Report A The Baseline Report
ON THE OUTCOMES AND INDICATORS FOR ARDS AND NORTH DOWN’s COMMUNITY PLAN
December 2016
NB: The statistical baseline is constantly evolving and this report will be reviewed and updated as new data is made available.
This baseline report provides a summary of some of the key statistics and quantitative evidence that has been gathered, and analysed, to support the development of the outcomes and indicators for the Big Plan for Ards and North Down
The Big Plan for Ards and North Down Baseline Report
What is a Community Plan? Ards and North Down’s Community Plan is a document setting out future aspirations for the people who live, work and visit in the Ards and North Down Area. We have called our Community Plan “The Big Plan for Ards and North Down”. This is because it is ambitious and takes a holistic approach to what we want to achieve for everyone in Ards and North Down by 2030. The Big Plan does not worry about which organisation is responsible for which public service, instead it concentrates on the result or outcome we want to achieve. Implementing The Big Plan will involve developing action plans that focus on how to improve the indicators and outcomes identified via the Big Conversation.
The draft Big Plan can be viewed on the Council’s website.
About this report Throughout the community planning process, we have collated and identified a wide range of evidence to help assess the issues that are most relevant to the people of Ards and North Down. We have gathered information from community planning partners, Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA), central government departments and other stakeholder organisations. This report contains a summary of the key statistics and focuses on data that will help us to monitor the impact of the Big Plan and the work undertaken to achieve the outcomes.
This report is part of a collection of other documents which have been written in support of the consultation document on the community plan. All reports are available as hard copies (using the contact details below) or can be downloaded from www.ardsandnorthdown.gov.uk/community-planning
For more information on The Big Plan for Ards and North Down, please contact: Community Planning Ards and North Down Borough Council Town Hall The Castle Bangor BT20 4BT
Or by e-mailing [email protected]
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CONTENTS
Part ONE: About our Borough Ards and North Down Pg. 7 Who are our citizens and where do they live? Pg. 8-10 An age profile of Ards and North Down’s residents Pg. 11-12 Our population in the past and future projections Pg. 13-14
Part TWO: About the Big Plan for Ards and North Down Outcomes, indicators and baseline report Pg. 15-16
Part THREE: Our statistical baseline Outcome 1 – Indicators and supporting data Pg. 17-24 Outcome 2 – Indicators and supporting data Pg. 25-27 Outcome 3 – Indicators and supporting data Pg. 28-34 Outcome 4 – Indicators and supporting data Pg. 35-42 Outcome 5 – Indicators and supporting data Pg. 43-50
Part FOUR: The next steps Limitations of the statistical baseline Pg. 51 Monitoring and reporting of progress Pg. 51
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Figures
1: Map of Ards and North Down Pg. 7 2: Population Pyramid for Ards and North Down by Sex (2014) Pg. 11 3: Population Pyramid for Ards and North Down by Sex (2039) Pg. 12 4: Ards and North Down Population Projections from 2014 to 2039 Pg. 14 5: Percentage Population Projections from 2014 to 2039 Pg. 14 6: Percentage gap between school leavers entitled to FSM and those not entitled achieving 5+ GCSEs A*-C 2012-2015 Pg. 17 7: Attendance rates by free school mean eligibility Pg. 18 8: Care leavers aged 16-18 highest qualification achieved by HSC Trust (2014/15) Pg. 18 9: Percentage of children living in absolute low income poverty after household costs Pg. 20 10: Rate of looked after children per 10,000 child population Pg. 20 11: Under 17 teenage birth rate per 1,000 females Pg. 22 12: Areas of Ards and North Down sorted by proportion of mothers who reported smoking during their pregnancy 2015/16 financial year Pg. 23 13: Percentage of further education enrolments Pg. 24 14: Preventable deaths: Ards and North Down Pg. 25 15: All recorded crime in Ards and North Down from 2001-2014 compared to the Northern Ireland average during that period Pg. 28 16: Rate per 1,000 population of young people aged 10-17 involved with Youth Justice Services by LGD from 2008 to 2014 Pg. 29 17: Road Traffic Collision Casualties by Severity of Injury by LGD from 2012 to 2015 Pg. 30 18: Percentage of people who feel safe in their community Pg. 33 19: Percentage of people who feel they have an influence over local decision making Pg. 34 20: VAT and PAYE registered businesses 2014 Pg. 35 21: Invest NI start-ups 2010-2014 Pg. 36 22: Gross value added 2013 Pg. 36 23: Economic activity rate 2009-2014 Pg. 37 24: Map of Expenditure (£m) on Overnight Trips by Local Government District, 2015 Pg. 38 25: Map of overnight trips by Local Government District 2015 Pg. 39
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26: Tourism expenditure 2015 Pg. 40 27: North Down Museum visitor numbers 2011-2016 Pg. 40 28: Highest level of qualifications of those aged 16 and over in Ards and North Down and in Northern Ireland as a whole in 2011 Pg. 41 29: Qualification of working age population 2009-2014 Pg. 42 30: Social rented sector waiting lists by LGD 2014-15 Pg. 43 31: Households with home broadband access 2013-2015 Pg. 45 32: Superfast broadband coverage and average download speed in North Down Pg. 46 33: Superfast broadband coverage and average download speed in Strangford Pg. 47 35: Geographical spread of postcodes requiring improvements Pg. 48 35: Local Authority collected waste per household by LGD 2015-2016 Pg. 49 36: Waste sent to landfill 2015-2016 Pg. 50 37: Waste used for energy recovery 2015-2016 Pg. 50
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Tables
1: Census headcount on 27 March, 2011 by new LGD Pg. 8 2: Headcount from 2011 Census by District Electoral Area (DEA) Pg. 8 3: The 2011 census population count within settlement development Pg. 10 4: The Ards and North Down Borough Council Area - components of population change for mid-year estimates from 2001 to 2014 Pg. 13 5: The outcomes and proposed indicators of The Big Plan Pg. 15-16 6: Children Looked After per 10,000 Population Aged Under 18 Years at 31 March (2012 - 2016) Pg. 20 7: Five-year rolling average proportion of babies born at low birth weight by LGD from 2005-09 to 2009-13 Pg. 21 8: Under 17 teenage birth rate per 1,000 by LGD from 2008- 2012 Pg. 21 9: number of premature and preventable deaths between 2006-2012 and the gap between the most deprived and the borough overall Pg. 25 10: Admission rate for self-harm - gap between the most deprived areas in Ards and North Down and Northern Ireland as a whole Pg. 26 11: Standardised three-year rolling average hospital admission rates for alcohol related causes per 100,000 populations by LGD from 2006-08 to 2010-12 Pg. 26 12: The gap between the most deprived areas and Ards and North Down as a whole for Admissions for drug related mental health and behavioural disorders Pg. 26 13: The gap in life expectancy for male and females in the most deprived areas and the borough overall Pg. 27 14: Anti-social behaviour incidents recorded by LGD from 2008 to 2014 Pg. 29 15: Road Traffic Collision Casualties by Severity of Injury by LGD from 2012 to 2015 Pg. 31 16: Dwelling Fire Incidents per Local Government District from April 2012 to March 2015 Pg. 32 17: Ards and North Down district housing need summary by settlement 2016-2021 Pg. 44
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Part ONE: About our Borough
Ards and North Down Ards and North Down Borough covers 228 square miles and is made up of seven District Electoral Areas: Holywood and Clandeboye, Bangor West, Bangor Central, Bangor East and Donaghadee, Ards Peninsula, Newtownards, and Comber.
