Risk Analysis: Advancing Analysis

Society for Risk Analysis

2012 Annual Meeting 9-12 December Hyatt Regency San Francisco San Francisco, California

FINAL PROGRAM 2012 Council President: Ann Bostrom President-Elect: George Gray Secretary: Cristina McLaughlin Treasurer: Jeff Lewis Treasurer-Elect: Katherine von Stackelberg Past President: Rachel Davidson Executive Secretary: David Drupa Councilors: Seth Guikema Jo Anne Shatkin Igor Linkov Michael Siegrist Margaret MacDonell Marcelo Wolansky Ortwin Renn Felicia Wu Lisa Robinson

2012 Program Committee George Gray, President-Elect and Chair Steve Bennett Rachel Lange Robert Scofield Gail Charnley Stanley Levinson Aylin Sertkaya Alison Cullen Steve Lewis Craig Trumbo Royce Francis Margaret MacDonell Jane Van Doren Sally Kane Greg McDermott Henry Willis Jennifer Kuzma Heather Rosoff George Woodall Jim Lambert Bob Ross

www.SRA.org SRA Headquarters, 1313 Dolley Madison Boulevard, Suite 401, McLean, Virginia 22101 703.790.1745; FAX: 703.790.2672 [email protected] Society For Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2012 Final Program Table of Contents Meeting Highlights Award Winners ...... 2 Poster Reception! Registration Hours/Conference Events/Highlights . . . . . 3 This year’s meeting will feature a poster reception with food and drinks in the Specialty Group Meetings ...... 4 Grand Ballroom, on Monday evening from 6:00 to 8:00 pm. Posters set up starts Specialty Group Mixers ...... 4 at noon, and poster presenters will be at their posters for questions and discus- Exhibitors/Exhibition Hours ...... 4 sion during the reception. Vote for the best poster awards. Don’t miss it! Career Fair ...... 5 Workshops ...... 6 Meeting Events! - All events take place at the Hyatt Regency San Francisco. Plenary Sessions ...... 11 Start with the opening reception on Sunday (9 December, 6:00-7:30 PM, Cash Monday Schedule at a Glance ...... 12 Bar), and continue to the closing Die Hard Risk Analyst - DHRA - T-Shirt Give- Tuesday Schedule at a Glance ...... 14 away on Wednesday (12 December, 5:00-6:00 PM). The meeting includes three Wednesday Schedule at a Glance ...... 16 Plenary Sessions, and lunch on all three days. Scientific Program Sessions ...... 18-23, 30-43 NEW! Business Networking Breakfast - Tuesday, December 11, 7:30am- Poster Reception/Session ...... 24-29 8:15am, Marina Room. All those interested in making business connections Author Index ...... 44 while attending SRA, come prepared with your 30 second commercial. Each Hyatt Regency San Francisco Floor Plan ...... 50-51 participant will have 30 seconds to stand and let others know what type of busi- ness they’re in, who their prospects are, and how others present can help them connect the dots. Make YOUR SRA experience really pay off! A continental breakfast will be available. Bring your business cards!

Oral Presenter’s Reminder If you are an Oral Presenter at the meeting, don’t forget to upload your presentation in the Speaker Ready Room (Plaza Room) at least 24 hrs prior to your presentation. If you have already uploaded your talk, come by the Ready Room to ensure it has been received and uploaded correctly.

Hyatt Regency San Francisco 5 Embarcadero Center San Francisco, CA 94111 415-788-1234; Fax: 415-398-2567

1 SRA 2012 Specialty Group SRA 2012 Student & Award Winners International Award Winners Decision Analysis & Risk Amlot, Richard Hristozov, Danail Rose, Stephen Douglas Bessette Andrijcic, Eva Huang, Tailin Sadeghi, Farzad Danail Hristozov Bessette, Douglas Jamshidi, Taher Salsal, Mohammad Dose-Response Blazquez, Carola Jiao, Wan Schetula, Viola Casey Ta Cabrera, Camila Kenney, Lisa Shan, Xiaojun Catalano, Marie Kim, Hye Kyung Snir, Reut Ecological Risk Assessment Cheadle, Jessica Kim, Se-Jin Srdjevic, Bojan Heitor Duarte Christian, Rochelle Kowal, Stephanie Staid, Andrea Economics and Benefits Analysis Chua, Yi Ting Lapuente, Pilar Strappa, Valentina Magdalene Matthews Cisternas, Pamela Lu, Connie Ta, Casey Coles, John Matthews, Magdalene Tatham, Elisa Emerging Nanoscale Materials Cummings, Christopher Neela, Guha Thomas, Merryn Christian Beaudrie DeMichelis, Sandra Nicol, Anne-Marie Turner, Amalia Engineering and Infrastructure Demski, Christina Pang, Hao Wagner, Charlotte Stephen Rose du Plessis, Elsabe Parra, Lina Wahlen, Jory Microbial Risk Analysis El Yahchouchy, Rana Pica Tellez, Andres Wang, Wen Hao Pang Empereur-Bissonet, Pascal Poortvliet, Marijn Wang, Hui Jory Wahlen Ertem, Mehmet Poulizac, Claire Way, Dominic Fan, Gang-Zhi Rajan, Ravi Welburn, Jonathan Risk and Development Gottschalk, Fadri Retchless, David Yao, Jiayun John Coles Guivant, Julia Rodriguez, Sergio Zwickel, Adam Risk Policy & Law Guo, Zhenyu Roh, Sungjong Tsung-ling Lee Hajbagheri, Mansour Rolfe-Redding, Justin Reut Snir Hamilton, Michael Romero, Andres Security & Defense David Blum

2 Meeting Events and Highlights Registration Hours Tuesday 11 December Hyatt Regency San Francisco - Grand Ballroom Foyer Grad Student Breakfast Sunday 9 December 4:00 - 6:30 PM 7:00-8:00 AM - Golden Gate Monday 10 December 7:00 AM - 5:00 PM Business Networking Breakfast Tuesday 11 December 8:00 AM - 5:00 PM 7:30-8:15 AM - Marina Room Wednesday 12 December 8:00 AM - 4:00 PM Specialty Group Chairs Breakfast 7:30-8:30 AM - Pacific Concourse H Communications Committee Conference Events, Committee Meetings 7:30-8:30 AM - Board Room A Sunday 9 December Plenary Session SRA Council Meeting 8:30-10:00 AM - Grand Ballroom Noon–5:00 PM - Regency Room SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting SRA Welcome Reception – (Cash Bar) Noon-1:30 PM - Grand Ballroom 6:00–7:30 PM - Atrium 2-4 Career Fair & Young Professionals Mixer - (Cash Bar) Monday 10 December 5:00-6:30 PM - Grand Ballroom Foyer New Member and Fellows Networking & Breakfast SRA Council Meeting 7:00-8:00 AM - Atrium 3-5 6:30-10:00 PM - Regency Room All SRA Fellows as well as 2012 and 2013 New Members (badges with a New Member ribbon) are welcome to attend. Wednesday 12 December Audit Committee Regional Organizations/Chapters Chairs Breakfast 7:00-8:00 AM - Board Room B 7:30-8:30 AM - Marina Education Committee Breakfast Conferences and Workshops Committee 7:00-8:00 AM - Marina Room 7:30-8:30 AM - Board Room A Opening Plenary Session Website Redesign Subcommittee: SG and RO Website Development 8:30-10:00 AM - Grand Ballroom Training 7:30-8:30 AM - Pacific Concourse I Specialty Group Meetings - Pick up your box lunch by the SRA Registration Desk 12:05-1:30 PM - See Page 4 Plenary Luncheon Noon-1:30 PM - Grand Ballroom Publications Committee 2:00-3:00 PM - Board Room A T-Shirt Giveaway Be a Die Hard Risk Analyst - Stay until the end of the sessions and receive a Finance Committee t-shirt 3:30-5:00 PM - Board Room B 5:00–6:00 PM, Grand Ballroom Foyer Poster Reception 6:00–8:00 PM - Grand Ballroom

3 Specialty Group Meetings Exhibition - Grand Ballroom Foyer 12:05-1:30 PM Monday 10 December...... 3:00 - 8:00 PM All Specialty Group Meetings will take place during lunch time on Monday 10 Poster Reception...... 6:00 - 8:00 PM December. Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the Tuesday 11 December...... 9:45 AM - 4:00 PM meeting(s) of your choice. Wednesday 12 December...... 9:45 AM - Noon 12:05-12:30 pm Dose Response, Pacific Concourse L Exhibitors Exponent Booth 4 Economics & Benefits Analysis, Pacific Concourse M 1800 Diagonal Road, Suite 300 Security & Defense, Pacific Concourse N Alexandria, VA 22314 Risk Communication, Pacific Concourse O 571-227-7229; Fax: 571-227-7299 12:35-1:00 pm www.exponent.com Ecological Risk Assessment, Pacific Concourse L Exponent is a scientific and engineering consulting firm that provides solutions to Exposure Assessment, Pacific Concourse M complex technical problems. Our multidisciplinary team of scientists, engineers, physi- Risk, Policy & Law, Pacific Concourse N cians, and business consultants performs in-depth research and analysis in more than 90 technical disciplines. Exponent operates in 20 regional offices and 5 international loca- Risk & Development, Pacific Concourse O tions. 1:05-1:30 pm Gower Books Booth 6 Decision Analysis & Risk, Pacific Concourse L 110 Cherry Street, Suite 3-1 Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Pacific Concourse M Burlington, VT 05401 Engineering & Infrastructure, Pacific Concourse N 802-865-7641; Fax: 802-865-7847 Microbial Risk Analysis, Pacific Concourse O www.icfi.com Gower is recognized as one of the world’s leading publishers of specialist business Specialty Group Mixers and management books and resources. Our publishing program covers many of the Tuesday 11 December main business processes and functions and we are continuously developing new titles. 6:00 - 7:30 PM Founded in 1967, Gower is an independent, global publisher. DRSG, MRASG, EASG - Hospitality Room ICF International Booth 2 SDSG, DARSG, EISG - Atrium 4 9300 Lee Highway ERASG, RCSG - Atrium 2 Fairfax VA 22031 EBASG, RPLSG, ENMSG, RDSG - Atrium 3 703-934-3000; Fax: 703-934-3740 www.icfi.com Since 1969, ICF International (NASDAQ:ICFI) has been serving government at all Key to Specialty Group levels, major corporations, and multilateral institutions. With more than 50 offices and Designations more than 4,500 employees worldwide, we bring deep domain expertise, problem-solving DARSG = Decision Analysis and Risk ERASG - Ecological Risk Assessment capabilities, and a results-driven approach to deliver strategic value across the lifecycle of DRSG = Dose-Response MRASG = Microbial Risk EASG = Exposure Assessment RCSG = Risk Communication client programs.At ICF, we partner with clients to conceive and implement solutions and EBASG = Economics & Benefits Analysis RDSG = Risk & Development services that protect and improve the quality of life, providing lasting answers to society’s EISG = Engineering and Infrastructure RPLSG = Risk Policy and Law most challenging management, technology, and policy issues. As a company and individu- ENMSG = Emerging Nanoscale Materials SDSG = Security and Defense ally, we live this mission, as evidenced by our commitment to sustainability and carbon neutrality, contribution to the global community, and dedication to employee growth. 4 Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment (TERA) Booth 1 DHHS/FDA/ORA/SAN-DO & JIFSAN Booth 7 2300 Montana Avenue, Suite 409 Joint Institute for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition (JIFSAN) Cincinnati, OH 45211 www.jifsan.umd.edu; http://foodrisk.org/ 513-542-7475; FAX: 513-542-8674 JIFSAN was founded in 1996 by the University of Maryland and US Food & Drug www.tera.org Administration. Its mission is to advance sound strategies to improve public health, food TERA is a non-profit risk assessment organization dedicated to the best use of tox- safety, and applied nutrition using risk analysis principles through collaborative research, icity information for risk assessment. Information on key TERA projects and resources education, and outreach programs. JIFSAN conducts trainings and research worldwide will be available, including risk databases (ITER, RiskIE) and training, the Alliance for and hosts foodrisk.org, the only comprehensive on-line resource for food safety risk anal- Risk Assessment, assessments, and peer review. ysis. Information on training and research programs and new web-based tools (iRISK, US Coast Guard Booth 5 FCID, ICRA) currently found food risk.org will be available. USCG’s risk model aims to optimize deployment of 50,000 personnel and 2,200 sea/ US Food & Drug Administration, San Francisco District Office (SAN-DO) aircraft to ensure the safety, security, and stewardship of America’s maritime interests. www.fda.gov An Armed Force under the Department of Homeland Security, USCG is resourcing FDA San Francisco District Laboratory is an A2LA and ISO 17205 accredited labo- a booth to increase dialogue on mission requirements and personnel needs to improve ratory with the mission of protecting the public health through the analysis of FDA mission effectiveness. regulated products such as food, drugs, devices, and cosmetics. The laboratory provides US Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) Booth 3 analytical support in areas of organoleptic, microbiological, elemental, product sterility, and food chemistry (e.g. colors and food additives). Key specialization areas include 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW our Problem Solving Lab for unknown contaminants,our Virology Center of Excel- Maildrop 8601P lence and Sterility Suite, and our capabilities in Select Agent analysis. We also conduct Washington, DC 20460 research in methods development and validationfor foodborne, drug, and cosmetic 703-347-8545 contamination. A major strength is our ability to develop cooperative collaborations www.usepa.org and partnerships with other sister agencies focused on Public Health and Food Safety. EPA publications and information about EPA - Office of Research and Develop- As part of the Food Emergency Response Network (FERN) the laboratory is a key ment. player in developing increased capacity for rapid sample analyses in case of a national disaster or terrorist event. ...Back by Popular Demand...Back by Popular Demand...Back by Popular Demand... Sponsored in part by: Geosyntec and EPA

SRA Career Opportunities, Tuesday, 5:00-6:30 pm - Grand Ballroom Foyer Finding the right job. Continuing education. Work-force training. Career advancement. It’s a giant puzzle, but the career fair at this year’s SRA Annual Meeting can help you put all the pieces together. During this event, job seekers can network with employers looking to fill vacan- cies as well as participate in on-site interviews. This will be your opportunity to show off your first impressions, resumes and get one-on-one time with local recruiters and employment resources. Come dressed professionally, and bring along plenty of résumés and a winning attitude. Remember, this is an employer’s first impression of you, so treat this event like you would a job interview. If you are a Student or Young Professional, join us for the Mixer while doing some networking at the Career Fair!

5 Workshop 2: Ecological Risk Assessment and Management – Processes Workshops - Sunday 9 December and Applications Organizer: Mala Pattanayek, MS, ARCADIS Full Day Workshops – SUNDAY 8:30 am – 5:30 pm Instructors: Ned Black, PhD, USEPA; Bridgette DeShields, MS, ARCADIS; Mala Pattanayek, MS, ARCADIS; Judy Nedoff, MS, ARCADIS (Lunch is on your own, 12:30-1:30 pm) Onsite Registration $300 Workshop 1: Benchmark Dose Modeling (BMD) Analysis – an Intro- This workshop will cover the science and practice of Ecological Risk duction to BMD Methods and Application of EPA’s Benchmark Dose Assessment (ERA). The content will include case study exercises to provide Software hands-on experience for participants in weight-of-evidence ERA and the prin- Instructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA); Jeff ciples of risk management. While the focus will be primarily on chemical con- Gift, Ph.D.(EPA); Jay Zhao, MD, MPH, Ph.D. (EPA) taminants, multi-stressor issues will also be covered. This workshop is suitable Onsite Registration $350 for participants with little ERA experience, as well as those with a moderate This workshop will provide participants with interactive training on the level of understanding. The course will be composed of two modules: 1) a use of the U.S. EPA’s Benchmark Dose Software (BMDS) and its application broad overview of the ERA process/framework and an introduction to core to risk assessment. The course will provide an overview of the BMD process, scientific principles and disciplines, including basic systems ecology, toxicol- including determination of data adequacy, model fitting and comparison, and ogy, population biology, fate and transport, empirical and applied modeling, selection of a benchmark response level. This workshop will cover all BMD data collection (design and data quality objectives), and regulatory policy and models available in BMDS 2.2 —including the new MS-COMBO model, guidelines, and 2) application of the ERA process to current global environ- which calculates multi-tumor composite risk values. Instruction will also be mental issues. Case studies will be used to frame discussion on the broad given in regard to new features that have been implemented in version 2.2. application of the ERA framework to address environmental issues, and risk This interactive training workshop will consist of morning and afternoon management decision-making, the overall goal being to demonstrate how the sessions. The morning session will include instructor presentations covering ERA process/frameworks can be used to evaluate a broad array of environ- the basic science and theory of BMD modeling, and is intended for those mental issues from localized contaminated sites to global issues such as climate with no prior experience in BMD modeling. The afternoon session will ex- change. Materials will be provided to course participants for follow-up study, pand upon the morning session and will consist of a demonstration of EPA’s including: suggested reading lists (including a focused list of publications on BMDS 2.2 through individual and group class modeling exercises. Questions the subject matter), links to relevant internet sites, terminology/definition and critical discussions of presentation material and class activities are highly sheets, and electronic versions of key ERA regulations, guidance documents, encouraged. and related materials, as well as workshop slides on a USB drive. Participants planning to attend the afternoon session need to bring their own laptops to the workshop with BMDS 2.2 installed (with necessary admin- istrative rights). The latest version of the software can be found at: http:// epa.gov/ncea/bmds/. To ensure students receive the maximum benefit from participating in the workshop, it is recommended that they examine the online training and tutorial materials prior to the workshop. Training and tutorial ma- terials can be found at: http://www.epa.gov/ncea/bmds/training/index.html.

6 Workshop 3: Application of Web-based Risk Assessment Informa- Workshop 7: Probabilistic Risk Analysis with Hardly any Data tion System (RAIS) and Free Spatial Analysis and Decision Assistance Instructors: Scott Ferson, Ph.D., Applied Biomathematics and Jack Siegrist, Ph.D., Rutgers (SADA) Software University Organizer: Debra Stewart Onsite Registration $325 Instructors: Debra Stewart, University of Tennessee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; This full-day tutorial introduces and compares methods for developing a Fred Dolislager, University of Tennessee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Leslie Gal- probabilistic risk analysis when little or no empirical data are available to inform loway, University of Tennessee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Robert Stewart, Oak the risk model. The talks are organized around the basic problems that risk Ridge National Laboratory analysts face: not knowing the input distributions, not knowing their correla- Onsite Registration $350 tions, not being sure about the model itself, or even which variables should be The first half of this workshop is interactive training on the Risk As- considered. Possible strategies include traditional approximative methods and sessment Information System (RAIS). The RAIS is a web-based system that recent robust and bounding methods. Numerical examples are given that il- provides risk tools and supplies information for both chemicals and radionu- lustrate the use of various methods including traditional moment propagation, clides for human health and ecological risk assessment. Taking advantage of PERT, maximum entropy, uniformity principle, probability bounds analysis, searchable and executable databases, menu-driven queries, and data downloads confidence boxes, Bayesian model averaging, and sensitivity analysis. All of using the latest web technologies, the RAIS offers essential tools and informa- the approaches can be used to develop a fully probabilistic estimate useful for tion for the risk assessment process established by the U.S. EPA and can be screening decisions and other planning. The advantages and drawbacks of the tailored to meet site-specific needs for another government agency, the public, various approaches are examined. Essentially, the drawbacks are that bound- or an international user. The course will provide a general overview of the risk ing approaches may say too little about risks, and the rough and ready approxi- assessment process and introduce freely available RAIS tools, including toxic- mate methods may say too much. The discussion addresses how defensible ity values, PRGs, forward risk calculations, ecological screening benchmarks, decisions can be made even when little information is available, and when one and radionuclide decay. More information can be found at http://rais.ornl.gov. should break down and collect some data and, in that case, what data to look The second half of the workshop will present Spatial Analysis and Decision for. The presentation style will be casual and interactive. Participants will re- Assistance (SADA). SADA is free software that incorporates tools from en- ceive a handout and CD of the illustrations used during the tutorial. vironmental assessment fields into an effective problem solving environment. Workshop 10: Cumulative Risk Assessment: Addressing Combined En- These tools include integrated models for visualization, geospatial analysis, vironmental Stressors statistical analysis, human health risk assessment, ecological risk assessment, Organizer: Linda K. Teuschler, MS, US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) cost/benefit analysis, sampling design, and decision analysis. Instruction will Instructors: Amanda Evans, MSPH, Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education; be hands-on and include case studies and exercises. Participants are encour- Richard C. Hertzberg, PhD, Biomathematics Consulting; Margaret MacDonell, Ph.D., aged to bring their own laptops with wireless internet capability. For SADA, Argonne National Laboratory; Moiz Mumtaz, Ph.D., Agency for Toxic Substances and participants are encouraged to visit the SADA website (http://www.tiem.utk. Disease Registry; Glenn E. Rice, ScD, EPA; Jane Ellen Simmons, Ph.D., EPA; J. Mi- edu/~sada/index.shtml) and download the latest copy of SADA prior to the chael Wright, Ph.D., EPA workshop. Approximately 80% of this workshop will be focused on human Onsite Registration $400 health risk assessment and 20% on ecological risk assessment. Cumulative risk assessment (CRA) addresses the impacts of multiple chemical and nonchemical stressors on real world individuals and communi- ties, resulting in complex exposures for individuals and populations with a variety of vulnerabilities, in applications that range from environmental justice and community sustainability to individual health promotion and protection.

7 Nonchemical stressors include biological and physical agents (e.g., microbes diverge. Systematic review involves a largely qualitative evaluation of available and noise) as well as socioeconomic stressors and psychosocial conditions studies against established criteria to identify those that are most appropriate (e.g., associated with natural disasters). Public concerns that can initiate CRAs for use in a particular context. Meta-analysis involves selecting studies from include (1) elevated environmental measurements or biomonitoring data; the available literature using formal criteria and then using statistical models (2) multiple sources of pollutants or stressors; and (3) changes in disease rates to calculate summary estimates and explore sources of variation across stud- or patterns (e.g., leukemia cluster) or ecological effects (e.g., loss of wildlife ies. Expert elicitation uses a structured process to select experts who provide diversity). This workshop focuses on human health and begins with an over- subjective probability distributions that characterize their knowledge about a view of three CRA elements: analysis, characterization, and quantification (as quantity. The second part of the workshop will focus more on expert judg- feasible) of the combined risks from multiple stressors. Teaching methods in- ment elicitation topics ranging from recruitment, elicitation protocol design, clude lectures and hands-on exercises. Presentations highlight basic concepts, different elicitation techniques (e.g., individual elicitations, Delphi method, methods, and resources for conducting a population-based CRA. A central nominal group technique, etc.) to aggregation methods for combining opin- theme is integrating exposure and dose-response information with population ions of multiple individuals and quantifying uncertainty. The role of expert characteristics during planning and scoping based on initiating factors. Vul- judgment elicitation and its limitations, problems, and risks in policy analysis nerability factors are addressed, e.g., diet/nutritional status, behaviors, genetic will also be addressed. The class will conclude with a hands-on exercise de- traits, socioeconomic status, sensitivities, and psychosocial stress. Methods signed to better convey challenges with expert calibration. for estimating human health risks are discussed and applied, including epide- miologic approaches and assessing the joint toxicity of chemical mixtures. In Half Day Workshops – SUNDAY 8:00 am – Noon the exercises, participants develop chemical, biological and physical stressor Workshop 1A: Benchmark Dose Modeling (BMD) Analysis – an Intro- groups using exposure and toxicity factors, link them with population vulner- duction to BMD Methods and Application of EPA’s Benchmark Dose ability factors and conduct a risk characterization. Participants are asked to Software bring a calculator. Instructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA); Jeff Gift, Ph.D.(EPA); Jay Zhao, MD, MPH, Ph.D. (EPA) Workshop 12: Use of Expert Elicitation to Inform Decisionmaking Onsite Registration $225 Organizer: Aylin Sertkaya See Workshop 1 for description. Instructors: Aylin Sertkaya, Eastern Research Group Inc. (ERG); Cristina McLaughlin, Food and Drug Administration Workshop 5: Simplicity in Biocomplexity: Influence Diagrams for Mod- Onsite Registration $350 eling Human-Environment Interactions Risk analysis often requires making inferences or estimating parameter Organizer: Matteo Convertino values from studies that contain inconsistent or conflicting results or address Instructor: Matteo Convertino, Risk and Decision Science Team, Department of Agri- dissimilar contexts. Such inferences or estimates should be consistent with the cultural and Biological Engineering, University of Florida, Environmental Lab, ERDC weight of evidence. Deciding whether and how to combine information from USACE multiple studies requires thinking carefully about the nature of the problem to Onsite Registration $275 be addressed and the characteristics of the available evidence. In the first part This 4-hour workshop will cover the fundamental aspects of influence of the workshop, we will introduce the range of methods for evaluating and diagrams for incorporating results of decision models, process-based models, combining evidence and explore three prominent approaches in detail: sys- and monitoring data in order to propose solutions of complex issues about tematic review, meta-analysis, and expert elicitation. These methods are used human and natural systems. The multifaceted problems of our society require widely in the social sciences and medicine as well as in risk assessment. Each more and more the integration of basic-science (e.g. modeling predictions), begins with a careful review of the research literature, but then the approaches stakeholder preferences and decisions, and real time data.

