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Measuring Migration Aspirations and the Impact of Refugee Assistance in Turkey

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Measuring Migration Aspirations and the Impact of Refugee Assistance in Turkey Key Concepts in the Advancing Alternative Migration Governance Migration and Development: Measuring migration aspirations and the impact of refugee assistance in Turkey Deliverable 6.1 Ayşen Üstübici, Eda Kirişçioğlu, Ezgi Elçi June 2021 This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 822625. The content reflects only the authors’ views, and the European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information it contains. Migration aspirations and the impact of refugee assistance in Turkey ADMIGOV Publication information You are free to share and cite this material if you include a proper reference. Suggested citation: Üstübici, A.; Kirişçioğlu, E.; Elçi, E. (2021) Migration and Development: Measuring migration aspirations and the impact of refugee assistance in Turkey, ADMIGOV Deliverable 6.1, Istanbul: Koç University. Available at http://admigov.eu You may not use this material for commercial purposes. Acknowledgments This paper has been written by Ayşen Üstübici, Eda Kirişçioğlu, and Ezgi Elçi, and peer-reviewed by Katie Kuschminder and Johannes Claes. All authors have equally contributed to the report. The views presented are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the institutions with which they are affiliated. The authors thank all survey respondents and interlocutors interviewed for this study for their time and insights. The authors are also grateful to Maryam Ekhtiari, Mustafa Hatip, Zahra Mohammadi, Hassan Reza Mirzaie, Mustafa Hatip, Morteza Salihi, Nerit Assad, and Lokman Osman for their help with translation and transcription of the interviews, to Alexander Burak Franklin for his help with editing and to the MiReKoc team, Prof. Ahmet İçduygu, especially Birce Demiryontar for her administrative support. Any enquiries regarding this publication should be sent to us at: Ayşen Üstübici, [email protected], Eda Kirişçioğlu, [email protected], Ezgi Elçi, [email protected]. 2021 ADMIGOV Deliverable 6.1 p. 2 Migration aspirations and the impact of refugee assistance in Turkey ADMIGOV Table of Contents Table of Contents .............................................................................................................................................................. 3 List of Figures ................................................................................................................................................................... 4 List of Tables ..................................................................................................................................................................... 5 List of Abbreviations ......................................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................................................. 7 1.1. The context of Turkey ....................................................................................................................................... 8 1.2. Overview of Syrian and Afghan displacement in Turkey ................................................................................... 9 1.3. Overview of Development Projects ................................................................................................................ 13 2. Methodology .......................................................................................................................................................... 14 2.1. (Online) Survey Methodology ........................................................................................................................ 14 2.2. Qualitative Interview Methodology ............................................................................................................... 18 3. Results .................................................................................................................................................................... 20 3.1. Descriptive Profile of Respondents ................................................................................................................ 20 3.2. Migration Aspirations ..................................................................................................................................... 31 3.2.1. Onwards Migration Aspirations .................................................................................................................. 34 3.2.2. Aspiration to Stay ....................................................................................................................................... 39 3.2.3. Aspiration to return .................................................................................................................................... 43 4. Development Interventions ................................................................................................................................ 45 5. Bivariate and Multivariate Analyses ....................................................................................................................... 47 5.1 Bivariate Analysis ................................................................................................................................................ 47 5.2 Multivariate Analysis ...................................................................................................................................... 49 5.3 Other Results Relevant for Turkey .................................................................................................................. 57 5.3.1 COVID-19’s effects ...................................................................................................................................... 57 6 Conclusion and Recommendations ........................................................................................................................ 60 Appendices ..................................................................................................................................................................... 65 2021 ADMIGOV Deliverable 6.1 p. 3 Migration aspirations and the impact of refugee assistance in Turkey ADMIGOV List of Figures Figure 1 Comparison of gender distribution in survey with the DGMM data ................................................................ 16 Figure 2 Comparison of age distribution in survey with the DGMM data ...................................................................... 17 Figure 3: Percentage of respondents as the head of household .................................................................................... 21 Figure 4: Mean age of respondents: Mean age of respondents ..................................................................................... 21 Figure 5: Percentage of males and females in the survey .............................................................................................. 21 Figure 6: Martial status of the respondents (in percentage) .......................................................................................... 21 Figure 7: Level of education (in percentage) .................................................................................................................. 22 Figure 8: Employment status (in percentage) ................................................................................................................ 22 Figure 9: Tenure status of the dwellings (in percentage) ................................................................................................ 22 Figure 10: Income sources of the respondents (in percentage) ..................................................................................... 22 Figure 11: Asset index .................................................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 12: Mean household size ..................................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 13: Mean working population in the household across genders ........................................................................ 25 Figure 14: Percentage of households with working women .......................................................................................... 25 Figure 15: Cross-tabulation of employment and sex (in percentage) ............................................................................ 25 Figure 16: Vulnerability of respondents ......................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 17: Duration of stay (mean) ................................................................................................................................. 28 Figure 18: Time since left home (mean) ......................................................................................................................... 28 Figure 19: Attempt to leave without documents (in percentage) .................................................................................. 28 Figure 20: Number of times attempted to leave Turkey (in percentage) ....................................................................... 28 Figure 21: Legal status (in percentage) ..........................................................................................................................
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