With a population of 157,000 in 2015, 8.6% of the Northern Ireland population live here. It comprises a unique mix of urban and rural communities. The largest towns, in order of size, are Bangor (60,000), Newtownards (28,000), Holywood, Comber and Donaghadee and each is in the north of the borough.
The remainder of the population lives mainly in 19 smaller villages – Balloo, Ballygowan, Ballyhalbert, Ballywalter, Carrowdore, Conlig, Cloughey, Crawfordsburn, Greyabbey, Groomsport, Helens Bay, Killinchy, Kircubbin, Lisbane, Millisle, Portaferry, Portavogie, Seahill and Whiterock.
80% of residents live in the northern 25% of our borough meaning that rural isolation is experienced by some communities.
Ards and North Down has a significant length of coastline centred around Strangford Lough and the outer Ards coastal route. These roads are important tourist routes but in recent years have been undermined by coastal erosion and severe weather events.
Ards and North Down is perceived to be an affluent area, and for many people this is a reality. However, inequalities are rife.
Figure 1: Map of Ards and North Down
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Who are our citizens and where do they live? To find out more information about the people who live in Ards and North Down the data gathered via the 2011 Census. The 2011 Census taken on the 27 March, 2011 recorded the number of people living in the area of what was to become the Ards and North Down Borough Council, to be: 156,672, representing 8.7% of the Northern Ireland total headcount and ranking it the fourth largest council in terms of the number of residents. Table 1: Census headcount on 27 March, 2011 by new LGD
Persons % of NI Total Antrim & Newtownabbey 138,567 7.7% Ards & North Down 156,672 8.7% Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon 199,693 11.0% Belfast 333,871 18.4% Causeway Coast & Glens 140,877 7.8% Derry & Strabane 147,720 8.2% Fermanagh & Omagh 113,161 6.2% Lisburn & Castlereagh 134,841 7.4% Mid & East Antrim 135,338 7.5% Mid Ulster 138,590 7.7% Newry, Mourne & Down 171,533 9.5% Northern Ireland 1,810,863 100.0% Source; NISRA, 2011 Census of Population
Table 2: Headcount from 2011 Census by District Electoral Area (DEA)
% of LGD District Electoral Area Persons Total Ards Peninsula 23,524 15.0% Bangor Central 24,892 15.9% Bangor East and Donaghadee 22,946 14.6% Bangor West 18,152 11.6% Comber 18,382 11.7% Holywood and Clandeboye 20,560 13.1% Newtownards 28,216 18.0% Ards & North Down Total 156,672 100.0% Source; NISRA, 2011 Census of Population
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Since 2015, Settlement Development Limits (SDLs) in Northern Ireland with 1,000 or more residents are classified into population bands from A to G. Their distance to services in terms of the length of time it takes to drive to the nearest settlement with at least 10,000 inhabitants has also been calculated.
Table 3 (on page 8), shows the population size of the main settlements and their drive-time distance from services.
Nearly all of the Ards Peninsula, as well as the area south of Comber and around Ballygowan fell outside the 20-minute drive time limit to the nearest settlement of 10,000+ population. Most of the lower half of the Ards Peninsula also fell outside the 30-minute drive time zone. In 2011, three quarters (74.3%) of the Ards and North Down resident population lived within one of five urban settlements containing 5,000 or more residents. The largest of these was the town of Bangor with 61,401 residents and the smallest was Donaghadee with 6,869 residents. A further 12.0% of the Ards and North Down population lived within one of eleven rural settlements inhabited by between 1,000 and 4,999 residents. The largest of these was Ballygowan with a population of 2,957 and the smallest was Seahill with a population of 1,018. The remaining 13.7% of the Ards and North Down population (21,463) residents lived in either very small settlements of less than 1,000 people or in open countryside.
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Table 3: The 2011 census population count within settlement development limits for the former Ards Borough Council and North Down Borough Council areas by SDL classification and drive-times to the nearest settlement having a population of at least 10,000 people. SDLs 2011 % of 20 Minute 30 Minute Census Total Drive- Drive- Population Population time time Ards Borough 78,078 49.7% - - North DownCouncil Council 78,937 50.3% - - Total population 157,015 100.0% - - Band C - Large Town Bangor 61,401 39.1% - - (population 18,000+) Newtownards 28,039 17.9% - - Total for Band C 89,440 57.0% - - Band D - Medium Town Holywood 11,332 7.2% - - (population 10,000 - 17,999) Total for Band D 11,332 7.2% - -
Band E - Small Town Comber 9,078 5.8% Y Y (population 5,000 - 9,999) Donaghadee 6,869 4.4% Y Y Total for Band E 15,947 10.2% - - Default Urban/Rural Split Total for Bands A- 116,719 74.3% - - (Population 5,000+) E (Urban) Band F - Intermediate Ballygowan 2,957 1.9% N Y Settlement (population Portaferry 2,514 1.6% N Y 2,500 - 4,999) Total for Band F 5,471 3.5% - - Band G - Village (population Millisle 2,318 1.5% Y Y 1,000 - 2,499) Portavogie 2,122 1.4% N N Ballywalter 2,027 1.3% N Y Helen's Bay 1,390 0.9% Y Y Groomsport 1,233 0.8% Y Y Kircubbin 1,153 0.7% N Y Cloughey 1,075 0.7% N N Ballyhalbert 1,026 0.7% N N Seahill 1,018 0.6% Y Y Total for Band G 13,362 8.5% - - Band H – (populations of Total for Band H 21,463 13.7% - - less than 1,000 and open countryside) Default Rural Settlements Total for Bands F – 18,833 12.0% (Bands F – G) G (Rural Settlements) Default Rural Settlements Total for Bands F-H 40,296 25.7% - - (Bands F – G) plus Band H (All Rural) Bands A – D Total Total for Bands A- 100,772 64.2% - - (population 10,000+) D Bands E – G Total Total for Bands E- 34,780 22.2% - - (population 1,000 To 9,999) G Total A – G (population Total for Bands A- 135,552 86.3% - - 1,000+) G
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An age profile of Ards and North Down’s residents The population of the Ards and North Down Borough Council area at 30 June, 2014 was estimated to be 157,931 persons, which represented 8.6% of the Northern Ireland total. Currently, 18.9% are aged 0-15, 61.6% were of working age (16-64), and 19.6% were aged 65+. Those aged 85+ made up 2.4% of the Ards and North Down population. Between 2001 and 2014 the population of Ards and North Down increased by 5.6% (8,372 people), ranking it the third lowest increase out of the eleven councils. Figure 2: Population Pyramid for Ards and North Down – 5-Year Age Bands by Sex (2014)
Source; NISRA, Mid-Year Population Estimates
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Figure 3: Population Pyramid for Ards and North Down – 5-Year Age Bands by Sex (2039)
Figure S.2: Projected Population Pyramid for Ards and North Down - 5 Year Age Band Age Bands by Sex (2039) Females 90+ 85-89 Males 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0,000 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Persons
Source; NISRA, Mid-Year Population Estimates The clear difference in the two population pyramids is due to the projection of an ageing population for Ards and North Down. The projection is that the most populated age bracket in Ards and North Down in 2039 will be 70-74.
