Portland Press Herald Poll #3

PORTLAND PRESS HERALD POLL #3

MAINE 2014 GENERAL ELECTION

Prepared by:

Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A.

The Survey Center University of New Hampshire

October, 2014

Contents

Technical Report ...... 1

Questionnaire ...... 2

Data Tables ...... 21

Portland Press Herald Poll #3 Maine 2014 General Election

Conducted by the UNH Survey Center October 2014

Technical Report

Field Period: October 15 to October 21, 2014

Hours: 9 a.m. to 9 p.m.

Median Completion Time: 14 minutes

Sample Size: 734 randomly selected Maine adults (RDD) 667 randomly selected Maine likely and early voters in the 2014 General Election (RDD)

Sampling Error: +/- 3.6% (all respondents) +/- 3.8% (likely voters)

Congressional Subsections: 348 likely voters in the 1st Congressional District (5.3% MOE) 320 likely voters in the 2nd Congressional District (5.5% MOE)

Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 24%

The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual Maine adult being selected. The data have also been weighted by the sex, age and the region of the state based on the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.

Portland Press Herald Poll #3 Conducted by the UNH Survey Center Fall, 2014

INTRO: “Good evening / afternoon. My name is ______and I’m calling from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. This month, the University is conducting a study of politics and public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.”

IF ASKED: “The survey will about 10 minutes."

IF ASKED: "This poll is being conducted for the Portland Press Herald and will be in the paper next week.”

“Before we begin, do you live in Maine all year round or are you on vacation?”

1 LIVE IN MAINE YEAR ROUND 2 SEASONAL, JUST VACATIONING  “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing year round residents.” 3 NOT A MAINE RESIDENT  “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing Maine residents.”

* 99 REFUSED  TERMINATE

CELL1 “First, to confirm, have I reached you on your cell phone or a land line?”

1 CELL PHONE  SKIPTO CELL2 2 LAND LINE  SKIPTO BIR1

99 REFUSED  TERMINATE

CELL2 “Are you currently driving a car of doing any activity that requires your full attention?”

1 IF YES: “Can I call back at a later time?” MAKE APPOINTMENT 2 NO  SKIPTO AGE18

99 NA / REFUSED  TERMINATE

AGE18 “And are you 18 years old or older?”

1 YES  SKIP TO SEX 2 NO  "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."

* 99 REFUSAL  "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."

BIR1 “In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults aged 18 or older who currently live in your household -- including yourself -- who had the most recent birthday? I don’t mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?”

1 INFORMANT SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ SKIP TO INT2 3 DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME  CONTINUE WITH BIR2 BELOW 4 DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN  SKIP TO SEX

* 99 REFUSED -- ENTER NON-RESPONSE INFORMATION

BIR2 “Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?”

1 INFORMANT _____  SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ GO TO INT2 3 PERSON NOT AVAILABLE  MAKE APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSED

INT2 ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON

“Hello, this is ______calling from the University of New Hampshire. This month the University is conducting a study of politics public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?”

1 YES  SKIPTO SEX 2 APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSAL  TERMINATE

SEX “Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Maine. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.”

“Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time.”

IF ASKED: “This survey will take about 10 minutes to complete.”

RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT

1 MALE 2 FEMALE

3 REFUSES TO DO SURVEY

* 99 NA

TOWN “First, in what town do you live?” ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET.

997 OTHER – TYPE IN______998 DK - DO NOT PROBE * 999 NA / REFUSED

PRESAPP “Let's start with a question about the President.” “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?”

(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as president, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as president, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as president?”

1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

* 99 NA/REFUSED

TRACKUS “Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”

1 RIGHT DIRECTION 2 WRONG TRACK

98 DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) * 99 NA/REFUSED

MIPME “Let’s turn to the State of Maine... there are many problems facing the State of Maine today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Maine today?” (PROBE: “Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”)

RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE PROBE FOR SPECIFIC ANSWER

TRACKME “Do you think things in Maine are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”

1 RIGHT DIRECTION 2 WRONG TRACK

98 DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) * 99 NA / REFUSED

GOVAPP “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?”

(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?”

1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

* 99 NA / REFUSED

WEL1 “Let’s switch topics.”

“Please tell me which statement comes closer to your own view…Government aid to the poor does more harm than good by making people too dependent on government assistance OR government aid to the poor does more good than harm because people can’t get out of poverty until their basic needs are met.” ROTATE RESPONSES

1 MORE HARM THAN GOOD/MAKES PEOPLE DEPENDENT 2 MORE GOOD THAN HARM/MEETS BASIC NEEDS 3 NEITHER

98 DON’T KNOW/UNSURE 99 NA

PAPER1 “As you may know, the Bucksport paper mill announced that it will be closing on December 1st, and other paper mills have closed in Maine in recent years. Do you think the state government should give paper companies tax incentives and other assistance in order to help save the paper industry in Maine, or do you think the state government should not get involved in trying to keep paper mills in the state open?” ROTATE RESPONSES

1 PROVIDE TAX INCENTIVES 2 LET COMPANIES MAKE OWN DECISIONS 3 NEITHER - VOLUNTEERED

98 DON’T KNOW/UNSURE 99 NA

REGVOTE “Let’s turn to politics.”

"Are you registered to vote at your current address?" IF YES: "Are you registered as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?"

1 REGISTERED DEMOCRAT 2 REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED / UNDECLARED 3 REGISTERED REPUBLICAN 4 REGISTERED - OTHER

98 NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED

VOTEINT "As you know, there is an election in November 2014 for Governor, Congress and state offices. How interested would you say you are in the 2014 general election ... extremely interested ...very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?"

1 EXTREMELY INTERESTED 2 VERY INTERESTED 3 SOMEWHAT INTERESTED 4 NOT VERY INTERESTED

98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) 99 NA

MELV "Thinking ahead to the 2014 general election for Governor and Congress. Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 6)

1 I will probably NOT vote in the 2014 general election,  SKIPTO D1 2 I MAY vote in the 2014 general election,  SKIPTO D1 3 Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2014 general election, 4 I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2014 general election, 5 I have already voted EARLY in 2014 general election or 6 I just don't know at this time."  SKIPTO D1

* 99 NA/REFUSED  SKIPTO D1

FAV "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of people involved in politics in Maine. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don’t know enough about them to say." "First, how about ... ROTATE CANDIDATES

FAV1 “Governor Paul LePage?" (la PAGE) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

1 FAVORABLE 2 NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED 3 UNFAVORABLE

98 DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY * 99 NA / REFUSED

FAV2 “Senator Susan Collins?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"

FAV3 “Senator Angus King?” (READ IF NECESSARY) “Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?”

FAV4 “Former ACLU Director Shenna Bellows?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"

FAV5 “Congressman Mike Michaud?” (MEE – show) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

FAV6 “Attorney Eliot Cutler?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

SPLIT BY DISTRICT CD1FAV1 “Congresswoman Chellie Pingree?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"

CD1FAV2 “Political Activist Isaac Misiuk?” (MIS – shuk) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

CD1FAV3 “Political Activist Richard Murphy?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

CD2FAV1 “Former State Treasurer Bruce Poliquin?” (POL – i - kwin) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

CD2FAV2 “State Senator Emily Cain?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"

CD2FAV3 “Political Activist Blaine Richardson?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

IF ALREADY VOTED GOV1E "In the 2014 Governor election did you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Eliot Cutler, the Independent … Mike Michaud, the Democrat … or did you skip this election?"