8 Using an example of a large restoration effort for the Everglades, the ule risk assessment, and compare deterministic and probabilistic approaches. workshop will explain the ability of influence diagrams to incorporate spatial The notion of base estimate (for the cost and schedule) is introduced and then and temporal complexities of complex systems into a mental model of ideal the instructors will elaborate on defining the base uncertainty as a combina- environmental managers. The theoretical foundations of influence diagrams tion between base variability and market conditions. Briefly the instructors will will be mentioned; however, the focus will be on the application of these prob- present the ISO 31000 definition of risk followed by the dilemma of “How abilistic decision models. The workshop will start by introducing elementary many risks should be assessed?” Two project case studies will be presented to Bayesian inference techniques (automated and non-automated) for assessing exemplify the controversy between “Professional Sophistication” and “Keep the probabilistic structure of input variables of influence diagrams and of It Short and Simple.” The instructors will cover the characteristics of risk, in- their uncertainty. The assessment of the conditional probabilities among vari- cluding (1) probability of occurrence, (2) consequences, and (3) conditionality ables and the structuring of the decision problem will be central topics of this (dependency and correlation). Risk evaluation tools, including Monte Carlo workshop. The value of information in Bayesian networks and influence dia- analysis, Tornado diagrams, risk matrices, and risk maps also will be discussed. grams will be shown as a potential instrument to guide policy-making. A global The workshop will conclude with risk management plans and tips for success. sensitivity and uncertainty analysis will be explained in order to quantify the importance of each variable and of their uncertainties in the magnitude and Half Day Workshops – SUNDAY 1:00 – 5:00 pm uncertainty of the output of influence diagrams. The workshop will address Workshop 1B: Benchmark Dose Modeling (BMD) Analysis – an Intro- also the role of visualization of influence diagram results. This is important in duction to BMD Methods and Application of EPA’s Benchmark Dose order to improve the communication of risk and decisions to stakeholders, the Software general public, and the scientific community at large. Instructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA); Jeff The workshop built on the concepts of transdisciplinarity, system theory Gift, Ph.D.(EPA); Jay Zhao, MD, MPH, Ph.D. (EPA) and quantitative decision analysis is certainly useful for policy makers that as- Onsite Registration $225 pire to have a more quantitative preparation about the best use of models in See Workshop 1 for description. their everyday practice, to basic-scientists who want to find applications of Workshop 4: Fundamental Concepts of Risk Management, Risk As- basic science to real problems, and for students (from engineering, life sci- sessment, and Risk Perception/Communication ences, to management) that are new to these topics. Because of the application Organizer: Branden B. Johnson focus of the workshop, participation is encouraged for people who do not Instructors: Branden B. Johnson, Decision Research, Inc.; Darrell W. Donahue, Maine have background in these topics. All the topics will be introduced in a very Maritime Academy interactive way by examples built in Matlab. Participants will receive an elec- Onsite Registration $350 tronic copy of the slides and numerical examples used during the workshop Meetings and publications of the Society for Risk Analysis can be daunt- (Dropbox folder shared among participants). ing to newcomers. More generally, risk analysis incorporates and spans many Workshop 8: Project Risk Management disciplines. It is often difficult for people, even those who work on some topic Organizer: Ovidiu Cretu within risk analysis—be it toxicology, terrorist threat assessment or human be- Instructors: Ovidiu Cretu and Vlad Cretu, Cretu Group LLC; Jong-Know Lim, Infra- havior—to understand how their work fits into the risk analysis “big picture.” structure Asset Management Co., LLC Likewise, disciplinary training does not prepare people to understand, much Onsite Registration $245 less converse with, fellow practitioners. This workshop, taught by two experts The workshop will focus on the risk management process as an integral with extensive histories in practice, government and academia, is designed to part of project management. The instructors will present the Risk Manage- fill that gap. We introduce fundamental risk analysis concepts and terminology, ment Cycle, including the fundamentals of integrated project cost and sched- including elements of risk management, risk assessment, and risk perception

9 and communication. Exercises (microbial risk focused) will be used to allow Workshop 11: An Overview of the Science, Economics and Policy on the participants to apply these basic concepts of risk analysis. Upon comple- Climate Change tion of this course, students will understand the fundamental concepts of risk Organizer: Elisabeth Gilmore analysis. The workshop is suitable for first time Society for Risk Analysis An- Instructors: Klaus Keller, Pennsylvania State University; Katherine Calvin, Joint Global nual Meeting attendees, as well as all individuals new to risk analysis and those Change Research Institute (JGCRI), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory/University who have been involved in only a limited aspect of risk analysis. They will be of Maryland; Arden Rowell, University of Illinois College of Law prepared to engage comfortably in the range of conversations that distinguish Onsite Registration $325 Society for Risk Analysis Annual Conferences. The far-reaching implications of climate change ensure that it will remain Workshop 6: Training Resources for Research Ethics and Cultural an important policy issue. This workshop aims to provide participants with an Competence in Risk Assessment overview of climate change science, economics and policy. First, we provide Organizer: Dianne Quigley an overview of the science and risks of climate change, which is designed Instructor: Dianne Quigley, PhD, Adjunct Assistant Professor, Center for Environmental to be accessible to non-scientists. Second, we provide an assessment of the Studies, Brown University economics of mitigation and damages. This will include an introduction to in- Onsite Registration $115 tegrated assessment models (IAMs), which played a critical role in establishing Risk assessment research recently has been involving more community the US government’s social cost of carbon (SCC). Third, we discuss climate groups, particularly racially/culturally-diverse groups. Additionally, IRBs are policy, focusing on the evolution of US domestic policy through the Clean requiring human subjects protections for interviews, surveys, oral histories, Air Act and the courts. While this workshop will not directly address expecta- etc. Training in human subjects protections is needed both for individual hu- tions of future domestic or international climate policy, participants should be man subjects protections and for respecting individuals as members of place- able to better analyze and critique the effect of future developments on socio- based communities. Additionally, cultural groups within local communities in economic systems and climate risks. the US and internationally have particular histories and traditions, group pro- cesses and research experiences that are important to learn about from case study and applied ethics articles. These group conditions are frequently critical Workshop - Thursday 13 December contextual conditions to consider in the design of risk assessments. At this workshop, we will review basic human subjects protections, new Full Day Workshop – THURSDAY research protections for place-based communities and cultural groups, cultural competence, environmental justice and ethical approaches to justice. Train- 8:30 am – 5:30 pm ing resources will be shared with interested environmental studies faculty and Workshop 13: Probabilistic Risk Analysis with Hardly any Data graduate students including: training curriculum for graduate student mentor- Organizers: Scott Ferson, Applied Biomathematics and Jack Siegrist, ing programs, a preview of a faculty/ student mentoring web-based resources Rutgers University (MyCourses and Blackboard), and samples of case studies and digital training Instructors: Scott Ferson, Ph.D., Applied Biomathematics and Jack Siegrist, Ph.D., Rutgers slides. Interested faculty and graduate students are invited to attend this dis- University cussion to take advantage of these resources and to offer ways that they could Onsite Registration $325 bring their expertise and field experience to this collective research ethics/ See description for Workshop 7. cultural competence training efforts.

10 Plenary Sessions All Plenary Sessions will be held in the Hyatt Regency San Francisco Opening Plenary Session Monday 10 December 8:30 – 10:00 AM, Grand Ballroom “Advancing Risk Regulation: The UK’s Review of Health and Safety Rules” Panelists: Ragnar Löfstedt, Professor and Director of the King’s Centre for Risk Management at King’s College London; Geoffrey Podger, Chief Executive of the UK Health and Safety Executive; Jan Willem Weck, Ministry of Health of the Dutch Government Tuesday 11 December, Plenary Session 8:30 – 10:00 AM, Grand Ballroom “National Risk Assessment: Analysis to Guide Risk Management Around the World” Speakers: Alan Cohn, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Policy (Strategic Plans), Department of Homeland Security Office of Strategy, Planning, Analysis & Risk; Elaine Dezenski, Senior Director, World Economic Forum; Henry Willis, Rand Corporation Wednesday 12 December, Plenary Luncheon, Noon – 1:30 PM, Grand Ballroom “Advancing Public Understanding of Risk Through the Media” Speaker: Andrew Revkin, DotEarth blogger, The New York Times

11 Monday 10 December 2012 7:00-8:00 AM New Member and Fellows Breakfast - Atrium 3-5

8:30-10:00 AM M1 Plenary Session - Grand Ballroom “Advancing Risk Regulation: The UK’s Review of Health and Safety Rules” 10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G M2-A Roundtable: Risk & Reg- M2-B Symposium: Ready for Prime M2-C Poster Platform: Indoor Air M2-D: Visual Communication M2-E Symposium: New Develop- ulation: Recommendations for Time? The Role of High Through- & Products: Exposure & Risks ments in Transparency: A Transat- the Next Administration Put Screening in Risk Assessment for lantic Perspective Noon Engineered Nanomaterials 10:30 AM-

Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the specialty group meeting(s) of your choice. See page 4 for details. 12:05-12:30 PM - Dose-Response, Economics & Benefits, Security & Defense, and Risk Communication Specialty Groups 12:35-1:00 PM - Ecological Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, Risk Policy & Law, and Risk & Development Specialty Groups Noon-

1:30 PM 1:05-1:30 PM - Decision Analysis and Risk, Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Engineering & Infrastructure, and Microbial Risk Analysis Specialty Groups

M3-A: Food & Environmental M3-B Symposium: Structuring M3-C Poster Platform: Topics on M3-D Symposium: Using Maps to M3-E Symposium: Risk and Un- Hazards: Trust and the Public Risk Decisions: Policy and Personal Applied Economic Analysis Communicate Geospatial Risk and certainty in Ecosystem Restoration Perspectives Uncertainty: Weather Forecasts and Planning: Methodology and Case

1:30- Environmental Hazards Studies 3:00 PM

3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer M4-A Symposium: Risk Com- M4-B Symposium Part I: Frame- M4-C Poster Platform: Sustainable M4-D Symposium: Emerging M4-E Symposium: Frontiers in munication for Pandemic Influ- work and Methods - Recent Efforts Cities and Military Installations: En- Methods for Risk Assessment and Benefit-Cost Analysis: Valuing Risks enza: Lessons Learned in Canada for Advancing the Risk-Informed ergy, Water, Infrastructure and Cli- Governance of Engineered Nano- and Equity from the H1N1 Outbreak Decision Making System in the FDA mate Change materials 3:30-

5:00 PM Foods Veterinary Medicine (FVM) Program 6:00-8:00 PM Poster Reception - Grand Ballroom

12 Monday 10 December 2012 7:00-8:00 AM New Member and Fellows Breakfast - Atrium 3-5

8:30-10:00 AM M1 Plenary Session - Grand Ballroom “Advancing Risk Regulation: The UK’s Review of Health and Safety Rules”

10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O M2-F Symp: Challenges Asso- M2-G: Estimating Terrorism M2-H Symposium: New M2-I: Network Representa- M2-J Symposium: M2-K Symposium: Wild- ciated with Using Human Sur- Risk & Economic Impacts Concepts in Security Risk: tions of Critical Infrastructure Technocracy and Democracy fire Risk Perceptions and veillance Data for Foodbourne Warnings and Comparative Systems for Reliability Assess- in Risk Governance Attitudes & Implications for Noon Illness Source Attribution Assessment ment Wildfire Management 10:30 AM-

Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the specialty group meeting(s) of your choice. See page 4 for details. 12:05-12:30 PM - Dose-Response, Economics & Benefits, Security & Defense, and Risk Communication Specialty Groups 12:35-1:00 PM - Ecological Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, Risk Policy & Law, and Risk & Development Specialty Groups Noon-

1:30 PM 1:05-1:30 PM - Decision Analysis and Risk, Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Engineering & Infrastructure, and Microbial Risk Analysis Specialty Groups

M3-F Symposium: Produce M3-G: Analysis of Cyber Se- M3-H: Low-Dose, MOH and M3-I Symposium: Govern- M3-J Roundtable: The M3-K: Cummulative Expo- Safety: Data Collection and curity Risk Cancer Methods ing Sustainability: Different Transatlantic Debate on Risk sure & Risk Screening Risk Assessments to Support Approaches to Societal Inte- Regulation 1:30- the Development of Metrics gration in Risk Management 3:00 PM and Regulations Issues 3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer M4-F: Risk and Development M4-H Symposium: Chal- M4-I: Resilience Evaluation M4-J Roundtable: Smarter M4-K Symp: Cumulative Potpourri lenging the Linear-No-Thresh- Approaches for the Analysis of Regulation through Nudges, Risk Assessment 1: The old Dose-Reponse Model Complex Systems Information, Incentives Leading and Trailing Edge: Multiple Agency Perspec- 3:30-

5:00 PM tives on Cumulative RA

6:00-8:00 PM Poster Reception - Grand Ballroom

13 Tuesday 11 December 2012 7:00-8:00 AM Grad Student Breakfast - Golden Gate

8:30-10:00 AM T1 Plenary Session - Grand Ballroom “National Risk Assessment and Analysis to Guide Risk Management Around the World” 10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G T2-A Symposium: From T2-B Symposium Part II: Applica- T2-D: Research Methods T2-E: Social Media GMOs to Genetic Engineering tions - Recent Efforts for Advancing and Synthetic Bio: Integrating the Risk-Informed Decision Making Noon Physical and Social Sciences for System in the FDA Foods Veterinary 10:30 AM- Risk-based Decision Making Medicine (FVM) Program

SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting - Grand Ballroom Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Included in Registration Fee) Noon- 1:30 PM

T3-A: Ecological Risk Assess- T3-B: New Voices T3-C Poster Platform: Topics in T3-D: Security Risk, Preparedness T3-E Symposium: Preferences for ment I Risk, Policy, Law and Governance and Costs Climate Change Mitigation and Geo- engineering 1:30- 3:00 PM

3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer T4-A Symposium: Dietary Ex- T4-B: Decision Making in Food and T4-C Poster Platform: Supply T4-D Symposium: Challenges in T4-E: Psychological Processes posure Assessments in Regula- Medicine Supply Chains Chain Risk Management: Challenges Developing and Assessing Tobacco tory Decision Making and Solutions Control Regulations 3:30- 5:00 PM

6:00 - 7:30 PM Specialty Group Mixers, See Page 4 for details

14 Tuesday 11 December 2012 7:00-8:00 AM Grad Student Breakfast - Golden Gate

8:30-10:00 AM T1 Plenary Session - Grand Ballroom “National Risk Assessment and Analysis to Guide Risk Management Around the World” 10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O T2-F: Innovative QRA Mod- T2-G Symposium: Risk T2-H: Modeling of Biological T2-I Symposium: Climate T2-J: Estimates of Regulatory T2-K Symposium: Explor- els: Food Safety & Disease Analysis within the Depart- Agents Change and Its Risks to Infra- Costs and Public Attitudes ing the Limits of Risk Gov- Transmission ment of Defense: Methods, structure About Them ernance: How States Ac- Noon Successes and Opportunities... count for Failure in Europe 10:30 AM- (HowSAFE)

SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting - Grand Ballroom Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Included in Registration Fee) Noon- 1:30 PM

T3-F Symposium: Innovative T3-G: Game Theory and T3-H: Shuffling the Deck on T3-I: Topics in Critical Infra- T3-J Symposium Part I: T3-K: Trench Models & QRA Models for Food Safety: Randomization Chemical Risk Assessment structure Risk Modeling Unpacking to Advance Gov- Vapor Intrusion Complex Models to Answer ernance of Synthetic Biology 1:30- Complex Questions Applications 3:00 PM

3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer T4-F: Risk, Development T4-G Symposium: Apply- T4-H Symposium: Putting T4-I Symp: Human Health and T4-J Symposium Part II: T4-K Symposium: Stra- and Health ing Quantitative Risk Assess- It All Together: Recent Devel- Environmental Risk Assessment Unpacking to Advance Risk tegic Risk Management of ment to Meet Stakeholder opments in Risk Assessment Issues Related to the Explora- Governance of Synthetic Bi- Department of Defense

3:30- Needs Approaches tion, Development, and Opera- ology Applications Emerging Contaminants 5:00 PM tion of Unconventional ... 6:00 - 7:30 PM Specialty Group Mixers, See Page 4 for details

15 Wednesday 12 December 2012

Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G Pacific Concourse H W1-A: News Media W1-B Symposium: Sup- W1-C: Risk Analysis & Sys- W1-D Symposium: The W1-E Symposium Part W1-F: New Methods for QRA: porting Policy for Sustainable tems Safety Wisdom of Crowds: A Role I: What Lawyers and Birds Sampling, Transfer Rates & Health Everyday Behaviors: The EU in Evaluating and Managing have in Common: Risk and Risks 8:30- Pachelbel Project Potential Risks of Emerg- Decisions in Coupled Hu- 10:00 AM ing Issues? man-Natural Systems 10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer W2-A: New Technologies W2-B Symposium: Deci- W2-C Symposium: Vari- W2-D Symposium: Cul- W2-E Symposium Part W2-F Symposium: Use of Risk sion Analysis Tools in Risk ability and Uncertainty in tural Factors in Risk Percep- II: What Lawyers and Birds Assessment to Meet the Require- Assessment Air Quality Damage Esti- tion and Communication have in Common: Risk and ments of Healthy People 2020

Noon mates of Crisis Situations Decisions in Coupled Hu-

10:30 AM- man-Natural Systems Noon-1:30 PM Plenary Luncheon, “Advancing Public Understanding of Risk Through the Media” - Grand Ballroom W3-A: Health Risk Preven- W3-C Symposium: Com- W3-D Symposium: Car- W3-E: Career Panel W3-F: Risk and Development: tion bining Life Cycle Assess- bon Capture and Storage: Latin America ment, Valuation and Cost- Risk Communication and

1:30- Benefit Analysis Perceptions of an Emerg- 3:00 PM ing Energy Technology 3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer W4-B Symposium: New Di- W4-C Symposium: India W4-D Symposium: Nov- W4-E: Career Panel W4-F: Occupational Exposure & rections in Risk Assessment at Risk: Capacity, Institu- el Online Tools for Risk Health with Roadmap for Success tions and Expertise Communication Research:

3:30- Applications in Food Risk 5:00 PM Communication 5:00-6:00 PM T-Shirt Giveaway - Free T-Shirt, sponsored by Wiley-Blackwell - Grand Ballroom Foyer

16 Wednesday 12 December 2012

Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O Pacific Concourse J W1-H Symp: The Road W1-I: From GIS to Bayes- W1-J Roundtable: Improving W1-K Symposium: Risk W1-L: Service, Enterprise Ahead-Developing a Re- ian Search: Risk Management Risk Regulation through Retro- Analytics to Strenghten the and Systems Risk Analysis search Agenda for Nanoma- Grab Bag spective Analysis National Residue Program Grab Bag 8:30- terial Environmental, Health 10:00 AM and Safety Risk Assessment 10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer W2-G Symposium: Describ- W2-H: Current Issues in W2-I Symposium: Advances W2-J Symposium: Retrospec- W2-K Symposium: Cu- W2-L Symposium: Adap- ing and Influencing Disaster Chemical Dose Response in Risk Models for Infrastruc- tive Regulatory Review mulative Risk Assessment tive Risk Governance for the Mitigation and Recovery Deci- ture Systems Management 2: International Dimensions Rapid Energy Transition in

Noon sion Making in Combining Chemical and Germany

10:30 AM- Non-Chemical Stressors... Noon-1:30 PM Plenary Luncheon, “Advancing Public Understanding of Risk Through the Media” - Grand Ballroom W3-G: Evaluating Security W3-H: Quantitative Models: W3-I: Reliability Assessment W3-J: Studies of Risk Gover- W3-K: Ambient Air: Particu- W3-L: Ecological Risk As- Measures The Chemical Risk for Electric Power Systems nance Systems late Matter Exposure sessment II 1:30- 3:00 PM

3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Grand Ballroom Foyer W4-G Symposium: Risks of W4-I: Simulation Approaches W4-J: Emerging Technologies: W4-K Symposium: Chal- Transportation Disruptions for Assessing Critial Infra- Nano to Synthetic Bio lenges in Conducting a Risk and Dangerous Goods structure Vulnerability to Na- Assessment for Drug Resi-

3:30- tional Hazards dues in Milk and Milk Prod- 5:00 PM ucts 5:00-6:00 PM T-Shirt Giveaway - Free T-Shirt, sponsored by Wiley-Blackwell - Grand Ballroom Foyer

17 Monday 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon M2-C.7 Use of exposure 10:30 - 11:30 AM 10:30 AM - Noon Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J scaling factors to facilitate rapid Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G M2-A Roundtable: Risk & M2-B Symposium: Ready M2-C Poster Platform: screening of risk associated M2-D Visual M2-E Symposium: New Regulation: for Prime Time? The Role Indoor Air & Products: with multimedia exposures Communication Developments in Recommendations for the of High Through-Put Exposure & Risks Burch DF, Overton RA, McVey Chair: Janet Yang Transparency: A MM, Varghese A, Henning C, Next Administration Screening in Risk Chair: Chris Frey 10:30 am M2-D.2 Transatlantic Perspective Hirtz J Co-Chairs: George Gray, M2-C.1 Characterization of Using pictographs for low nu- Chair: Frederick Bouder Assessment for ICF International, US Environmen- Ann Bostrom Engineered PM2.5 Concentration in indoor merates and percentages for 10:30 am M2-E.1 tal Protection Agency high numerates in risk com- The 2012 Presidential elec- Nanomaterials residential microenvironment Communicating risks and ben- M2-C.8 Diacetyl exposure munication? A study of visual tion provides an opportunity to Chair: Jo Anne Shatkin Jiao W, Frey HC efits in an open and distrustful from cigarette smoke: impli- attention reflect on the Administration’s 10:30 am M2-B.1 North Carolina State University world cations for assessing diacetyl Keller C, Hess R, Siegrist M record and to make recommen- Development of environmen- M2-C.2 Field measurement Bouder FB, Lofstedt RL exposure-response in popcorn ETH Zurich dations for future years, regard- tal impact assessment models of in-vehicle to ambient con- Maastricht University and flavor manufacturing work- less of which candidate wins. for engineered nanomaterial centration ratio of fine particu- 10:50 am M2-D.3 10:50 am M2-E.2 ers This panel will bring together Cohen Y, Liu H, Liu R, Rallo R, late matter Visual typologies: expanding Transparency and the FDA: Finley BL, Pierce JS*, Abelmann former senior government of- Godwin H, Nel A Jiao W, Frey HC how we think about visualizing two qualitative studies A, Spicer LJ, Adams RE ficials and other leading experts University of California, Los An- North Carolina State University risk uncertainty Chakraborty S, Lofstedt R to discuss the current status of ChemRisk Eosco GM, Scherer CW geles M2-C.3 Building chemical University of Oxford, Kings College U.S. environmental, health, and M2-C.9 Radon exposure Cornell University 10:50 am M2-B.2 safety into toy product design London safety regulation and future risks from residential shale gas High-throughput screening: - the foreseeable use based risk 11:10 am M2-D.4 11:10 am M2-E.3 challenges. combustion in the northeast a transformative approach to assessment Improved methods for visual- The darker side of transparency Mitchell AL, Casman EA, Griffin Participants: nanotoxicology Liu Y, Altkorn B, Chen X, Rider izing risk McComas KA MW Driesen DM, Syracuse University; Godwin H, Nel A G Amundrud Ø, Aven T Cornell University Carnegie Mellon University Sudley S, George Washington Uni- Intertek University of Stavanger University of California, Los An- 11:30 am M2-E.4 versity; Graham J, Indiana Univer- M2-C.10 Screening chemicals geles M2-C.4 Assessment of the Transparency strategies at the sity; Livermore M, New York Uni- of interest for biomonitoring: contribution of indoor surface European Medicines Agency versity; Morgenstern R, Resources for bisphenol A substitutes as an residues to SVOC exposure: Way DHP the Future; O’Hare M, University example nicotine as a model compound King’s College London Hoover SM, Plummer LE, Krowech of California, Berkeley; Thompson Cooper EL, Shirai JH, Kissel JC GA B, Stanford University University of Washington Office of Environmental Health M2-C.5 PCBs in the indoor Hazard Assessment, Cal/EPA environment If a paper is presented by Zemba SG, Green LC other than the first author, Cambridge Environmental Inc the presenter’s name has M2-C.6 EPA-expo-box: a Don’t forget to attend the Specialty an asterisk (*) web-based toolbox for expo- sure and risk assessors Group Meeting of your choice, Turley AT, Cawley MA, Phillips L ICF International, US EPA Na- 12:05 - 1:30 pm, tional Center for Environmental As- (see page 4 for details) sessment after picking up your box lunch at the SRA Registration Desk.