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Our population in the past and future projections
Table 4: The Ards and North Down Borough Council Area - components of population change for mid-year estimates from 2001 to 2014 Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Start 149,559 150,198 150,424 150,912 152,233 153,488 154,406 155,014 156,058 156,518 156,943 157,637 157,640 population
Births 1,593 1,673 1,718 1,733 1,708 1,820 1,906 1,842 1,824 1,835 1,853 1,757 1,734 Deaths -1,409 -1,395 -1,473 -1,448 -1,392 -1,443 -1,503 -1,390 -1,414 -1,409 -1,404 -1,491 -1,391 Natural 184 278 245 285 316 377 403 452 410 426 449 266 343 change
Net 669 104 465 1,261 1,205 867 436 602 233 158 365 -109 382 migration
Other -214 -156 -222 -225 -266 -326 -231 -10 -183 -159 -120 -154 -434 changes
Overall net 639 226 488 1,321 1,255 918 608 1,044 460 425 694 3 291 change
End population 150,198 150,424 150,912 152,233 153,488 154,406 155,014 156,058 156,518 156,943 157,637 157,640 157,931 Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- Mid- 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source; NISRA, Mid-Year Population Estimates
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Figure 4: Ards and North Down – 2014 Based Population Projections from 2014 to 2039
Source; NISRA, Mid-Year Population Projections
The Population of Ards and North Down is expected to increase steadily from around 158,000 residents in 2014 to around 163,000 residents by 2030. However, the population is expected to peak by 2030 and then to continue on a gradual decline, falling to just under 162,000 residents by 2039.
Figure 5: Percentage Population Change from 2014 Baseline using Population Projections from 2014 to 2039
Source; NISRA, Mid-Year Population Projections The population of Northern Ireland however is projected to experience growth up to and beyond 2039, with a 10% rise on the current population expected by 2039.
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Part TWO: About the Big Plan for Ards and North Down
The Big Plan has a vision and aspiration where
“Ards and North Down is a vibrant, connected, healthy, safe and prosperous place to be”
The plan is supported by an overarching ambition to have more empowered, resilient individuals and communities, to reduce inequalities, promote good relations and sustainability and improve the quality and accessibility of all public services. The Big Plan is centred on five high-level outcomes that describe the experience and conditions of wellbeing we want to achieve for all people who live in Ards and North Down by 2030. Indicators are identified within The Big Plan, and their existing performance is set out in this report. The indicators selected will be used to measure progress towards the outcomes.
Table 5: The outcomes and proposed indicators of The Big Plan
All people in We will work towards this We will know if we are making Ards and North outcome by a difference by monitoring Down 1 Fulfil their Making Ards and North Looked after children still in lifelong Down a great place of education, training or potential children and young people employment to grow up, people to grow Babies born at low birth weight old and where it is easy to People engaged in further acquire the skills for education learning, life and work Gap between attainment of school leavers and school leaver who receive free school meals 2 Enjoy good Empowering people to take Attendance and admission to health and control of their personal hospital for self-harm, drugs and wellbeing wellbeing, making better life alcohol choices and increasing Preventable deaths opportunities for people of Participation in physical activity all ages and demographics Gap in life expectancy across to adopt more active Borough lifestyles 3 Live in Increasing the amount of Recorded crime and anti-social communities shared spaces, developing behaviour where they greater respect among Road accidents are communities and cultures, Accidental dwelling fires respects, and ensuring people are People who feel safe are safe and safe in their homes, within People who feel they have a say feel safe their community and in all in local decision making public spaces
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4 Benefit from Addressing deprivation and VAT and PAYE registered a ensuring people have the businesses prosperous financial resources to meet Gross value added of economy their everyday needs, businesses alongside growing a Economic activity rate sustainable economy with a Expenditure by tourists skilled workforce, increased Skills level of population job opportunities and effective economic investment 5 Take pride Improving the quality of the Unmet housing need in having physical and digital Broadband provision access to a environment by increasing Length of greenways, walking high quality connectivity, meeting routes, canoe trails and cycle sustainable people’s housing and paths environment transport needs, and Recycling and composting rate enriching people’s access Accessibility to green space in and enjoyment to natural urban locations and heritage spaces
Community planning partners worked together to identify the most appropriate high- level indicators that will help us to assess if the actions implemented (to be agreed by mid-2017) are impacting on the outcomes. While The Big Plan focuses on 25 headline indicators, monitoring the effectiveness of the Plan will require us to track a much larger range of sub-indicators.
Outcomes, indicators and the baseline report Significant work has been undertaken to gather a wider range of statistical data for Ards and North Down. This report contains some of the key issues that have been identified and the remainder of this documents reports the most relevant statistics against the most relevant outcome as identified in The Big Plan for Ards and North Down.
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Part THREE: Our statistical baseline
Outcome 1: All people in Ards and North Down Fulfil their potential We will work towards this outcome by making Ards and North Down a great place for children and young people to grow up, people to grow old, and where it is easy to acquire the skills for learning, life and work.