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 DID NOT VOTE

98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO GOV2

GOVDC “Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the Maine Governor election in 2014 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”

1 DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 3 STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

99 NA / REFUSED

GOV1 "If the 2014 Governor election was being held today would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Eliot Cutler, the Independent … Mike Michaud, the Democrat … or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE  SKIPTO GOV2 2 ELIOT CUTLER  SKIPTO GOV2 3 MIKE MICHAUD  SKIPTO GOV2 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED  SKIPTO GOV2 5 WILL NOT VOTE  SKIPTO GOV2

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED  SKIPTO GOV2

GOV1LN "Would you say you are leaning towards Paul LePage, the Republican, Eliot Cutler, the Independent, or Mike Michaud, the Democrat?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

GOV2 "What if the candidates were Paul LePage and Mike Michaud… if the 2014 Governor election was being held today, would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Mike Michaud, the Democrat … or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 MIKE MICHAUD 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

GOV3 "What if the candidates were Paul LePage and Eliot Cutler… if the 2014 Governor election was being held today, would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Eliot Cutler, the Independent … or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

GOV4 “Regardless of who you are voting (voted) for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the 2014 Governor election, Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

CHAR1 “Which candidate do you think best understands people like you? Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 NO DIFFERENCE – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

CHAR2 “Which candidate do you think is the most likeable? Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 NO DIFFERENCE – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

CHAR3 “Which candidate do you think is the strongest leader? Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 NO DIFFERENCE – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

CHAR4 “Which candidate do you think would be the most effective at managing the state’s budget? Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 NO DIFFERENCE – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

CHAR5 “Which candidate do you think would be best able to work with both parties in the legislature? Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 NO DIFFERENCE – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

CHAR6 “Which candidate do you think would best handle paper mill closures in Maine? Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 NO DIFFERENCE – VOLUNTEERED

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

IF ALREADY VOTED SEN1E "In the 2014 Senate election did you vote for Susan Collins, the Republican … Shenna Bellows, the Democrat … or did you skip this election?"

1 SUSAN COLLINS 2 SHENNA BELLOWS 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 DID NOT VOTE

98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO CD1/CD2

SENDC “Let’s turn to the election for Senate. Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the Maine Senate election in 2014 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”

1 DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 3 STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

99 NA / REFUSED

SEN1 "If the 2014 Senate election was being held today would you vote for Susan Collins, the Republican … Shenna Bellows, the Democrat … or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 SUSAN COLLINS SKIPTO CD1/CD2 2 SHENNA BELLOWS SKIPTO CD1/CD2 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO CD1/CD2 4 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO CD1/CD2

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO CD1/CD2

SEN1LN "Would you say you are leaning towards Susan Collins, the Republican, or Shenna Bellows, the Democrat?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 SUSAN COLLINS 2 SHENNA BELLOWS 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

SPLIT BY DISTRICT

IF ALREADY VOTED CD1E "In the 2014 Congressional election did you vote for Isaac Misiuk, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat … Richard Murphy, the Independent or did you skip this election?"

1 ISAAC MISIUK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 RICHARD MURPHY 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 DID NOT VOTE

98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BEAR1

CD1 "If the 2014 Congressional election was being held today would you vote for Issac Misiuk the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat… Richard Murphy, the Independent… or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 ISAAC MISIUK SKIPTO BEAR1 2 CHELLIE PINGREE SKIPTO BEAR1 3 RICHARD MURPHY SKIPTO BEAR1 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO BEAR1 5 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO BEAR1

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BEAR1

CD1LN "Would you say you are leaning towards Isaac Misiuk, the Republican, Chellie Pingree, the Democrat or Richard Murphy, the Independent?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 ISAAC MISIUK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 RICHARD MURPHY 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

IF ALREADY VOTED CD2E "In the 2014 Congressional election did you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican … Emily Cain, the Democrat … Blaine Richardson, the Independent or did you skip this election?"

1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 BLAINE RICHARDSON 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 DID NOT VOTE

98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BEAR1

CD2 “If the 2014 Congressional Election was being held today would you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican …Emily Cain, the Democrat… Blaine Richardson, the Independent… or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 BRUCE POLIQUIN SKIPTO BEAR1 2 EMILY CAIN SKIPTO BEAR1 3 BLAINE RICHARDSON  SKIPTO BEAR1 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO BEAR1 5 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO BEAR1

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BEAR1

CD2LN "Would you say you are leaning towards Bruce Poliquin, the Republican, Emily Cain, the Democrat or Blaine Richardson, the Independent?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 BLAINE RICHARDSON 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED

BEAR1 “As you may know, there will be a referendum on the November ballot which would prohibit certain bear hunting practices in Maine. How much have you heard about this referendum… a great deal … a fair amount … only a little … or nothing at all?”

1 A GREAT DEAL 2 A FAIR AMOUNT 3 ONLY A LITTLE 4 NOTHING AT ALL

98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 99 NA/REFUSED

IF ALREADY VOTED BEAR2E “The question for the referendum was the following: ‘Do you want to make it a crime to hunt bears with bait, traps or dogs, except to protect property, public safety, or for research?’ Did you vote for the referendum, against it, or did you skip voting on this question?”

1 VOTE FOR REFERENDUM (YES) 2 VOTED AGAINST IT (NO) 3 DID NOT VOTE

98 DON’T REMEMBER 99 NA/REFUSED

BEAR2 “The question for the upcoming referendum is the following: ‘Do you want to make it a crime to hunt bears with bait, traps or dogs, except to protect property, public safety, or for research?’ If the 2014 referendum was held today would you vote for the referendum, against it, or would you skip voting on this question?”

1 VOTE FOR REFERENDUM (YES) 2 VOTE AGAINST IT (NO) 3 WILL NOT VOTE

98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED

IF ALREADY VOTED MEHOU1E "Please think about the election for your representative to the Maine House of Representatives. Did you vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate for the Maine House of Representatives ... or did you skip the election for Maine House of Representatives this time?"

1 REPUBLICAN 2 DEMOCRAT 3 OTHER 4 DID NOT VOTE IN ME HOUSE ELECTION

98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO STSEN1E

MEHOU1 "Please think about the November election for your representative to the Maine House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate for the Maine House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for Maine House of Representatives this time?"

ROTATE PARTIES

1 REPUBLICAN  SKIPTO STSEN1 2 DEMOCRAT  SKIPTO STSEN1 3 OTHER  SKIPTO STSEN1

4 WILL NOT VOTE IN ME HOUSE ELECTION  SKIPTO STSEN1

98 UNDECIDED/DK * 99 NA / REFUSED  SKIPTO STSEN1

MEHOU2 “Are you leaning toward voting for the Republican candidate to the Maine House or for the Democratic candidate?" ROTATE PARTIES

1 REPUBLICAN 2 DEMOCRAT 3 OTHER / NEITHER 4 WILL NOT VOTE IN ME HOUSE ELECTION

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

IF ALREADY VOTED STSEN1E "Please think about the election for your representative to the Maine Senate. Did you vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate for the Maine Senate ... or did you skip the election for Maine Senate this time?"