18 Monday 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O M2-F Symposium: M2-G Estimating M2-H Symposium: New M2-I Network M2-J Symposium: M2-K Symposium: Challenges Associated Terrorism Risk & Concepts in Security Risk: Representations of Technocracy and Wildfire Risk Perceptions with Using Human Economic Impacts Warnings and Critical Infrastructure Democracy in Risk and Attitudes & Surveillance Data for Chair: Adam Rose Comparative Assessment Systems for Reliability Governance Implications for Wildfire Foodbourne Illness 10:30 am M2-G.1 Chair: Henry Willis Assessment Chair: Seth Baum Management Source Attribution Incorporating socio-cultural dy- 10:30 am M2-H.1 Co-Chairs: Roshanak Natghi, 10:30 am M2-J.1 Chair: Matthew Thompson Co-Chairs: Dana Cole, namics in estimating small area Indicators and warnings for Francis Royce Voice and democraticity in elec- 10:30 am M2-K.1 Michael Batz populations at risk biological events: managing 10:30 am M2-I.1 toral and technocratic environ- Human dimensions of wildfire 10:30 am M2-F.1 Stewart RN, Urban M homeland security risk through Topological performance mea- mental decision procedures risk management A jungle of surveillance num- Oak Ridge National Laboratory biosurveillance sures as surrogates for physical Baum S Thompson MP bers, attribution methods, and 10:50 am M2-G.2 Bennett SP, Quitugua TN flow models for electric power Global Catastrophic Risk Institute US Forest Service National Biosurveillance Integration uncertainties Terrorism risk: the need to re- systems 10:50 am M2-J.2 10:50 am M2-K.2 Center, US Department of Home- Cole D assess our assessments LaRocca S, Johansson J, Hassel H, A middle-ground in risk gover- Approaches and challenges to land Security Centers for Disease Control and Pre- Decker DK Guikema S nance: strong objectivity, critical quantify homeowner wildfire vention Booz Allen Hamilton 10:50 am M2-H.2 Johns Hopkins University, Lund realism, and post-normal sci- risk perceptions University 10:50 am M2-F.2 11:10 am M2-G.3 A probabilistic framework for ence applied to the case of ge- Venn TJ, Stetler KM, O’Donnell D The 400 pound gorilla: missing Quantifying uncertainty in di- tactical warning: inferring local- 10:50 am M2-I.2 netically engineered mosquitos The University of Montana ized drug violence Kuzma J data and bias rect consequences and econom- Towards risk, resilience, and re- 11:10 am M2-K.3 Blum D, Pate-Cornell E University of Minnesota Hoekstra M ic impacts of terrorism events covery analysis of complex sys- Salient factors influencing fire Stanford University Centers for Disease Control and Pre- Chatterjee S, Avetisyan M*, Sala- tems with critical infrastructures 11:10 am M2-J.3 manager decisions and out- vention zar DE 11:10 am M2-H.3 exposed to multiple hazards Regulation by number: using comes Salazar DE, Chatterjee S 11:10 am M2-F.3 University of Southern California Belief network sharing for un- numeracy to inform democratic Hand MS University of Southern California Estimating the lion’s share: nov- 11:30 am M2-G.4 certainty assessment in the in- risk governance US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain el methods for attributing spo- A framework for analyzing ur- telligence community 11:10 am M2-I.3 Rowell A Research Station Olson KC, Karvetski CW, Gantz University of Illinois College of Law radic foodborne illnesses ban security-commerce trad- Differential syntax and seman- 11:30 am M2-K.4 DT Gu W eoffs tics for equivalent bayesian net- 11:30 am M2-J.4 Risk-risk tradeoffs in wildfire George Mason University Atlanta Research and Education Rose A, Avetysian M, Chaterjee S work representations of engi- Nanotechnology risk gover- management: suppression uti- Foundation University of Southern California 11:30 am M2-H.4 neered systems nance: the politics of disclosure lization versus firefighter safety Sentz K, Henson KM 11:30 am M2-F.4 Reflecting public values in na- Snir R Calkin DE, Presented by Thomspon Los Alamos National Laboratory Cutting through the thicket: tional risk assessments Bar Ilan University MP evaluating the applicability of Willis HH, Potoglou D, Lundberg 11:30 am M2-I.4 US Forest Service outbreak-based attribution R, Bruine de Bruin W A stochastic inventory input- Batz MB, Hoffmann SA, Morris RAND Corporation, RAND Eu- output model for enhancing JG rope, Carnegie Mellon University economic resilience in extreme- University of Florida event situations Resurreccion JZ, Santos JR The George Washington University

19 Monday 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 2:30 pm M3-E.4 Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G Methodology for addressing M3-A Food & M3-B Symposium: M3-C Poster Platform: M3-D Symposium: Using M3-E Symposium: Risk risk and uncertainty in ecosys- Environmental Hazards: Structuring Risk Topics on Applied Maps to Communicate and Uncertainty in tem restoration planning and Trust and the Public Decisions: Policy and Economic Analysis Geospatial Risk and Ecosystem Restoration for developing adaptive man- agement frameworks Chair: Stijn Pieters Personal Perspectives Co-Chairs: Frank Hearl, Uncertainty: Weather Planning: Methodology Suedel BC, Linkov I, Convertino M, 1:30 pm M3-A.1 Chair: Robin Gregory Cristina McLaughlin Forecasts and and Case Studies Foran CM, Baker KM, Vogel JT Risk communication activities 1:30 pm M3-B.1 M3-C.1 A prioritization pro- Environmental Hazards Chair: Matthew Bates US Army Corps of Engineers, for radiation risks in Fukushima Structuring choices: the deci- cess for updating permissible Chair: Lori Severtson 1:30 pm M3-E.1 Engineer Research and Development Murayama TM, Shioya HS, Totoki sion sketch exposure limits 1:30 pm M3-D.1 Metric selection for ecosystem Center YT Gregory R Hearl FJ, Asfaw AG, Barsan ME The influence of map design restoration: dealing with risk Tokyo Institute of Technology Decision Research National Institute for Occupational and hazard proximity on risk and uncertainty Safety and Health 1:50 pm M3-A.2 1:45 pm M3-B.2 beliefs and mitigation intentions Craig A, Convertino M, Baker K, Communicating food risks in an Decision aiding for the creation M3-C.3 An estimation meth- for maps of arsenic in private Lu C, Vogel J, McKay K, Linkov I era of growing public distrust of energy strategies od for lightning damage on tele- residential water wells US Army Engineer Research and Lofstedt R Bessette DL, Arvai JL communication equipment and a Severtson DJ Development Center, Environmental Kings College London University of Calgary cost-benefit analysis of lightning University of Wisconsin-Madison Lab countermeasure 2:10 pm M3-A.3 2:05 pm M3-B.3 1:50 pm M3-D.2 1:50 pm M3-E.2 Zhang X, Sugiyama A*, Sawada T Influences on farmers’ decision Creating proactive alternatives Representations of risk space Enhanced adaptive manage- Nippon Telegraph and Telephone making to avoid drug residues to prevent youth deaths and decision-making in tornado ment: application to the ever- Corporation in dairy cows - a mental model- Keeney RL, Palley AB warnings glades ecosystem ing approach to risk communi- Duke University M3-C.4 Cost per life-year Klockow KE, McPherson RA, Linkov I, Convertino M, Foran C, cation saved in the regulation of radio- Thomas RP Keisler JM, Scarlett L, LoSchiavo 2:25 pm M3-B.4 Thorne S, Hartogensis M, Acker- active food contamination due University of Oklahoma A, Kiker GA Evaluative structures to aid un- lund S, Kovacs D to the Fukushima I nuclear ac- US Army Engineer Research and derstanding of uncertainty 2:10 pm M3-D.3 Decision Partners; US Food and cident Development Center, University of Dieckmann NF, Gregory R, Peters Mapping climate change uncer- Drug Administration Oka T Massachusetts Boston, Resources for E tainty: a pilot study of effects on Fukui Rrefectural University the Future, US Army Corps of En- 2:30 pm M3-A.4 Decision Research, Oregon Health risk perceptions and decision gineers Jacksonville District, Univer- The role of compensation in & Sciences University, Ohio State M3-C.5 Methods for elicita- making sity of Florida the trust-risk-acceptability rela- University tion of attribute weights using Retchless DP tionships between environmen- ordinal judgments about utilities Penn State University 2:10 pm M3-E.3 Characterization of risk and tal hazards Wang C, Bier VM 2:30 pm M3-D.4 uncertainty for developing a Gutiérrez VV, Bronfman NC, University of Wisconsin-Madison Beyond the cone of uncertain- decision-based enhanced adap- Cifuentes L-A ty: effect of alternate hurricane tive management framework Universidad Diego Portales forecast maps on evacuation for submerged aquatic vegeta- intent tion restoration at Starved Rock Trumbo C, Peek L, Lueck M, Mar- Pool, Illinois River, USA latt H, McNolldy B Plumley MB, Haring CP, Suedel BC, Colorado State University, University Baker KM, Vogel JT, Linkov I of Miami US Army Corps of Engineers

20 Monday 1:30 - 3:10 PM 2:50 pm M3-F.5 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 2:30 PM Pacific Concourse H The role of EFSA in the EU Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O M3-F Symposium: monitoring systems for resi- M3-H Low-Dose, MOH M3-I Symposium: M3-J Roundtable: The M3-K Cummulative Produce Safety: Data dues: milk residues and Cancer Methods Governing Sustainability: Transatlantic Debate on Exposure & Risk Collection and Risk Serratosa J Co-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick, Different Approaches to Risk Regulation Screening European Food Safety Authority Assessments to Support Bette Meek Societal Integration in Chair: Ragnar Lofstedt Chair: Margaret MacDonell 1:30 pm M3-H.1 M3-J.1 Perspectives on the 1:30 pm M3-K.2 the Development of 1:30 - 3:00 PM Risk Management Issues Efficient stress-dependent tu- Co-Chairs: Myriam Merad, US-Canada-EU risk assessment Cumulative exposure to neuro- Metrics and Regulations Pacific Concourse I Co-Chairs: Yuhuan Chen, morigenesis: a new cancer theo- José Manuel Palma-Oliveira methodology dialogue: accom- developmental stressors in U.S. M3-G Analysis of Cyber Karin Hoelzer ry and implications for chemical 1:30 pm M3-I.1 plishments and challenges women of reproductive age 1:30 pm M3-F.1 Security Risk carcinogen risk extrapolation The governance of organiza- Beck NB Evans AM, Rice GE, Teuschler Experimental field trials, patho- Chair: Barry Ezell Bogen KT tions: dealing with complexity American Chemistry Council LK, Wright JM Exponent, Inc. - Health Sciences gen transfer coefficients, and 1:30 pm M3-G.1 and sustainability demands M3-J.2 From drugs to food Association of Schools of Public QPRAM (FDA’s virtual produce Communicating application se- 1:50 pm M3-H.2 Merad M, Marcel F and the environment: regula- Health, US Environmental Protec- farm risk assessment model) curity risk & business value Using model averaging and INERIS tory tennis games across the tion Agency O’Kane JB, Atri A Oryang D, Atwill R, Anderson M semiparametric methods in low 1:50 pm M3-I.2 Atlantic 1:50 pm M3-K.3 Vigilant, Inc. FDA-CFSAN, UC Davis, RTI dose extrapolations Risk communication without Bouder, FF An intermediate screening as- 1:50 pm M3-F.2 1:50 pm M3-G.2 Wheeler MW, Bailer AJ ‘risk communication’ or a sci- Maastricht University sessment for multipathway risk National Institute for Occupational Risk profile on Listeria mono- Industrial control system cyber entific risk communication: the M3-J.3 Actions not words: incorporating site-specific char- Safety and Health cytogenes in fresh and fresh-cut risk to regional transportation case of secil cement production examining risk levels across the acteristics produce: how far do the avail- Ezell B, Robinson M, Flanagan D, 2:10 pm M3-H.3 in Portugal and Tunisia Atlantic Henning C, Marin K, Holder C, able data take us towards under- Weiss J Elicitation of expert judg- Palma Oliveira JM Gray G Varghese A, Burch D, Hirtz J standing the risk? Old Dominion University’s ment on the form of the dose- Univeristy of Lisbon George Washington University ICF International, US Environmen- VMASC, Innovative Decisions, Inc. response curve for genotoxic tal Protection Agency Hoelzer K, Cahill SM, Dennis S 2:10 pm M3-I.3 M3-J.4 Responsibility, li- carcinogens at low exposures US Food and Drug Administration 2:10 pm M3-G.3 Environmental management: ability, and the nanny state 2:10 pm M3-K.4 - more questions than answers! 2:10 pm M3-F.3 A novel integrated approach tools and methods for stake- Hammitt JK Citizen sensing: new era of Flari V, Boobis A, Gosling JP, Hart Lettuce, enterohemorrhagic E. to cyber-physical infrastructure holder engagement Harvard/TSE pollutant monitoring for envi- risk assessment A, Craig P, Rushton L Collier ZA, Bates ME, Linkov I ronment health protection and coli and irrigation water: appli- M3-J.5 Divided by a com- Panjwani S Government; Academia US Army Engineer Research & sustainability cation of FDA’s iRISK tool for mon language? Exploring the Thane Incorp. 2:30 pm M3-H.4 Development Center MacDonell M, Finster M, Raymond rapid risk assessment to support diffusion of risk ideas across Mode of Action Human Rel- M, Wyker D, Temple B proposed produce regulation 2:30 pm M3-G.4 2:30 pm M3-I.4 the Atlantic evance (MOA/HR) framework Argonne National Laboratory Chen Y, Dennis S, Hoelzer K, A stochastic network-interdic- Measuring risk, resilience and Rothstein H - comparative analysis of weight Pouillot R tion model for cyber security adaptive capacity Kings College London Food and Drug Administration - Ertem M, Bier VM of evidence Convertino M, Seager TP, Linkov I M3-J.6 Explaining the trans- CFSAN University of Wisconsin-Madison Meek ME, Bachman A, North C, University of Florida and Risk and atlantic shift in risk regulation Palermo C, Lewis RJ Decision Science Team (USACE 2:30 pm M3-F.4 Vogel D McLauglin Center for Population ERDC) Combining commercial data col- University of California, Berkeley lection, targeted greenhouse and Health Risk Assessment, University field trials and risk modeling, and of Ottawa, ExxonMobil Biomedical M3-J.7 The real pattern of risk assessment modeling to sup- Sciences, Inc precaution, and the diffusion of port scientifically informed risk regulatory oversight management metrics for produce Wiener JB Buchanan RL Duke University Center for Food Safety and Security Systems, University of Maryland 21 Monday 3:30 - 5:10 PM 4:50 pm M4-A.5 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM Simulations Systems Ltd., Obninsk 3:30 - 5:10 PM Pacific Concourse D Pregnant women’s decision mak- Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J State Technical University for Nuclear Pacific Concourse F M4-A Symposium: Risk ing processes during the H1N1 M4-B Symposium: Part I: M4-C Poster Platform: Power Engineering, ETH Zurich M4-D Symposium: Communication for pandemic: perspectives of a Framework and Methods - Sustainable Cities and M4-C.9 Software tools for Emerging Methods for Pandemic Influenza: threatening virus and a risky re- Recent Efforts for Military Installations: achieving sustainability Risk Assessment and sponse Lessons Learned in Advancing the Risk- Energy, Water, Tkachuk A, Thorne S, Butte G, Governance of Kowal SP, Jardine CG, Bubela TM Williams L, Kovacs D, Linkov I, Canada from the H1N1 University of Alberta Informed Decision Infrastructure and Engineered Nanomaterials Outbreak Making System in the FDA Climate Change Levchenko V Chair: Danail Hristozov Decision Partners LLC, USACE Chair: Cindy Jardine Foods Veterinary Medicine Chair: Igor Linkov 3:30 pm M4-D.1 ERDC, Simulation Systems LTD 3:30 pm M4-A.1 (FVM) Program M4-C.1 Risk analysis and We can’t study everything: a val- Developing population specific Co-Chairs: Kara Morgan, water resources management ue of information case study to risk communications messaging: Yuhuan Chen for sustainable cities and military prioritize nanomaterials research a Manitoba Metis Federation 3:30 pm M4-B.2 installations Bates ME, Keisler JM, Wender BA, intervention for Metis citizens Leveraging epidemiology and Lambert JH Zussblatt N, Linkov I concerning pandemic H1N1 risk assessment methods to in- University of Virginia US Army Engineer R&D Center, University of Massachusetts Boston, Driedger SM, Maier R form risk-based food safety de- M4-C.2 Decision support Arizona State University, Massachu- University of Manitoba cisions for net zero installations: integra- setts Institute of Technology 3:50 pm M4-A.2 Hoffmann SA tion of technical data and sub- Decision-making in times of USDA, Economic Research Service ject matter expertise in a virtual 3:50 pm M4-D.2 uncertainty: vaccination uptake 3:50 pm M4-B.3 testbed to support optimization Risk and regulation for the pro- of pregnant women during the Applying the IOM framework of high performance buildings, duction of nano-materials: the H1N1 pandemic to FDA’s current FVM program combined heat and Po decade ahead du Plessis E, Avery L Hooberman B, Morgan K, Pomeroy Case MP, Swanson M, Bates M Kuiken T University of Manitoba E, Kern J, Feldstein F, Anderson B, US Army Engineer R&D Center Woodrow Wilson International Cen- ter for Scholars 4:10 pm M4-A.3 Schroeder J, Harms B, Mokhtari A, M4-C.3 Measuring a buzz Risk and decision-making: a Pierson K word: a review of sustainability 4:10 pm M4-D.3 case study of healthcare workers Food and Drug Administration metrics Modeling stochastically environ- perceptions regarding the 2009 4:10 pm M4-B.4 Tatham E, Foran C, Linkov I mental concentrations and risks H1N1 outbreak Economics-based methodology Boston University-USACE of engineered nanomaterials Gottschalk F, Sonderer T, Ort C, Elmieh N, Nicol AM, Astrakiana- for ranking foodborne micro- M4-C.6 Integrated perspec- Kost E, Scholz RW, Nowack B kis G biological contaminants tives on sustainable infrastruc- ETH Zurich Quest University Canada, University Lasher AB, Minor T*, Brown B, tures for cities and military instal- of British Columbia Parish M lations 4:30 pm M4-D.4 4:30 pm M4-A.4 FDA-CFSAN Myriam M, Wilbanks T A weight of evidence approach Information sources in pandem- 4:30 pm M4-B.5 National Institute for Environment, for hazard screening of engi- ic risk communication: a com- Developing a path forward to Oak Ridge National Laboratory neered nanomaterials Hristozov DR, Zabeo A, Foran C, parison between the SARS and advancing risk informed deci- M4-C.8 Energy security: us- Critto A, Marcomini A, Linkov I H1N1 outbreaks sion making in the Food Veteri- ing multicriteria decision analysis Ca’ Foscari University Venice, US Jardine CG, Boyd AD, Boerner FU, nary Medicine Program (FVM) to select power supply alterna- Army Corps of Engineers Driedger SM at FDA tives for small settlements under University of Alberta, University of Morgan K, Hooberman B, Pomeroy risk and uncertainty Calgary, Institute for Technology As- E, Kern J, Feldstein F, Anderson B, Tkachuk A, Collier Z, Linkov I, sessment and Systems Analysis, Uni- Schroeder J, Harms B, Mokhtari A, Travleev A, Levchenko V, Levchenko versity of Manitoba Pierson K A, Kazansky Y, Parad S US Food and Drug Administration Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 22 Monday 4:50 pm M4-D.5 3:30 - 5:00 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM What LCAs tell us about nano- Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O products: a case study in copper M4-F Risk and M4-H Symposium: M4-I Resilience M4-J Roundtable: M4-K Symposium: treated lumber Development Potpourri Challenging the Linear- Evaluation Approaches Smarter Regulation Cumulative Risk Assessment Meyer D, Tsang M, Ingwersen W, Chair: Alison Cullen No-Threshold Dose- for the Analysis of through Nudges, 1: The Leading and Hawkins T 3:30 pm M4-F.1 Reponse Model Complex Systems Information, Trailing Edge: Multiple Environmental Protection Agency; When is enough sampling Chair: Gail Charnley Chair: Royce Francis Association of Schools for Public Incentives Agency Perspectives on enough? An ESHIA survey 3:30 pm M4-H.1 3:30 pm M4-I.1 Health Co-Chairs: Sally Kane, Cumulative Risk Assessment Shibata MF, Hausmann NT Historical basis for using the Developing a resilience metric Susan Dudley Chair: Steve Gibb 3:30 - 5:10 PM ERM, Inc. linear-no-threshold model in to measure effectiveness of The Obama Administration 3:30 pm M4-K.1 Pacific Concourse G 3:50 pm M4-F.2 chemical regulation various defensive investments has issued a variety of directives Cumulative risk assessment at M4-E Symposium: Commmodification of a risky Golden R Tas S, Bier VM aimed at improving regulatory EPA - assembling the pieces Frontiers in Benefit-Cost business ToxLogic LLC Penn State Berks, UW-Madison outcomes through disclosure, Martin LR Analysis: Valuing Risks Hällgren M, Jacobsson M 3:50 pm M4-H.2 3:50 pm M4-I.2 flexible compliance options, de- US Government fault rules, and ‘humanized cost and Equity Umeå School of Business and Eco- Results of the US Department A framework for assessing in- 3:50 pm M4-K.2 benefit analysis’. This round- Chair: Lisa Robinson nomics, Umeå University of Energy’s low-dose radiation frastructure risk A practical approach to cumu- table will explore 1) the potential 3:30 pm M4-E.1 4:10 pm M4-F.3 research program Phillips JA, Basset GW, Buehring lative risk assessment: lessons for these regulatory approaches, The social value of mortality Cumulative risk assessment ap- Brooks A WA, Carlson JL, Whitfield RG, learned from a California cumula- which according to E.O. 13563, risk reduction: VSL vs. the so- proach for tribal members at Washington State University (Retired) Peerenboom JP tive impacts screening methodol- “include warnings, appropriate cial welfare function approach the Hanford site 4:10 pm M4-H.3 Argonne National Laboratory ogy default rules, and disclosure re- Adler MD, Hammitt JK*, Treich N Callahan KL, Ridolfi C,Cirone P Developing dose-response 4:10 pm M4-I.3 August LA, Cushing L, Faust JB, quirements as well as provision Harvard University Ridolfi Inc. genotoxicity and toxicoge- Risk performance indicators Alexeeff G* of information to the public in nomic data to replace default for increasing the protection State Government 3:50 pm M4-E.2 4:30 pm M4-F.4 a form that is clear and intelli- assumptions of the linear-no- and resilience of critical infra- Valuing morbidity risk: willing- Exposure to artificial ultraviolet gible,” to “reduce burdens and 4:10 pm M4-K.3 threshold (LNT) dose-response structure ness to pay per quality-adjusted radiations from sunbed: health maintain flexibility and freedom Integration of cumulative risk model Fisher RE, Petit FD life year impact assessment on cutane- of choice for the public,” 2) the and environmental justice assess- Recio L Argonne National Laboratory Hammitt JK, Haninger K ous melanoma in France extent to which these innova- ments: methods and a case study Integrated Laboratory Systems, Inc US Department of Health and Hu- Boniol M, Coignard F, Vacquier B, 4:30 pm M4-I.4 tions are being incorporated example man Services Benmarhnia T, Gaillot-de Saintignon 4:30 pm M4-H.4 The role of human factors in into rulemaking, and 3) lessons Barzyk TM, Martin L 4:10 pm M4-E.3 J, Le Tertre A, Dore JF, Empereur- Thresholds for chemically in- enhancing current and future learned including challenges of US Environmental Protection Agency Comparing risk preferences Bissonnet P duced toxicity: theories and resilience of critical national in- incorporating behavioral ap- 4:30 pm M4-K.4 over financial and environmen- IPRI, InVS, INPES, INCA, evidence frastructure proaches (‘nudges’) into regula- Communicating risk and health tal lotteries INSERM Schoeny R Pearce JM, Rogers MB tory approaches. education can be an important US EPA King’s College London Riddel MC Panelists: aspect of cumulative risk assess- University of Nevada, Las Vegas 4:50 pm M4-H.5 4:50 pm M4-I.5 Finkel A, Rowell A, Williams R ment 4:30 pm M4-E.4 Impact of the linear-no-thresh- Risk to resilience: a new ap- UMDNJ School of Public Health, Mumtaz MG Cost-benefit analysis and dis- old model on reported regula- proach for comprehensive as- University of Illinois College of Agency for Toxic Substances and Dis- tributive weights tory benefits sessment of complex systems Law, Richard W. and Marie L. ease Registry Adler MD Dudley SE Bekera B, Francis R Corman Scholar, George Mason 4:50 pm M4-K.5 Duke University The George Washington University George Washington University University The ‘Trailing Edge’ on cumulative 4:50 pm M4-E.5 risk assessment - communication Improving prediction market lessons from the US EPA’s cumu- forecasts for policymaking lative exposure project Karvetski CW, Olson KC Gibb SK The Scientific Consulting Group, Inc. George Mason University 23 Monday Poster Categories Monday P.11 Communication confusion: an P.18 Social media value modeling P.25 An innovative approach to Basic Psychological Processes 6:00 - 8:00 PM analysis of the controversy surround- applications and best practices in deci- circumpolar risk communication re- P1-10 Grand Ballroom ing the regulation of Bisphenol A in sion-making and risk communication search on environmental contami- Communications P Poster Reception Europe strategy nants P11-P19, P22, P25, P59, P107, P113 P. 1 Effects of time series change of Cheadle JL Graham KC, Freberg KJ, Vidoloff KG, Leech T, Furgal C, Gilman A, Kruemmel Dose Response presented frequency of aversive stimuli King’s College London Eosco G E, Tikhonov C, Odland J, Berner J, Bone- P20, P55-P58, P60-P62, P64-P74, on overestimation of frequency P.12 Visual typologies: a case study United States Military Academy, West feld-Jorgenson E, Dudarev A, Rautio A P112, P120, P178 Kugihara N of uncertainty in wall-to-wall tornado Point Health Canada, Trent University, Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program Exposure Osaka University coverage P.19 Professional and public percep- P21, P24, P63, P96-P106, P109-111, P. 2 The impact of risk-related un- Eosco GM, Steinhardt J, Scherer CW tions of information needs during a P.26 Is there overlap in US hazard P114-119, P121-127, P135, P169 certainty on people’s demands for the Cornell University drinking water contamination event characterization programs that focus Decision, Analysis & Risk regulation of risks P.13 Assesing intercultural differ- Yund C, Minamyer S, Tardif R on environmental exposure—an eval- P26-P54 Poortvliet PM ences in response to risk messages US Environmental Protection Agency uation of the data Beck NB, Becker RA Ecological Risk Assessment Wageningen University related to oil spills and dispersant use P.20 Peer review the ITERate way: American Chemistry Council P75-P83 P. 3 Blaming the butterfly for the Lachlan KA, Spence PR results of four chemical reviews Economics and Benefits Analysis hurricane: risk perception in a chaotic University of Massachusetts Boston Nance P, Willis A, Patterson J, Dourson M P.27 Delphi survey of issues after P84-P86 world P.15 Informing management for Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment the 2011 Great East Japan Earth- quake: interim report 3 Emerging Nanoscale Materials Steinhardt J socioecological resilience in the Sierra P.21 Advancing collaboration in Maeda Y, Seo K, Motoyoshi T P87-P88, P163 Cornell University Nevada bioregion workplace health risk assessment: the Winter PL, Skinner CN, Long J, Patterson Occupational Alliance for Risk Sci- Shizuoka Univerisity, Aoyama Gakuin Technologies P. 4 From process-based risk University, Kansai University P89, P134, P159-P162, P164-P165 analysis to organizational attention – T, Charnley S ence (OARS) USFS Pacific Southwest Research Station Nance P, Maier A P.28 Characterization of risk to Engineering and Infrastructure Learning from Fall of France 1940 Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment population health P90-P95 and K2 2008 P.16 I share, therefore I am: a U.S.- Kutsch E, Hall M China comparison of information P.22 Risk communication in the Lapuente PLF, Cifuentes LAC, Pica APT Tech Hazards Psychological Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile Processes Cranfield University, School of Management sharing behaviors related to climate light of different risk perspectives P108, P139, P166-P168, P170-P171, P. 7 Moral aspects and the role of change Veland H, Aven T P.29 Human health risk assessment P173-176 fragility in perceiving societal risks Yang ZJ, Kahlor L University of Stavanger of hydraulic fracturing SUNY at Buffalo Pawlisz A Health Bassarak C, Pfister HR, Böhm G P.24 Estimating the relative impact Conestoga-Rovers &Associates P128-133, P136, P158 Leuphana University Lueneburg; University P.17 Identifying the role of social of shipping traffic, vehicular traffic Natural Hazards Psychological Bergen and psychological factors in farmer and domestic solid fuel combustion P.30 Health impact assessment or Processes P. 8 A mental model approach to nutrient management choices upon air quality in Cork City, Ireland: risk assessment: what’s the differ- P137-P138, P172 understanding poaching behavior Wilson RS, Ritter T a case study ence? Ohio State Healy RM, Hellebust S, O’Connor IP, Al- MacDonald Gibson J, Singleton-Baldrey L, Risk and Development Dempsey T, Rivers, III L lanic A, Sodeau JR, Wenger JC, Evans GJ Dennerlein T, Rodriguez D P142-P143 MSU University College Cork, University of To- University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Risk Assessment; Food Safety & P.10 Gender and risk perception ronto Disease Transmissions among police officers P.31 Hazard identification: PBT as- P144-P151 Chua YT, Rivers L sessment of hydraulic fracturing fluids from coal-seam gas field in Australia Security & Defense Michigan State University Biksey T, Goulding N, Bevan C P152-P157 EHS Support, Inc., EHS Support, Inc., Works-In-Progress Bevan, CJB Consulting LLC P179-P202

