SI VIS PACEM, PARA BELLUM? Kati Piri a UNITED EUROPE in a TURBULENT WORLD Margot Wallström Cas Mudde Ken Gude
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# 3 Winter 2016 3,00 € SPECIAL COVERAGE THE US ELECTION: DEMOCRACY IS NOT JUST ABOUT VOTING FOCUS THE NEW EU GLOBAL STRATEGY Featuring contributions from: Joseph Nye Edgar Morin Julian Priestley Maroš Šefčovič Christian Deubner Nathalie Tocci Antonio Missiroli SI VIS PACEM, PARA BELLUM? Kati Piri A UNITED EUROPE IN A TURBULENT WORLD Margot Wallström Cas Mudde Ken Gude NEXT ECONOMY NEXT SOCIAL NEXT ENVIRONMENT NEXT DEMOCRACY Self-employed workers Confronting insecurity Europe can be the leader Primaries: the ideal way in the gig economy in the digital economy of a just transition to choose a leader? Quarterly: Dec-Jan-Feb www.progressivepost.eu #03 Contents CONTRIBUTORS p.3 FOCUS FOREWARD EDITORIAL > Si vis pacem, para bellum p.45 > A United Europe in a turbulent world p.4 PERSPECTIVE > Edgar Morin: “Europe needs a pathfinder” p.47 SPECIAL COVERAGE: ANALYSIS > Western democracy in an existential crisis p.5 > Foreign policy: no longer a subject of division? p.50 > Will Trump be the trigger for an EU army? p.6 > Soft power, the DNA of the European Union p.53 > The helplessness of the left allows > Old words, new views p.55 the triumph of the right p.7 ESSAY > When the forgotten strike back p.9 > The EU-Turkey deal is a solution p.57 > Geert Wilders in the wake of Trump’s victory p.11 but it has to be implementedForeign policy: > Counter-media culture – politically decisive p.13 no longer a subject of division? in the US and in Austria? > The 'R's of Swedish feminist foreign policy p.59 > Trump, symbol of populism p.15 > A fight for girls' right to education p.61 > A wake-up call for Europe p.17 EUROPE WATCH > The anti-establishment challenge for Social p.19 > Millennials and peace in a globalised world p.63 Democratic parties BEYOND EUROPE > Trump’s victory: some lessons p.21 > India’s European window of opportunity p.65 for European progressives > Brazil and the EU: a shared global vision? p.66 > What Trump’s victory means for Africa p.23 > Is President Trump a geopolitical p.25 opportunity for India? > The Iran Deal is in jeopardy, and other disasters p.27 INSPIRATION > Donald Trump and the transatlantic alliance p.29 PORTOFLIO p.67 > The global order and the future p.31 CARTOON p.72 of American influence TO WATCH p.73 TO READ p.74 TO THINK p.75 TO COOK p.78 DEBATES HISTORY > The journey of bringing Europe to the people p.33 in the digital economy NEXT SOCIAL > Confronting ‘insecurity cubed’ P.35 in the digital economy NEXT ECONOMY > Protecting social rights of self-employed P.37 workers in the gig economy NEXT DEMOCRACY > Primaries: the ideal way to choose a leader? P.39 NEXT ENVIRONMENT > Europe can be the leader of a just transition P. 41 > A Just transition: no jobs on a dead planet P.43 Autumn 2016 - The Progressive Post !3 2 CONTRIBUTORS Hanno Mikko Frédérique Edit Mario Jeremy Burmester 7 Majander 9 Masson 15 Inotai 17 Del Pero 21 Shapiro 29 Joseph Juilan Anthony Carlo Maroš Benjamin Nye 31 Priestley 33 Painter 35 D'Ippoliti 39 Šefčovič 41 Denis 43 Christian Edgar Nathalie Staffan Antonio Kati Deubner 45 Morin 47 Tocci 50 de Mistura 53 Missiroli 55 Piri 57 Margot Evernice Evin Constantino Celso Zisis Wallström 59 Munando 61 Incir 63Xavier 65 Amorim 66 Kardianos 69 3 The Progressive Post !3 - Autumn 2016 EDITORIAL A UNITED EUROPE IN A TURBULENT WORLD by Massimo D’Alema, FEPS President, former Prime Minister of Italy The boundary between external and internal security has disappeared. It is inconceivable to fight terrorism in Europe whilst turning a blind eye to the actions of the Islamic State in the Middle East and thereby failing to tackle the organisation’s roots, funding and support. Security is the- refore, or should be, a common space on which Europe can build peace, starting with the neighbouring regions that surround us. n awarding the support the government of Natio- live with a permanent conflict that Nobel Peace Prize nal Unity now in place and broaden will impact international security, to the EU, the Nobel its representativeness. our security. committee stated: Only unity will allow us to carry out O On the Eastern Front, our international responsibilities. “The stabilizing part played by Europe must ensure that In foreign policy, and amid all the the EU has helped to transform most Putin respects the agree- increasing uncertainty about the of Europe from a continent of war ment on Ukraine. Moreo- future of the transatlantic alliance, to a continent of peace”. ver, we must cooperate the EU urgently needs to forge AFTER TURMOIL with Russia to create greater strategic autonomy and to Following the accession of Croatia peace and stability in the Middle move forward with greater secu- COMES ACTION, in July 2013, tensions and memo- East. In Syria, we have to admit