1 REPUBLICAN 2 DEMOCRAT 3 OTHER 4 DID NOT VOTE IN ME HOUSE ELECTION

98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO D1

STSEN1 "Please think about the November election for your representative to the Maine Senate. Do you plan to vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate for the Maine Senate ... or do you plan to skip the election for Maine Senate this time?"

ROTATE PARTIES

1 REPUBLICAN  SKIPTO D1 2 DEMOCRAT  SKIPTO D1 3 OTHER  SKIPTO D1

4 WILL NOT VOTE IN ME SENATE ELECTION  SKIPTO D1

98 UNDECIDED/DK * 99 NA / REFUSED  SKIPTO D1

STSEN2 “Are you leaning toward voting for the Republican candidate to the Maine Senate or for the Democratic candidate?" ROTATE PARTIES

1 REPUBLICAN 2 DEMOCRAT 3 OTHER / NEITHER 4 WILL NOT VOTE IN ME SENATE ELECTION

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

D1 “Now some final questions.”

“What is your current age?”

______: : : : (RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45) : : : :

96 NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA

D2 “What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you’ve completed and got credit for ...” [READ RESPONSES]

1 “Eighth grade or less, 2 Some high school, 3 High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.) 4 Technical school, 5 Some college, 6 College graduate, 7 Or postgraduate work?”

98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED

D3 "Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun?"

1 YES 2 NO

98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED

D4 "Does anyone in your household currently receive government assistance including TANF, that is Temporary Assistance For Needy Families, food stamps, also called SNAP, or general assistance from your town?"

1 YES 2 NO

98 DON’T KNOW * 99 REFUSED

D5 “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?”

(IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?” (IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?” (IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?”

1 STRONG DEMOCRAT 2 NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT 3 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS 4 INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER 5 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS 6 NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN 7 STRONG REPUBLICAN 8 OTHER PARTY

* 99 DK / NA / REFUSED

D6 “Think back to the election for Governor in 2010. Did you vote Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, Libby Mitchell, someone else, or did you skip that election?

1 PAUL LEPAGE - REPUBLICAN 2 ELIOT CUTLER - INDEPENDENT 3 LIBBY MITCHELL - DEMOCRAT 4 OTHER

97 DID NOT VOTE

98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

D7 "How often do you attend religious services apart from occasional weddings, baptisms, or funerals ... more than once a week ... once week ... once or twice a month ... a few times a year ... or never?"

1 MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK 2 ONCE A WEEK 3 ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH 4 A FEW TIMES A YEAR 5 NEVER

98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA

D8 “Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?”

1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE

98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED

D9 “Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”

0 NO LANDLINE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE

98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED

D10 “And on how many different cellphone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”

0 NO CELL PHONE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE

98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED

D11 “Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we've been talking about?”

1 YES “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ______2 NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)

99 NA / REFUSED

Q:END “Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”

Tabular Results

Approval Rating – President Barack Obama

Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 44% 7% 49% 618 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 44% 4% 51% 577 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 39% 6% 55% 730

Registered Democrat 74% 4% 22% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 37% 7% 56% 212 Registered Republican 13% 5% 82% 227

Democrat 75% 5% 21% 281 Independent 31% 4% 65% 145 Republican 10% 7% 84% 288

Likely Voter 39% 5% 56% 621 Early Voter 47% 0% 53% 44 Non-Likely Voter 35% 17% 49% 63

Extremely Interested 43% 5% 52% 287 Very Interested 40% 3% 57% 266 Some/Little Interest 34% 9% 56% 175

Gun Owner 26% 4% 69% 374 Non-Gun Owner 58% 7% 35% 322

Receives Assistance 42% 6% 51% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 39% 5% 55% 671

2010 LePage Voter 10% 4% 87% 309 2010 Cutler Voter 66% 1% 32% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 83% 2% 15% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 41% 12% 47% 87

18 to 34 31% 13% 56% 168 35 to 49 34% 2% 64% 197 50 to 64 46% 6% 48% 202 65 and over 47% 2% 51% 148

Male 30% 5% 65% 354 Female 48% 7% 45% 376

High school or less 28% 3% 68% 152 Some college 25% 17% 59% 187 College graduate 47% 1% 51% 262 Post-graduate 59% 2% 40% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 29% 8% 62% 151 1-2 times a month 12% 3% 85% 61 Less often 47% 4% 49% 227 Never 45% 6% 49% 269

Northern Maine 32% 7% 61% 164 Downeast/Coastal Maine 40% 5% 55% 132 Central Maine 37% 2% 62% 174 Southern Maine 46% 8% 46% 260

First Cong. Dist 43% 6% 51% 389 Second Cong. Dist 36% 5% 59% 342

Approval Rating – Governor Paul LePage

Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 41% 7% 52% 617 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 44% 10% 46% 581 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 49% 3% 48% 730

Registered Democrat 16% 2% 81% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 47% 4% 49% 210 Registered Republican 84% 1% 15% 228

Democrat 18% 2% 81% 280 Independent 36% 6% 58% 144 Republican 86% 3% 11% 289

Likely Voter 50% 3% 47% 621 Early Voter 49% 1% 50% 44 Non-Likely Voter 39% 8% 53% 62

Extremely Interested 49% 2% 50% 286 Very Interested 49% 3% 48% 265 Some/Little Interest 49% 4% 47% 177

Gun Owner 65% 3% 32% 372 Non-Gun Owner 28% 2% 69% 324

Receives Assistance 37% 2% 61% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 50% 3% 47% 669

2010 LePage Voter 88% 3% 9% 309 2010 Cutler Voter 13% 1% 86% 169 2010 Mitchell Voter 5% 0% 95% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 39% 9% 52% 86

18 to 34 51% 1% 48% 171 35 to 49 57% 2% 41% 197 50 to 64 40% 4% 56% 198 65 and over 47% 4% 48% 148

Male 55% 3% 42% 351 Female 43% 3% 54% 379

High school or less 63% 4% 33% 152 Some college 50% 4% 45% 187 College graduate 44% 2% 53% 263 Post-graduate 36% 2% 62% 123

Attend services 1 or more a week 65% 2% 32% 150 1-2 times a month 65% 2% 33% 62 Less often 40% 5% 54% 224 Never 43% 0% 57% 270

Northern Maine 54% 6% 41% 162 Downeast/Coastal Maine 48% 4% 48% 132 Central Maine 49% 2% 49% 173 Southern Maine 46% 2% 52% 262

First Cong. Dist 46% 2% 52% 391 Second Cong. Dist 53% 4% 43% 339

U.S. Right Direction / Wrong Track

Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 24% 69% 7% 610 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 30% 64% 7% 581 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 27% 68% 5% 725

Registered Democrat 47% 48% 5% 206 Registered Unenrolled/Other 20% 72% 8% 213 Registered Republican 12% 86% 2% 227

Democrat 48% 44% 7% 274 Independent 23% 71% 6% 147 Republican 9% 89% 2% 289

Likely Voter 28% 67% 4% 614 Early Voter 26% 64% 10% 44 Non-Likely Voter 21% 75% 4% 64

