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Improved Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) Effectiveness MSSE Capstone Project

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Improved Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) Effectiveness MSSE Capstone Project Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis Collection 2008-06 Improved Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) effectiveness MSSE Capstone Project Broadmeadow, James Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/6934 NPS-SE-08-002 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA Improved Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) Effectiveness MSSE Capstone Project James Broadmeadow Nguyen Nguyen Francis Dziekan Patrick Roach Francis Frantz Jeffrey Sammis Rodney Gudz Scott Santos Patrick Kelley Kenneth Silveria Shawn Kennedy Cullen Smith Christine Moreira Kirk Volk Steven Wright Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited Prepared for: Chairman of the Systems Engineering Department in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Systems Engineering THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California 93943-5000 Daniel T. Oliver Leonard A. Ferrari President Executive Vice President and Provost This report was prepared for the Chairman of the Systems Engineering Department in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Systems Engineering. Reproduction of all or part of this report is authorized. This report was prepared by the Masters of Science in Systems Engineering (MSSE) Cohort # 311-062 from the Naval Undersea Warfare Center Division, Newport (NUWCDIVNPT): _________________ ______________________ _______________________ James Broadmeadow Frank Dziekan Francis Frantz _________________ ______________________ _______________________ Rodney Gudz Patrick Kelley Shawn Kennedy _________________ ______________________ _______________________ Christine Moreira Nguyen Nguyen Patrick Roach _________________ ______________________ _______________________ Jeffrey Sammis Scott Santos Kenneth Silveria _________________ ______________________ _______________________ Cullen Smith Kirk Volk Steven Wright Reviewed by: E. P. Paulo, Ph. D. M. M. Rhoades Project Advisor Project Advisor Released by: David H. Olwell, Ph.D. Dan C. Boger, Ph.D. Department of Systems Engineering Interim Vice President and Dean of Research THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED June 2008 Technical Report 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE: 5. FUNDING NUMBERS Improved Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) Effectiveness 6. AUTHOR(S) James Broadmeadow, Frank Dziekan, Francis Frantz, Rodney Gudz, Patrick Kelley, Shawn Kennedy, Christine Moreira, Nguyen Nguyen, Patrick Roach, Jeffrey Sammis, Scott Santos, Kenneth Silveria, Cullen Smith, Kirk Volk, Steven Wright 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION REPORT Monterey, CA 93943-5000 NUMBER 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSORING/MONITORING N/A AGENCY REPORT NUMBER NPS-SE-08-002 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. 12a. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE Distribution Statement A 13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words) The protection of our nation’s ability to operate military forces freely and safely across the world’s oceans remains a paramount goal of the United States Navy. The NUWC Division Newport cohort applied the disciplined practice of systems engineering processes to analyze and improve upon Anti-Submarine Warfare effectiveness in support of Carrier Strike Group operations. The cohort sought customer feedback to understand and formalize the perceived needs and formulate and rank candidate solutions to meet these needs. The systems engineering team, seeking solutions that provide improved Carrier Strike Group defense from undersea threats, generated 14 alternative architectures for analysis. The alternatives that passed feasibility screening underwent performance and cost modeling, reliability screening, and risk analysis to help provide a basis for comparison. The analysis demonstrated that a distributed barrier of active sensors placed and maintained by a Littoral Combat Ship provided an effective detection and engagement solution. The team further concluded that coupling the barrier with development of advanced capability improvements to the platform-based active sonar provided an effective layered defense approach. This rigorous process demonstrated the value of the systems engineering process and identified key areas for continued investigation to support continued United States Navy dominance of the undersea domain. 14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF Anti-Submarine Warfare, Carrier Strike Group, Undersea Distributed Networked Systems, Advanced PAGES Capability Builds; Littoral Combat Ship 262 16. PRICE CODE 17. SECURITY 18. SECURITY 19. SECURITY 20. LIMITATION CLASSIFICATION OF CLASSIFICATION OF THIS CLASSIFICATION OF OF ABSTRACT REPORT PAGE ABSTRACT Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified UL NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ii ABSTRACT The protection of our nation’s ability to operate military forces freely and safely across the world’s oceans remains a paramount goal of the United States Navy. The NUWC Division Newport cohort applied the disciplined practice of systems engineering processes to analyze and improve upon Anti-Submarine Warfare effectiveness in support of Carrier Strike Group operations. The cohort sought customer feedback to understand and formalize the perceived needs and formulate and rank candidate solutions to meet these needs. The systems engineering team, seeking solutions that provide improved Carrier Strike Group defense from undersea threats, generated 14 alternative architectures for analysis. The alternatives that passed feasibility screening underwent performance and cost modeling, reliability screening, and risk analysis to help provide a basis for comparison. The analysis demonstrated that a distributed barrier of active sensors placed and maintained by a Littoral Combat Ship provided an effective detection and engagement solution. The team further concluded that coupling the barrier with development of advanced capability improvements to the platform-based active sonar provided an effective layered defense approach. This rigorous process demonstrated the value of the systems engineering process and identified key areas for continued investigation to support continued United States Navy dominance of the undersea domain. i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ii TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................1 1.1 BACKGROUND ..............................................................................................1 1.2 OBJECTIVE ....................................................................................................4 1.3 CAPSTONE PROJECT ..................................................................................4 1.3.1 Project Organization ...........................................................................5 1.3.2 System Engineering Process................................................................6 2 PROBLEM DEFINITION ........................................................................................11 2.1 NEEDS ANALYSIS.......................................................................................11 2.1.1 Stakeholder Analysis .........................................................................13 2.1.2 Needs and Constraints Analysis .......................................................18 2.1.2.1 Pareto Analysis........................................................................19 2.1.2.2 Critical Needs to System Objectives Translation ...................26 2.1.2.3 Effective Needs Statement Formulation ................................27 2.1.3 Input-Output Model Analysis...........................................................27 2.1.3.1 Model Development Process...................................................28 2.1.3.2 Anti-Submarine Warfare System Model ................................28 2.1.4 External Systems Diagram................................................................34 2.1.5 Concept of Operations.......................................................................35 2.1.5.1 Carrier Strike Group CONOPS..............................................36 2.1.5.2 CSG ASW System CONOPS (circa 2013)..............................39 2.1.6 Functional Analysis............................................................................48 2.1.6.1 Detect .......................................................................................49 2.1.6.2 Track/
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