Proposed High-level Indicators 1. Gap between % of school leavers and % of FSME school leavers achieving at level 2 or above including English and maths 2. Outcomes for care leavers 3. Proportion of babies born at low birth weight 4. Number of people of difference ages engaging with further education
High-level indicator 1: Figure 6: Percentage gap between school leavers in Ards and North Down entitled to FSM and those not entitled achieving 5+ GCSEs A*-C (including equivalents) including GCSE English and maths, 2012-2015
Gap between school leavers entitled to FSM and not entitled achieving 5+ GCSEs A*-C (including equivalents) including GCSE English and maths, 2012-2015 80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0 41.7 39.3 41.6 34.9 33.6 32.4 30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Entitled Not Entitled NI Gap Ards and North Down Gap
The gap in GSCE or equivalent attainment for those entitled to free school meals and those not entitled is greater in Ards and North Down than the Northern Ireland average and has been for the past three years. This indicates that Ards and North Down experiences greater educational inequality than what would be anticipated for a council borough in Northern Ireland.
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Supporting data for high-level indicator 1: Figure 7: Attendance rates by free school mean eligibility
2014/2015 Attendance Rates by Free School Meal Eligibility
Ards and North Down Newry, Mourne and Down Mid Ulster Mid and East Antrim Lisburn and Castlereagh Fermanagh and Omagh Derry City and Strabane Causeway Coast and Glens Belfast Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon Antrim and Newtownabbey
84 86 88 90 92 94 96 Pupils eligible for free school meals Pupils not eligible for free school meals
High-level indicator 2:
Figure 8: Care leavers aged 16-18 - Highest qualification achieved by HSC Trust (2014/15) Care leavers aged 16-18 - Highest qualification achieved by HSC Trust (2014/15)
Western 80% 20%
Southern 79% 21%
South Eastern 63% 37%
Northern 78% 22%
Belfast 69% 31%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% GCSE's or other qualifications No Qualifications In 2014/15, care leavers in the South Eastern health trust were most likely to have no qualifications, with 37% having no qualifications.
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Supporting data for high-level indicator 2:
Figure 9: Percentage of children living in absolute low income poverty after household costs
Percentage of children living in absolute low income poverty after household costs
35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2005/08 2006/09 2007/10 2008/11 2009/12 2010/13
Ards Down Lisburn North Down NI
In the three years of 2010 to 2013 a higher percentage of children in Ards and North Down were living in absolute low income poverty after household costs than in the previous 8 years. At time of writing, both Ards and North Down have a higher percentage of children living in absolute low poverty than the Northern Ireland average.
Figure 10: Rate of looked after children per 10,000 child population
Rate per 10,000 child population at 31 March 2015 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Belfast HSC Northern HSC South Eastern Southern HSC Western HSC Northern Trust Trust HSC Trust Trust Trust Ireland Children in Need Child Protection Register Looked after Children
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Table 6: Children Looked After per 10,000 Population Aged Under 18 Years at 31 March (2012 - 2016)
Year
31 March 2012 31 March 2013 31 March 2014 31 March 2015 31 March 2016 HSC Trust No. of Per No. of Per No. of Per No. of Per No. of Per Children 10,000 Children 10,000 Children 10,000 Children 10,000 Children 10,000 Under Under Under Under Under 18 Years 18 Years 18 Years 18 Years 18 Years
Belfast 653 87.3 669 89.3 721 95.7 742 99.1 739 97.5
Northern 634 58.2 701 64.5 693 63.8 679 62.5 642 59.1
South Eastern 512 63.5 513 63.5 454 56.3 464 57.4 477 59.1
Southern 420 45.5 456 49.0 467 49.9 470 50.5 477 50.5
Western 425 57.1 468 63.1 523 70.8 520 70.1 555 75.4
Northern 2,644 61.4 2,807 65.0 2,858 66.2 2,875 66.6 2,890 66.7 Ireland
Source: Health and Social Care Board Corporate Parenting Return 10.3.1
“-” cell counts have been suppressed to avoid personal disclosure.
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High- level indicator 3: Table 7: Five-year rolling average proportion of babies born at low birth weight (<2500g) by LGD from 2005-09 to 2009-13
2005-09 2006-10 2007-11 2008-12 2009-13 (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Antrim & Newtownabbey 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.2 Ards & North Down 6.3 6.0 6.2 6.0 6.2 Armagh, Banbridge & 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.0 BelfastCraigavon 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 Causeway Coast & Glens 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.1 Derry & Strabane 6.5 6.5 7.0 6.9 7.0 Fermanagh & Omagh 6.0 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.0 Lisburn & Castlereagh 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.5 Mid & East Antrim 6.7 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.8 Mid Ulster 5.5 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.4 Newry, Mourne & Down 5.5 5.7 5.3 5.5 5.2 Northern Ireland 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 Source; NISRA, NI Health & Social Care Inequalities Monitoring System (HSCIMS)
Supporting data for high-level indicator 3:
Table 8: Under 17 teenage birth rate per 1,000 females by LGD from 2008 to 2012
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Antrim & Newtownabbey 3.55 1.66 5.31 1.41 2.52 Ards & North Down 1.84 2.12 1.60 2.41 2.93 Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon 3.17 3.78 2.26 3.21 3.04 Belfast 4.66 5.35 5.97 3.07 3.87 Causeway Coast & Glens 2.91 2.12 2.64 3.14 1.83 Derry & Strabane 3.34 4.23 3.17 2.73 2.76 Fermanagh & Omagh 1.59 0.32 1.88 0.94 0.32 Lisburn & Castlereagh 3.63 2.81 1.40 1.95 0.28 Mid & East Antrim 2.83 3.08 3.05 1.98 1.99 Mid Ulster 0.50 0.77 1.03 1.57 2.60 Newry, Mourne & Down 2.81 2.02 1.60 0.61 1.03 Northern Ireland 3.01 2.92 2.99 2.21 2.30 Source; NISRA, GRO
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Figure 11: Under 17 teenage birth rate per 1,000 females
Under 17 teenage birth rate per 1,000 females by LGD from 2008 to 2012 3.5
3 3.01 2.92 2.99 2.93
2.5 2.41 2.3 2.21 2.12 2 1.84 1.6 1.5
1
0.5
0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Ards & North Down Northern Ireland
Ards and North Down has seen it’s under 17 teenage birth rate rise from 1.84 per 1000 females in 2008 to 2.93 in 2012. Whilst previously below the NI average, the figures for 2011 and 2012 indicate Ards and North Down now has a higher under 17 birth rate.
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This map is based upon Crown Copyright and is reproduced with the permission of Land & Property Services under delegated authority from the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office, ©Crown copyright and database right 2016 CS&LA156.
Figure 12: Areas of Ards and North Down sorted by proportion of mothers who reported smoking during their pregnancy 2015/16 financial year.