Extremely Interested 27% 70% 3% 282 Very Interested 26% 68% 6% 263 Some/Little Interest 30% 64% 6% 179

Gun Owner 24% 74% 3% 374 Non-Gun Owner 33% 59% 8% 318

Receives Assistance 24% 74% 2% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 28% 68% 4% 664

2010 LePage Voter 10% 89% 1% 309 2010 Cutler Voter 44% 50% 6% 165 2010 Mitchell Voter 50% 36% 14% 100 Did Not Vote in 2010 30% 66% 5% 89

18 to 34 31% 63% 6% 171 35 to 49 24% 73% 3% 197 50 to 64 32% 64% 4% 199 65 and over 23% 71% 6% 146

Male 23% 70% 7% 352 Female 31% 66% 3% 373

High school or less 16% 80% 5% 152 Some college 26% 70% 4% 189 College graduate 29% 67% 4% 259 Post-graduate 41% 52% 7% 121

Attend services 1 or more a week 16% 79% 5% 150 1-2 times a month 9% 84% 7% 61 Less often 33% 63% 4% 224 Never 33% 62% 5% 266

Northern Maine 25% 74% 1% 161 Downeast/Coastal Maine 15% 76% 10% 131 Central Maine 29% 67% 4% 172 Southern Maine 34% 61% 5% 262

First Cong. Dist 30% 65% 5% 387 Second Cong. Dist 24% 72% 4% 338

Maine Right Direction / Wrong Track

Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 43% 48% 10% 607 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 51% 43% 6% 577 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 48% 44% 8% 724

Registered Democrat 28% 64% 8% 209 Registered Unenrolled/Other 49% 45% 6% 211 Registered Republican 66% 27% 7% 223

Democrat 36% 57% 7% 278 Independent 34% 58% 8% 145 Republican 68% 24% 8% 285

Likely Voter 49% 44% 7% 615 Early Voter 45% 45% 9% 42 Non-Likely Voter 43% 40% 17% 64

Extremely Interested 42% 49% 9% 283 Very Interested 48% 48% 5% 263 Some/Little Interest 58% 32% 10% 176

Gun Owner 58% 34% 8% 369 Non-Gun Owner 38% 54% 8% 321

Receives Assistance 47% 52% 1% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 49% 43% 8% 663

2010 LePage Voter 68% 25% 7% 306 2010 Cutler Voter 31% 62% 6% 168 2010 Mitchell Voter 20% 70% 9% 99 Did Not Vote in 2010 51% 40% 9% 87

18 to 34 54% 40% 6% 171 35 to 49 57% 37% 6% 195 50 to 64 42% 49% 9% 198 65 and over 41% 49% 10% 146

Male 55% 39% 6% 351 Female 42% 49% 9% 373

High school or less 53% 40% 8% 151 Some college 56% 35% 9% 187 College graduate 46% 48% 6% 259 Post-graduate 36% 56% 8% 123

Attend services 1 or more a week 43% 45% 12% 147 1-2 times a month 68% 30% 2% 62 Less often 48% 46% 6% 224 Never 49% 44% 7% 268

Northern Maine 50% 43% 7% 159 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 45% 10% 131 Central Maine 46% 46% 8% 171 Southern Maine 50% 43% 7% 263

First Cong. Dist 49% 45% 6% 388 Second Cong. Dist 47% 43% 10% 336

Does Welfare Do More Harm Than Good Or More Good Than Harm?

More Harm More Good Than Good Than Harm Neither DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 46% 43% 7% 4% 620 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 50% 39% 8% 3% 589 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 49% 40% 6% 5% 731

Registered Democrat 29% 60% 5% 5% 209 Registered Unenrolled/Other 52% 37% 8% 3% 213 Registered Republican 67% 21% 3% 8% 228

Democrat 25% 65% 7% 2% 277 Independent 52% 32% 9% 7% 147 Republican 69% 21% 3% 7% 290

Likely Voter 49% 40% 6% 5% 620 Early Voter 46% 53% 1% 1% 44 Non-Likely Voter 52% 39% 6% 3% 64

Extremely Interested 43% 46% 4% 7% 284 Very Interested 53% 39% 7% 2% 267 Some/Little Interest 52% 35% 7% 6% 178

Gun Owner 57% 35% 4% 5% 374 Non-Gun Owner 37% 50% 8% 5% 323

Receives Assistance 40% 50% 2% 9% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 49% 40% 6% 5% 670

2010 LePage Voter 70% 20% 2% 7% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 27% 62% 7% 5% 169 2010 Mitchell Voter 25% 63% 12% 0% 100 Did Not Vote in 2010 45% 45% 6% 3% 89

18 to 34 49% 37% 6% 8% 171 35 to 49 53% 38% 3% 6% 197 50 to 64 49% 43% 6% 2% 202 65 and over 42% 44% 10% 5% 145

Male 51% 36% 8% 5% 351 Female 47% 44% 3% 5% 379

High school or less 59% 24% 8% 8% 151 Some college 56% 34% 5% 4% 189 College graduate 45% 46% 4% 6% 263 Post-graduate 33% 58% 7% 1% 122

Attend services 1 or more a week 60% 28% 6% 6% 149 1-2 times a month 66% 23% 3% 8% 62 Less often 43% 49% 7% 2% 227 Never 44% 45% 5% 6% 268

Northern Maine 50% 39% 4% 7% 164 Downeast/Coastal Maine 50% 39% 7% 3% 129 Central Maine 54% 32% 8% 6% 175 Southern Maine 43% 47% 5% 4% 262

First Cong. Dist 46% 43% 5% 5% 389 Second Cong. Dist 52% 37% 6% 5% 341

How Should Government Handle Mill Closing Situation?

Provide Tax Let Companies Make Incentives Own Decisions Neither DK (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 58% 30% 6% 6% 726

Registered Democrat 57% 30% 6% 6% 211 Registered Unenrolled/Other 54% 32% 6% 8% 212 Registered Republican 64% 28% 3% 4% 221

Democrat 57% 30% 6% 7% 280 Independent 60% 26% 9% 5% 147 Republican 59% 31% 4% 5% 283

Likely Voter 59% 29% 6% 6% 615 Early Voter 61% 27% 6% 7% 44 Non-Likely Voter 51% 35% 7% 7% 64

Extremely Interested 64% 25% 6% 5% 280 Very Interested 53% 35% 6% 6% 267 Some/Little Interest 57% 29% 7% 7% 177

Gun Owner 59% 32% 7% 3% 374 Non-Gun Owner 59% 26% 6% 10% 323

Receives Assistance 64% 16% 12% 7% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 58% 30% 6% 6% 665

2010 LePage Voter 59% 32% 5% 5% 303 2010 Cutler Voter 50% 32% 13% 5% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 56% 25% 7% 12% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 71% 25% 1% 3% 89

18 to 34 66% 17% 11% 6% 166 35 to 49 57% 36% 2% 5% 196 50 to 64 51% 34% 7% 8% 202 65 and over 63% 27% 5% 5% 147

Male 54% 33% 9% 4% 348 Female 63% 26% 4% 7% 377

High school or less 61% 32% 3% 4% 146 Some college 57% 30% 8% 5% 189 College graduate 64% 27% 5% 4% 262 Post-graduate 45% 30% 11% 13% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 61% 28% 4% 6% 143 1-2 times a month 54% 34% 5% 7% 62 Less often 58% 29% 4% 8% 227 Never 57% 29% 10% 3% 270