24 Monday P.32 A simulation-based approach P.39 Using cognitive science meth- P.48 Risk analysis with non-probabi- P.58 Detecting tumor response to P.65 Weight of evidence evalua- for conducting n-way sensitivity analy- ods and tools to define influences listic robustness: is it a good (probabi- therapy with automated analysis of tion of diacetyl exposure response sis on user participation in environment listic) bet? contrast-enhanced ultrasound relationship in popcorn and flavoring Simon J, Wall KD Canada’s science alert database Ben-Haim Y Ta CN, Yi BH, Wu Z, Mattrey RF, Kum- worker studies Naval Postgraduate School Kovacs DC, Pollock JS, Thorne S, Butte G, Technion mel AC Roberts LJ, Pierce JS, Johns LE, Lievense P.33 Semi-quantitative risk analysis Renaud D P.49 A neural network-based model University of California San Diego L, Finley BL and scenario development as deci- Decision Partners; Environment Canada, for predicting risk of supplier’s envi- P.59 TRI: communicating health ef- ChemRisk sion-making support: a case study Science and Technology Branch ronmental failure fects to communities P.66 Derivation of a chronic oral Parra LM, Suarez MC, Munoz F P.40 Quantitative analysis of risk vs. Hajbagheri M, Salsal M Russell P, Reid J, Chun A, Brown L, Lynch reference dose for cobalt Universidad de los Andes risk trade-offs for substituting lead- Meisam Paper Co. M* Monnot AD, Gaffney SH, Paustenbach P.34 The health impact of aviation free solder for lead solder P.53 Risk preferences and decision US EPA, US Public Health Service (Ret.), DJ, Finley BF - what impact can consumer choices Ono K, Tsunemi K, Kawamoto A, Fuse M, making in a wildland fire context: in- and Abt Associates ChemRisk, LLC have? Gamo M, Takeshita J, Makino R sights from a multi-attribute lottery P.60 EPA’s benchmark dose model- P.67 Birth weight, household smok- Wagner CC, Norris G, Evans JS National Institute of Advanced Industrial experiment ing: current capabilities and future di- ing, and the risk of wheezing in one Cyprus International Institute, Harvard Science and Technology (AIST) Hand MS, Wibbenmeyer M, Calkin DE, rection million adolescents: a retrospective School of Public Health P.41 Decision aiding for climate risk Thompson MP Lowe LL, Davis JA, Gift JS* cohort study P.35 Support for Environmental mitigation in developing countries US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Re- US Environmental Protection Agency Lin MH, Ho WC, Chen PC, Wu TN, Rapid Risk Assessment Database Kenney L, Arvai J search Station P.61 Identification of critical data Lin RS (SERRA) University of Calgary P.54 Heavy metal screening tool gaps in the development of a key China Medical University Yoder Bowling C, Stone H, Nichols T, P.43 Greenhouse gas emissions, air Tran N, Barraj L*, Troxell T, Scrafford C events dose-response framework for P.68 Aggregate risk assessment for Adeshina F (Presented by Garrahan KG) pollution, and overall societal cost for Exponent, Inc. Bacillus anthracis Bisphenol A in Taiwan US Environmental Protection Agency household heating scenarios in Fin- P.55 Health risk assessment of Hines SA, Comer JE Hsiao IL, Huang YJ, Wu KY P.36 Identification of the risk re- land weight gain and allergic rhinitis Battelle National Taiwan University lated criteria for multi-criteria analysis Kollanus V, Taimisto P, Tainio M, Tuom- Fan GZ, Wang IJ, Hsieh CJ, Lin MH, P.62 Setting occupational exposure P.69 Assessment of cadmium (a to- and optimization of water resources isto JT Tsai MS, Ho WC, Chen PC, Lin RS limits for potent pharmaceuticals bacco smoke toxicant), as a driver of systems National Institute for Health and Welfare, China Medical University Cragin DW genotoxicity. Finland, Systems Research Institute, Poland Srdjevic B, Srdjevic Z, Bajcetic R, Pipan M P.56 A statistical method for analysis Merck, Sharp & Dohme Cunningham FH, Fiebelkorn SA, Dillon University of Novi Sad P.45 Integrated cost and schedule of relative toxicity values and its ap- P.63 A quantitative risk assessment DM, Meredith C P.37 Anchorage: an unexpected bias risk analysis plication to risk vs. risk trade-offs of model for Vibrio parahaemolyticus in Group Research and Development, British in randomized intervention trials? Gilmer G, Druker ER, Anderson CW metals shrimps washed with lactic acid and American Tobacco, UK Eisinger F, Giordanella JP, Julian-Reynier Booz Allen Hamilton Takeshita J, Gamo M, Kanefuji K, Tsubaki chitosan during postharvest process- P.71 Structured expert judgment C, Pingannaud MP, Seitz JF, Faivre J, So- P.46 Environmental risk assess- H ing for characterize uncertainty between bol H, Allemand H ment at construction project’s feasibil- National Instutute of Advanced Industrial Wang W, Li M, Fang W, Li Y PM2.5 exposure and mortality in Paoli-Calmettes Institute ity study phase using Fuzzy TOPSIS Science and Technology (AIST), The Insti- Zhejiang University Chile: preliminary results P.38 Individual risk management method tute of Statistical Mathematics P.64 A quantitative risk assessment Cisternas PC, Bronfman NC, Celsi RB, decisions in the wake of a wide-area Sadeghi F, Hajbagheri M P.57 Bayesian nonparametric analy- model for Listeria monocytogenes in Cifuentes LA anthrax release: is antibiotic prophy- Pardazesh Samaneh Farboud Consulting sis for benchmark dose estimation ready-to-eat poultry products Universidad Andres Bello laxis enough? Co. from continuous data Li M, Wang W*, Fang W, Li Y Hamilton MA, Gurian PL, Casman L, P.47 Project risk management prac- Shao K, Gift JS Zhejiang University Hong T, Jackson E, Alizadehtazi B tices in Middle East construction in- National Center for Environmental Assess- Drexel University dustry: an empirical investigation ment, US EPA Sadeghi F, Hajbagheri M Pardazesh Samaneh Farboud Consulting Co. 25 Monday P.72 Non-cancer risk assessment of P.79 The analysis of geographical P.87 Development of innovative P.95 The value of cost and schedule P.104 Estimating parameters from 1, 3-Butadiene: draft acute and chronic patterns of climate variability changes. methodology for safety assessment of risk management categorical food consumption and reference exposure levels for California Using inter-quantile distances and sur- industrial nanomaterials: overview of Stillman M food handling survey data Brown JP, Winder B, Salmon AG, Marty face temperature data research framework Kleinfelder Chardon JE, Swart AN MA, Alexeeff GV Timofeev AA, Sterin AM Gamo M, Honda K, Yamamoto K, Fuku- P.97 Estimating occupational acci- RIVM, National Institute for Public California Environmental Protection Agency RIHMI-WDC shima S, Takebayashi T dents severity: a fuzzy approach for Health and the Environment, The Nether- P.73 Application of a Multiple Model P.80 Application of ROC curves in National Institute of Advanced Industrial reducing its subjectivity lands Data Fusion Framework (MMDF) for analyzing meteorological risks Science and Technology (AIST), Japan Bio- Pinto A P.105 Hand and object to mouth chemical warfare agents toxicology and Agurenko AO assay Research Center, Keio University ISEC - Instituto Superior de Educação e contact activities and non-dietary soil their degradation products from a pub- RIHMI-WDC P.88 A model of the oxidation of Ciências - Lisboa, Portugal and dust ingestion rates for young lic health and clinical risk assessment P.82 Gaining the social license to nanosilver in surficial freshwater sedi- P.98 New TCE and PCE toxicity children in Taiwan perspective operate ments: exploring research needs and values and implications for vapor in- Chien LC, Winston D, Ozkaynak H, Mohapatra AK Froese KL, Kapustka LA the role of sediments in nanosilver trusion sites Tsou M, Hseu ZY, Hsi HC, Bradham K, Health Canada SLR Consulting, Canada risk forecasting Liu C, Luke N Beamer P P.74 Aggregate human health risk Dale AL, Lowry GV, Casman EA CDM Smith Taipei Medical University, Taiwan, US P.83 Methodology for the estima- Carnegie Mellon University EPA, National Pingtung University, Tai- assessment of urban daily life environ- tion of the environmental risk P.99 Probabilistic analysis of Legio- ment in Beijing P.89 A risk based perspective suit- wan, National Taipei University of Tech- Pica APT, Cifuentes LAC, Lapuente PLF nellosis outbreak data and its potential nology, Taiwan, University of Arizona Xin S, Linyu X Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile able for high reliability seeking orga- contribution to microbial risk assess- Beijing Normal University, P.R.China nizations: with applications to the oil P.106 Apportionment of expo- P.84 Valuation methodology for the ment P.75 Parameters for a biomonitoring and gas industry Wallet F, Fontenay L, Cabanes PA sure and risk from contaminants of health benefits associated to reducing Khorsandi JD, Aven T emerging concern plan for mercury in freshwater ecosys- PM2.5 concentration EDF Service des Etudes Médicales, France, tems University of Stavanger Société de Calcul Mathématique, France Greene CW, Goeden HM, Rice N, Shubat Cifuentes L, Cabrera C PJ Burger J, Gochfeld M, Kosson D, Powers CW, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile P.90 Accuracy and simulation speed P.100 An alarum for ALARA: deci- Clarke J comparison between the Lattice Minnesota Department of Health P.85 Risk trade-off analysis on the sion analysis applied to radiation pro- Rutgers University and CRESP Boltzmann Method with free surface tection P.107 Developing a communication substitution of automotive coatings and fluent applied to a process safety tool of food-related radiation risk P.76 Bioavailability and ecological risk from organic solvent-borne coatings Lee RC, Black P, Perona R, Tauxe J, Lee of metals in an estuarine habitat: evalu- case study R Hosono H, Kumagai Y, Sekizaki T to water-borne coatings Rodríguez SE, Díaz JC, López OD, Mu- The University of Tokyo ation of multiple lines of evidence Kajihara H, Takai A, Inoue K Neptune and Company, Inc. Kountzman JA ñoz F P.108 Does the trust on food safety National Institute of Advanced Industrial Universidad de los Andes P.101 Phase I impact assessment re- Black & Veatch Special Projects Corp. Science and Technology sults for polybrominated diphenyl system affect Japanese risk perception P.78 Compilation and evaluation P.91 Technology for ubiquitous un- ethers and vanadium compounds on foods after Fukushima accident? P.86 Theoretic analysis of human certainty propagation Hosono H, Nakashima Y of associations between Deformi- behavior in a chemical plant on the Rak A, Bass N, Vogel C, Lanier K ties, Erosions, Lesions and Tumors Ferson S, O’Rawe J, Mickley J, Cheng B Noblis, US Army Public Health Command The University of Tokyo basis of Probabilistic Risk Analysis Applied Biomathematics (DELT Anomalies) in freshwater (PRA) and game theory P.102 Human health risk assessment P.109 Health risk assessment of fine fish and chemical and non-chemical Makino R, Takeshita J P.92 Identifying and prioritizing of pesticide mixtures suspended particulate in rural and ur- stressors for EPA’s causal analysis National Institute of Advanced Industrial shared rail corridor safety & other Chiang SY, Wu HC, Wu KY banizing areas of Taiwan Burris JA, Suter G, Gerritsen J Science and Technology technical challenges China Medical University Ho WC, Lin MH, Tsai MS, Chen PC, CDM Smith Saat MR, Caughron B, Barkan C Cheng TJ University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign P.103 Using food label data to assess China Medical University the intake of sodium for various US P.94 Project risk management cycle subpopulations Cretu V, Cretu O, Lim JK Brookmire LM Cretu Group LLC FDA

26 Monday P.110 Exposure and toxicity assess- P.116 Dietary exposure estimates of P.126 High tension wires: risk of P.134 Risk of emerging pollutants: P.140 Deliberating geoengineering ment for size-related airborne par- frequently and infrequently consumed leukemia in the Lebanese childhood the presence of pharmaceuticals in risks: the case of stratospheric aero- ticulate matter from nearby traffic in foods in the US population water bodies sols and the SPICE Project Seoul Srinivasan JR, Brookmire L, DiNovi MJ El Yahchouchy R Castineira D, Gomez N, Rodriguez Mo- Pidgeon NF, Parkhill KA, Corner A, Kim JY, Yang JY, Kim SH, Jo MJ, Lim US FDA Cyprus International Institute in Associa- reyra M, Monzon AN, Demichelis SO* Vaughan N YW, Kim CS, Shin DC P.117 Importance of the population tion with Harvard School of Public Health National University of Lanus, JF Kennedy Tyndall Centre, Cardiff University and Yonsei University exposure model in the impact of PM P.127 Health-related monitoring and University of Argentina University of East Anglia P.111 Methylene Chloride - common and daily mortality surveillance activities under the Gov- P.135 Sanitary risk in vulnerable dis- P.142 Framework proposal to cor- lab contaminant or mutagenic con- Strappa V, Jorquera H, Cifuentes LA ernment of Canada’s Chemicals Man- tricts: the villa Porá In Lanús a case porate risk management for holding taminant? Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile agement Plan of study companies Krupka EA P.118 Estimating indoor air expo- Yome JL Jazmin N, Quintana J, Rimoldi B, Monzon Ladario MP, Ávila RG, Laudares CC, CDM Smith sure concentrations of biodegradable Health Canada AN, Demichelis SO* Mota AG P.112 Carcinogenic risk assessment VOCs using API’s BioVapor Spread- P.128 Investigation of differing rates National University of Lanus ELO Group Desenvolvimento E Consul- approaches for new animal drugs sheet Model of protective behavior adoption on P.136 Public perception of wood toria used in food-producing animals Turnham P, Richter RO, Griffin JR West Nile virus by Hispanics and smoke and traffic-related air pollution P.143 Framework proposal to sup- Zhou T, Ekelman K, Greenlees K Exponent non-Hispanics: a cognitive-affective as health risks in Finland port the integration of risk manage- US Food and Drug Administration, Center P.119 Investigation of cobalt steady- risk perception approach Ung-Lanki S, Lanki T ment and business continuity man- for Veterinary Medicine state levels in five healthy adult vol- Kim S-J, Davidson CP, Lueck MM, National Institute for Health and Welfare agement P.113 The impact of risk communi- unteers taking 14-days of a cobalt McLane DN, Trumbo CW P.137 Does a great disaster make the Ladario MP, Farias Filho JR cation on individual perception in a supplement Colorado State University public pessimistic or optimistic? ELO Group Desenvolvimento E Consul- complex interactive and tightly cou- Tvermoes BE, Otani J, Unice K, Finley B, P.129 Predicting cancer preventive in- Nakayachi K, Oki S, Yokoyama HM toria pled organisation Paustenbach DJ, Galbraith D tentions with the Theory of Planned Doshisha University P.144 Quantification of pathogens in Marynissen H, Ladkin D, Denyer D, ChemRisk, LLC Behavior: behavior novelty as a poten- P.138 A multidimensional examina- graywater using molecular approaches Snoeijers E, Van Achte T P.120 Advancements in risk assess- tial moderator of descriptive norm- tion of hurricane preparedness and Wahlen JB, de los Reyes FL, Frey HC Cranfield University, University of Ant- ment: evolving methods and future intention relationship evacuation intention North Carolina State University werp, PM directions Kim HK, Kim SY, Niederdeppe J Trumbo C, Peek L, Lueck M, Marlatt H, P.145 Quantitative risk assessment P.114 GIS capabilities in risk-based Williams PRD, Dotson GS, Maier A Cornell University McNoldy B, Gruntfest E, Schubert W for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in leafy model for prioritization of environ- E Risk Sciences, LLP P.131 Risk communication in the Colorado State University, University of greens mental inspections in Chile P.121 Update on MTBE in public doctor-patient relationship Miami, University of Colorado at Colorado Pang H, Pradhan AK Romero A, Borchers N, Cifuentes L, Pica drinking water wells in California Gresh DL, Deleris LA, Eisinger F Springs University of Maryland A (1995 to 2011) IBM Research, Institut Paoli-Calmettes P.139 Whole energy systems, risk P.146 Prototyping study for the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile Williams PRD P.132 Risk communication of H1N1 perception and low carbon transitions French Food Safety Observatory P.115 Evaluation of potential take E Risk Sciences, LLP information to nurses in two Cana- with the UK public Cuzzucoli D, Gauchard F, Poisson S, home exposure during laundering ac- P.123 Addressing potential risks of dian provinces Pidgeon NF, Butler C, Parkhill KA Touze B, Sanaa M tivities: a simulation study of airborne emerging technologies: a comparative Jardine C, Driedger M, Keelan J, Boerner F, Cardiff University Anses chrysotile concentrations associated study of R&D cases at AIST Kain N, Visram A P.147 Interactive online catalogue on with handling clothing exposed to Kishimoto A University of Alberta risk assessment known levels of airborne National Institute of Advanced Industrial P.133 Shame, obesity, and persuasion Swart A, Nauta M, Ruzante JM Sahmel J, Barlow CA, Donovan B, Gaffney Science and Technology Timberlake SE The National Institute for Public Health S, Madl AK, Henshaw J, Lee RJ, Van Or- North Carolina State University and the Environment (RIVM), National den D, Paustenbach DJ Food Institute and University of Maryland CHEMRISK LLC

27 Monday P.148 Validation of a risk assessment P.158 High risk perception and low P.166 Uncertainty and identity as P.173 Effects of acknowledging un- P.180 A false balance? Affect, exem- model of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob risk prevention in high risk cancer moderators of fairness perceptions in certainty over time: the case of inten- plars, and media coverage of contro- Disease (vCJD) transmission via red families the context agricultural biotechnology tional food contamination versial risk cell transfusion Flander LB, Speirs-Bridge A, Rutstein A, Besley JC, McComas KA, Steinhardt J Hallman WK, McWilliams RM, Senger- Dixon GN Yang H, Gregori L, Asher D, Piccardo P, Niven H, Win AK, Ouakrim DA, Hop- Michigan State University Mersich A*, Cuite CL Cornell University Anderson SA per JL, Keogh L, Gaff C, Jenkins MA P.167 Public perceptions of the Rutgers University P.182 Applying the source to out- US Food and Drug Administration University of Melbourne deadly 2011 Listeria in cantaloupe P.174 Adopting future biotechnolo- come pathway concept to chemical P.149 Quantitative microbial risk as- P.159 Polychlorinated Naphthalene, outbreak gies: the role of risk perception, trust, risk assessment: assessing consumer sessment for gastrointestinal illnesses another PCBs? Cuite CL, Senger-Mersich A, McWilliams knowledge, and social norms safety and environmental impact to- associated with recreational water ex- Julias C, Marcum T, Luke N RM, Hallman WK* Poortvliet PM, De Bruin M, Mulder B, gethe posure, using time-lapse photography CDM Smith Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey Lugtig P Soumpasis I, Malcomber I, Maxwell G in the Philadelphia area P.161 ‘Controllable’ risk and attribut- P.168 Public perception of renew- Wageningen University, Utrecht University SEAC UNILEVER Sunger NS, Haas CNH ing responsibility for causing and pre- able energy technologies: examining P.175 Nuclear power before and after P.183 Introduction of risk size in the Drexel University venting an accident: a study of three the notion of widespread support and Fukushima: how are attitudes, ambiv- determination of uncertainty factor P.150 Using lessons learned from the US National Parks the role for climate change and energy alence and knowledge related? UFL in risk assessment field to inform microbial exposure as- Rickard LN security risk perceptions Visschers V, Wallquist L Xue JL, Lu Y, Velasquez N, Hu HY, Yu sessment SUNY College of Environmental Science Demski CC, Pidgeon N, Poortinga W ETH Zurich RJ, Liu ZT, Meng W Silvestri E, Chappie D, Lordo R, Taft S, and Forestry (ESF) Cardiff University P.177 Risks of advanced artificial in- Tsinghua University, China Hines S, Stone H, Nichols T P.162 Coordination in a risky envi- P.169 Development of an indoor ex- telligence P.184 An agent-centered risk and US Environmental Protection Agency, Bat- ronment posure assessment tool (iAIR) Anissimov MA decision-analytic approach to climate telle Memorial Institute Jacobsson M, Hällgren M* Higashino H, Shinozaki H Singularity Institute change adaptation P.151 Prioritizing risks and uncertain- Umeå School of Business and Economics, National Institute of Advanced Industrial P.178 Relationships between admin- Clifford K, Huisenga MT, Travis WT, ties from intentional release of select- Umeå University Science and Technology istered dose, body burden and ther- Clifford KR ed category A pathogens P.163 Green chemistry and green en- P.170 Weighing environmental vs. moregulatory response after acute University of Colorado Hong T, Gurian PL, Huang Y, Haas CN gineering as a key driver of innovation economic risks, costs, benefits, and oral exposure to multiple pyrethroid P.185 California setting the standard National Exposure Research Laboratory, in life sciences industry - case studies values: predicting home energy up- insecticides in rats with low-threat UST closure criteria USEPA Kim ST, Seid D, Schatz J grade program participation Mosquera Ortega ME, Pato AM, Romero Arulanantham R, Cheung R* P.152 Multi-period defensive re- Life Technologies Priest SH, Neill H, Young G DM, Sosa Holt CS, Alvarez G, Ridolfi Geosyntec Consultants - Engineering Con- source allocation considering equity P.164 A risk based approach to ship- University of Nevada, Las Vegas A, Villaamil Lepori E, Wolansky MJ* sulting and possibly non-strategic attackers ping life sciences reagents at ambient P.171 Safer spaces: public perceptions University of Buenos Aires (UBA) and P.186 Psychological distance of adap- Shan X, Zhuang J temperature to reduce environmental of, engagement with and reactions to Argentine National Research Council tation and mitigation University at Buffalo, SUNY impact and retain their quality and sta- countering terror in public places (CONICET) Sposato RG P.156 Exploring the health care surge bility Rogers MB, McAndrew C, Triggs T, Lux- Works-In-Progress Cardiff University capacity requirements during a terror- Kim ST, Schatz J ton R, Wooton A P.179 Case studies: human food safe- P.187 RAMPART - Risk Assess- ist attack on the food supply Life Technologies King’s College London, London College of ty assessment of hormone-like drugs ment Methodology Property Analysis Hartnett E, Lysak K, Schaffner D, Hed- P.165 Rivers, world of leisure activi- Communication, University of the West of used in food-producing animals Ranking Took berg C, Paoli G ties and industrial world: from con- England, University of Salford Zhou T, Yan D*, Gaido K, Friedlander Pohl P, Brown J, Deitch B Risk Sciences International, Clarity Health- frontation to risk management P.172 Mental model of the dust bowl LG, Ekelman KB, Aguila MC Sandia National Laboratory care, Rutgers, University of Minnesota Guillaume O migration Food and Drug Administration, Center for P.157 Import security: assessing the Electricite De France R&D Rivers L, Whitley C, Bryant S, Schmitt Veterinary Medicine risks of imported food Olabisi L, Molen N, Ligmann-Zielinska Welburn JW, Bier VM, Hoerning SQ A, Marquart-Pyatt S University of Wisconsin - Madison Michigan State University

28 P.188 Prioritizing emerging P.194 Respiratory effects as- P.200 Stakeholder mental mod- pathogens in transfusion safety sociated with NO2 dose in the els of port seismic risk: a case through expert elicitation context of workplace expo- study of two high-hazard ports Neslo REJ, Janssen MP, Oei W sures, Part A: examination of Bostrom A, Scharks T, Reimann- Julius Center for Health Sciences and changes in symptomatology Garretson L, Rix G Primary Care and pro-inflammatory media- University of Washington P.189 Characterisation and tors P.201 Recreationists and expo- regulatory oversight of carbon Davies DB, Bryant DW*, Bibeau sure to ozone in two Los Ange- monoxide risks from heating K, VanGeest J les communities appliances in Ontario Intrinsik Environmental Sciences Winter PL, Padgett PE, Rounsav- Sridharan S, Veeramany A, Man- P.195 Respiratory effects as- ille T galam S sociated with NO2 dose in the USFS, Pacific Southwest Research TSSA, Canada context of workplace expo- Station P.190 Why intuitive risk judge- sures, Part B: meta-analysis of P.202 Perception and Measure- ments deviate from statistical changes in lung function and ment of Climate and Climate risk estimates, and how can the airway hyper-responsiveness Impacts Among the Rural Poor SRA looks forward to seeing you in deviations be mediated? Souweine K, Butler K, LeClair H, in Vietnam Komatsu H McDaniel M Cullen AC, Anderson CL Baltimore, Maryland Central Research Institute of Electric McDaniel Lambert Evans School of Public Affairs, Power Industry (CRIEPI) P.196 Stimulating reflexive re- University of Washington, Seattle December 8-11, 2013 P.191 Electromagnetic interfer- search among undergraduate ence: risk of exceeding immu- researchers of nanotechnology See you next year! nity of medical equipment in a Eosco GM, Tallapragada M*, Mc- hospital ward with a roaming Comas KA, Brady MM wireless device Cornell University, Bates College Ardavan M, Schmitt KA*, True- P.197 Probabilistic cost-ef- man CW fectiveness analysis of influ- Concordia University, Canada enza control strategies using an P.192 Using GIS with human agent-based model health risk analysis to discover Karimi E, Schmitt K*, Akgunduz A an unexpected soil pollutant Concordia University source P.198 Risk of an outbreak and Wallace LN, Wurzel KA excess cancer associated with NewFields varying drinking water regula- P.193 Effects of mental mod- tory stringency in Canada els on risk judgments among re- Sali A, Schmitt K* ceivers of hazard and exposure Concordia University information about dioxins P.199 Modeling the influence Diebol JK of drinking water quality on University of Michigan residential property value Pashanasangi G, Schmitt K* Concordia University