The darker areas of this map represent those areas where the highest percentage of mothers reported smoking during their pregnancy. 44% of mothers in the super output area Clandeboye_1 reported smoking during their pregnancy in the 2015/16 financial year. There is a clear link between the multiple deprivation measure of a locality and the rate of smoking during pregnancy in the area with the most deprived areas seeing higher rates of smoking during pregnancy.
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High- level indicator 4: Figure 13: Percentage of further education enrolments Percentage of Further Education enrolments aged 26+
26.99 26.42 30 22.27 25 18.86 20 15 10 5 0 2013 2014 Northern Ireland Ards and North Down
Ards and North Down borough in 2013 and 2014 had lower Further Education enrolment rates for those aged 26+ than the rest of Northern Ireland. It should be noted that the working age population of Ards and North Down has consistently had a higher rate of those achieving NVQ level 4 and above and this may impact the rate of Further Education enrolments.
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Outcome 2: All people in Ards and North Down enjoy good health and wellbeing We will work towards this outcome by empowering people to take control of their personal wellbeing, make better life choices and increasing opportunities for people of all ages and demographics to adopt more active lifestyles.
Proposed High-level Indicators 5. Number of preventable deaths per 100,000 population 6. Attendance and admission to hospital for self-harm 7. Attendance and admission to hospital for drugs and alcohol 8. % of people who are physically active on at least three occasions per week 9. Gap in life expectancy between more deprived areas and borough overall
High-level indicator 5:
Figure 14: Preventable deaths: Ards and North Down Standardised Death Rate - Preventable (per 100,000)
300
250 247.35 242.43 238.17 229.67 222.3 200 206.16 200.47 194.62 189.66 184.55 150
100 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011 2008-2012 Northern Ireland Ards and North Down
Note: A death is preventable if, in the light of understanding of the determinants of health at time of death, all or most deaths from that cause (subject to age limits if appropriate) could be avoided by public health interventions in the broadest sense. The population of Ards and North Down can expect better health outcomes than the average for Northern Ireland.
Supporting data for high-level indicator 5:
Table 9: number of premature and preventable deaths between 2006-2012 and the gap between the most deprived and the borough overall.
Premature & Preventable Mortality Potential Years of Life Lost - All (Years Lost per 100 population) 2006-08 2007-09 2008-10 2009-11 2010-12 Most Deprived 12.0 11.8 11.5 11.0 11.2 Ards & North Down LGD 8.5 8.6 8.3 8.0 7.6 Northern Ireland 10.0 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.0 Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 41% 37% 39% 37% 46% Gap: LGD/NI -14% -12% -14% -14% -15%
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High-level indicator 6:
Table 10: Admission rate for self-harm, showing the gap between the most deprived areas in Ards and North Down and Northern Ireland as a whole.
Standardised Admission Rate - Self-harm (Admissions per 100,000 population) 04/05- 05/06- 06/07- 07/08- 08/09- 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 Most Deprived 412 436 467 505 508 Ards & North Down LGD 227 231 242 262 264 Northern Ireland 251 248 250 250 239 Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 82% 89% 93% 93% 92% Gap: LGD/NI -10% -7% -3% 5% 11%
High-level indicator 7:
Table 11: Standardised three-year rolling average hospital admission rates for alcohol related causes per 100,000 populations by LGD from 2006-08 to 2010-12
2006-08 2007-09 2008-10 2009-11 2010-12 Antrim & Newtownabbey 507.1 486.6 463.7 454.9 452.8 Ards & North Down 473.8 550.0 608.5 641.1 678.2 Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon 574.1 647.4 667.1 642.8 612.2 Belfast 1,041.6 1,084.9 1,063.0 1,066.7 1,084.5 Causeway Coast & Glens 381.8 392.4 375.7 392.1 395.6 Derry & Strabane 905.8 956.8 989.8 1,037.1 1,067.2 Fermanagh & Omagh 450.3 429.7 494.5 572.7 677.1 Lisburn & Castlereagh 353.8 386.4 417.7 409.4 434.6 Mid & East Antrim 468.9 469.8 471.5 440.9 426.9 Mid Ulster 629.1 602.6 556.7 529.2 492.6 Newry, Mourne & Down 679.6 685.7 679.4 667.4 698.9 Northern Ireland 634.9 660.1 665.4 669.2 682.7 Source; NISRA, Department of Health
In Ards and North Down there has been a steady increase in the number of alcohol admissions for people who live here.
Table 12: The gap between the most deprived areas and Ards and North Down as a whole for Admissions for drug related mental health and behavioural disorders.
Standardised Admission Rate - Drugs related mental health and behavioural disorders (Admissions per 100,000 pop) 06/07- 07/08- 08/09- 09/10- 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 10/11-12/13 Most Deprived 381 485 539 552 535 Ards & North Down LGD 221 262 292 295 287 Northern Ireland 264 273 269 262 261 Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 72% 85% 84% 87% 86% Gap: LGD/NI -16% -4% 9% 12% 10%
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High-level indicator 8:
Still exploring physical activity levels, indicator under development.
High-level indicator 9:
Table 13: The gap in life expectancy for male and females in the most deprived areas and the borough overall.
Life Expectancy
Life Expectancy at birth - Male (years)
2006-08 2007-09 2008-10 2009-11 2010-12
Most Deprived 74.8 74.9 75.5 75.7 75.9
Ards & North Down LGD 77.8 77.8 78.3 78.4 78.9
Northern Ireland 76.3 76.7 77.0 77.4 77.7
Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.0
Gap: LGD/NI -1.5 -1.1 -1.3 -0.9 -1.2
Life Expectancy at birth - Female (years)
2006-08 2007-09 2008-10 2009-11 2010-12
Most Deprived 80.6 80.6 80.6 80.8 80.5
Ards & North Down LGD 81.9 81.9 82.0 82.6 82.7
Northern Ireland 81.2 81.3 81.4 81.9 82.1
Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1
Gap: LGD/NI -0.7 -0.6 -0.6 -0.7 -0.5
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Outcome 3: All people in Ards and North Down live in communities where they are respected, are safe and feel safe We will work towards this outcome by increasing the amount of quality shared spaces, developing greater respect among communities and cultures, and ensuring people are safe in their homes, within their community and in all public spaces.