Northern Maine 64% 28% 6% 2% 157 Downeast/Coastal Maine 48% 35% 11% 6% 131 Central Maine 66% 22% 3% 9% 175 Southern Maine 55% 33% 6% 6% 263

First Cong. Dist 56% 32% 6% 5% 391 Second Cong. Dist 61% 26% 6% 7% 334

Interest in 2014 Election

Extremely Very Somewhat Not Very Interested Interested Interested Interested DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 28% 36% 22% 12% 1% 625 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 40% 34% 14% 12% 0% 592 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 39% 36% 20% 5% 0% 734

Registered Democrat 49% 35% 14% 1% 0% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 28% 42% 25% 6% 0% 213 Registered Republican 49% 32% 16% 3% 0% 228

Democrat 42% 36% 20% 1% 0% 281 Independent 25% 39% 25% 10% 1% 147 Republican 44% 34% 17% 5% 0% 290

Likely Voter 42% 38% 20% 0% 0% 623 Early Voter 54% 37% 9% 0% 0% 44 Non-Likely Voter 4% 20% 25% 49% 2% 64

Gun Owner 39% 39% 19% 4% 0% 376 Non-Gun Owner 38% 35% 21% 6% 1% 325

Receives Assistance 27% 22% 34% 16% 1% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 41% 37% 18% 4% 0% 673

2010 LePage Voter 40% 38% 21% 2% 0% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 47% 32% 19% 2% 0% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 41% 46% 13% 0% 0% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 21% 27% 26% 25% 1% 89

18 to 34 32% 25% 32% 12% 0% 171 35 to 49 34% 42% 23% 1% 0% 197 50 to 64 50% 34% 12% 4% 1% 203 65 and over 40% 43% 13% 3% 0% 148

Male 40% 32% 23% 5% 0% 355 Female 38% 40% 17% 5% 0% 379

High school or less 33% 33% 27% 6% 1% 152 Some college 36% 34% 20% 11% 0% 190 College graduate 42% 39% 17% 1% 0% 263 Post-graduate 45% 39% 16% 0% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 49% 39% 8% 3% 1% 151 1-2 times a month 36% 37% 25% 2% 0% 62 Less often 38% 36% 22% 4% 0% 227 Never 36% 33% 24% 6% 0% 270

Northern Maine 46% 21% 29% 4% 1% 164 Downeast/Coastal Maine 36% 45% 16% 3% 1% 132 Central Maine 40% 42% 12% 6% 0% 175 Southern Maine 35% 38% 21% 6% 0% 263

First Cong. Dist 39% 37% 18% 6% 0% 392 Second Cong. Dist 40% 35% 22% 3% 0% 342

Likely To Vote In 2014 Election

Probably Will Vote Will Definitely Voted Not Vote May Vote Unless Emerg. Vote Early Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 5% 5% 10% 75% 6% 625 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 6% 5% 11% 72% 6% 591 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 3% 3% 13% 72% 6% 3% 731

Registered Democrat 0% 3% 8% 81% 7% 1% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 4% 1% 15% 72% 5% 2% 213 Registered Republican 1% 1% 9% 79% 7% 2% 228

Democrat 1% 3% 13% 75% 8% 1% 279 Independent 8% 3% 20% 60% 4% 5% 146 Republican 4% 3% 9% 76% 6% 3% 290

Extremely Interested 0% 1% 4% 87% 8% 0% 287 Very Interested 1% 3% 12% 76% 6% 1% 265 Some/Little Interest 12% 6% 27% 44% 2% 9% 178

Gun Owner 3% 2% 15% 73% 6% 1% 376 Non-Gun Owner 4% 4% 11% 70% 6% 4% 321

Receives Assistance 24% 17% 3% 48% 2% 6% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 2% 2% 13% 74% 6% 2% 671

2010 LePage Voter 1% 2% 12% 77% 8% 1% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 2% 2% 15% 77% 2% 1% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 2% 12% 72% 12% 0% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 18% 7% 14% 47% 0% 13% 86

18 to 34 11% 5% 27% 50% 4% 4% 171 35 to 49 1% 3% 13% 77% 5% 1% 197 50 to 64 1% 1% 7% 81% 7% 3% 201 65 and over 1% 4% 6% 79% 9% 2% 148

Male 4% 3% 16% 69% 5% 2% 354 Female 3% 2% 10% 76% 6% 3% 377

High school or less 2% 4% 13% 71% 5% 5% 152 Some college 8% 3% 12% 67% 5% 4% 190 College graduate 3% 3% 14% 70% 9% 2% 261 Post-graduate 0% 0% 11% 86% 3% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 4% 0% 8% 81% 6% 1% 148 1-2 times a month 0% 1% 9% 87% 2% 2% 62 Less often 3% 2% 15% 72% 7% 2% 227 Never 4% 5% 15% 64% 7% 5% 269

Northern Maine 1% 3% 14% 76% 3% 3% 163 Downeast/Coastal Maine 4% 2% 13% 75% 5% 1% 132 Central Maine 4% 1% 13% 74% 6% 2% 173 Southern Maine 5% 4% 12% 68% 8% 4% 263

First Cong. Dist 5% 3% 11% 71% 7% 3% 392 Second Cong. Dist 2% 2% 15% 74% 5% 2% 339

Favorability Ratings – Paul LePage – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 40% 7% 51% 2% 525 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 44% 6% 48% 2% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 47% 5% 48% 1% 667

Registered Democrat 14% 3% 83% 0% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 44% 8% 47% 0% 195 Registered Republican 82% 4% 14% 1% 220

Democrat 15% 5% 80% 0% 267 Independent 37% 6% 56% 1% 123 Republican 85% 4% 11% 1% 263

Will Definitely Vote 48% 4% 48% 1% 529 Will Vote Unless Emergency 40% 13% 46% 1% 94 Early Voter 51% 3% 46% 0% 44

Extremely Interested 47% 4% 49% 0% 284 Very Interested 48% 5% 46% 1% 252 Some/Little Interest 44% 7% 48% 1% 130

Gun Owner 62% 6% 31% 0% 353 Non-Gun Owner 25% 4% 70% 1% 281

Receives Assistance 18% 19% 56% 7% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 49% 4% 47% 0% 628

2010 LePage Voter 83% 8% 9% 0% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 12% 3% 85% 0% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 1% 97% 0% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 45% 1% 52% 2% 53

18 to 34 45% 5% 48% 1% 137 35 to 49 54% 5% 40% 0% 187 50 to 64 40% 4% 55% 0% 190 65 and over 47% 5% 46% 1% 137

Male 54% 5% 42% 0% 322 Female 41% 5% 53% 1% 345

High school or less 60% 8% 31% 0% 136 Some college 49% 7% 43% 1% 160 College graduate 45% 1% 53% 1% 243 Post-graduate 32% 7% 62% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 64% 5% 30% 1% 141 1-2 times a month 64% 2% 31% 2% 60 Less often 40% 7% 52% 0% 212 Never 38% 4% 58% 0% 232

