Iraq Refugees Registration Data Analysis, 2007-2008 •March: Military Action Against Iraq by the US-Led Coalition Forces
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Iraq Refugees Registration Data Analysis, 2007-2008 •March: Military action against Iraq by the US-led coalition forces. •May : UN Security Council Resolution 1483 removed economic sanctions. •August : UN Security Council Resolution 1500 establishes the United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq. Events in Iraq •August: Car Bomb in Najaf. •August: Canal Hotel Bombing, kills at least 22 people, including the United Nations' Special Representative in Iraq. •March: Suicide attacks in Kerbala and Baghdad. •April-May: Month-long US-Led military siege of the city of Falluja. •June: UN Security Council Resolution 1546 endorses the formation of a sovereign Interim Government of Iraq. •August: Fighting in Najaf. •January: Elections for a Transitional National Assembly. •April: Escalation of violence. (President and Prime Minister are selected by the Parliament of Iraq. ) •September: Intensified attacks in Baghdad. •October: New constitution approved by popular vote. •February: A bomb attack on the al-Askari Mosque (Golden Mosque) in Samarra; a wave of sectarian violence follows. •April: A new government is formed. •May and June: Violence continues. •June: Car bombings in Baghdad. •January to June: Attacks and car bombings in Falluhja, Ramad, Ninewa and Baghdad. •August: Truck and car bombs hit two villages in Sinjar. •August: UNHCR issues the Eligibility Guideline for Iraqi Asylum Seekers. •September: A new visa regime applicable to Iraqis introduced in Syria. •February: New visa regime applicable to Iraqis introduced in Jordan. •February: Turkish military action in northern Iraq. om BC.c w.B •October: Violence against minorities in Mosul. ww om •November: The Iraqi parliament approves a security pact with the United States under ed fr Adapt © www.unhcr.org which all US troops are due to leave the country by the end of 2011. - 1 Iraq Refugees Registration Data Comparative Analysis, 2007-2008. INTRODUCTION In response to displacement of Iraqis, UNHCR introduced a large-scale registration mechanism in the Syrian Arab Republic ( Syria ), the Hashimite Kingdom of Jordan ( Jordan ), Lebanon , the Arab Republic of Egypt (Egypt ), Turkey and the Islamic Republic of Iran ( Iran ) at the end of 2006. In August 2007, UNHCR issued an eligibility guideline which defined Iraqis from central and southern governorates as prima facie 1 refugees. 2 During 2007 and 2008, UNHCR registered a total of 272,000 Iraqis in those countries. This report is an analysis of UNHCR’s existing registration data, aggregated to examine the profile of registered Iraqi refugees in the neighboring countries and to gain a better understanding of their displacement patterns. UNHCR’s registration data from 2007 and 2008 alone, contains the profiles of 491,500 individuals from Iraq. While the registration system was up and running by early 2007, many refinements on the data collection process were introduced during those two years and are continuing to take place. As a result, there are some No Data showing in some topics of analysis in this report. The analysis is organized in a cross-referencing manner, according to six different queries described below. The data parameters for each query be summarized as follows: CHAPTER 1: WHO ARE THE IRAQI REFUGEES? This chapter examines the registration data of the active caseload at the end of 2008 (311,000). The active caseload refers to registered population whose file has not been closed as a result of resettlement, assisted return or other reasons. The data from the active caseload describes the profiles of existing refugees at the end of 2008. CHAPTER 2: WHO REGISTERED WHEN? The data of all those registered during 2007 and 2008, irrespective of whether their cases are closed in the mean time or not, are collated and analyzed (272,000). The registration trend portrays when Iraqis approached UNHCR for registration and whether the profile changed according to the registration time. CHAPTER 3: WHO REMAIN IN THE COUNTRIES OF ASYLUM? Those who remain as the active caseload changes over the period of time as some decide to go back to Iraq others depart for resettlement and various others close their files with the UNHCR. In this chapter, the dataset of the active caseload between 2007-2008 is examined on a quarterly basis. CHAPTER 4: WHEN DID IRAQI REFUGEES ARRIVE IN THE COUNTRIES OF ASYLUM? In this chapter, the data of all registered Iraqi refugees with UNHCR in those six countries are examined according to their times of arrival (491,500), irrespective of when they have registered. CHAPTER 5: WHO ARE THE VULNERABLE IRAQI REFUGEES? The data of all those registered in 2007 and 2008 with one or more Special Needs are examined according to their time of arrival (88,000). CHAPTER 6: HOW DOES THE REFUGEE PROFILE TRANSLATE TO THE COUNTRY OF ORIGIN? In this chapter, the data of active caseloads at the end of 2008 is used once again (311,000, of which UNHCR©UNHCR/L.Chedrawi staff entering registration data of two 191,000 from Baghdad). This time, the data is mapped to the places of elderly Iraqi refugees in Syria origin in Iraq , in order to examine the refugee profile across the governorates of origin. 