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Attach 8.1.D Employment Lands Strategy BELLINGEN SHIRE EMPLOYMENT LANDS STRATEGY 2013 Addendum to the Bellingen Shire Growth Management Strategy 2007 Adopted by Council 27 February 2013 Endorsed (partially) by NSW Government Department of Planning & Infrastructure 10 July 2013 Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 1 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 2 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy Notification of partial endorsement from NSW Government – Department of Planning & Infrastructure Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 3 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 4 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy PREPARED FOR Bellingen Shire Council Endorsed (partially) July 2013 Hill PDA ABN 52 003 963 755 3rd Floor 234 George Street Sydney GPO Box 2748 Sydney NSW 2001 t. +61 2 9252 8777 f. +61 2 9252 6077 e. [email protected] w. www.hillpda.com Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 5 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy ABN 52 003 963 755 Sydney Office 3rd Floor 234 George Street Sydney GPO Box 2748 Sydney NSW 2001 t. +61 2 9252 8777 f. +61 2 9252 6077 e. [email protected] Melbourne Office Level 9, 365 Little Collins St Melbourne GPO Box 3424 Melbourne VIC 3001 t. +61 3 9642 2449 f. +61 3 9642 2459 e. [email protected] w. www.hillpda.com Liability limited by a scheme approved under the Professional Standards Legislation Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 6 Hill PDA QUALITY ASSURANCE REPORT CONTACT: Nicholas Hill Consultant QUALITY CONTROL This document is for discussion purposes only unless signed and dated by a Principal of Hill PDA. REVIEWED BY April 2013 Dated Sarah Hill Director and Principal Planner REPORT DETAILS: Job Ref No: C11072 Version: Final Date Printed: 13/11/2013 3:27:00 PM File Name: Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy November 2013 (Partially endorsed) Ref: C11072 Final P a g e | 7 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy CONTENTS 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................17 1.1 Contextual Analysis ..................................................................................................... 17 1.2 Forecasting Demand for Floorspace and Land ............................................................ 18 1.3 Supply versus Demand ................................................................................................ 19 1.4 Housing for the Aged ................................................................................................... 19 1.5 A New Caravan Park for Bellingen Shire ..................................................................... 20 1.6 Recommendations for Expansion and Rezoning ......................................................... 21 1.7 Summary of Findings ................................................................................................... 23 PART A – BELLINGEN TODAY ...................................................................................................24 2. INTRODUCTION ..............................................................................................................25 2.1 Strategy Brief and Scope ............................................................................................. 25 1.1. Strategy Structure ........................................................................................................ 25 2.2 Methodology ................................................................................................................ 26 2.3 Study Area Context ...................................................................................................... 26 3. WHO LIVES & WORKS IN BELLINGEN SHIRE? ...................................................................28 3.1 Bellingen Shire’s Existing Population &Forecast Growth ............................................. 28 3.2 Existing and Forecast Age Distribution ........................................................................ 29 3.3 Household Formation Rates ........................................................................................ 30 3.4 Income Profile .............................................................................................................. 30 3.5 Index of Advantage and Disadvantage ........................................................................ 31 3.6 Labour Force Characteristics ....................................................................................... 32 3.7 What Industries do Bellingen Residents Work In? ....................................................... 33 3.8 Jobs Generated within Bellingen Shire ........................................................................ 34 3.9 Where do Bellingen Shire’s Residents Work? ............................................................. 35 3.10 Who Works in Bellingen Shire? ................................................................................... 35 3.11 Location Quotients ....................................................................................................... 36 3.12 Summary of Findings ................................................................................................... 37 4. HOUSING TRENDS IN BELLINGEN ....................................................................................39 4.1 Household Characteristics ........................................................................................... 39 4.2 Household Type and Ownership .................................................................................. 40 4.3 The Cost of Housing .................................................................................................... 40 4.4 Housing Stress ............................................................................................................ 42 4.5 Summary of Findings ................................................................................................... 42 5. EXISTING EMPLOYMENT LANDS AND CENTRES ................................................................43 5.1 Summary of Floorspace within Centres ....................................................................... 43 5.2 Summary of Industrial Land Area ................................................................................ 44 5.3 Bellingen Major Town Centre ....................................................................................... 45 5.4 Dorrigo Town Centre ................................................................................................... 49 5.5 Urunga Coastal Village ................................................................................................ 53 5.6 The Raleigh Industrial Precinct .................................................................................... 56 5.7 The Dorrigo Industrial Precincts ................................................................................... 58 5.8 North Urunga Industrial Precinct .................................................................................. 60 5.9 The Bellingen – Tamarind Drive Industrial Precinct ..................................................... 62 Ref: C11072 Final Error! Reference source not found.P a g e | 8 Hill PDA Bellingen Shire Employment Lands Strategy 6. POLICY & BACKGROUND DOCUMENTS ............................................................................64 6.1 Mid North Coast Regional Strategy ............................................................................. 64 6.2 Mid North Coast Regional and Settlement Guidelines ................................................. 64 6.3 Bellingen Shire Growth Management Strategy 2006 – 2026 ....................................... 65 6.4 Bellingen LEP 2010 and DCP 2010 ............................................................................. 66 6.5 Bellingen Shire 5 Year Economic and Tourism Development Plan ............................. 66 PART B – BELLINGEN LOOKING FORWARD ................................................................................68 7. TRENDS INFLUENCING EMPLOYMENT LANDS ...................................................................69 7.1 Australian Economy ..................................................................................................... 69 7.2 Bellingen’s Local Economy .......................................................................................... 70 7.3 Research and Innovation - The New Economy............................................................ 72 7.4 Urban and Business Support Services ........................................................................ 73 7.5 Retail ............................................................................................................................ 73 7.6 Commercial and Industrial Industries ........................................................................... 76 7.7 Tourism ........................................................................................................................ 78 8. EMPLOYMENT GROWTH SCENARIOS ...............................................................................81 8.1 Potential Scenarios ...................................................................................................... 81 8.2 Scenario 1: Trend Continuation ................................................................................... 81 8.3 Scenario 2: Population and Aspirational Growth.......................................................... 83 9. DEMAND FOR RETAIL
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