29 Tuesday 10:30 AM - 12:10 PM 11:50 am T2-A.5 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon Pacific Concourse D Using structured expert judg- Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G Pacific Concourse H T2-A Symposium: From ment to guide early decisions T2-B Symposium: Part T2-D Research Methods T2-E Social Media T2-F Innovative QRA GMOs to Genetic for synthetic bioremediation II: Applications - Recent Chair: Virna Gutierrez Chair: Gina Eosco Models: Food Safety & Engineering and Bates ME, Grieger KD, Trump B, Efforts for Advancing the 10:30 am T2-D.1 10:30 am T2-E.1 Disease Transmission Linkov I Synthetic Bio: Integrating Risk-Informed Decision Using perception analyzers The role of social media as a Co-Chairs: Emma Hartnett, US Army Engineer Research and Physical and Social Making System in the to measure uncertainty in risk trusted risk communication Aamir Fazil Development Center, Research Trian- messages tool Sciences for Risk-Based FDA Foods Veterinary 10:30 am T2-F.1 gle Institute, University of Michigan Steinhardt J, Eosco GM Pieters S, Van Achte T, Marynis- Decision Making Medicine (FVM) A QRA on the change in the Cornell University sen H likelihood of rabies introduc- Chair: Igor Linkov Program PM, Cranfield University tion into the UK as a conse- 10:30 am T2-A.1 Co-Chairs: Barry Hooberman, 10:50 am T2-D.2 quence of adopting the existing Assessing and mitigating the Aylin Sertkaya Examining public values, risk 10:50 am T2-E.2 harmonised community rules biological risks of genetically 10:30 am T2-B.1 perceptions and acceptability Corporate reputation in times for the non-commercial move- modified bacteria in the envi- A novel approach to attributing of energy futures using an in- of social media: from scarce ment of pet animals ronment illness to food novative online trade-off tool clouds to the perfect storm Goddard AD, Donaldson NM, Lee S, Tarjan D, Geller JT, Singer Sertkaya A, Jessup A, Morgan K Demski CC, Pidgeon N, Spence A Hosseinali-Mirza V, de Marcellis- Horton DL, Fooks AR, Snary EL ME, Wu C, Torok T, Hazen TC, Eastern Research Group Inc. Cardiff University, Nottingham Warin N, Warin T Hillson NJ, Arkin AP University École Polytechnique de Montréal and Animal Health and Veterinary 10:50 am T2-B.3 Lawrence Berkeley National Labo- CIRANO Laboratories Agency FDA’s novel resource allocation 11:10 am T2-D.3 ratory, Joint Bioenergy Institute, Uni- 10:50 am T2-F.2 tool for food safety risk man- Errors of judgment: the effects 11:10 am T2-E.3 versity of California, Berkeley Exploring microbial contami- agement of survey construction on pub- Making the most of new media nation in beef slaughter facili- 10:50 am T2-A.2 Mokhtari A, Bowles E, Beaulieu S, lic opinion of nanotechnology for risk communication ties Synthetic biology in the envi- Little K, Oryang D, Dennis S and what they mean for scien- Dunn AJ Hartnett E, Wilson M, Paoli G ronment and the Army RTI International, US Food and tists and policymakers Office of Environmental Health Risk Sciences International, Ottawa, Perkins EJ Drug Administration Binder AR, Cacciatore MA Hazard Assessment US Army Engineer Research and North Carolina State University, Canada 11:10 am T2-B.4 11:30 am T2-E.4 Development Center, Environmental University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:10 am T2-F.3 FDA’s Tool to Prioritize haz- The influence of social media Lab Risk based multiple-microbial ards, commodities, and their 11:30 am T2-D.4 on risk perception criteria for Listeria monocy- 11:10 am T2-A.3 combinations based on public A study of risk perception in De Marcellis-Warin N, Peignier I togenes, Salmonella spp and A review of risks associated health and non-public health different methods: comparing Ecole Polytechnique de Montreal Shiga toxin-producing E. coli with GMOs, synthetic organ- criteria internet survey and face to face in raw milk soft cheese isms, and gene therapy Beaulieu S, Mokhtari A, Black P, survey Perrin F, Tenenhaus-Aziza F, Sa- Ferguson E, Foran C, Kelly K, Oryang D, Dennis S Aoyagi M naa M Trump B RTI International, Neptune and National Institute for Environmental ANSES, CNIEL USACE-ERDC, University of Company Inc., US Food and Drug Studies,Japan Michigan Administration 11:30 am T2-F.4 11:30 am T2-A.4 A simulation model to predict Regulatory path and risk gov- public health risks of patho- ernance of emerging technolo- gens in a Canadian food distri- gies and synthetic biology in bution system particular Fazil A, Otten A, Hashemi Beni L, Bowman D, Stokes E Villeneuve S, McKellar R, Delaquis The University of Michigan, Cardiff P, LeBlanc D University Public Health Agency of Canada

30 Tuesday 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - 12:10 PM 10:30 AM - Noon Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O T2-G Symposium: Risk T2-H Modeling of T2-I Symposium: Climate T2-J Estimates of T2-K Symposium: Analysis within the Biological Agents Change and Its Risks to Regulatory Costs and Pub- Exploring the Limits of Department of Defense: Co-Chairs: Mark Borsuk, Infrastructure lic Attitudes About Them Risk Governance: How Methods, Successes and Ilias Soumpasis Chair: Roshanak Natghi Co-Chairs: Adam Finkel, States Account for Failure Opportunities for 10:30 am T2-H.1 10:30 am T2-I.1 Aylin Sertkaya in Europe (HowSAFE) Advancement Unscrambling dose response Discovering plausible future 10:30 am T2-J.1 Chair: Frederic Bouder Chair: Benjamin Trump relationships of pathogenic climate scenarios using the EN- What will it really cost? Hidden 10:30 am T2-K.1 10:30 am T2-G.1 and opportunistic pathogenic GAGE agent-based modeling indirect costs and countervailing The state can’t fail! Accounting Join us at the Merging existing risk manage- micro-organisms framework risks in regulatory impact assess- for the limited diffusion of risk- SRA Awards Luncheon ment within the department of Soumpasis I Gerst MD, Wang P, Borsuk ME ment based approaches in France and Business Meeting defense with decision analytical SEAC Unilever Dartmouth College Cantor RA, Schmier JK, Hulme- Borraz O Noon - 1:30 pm tools 10:50 am T2-H.2 10:50 am T2-I.2 Lowe CK, Meer S Sciences Po Grand Ballroom Exponent, Inc. Trump B, Morel B, Linkov I Dose-response models of Long-term impacts of climate 10:50 am T2-K.2 Includes all SRA Awards, The University of Michigan, Carn- vCJD infection by blood trans- change on hurricane activity 10:50 am T2-J.2 Searching for ‘sensible’ Health and the 5 Best Poster egie Mellon University, US Army fusion and power system reliability in Technological forecasting and and Safety risk management? Award Winners from Huang Y, Anderson S, Asher D, Corps of Engineers hurricane-prone regions environmental policy The changing nature of risk- Monday’s Poster Gregori L, Yang H Nateghi R, Guikema SD, Quiring Taylor MR 10:50 am T2-G.2 based approaches in the Neth- Reception. FDA SM Lawrence Berkeley National Labora- The Chairman of the Joint erlands and the UK (Luncheon is included 11:10 am T2-H.3 Johns Hopkins University, SMQ, tory Bouder, FB Chiefs of Staff: risk-based in Registration Fee) strategy decisions The impact of the degree of Texas A&M University 11:10 am T2-J.3 Maastricht University Rouse JF dispersion of viral pathogens 11:10 am T2-I.3 Towards a theory of regulatory 11:10 am T2-K.3 Arete Associates supporting the Joint in organic media on the prob- Risk and decision framework cost perception, part 1: main re- King Canute vs. the little Dutch Staff ability of transmission to sus- for offshore wind farms in haz- sults from a survey of life-saving boy: nature, national identity, 11:10 am T2-G.3 ceptible animals ard-prone areas tradeoffs with uncertainty in reg- and the limits of risk-based Acquisition risk management Malladi S, Weaver JT, Clouse TL, Staid A, Guikema SD ulatory costs and interindividual management of flooding in the Scriven J Bjork KE, Johnson K, Sampedro F, Johns Hopkins University variation in cost burden UK and the Netherlands Halvorson DA Army Logistics University 11:30 am T2-I.4 Finkel AM, Johnson BB Demeritt D University of Minnesota, United Impact of the August 2003 University of Pennsylvania Law King’s College London 11:30 am T2-G.5 States Department of Agriculture School, Decision Research Examining profiles of risk power outage on mortality in 11:30 am T2-K.4 within the Swedish Armed 11:30 am T2-H.4 New York, NY 11:30 am T2-J.4 Risk and the limits of gover- Forces Bayesian network approaches Anderson GB, Bell ML Towards a theory of regulatory nance: exploring varied pat- Borjesson M, Enander AE to modeling gene-environment Johns Hopkins School of Public cost perception, part 2: effects terns of risk-based governance Swedish National Defence College interactions and cancer risk Health of demographic variables, nu- across Europe Su C, Andrew A, Karagas M, Bor- meracy, regulatory ideology, Rothstein H, Borraz O, Huber M suk MB Johnson BB, Finkel AM Kings College London Dartmouth College Decision Research, University of Pennsylvania 11:50 am T2-J.5 A VSLY approach for evaluating welfare impacts of public health policies Rheinberger CM, Hammitt JK Toulouse School of Economics, Har- vard University 31 Tuesday 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 2:30 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G Pacific Concourse H T3-A Ecological Risk T3-B New Voices T3-C Poster Platform: T3-D Security Risk, T3-E Symposium: T3-F Symposium: Assessment I Chair: Craig Trumbo Topics in Risk, Policy, Preparedness and Costs Preferences for Climate Innovative QRA Models Chair: Greg McDermott 1:30 pm T3-B.1 Law and Governance Chair: Steve Bennett Change Mitigation and for Food Safety: Complex 1:30 pm T3-A.1 The same, but different: theo- Chair: Richard Williams 1:30 pm T3-D.1 Geoengineering Models to Answer Potential risks to ecological rizing about temporal framing T3-C.2 Dissecting NCD Reducing conservatism in pro- Co-Chairs: Robert Kopp, Complex Questions receptors posed by hydraulic effects of statistical risk mes- risks and regulatory mixes: a tective-action strategies follow- Elisabeth Gilmore Co-Chairs: Jane Van Doren, fracking sages in health communication prescription for a cure or a ing a nuclear power accident 1:30 pm T3-E.1 Regis Pouillot Jones SM Roh S malignant growth for global Hammond GD, Bier VM Objectives, performance mea- 1:30 pm T3-F.1 Conestoga-Rovers &Associates Cornell University health? University of Wisconsin-Madison sures and values: using struc- Cross-contamination modeling 1:50 pm T3-A.2 1:50 pm T3-B.2 Lee TL 1:50 pm T3-D.2 ture decision making to ex- of L. monocytogenes in retail Ecological risk assessment of Values or attitudes? Cultural Georgetown University Law Center The cost-effectiveness of win- amine uncertainty in expert environments coal seam gas hydraulic fractur- worldviews, climate change at- T3-C.4 Quantitative risk as- dow-related mitigation mea- opinions of geoengineering. Gallagher D, Pouillot R, Bauer N, ing fluids in Australia titudes and belief in scientific sessment of tobacco-burning sures for buildings to protect Mercer AM Dennis S, Kause J Biksey T, Goulding N, Bevan C consensus and tobacco-heating cigarettes against vehicle bomb attacks University of Calgary Virginia Tech, FDA, USDA EHS Support, Inc., CJB Consulting Rolfe-Redding J Marano KM, Naufal ZN, Borgerd- Heatwole NT 1:50 pm T3-E.3 1:50 pm T3-F.2 LLC George Mason University ing MF, Potts RJ University of Southern California How do long-shot outcomes Quantitative assessment of the 2:10 pm T3-A.3 2:10 pm T3-B.3 R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company 2:10 pm T3-D.3 affect preferences for climate risk of listeriosis from soft- Methodologies to support Aus- Risk communication: mental T3-C.6 How many sub- Screening simulation for bal- change mitigation? ripened cheese consumption in tralia’s carbon farming initiative models in the context of natu- stances are illegally listed in the ancing congestion and security Riddel MR the United States and Canada Christian R ral hazards biennial report on carcinogens? and facing strategic applicants University of Nevada, Las Vegas Pouillot R, Nguyen L, Dennis S Australian Government Department Schetula V Belzer RB Catalano M, Newell E, Coles J, 2:10 pm T3-E.4 Fda/Cfsan, Health Canada - Santé of Agriculture Fisheries and Forestry University of Stuttgart Regulatory Checkbook Zhuang J Climate change risk in benefit- Canada University At Buffalo 2:30 pm T3-A.4 2:30 pm T3-B.4 T3-C.7 Pharmaceutical risk cost analysis: key sensitivities 2:10 pm T3-F.3 Quantitative ecological risk Public perceptions of sea-level communication, regulation, and 2:30 pm T3-D.4 for the social cost of carbon Mitigation of foodborne ill- assessment of industrial ac- change on the Severn Estuary, liability Betting on risk: modeling in- and optimal emissions trajec- nesses by implementation of cidents: the case of oil ship UK Edwards BD vestment in preparedness in a tories pathogen controls at beef transportation in coastal tropi- Thomas MJ, Pidgeon N, Whitmarsh NDA Regulatory Science Ltd cournot market Kopp RE slaughter establishments cal area at Northeastern Brazil L, Ballinger R Jamshidi T, Bier VM Rutgers University Johnson RA, Schlosser WD, Bauer NE T3-C.8 Applications of Duarte HO, Droguett EL, Araújo Cardiff University University of Wisconsin - Madison United States Department of Ag- MCDA in RI/FS process: a review M, Teixeira SF riculture Food Safety and Inspection Lu C Universidade Federal de Pernambuco Service Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2:30 pm T3-F.4 The joint United States-Ca- nadian norovirus in shellfish quantitative risk assessment: capturing variability and taming uncertainty Van Doren JM, Holtzman J, Bue- naventura E, Burkhardt III W, Calci KR, Catford A, Edwards R, Hajen W, Pouillot R, Smith M US FDA, Health Canada, Cana- dian Food Inspection Agency, Envi- 32 ronment Canada Tuesday 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 2:30 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O T3-G Game Theory and T3-H Shuffling the Deck T3-I Topics in Critical T3-J Symposium Part I: T3-K Trench Models & Randomization on Chemical Risk Infrastructure Risk Unpacking to Advance Vapor Intrusion Chair: Milind Tambe Assessment Modeling Governance of Synthetic Chair: Pamela Williams 1:30 pm T3-G.1 Co-Chairs: Resha Putzrath, Chair: Rapik Saat Biology Applications 1:30 pm T3-K.1 TRUSTS: Scheduling Random- George Woodall 1:30 pm T3-I.1 Chair: Sally Kane Estimating exposure concen- ized Patrols for Fare Inspection 1:30 pm T3-H.1 Analysis of major risk factors 1:30 pm T3-J.1 trations for trench workers in Transit Systems Cumulative risk assessment: for passenger trains on freight Application of risk-analytical from vapors emanating from Yin Z, Jiang AX, Johnson MP, transforming traditional risk rail corridors methods in governance con- soils and groundwater using Tambe M, Kiekintveld C, Leyton- methods Saat MR, Caughron B, Barkan C texts: cases of synthetic biol- computational fluid dynamics Brown K, Sandholm T, Sullivan JP Williams PRD, Dotson GS, Maier University of Illinois at Urbana- ogy for agriculture and the en- modeling University of Southern California, A Champaign vironment Richter RO, Schulman LL, DesAu- University of Texas at El Paso, tels CG E Risk Sciences, LLP 1:50 pm T3-I.2 Kuzma J University of British Colubmia, Exponent 1:50 pm T3-H.2 Analyzing risks to highway University of Minnesota Carnegie Mellon University, LA Is dose addition really useful bridge systems-of-systems 1:50 pm T3-J.2 1:50 pm T3-K.2 County Sheriff’s Department for mixture risk assessment? through model-based precursor What can databases containing Calculating inhalation expo- 1:50 pm T3-G.3 Hertzberg RC modeling framework applications, products and bio sures for utility workers at con- Randomization protocol: risk Biomathematics Consulting Guo Z, Haimes YY bricks do to inform risk gov- taminated sites mitigation for ports, waterways Custance R, Heynes O, Villaroman 2:10 pm T3-H.3 UVA CRMES ernance strategies of synthetic and coastal securities C, Ettinger R When mixture models collide 2:10 pm T3-I.3 biology? DiRenzo J, Jackson JF, Maule BJ, Geosyntec Consultants Putzrath RM Scenario-based analysis of Kuiken T Moretti KA Navy and Marine Corps Public decentralized greywater infra- Woodrow Wilson International Cen- 2:10 pm T3-K.3 US Coast Guard Health Center, US Navy structure ter for Scholars The use of multiple lines of ev- 2:10 pm T3-G.4 idence to identify an indoor air 2:30 pm T3-H.4 Schmitt KA, Francis RA 2:10 pm T3-J.3 Operational context and mod- source of volatile constituents Aggregate risk assessment of Concordia University, George Wash- Cases of synthetic biology and eling risk for transit policing Sager SL, Frizzell A, Darby T, Da- polycyclic aromatic hydrocar- ington University medical products: legal, ethical, Sullivan JP vis A, Shirley P bons in urban human settle- and policy challenges in risk Los Angeles County Sheriff’s De- ARCADIS US, Inc. ment environment governance partment Linyu X, Xin S Fatehi L 2:30 pm T3-K.4 2:30 pm T3-G.5 Beijing Normal University, P.R. University of Minnesota Indoor air exchange rates in de- Game theory for security: key China 2:30 pm T3-J.4 veloping countries: a pilot study algorithmic principles, de- Risk management challenges in rural Peru ployed systems, lessons learned from DIY SynBio Williams PRD, Unice K Tambe M Marchant GE E Risk Sciences, LLP, ChemRisk University of Southern California Arizona State University

