Maine People's Resource Center, Or MPRC, Has the More Accurate Findings

MAINE PEOPLE’S RESOURCE CENTER PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY

September 8-10, 2013 ▪ N=652 Accuracy

“Uncannily close… Considering the final results, the center receives kudos for its work.” –Portland Press Herald

“MPRC is bringing transparency and accountability to a challenging area of public debate… MPRC is elevating the discourse around what Maine people actually think and want.” –Portland Phoenix

“While there are conflicting numbers from two pollsters, I tend to believe the Maine People's Resource Center, or MPRC, has the more accurate findings. Over the last two years they have polled eight contests and, without fail, their findings among the published public polls have been closest to the actual results.” –Former LePage Administration Communications and Policy Director Dan Demerrit

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Methodology

 A survey of 652 likely Maine voters was conducted by interactive voice response from September 8-10, 2013. Calls were made at different times of day to maximize the diversity of possible respondents. Questions were recorded by a female interviewer.

 Survey results were mathematically weighted by gender, age and geographic area to ensure an accurate representation of the population being surveyed. The sample was not weighted by party or ideology.

 The margin of error of this survey is 3.84%, 95 times out of 100. Sub- samples may have a larger margin of error.

 Frequencies and percentages may not always add up to the total number of responses or to 100%, due to weighting and rounding.

MPRC is a non-partisan, non-profit organization dedicated to giving people, especially those groups that are under-represented in civic life, skills and information to participate in the decision-making processes that affect them.

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. LePage Favorability

60  Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion 40 of Governor Paul LePage?

Percent 20

0 favorable 37.9 unfavorable 56.9 not sure 3.4 not familiar 1.7

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Cutler Favorability

60  Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion 40 of Eliot Cutler?

Percent 20

0 favorable 25.9 unfavorable 46.0 not sure 6.7 not familiar 21.4

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Michaud Favorability

60  Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion 40 of Congressman Mike Michaud?

Percent 20

0 favorable 56.1 unfavorable 31.2 not sure 4.0 not familiar 8.8

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Governor – Three-Way Contest

 If the race for Maine Governor were held today and the candidates were 40 Republican Paul LePage, Democrat Mike Michaud and independent Eliot Cutler, who would you 20 vote for? Percent

0 LePage 34.0 Michaud 40.0 Cutler 16.8 undecided 9.1

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Governor – Two-Way Contest

 If the race for Maine 60 Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Paul LePage 40 and Democrat Mike Michaud, who would you vote for? Percent 20

0 LePage 36.1 Michaud 55.9 undecided 7.9

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. U.S. Senate – Generic Democrat

 If the election for United 80 States Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Susan Collins 60 or for a Democratic

candidate? 40 Percent 20

0 Collins 59.5 democrat 25.7 undecided 14.8

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. U.S. Senate - Cutler

 If the election for United 80 States Senate were held today, and the candidates were Republican Susan 60 Collins and independent Eliot Cutler, who would 40

you vote for? Percent 20

0 Collins 57.5 Cutler 28.0 undecided 14.4

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Anti-Discrimination Law

60  Maine's non-discrimination law makes it illegal for businesses and organizations to deny 40

services to people based on

characteristics like their race, religion or whether or

not they are gay or lesbian. 20 Percent Do you support or oppose this law? 0 strongly support 55.2 somewhat support 19.2 somewhat oppose 10.4 strongly oppose 6.9 not sure 8.5

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Anti-Discrimination Change

 Some people have 80 proposed creating new laws in Maine 60 that would allow businesses and organizations to deny 40

services to gays and Percent lesbians if it violates 20 their religious beliefs. Would you 0 support such a law? yes 27.7 no 60.5 not sure 11.8

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Immigration Bill

 As you may know, the U.S. Senate recently voted to pass 60 legislation reforming the immigration system. The bill would allow illegal 40 immigrants already in the country to become citizens after 13 years if they pay a

fine and learn English. The Percent 20 bill would also double the number of border patrol agents, and double the 0 amount of fencing along the support 52.8 Mexican border. In general, oppose 29.6 do you support or oppose this not sure 17.5 bill?

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Frequencies

Gender % Ideology % Very liberal 11.5 Female 52.9

Male 47.1 Somewhat liberal 21.7 Moderate 32.6

Somewhat conservative 18.6 Congressional District % Very conservative 13.4 1 52.0 Not sure 2.3 2 48.0

Age %

Party % 18-34 18.6

Democratic 36.4 35-49 23.3

Republican 29.6 50-64 32.9

Independent/other 34.0 65+ 25.2

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.