Northern Maine 46% 10% 43% 1% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 51% 4% 45% 0% 123 Central Maine 48% 6% 46% 1% 160 Southern Maine 44% 2% 53% 1% 231

First Cong. Dist 45% 2% 52% 1% 347 Second Cong. Dist 49% 8% 43% 0% 320

Favorability Ratings – Susan Collins – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 71% 7% 19% 3% 523 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 66% 9% 22% 3% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 70% 8% 19% 3% 664

Registered Democrat 56% 9% 33% 2% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 73% 9% 16% 2% 195 Registered Republican 82% 6% 9% 3% 217

Democrat 59% 12% 25% 4% 267 Independent 70% 1% 28% 1% 123 Republican 80% 7% 11% 2% 261

Will Definitely Vote 71% 8% 18% 3% 527 Will Vote Unless Emergency 68% 9% 21% 2% 94 Early Voter 62% 7% 31% 0% 44

Extremely Interested 67% 7% 23% 3% 284 Very Interested 66% 13% 20% 1% 252 Some/Little Interest 84% 1% 11% 4% 128

Gun Owner 73% 9% 17% 1% 350 Non-Gun Owner 67% 7% 23% 3% 281

Receives Assistance 69% 5% 11% 14% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 70% 8% 20% 2% 626

2010 LePage Voter 80% 4% 13% 2% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 64% 10% 26% 1% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 55% 11% 33% 1% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 53% 14% 19% 14% 51

18 to 34 61% 10% 21% 8% 135 35 to 49 75% 9% 14% 2% 187 50 to 64 71% 6% 22% 1% 190 65 and over 71% 6% 21% 2% 137

Male 67% 8% 23% 3% 319 Female 73% 8% 16% 3% 345

High school or less 65% 8% 20% 6% 136 Some college 76% 6% 13% 5% 160 College graduate 67% 8% 25% 0% 240 Post-graduate 74% 10% 16% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 73% 5% 17% 4% 141 1-2 times a month 76% 1% 19% 4% 60 Less often 73% 10% 16% 2% 210 Never 64% 10% 24% 2% 232

Northern Maine 70% 8% 17% 6% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 64% 9% 26% 1% 123 Central Maine 72% 8% 20% 0% 160 Southern Maine 72% 7% 17% 4% 228

First Cong. Dist 71% 8% 18% 3% 344 Second Cong. Dist 69% 8% 21% 3% 320

Favorability Ratings – Angus King – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 66% 9% 21% 4% 526 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 59% 9% 24% 8% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 61% 8% 23% 7% 667

Registered Democrat 79% 6% 13% 2% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 65% 8% 19% 7% 195 Registered Republican 42% 12% 37% 9% 220

Democrat 82% 7% 6% 4% 267 Independent 62% 4% 25% 9% 123 Republican 40% 12% 38% 10% 263

Will Definitely Vote 62% 8% 23% 8% 529 Will Vote Unless Emergency 60% 14% 17% 10% 94 Early Voter 60% 2% 38% 1% 44

Extremely Interested 54% 9% 30% 7% 284 Very Interested 67% 8% 21% 4% 252 Some/Little Interest 66% 6% 12% 16% 130

Gun Owner 56% 9% 28% 7% 353 Non-Gun Owner 73% 8% 13% 6% 281

Receives Assistance 59% 7% 20% 14% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 61% 9% 23% 7% 628

2010 LePage Voter 42% 7% 39% 12% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 85% 3% 11% 2% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 82% 10% 7% 1% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 62% 12% 12% 14% 53

18 to 34 47% 11% 23% 19% 137 35 to 49 64% 6% 25% 5% 187 50 to 64 70% 9% 19% 3% 190 65 and over 61% 9% 25% 5% 137

Male 54% 8% 28% 10% 322 Female 68% 9% 19% 5% 345

High school or less 48% 7% 28% 17% 136 Some college 61% 11% 17% 11% 160 College graduate 62% 6% 28% 3% 243 Post-graduate 75% 10% 15% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 50% 13% 24% 14% 141 1-2 times a month 55% 6% 26% 13% 60 Less often 70% 9% 16% 5% 212 Never 63% 6% 26% 5% 232

Northern Maine 56% 12% 18% 14% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 63% 7% 25% 6% 123 Central Maine 59% 8% 31% 2% 160 Southern Maine 65% 7% 20% 8% 231

First Cong. Dist 67% 7% 21% 6% 347 Second Cong. Dist 55% 10% 25% 9% 320

Favorability Ratings – Chellie Pingree – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) FIRST CONG DIST - JUNE 2014 54% 8% 28% 10% 257 FIRST CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 60% 9% 21% 10% 234 FIRST CONG DIST - OCT 2014 43% 8% 28% 21% 335

Registered Democrat 71% 9% 8% 12% 130 Registered Unenrolled/Other 37% 9% 40% 14% 89 Registered Republican 18% 6% 50% 27% 94

Democrat 66% 8% 5% 20% 154 Independent 44% 9% 30% 18% 53 Republican 15% 8% 55% 22% 124

Will Definitely Vote 42% 7% 30% 20% 267 Will Vote Unless Emergency 35% 16% 15% 34% 42 Early Voter 65% 10% 23% 1% 27

Extremely Interested 43% 5% 31% 21% 145 Very Interested 43% 8% 31% 18% 129 Some/Little Interest 44% 16% 15% 25% 61

Gun Owner 28% 7% 39% 26% 156 Non-Gun Owner 59% 9% 15% 16% 169

Receives Assistance 35% 12% 4% 49% 13 Does Not Receive Assistance 44% 8% 28% 19% 318

2010 LePage Voter 20% 5% 53% 22% 123 2010 Cutler Voter 52% 10% 17% 21% 93 2010 Mitchell Voter 84% 3% 5% 8% 59 Did Not Vote in 2010 42% 5% 8% 45% 33

18 to 34 38% 6% 16% 40% 72 35 to 49 31% 15% 23% 31% 89 50 to 64 50% 3% 39% 8% 98 65 and over 54% 6% 34% 6% 67

Male 31% 11% 34% 24% 177 Female 57% 5% 21% 16% 159

High school or less 35% 8% 33% 24% 56 Some college 32% 10% 36% 22% 72 College graduate 47% 8% 26% 19% 153 Post-graduate 56% 6% 18% 19% 53

Attend services 1 or more a week 39% 13% 31% 17% 52 1-2 times a month 18% 16% 51% 15% 29 Less often 50% 7% 26% 17% 116 Never 45% 6% 23% 25% 131

Downeast/Coastal Maine 36% 13% 26% 25% 60 Central Maine 46% 2% 24% 28% 51 Southern Maine 45% 8% 29% 18% 224

Favorability Ratings – Mike Michaud – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 54% 6% 26% 14% 526 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 53% 9% 29% 10% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 46% 6% 39% 9% 659

Registered Democrat 74% 5% 15% 6% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 47% 8% 36% 10% 195 Registered Republican 16% 5% 70% 10% 212

Democrat 75% 4% 12% 9% 267 Independent 51% 3% 37% 9% 120 Republican 14% 8% 69% 9% 258

Will Definitely Vote 45% 6% 40% 8% 524 Will Vote Unless Emergency 47% 5% 33% 14% 94 Early Voter 47% 4% 44% 5% 41