Proposed High-level Indicators 10. Amount of recorded crime 11. Anti-social behaviour incidents 12. Road accident casualties per 10k of the population 13. Number of accidental dwelling fires 14. % of population who feel safe in their community 15. Level of influence people feel they have over local decision making
High-level indicator 10:
Figure 15: All recorded crime in Ards and North Down from 2001-2014 compared to the Northern Ireland average during that period. All Recorded Crime - Ards & North Down and NI LGD average 2001 - 2014 25,000 12,708 11,632 20,000 10,739 11,013 9,861 9,922 9,552 15,000 9,399 10,927 10,817 9,355 10,000 8,138 8,275 8,085 6,817 6,249 6,347 6,175 6,005 5,760 6,041 5,000
0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Ards and North Down NI LGD Average
Ards and North Down has seen a significant fall in the level of recorded crime from 2001. The crime rate has remained relatively constant in the borough during the last 5 years. This follows a similar trend for the rest of Northern Ireland. The number of recorded crime incidents in Ards and North Down Borough is significantly lower than the average for a council area in Northern Ireland, despite having the fourth largest population of any council district.
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Figure 16: Rate per 1,000 population of young people aged 10-17 involved with Youth Justice Services by LGD from 2008 to 2014. Rate per 1,000 population of young people aged 10-17 involved with Youth Justice Services from 2008 to 2014 7.5 7 6.9 6.5 6.4 6 6 5.8 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.4 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Ards & North Down Northern Ireland The number of young people aged 10-17 involved with Youth Justice Services in Ards and North Down has fallen from 6.9 per 1000 in 2008 to 5.4 in 2014, however this remains above the Northern Ireland average.
High-level indicator 11: Table 14: Anti-social behaviour incidents recorded by LGD from 2008 to 2014
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Antrim & Newtownabbey 6,499 6,589 6,102 4,522 4,701 4,157 4,476 Ards & North Down 6,041 5,524 5,262 5,135 5,025 5,115 5,462 Armagh, Banbridge & 7,805 6,808 6,318 5,317 5,606 5,393 5,789 BelfastCraigavon 23,968 23,179 22,788 18,710 19,255 19,096 18,267 Causeway Coast & Glens 6,925 6,439 5,942 5,174 5,469 4,149 3,994 Derry & Strabane 7,357 7,144 7,280 5,928 6,596 5,376 5,077 Fermanagh & Omagh 3,886 3,600 3,415 3,146 3,358 3,018 2,841 Lisburn & Castlereagh 4,843 4,466 4,407 3,452 3,126 3,142 3,430 Mid & East Antrim 6,386 5,905 5,473 4,600 4,070 3,583 3,783 Mid Ulster 4,643 4,578 4,448 3,819 3,752 3,352 3,303 Newry, Mourne & Down 6,817 5,951 5,512 4,378 4,399 4,325 4,560 Northern Ireland 85,171 80,183 76,947 64,184 65,357 60,706 60,982 Source; NISRA, PSNI
The borough of Ards and North Down has seen incidents of anti-social behaviour remain relatively constant over the 6 years up to and including 2014. The borough experiences on average 5,300 such incidents each year. The rest of Northern Ireland however has seen a significant fall in the number of anti-social behaviour incidents overall with 85,171 incidents in 2008 and 60,982 in 2014.
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High-level indicator 12:
Figure 17: Road Traffic Collision Casualties by Severity of Injury by LGD from 2012 to 2015
Road Traffic Casualties Ards & North Down 2012 -2015 250
200 49.4 150 50.2 51 52.6 50.1 41 100 38.8 44.5 54 46 52 45 50
47 43 37 40 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Northern Ireland Casualties per 10k Ards & North Down Casualties per 10k population Number Seriously injured Number of Serious Collisions
Ards and North Down has experienced fewer road traffic casualties than the average for a borough in Northern Ireland and there has been a decrease in the number of serious collisions from 47 in 2012 to 40 in 2015.
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Table 15: Road Traffic Collision Casualties by Severity of Injury by LGD from 2012 to 2015
2012 2013 Fatal Serious Killed Seriously Casualties Fatal Serious Killed Seriously Casualties per Collision Collision injured per 10k pop. Collision Collision injured 10k pop. Antrim & Newtownabbey 5 49 5 53 45.1 5 29 5 36 47.7 Ards & North Down 1 47 1 54 50.1 4 43 4 46 38.8 Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon 7 76 7 95 40.6 6 69 6 79 45.5 Belfast 3 141 3 150 68.2 2 121 2 136 66.7 Causeway Coast & Glens 2 58 2 77 39.5 4 59 5 67 46.6 Derry & Strabane 2 43 2 56 46.2 4 37 4 46 49.7 Fermanagh & Omagh 5 44 7 59 44.2 10 47 11 66 49.1 Lisburn & Castlereagh 5 60 5 68 56.2 2 56 2 62 59.1 Mid & East Antrim 5 40 5 47 40.9 9 55 9 64 41.7 Mid Ulster 6 43 7 61 42.0 6 39 6 49 39.5 Newry, Mourne & Down 4 68 4 75 48.1 3 60 3 69 49.0 Northern Ireland 45 669 48 795 49.4 55 615 57 720 50.2
2014 2015 Fatal Serious Killed Seriously Casualties Fatal Serious Killed Seriously Casualties per Collision Collision injured per 10k pop. Collision Collision injured 10k pop. Antrim & Newtownabbey 2 39 2 43 51.9 6 38 6 45 53.3 Ards & North Down 4 37 4 52 41.0 5 40 5 45 44.5 Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon 7 70 7 76 43.1 7 77 9 95 43.3 Belfast 6 95 7 106 70.3 6 96 6 115 72.4 Causeway Coast & Glens 9 53 9 73 45.0 7 48 8 58 41.1 Derry & Strabane 5 45 5 64 47.1 3 31 4 35 45.1 Fermanagh & Omagh 11 34 11 46 48.4 8 35 8 44 52.9 Lisburn & Castlereagh 8 48 8 57 55.4 5 48 5 63 66.4 Mid & East Antrim 3 35 4 46 45.4 6 48 6 62 42.8 Mid Ulster 6 44 7 53 42.4 9 44 9 69 46.8 Newry, Mourne & Down 13 77 15 94 49.3 7 65 8 80 49.1 Northern Ireland 74 577 79 710 51.0 69 570 74 711 52.6 Source; NISRA, PSNI
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High-level indicator 13:
Number of Accidental Dwelling Fires: The summary table below shows the number of Dwelling Fire Incidents per Local Government District from April 2012 to March 2015 (Highest to Lowest).
Table 16: Dwelling Fire Incidents per Local Government District from April 2012 to March 2015
DWELLING FIRES Total
Belfast 948 Derry and Strabane 350 Armagh Banbridge and Craigavon 334 Newry Mourne and Down 292 Ards and North Down 278 Causeway Coast and Glens 262
Antrim and Newtownabbey 261 Mid and East Antrim 236 Mid Ulster 211 Lisburn and Castlereagh 190 Fermanagh and Omagh 185
*April 2012 - March 2015
278 dwelling fires in Ards and North Down equated to 3.96 fires per 1000 residential properties over the same period of April 2012 to March 2015. This was below the Northern Ireland average of 4.35 fires per 1000 residential properties over the same period.