rity and defence cooperation and ries of the war still remain very that Russia occupies a role left coordination among its members. AND OUR present for the survivors, although vacant by Europe and the United Therefore, we appreciate the work stability has increased in the Balk- States. It is necessary to end the led by the High Representative of UNION MUST ans. The process of integration into Assad dictatorship and assure the Union for Foreign Affairs and the European Union would be a guaranties to non-Sunni Muslims. Security Policy, Frederica Moghe- ACT TOGETHER step towards calm. The truth is that Syria is built up rini, and we hope that all Euro- on multiple ethnic and religious pean countries will show solidarity OR RISK groups. The chaos in the Middle behind her to cement Europe as a Responsibility East cannot make us forget the major player on the international IRRELEVANCE to our neighbours fate of Palestinians at the heart stage. The challenges are many, of the conflict between the West yet the potential of a unified Eu- We also have a big responsibility and the Islamic world. Indeed, ropean voice beyond our borders in the South, across the Mediter- the Netanyahu government des- is of paramount significance too. ranean, regarding the destabilisa- troyed the prospect of peace and After turmoil comes action, and tion of Libya that we contributed a two-state solution. If we let our Union must act together or to. Even if it is insufficient, we must things pass, we also accept to risk irrelevance. Autumn 2016 - The Progressive Post !3 4 SPECIAL COVERAGE SPECIAL COVERAGE WESTERN DEMOCRACY IN AN EXISTENTIAL CRISIS in democratic political debating Donald Trump’s election is a part that Donald Trump won the pre- rules. According to Donald Trump of an existential crisis of western sidential race. And they are en- emocracy is a system “Politics is a nasty business!”. democracies. Rising inequalities demic not only in Donald Trump’s set up to work for eve- Immediately after his election was and social exclusion, conse- rhetoric, but also that of others ryone. But it will only confirmed, it is significant that quences of the deep financial and such as Vladimir Putin, Recep Er- work for democrats European leaders called for res- economic crisis, affect swathes doğan, Benjamin Netanyahu and Dif they invest in building, stren- pect for the values that western of people in western societies. Victor Orbán. We hope that fur- gthening and forging a culture of democracies stand for: freedom, Neither answers nor solutions ther legitimacy will not be given democracy as a set of principles. respect of law, dignity of people have been delivered. We have to to the extreme right next year in As we have been reminded in se- regardless of race, sex, religion, accept that we are increasingly the French presidential elections. veral recent events, democracy is skin colour and political convic- facing the threat of authoritarian not just about voting. The election tion. Never before have such leadership. This is not just a ques- of Donald Trump served to sanc- preconditions been demanded tion of political correctness: dis- tion statements that were at odds from an American President for criminatory attitudes have now with the very principle of civility working together. been given legitimacy by the fact 5 The Progressive Post !3 - Autumn 2016 SPECIAL COVERAGE WILL TRUMP BE THE TRIGGER FOR AN EU ARMY? by Vassilis Ntousas After a bruising 18-month election cycle, the election of Donald Trump as the President of the USA sent shockwaves across the world. Trump sensed that for the first time in living memory there was greater fear of the American institutional establishment within the country’s borders than outside, and he exploited that fear. his led to a result that dangerous is the gradual normali- organic to purely transactional. navigate through the uncharted can arguably be called sation of Mr Trump’s bigotry and If implemented, proposals such waters of a more turbulent world the loudest rejection his vindictiveness towards critics, as abandoning commitments to during a Donald J. Trump presi- of the establishment now to be amplified by the office NATO could upend the rules-based dency. As Federica Mogherini, the Tin modern US history. For the he will hold and the power that liberal international order upon Union’s High Representative for next four years, the same office comes with it. which the US international modus Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, occupied by Franklin Roosevelt operandi has been built since World subtly but aptly stated in reaction and Abraham Lincoln will now be War II. This could lead to the ero- to the results: held by a man who resorted to A break with sion of the ability of both “[the transatlantic] ties are deeper bigotry, demagoguery, arrogance, the political class Europe and the US to act than any change in politics.