Extremely Interested 49% 5% 41% 5% 276 Very Interested 42% 8% 43% 8% 252 Some/Little Interest 46% 5% 30% 20% 130

Gun Owner 36% 5% 50% 10% 350 Non-Gun Owner 60% 7% 24% 9% 281

Receives Assistance 48% 16% 15% 22% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 46% 5% 40% 9% 620

2010 LePage Voter 19% 6% 66% 9% 291 2010 Cutler Voter 64% 8% 24% 4% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 94% 1% 4% 1% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 50% 3% 13% 33% 53

18 to 34 50% 3% 32% 15% 132 35 to 49 33% 10% 43% 14% 185 50 to 64 50% 5% 40% 5% 190 65 and over 51% 4% 42% 3% 137

Male 38% 5% 45% 11% 314 Female 52% 6% 34% 7% 345

High school or less 41% 4% 47% 8% 131 Some college 42% 7% 42% 9% 160 College graduate 45% 4% 39% 12% 240 Post-graduate 58% 10% 29% 3% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 33% 8% 55% 4% 136 1-2 times a month 38% 4% 55% 2% 60 Less often 47% 7% 34% 13% 212 Never 54% 3% 33% 10% 230

Northern Maine 52% 4% 38% 6% 147 Downeast/Coastal Maine 43% 6% 42% 9% 120 Central Maine 44% 8% 43% 4% 160 Southern Maine 44% 5% 37% 14% 231

First Cong. Dist 44% 6% 38% 13% 347 Second Cong. Dist 48% 6% 41% 4% 312

Favorability Ratings – Eliot Cutler – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 33% 11% 27% 29% 525 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 39% 13% 24% 24% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 38% 11% 32% 19% 664

Registered Democrat 41% 12% 36% 11% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 40% 12% 27% 21% 195 Registered Republican 31% 10% 37% 23% 217

Democrat 44% 10% 30% 17% 267 Independent 44% 8% 25% 22% 120 Republican 32% 12% 36% 20% 263

Will Definitely Vote 39% 10% 33% 18% 529 Will Vote Unless Emergency 40% 14% 18% 29% 94 Early Voter 23% 8% 52% 18% 41

Extremely Interested 36% 11% 37% 15% 281 Very Interested 40% 12% 31% 16% 252 Some/Little Interest 40% 6% 20% 34% 130

Gun Owner 39% 9% 31% 21% 350 Non-Gun Owner 41% 13% 31% 15% 281

Receives Assistance 35% 20% 14% 31% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 38% 10% 32% 19% 626

2010 LePage Voter 27% 10% 37% 26% 296 2010 Cutler Voter 70% 8% 19% 3% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 36% 10% 35% 18% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 28% 14% 23% 36% 53

18 to 34 40% 6% 24% 30% 137 35 to 49 37% 14% 29% 20% 185 50 to 64 42% 8% 35% 15% 190 65 and over 35% 12% 39% 14% 137

Male 39% 12% 29% 20% 319 Female 37% 10% 34% 18% 345

High school or less 29% 10% 33% 28% 136 Some college 36% 13% 25% 26% 160 College graduate 41% 11% 35% 14% 240 Post-graduate 50% 8% 32% 10% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 23% 14% 38% 25% 141 1-2 times a month 52% 2% 28% 18% 60 Less often 40% 12% 33% 16% 212 Never 45% 9% 27% 19% 230

Northern Maine 31% 11% 30% 29% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 49% 9% 28% 14% 120 Central Maine 37% 11% 40% 12% 160 Southern Maine 39% 11% 29% 21% 231

First Cong. Dist 43% 11% 29% 17% 347 Second Cong. Dist 34% 10% 35% 22% 317

Favorability Ratings – Bruce Poliquin – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) SECOND CONG DIST - JUNE 2014 23% 7% 26% 43% 269 SECOND CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 35% 8% 22% 35% 250 SECOND CONG DIST - OCT 2014 28% 6% 37% 28% 320

Registered Democrat 5% 4% 68% 22% 68 Registered Unenrolled/Other 22% 9% 33% 35% 102 Registered Republican 51% 6% 26% 17% 123

Democrat 12% 3% 56% 29% 106 Independent 19% 6% 32% 42% 67 Republican 48% 9% 23% 20% 137

Will Definitely Vote 29% 5% 42% 23% 251 Will Vote Unless Emergency 23% 12% 9% 56% 52

Extremely Interested 41% 7% 35% 17% 134 Very Interested 13% 8% 47% 32% 117 Some/Little Interest 31% 1% 24% 43% 68

Gun Owner 34% 5% 31% 30% 190 Non-Gun Owner 16% 9% 49% 26% 108

Receives Assistance 4% 40% 15% 41% 11 Does Not Receive Assistance 30% 5% 38% 27% 300

2010 LePage Voter 44% 8% 24% 23% 171 2010 Cutler Voter 4% 2% 61% 33% 64 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 3% 72% 24% 39 Did Not Vote in 2010 15% 9% 7% 69% 19

18 to 34 37% 5% 7% 51% 66 35 to 49 32% 8% 36% 24% 93 50 to 64 21% 4% 53% 21% 87 65 and over 24% 8% 47% 21% 70

Male 31% 5% 30% 34% 137 Female 27% 7% 42% 24% 183

High school or less 42% 2% 30% 26% 78 Some college 29% 7% 30% 34% 84 College graduate 30% 9% 38% 23% 88 Post-graduate 10% 6% 54% 30% 68

Attend services 1 or more a week 41% 4% 30% 26% 89 1-2 times a month 41% 15% 19% 25% 31 Less often 13% 9% 53% 25% 89 Never 31% 2% 34% 33% 99

Northern Maine 35% 7% 29% 28% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 29% 1% 31% 38% 59 Central Maine 18% 7% 52% 23% 109

Favorability Ratings – Emily Cain – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) SECOND CONG DIST - JUNE 2014 32% 7% 17% 45% 269 SECOND CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 30% 8% 18% 43% 249 SECOND CONG DIST - OCT 2014 31% 7% 36% 26% 320

Registered Democrat 62% 4% 9% 25% 68 Registered Unenrolled/Other 33% 12% 21% 34% 102 Registered Republican 11% 7% 61% 22% 123

Democrat 52% 5% 12% 31% 106 Independent 42% 8% 32% 19% 67 Republican 10% 6% 59% 25% 137

Will Definitely Vote 32% 5% 36% 27% 251 Will Vote Unless Emergency 30% 18% 24% 27% 52

Extremely Interested 30% 3% 49% 17% 134 Very Interested 33% 12% 31% 24% 117 Some/Little Interest 29% 6% 18% 46% 68

Gun Owner 29% 6% 40% 25% 190 Non-Gun Owner 38% 7% 25% 30% 108

Receives Assistance 9% 5% 35% 51% 11 Does Not Receive Assistance 32% 7% 36% 25% 300

2010 LePage Voter 15% 6% 56% 23% 171 2010 Cutler Voter 70% 3% 8% 19% 64 2010 Mitchell Voter 55% 13% 13% 19% 39 Did Not Vote in 2010 20% 11% 9% 61% 19