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High-level indicator 14:
Figure 18: Percentage of people who feel safe in their community
I feel safe in my community and don't worry about crime/anti-social behaviour
Agree 2% Disagree
Not Answered 42% 56%
In our 2016 survey for the Big Conversation, 56% of residents agreed that they felt safe in their community and don’t worry about crime or anti-social behaviour; 42% disagreed.
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High-level indicator 15:
Figure 19: Percentage of people who feel they have an influence over local decision making
Do you feel that you have any influence when it comes to decisions in ards and north down?
6%
1% 22% Yes, definitely 39% Yes, probably Probably not
33% Definitely not Don’t know
In the Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey of 2013-14, the majority of people in Ards and North Down Borough felt either they definitely had not or probably not had any influence when it comes to decisions in the borough. It should be noted that the numbers of respondents in the Life and Times survey for Ards and North Down was only enough to give a limited confidence rate in how accurately the responses reflected the population of Ards and North Down. Specifically, the survey responses had a confidence level of 90% and a margin of error of 6%. That is to say, when 22% say ‘Yes, probably’, then 9 out of ten times the people of Ards and North Down will answer between 16% and 28%.
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Outcome 4: All people in Ards and North Down benefit from a prosperous economy We will work towards this outcome by addressing deprivation and ensuring people have the financial resources to meet their everyday needs, alongside growing a sustainable economy with a skilled workforce, increased job opportunities and effective economic investment
Proposed High-level Indicators 16. Number of VAT and PAYE registered businesses 17. Gross value added of businesses 18. Economic activity rate (16-64 year olds) 19. Annual amount of expenditure by tourists 20. Skills level of the population (level 0,1,2,3,4,5)
High-level indicator 16: Figure 20: VAT and PAYE registered businesses 2014
VAT and/or PAYE registered businesses in Ards and North Down 590 2014 600 555
500 445 455
400 370 315 300 270 230 210 200 160 165 170 120 95 80 100 55
0
Agriculture, forestry and fishing is the sector with the most VAT and/or PAYE registered businesses in Ards and North Down in 2014.
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Supporting data for high-level indicator 16:
Figure 21: Invest NI start-ups 2010-2014.
Number of Invest NI Assisted Start-Ups per 10,000 population by LGD from 2010-2014
30 25 20 16.5 15 15.8 14.8 10 11.3 5 4.8 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Ards & North Down Northern Ireland
After a dip in 2012 of 4.8 start ups per 10,000 of the population, Invest NI assisted 14.8 such start-ups in 2014 in Ards and North Down. This figure remains, and has been since 2010, below the Northern Ireland average for a council district.
High-level indicator 17:
Figure 22: Gross value added 2013.
Gross Value Added Per Head (Work-place based) (2013)
£36,618 £40,000 £32,184 £35,000 £30,408 £30,000 £25,057 £25,000 £20,000 £15,000 £10,000 £5,000 £0 Ards and North Lisburn and Newry, Mourne Northern Down Castlereagh and Down Ireland
Gross value added (GVA) is the measure of the value of goods and services produced in an area, industry or sector of an economy. Business population is defined here by the Annual Business Inquiry which only covers the non-financial business economy and excludes Financial/Public Services sectors.
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High-level indicator 18:
Figure 23: Economic activity rate 2009-2014.
Economic Activity and Employment Rate of Working Age Population 78% 76% 76.2% 74.6% 74% 74.1% 73.5% 73.8% 73.0% 72% 70% 70.4% 69.8% 69.5% 69.8% 68.8% 68% 66% 66.4% 64% 62% 60% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Ards and N.Down Economic Activity Rest of Ni Economic Activity Ards and N.Down Employment Rate Rest of NI Employment
The economic activity rate of those aged 16-64 in Ards and North down rose from 73.5% in 2009 to 76.2% in 2014. The employment rate of the same age group in Ards and North Down also seen a rise in the same period, from 69.8% to 73.8%. Ards and North Down had the highest economic activity rate of those aged 16-64 of any district council in 2015. It also had the highest employment rate of those aged 16-64 of any local council area in 2014.
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High-level indicator 19:
Figure 24: Map of Expenditure (£m) on Overnight Trips by Local Government District, 2015.
In terms of overnight expenditure, Ards and North Down ranks fourth out of 11 district councils with £51 million spent in 2015. Pickie Fun Park and the Ulster Folk and Transport Museum were the most popular visitor attractions in Ards and North Down LGD in 2014 (excludes country parks/parks/forests).
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Supporting data for high-level indicator 19:
Figure 25: Map of overnight trips by Local Government District 2015.
377,000 overnight trips were made to Ards and North Down in 2015. Only Newry, Mourne and Down, Causeway Coast and Glens and Belfast ranked higher in this aspect of tourism.
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Figure 26: Tourism expenditure 2015.
Tourism Expenditure by location in 2015
£51,013,302
Ards and North Down
Northern Ireland
£760,108,265
Visitors to Ards and North Down spent over £51 million pounds in 2015 which equates to 7% of the total amount spent by tourists across Northern Ireland in 2015. Figure 27: North Down Museum visitor numbers 2011-2016.
Ards and North Down Museum Visitor Numbers 90,000
80,000 79,865 77,472 77,366
70,000 71,362
60,000 61,368
50,000
40,000
30,000 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014- 2015-16
The Ards and North Down Museum has seen a rise in the number of visitors from 61,368 in 2011-12 to 77,366 in 2015/16.
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High-level indicator 20:
Figure 28: Highest level of qualifications of those aged 16 and over in Ards and North Down and in Northern Ireland as a whole in 2011.
Highest level of qualification of those aged 16+ (Census 2011)
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
Northern Ireland Ards and North Down Those aged 16+ in Ards and North Down are less likely to have no qualifications than those aged 16+ in Northern Ireland generally. Ards and North Down experiences higher qualification rates in every qualification bracket except ‘other qualifications’.
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Supporting data for high-level indicator 20:
Figure 29: Qualification of working age population 2009-2014.
% of Working Age Population Achieving NVQ level 4 and above 38%
36% 35% 34% 34% 32% 31% 30% 29% 29% 28% 27% 26%
24%
22%
20% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Achieved NVQ Level 4 or above Ards and North Down Rest of Northern Ireland
The percentage of the working age population in Ards and North Down achieving at least NVQ Level 4 and above rose from 29% in 2009 to 34% in 2014. Since 2009, Ards and North Down has had a higher percentage of the working age population achieving NVQ level 4 and above than the Northern Ireland average.
