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European Parliament Elections 2019 - Forecast

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European Parliament Elections 2019 - Forecast Briefing May 2019 European Parliament Elections 2019 - Forecast Austria – 18 MEPs Staff lead: Nick Dornheim PARTIES (EP group) Freedom Party of Austria The Greens – The Green Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) (EPP) Social Democratic Party of Austria NEOS – The New (FPÖ) (Salvini’s Alliance) – Alternative (Greens/EFA) – 6 seats (SPÖ) (S&D) - 5 seats Austria (ALDE) 1 seat 5 seats 1 seat 1. Othmar Karas* Andreas Schieder Harald Vilimsky* Werner Kogler Claudia Gamon 2. Karoline Edtstadler Evelyn Regner* Georg Mayer* Sarah Wiener Karin Feldinger 3. Angelika Winzig Günther Sidl Petra Steger Monika Vana* Stefan Windberger 4. Simone Schmiedtbauer Bettina Vollath Roman Haider Thomas Waitz* Stefan Zotti 5. Lukas Mandl* Hannes Heide Vesna Schuster Olga Voglauer Nini Tsiklauri 6. Wolfram Pirchner Julia Elisabeth Herr Elisabeth Dieringer-Granza Thomas Schobesberger Johannes Margreiter 7. Christian Sagartz Christian Alexander Dax Josef Graf Teresa Reiter 8. Barbara Thaler Stefanie Mösl Maximilian Kurz Isak Schneider 9. Christian Zoll Luca Peter Marco Kaiser Andrea Kerbleder Peter Berry 10. Claudia Wolf-Schöffmann Theresa Muigg Karin Berger Julia Reichenhauser NB 1: Only the parties reaching the 4% electoral threshold are mentioned in the table. Likely to be elected Unlikely to be elected or *: Incumbent Member of the NB 2: 18 seats are allocated to Austria, same as in the previous election. and/or take seat to take seat, if elected European Parliament ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• www.eurocommerce.eu Belgium – 21 MEPs Staff lead: Stefania Moise PARTIES (EP group) DUTCH SPEAKING CONSITUENCY FRENCH SPEAKING CONSITUENCY GERMAN SPEAKING CONSTITUENCY 1. Geert Bourgeois 1. Paul Magnette 1. Pascal Arimont* 2. Assita Kanko 2. Maria Arena* 2. Patricia Creutz-Vilvoye Socialist Party (PS) Christian Social Party 3. Johan Van Overtveldt 3. Hassan Bousetta 3. Daniel Franzen (S&D) 2 seats (CSP) (EPP) 4. Mark Demesmaeker* 4. Coline Maxence 4. Stefan Veithen 1 seat New Flemish 5. Caroline De Meerleer 5. Olga Zrihen 5. Shirin Tjandra Alliance (N-VA) 6. Elisabeth Altekoster 1. Olivier Chastel 6. Marion Dhur (Greens/EFA) 7. Ralph Packet Reformist 2. Frédérique Ries* 4 seats 8. Lianna Mkrtchyan Movement (MR) 3. Nicolas Barnier 9. Andre Gantman (ALDE) 2 seats 4. Christine Gonay 10. Annemie Charlier 5. Denis Collard 11. Luk Lemmens 1. Philippe Lamberts* 12. Frieda Brepoels 2. Saskia Bricmont 1. Guy Verhofstadt* 3. Olivier De Schutter Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 2. Hilde Vautmans* 4. Malika Hamza 2 seats 3. Alecja Gescinska 5. Arthur Lambert Open Flemish 4. Lard Vanobbergen 6. Esther Bollendorff Liberals and 5. Hans Maes 7. Romain Gaudron 6. 