical TC in Japanese history, Typhoon Vera (1959), in the current climate and a global warming climate. The authors used four nonhydrostatic models with a horizontal resolution of 5 km: the cloud-resolving storm simulator, the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) operational nonhydrostatic mesoscale model, and the Weather Re- search and Forecasting Model. Initial and boundary conditions for the control simulation were provided by the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis dataset. Changes between the periods of 1979–2003 and 2075–99 were estimated from climate runs of a 20-km-mesh atmospheric general circulation model, and these changes were added to the initial and boundary conditions of the control simulation to produce the future climate conditions.
    [Show full text]
  • Impact Assessment of Coastal Hazards Due to Future Changes of Tropical Cyclones in the North Pacific Ocean
    Weather and Climate Extremes ∎ (∎∎∎∎) ∎∎∎–∎∎∎ Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Weather and Climate Extremes journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/wace Impact assessment of coastal hazards due to future changes of tropical cyclones in the North Pacific Ocean Nobuhito Mori n, Tetsuya Takemi Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji, Kyoto, Japan article info abstract Article history: Tropical cyclones generate severe hazards in the middle latitudes. A brief review and applications of Received 13 July 2015 dynamical and statistical downscaling of tropical cyclone (TC) are described targeting extreme storm Received in revised form surge and storm wave hazard assessment. First, a review of the current understanding of the changes in 10 September 2015 the characteristics of TCs in the past and in the future is shown. Then, a review and ongoing research Accepted 17 September 2015 about impact assessment of tropical cyclones both dynamical downscaling and statistical model are described for Typhoon Vera in 1959 and Typhoon Haiyan in 2013. Finally, several examples of impact Keywords: assessment of storm surge and extreme wave changes are presented. Changes in both TC intensity and Climate change track are linked to future changes in extreme storm surge and wave climate in middle latitude. Tropical cyclones & 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license Downscaling (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Impact assessment Coastal hazards 1. Introduction long-term projections of TCs under climate change are also im- portant. Global warming in the future is expected to affect the Tropical cyclones (TCs) are one of the major meteorological characteristics of TCs, in particular their frequency, intensity, and hazards as a cause of flooding, landslides, damaging winds, high track.
    [Show full text]
  • Storm Surge Inundation Analysis with Consideration of Building Shape and Layout at Ise Bay by Maximum Potential Typhoon
    Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Article Storm Surge Inundation Analysis with Consideration of Building Shape and Layout at Ise Bay by Maximum Potential Typhoon Masaki Nimura 1,*, Shuzo Nishida 2, Koji Kawasaki 1,2,3,4, Tomokazu Murakami 5 and Shinya Shimokawa 5 1 Hydro Technology Institute, Co., Ltd., Nakanoshima, Osaka 530-6126, Japan; [email protected] 2 Department of Civil Engineering, Osaka University, Osaka 565-0871, Japan; [email protected] 3 Department of Urban Design and Engineering, Osaka City University, Osaka 558-8585, Japan 4 Department of Civil Engineering, Meijo University, Nagoya 468-8502, Japan 5 National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba 305-0006, Japan; [email protected] (T.M.); [email protected] (S.S.) * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 10 November 2020; Accepted: 8 December 2020; Published: 15 December 2020 Abstract: Global warming is feared to cause sea-level rise and intensification of typhoons, and these changes will lead to an increase in storm surge levels. For that reason, it is essential to predict the inundation areas for the maximum potential typhoon and evaluate the disaster mitigation effect of seawalls. In this study, we analyzed storm surge inundation of the inner part of Ise Bay (coast of Aichi and Mie Prefecture, Japan) due to the maximum potential typhoon in the future climate with global warming. In the analysis, a high-resolution topographical model was constructed considering buildings’ shape and arrangement and investigated the inundation process inside the seawall in detail. The results showed that buildings strongly influence the storm surge inundation process inside the seawall, and a high-velocity current is generated in some areas.
    [Show full text]
  • Significant Data on Major Disasters Worldwide, 1900-Present
    DISASTER HISTORY Signi ficant Data on Major Disasters Worldwide, 1900 - Present Prepared for the Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Agency for International Developnent Washington, D.C. 20523 Labat-Anderson Incorporated Arlington, Virginia 22201 Under Contract AID/PDC-0000-C-00-8153 INTRODUCTION The OFDA Disaster History provides information on major disasters uhich have occurred around the world since 1900. Informtion is mare complete on events since 1964 - the year the Office of Fore8jn Disaster Assistance was created - and includes details on all disasters to nhich the Office responded with assistance. No records are kept on disasters uhich occurred within the United States and its territories.* All OFDA 'declared' disasters are included - i.e., all those in uhich the Chief of the U.S. Diplmtic Mission in an affected country determined that a disaster exfsted uhich warranted U.S. govermnt response. OFDA is charged with responsibility for coordinating all USG foreign disaster relief. Significant anon-declared' disasters are also included in the History based on the following criteria: o Earthquake and volcano disasters are included if tbe mmber of people killed is at least six, or the total nmber uilled and injured is 25 or more, or at least 1,000 people art affect&, or damage is $1 million or more. o mather disasters except draught (flood, storm, cyclone, typhoon, landslide, heat wave, cold wave, etc.) are included if the drof people killed and injured totals at least 50, or 1,000 or mre are homeless or affected, or damage Is at least S1 mi 1l ion. o Drought disasters are included if the nunber affected is substantial.
    [Show full text]