33 Tuesday 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E/J Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G Pacific Concourse H T4-A Symposium: Dietary T4-B Decision Making in T4-C Poster Platform: T4-D Symposium: T4-E Psychological T4-F Risk, Development Exposure Assessments Food and Medicine Supply Chain Risk Challenges in Developing Processes and Health in Regulatory Decision Supply Chains Management: Challenges and Assessing Tobacco Chair: Robyn Wilson Chair: John Coles Making Co-Chairs: Marc Walderhaug, and Solutions Control Regulations 3:30 pm T4-E.1 3:30 pm T4-F.1 Chair: Jannavi R. Srinivasan Richard Forshee Co-Chairs: Igor Linkov, Chair: Kevin Haninger Construing risk: testing the ef- Interagency partnership selec- 3:30 pm T4-A.1 3:30 pm T4-B.1 Zach Collier 3:30 pm T4-D.1 fects of psychological distance tion: disaster relief partnership Development of a method for A probabilistic risk assessment T4-C.1 Supply chain risk Reporting harmful and poten- on risk mitigation as a two-stage game estimating long-term intake of framework for modeling risk in management: tools and methods tially harmful constituents in Zwickle AK, Wilson RS Coles J, Zhuang J foods and nutrients global drug supply chain Collier ZA, Linkov I tobacco products Ohio State University State University of New York at Berraj L, Murphy M, Scrafford C, Rahaman F, Kazemi R, Urban J US Army Corps of Engineers, Engi- Choiniere CJ, Hall T 3:50 pm T4-E.2 Buffalo Bi X US Food and Drug Administration neer Research and Development Center Food &Drug Administration Pseudoinefficacy: a barrier to 3:50 pm T4-F.2 Industry 3:50 pm T4-B.2 T4-C.2 The impact of sup- 3:50 pm T4-D.2 helping persons at risk Food security: risks and vulner- 3:50 pm T4-A.2 Multi-criteria decision analysis ply chain disruptions on imports International use of graphic Slovic P, Vastfjall D, Mayorga M abilities at the country-level Databases from what we eat in for prioritization of clinical trial and exports to the United States warnings and other controls for Decision Research Falconi SM, Shortridge J, Guikema America, NHANES for use in inspections economy reducing tobacco use 4:10 pm T4-E.3 SD, Zaitchik B dietary exposure assessments Okwesili P, Rahaman F, Kassim S Leung B Eyraud J, McCullough C Water quality risks and dual- The Johns Hopkins University Moshfegh AJ, Martin CL, Bowman Food and Drug Administration REMI Eastern Research Group Inc. system processing 4:10 pm T4-F.3 SA, Montville JB 4:10 pm T4-B.3 T4-C.3 A simulation of se- 4:10 pm T4-D.3 Slagle KM (presented by Wilson R) The constitution of techno- US Department of Agriculture Effect of blood use protocols vere international supply chain Economic and developmen- The Ohio State University logical risks: the case of carbon 4:10 pm T4-A.3 on the day-on-hand supply using disruptions tal psychology perspectives on 4:30 pm T4-E.4 nanotube How EPA uses dietary data for a stock and flow simulation of MacKenzie CA, Barker K, Santos JR adolescent risk-taking: implica- The use of the symbolic signif- Amorim TA, Guivant JS exosure assessments of pesti- the U.S. blood supply that incor- Naval Postgraduate School tions for tobacco regulation icance heuristic as a source of Universidade do Estado de Santa porates ABO +/- blood types Catarina cide residues in food with an T4-C.5 Radiological and nu- Kenkel D, Reyna V biased decisions Simonetti A, Walderhaug M updated consumption database clear terrorism risk to the global Cornell University Siegrist M, Sütterlin B 4:30 pm T4-F.4 Center for Biologics Evaluation & in publically available dietary supply chain 4:30 pm T4-D.4 ETH Zurich, Switzerland National burden of disease exposure model Research, US FDA Streetman SS Valuing benefits under condi- 4:50 pm T4-E.5 attributable to selected risk Hrdy D 4:30 pm T4-B.4 Data Architecture Solutions, Inc. tions of addiction, risk misper- Understanding the chemical factors: cost effectiveness of EPA/Office of Pesticide Programs Risk management during a proposed environmental health T4-C.6 Global pharmaceu- ception, and decisionmaking properties of dioxins: an im- highly pathogenic avian influ- interventions in a recovering 4:30 pm T4-A.4 tical supply chain: information anomalies portant target for risk commu- enza outbreak: using simulation Liberia Exposure to furan from irradi- gaps and challenges Robinson LA nication models to inform decisions on Matthews MA ated foods Claycamp HG Harvard Kennedy School Zikmund-Fisher BJ, Turkelson AE, egg industry product move- Cyprus International Institute for DiNovi MJ, Edwards AJ US FDA, Office of Foods, Center for 4:50 pm T4-D.5 Allerton L, Franzblau A, Diebol ment and potential recalls dur- Environmental and Public Health- US Government Veterinary Medicine Perspectives on benefits analy- JK, Parker EA ing animal health emergencies Harvard School of Public Health 4:50 pm T4-A.5 sis and future research University of Michigan Weaver JT, Malladi S, Clouse TL, T4-C.8 Modeling market dy- Assessment of sodium intake Jessup AI, Hall T Bjork KB, Halvorson DA namics to inform risk assessment among the US population HHS United States Department of Agri- and decision-making for critical Cogswell ME, Wang C-Y, Pfeiffer culture, University of Minnesota materials CM, Loria CM Poulizac C, Field F, Alonso E, 4:50 pm T4-B.5 Centers for Disease Control and Pre- Kirchain R, Roth R Estimating the risks and ben- vention and National Institutes of Massachusetts Institute of Technology Health efits of home-use HIV tests Forshee RA, Cowan E, Hoffman H, Simonetti A, Yang H 34 FDA/CBER/OBE Tuesday 3:30 - 5:10 PM 4:50 pm T4-G.5 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM Pacific Concourse I Applying the CTRA to meet Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O T4-G Symposium: stakeholders needs T4-H Symposium: T4-I Symposium: Human T4-J Symposium Part II: T4-K Symposium: Applying Quantitative Cox JA, Gooding R, Whitmire MT, Putting It All Together: Health and Environmental Unpacking to Advance Strategic Risk Risk Assessment to Meet Kolakowski JE, Winkel D, Hawkins Recent Developments in Risk Assessment Issues Risk Governance of Management of BE, Shroy B, Good K, Stoeckel DM, Stakeholder Needs Risk Assessment Related to the Exploration, Synthetic Biology Department of Defense Luedeke JD Chair: Jessica Cox Department of Homeland Security Approaches Development, and Applications Emerging Contaminants 3:30 pm T4-G.1 Co-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick, Operation of Chair: Jennifer Kuzma Chair: Kelly Scanlon Applying the CTRA for chemi- Lynn Pottenger Unconventional Natural 3:30 pm T4-J.1 3:30 pm T4-K.1 cal industry safety and defense 3:30 pm T4-H.1 Gas Plays via Hydraulic Synthetic biology: the power of The evolution of the Depart- Whittaker I, Wilson P*, Shroy B, Navigating risk assessment rec- Fracturing metaphors in risk communica- ment of Defense’s program Hawkins B, Gooding R, Kolakowski ommendations Chair: Andrew Pawlisz tion for identifying, assessing and J Dourson ML 3:30 pm T4-I.1 Pauwels EM managing risks from emerging Battelle Memorial Institute and De- Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assess- Environmental impact of shale Public Policy Scholar, Woodrow Wil- contaminants partment of Homeland Security ment gas production: health risks asso- son International Center for Scholars Yaroschak PJ (DHS), Chemical Security Analysis 3:50 pm T4-H.2 ciated with air contaminants and 3:50 pm T4-J.2 Office of the Secretary of Defense Center (CSAC) EPA’s path forward in addressing toxic chemicals Regulation and synthetic biol- 3:50 pm T4-K.2 3:50 pm T4-G.2 NRC recommendations Duncan IJ ogy: towards a risk based ap- The changing landscape of Applying the CTRA for food Fitzpatrick JW BEG, University of Texas at Austin proach in Europe chemical toxicity values and safety and defense US Environmental Protection Agency 3:50 pm T4-I.2 Chakraborty SS, Creutzfeldt-Banda N challenges presented with tri- Hawkins B, Luedeke J, Buchta D, 4:10 pm T4-H.3 Hydraulic fracturing: risk or per- University of Oxford chloroethylene Cox J, Whitmire M Continuing advances via the ceived risk to water resources 4:10 pm T4-J.3 Meyer AK Battelle Memorial Institute and De- ARA beyond science and deci- Hanson GM An integrated framework for Army Corps of Engineers partment of Homeland Security sions workshop series Red River Watershed Management governing emerging technolo- 4:10 pm T4-K.4 (DHS), Chemical Security Analysis Meek ME Institute Louisiana State University gies Possible impacts from in- Center (CSAC) University of Ottawa Shreveport Paddock LC, Masterton M* creased regulatory action for 4:10 pm T4-G.3 4:30 pm T4-H.4 4:10 pm T4-I.3 The George Washington University deca-bromodiphenyl ether on Applying the CTRA to inform Weight-of-evidence frameworks, Utilization of market analysis and Law School the Department of Defense public health response systems, and tools: a survey of strategy to minimize risk in water 4:30 pm T4-J.4 Rak A, Bass N, Vogel C, Lanier K Winkel D, Good K, VonNieder- existing approaches and notes on management of unconventional Risk and synthetic biology gov- Noblis, US Army Public Health hausern M, Hawkins B, Cox J, best practices oil and gas plays ernance: progress and opportu- Command Whitmire M Rhomberg LR, Goodman JE, Bailey Robart C, Fetters C nities for further engagement 4:30 pm T4-K.5 Battelle Memorial Institute and De- EA, Prueitt RL CRA/PacWest by the risk community Alert without alarm: communi- partment of Homeland Security Gradient Kane SM, Dana GV cating risk to a broad audience (DHS), Chemical Security Analysis 4:30 pm T4-I.4 Independent Consultant of phthalate users in the De- Center (CSAC) 4:50 pm T4-H.5 Pragmatic and modeling ap- Panel discussion - putting it all proaches to understanding risks partment of Defense. 4:30 pm T4-G.4 together: recent developments in of leakage in shale gas wells Scanlon K, Barrett A Creation of a notional water risk assessment approaches Wang H, Duncan I, Bickle E Concurrent Technologies Corporation distribution system and applying Pottenger LH, Fitzpatrick JW University of Texas at Austin the CTRA for water safety and The Dow Chemical Company and US defense 4:50 pm T4-I.5 Environmental Protection Agency Stoeckel DM, Hawkins BE, Nilsen Describing and minimizing risk MD, Whitmire M from well construction and hy- Battelle Memorial Institute draulic fracturing King G Apache Corporation 35 Wednesday 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:10 AM 9:30 am W1-D.4 8:50 - 10:00 AM Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E Pacific Concourse F Traditional vs. nanoenabled Pacific Concourse G W1-A News Media W1-B Symposium: W1-C Risk Analysis & W1-D Symposium: The flame retardant coatings applied W1-E Symposium Part I: Chair: David Berube Supporting Policy for Systems Safety Wisdom of Crowds: A to upholstery textiles: using a What Lawyers and Birds 8:30 am W1-A.1 Sustainable Everyday Co-Chairs: Behailu Bekera, Role in Evaluating and comprehensive environmental have in Common: Risk assessment framework to lay out Effects of exposure to news Behaviors: The EU S.C. Lewis Managing Potential Risks and Decisions in Coupled stories about uncertain cancer 8:30 am W1-C.1 the facts for risk managers Pachelbel Project of Emerging Issues? Turner AA, Fedak K, White RH, Human-Natural Systems causes and preventive behav- Chair: Ana Prades Risk-weighted metrics for mari- Chair: Mike Davis Co-Chairs: Matteo Convertino, iors on confusion and informa- time search and rescue resource Burch DF, Shatkin JA, Powers C, 8:30 am W1-B.1 8:30 am W1-D.1 Meacham C, Gillespie P Nigel Quinn tion overload Understanding and support- planning The wisdom of crowds: what 8:30 am W1-E.2 Niederdeppe JN, Lee T, Robbins R, Pelot RP ICF International, CLF Ventures, ing policy-making for sustain- contributes to better collective EPA/NCEA The value of spatial informa- Kim HK, Kresovich A, Kirshenblat ability: an overview of project Dalhousie University decisions about risk-related is- tion in marine protected areas: D, Standridge K, Clarke CE, Jensen PACHELBEL 8:50 am W1-C.2 sues? 9:50 am W1-D.5 coupling biocomplexity and J, Fowler EF Prades A, Horlick-Jones T Effects of land use and socio- Davis JM Expert judgment-based risk management Department of Communication, Public Research Body (Spanish Min- economic characteristics on US EPA (Retired) screening for emerging nano- Fiorenza M Cornell University istry) child pedestrian casualties in technologies: a collaborative Stanford University 8:50 am W1-D.2 approach 8:50 am W1-A.2 8:50 am W1-B.2 Santiago, Chile Interdisciplinary approaches to 8:50 am W1-E.3 Framing climate change in the Blazquez CA Beaudrie CEH, Kandlikar M, Long Opportunities and barriers for assessing the environmental risks G, Gregory R, Wilson T, Satterfield T Spatial portfolio decision mod- public sphere sustainable everyday behav- Universidad Andres Bello of nanomaterials: a practical case el for the management of com- Hart PS, Feldman L University of British Columbia iours from a citizen perspective: 9:10 am W1-C.3 study in tandem investigation plex human-natural systems: American University a Swedish case study Risk to resilience: a new ap- and knowledge synthesis the case of the Florida coastal 9:10 am W1-A.3 Enander AE, Hede S proach for comprehensive as- Hendren CO, Wiesner MR ecosystem threatened by sea- Social representations of natu- Swedish National Defence College sessment of complex systems Duke University level rise ral gas development in print 9:10 am W1-B.3 Bekera B, Francis R 9:10 am W1-D.3 Convertino M, Keisler JM, Dokukin media Any saving implies a cost? How George Washington University Identifying and prioritizing re- D, Foran M, Linkov M Evensen DT, Clarke CE, Dixon could we save energy and why search gaps for nanomaterials: University of Florida and Risk and GN we do not do so drawing insight from diverse ex- Decision Science Team, ERDC- Cornell University Espluga J, Boso A, Oltra C, Prades A perts USACE 9:30 am W1-A.4 Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona Powers C, Gillespie P, Hendren CO, 9:10 am W1-E.4 Communicating risks about 9:30 am W1-B.4 Davis JM Dynamic climate change simu- science: exploring the interac- Citizens making sense of prod- National Center for Environmental lator: decisions from experi- tive effects of cognitive schema uct lifetimes: signs of sustain- Assessment, Office of Research and ence reduce misconceptions and journalist news frames on ability? Development, US Environmental Pro- about climate change public risk perceptions Barnett J, Marcu A, Horlick-Jones T tection Agency, Research Triangle Park Gonzales C Cacciatore MA, Scheufele DA, Cor- Brunel University, UK Carnegie Mellon University ley EA University of Wisconsin-Madison, Arizona State University

36 Wednesday 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM 8:30 - 10:00 AM Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O Pacific Concourse J W1-F New Methods for W1-H Symposium: The W1-I From GIS to W1-J Roundtable: W1-K Symposium: Risk W1-L Service, Enterprise QRA: Sampling, Transfer Road Ahead - Developing Bayesian Search: Risk Improving Risk Analytics to Strenghten and Systems Risk Rates & Health Risks a Research Agenda for Management Grab Bag Regulation through the National Residue Analysis Grab Bag Co-Chairs: Moez Sanaa, Nanomaterial Co-Chairs: Stanley Levinson, Retrospective Analysis Program Chair: Joost Santos Mark Powell Environmental, Health Cameron MacKenzie Chair: Lisa Robinson Chair: Kerry Dearfield 8:30 am W1-L.1 8:30 am W1-F.1 and Safety Risk 8:30 am W1-I.1 Predicting the future impacts of 8:30 am W1-K.1 We haven’t got time for the risk: Optimal food safety sampling Assessment Localization of control rooms potential environmental, health, Overview: strengthening a bringing risk analysis to health- under a budget constraint Chair: Ronald White using an MINLP approach and safety regulations has been public health-based National care infrastructure Powell MR 8:30 am W1-H.1 based on accidental explosion an important part of the U.S. Residue Program Curren S, Reed B, Overbey D, Lewis J US Department of Agriculture Environmental health and safety scenarios policymaking process for many Dearfield KL US Department of Health and Hu- 8:50 am W1-F.2 risks of engineered nanomateri- Rodríguez SE, Sierra LM, Gómez years. But how accurate are these US Department of Agriculture man Services, RA International JM, Muñoz F Using confidence distributions als: a report from the National forecasts? The Obama Adminis- 8:50 am W1-K.2 8:50 am W1-L.2 Universidad de los Andes to generate confidence inter- Research Council tration now requires that agen- Systematic hazard identifica- Utilizing advanced risk assess- vals for health risks Samet JM 8:50 am W1-I.2 cies conduct retrospective analy- tion and updated hazard rank- ment methods for environ- Siegrist J, Ferson S University of Southern California Using the risk paradigm to link ses to identify ways to improve ing algorithms mental risk analysis in paper Applied Biomathematics weather to emergency manage- existing regulations, as well as to Edwards S industry 8:50 am W1-H.2 enhance our ability to prospec- 9:10 am W1-F.3 ment decisions US Department of Agriculture Salsal M, Hajbagheri M The road ahead - developing a tively estimate impacts. Retro- Bayesian framework for micro- Galluppi KJ, Losego J, Montz B P and P LLC research agenda for nanomate- spective analysis does not elimi- 9:10 am W1-K.3 bial transfer rates data statistical Arizona State University, University 9:10 am W1-L.3 rial environmental, health and nate the need for prediction, Establishing food safety ìcon- analysis of North Carolina, East Carolina Case study comparison of safety risk assessment however, because the impacts of taminant level goalsî for chemi- Sanaa M, Poisson S, Schaffner DW, University acquisition risk assessments Tinkle ST the policies must be compared cal contaminants in meat, poul- Nauta M 9:10 am W1-I.3 conducted for a complex infra- National Nanotechnology Coordina- to a counterfactual scenario. try, and egg products ANSES, Rutgers University, Tech- A Bayesian approach for mu- structure tion Office This panel brings together Fed- Domesle ARM nical University of Denmark nitions risk at Fort Missoula, Panjwani S, Morris C 9:10 am W1-H.3 eral agency staff, consultants, US Department of Agriculture Montana Thane Incorp 9:30 am W1-F.4 Environmental health and safety and scholars to discuss the chal- 9:30 am W1-K.4 Fitzgerald M, Catlett KM, Black Traditional and ludic quanti- research of engineered nanoma- lenges of conducting retrospec- Use of new hazard identifica- PK, Barnett WS fication of the meanings of terials: Environmental Protec- tive analysis and the implications tion methods for sampling of Neptune and Company, Inc. hedges in numeric expressions tion Agency perspective of the findings. chemical contaminants Ferson S, Goode J, Luhmann C, Mc- Vandenberg J, Powers C, Gillespie P 9:30 am W1-I.4 Participants: Esteban E Plenary Luncheon Gill W, O’Rawe J, Siegrist J US Environmental Protection Agency A generic framework for syn- Willis H, RAND Corporation; US Department of Agriculture Applied Biomathematics and Penn thesizing the societal distur- Hammitt JK, Harvard Univer- Noon-1:30 PM 9:30 am W1-H.4 Grand Ballroom State University Ninety-day inhalation study of bance of typhoon events sity; Jessup A, US Department vapor grown carbon nanofibers Huang T, Lee CS, Lee HC, Yang of Health and Human Services; in male and female rats HH Nardinelli C, US Food and Drug “Advancing Public Warheit DB, Reed KL, DeLorme National Science and Technology Administration; Neumann JE, Understanding of MP Center for Disaster Reduction Industrial Economics Incorporated; Schwartz J, New York University Risk Through the DuPont Haskell Global Centers Media” (Luncheon is included in Registration fee)

37 Wednesday 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse G Pacific Concourse H W2-A New Technologies W2-B Symposium: W2-C Symposium: W2-D Symposium: W2-E Symposium Part II: W2-F Symposium: Use of Chair: Anne-Marie Nicol Decision Analysis Tools in Variability and Cultural Factors in Risk What Lawyers and Birds Risk Assessment to Meet 10:30 am W2-A.1 Risk Assessment Uncertainty in Air Quality Perception and have in Common: Risk the Requirements of Comparison of risk attitudes in Co-Chairs: Asish Mohapatra, Damage Estimates Communication of Crisis and Decisions in Coupled Healthy People 2020 Quebec and France during the Kelsie Baker Co-Chairs: Elizabeth Gilmore, Situations Human-Natural Systems Co-Chairs: Michael Williams, controversy about shale gas 10:30 am W2-B.1 Lindsay Ludwig Chair: Brooke Rogers Co-Chairs: Matteo Convertino, Neal Golden Deleuze G, Legris Desportes C Human hEalth Assessment 10:30 am W2-C.1 10:30 am W2-D.1 Nik Sawe 10:30 am W2-F.1 EDF R&D of Remediation Technology Effect of air quality model Identifying vulnerabilities and 10:30 am W2-E.1 Risk assessment as a means for 10:50 am W2-A.2 (HEART): a case study for ap- choices on damages costs communicating risks across A conditional Weibull ap- developing public health strate- Emerging technology, human plication of a Decision Analytic Gilmore EA, Moore A, Adams PJ cultures within cultures and proach to modeling the impacts gies to meet FSIS’ Healthy Peo- behavior, and risk: public threat Tool (Part II) University of Maryland multiple audiences within na- of technology, weather, and ple 2020 Salmonella goal Soultani A, Dyck R, Hossaini N, and efficacy appraisal of nano- 10:50 am W2-C.3 tions sample selection on crop yield Golden NJ, Williams MS, Ebel Hewage K, Sadiq R, Mohapatra AK formulated sunscreens in the Health impact versus incidence: Rashid S, Öhman S, Olofsson A distributions: implications for ED Health Canada United States explaining and propagating the National University federal crop insurance Risk Assessment Division, Food Safety and Inspection Service Cummings CL 10:50 am W2-B.2 variance 10:50 am W2-D.2 Woodard JD North Carolina State University Integration of life cycle assess- Brand KP Cultural considerations for risk Cornell University 10:50 am W2-F.2 11:10 am W2-A.3 ments, risk analysis and decision University of Ottawa communication to immigrant 10:50 am W2-E.2 The magnitude of the problem analysis for sediment manage- Emerging risk communication 11:10 am W2-C.4 populations in Canada Neuroimaging of environmen- Hoekstra RM, Cole DJ ment challenges associated with nat- Mortality effects associated Lemyre L, Yong A, Dumitrescu A tal valuation Centers for Disease Control and Pre- Kelly K, Bates ME, Sparrevik M, ural gas development in shale with exposure to ambient University of Ottawa Sawe N, Knutson B vention Bridges TS, Linkov I formations PM2.5 using dynamic popula- 11:10 am W2-D.3 Stanford University 11:10 am W2-F.3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Clarke CE, Evensen DTN, Jacquet tion modeling Communicating with the pub- 11:10 am W2-E.3 Polymerase chain reaction JB, Stedman RC 11:10 am W2-B.3 Neumann J, Ludwig L, Roman H, lic following a chemical spill: Energy efficient lighting: results screening for salmonella and Cornell University Bioaccumulation Risk As- Walsh T, Verly C, Gentile M, De- a comparison of practitioner form three pieces to under- enterohemorrhagic escherichia 11:30 am W2-A.4 sessment Modeling System Mocker J expectations and public inten- stand the engineer-economics coli on beef products in pro- Sunscreens and nanoproduct (BRAMS): software for evaluat- Industrial Economics, Inc. and Unit- tions in the UK and Poland aspects, consumer perceptions cessing establishments labeling: challenges and conse- ing human health and ecological ed States Environmental Protection Pearce JM of light and color and consum- Samadpour M quences risks associated with contami- Agency King’s College London er decision-making models Institute for Environmental Health, nants in dredged material Inc. Berube DM, Berube D 11:30 am W2-D.4 Azevedo I Baker KM, Vogel JT, Tkackuk North Carolina State University Public responses to biological Carnegie Mellon University 11:30 am W2-F.4 A, Guza O, Farris CN, Bridges T, and radiological terrorism in 11:30 am W2-E.4 Heuristic technique for rapidly Linkov I Britain and Germany: A prac- A Mental Modeling approach screening the effectiveness of USACE ERDC, USEPA Region 1 titioner’s view for designing and implement- risk management options 11:30 am W2-B.4 Amlôt R ing USACE’s engineering with Williams MS, Ebel ED The Chemical Hazards Emer- Health Protection Agency, UK nature initiative Food Safety and Inspection Service, gency Medical Management Bridges T, Thorne S, Butte G, Ko- USDA (CHEMM) tool: application of vacs D mental models stakeholder re- United States Army Corps of Engi- search neers, Decision Partners LLC Kovacs DC, Thorne S, Butte G, Chang F, Pakiam J, Siegel D, Hak- kinen P Decision Partners, National Institute of 38 Child Health, Human Development Wednesday 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - 12:10 PM 10:30 AM - Noon 10:30 AM - Noon Pacific Concourse I Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O Pacific Concourse J W2-G Symposium: W2-H Current Issues in W2-I Symposium: W2-J Symposium: W2-K Symposium: W2-L Symposium: Describing and Chemical Dose Response Advances in Risk Models Retrospective Regulatory Cumulative Risk Adaptive Risk Influencing Disaster Co-Chairs: George Woodall, for Infrastructure Systems Review Assessment 2: Governance for the Rapid Mitigation and Recovery Richard Reiss Management Chair: Linda Abbott International Dimensions Energy Transition in Decision Making 10:30 am W2-H.1 Chair: Shital Thekdi 10:30 am W2-J.1 in Combining Germany Chair: Hather Rosoff Non-cancer risk assessment of 10:30 am W2-I.1 Retrospective review: promises Chemical and Chair: Ortwin Renn nickel: reference exposure lev- 10:30 am W2-G.1 Harmonizing engineering prac- and challenges Non-Chemical Stressors 10:30 am W2-L.1 els for nickel and nickel com- Dudley SE How terrorism near-misses tices and socio-economic mod- in Cumulative Risk Governance requirements for influence perceptions of risk: pounds eling via strategic long-term The George Washington University adaptive and integrative energy Brown JP, Salmon AG, Marty Assessment comparisons and contrasts planning models for transpor- 10:50 am W2-J.2 policies MA, Alexeeff GV Chair: Bradley Schultz Dillon RL, Tinsley CH, Burns tation infrastructure systems Ending successful risk pro- Renn O Office of Environmental Health 10:30 am W2-K.1 WB, Slovic P Andrijcic E, Haimes YY grams Stuttgart University Hazard Assessment, California En- Air quality management poli- Georgetown University University of Virginia Williams RA vironmental Protection Agency cies that better account for so- 10:50 am W2-L.2 10:50 am W2-G.2 10:50 am W2-I.2 Mercatus Center at George Mason cial stressors The smart grid as black box - Public response to terrorism: 10:50 am W2-H.2 Risk ranking and multi-stage University Fann NL, Roman HR, Fulcher the role of consumers in the Biological plausibility of or- risk communication as a means decision analysis for financing 11:10 am W2-J.3 CM, Gentile MA, Hubbell BJ, governance of future energy ganophosphorous insecticide of preserving confidence in se- of energy R&D portfolios Retrospective review of the Wesson KH, Levy JI systems epidemiologic studies curity measures Hamilton M, Lambert J special supplemental nutritional US Environmental Protection Agency Buescher C, Orwat C Reiss R University of Virginia Burns WJ, Ivanov B, Sellnow T, program for women, infants 10:50 am W2-K.2 Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Veil S, Slovic P, Petrun E Exponent 11:10 am W2-I.3 and children (WIC) International experience in ad- 11:10 am W2-L.3 Decision Research, University of 11:10 am W2-H.3 Assessing the interdependen- Mojduszka E, Abbott LC dressing combined exposures Adaptive risk governance Kentucky Reporting the outcome of cies across ‘human infrastruc- US Department of Agriculture Meek ME Schweizer PJ IARC Monograph 106: tri- 11:10 am W2-G.3 ture’ systems in the context of 11:30 am W2-J.4 University of Ottawa University of Stuttgart chloroethylene and some other How near-misses influence disaster preparedness Using a systems approach to chlorinated compounds 11:10 am W2-K.3 public preparedness and re- Santos JR retrospective regulatory review: Guha N, Baan R, Loomis D, Environmental justice and cu- sponse to tornado weather GWU quantifying economic impact Grosse Y, Lauby B, El Ghissassi F, mulative risk assessment: why warnings 11:30 am W2-I.4 and potential risk reduction Bouvard V, Benbrahim-Tallaa L, it matters and what researchers Rosoff HB, John R, Dillon-Merrill R Stakeholder-informed invest- due to cumulative regulatory Straif K can do about it University of Southern California - ment for risk management of actions in an agricultural water- International Agency for Research on Payne-Sturges D CREATE infrastructure systems shed in Washington Cancer - World Health Organization US Environmental Protection Agency Thekdi SA Abbott LC, Schaub JD 11:30 am W2-G.4 11:30 am W2-K.4 University of Richmond US Department of Agriculture Heuristics and biases in cyber Community-level cumulative security dilemmas 11:50 am W2-J.5 risk assessment in the USA and John RS, Rosoff H, von Winterfeldt D Criteria for evaluating the regu- other countries CREATE, University of Southern latory reasonableness of risk Schultz BD California reduction programs US Environmental Protection Agency Rabinovici SJ Mills College

39 Wednesday 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM Pacific Concourse D Pacific Concourse E Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse I W3-A Health Risk W3-C Symposium: W3-D Symposium: W3-E Career Panel W3-F Risk and W3-G Evaluating Security Prevention Combining Life Cycle Carbon Capture and Chair: TBD Development: Latin Measures Chair: Chris Clarke Assessment, Valuation Storage: Risk Participants include: America Chair: Natasha Hawkins 1:30 pm W3-A.1 and Cost-Benefit Analysis Communication and Hiscock M, National Center for Chair: Sandra Demichelis 1:30 pm W3-G.1 The tick talk project: commu- Chair: Eric Williams Perceptions of an Environmental Research (NCER); 1:30 pm W3-F.1 Black swans, pale men O’Connor B, National Science nicating risks to children using 1:30 pm W3-C.1 Emerging Energy The influence of local -char Lathrop JF animation and education Towards a life cycle aware risk Foundation acteristics on public concern Innovative Decisions, Inc. Technology Robert O’Connor from NSF Nicol AM, Bartlett K, Blewett C, analysis about electricity generation: 1:50 pm W3-G.2 Co-Chairs: Jennie Stephens, will be speaking on Grant Writ- Henry B, Hurrell AC Kuczenski B, Geyer R, Boughton B differences across Chile Sometimes there is no “most- Amanda Boyd ing and will provide one on one University of British Columbia University of California, Santa Bar- Bronfman NC, Jimenez RB vital” arc: assessing and im- 1:30 pm W3-D.1 guidance on NSF Grants 1:50 pm W3-A.2 bara Universidad Andres Bello proving the operational resil- Finding a ‘Place’ for community Michael Hiscock from NCER/ Assessing vaccination risk com- 1:50 pm W3-F.2 ience of systems 1:50 pm W3-C.2 in risk research EPA will be speaking about munication needs for pregnant Inclusion of clean technologies Alderson DL, Brown GG, Carlyle The link between risk, LCA Boyd AD, Einsiedel EF Opportunities for Grants immigrant mothers in Alberta, into the public transport fleet WM, Cox Jr LA and cost-benefit analysis: large University of Calgary CJ Johnson from US Coast Canada for cost-effective GHG reduc- Naval Postgraduate School scale energy system case studies 1:50 pm W3-D.2 Guard will be speaking on ca- Kowal ST, Jardine CG, Bubela TM tions in Santiago, Chile Bergerson JA Communication about pros- reer transitions, guidance and 2:10 pm W3-G.3 University of Alberta Sandoval D, Bronfman NC, Jimenez University of Calgary pects and limitations of simu- interviewing techniques Using decomposition to mod- RB 2:10 pm W3-A.3 2:10 pm W3-C.3 lation results for policy makers: el effectiveness in a diverse Universidad Andres Bello Whether `tis better to vacci- Advancing life-cycle assess- the case of Carbon Capture Homeland Security portfolio nate? Perceptions and experi- ment through geographically- and Storage 2:10 pm W3-F.3 Hawkins N, Susel I, Toms C, Sz- ences of the management of explicit emission inventories Doe JB, Scheer D Diminishing risk of floods by wed P the A/H1N1 influenza pan- Chester M University of Stuttgart management of urban pluvial Department of Homeland Security demic in Sweden Arizona State University 2:10 pm W3-D.3 in Buenos Aires city 2:30 pm W3-G.4 Enander AE, Börjesson M, Hede S, Hanuch MS, Monzon AN, Demi- 2:30 pm W3-C.4 Communicating CCS risk to A decision analysis framework Carlsson H chelis SO Life cycle benefit-cost analysis the public: putting theory and for Near-Earth Object (NEO) Swedish National Defence College National University of Lanus of monoethanolamine carbon evidence into practice risk management 2:30 pm W3-A.4 capture and sequestration Dybwad C, Ralko J, Hardy C 2:30 pm W3-F.4 Lee RC, Jones TD, Chapman CR Cancer screening tests, what Sekar A, Williams E IPAC-CO2 Research Inc Risks produced by the loss of Neptune and Company, Inc., Florida makes it worrisome or reas- Institute for Human and Machine Rochester Institute of Technology 2:30 pm W3-D.4 permeability of soils and the suring? The case of colorectal Cognition, Southwest Research In- Is the CO2 leaking? Contrast- growth of the population on cancer stitute ing media and expert risk per- the grey and black water sew- Eisinger F, Morere JF, Pivot X, Blay ception of the alleged leakage ages and pluvial systems in the JY, Coscas Y, Lhomel C, Viguier J at the Weyburn CCS Project municipality of Avellaneda Paoli-Calmettes Institute Wilson E, Stephens J, Pollak M, Pe- Hanuch S, Bianchi J, Corizzo A, terson T, Meadowcroft J, Liu Y, Ein- Halpern L, Papzuck I, Monzon siedel E, Boyd A AN, Demichelis SO University of Minnesota, Clark Uni- National University of Lanus versity, University of Minnesota, Texas A&M, Carleton University