1. Benoît Lutgen Democrats (Open Humanist 2. Brigitte Aubert- VLD) (ALDE) 2 seats 7. Adam Bouzi democratic centre Verhelle 8. Remy Esquiliche (cdH) (EPP) 3. Mounir Laarissi 9. Stéphanie Anseeuw 1 seat 4. Andréa Kalubi 10. Philippe Nys 5. Isabelle Senepart 1. Kris Peeters 1. Marc Botenga 2. Cindy Franssen 2. Sophie Lecron •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 2 Christian Democratic 3. Peter Van Kemseke Workers’ Party of 3. Michel Boisdequin 4. Tom Vandenkendelaere* Belgium (PTB) 4. Farah Jacquet and Flemish (CD&V) (GUE/NGL) 5. Danae Michaux 5. Liesbeth Maris (EPP) 2 seats 1 seat Maimone 1. Kathleen Van Brempt* Socialist Party – 2. Jan Cornillie Another way (S&D) 3. Oona Wyns 1 seat 4. Kenan Akyil 5. Nora Mouallali Flemish Interest (NI) 1. Gerolf Annemans* 1 seat 1. Petra De Sutter 2. Bart Staes* Groen (Greens/EFA) 3. Omar Ba 2 seats 4. Catherine Verfaillie 5. Paola Travella NB 1: Only the parties reaching the 5% electoral threshold are mentioned in the table. Likely to be elected Unlikely to be elected or *: Incumbent Member of the NB 2: 21 seats are allocated to Belgium, same as in the previous election. and/or take seat to take seat, if elected European Parliament •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 3 Bulgaria – 17 MEPs Staff lead: Stefania Moise PARTIES (EP group) GERB + UDF – Coat of Arms Party & Union of DPS – Movement for Rights and Freedoms BSP - Bulgarian Socialist Party (S&D) - 7 seats Democratic Forces (EPP) – 7 seats (ALDE) – 2 seats 1. Maria Gabriel Elena Yoncheva Mustafa Karadayi 2. Andrey Kovachev* Petar Vitanov Delyan Peevski 3. Andrey Novakov* Tsvetelina Penkova Ilhan Kyuchyuk* 4. Eva Maydell* Ivo Hristov Iskra Mihailova* 5. Asim Ademov* Sergey Stanishev* Atidzhe Alieva-Veli 6. Alexander Yordanov Ivan Krastev Sevim Musak 7. Lilyana Pavlova Denitza Zlateva Stanislav Anastasov 8. Emil Radev* Rumen Gechev Suleiman Suleiman 9. Ivelina Vassileva Momchil Nekov* Antoaneta Asenova 10. Marin Zahariev Velizar Enchev Gyulfi Arnaudova 11. Ivo Ralchovski Dimitar Danchev Petar Chobanov 12. Mladen Shishkov Todor Stoilov Suzan Mehmedova 13. Nikolay Dikov Valerie Jablyanova Sinan Pehlivanov 14. Kamen Kostov Mariela Modeva Tanner Kabil 15. Yoanna Yoncheva Filova Desislav Taskov Sinaj Yakub 16. Zhecho Stankov Krum Donchev Erten Anisova NB 1: 17 seats are allocated to Bulgaria, same as in the previous election. *: Incumbent Member of the NB 2: No electoral threshold applies. Likely to be elected Unlikely to be elected or and/or take seat to take seat, if elected European Parliament •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 4 The Czech Republic – 21 MEPs Staff lead: Stefania Moise PARTIES (EP group) Communist Party of Tradition Responsibility Freedom and ANO Czech Pirate Party Civic Democratic Party Czech Social Bohemia and Moravia Prosperity – Mayors and Direct (ALDE) (Greens/EFA) (ODS) (ECR) Democratic Party (KŠCM) (GUE/NGL) 2 Independents (TOP 09 & Democracy (SPD) 5 seats 4 seats 4 seats (ČSSD) (S&D) 2 seats seats STAN) (EPP) – 3 seats tbc 1 seat 1. Dita Charanzová* Marcel Kolaja Jan Zahradil* Pavel Poc* Kateřina Konečná* Jiří Pospíšil* Ivan David 2. Martina Dlabajová* Markéta Gregorová Evžen Tošenovský* Olga Sehnalová* Andrej Bóna