1 Prima Facie: Persons recognised as refugees, by a state or UNHCR, on the basis of objective criteria related to the circumstances in their country of origin, justifying a presumption that they meet the criteria of the applicable refugee definition. 2 The UNHCR Eligibility Guideline for Assessing the International Protection Needs for Iraqi Asylum Seekers (August 2007).defines those from Sulymania, Erbil and Dahuk not on a Prima Facie basis, but on individual status determination. A new guideline was issued in April 2009. Iraq Refugees Registration Data Comparative Analysis, 2007-2008 - 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The profile of Iraqi refugees, in general, is urban with about two-thirds originating from Baghdad of which more than four-fifths of adults had primary education or higher and at least one half of the adults were engaged in a job prior to displacement. (See Chapter 1, page 6-11). GENERAL PROFILE OF IRAQI REFUGEES (Active Caseload at the End of 2008) • Male/female ratio is 53:47, with just less than a third of population is the age group between 18-59 years old. • The exception to the above is Lebanon where 71% of the population is male . Male aged between 18- 59 is 57% of the all active caseload in Lebanon. • The religions are divided between 56% Sunni , 21% Shiah, 14% Christian, 4% Islam (Not Specified) 4%, Sabean/Mandean , less than 1% Yezidis and less than 1% with No Data/Others. • The ethnicity of the population is mainly of Arab background (83%). • Among the adult population, 13 % have No Education . • Prior to displacement, among the adult population, 17% had No Occupation , 26% were Student and another 17% as Housekeepers . • About two-thirds of the refugees came originally from Baghdad . • On average, about a third are registered with Special Needs. The registratio n peaked in July 2007 and April 2008. In the second half of 2008, more than half of those who approached UNHCR to register came prior to registration. This, compared to the fact that more than 80% registered within a year of their arrival in early 2007, appears to indicate the increased hardship faced by the refugees. (See Chapter 2, page 12-19). The monthly increase of the active caseload began to slow down after the second half of 2008 as new registrations decrease and cases closed increase steadily. (See Chapter 3, page 20-24). The profile of the active caseload does not change greatly in each quarter signaling that the profile of those who close their files is proportional to the general population. 3 - Iraq Refugees Registration Data Comparative Analysis The time of arrival of the refugees to the countries of asylum may reflect the spread of violence in Iraq. (See Chapter 4, page 25-33). Among those registered with UNHCR in 2007 and 2008, 31% arrived prior to 2003, 20% in the second half of 2006 and 10% in the first half of 2007. T The latter of the two influxes match with the spread of violence after the bombing of the Golden Mosque in Samarra, whereas the former indicates the increased vulnerability of those who have been in the countries of asylum for a long period of time and the relevance of UNHCR in assistance. It is interesting to note that the ratio of different religious and ethnic backgrounds change depending on the time of arrival and the country. Similarly, those who came from Baghdad constitute 51% of those who arrived before 2003, 84% of those who came in the second half of 2006 and 60% of those who came in the second half of 2008. About one third of all those registered with UNHCR in 2007 and 2008 fall under the category of having one or more Special Needs . (See Chapter 5, page 34-39). This trend is consistent throughout the different times of arrival to the countries of asylum. While the ratio of those with Special Needs is higher in Syria 36-44%, and Lebanon 17-30%, it is lower in Turkey 7%-15% and Iran 3-14%. The majority of those with Special Needs register with an Important Medical Condition or Special Legal and Physical protection . The active caseload profile marked on the map of Iraq shows that, depending on the governorates of origin, some specific profiles emerge. (See Chapter 6, page 49-51). This is particularly evident when examining urban areas such as Baghdad and Basrah and also across the north, the centre and the south. The large proportion of the population is from Baghdad . The refugees from both Baghdad and Basrah show a similar profile. Those who are from the southern governorates are often found in Lebanon, whereas those from the northern governorates are typically in Turkey .