40 Wednesday 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 2:30 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM Pacific Concourse L Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N Pacific Concourse O Pacific Concourse J W3-H Quantitative W3-I Reliability W3-J Studies of Risk W3-K Ambient Air: W3-L Ecological Risk Models: The Chemical Assessment for Electric Governance Systems Particulate Matter Assessment II Risk Power Systems Chair: Chabane Mazri Exposure Chair: Randall Ryti Co-Chairs: Kan Shao, Chair: Alessandra Colli 1:30 pm W3-J.1 Chair: Louis Cox 1:30 pm W3-L.1 George Woodall 1:30 pm W3-I.1 The need for 2nd order risk 1:30 pm W3-K.1 Mapping ecological risks with 1:30 pm W3-H.1 An approach for reliability as- management Overview and evaluation of a portfolio-based technique: A quantitative role for zebrafish sessment and risk evaluation of Saner MA alternative air quality exposure incorporating uncertainty and in the assessment of human de- photovoltaic systems University of Ottawa metrics used in air pollution decision-making preferences velopmental toxicity Yue M, Colli A 1:50 pm W3-J.2 epidemiological studies Yemshanov D, Koch F, Ducey M, Fleming CR, Lambert JC Brookhaven National Laboratory Credibility of risk assessments Ozkaynak H Koehler K Natural Resources Canada, Cana- US EPA 1:50 pm W3-I.2 Wiedemann PM, Boerner F US EPA dian Forest Service, USDA Forest 1:50 pm W3-H.2 A FMEA analysis for photo- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 1:50 pm W3-K.2 Service, University of New Hamp- Bayesian non-parametric meth- voltaic systems: assessing dif- Germany Using dose assessment results shire, Canadian Food Inspection ods in operational risk model- ferent system configurations to to optimize environmental 2:10 pm W3-J.3 agency ing support reliability studies Risk analysis on GMOs: the monitoring plans Rivera-Mancia ME Colli A, Yue M complex overlapping of scien- Perona R, Ryti RT, Tiller B 1:50 pm W3-L.2 McGill University Brookhaven National Laboratory tific, political and economic is- Neptune and Company, Inc., Envi- Informing hazardous fuels pri- oritization at national and re- 2:10 pm W3-H.4 2:10 pm W3-I.3 sues in the debates in Brazil ronmental Assessment Services, Inc. gional scales Is the assumption of normality Increasing PRA scope for nu- Guivant JS 2:10 pm W3-K.3 Thompson MP or lognormality for continu- clear power plants: how fast? Federal University of Santa Cata- Evaluation of a wildfire smoke US Forest Service ous response data critical for How far? rina forecast system for public benchmark dose estimation? Levinson SH 2:30 pm W3-J.4 health risk assessment 2:10 pm W3-L.3 Shao K, Gift JS, Setzer RW AREVA Inc. Comparing human health risk Yao J, Brauer M, Henderson SB A risk and uncertainty analysis of coastal flood statistics for National Center for Environmental 2:30 pm W3-I.4 values across organizations University of British Columbia, , South San Francisco Bay Assessment, US EPA Analyzing societal consequenc- Holman E, Gray G, Francis R Canada, British Columbia Centre Andes L, Wu F, Lo JM, MacWil- 2:30 pm W3-H.5 es of power failures: integration US Environmental Protection Agen- for Disease Control, Canada liams M, Lu CC Benchmark calculation using of physical models and region- cy, George Washington University 2:30 pm W3-K.4 US Army Corps of Engineers San categorical regression for mul- al inoperability input-output Warmer is healthier: effects on Francisco District tiple end-point responses models mortality rates of changes in Chen CC Johansson J, Svegrup L, Hassel H average fine particulate matter 2:30 pm W3-L.4 NHRI Lund University (PM2.5) concentrations and Risk assessment for non-indig- temperatures in 100 U.S. cities enous plants for the intermoun- Cox LA tain Western United States Cox Associates, University of Colo- Landis WG, Ayre KK (presented by rado Hines E) Western Washington University

41 Wednesday 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM 1:30 - 3:00 PM 3:30 - 4:30 PM 3:30 - 5:00 PM Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse E Pacific Concourse F Pacific Concourse K Pacific Concourse H Pacific Concourse I W4-B Symposium: New W4-C Symposium: India W4-D Symposium: Novel W4-E Career Panel W4-F Occupational W4-G Symposium: Risks Directions in Risk at Risk: Capacity, Online Tools for Risk Chair: TBD Exposure & Health of Transportation Assessment with Institutions and Expertise Communication Participants include: Chair: Kelly Scanlon Disruptions and Roadmap for Success Chair: Ravi Rajan Research: Applications in Hiscock M, National Center for 3:30 pm W4-F.1 Dangerous Goods Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Abdel- 3:30 pm W4-C.1 Food Risk Environmental Research (NCER); Evaluation of chrysotile fiber Chair: Cameron MacKenzie O’Connor B, National Science Razak Kadry “One in infinity”: assessing nu- Communication adherence to clothing exposed 3:30 pm W4-G.1 Foundation 3:30 pm W4-B.1 clear risks in India Chair: Julie Barnett to known airborne asbestos Undeclared and unreported: Robert O’Connor from NSF A ‘roadmap’ for revising IRIS: Ramana MV 3:30 pm W4-D.1 concentrations before and after addressing gaps and improving will be speaking on Grant Writ- recommendations from the Princeton University Deliberation about the risks handling and shaking out of data quality in hazmat transpor- ing and will provide one on one the clothing National Research Council 3:50 pm W4-C.2 and benefits of red meat: what tation guidance on NSF Grants Barlow CA, Sahmel J, Madl AK, Samet JM India at risk - the perception do we learn from people’s ques- Locke MS, Teicher P Michael Hiscock from NCER/ Donovan B, Gaffney S, Henshaw J, University of Southern California and governance of risks in In- tions? Pipeline and Hazardous Materials EPA will be speaking about Lee RJ, Van Orden D, Paustenbach 3:50 pm W4-B.2 dia Barnett J, Marcu A Safety Administration, USDOT Opportunities for Grants DJ The IRIS Program - a key re- Moor R Brunel University, UK 3:50 pm W4-G.2 CJ Johnson from US Coast ChemRisk LLC Indian Institute of Management source for public health risk as- 3:50 pm W4-D.2 Guard will be speaking on ca- Risk management tools to Bangalore 3:50 pm W4-F.2 sessment Psycho-social media analysis of reer transitions, guidance and maximize the effectiveness of Integrating occupational health Salmon A, Marty M, Zeise L 4:10 pm W4-C.3 threat coping expressions on interviewing techniques dangerous goods regulatory impacts into life cycle assess- Cal/EPA Office of Environmental Missing expertise: accountabil- twitter during a food crisis activities ment Health Hazard Assessment ity, capacity, and risk mitigation Gaspar RF, Gorjão SI, Seibt CB, Oliver GM, Samvura F, Tardif C Scanlon K, Gray G, Francis R, 4:10 pm W4-B.3 infrastructures in India Lima ML Transport Canada Lloyd S, LaPuma P Retooling of IRIS: what prog- Rajan SR, Rajan SR Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, IS- 4:10 pm W4-G.3 The George Washington University, ress has actually been made University of California, Santa CTE - IUL, Centro de Investigação Risk-management self-assess- School of Public Health and Health over the last 20 months? Cruz e Intervenção Social (CIS) ment tool for hazardous mate- Services, Department of Environ- Becker RA, Pottenger LH, Fenster- rials carriers 4:10 pm W4-D.3 mental and Occupational Health heim RJ, Wise K Determinants of duration and Peignier I, de Marcellis-Warin N, American Chemistry Council thoroughness of information 4:10 pm W4-F.3 Trépanier M, Demortier A Cumulative chrysotile fiber ex- 4:30 pm W4-B.4 seeking: insights from online CIRANO posures from sanding historical NGO perspective on IRIS pro- search behaviour 4:30 pm W4-G.4 joint compound formulations: cess and progress Kuttschreuter M, Hilverda MD Seaport security (PortsSec): Inter- vs. intra-individual vari- Janssen SJ University of Twente The next phase - incidents, spe- ability Natural Resources Defense Council cial events and risk 4:30 pm W4-D.4 Sheehan PJ, Bogen KT (NRDC) Orosz M, Maya I, Lennon E, Informing risk communication Exponent 4:50 pm W4-B.5 practices through the analysis Chatterjee S, Salazar D, Southwell EPA’s path forward for the In- of user-generated content on C, Chen J, Ioannou P, Yanbo Z, Bu- tegrated Risk Information Sys- online media websites takov V tem Program Regan A University of Southern California Clark B, Deener K, Cogliano V, University College Dublin, Ireland Kadry A US Environmental Protection Agen- cy, Washington, DC

42 Wednesday 3:30 - 5:10 PM 3:30 - 5:10 PM Pacific Concourse M Pacific Concourse N W4-I Simulation W4-J Emerging Approaches for Assessing Technologies: Nano to Critical Infrastructure Synthetic Bio Vulnerability to National Chair: Christian Beaudrie Hazards 3:30 pm W4-J.1 Chair: Rachel Davidson Tracking media and internet 3:30 pm W4-I.1 coverage of nanotechnology’s On the correlation of hurricane risks over the years wind and surge Friedman SM, Egolf BP Lin Ning Lehigh University Princeton University 3:50 pm W4-J.2 3:50 pm W4-I.2 Strategies to develop occupa- Evaluation of a community-level tional exposure limits and haz- flood damage assessment and its ard bands for nanomaterials applicability to extreme events: Kuempel ED T-Shirt Giveaway implications for future adapta- National Institute for Occupational tion decisions Safety and Health Be a Die Hard Risk Analyst (DHRA) Camp JV, Abkowitz MD 4:10 pm W4-J.3 5:00–6:00 PM, Registration Area Vanderbilt University Nanotechnology EHS consid- Stay to the end of the sessions and 4:10 pm W4-I.3 erations for waste management receive a free T-shirt! Quantifying the catastrophe risk Sheremeta L Sponsored by Wiley-Blackwell of hurricanes to offshore wind National Institute for Nanotechnol- power ogy Rose SM, Apt J 4:30 pm W4-J.4 Carnegie Mellon University Emerging technologies: friend 4:30 pm W4-I.4 or foe? Can structured expert Evaluating the unconditional judgment help deciding? probability of exceeding net- Flari V, Neslo R, Chaudhry Q, work-level performance levels in Hugo S, Kerrins G, Blackburn J, highway bridge networks subject Hart A to seismic hazards Government, Academia Rokneddin K, Hernandez-Fajardo I, 4:50 pm W4-J.5 Duenas-Osorio L Changing chasses and inventing Rice University elements: developing a combined 4:50 pm W4-I.5 systems biology and engineering Modeling insurer-homeowner approach to designing complex interactions in managing natu- function in cells ral disaster risk Arkin AP Kesete Y, Gao Y, Peng J, Davidson University of California Berkeley, RA, Nozick LK, Kruse J Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Cornell University, University of Del- aware, East Carolina University 43 Author Index A Araújo M...... 32 Bassarak C...... 24 Black P...... 26, 30 Brown B...... 22 Carlsson H...... 40 Abbott LC...... 39 Ardavan M...... 29 Basset GW...... 23 Black PK...... 37 Brown GG...... 40 Carlyle WM...... 40 Abelmann A...... 18 Arkin AP...... 30, 43 Bass NB...... 26, 35 Blay JY...... 40 Brown J...... 28 Case MP...... 22 Abkowitz MD...... 43 Arulanantham R...... 28 Bates ME...... 21, 22, 30, 38 Blazquez CA...... 36 Brown JP...... 26, 39 Casman EA...... 18, 26 Ackerlund S...... 20 Arvai JL...... 20, 25 Batz MB...... 19 Blewett C...... 40 Brown L...... 25 Casman L...... 25 Adams PJ...... 38 Asfaw AG...... 20 Bauer NE...... 32 Blum D...... 19 Bruine de Bruin W...... 19 Castineira D...... 27 Adams RE...... 18 Asher D...... 28, 31 Baum S...... 19 Boerner FU...... 22, 27, 41 Bryant DW...... 29 Catalano M...... 32 Adeshina F...... 25 Astrakianakis G...... 22 Beamer P...... 26 Bogen KT...... 21, 42 Bryant S...... 28 Catford A...... 32 Adler MD...... 23 Atri A...... 21 Beaudrie CEH...... 36 Böhm G...... 24 Bubela TM...... 22, 40 Catlett KM...... 37 Aguila MC...... 28 Atwill R...... 21 Beaulieu SM...... 30 Bonefeld-Jorgenson E...... 24 Buchanan RL...... 21 Caughron B...... 26, 33 Agurenko AO...... 26 August LA...... 23 Becker RA...... 24, 42 Boniol M...... 23 Buchta D...... 35 Cawley MA...... 18 Akgunduz A...... 29 Aven T...... 18, 24, 26 Beck NB...... 21, 24 Boobis A...... 21 Buehring WA...... 23 Celsi RB...... 25 Alderson DL...... 40 Avery L...... 22 Bekera B...... 23, 36 Borchers N...... 27 Buenaventura E...... 32 Chakraborty SS...... 18, 35 Alexeeff GV...... 23, 26, 39 Avetysian M...... 19 Bell ML...... 31 Borgerding MF...... 32 Buescher C...... 39 Chang F...... 38 Alizadehtazi B...... 25 Ávila RG...... 27 Belzer RB...... 32 Börjesson M...... 31, 40 Burch DF...... 18, 21, 36 Chapman CR...... 40 Allanic A...... 24 Ayre KK...... 41 Benbrahim-Tallaa L...... 39 Borraz O...... 31 Burger J...... 26 Chappie D...... 28 Allemand H...... 25 Azevedo I...... 38 Ben-Haim Y...... 25 Borsuk MB...... 31 Burkhardt III W...... 32 Chardon JE...... 26 Allerton L...... 34 Benmarhnia T...... 23 Borsuk ME...... 31 Burns WB...... 39 Charnley S...... 24 Alonso E...... 34 B Bennett SP...... 19 Boso A...... 36 Burns WJ...... 39 Chatterjee S...... 19, 42 Altkorn B...... 18 Baan R...... 39 Bergerson JA...... 40 Bostrom A...... 29 Burris JA...... 26 Chaudhry Q...... 43 Alvarez G...... 28 Bachman A...... 21 Berner J...... 24 Bouder FB...... 18, 31 Butakov V...... 42 Cheadle JL...... 24 Amlôt R...... 38 Bailer AJ...... 21 Berraj L...... 34 Bouder FF...... 21 Butler C...... 27 Chen CC...... 41 Amorim TA...... 34 Bailey EA...... 35 Berube DM...... 38 Boughton B...... 40 Butler K...... 29 Chen J...... 42 Amundrud Ø...... 18 Bajcetic R...... 25 Besley JC...... 28 Bouvard V...... 39 Butte G...... 22, 25, 38 Chen PC...... 25, 26 Anderson CL...... 29 Baker KM...... 20, 38 Bessette DL...... 20 Bowles E...... 30 Chen X...... 18 Anderson CW...... 25 Ballinger R...... 32 Bevan C...... 24, 32 Bowman D...... 30 C Chen Y...... 21, 22 Anderson GB...... 31 Barkan C...... 26, 33 Bianchi J...... 40 Bowman SA...... 34 Cabanes PA...... 26 Cheng B...... 26 Anderson M...... 21 Barker K...... 34 Bibeau K...... 29 Boyd AD...... 22, 40 Cabrera C...... 26 Cheng TJ...... 26 Anderson S...... 31 Barlow CA...... 27, 42 Bickle E...... 35 Bradham K...... 26 Cacciatore MA...... 30, 36 Chester M...... 40 Anderson SA...... 28 Barnett J...... 36, 42 Bier VM...... 20, 21, 23, 28, 32 Brady MM...... 29 Cahill SM...... 21 Cheung R...... 28 Andes L...... 41 Barnett WS...... 37 Biksey T...... 24, 32 Brand KP...... 38 Calci KR...... 32 Chiang SY...... 26 Andrew A...... 31 Barraj L...... 25 Binder AR...... 30 Brauer M...... 41 Calkin DE...... 19, 25 Chien LC...... 26 Andrijcic E...... 39 Barrett A...... 35 Bi X...... 34 Bridges TS...... 38 Callahan KL...... 23 Choiniere CJ...... 34 Anissimov MA...... 28 Barsan ME...... 20 Bjork KB...... 34 Bronfman NC...... 20, 25, 40 Camp JV...... 43 Christian R...... 32 Aoyagi M...... 30 Bartlett K...... 40 Bjork KE...... 31 Brookmire LM...... 26, 27 Cantor RA...... 31 Chua YT...... 24 Apt J...... 43 Barzyk TM...... 23 Blackburn J...... 43 Brooks A...... 23 Carlson JL...... 23 Chun A...... 25 Disclaimer: All presentations represent the views of the authors, and not the organizations that support their research. Please apply the standard disclaimer that any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations in abstracts, posters, and presentations at the meeting are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of any other organization or agency. Meeting attendees and authors should be aware that this disclaimer is intended to apply to all abstracts contained in this document. Authors who wish to emphasize this disclaimer should do so in their presentation or poster. In an effort to make the abstracts as concise as possible and easy for meeting participants to read, the abstracts have been formatted such that they exclude references to papers, affiliations, and/or funding sources. Authors who wish to provide attendees with this information should do so in their presentation or poster.