Stanislav Polčák* Jan Hrnčíř 3. Martin Hlaváček Mikuláš Peksa Veronika Vrecionová Radek Hlaváček Artyom Koryagin Luděk Niedermayer* Jana Pupavová 4. Radek Maxová Lukáš Blažej Ondřej Krutílek Zuzana Brzobohatá Roman Blaško Radim Hornet Pavel Dopita 5. Ondřej Knotek Jana Koláříková Radka Trylčová Pavel Kawulok Lukáš Pařízek Petr Štěpánek Kamil Běrský 6. Ondřej Kovařík Ondřej Kolek Eva Dexroix Daniela Vašátková Dagmar Švendová Marek Ženíšek Elvíra Hahnová 7. Karel Filipčík Nina Špitálníková Josef Hynek Jaroslav Veselý Zdeněk Štefek Gabriela Pecková Robert Vašíček 8. Daniel Struž Eva Tichá Marcel Kollmann Lucie Svobodová Kateřina Ambrožová Pavel Pavel Hynek Blaško 9. Kamila Bláhová Lukáš Lev Červinka Tomáš Hanuš Jakub Kulhánek Petr Pick Pavlína Springerová Jiří Novotný 10. Michal Gill Edvard Kožušník Daniela Smetanová Lubomír Ledl Kateřina Bursíková John Vostenak NB 1: Only the parties reaching the 5% electoral threshold are mentioned in the table. *: Incumbent Member of the Likely to be elected Unlikely to be elected or NB 2: 21 seats are allocated to the Czech Republic, same as in the previous election. European Parliament and/or take seat to take seat, if elected •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 5 Denmark – 13 MEPs Staff lead: Christiaan Boiten PARTIES (EP group) Danish People’s Red-Green Danish Social Liberal Party of Socialist People’s People’s Movement Democratic Party Party (DF) - Radical Liberals (RV) Alliance Denmark (V) Party (SF) – Greens – against the EU (Socialdemokraterne) (Salvini’s alliance) – (ALDE) – 2 seats (GUE/NGL) – 1 (ALDE) – 4 seats 1 seat (GUE/NGL) - (S&D) – 4 seats 1 seat seat Morten Helveg 1. Jeppe Kofod* Morten Løkkegaard* Peter Kofod* Margrethe Auken* Nikolaj Villumsen Rina Ronja Kari Petersen* 2. Christel Schaldemose* Linea Søgaard-Lidell Anders Vistisen* Karen Melchior Karsten Hønge Eva Flyvholm Lave K. Broch 3. Niels Fuglsang Asger Christensen Pia Adelsteen Philip Tarning-Andersen Peter Westermann Eva Milsted Enoksen Ole Nors Nielsen 4. Marianne Vind Søren Gade René Danielsson Sissel van Run-Kvist Kira Marie Peter-Hansen Jakob Nerup Karina Rohr Sørensen Bergur Larsson Løkke Gitte Bundgaard Sabrina Louise 5. Morten Klessen Alexander Bjørn Jensen Kirstine Bille Susanna Dyre-Greensite Rasmussen Andersen Christiansen 6. Jakob Thiemann Charlotte Munch Finn Rudaizky David Zepernick Troels Stru Schmidt Torsten Ringgaard Christian Juhl 7. Mette Poulsen Casper Pedersen Tina-Mia Eriksen Mathias von Jessen Rikke Lauritsen Freja Lynæs Larsen Jesper Bræmer 8. Lasse Holm Grønning Henrik Noes Piester Tobias Weische Eva Borchorst Mejnertz Thue Grum-Schwensen Rasmus Madsen Erik Bach 9. Anders Baun Sørensen Erik Poulsen Lone Langballe Amalie Søgaard Nielsen Jens Rane Holck Inger V. Johansen Thorkil Sohn NB 1: No electoral threshold applies. Likely to be elected Unlikely to be elected or *: Incumbent Member of the NB 2: 13 seats are allocated to Denmark, same as in the previous election. and/or take seat to take seat, if elected European
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