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Outcome 5: All people in Ards and North Down take pride in having access to a high quality, sustainable environment
We will work towards this outcome by improving the quality of the physical and digital environment by increasing connectivity, meeting people’s housing and transport needs, and enriching people’s access and enjoyment to natural and heritage spaces.
Proposed High-level Indicators 21. Housing need 22. Broadband provision 23. Length of greenways, walking routes, canoe trails and cycle paths 24. LAC municipal waste prepared for reuse, dry recycling and composting rate 25. No of people in urban areas who live within 1km of quality green space
High-level indicator 22:
Figure 30: Social rented sector waiting lists by Local Government District 2014-15.
Ards and
North Down
Waiting lists
Ards and North Down has a disproportionately high number of people waiting for social rented accommodation.
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Table 17: Ards and North Down district housing need summary by settlement 2016-2021.
Settlement 5 Year Housing Need Calculation 2016 - 21
Main Settlement Newtownards Town 116 Newtownards Centre 81 Newtownards Periphery 35 Local Towns Comber 105 Donaghadee 31 Villages Ballygowan 20 Ballyhalbert 2 Ballywalter 0 Carrowdore 4 Cloughey 1 Greyabbey 0 Killinchy 0 Kircubbin 1 Millisle 14 Portaferry 0 Portavogie 2 Small Settlements Ballydrain 0 Cotton 0 Lisbane 3 Loughries 1
Total 300
Main Settlement – Bangor Urban Bangor Central HNA 174 Bangor East 53 Bloomfield / Balloo HNA 240 Conlig HNA 14 Kilcooley HNA -14* Bangor Urban Total 467
*This is negative due to the over building in a previous year.
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High-level indicator 22:
Figure 31: Households with home broadband access 2013-2015.
Home Broadband Access 2013-2015 (%)
90 81 82 78 76 76 80 75 73 74 73 74 70 66 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Ards and North Down Borough trails only Lisburn and Castlereagh in the provision of home broadband access with 81% of households found to have access in the continuous household survey (2013-2015).
Figures 32 and 33 on the following page show disparities in availability of superfast broadband coverage and download speed across the borough.
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Figure 32: Superfast broadband coverage and average download speed in North Down.
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Figure 33: Superfast broadband coverage and average download speed in Strangford.
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Figure 35: Geographical spread of postcodes identified as requiring improvements.
Each point in the map marks the geographical centre of the postcode area. Ards and North Down Borough Council has been invited to comment on a Department for Economy consultation paper seeking clarification on those areas across the Borough where superfast broadband services are unlikely to be available in the next three years. The purpose of the exercise is to help identify and confirm those key priority areas and to add weight to any lobbying for additional funding for that purpose.
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High-level indicator 23:
Still exploring the length of greenways, walking routes, canoe trails, and cycle paths within Ards and North Down. This indicator is under development.
High-level indicator 24:
Figure 35: Local Authority collected waste per household by LGD 2015-2016.
Local authority collected (LAC) waste per household preparing for reuse, dry recycling or composting by LGD, Q1 2015/16 to Q4 2015/16 (Kilogrammes per household)
Northern Ireland 106 Newry, Mourne & Down 99 Mid Ulster 146 Mid & East Antrim 98 Lisburn & Castlereagh 90 Fermanagh & Omagh 118 Derry & Strabane 97 Causeway Coast & Glens 95 Belfast 87 Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon 123 Ards & North Down 112 Antrim & Newtownabbey 136
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Q1 Apr-Jun 2015/16 Q2 Jul-Sep 2015/16 Q3 Oct-Dec 2015/16 Q4 Jan-Mar 2015/16
Ards and North Down ranks fourth in Northern Ireland in terms of waste per household preparing for reuse, dry recycling or composting in 2015-16.
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Supporting information for indicator 24:
Figure 36: Waste sent to landfill 2015-2016.
Ards and North Down waste per household sent to landfill by LGD, Q1 2015/16 to Q4 2015/16 (Kilogrammes per household)
184 200 175 175 167
150 100
50
0 Q1 Apr-Jun Q2 Jul-Sep Q3 Oct-Dec Q4 Jan-Mar 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16
Ards & North Down Northern Ireland
The amount of waste per household in Ards and North Down sent to landfill was highest of any council area in 2015/16 with 701 kilogrammes per household.
Figure 37: Waste used for energy recovery 2015-2016.
Percentage of Ards and North Down collected waste preparing for energy recovery 25 20 21.1 15 19.2 16.4 10 14.6 5 5.1 5.6 5.6 6.3 0 (%) (%) (%) (%) Q1 Apr-Jun 2015/16 Q2 Jul-Sep 2015/16 Q3 Oct-Dec 2015/16 Q4 Jan-Mar 2015/16 Ards & North Down Northern Ireland
Following the same concerning pattern, the percentage of collected waste for energy recovery in Ards and North Down was considerably lower than the Northern Ireland average throughout the 2015/16 financial year.
High-level indicator 25:
Still exploring the number of people in urban areas who live within 1km of quality green spaces within Ards and North Down. This indicator is under development.
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Part FOUR: The next steps
As part of the process to develop The Big Plan for Ards and North Down, considerable importance has been placed on the availability and analysis of good statistical evidence. This information has helped to identify suitable indicators that will be used to assess how well we are making progress towards achieving The Big Plan’s desired outcomes. The statistical baseline will help during the implementation phase of the plan to identify improvements to services and where interventions or programmes should be directed.
Limitations of the statistical baseline Lots of data and statistics exist for the Ards and North Down area. However, it is not always in a format that provides us with the information we need to make decisions at a local level. While data is readily available for the Ards and North Down area it can be more difficult to find similar data at District Electoral Area (DEA) or ward level.
There can also be issues around the accuracy of small area statistics due to the small sample size. Additional work on the statistical baseline will be undertaken to try and overcome these problems.
Monitoring and reporting of progress The statistical baseline will be used to monitor the impact of The Big Plan. A reporting mechanism will be developed to measure the high-level indicators associated with each outcome.
The five outcomes will be developed into three action plans (social, economic and environmental wellbeing) which will set out how the Strategic Community Planning Partnership intends to deliver The Big Plan. The action plans will include baselines and targets for delivery.
Every two years the Strategic Community Planning Partnership will publish a statement showing the actions that have been implemented and will use the selected indicators to show progress towards the outcomes of The Big Plan.
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Unmet
The Baseline Report
Community Planning Team Ards and North Down Borough Council Town Hall The Castle Bangor BT20 4BT
Page 52 Phone: 0300 013 3333 E-mail: [email protected]