44 Cifuentes LA...... 20, 25, 26, 27 D Dotson GS...... 27, 33 F Froese KL...... 26 Gosling JP...... 21 Cirone P...... 23 Dale AL...... 26 Dourson ML...... 24, 35 Faivre J...... 25 Fukushima S...... 26 Gottschalk F...... 22 Cisternas PC...... 25 Dana GV...... 35 Driedger M...... 27 Falconi SM...... 34 Fulcher CM...... 39 Goulding N...... 24, 32 Clark B...... 42 Darby T...... 33 Driedger SM...... 22 Fan GZ...... 25 Furgal C...... 24 Graham J...... 18 Clarke CE...... 36, 38 Davidson CP...... 27 Driesen DM...... 18 Fang W...... 25 Fuse M...... 25 Graham KC...... 24 Clarke J...... 26 Davidson RA...... 43 Droguett EL...... 32 Fann NL...... 39 Gray G...... 21, 41, 42 Claycamp HG...... 34 Davies DB...... 29 Druker ER...... 25 Farias Filho JR...... 27 G Green LC...... 18 Clifford KR...... 28 Davis A...... 33 Duarte HO...... 32 Farris CN...... 38 Gaff C...... 28 Greene CW...... 26 Clouse TL...... 31, 34 Davis JA...... 25 Ducey M...... 41 Fatehi L...... 33 Gaffney SH...... 25, 27, 42 Greenlees K...... 27 Cogliano V...... 42 Davis JM...... 36 Dudarev A...... 24 Faust JB...... 23 Gaido K...... 28 Gregori L...... 28, 31 Cogswell ME...... 34 Dearfield KL...... 37 Dudley SE...... 23, 39 Fazil A...... 30 Gaillot-de Saintignon J...... 23 Gregory R...... 20, 36 Cohen Y...... 18 De Bruin M...... 28 Duenas-Osorio L...... 43 Fedak K...... 36 Galbraith D...... 27 Gresh DL...... 27 Coignard F...... 23 Decker DK...... 19 Dumitrescu A...... 38 Feldman L...... 36 Gallagher D...... 32 Grieger KD...... 30 Cole D...... 19 Deener K...... 42 Duncan IJ...... 35 Fensterheim RJ...... 42 Galluppi KJ...... 37 Griffin JR...... 27 Cole DJ...... 38 Deitch B...... 28 Dunn AJ...... 30 Ferguson E...... 30 Gamo M...... 25, 26 Griffin MW...... 18 Coles J...... 32, 34 Delaquis P...... 30 du Plessis E...... 22 Ferson S...... 26, 37 Gantz DT...... 19 Grosse Y...... 39 Colli A...... 41 Deleris LA...... 27 Dybwad C...... 40 Fetters C...... 35 Gao Y...... 43 Gruntfest E...... 27 Collier ZA...... 21, 22, 34 Deleuze G...... 38 Dyck R...... 38 Fiebelkorn SA...... 25 Garrahan KG...... 25 Guha N...... 39 Comer JE...... 25 DeLorme MP...... 37 Field F...... 34 Gaspar RF...... 42 Guikema SD...... 19, 31, 34 Convertino M...... 20, 21, 36 de los Reyes FL...... 27 E Finkel AM...... 23, 31 Gauchard F...... 27 Guillaume O...... 28 Cooper EL...... 18 de Marcellis-Warin N...... 30, 42 Ebel ED...... 38 Finley B...... 27 Geller JT...... 30 Guivant JS...... 34, 41 Corizzo A...... 40 Demeritt D...... 31 Edwards AJ...... 34 Finley BF...... 25 Gentile MA...... 38, 39 Guo Z...... 33 Corley EA...... 36 Demichelis SO...... 27, 40 Edwards BD...... 32 Finley BL...... 18, 25 Gerritsen J...... 26 Gurian PL...... 25, 28 Corner A...... 27 DeMocker J...... 38 Edwards R...... 32 Finster M...... 21 Gerst MD...... 31 Gutiérrez VV...... 20 Coscas Y...... 40 Demortier A...... 42 Edwards S...... 37 Fiorenza M...... 36 Geyer R...... 40 Gu W...... 19 Cowan E...... 34 Dempsey T...... 24 Egolf BP...... 43 Fisher RE...... 23 Gibb SK...... 23 Guza O...... 38 Cox J...... 35 Demski CC...... 28, 30 Einsiedel EF...... 40 Fitzgerald M...... 37 Gift JS...... 25, 41 Cox JA...... 35 Dennerlein T...... 24 Eisinger F...... 25, 27, 40 Fitzpatrick JW...... 35 Gillespie P...... 36, 37 H Cox Jr LA...... 40 Dennis S...... 21, 22, 30, 32 Ekelman KB...... 27, 28 Flanagan D...... 21 Gilman A...... 24 Haas CN...... 28 Cox LA...... 41 Denyer D...... 27 El Ghissassi F...... 39 Flander LB...... 28 Gilmer G...... 25 Haas CNH...... 28 Cragin DW...... 25 DesAutels CG...... 33 Elmieh N...... 22 Flari V...... 21, 43 Gilmore EA...... 38 Haimes YY...... 33, 39 Craig A...... 20 Díaz JC...... 26 El Yahchouchy R...... 27 Fleming CR...... 41 Giordanella JP...... 25 Hajbagheri M...... 25, 37 Craig P...... 21 Diebol JK...... 29, 34 Empereur-Bissonnet P...... 23 Fontenay L...... 26 Gochfeld M...... 26 Hajen W...... 32 Cretu O...... 26 Dieckmann NF...... 20 Enander AE...... 31, 36, 40 Fooks AR...... 30 Goddard AD...... 30 Hakkinen P...... 38 Cretu V...... 26 Dillon DM...... 25 Eosco GM...... 18, 24, 29, 30 Foran CM...... 20, 22, 30 Godwin H...... 18 Hällgren M...... 23, 28 Creutzfeldt-Banda N...... 35 Dillon-Merrill R...... 39 Ertem M...... 21 Foran M...... 36 Goeden HM...... 26 Hall M...... 24 Critto A...... 22 Dillon RL...... 39 Espluga J...... 36 Forshee RA...... 34 Golden NJ...... 38 Hall T...... 34 Cuite CL...... 28 DiNovi MJ...... 27, 34 Esteban E...... 37 Fowler EF...... 36 Golden R...... 23 Hallman WK...... 28 Cullen AC...... 29 DiRenzo J...... 33 Ettinger R...... 33 Francis R...... 23, 36, 41, 42 Gómez JM...... 37 Halpern L...... 40 Cummings CL...... 38 Dixon GN...... 28, 36 Evans AM...... 21 Francis RA...... 33 Gomez N...... 27 Halvorson DA...... 31, 34 Cunningham FH...... 25 Doe JB...... 40 Evans GJ...... 24 Franzblau A...... 34 Gonzales C...... 36 Hamilton M...... 39 Curren S...... 37 Dokukin D...... 36 Evans JS...... 25 Freberg KJ...... 24 Good K...... 35 Hamilton MA...... 25 Cushing L...... 23 Domesle ARM...... 37 Evensen DT...... 36, 38 Frey HC...... 18, 27 Goode J...... 37 Hammitt JK...... 21, 23, 31, 37 Custance R...... 33 Donaldson NM...... 30 Eyraud J...... 34 Friedlander LG...... 28 Gooding R...... 35 Hammond GD...... 32 Cuzzucoli D...... 27 Donovan B...... 27, 42 Ezell B...... 21 Friedman SM...... 43 Goodman JE...... 35 Hand MS...... 19, 25 Dore JF...... 23 Frizzell A...... 33 Gorjão SI...... 42 Haninger K...... 23 45 Hanson GM...... 35 Hoerning SQ...... 28 Jardine C...... 27 Kenkel D...... 34 Kuttschreuter M...... 42 Ligmann-Zielinska A...... 28 Hanuch MS...... 40 Hoffman H...... 34 Jardine CG...... 22, 40 Kenney L...... 25 Kuzma J...... 19, 33 Lim JK...... 26 Hanuch S...... 40 Hoffmann SA...... 19, 22 Jazmin N...... 27 Keogh L...... 28 Lim YW...... 27 Hardy C...... 40 Holder C...... 21 Jenkins MA...... 28 Kerrins G...... 43 L Lima ML...... 42 Haring CP...... 20 Holman E...... 41 Jensen J...... 36 Kesete Y...... 43 Lachlan KA...... 24 Lin MH...... 25, 26 Hart A...... 21, 43 Holtzman J...... 32 Jessup AI...... 30, 34, 37 Khorsandi JD...... 26 Ladario MP...... 27 Lin N...... 43 Hart PS...... 36 Honda K...... 26 Jiang AX...... 33 Kiekintveld C...... 33 Ladkin D...... 27 Lin RS...... 25 Hartnett E...... 28, 30 Hong T...... 25, 28 Jiao W...... 18 Kiker GA...... 20 Lambert JC...... 39, 41 Linkov I...... 20, 21, 22, 30, Hartogensis M...... 20 Hooberman B...... 22 Jimenez RB...... 40 Kim CS...... 27 Lambert JH...... 22 ...... 31, 34, 38 Hashemi Beni L...... 30 Hoover SM...... 18 Jo MJ...... 27 Kim HK...... 27, 36 Landis WG...... 41 Linkov M...... 36 Hassel H...... 19, 41 Hopper JL...... 28 Johansson J...... 19, 41 Kim JY...... 27 Lanier K...... 26, 35 Linyu X...... 26, 33 Hausmann NT...... 23 Horlick-Jones T...... 36 John R...... 39 Kim SH...... 27 Lanki T...... 27 Little K...... 30 Hawkins B...... 35 Horton DL...... 30 John RS...... 39 Kim S-J...... 27 Lapuente PLF...... 24, 26 Liu C...... 26 Hawkins BE...... 35 Hosono H...... 26 Johns LE...... 25 Kim ST...... 28 LaPuma P...... 42 Liu H...... 18 Hawkins N...... 40 Hossaini N...... 38 Johnson BB...... 31 Kim SY...... 27 LaRocca S...... 19 Liu R...... 18 Hawkins T...... 23 Hosseinali-Mirza V...... 30 Johnson K...... 31 King G...... 35 Lasher AB...... 22 Liu Y...... 18, 40 Hazen TC...... 30 Hrdy D...... 34 Johnson MP...... 33 Kirchain R...... 34 Lathrop JF...... 40 Liu ZT...... 28 Healy RM...... 24 Hristozov DR...... 22 Johnson RA...... 32 Kirshenblat D...... 36 Lauby B...... 39 Livermore M...... 18 Hearl FJ...... 20 Hseu ZY...... 26 Jones SM...... 32 Kishimoto A...... 27 Laudares CC...... 27 Lloyd S...... 42 Heatwole NT...... 32 Hsi HC...... 26 Jones TD...... 40 Kissel JC...... 18 LeBlanc D...... 30 Lo JM...... 41 Hedberg C...... 28 Hsiao IL...... 25 Jorquera H...... 27 Klockow KE...... 20 LeClair H...... 29 Locke MS...... 42 Hede S...... 36, 40 Hsieh CJ...... 25 Julian-Reynier C...... 25 Knutson B...... 38 Lee CS...... 37 Lofstedt RL...... 18, 20 Hellebust S...... 24 Hu HY...... 28 Julias C...... 28 Koch F...... 41 Lee HC...... 37 Long G...... 36 Henderson SB...... 41 Huang T...... 37 Koehler K...... 41 Lee R...... 26 Long J...... 24 Hendren CO...... 36 Huang YJ...... 25, 28, 31 K Kolakowski JE...... 35 Lee RC...... 26, 40 Loomis D...... 39 Henning C...... 18, 21 Hubbell BJ...... 39 Kadry A...... 42 Kollanus V...... 25 Lee RJ...... 27, 42 López OD...... 26 Henry B...... 40 Huber M...... 31 Kahlor L...... 24 Komatsu H...... 29 Lee S...... 30 Lordo R...... 28 Henshaw J...... 27, 42 Hugo S...... 43 Kain N...... 27 Kopp RE...... 32 Lee T...... 36 Loria CM...... 34 Henson KM...... 19 Huisenga MT...... 28 Kajihara H...... 26 Kosson D...... 26 Lee TL...... 32 LoSchiavo A...... 20 Hernandez-Fajardo I...... 43 Hulme-Lowe CK...... 31 Kandlikar M...... 36 Kost E...... 22 Leech T...... 24 Losego J...... 37 Hertzberg RC...... 33 Hurrell AC...... 40 Kanefuji K...... 25 Kountzman JA...... 26 Legris Desportes C...... 38 Lowe LL...... 25 Hess R...... 18 Kane SM...... 35 Kovacs DC...... 20, 22, 25, 38 Lemyre L...... 38 Lowry GV...... 26 Hewage K...... 38 I Kapustka LA...... 26 Kowal SP...... 22 Lennon E...... 42 Lu CC...... 20, 32, 41 Heynes O...... 33 Ingwersen W...... 23 Karagas M...... 31 Kowal ST...... 40 Le Tertre A...... 23 Lu Y...... 28 Higashino H...... 28 Inoue K...... 26 Karimi E...... 29 Kresovich A...... 36 Leung B...... 34 Ludwig L...... 38 Hillson NJ...... 30 Ioannou P...... 42 Karvetski CW...... 19, 23 Krowech GA...... 18 Levchenko A...... 22 Lueck MM...... 20, 27 Hilverda MD...... 42 Ivanov B...... 39 Kassim S...... 34 Kruemmel E...... 24 Levchenko V...... 22 Luedeke JD...... 35 Hines E...... 41 Kause J...... 32 Krupka EA...... 27 Levinson SH...... 41 Lugtig P...... 28 Hines S...... 28 J Kawamoto A...... 25 Kruse J...... 43 Levy JI...... 39 Luhmann C...... 37 Hines SA...... 25 Jackson E...... 25 Kazansky Y...... 22 Kuczenski B...... 40 Lewis J...... 37 Luke N...... 26, 28 Hirtz J...... 18, 21 Jackson JF...... 33 Kazemi R...... 34 Kuempel ED...... 43 Lewis RJ...... 21 Lundberg R...... 19 Hiscock M...... 40 Jacobsson M...... 23, 28 Keelan J...... 27 Kugihara N...... 24 Leyton-Brown K...... 33 Luxton R...... 28 Ho WC...... 25, 26 Jacquet JB...... 38 Keeney RL...... 20 Kuiken T...... 22, 33 Lhomel C...... 40 Lynch M...... 25 Hoekstra M...... 19 Jamshidi T...... 32 Keisler JM...... 20, 22, 36 Kumagai Y...... 26 Li M...... 25 Lysak K...... 28 Hoekstra RM...... 38 Janssen MP...... 29 Keller C...... 18 Kummel AC...... 25 Li Y...... 25 Hoelzer K...... 21 Janssen SJ...... 42 Kelly K...... 30, 38 Kutsch E...... 24 Lievense L...... 25 46 M McVey MM...... 18 Nakayachi K...... 27 Overbey D...... 37 Piccardo P...... 28 Raymond M...... 21 MacDonald Gibson J...... 24 McWilliams RM...... 28 Nance P...... 24 Overton RA...... 18 Pidgeon N...... 28, 30, 32 Recio L...... 23 MacDonell M...... 21 Meacham C...... 36 Nardinelli C...... 37 Ozkaynak H...... 26, 41 Pidgeon NF...... 27 Reed B...... 37 MacKenzie CA...... 34 Meadowcroft J...... 40 Nateghi R...... 31 Pierce JS...... 18, 25 Reed KL...... 37 MacWilliams M...... 41 Meek ME...... 21, 35, 39 Naufal ZN...... 32 P Pierson K...... 22 Regan A...... 42 Madl AK...... 27, 42 Meer S...... 31 Nauta M...... 27, 37 Paddock LC...... 35 Pieters S...... 30 Reid J...... 25 Maeda Y...... 24 Meng W...... 28 Neill H...... 28 Padgett PE...... 29 Pingannaud MP...... 25 Reimann-Garretson L...... 29 Maier A...... 24, 27, 33 Merad M...... 21 Nel A...... 18 Pakiam J...... 38 Pinto A...... 26 Reiss R...... 39 Maier R...... 22 Mercer AM...... 32 Neslo REJ...... 29, 43 Palermo C...... 21 Pipan M...... 25 Renaud D...... 25 Makino R...... 25, 26 Meredith C...... 25 Neumann JE...... 37, 38 Palley AB...... 20 Pivot X...... 40 Renn O...... 39 Malcomber I...... 28 Meyer AK...... 35 Newell E...... 32 Palma Oliveira JM...... 21 Plumley MB...... 20 Resurreccion JZ...... 19 Malladi S...... 31, 34 Meyer D...... 23 Nguyen L...... 32 Pang H...... 27 Plummer LE...... 18 Retchless DP...... 20 Mangalam S...... 29 Mickley J...... 26 Nichols T...... 25, 28 Panjwani S...... 21, 37 Pohl P...... 28 Reyna V...... 34 Marano KM...... 32 Minamyer S...... 24 Nicol AM...... 22, 40 Paoli G...... 28, 30 Poisson S...... 27, 37 Rheinberger CM...... 31 Marcel F...... 21 Minor T...... 22 Niederdeppe JN...... 27, 36 Papzuck I...... 40 Pollak M...... 40 Rhomberg LR...... 35 Marchant GE...... 33 Mitchell AL...... 18 Nilsen MD...... 35 Parad S...... 22 Pollock JS...... 25 Rice GE...... 21 Marcomini A...... 22 Mohapatra AK...... 26, 38 Niven H...... 28 Parish M...... 22 Poortinga W...... 28 Rice N...... 26 Marcu A...... 36, 42 Mojduszka E...... 39 Norris G...... 25 Parker EA...... 34 Poortvliet PM...... 24, 28 Richter RO...... 27, 33 Marcum T...... 28 Mokhtari A...... 22, 30 North C...... 21 Parkhill KA...... 27 Potoglou D...... 19 Rickard LN...... 28 Marin K...... 21 Molen N...... 28 Nowack B...... 22 Parra LM...... 25 Pottenger LH...... 35, 42 Riddel MC...... 23 Marlatt H...... 20, 27 Monnot AD...... 25 Nozick LK...... 43 Pashanasangi G...... 29 Potts RJ...... 32 Riddel MR...... 32 Marquart-Pyatt S...... 28 Montville JB...... 34 Pate-Cornell E...... 19 Pouillot R...... 21, 32 Rider G...... 18 Martin CL...... 34 Montz B...... 37 O Pato AM...... 28 Poulizac C...... 34 Ridolfi A...... 28 Martin L...... 23 Monzon AN...... 27, 40 O’Connor IP...... 24 Patterson J...... 24 Powell MR...... 37 Ridolfi C...... 23 Martin LR...... 23 Moore A...... 38 O’Connor R...... 40 Patterson T...... 24 Powers C...... 36, 37 Rimoldi B...... 27 Marty M...... 42 Moor R...... 42 Odland J...... 24 Paustenbach DJ...... 25, 27, 42 Powers CW...... 26 Ritter T...... 24 Marty MA...... 26, 39 Morel B...... 31 O’Donnell D...... 19 Pauwels EM...... 35 Prades A...... 36 Rivera-Mancia ME...... 41 Marynissen H...... 27, 30 Morere JF...... 40 Oei W...... 29 Pawlisz A...... 24 Pradhan AK...... 27 Rivers, III L...... 24 Masterton M...... 35 Moretti KA...... 33 O’Hare M...... 18 Payne-Sturges D...... 39 Priest SH...... 28 Rivers L...... 24, 28 Matthews MA...... 34 Morgan K...... 22, 30 Öhman S...... 38 Pearce JM...... 23, 38 Prueitt RL...... 35 Rix G...... 29 Mattrey RF...... 25 Morgenstern R...... 18 Oka T...... 20 Peek L...... 20, 27 Putzrath RM...... 33 Robart C...... 35 Maule BJ...... 33 Morris C...... 37 O’Kane JB...... 21 Peerenboom JP...... 23 Robbins R...... 36 Maxwell G...... 28 Morris JG...... 19 Oki S...... 27 Peignier I...... 30, 42 Q Roberts LJ...... 25 Maya I...... 42 Moshfegh AJ...... 34 Okwesili P...... 34 Pelot RP...... 36 Quintana J...... 27 Robinson LA...... 34 Mayorga M...... 34 Mosquera Ortega ME...... 28 Oliver GM...... 42 Peng J...... 43 Quiring SM...... 31 Robinson M...... 21 McAndrew C...... 28 Mota AG...... 27 Olofsson A...... 38 Perkins EJ...... 30 Quitugua TN...... 19 Rodriguez D...... 24 Motoyoshi T...... 24 Olson KC...... 19, 23 Perona R...... 26, 41 Rodriguez Moreyra M...... 27 McComas KA...... 18, 28, 29 R McCullough C...... 34 Mulder B...... 28 Oltra C...... 36 Perrin F...... 30 Rodríguez SE...... 26, 37 Mumtaz MG...... 23 Ono K...... 25 Peterson T...... 40 Rabinovici SJ...... 39 Rogers MB...... 23, 28 McDaniel M...... 29 Rahaman F...... 34 McGarry S...... 22 Muñoz F...... 25, 26, 37 O’Rawe J...... 26, 37 Petit FD...... 23 Roh S...... 32 Murayama TM...... 20 Orosz M...... 42 Petrun E...... 39 Rajan SR...... 42 Rokneddin K...... 43 McGill W...... 37 Rak A...... 26, 35 McKay K...... 20 Murphy M...... 34 Ort C...... 22 Pfeiffer CM...... 34 Rolfe-Redding J...... 32 Myriam M...... 22 Orwat C...... 39 Pfister HR...... 24 Ralko J...... 40 Roman H...... 38 McKellar R...... 30 Rallo R...... 18 McLane DN...... 27 Oryang D...... 21, 30 Phillips JA...... 23 Roman HR...... 39 N Otani J...... 27 Phillips L...... 18 Ramana MV...... 42 Romero A...... 27 McNoldy B...... 20, 27 Rashid S...... 38 McPherson RA...... 20 Nakashima Y...... 26 Otten A...... 30 Pica A...... 27 Romero DM...... 28 Ouakrim DA...... 28 Pica APT...... 24, 26 Rautio A...... 24 47 Rose A...... 19 Schlosser WD...... 32 Simonetti A...... 34 Sudley S...... 18 Tinsley CH...... 39 Veland H...... 24 Rose SM...... 43 Schmier JK...... 31 Simon J...... 25 Suedel BC...... 20 Tkackuk A...... 22, 38 Velasquez N...... 28 Rosoff HB...... 39 Schmitt KA...... 29, 33 Singer ME...... 30 Sugiyama A...... 20 Toms C...... 40 Venn TJ...... 19 Roth R...... 34 Schmitt Olabisi L...... 28 Singleton-Baldrey L...... 24 Sullivan JP...... 33 Torok T...... 30 Verly C...... 38 Rothstein H...... 21, 31 Schoeny R...... 23 Skinner CN...... 24 Sunger NS...... 28 Totoki YT...... 20 Vidoloff KG...... 24 Rounsaville T...... 29 Scholz RW...... 22 Slagle KM...... 34 Susel I...... 40 Touze B...... 27 Viguier J...... 40 Rouse JF...... 31 Schubert W...... 27 Slovic P...... 34, 39 Suter G...... 26 Tran N...... 25 Villaamil Lepori E...... 28 Rowell A...... 19, 23 Schulman LL...... 33 Smith M...... 32 Sütterlin B...... 34 Travis WT...... 28 Villaroman C...... 33 Rushton L...... 21 Schultz BD...... 39 Snary EL...... 30 Svegrup L...... 41 Travleev A...... 22 Villeneuve S...... 30 Russell P...... 25 Schwartz J...... 37 Snir R...... 19 Swanson M...... 22 Treich N...... 23 Visram A...... 27 Rutstein A...... 28 Schweizer PJ...... 39 Snoeijers E...... 27 Swart AN...... 26, 27 Trépanier M...... 42 Visschers V...... 28 Ruzante JM...... 27 Scrafford C...... 25, 34 Sobol H...... 25 Szwed P...... 40 Triggs T...... 28 Vogel C...... 26, 35 Ryti RT...... 41 Scriven J...... 31 Sodeau JR...... 24 Troxell T...... 25 Vogel D...... 21 Seager TP...... 21 Sonderer T...... 22 T Trueman CW...... 29 Vogel J...... 20 S Seibt CB...... 42 Sosa Holt CS...... 28 Ta CN...... 25 Trumbo CW...... 20, 27 Vogel JT...... 20, 38 Saat MR...... 26, 33 Seid D...... 28 Soultani A...... 38 Taft S...... 28 Trump B...... 30, 31 VonNiederhausern M...... 35 Sadeghi F...... 25 Seitz JF...... 25 Soumpasis I...... 28, 31 Taimisto P...... 25 Tsai MS...... 25, 26 von Winterfeldt D...... 39 Sadiq R...... 38 Sekar A...... 40 Southwell C...... 42 Tainio M...... 25 Tsang M...... 23 Sager SL...... 33 Sekizaki T...... 26 Souweine K...... 29 Takai A...... 26 Tsou M...... 26 W Sahmel J...... 27, 42 Sellnow T...... 39 Sparrevik M...... 38 Takebayashi T...... 26 Tsubaki H...... 25 Wagner CC...... 25 Salazar DE...... 19, 42 Senger-Mersich A...... 28 Speirs-Bridge A...... 28 Takeshita J...... 25, 26 Tsunemi K...... 25 Wahlen JB...... 27 Sali A...... 29 Sentz K...... 19 Spence A...... 30 Tallapragada M...... 29 Tuomisto JT...... 25 Walderhaug M...... 34 Salmon AG...... 26, 39, 42 Seo K...... 24 Spence PR...... 24 Tambe M...... 33 Turkelson AE...... 34 Wall KD...... 25 Salsal M...... 25, 37 Serratosa J...... 21 Spicer LJ...... 18 Tardif C...... 42 Turley AT...... 18 Wallace LN...... 29 Samadpour M...... 38 Sertkaya A...... 30 Sposato RG...... 28 Tardif R...... 24 Turner AA...... 36 Wallet F...... 26 Samet JM...... 37, 42 Setzer RW...... 41 Srdjevic B...... 25 Tarjan D...... 30 Turnham P...... 27 Wallquist L...... 28 Sampedro F...... 31 Severtson DJ...... 20 Srdjevic Z...... 25 Tas S...... 23 Tvermoes BE...... 27 Walsh T...... 38 Samvura F...... 42 Shan X...... 28 Sridharan S...... 29 Tatham E...... 22 Wang C...... 20, 34 Sanaa M...... 27, 30, 37 Shao K...... 25, 41 Srinivasan JR...... 27 Tauxe J...... 26 U Wang H...... 35 Sandholm T...... 33 Shatkin JA...... 36 Staid A...... 31 Taylor MR...... 31 Ung-Lanki S...... 27 Wang IJ...... 25 Sandoval D...... 40 Sheehan PJ...... 42 Standridge K...... 36 Teicher P...... 42 Unice K...... 27, 33 Wang P...... 31 Saner MA...... 41 Sheremeta L...... 43 Stedman RC...... 38 Teixeira SF...... 32 Urban J...... 34 Wang W...... 25 Santos JR...... 19, 34, 39 Shibata MF...... 23 Steinhardt J...... 24, 28, 30 Temple B...... 21 Urban M...... 19 Warheit DB...... 37 Satterfield T...... 36 Shin DC...... 27 Stephens J...... 40 Tenenhaus-Aziza F...... 30 Warin T...... 30 Sawada T...... 20 Shinozaki H...... 28 Sterin AM...... 26 Teuschler LK...... 21 V Way DHP...... 18 Vacquier B...... 23 Sawe N...... 38 Shioya HS...... 20 Stetler KM...... 19 Thekdi SA...... 39 Weaver JT...... 31, 34 Van Achte T...... 27, 30 Scanlon K...... 35, 42 Shirai JH...... 18 Stewart RN...... 19 Thomas MJ...... 32 Weiss J...... 21 Vandenberg J...... 37 Scarlett L...... 20 Shirley P...... 33 Stillman M...... 26 Thomas RP...... 20 Welburn JW...... 28 Van Doren JM...... 32 Schaffner DW...... 28, 37 Shortridge J...... 34 Stoeckel DM...... 35 Thompson B...... 18 Wender BA...... 22 VanGeest J...... 29 Scharks T...... 29 Shroy B...... 35 Stokes E...... 30 Thompson MP...... 19, 25, 41 Wenger JC...... 24 Van Orden D...... 27, 42 Schatz J...... 28 Shubat PJ...... 26 Stone H...... 25, 28 Thorne S...... 20, 22, 25, 38 Wesson KH...... 39 Varghese A...... 18, 21 Schaub JD...... 39 Siegel D...... 38 Straif K...... 39 Tikhonov C...... 24 Wheeler MW...... 21 Vastfjall D...... 34 Scheer D...... 40 Siegrist J...... 37 Strappa V...... 27 Tiller B...... 41 White RH...... 36 Vaughan N...... 27 Scherer CW...... 18, 24 Siegrist M...... 18, 34 Streetman SS...... 34 Timberlake SE...... 27 Whitfield RG...... 23 Veeramany A...... 29 Schetula V...... 32 Sierra LM...... 37 Su C...... 31 Timofeev AA...... 26 Whitley C...... 28 Veil S...... 39 Scheufele DA...... 36 Silvestri E...... 28 Suarez MC...... 25 Tinkle ST...... 37 Whitmarsh L...... 32 48 Whitmire MT...... 35 Yan D...... 28 Whittaker I...... 35 Yanbo Z...... 42 Wibbenmeyer M...... 25 Yang H...... 28, 31, 34 Wiedemann PM...... 41 Yang HH...... 37 Wiener JB...... 21 Yang JY...... 27 Wiesner MR...... 36 Yang ZJ...... 24 Wilbanks T...... 22 Yao J...... 41 Williams E...... 40 Yaroschak PJ...... 35 Williams L...... 22 Yemshanov D...... 41 Williams MS...... 38 Yi BH...... 25 Williams PRD...... 27, 33 Yin Z...... 33 Williams R...... 23 Yoder Bowling C...... 25 Williams RA...... 39 Yokoyama HM...... 27 Willis A...... 24 Yome JL...... 27 Willis HH...... 19, 37 Yong A...... 38 Wilson E...... 40 Young G...... 28 Wilson M...... 30 Yu RJ...... 28 Wilson P...... 35 Yue M...... 41 Wilson R...... 34 Yund C...... 24 Wilson RS...... 24, 34 Wilson T...... 36 Z Win AK...... 28 Zabeo A...... 22 Winder B...... 26 Zaitchik B...... 34 Winkel D...... 35 Zeise L...... 42 Winston D...... 26 Zemba SG...... 18 Winter PL...... 24, 29 Zhang X...... 20 Wise K...... 42 Zhou T...... 27, 28 Wolansky MJ...... 28 Zhuang J...... 28, 32, 34 Woodard JD...... 38 Zikmund-Fisher BJ...... 34 Wooton A...... 28 Zussblatt N...... 22 Wright JM...... 21 Zwickle AK...... 34 Wu C...... 30 Wu F...... 41 Wu HC...... 26 Wu KY...... 25, 26 Wu TN...... 25 Wu Z...... 25 Wurzel KA...... 29 Wyker D...... 21 X Xin S...... 26, 33 Xue JL...... 28 Y Yamamoto K...... 26

49 Floorplans

Hyatt Regency San Francisco Hyatt Regency San Francisco Atrium Level Bay Level

50 Floorplans

Hyatt Regency San Francisco Pacific Concourse Level

Hyatt Regency San Francisco Street Level

51 Notes

52 Wiley is proud to publish

Risk Analysis, the official journal received by all members of the SRA, provides a focal point for new developments in the theory and practice of risk analysis for researchers and practitioners from a wide range of disciplines. Its research and perspective articles focus on risk assessment, management, perception, and communication in the topic areas of human health, safety, and the environment. Read these featured issues online: Special Series: Nanotechnology Risk Perceptions and Communication Special Issue: Risk of Extreme and Catastrophic Events Volume 31, Issue 11 Volume 32, issue 11 Special Series: Risk Regulation (Part 2): Risk Assessment and Economic Special Issue: The Impact of the Reduction in Tobacco Smoking on U.S. Analysis Lung Cancer Mortality (1975-2000): Collective Results from the Cancer Volume 31, Issue 9 Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network Special Virtual Issue: Stanley Kaplan: Reflections and Papers Published Volume 32, Issue Supplement s1 July 2011 Special Series: Climate Change Risk Perception and Communication Special Virtual Issue: Lester Lave: Reflections and Papers Published Volume 32, Issue 6 June 2011 Special Virtual Issue: Ecological Risk Assessment in Risk Analysis Special Series on Risk Regulation (Part 1): Introduction and Equity Issues June 2012 Volume 31, Issue 6 Special Issue: Risk Perception and Behavior: Anticipating and Special Virtual Issue: Advances in Terrorism Risk Analysis Responding to Crises April 2011 Volume 32, Issue 4

All SRA members get a 35% discount on over 20 relevant books, including:

Theorizing Crisis Mathematical Managing Risk Assessment Disasters Without The Flaw of 20% Chance of Rain Communication Modeling with Uncertainty Lee T. Ostrom, Borders Averages Richard B. Jones Timothy L. Sellnow, Multidisciplinary Michel Syrett, Marion Cheryl Wilhelmsen John Hannigan Sam L. Savage Matthew W. Seeger Applications Devine To see the full list of titles and order your copy today, visit Xin-She Yang wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/risk Thanks for coming!

See you next year in Baltimore, MD December 8-11, 2013