18 to 34 22% 15% 37% 27% 66 35 to 49 24% 5% 46% 25% 93 50 to 64 37% 2% 32% 30% 87 65 and over 43% 7% 28% 21% 70

Male 35% 4% 45% 16% 137 Female 28% 10% 29% 33% 183

High school or less 28% 1% 39% 33% 78 Some college 36% 8% 36% 20% 84 College graduate 24% 10% 42% 24% 88 Post-graduate 39% 10% 25% 27% 68

Attend services 1 or more a week 23% 6% 59% 12% 89 1-2 times a month 15% 11% 45% 29% 31 Less often 34% 7% 22% 37% 89 Never 43% 1% 29% 27% 99

Northern Maine 32% 5% 39% 24% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 24% 5% 46% 25% 59 Central Maine 34% 12% 26% 29% 109

Favorability Ratings – Shenna Bellows – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 17% 6% 13% 64% 526 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 32% 10% 18% 40% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 30% 7% 25% 39% 664

Registered Democrat 50% 6% 8% 36% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 28% 10% 23% 40% 195 Registered Republican 9% 5% 44% 42% 217

Democrat 52% 7% 7% 34% 267 Independent 26% 8% 23% 42% 120 Republican 8% 5% 45% 42% 263

Will Definitely Vote 31% 5% 26% 38% 529 Will Vote Unless Emergency 19% 16% 21% 44% 94 Early Voter 36% 4% 30% 30% 41

Extremely Interested 36% 2% 31% 32% 281 Very Interested 28% 11% 26% 36% 252 Some/Little Interest 19% 9% 13% 59% 130

Gun Owner 23% 6% 32% 38% 350 Non-Gun Owner 40% 7% 15% 39% 281

Receives Assistance 23% 3% 3% 70% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 30% 7% 26% 37% 626

2010 LePage Voter 10% 5% 42% 42% 296 2010 Cutler Voter 51% 4% 12% 33% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 60% 11% 4% 25% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 22% 4% 10% 64% 53

18 to 34 30% 3% 18% 49% 137 35 to 49 18% 7% 22% 52% 185 50 to 64 37% 6% 27% 30% 190 65 and over 34% 7% 35% 24% 137

Male 27% 5% 29% 39% 319 Female 32% 8% 22% 38% 345

High school or less 17% 4% 22% 57% 136 Some college 31% 6% 32% 31% 160 College graduate 30% 5% 26% 40% 240 Post-graduate 41% 15% 19% 25% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 23% 7% 38% 32% 141 1-2 times a month 9% 4% 45% 42% 60 Less often 33% 8% 21% 39% 212 Never 36% 5% 17% 41% 230

Northern Maine 27% 7% 22% 44% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 27% 9% 27% 37% 120 Central Maine 29% 7% 28% 37% 160 Southern Maine 33% 5% 25% 37% 231

First Cong. Dist 33% 6% 23% 38% 347 Second Cong. Dist 26% 7% 27% 39% 317

Favorability Ratings – Isaac Misiuk – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) FIRST CONG DIST - JUNE 2014 6% 8% 6% 80% 257 FIRST CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 4% 12% 10% 74% 234 FIRST CONG DIST - OCT 2014 5% 5% 9% 81% 334

Registered Democrat 4% 4% 6% 86% 129 Registered Unenrolled/Other 5% 7% 10% 79% 89 Registered Republican 8% 6% 14% 72% 94

Democrat 4% 4% 8% 84% 153 Independent 4% 8% 5% 82% 53 Republican 7% 5% 12% 76% 124

Will Definitely Vote 6% 6% 9% 79% 267 Will Vote Unless Emergency 1% 2% 3% 94% 41 Early Voter 7% 4% 13% 75% 27

Extremely Interested 7% 5% 11% 77% 145 Very Interested 3% 4% 6% 87% 129 Some/Little Interest 7% 6% 10% 77% 60

Gun Owner 7% 6% 9% 77% 156 Non-Gun Owner 4% 3% 8% 84% 168

Receives Assistance 8% 6% 0% 86% 13 Does Not Receive Assistance 5% 5% 9% 81% 317

2010 LePage Voter 10% 3% 14% 73% 123 2010 Cutler Voter 1% 6% 7% 87% 93 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 8% 4% 87% 58 Did Not Vote in 2010 10% 0% 3% 87% 33

18 to 34 2% 5% 7% 86% 72 35 to 49 11% 2% 3% 85% 89 50 to 64 5% 7% 13% 75% 98 65 and over 4% 4% 13% 79% 66

Male 6% 4% 8% 83% 176 Female 5% 7% 9% 79% 159

High school or less 7% 2% 13% 79% 56 Some college 12% 5% 11% 73% 72 College graduate 3% 6% 3% 88% 153 Post-graduate 4% 8% 17% 71% 52

Attend services 1 or more a week 2% 8% 13% 77% 51 1-2 times a month 26% 17% 4% 53% 29 Less often 6% 3% 7% 84% 116 Never 2% 3% 9% 86% 131

Downeast/Coastal Maine 5% 6% 7% 83% 60 Central Maine 0% 4% 9% 87% 51 Southern Maine 7% 5% 9% 79% 223

Favorability Ratings – Richard Murphy – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) FIRST CONG DIST - OCT 2014 6% 6% 5% 83% 335

Registered Democrat 5% 5% 4% 85% 130 Registered Unenrolled/Other 5% 7% 2% 86% 89 Registered Republican 4% 6% 9% 81% 94

Democrat 4% 5% 4% 87% 154 Independent 19% 6% 2% 73% 53 Republican 3% 6% 7% 84% 124

Will Definitely Vote 6% 6% 6% 82% 267 Will Vote Unless Emergency 11% 2% 1% 86% 42 Early Voter 0% 3% 4% 93% 27

Extremely Interested 6% 6% 5% 82% 145 Very Interested 1% 6% 5% 88% 129 Some/Little Interest 15% 3% 3% 78% 61

Gun Owner 7% 6% 5% 82% 156 Non-Gun Owner 5% 5% 5% 86% 169

Receives Assistance 0% 12% 5% 83% 13 Does Not Receive Assistance 6% 5% 5% 84% 318

2010 LePage Voter 6% 3% 9% 82% 123 2010 Cutler Voter 9% 5% 2% 85% 93 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 7% 3% 87% 59 Did Not Vote in 2010 9% 3% 5% 83% 33

18 to 34 21% 2% 0% 77% 72 35 to 49 1% 5% 5% 89% 89 50 to 64 2% 6% 8% 84% 98 65 and over 3% 7% 6% 84% 67

Male 10% 3% 6% 81% 177 Female 2% 8% 4% 86% 159

High school or less 1% 7% 7% 85% 56 Some college 4% 7% 7% 83% 72 College graduate 11% 3% 3% 84% 153 Post-graduate 0% 12% 7% 82% 53

Attend services 1 or more a week 1% 10% 7% 82% 52 1-2 times a month 12% 8% 14% 66% 29 Less often 7% 4% 4% 84% 116 Never 6% 4% 3% 87% 131

Downeast/Coastal Maine 1% 7% 7% 85% 60 Central Maine 11% 2% 4% 83% 51 Southern Maine 6% 6% 5% 83% 224

Favorability Ratings – Blaine Richardson – Likely Voters

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) SECOND CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 2% 8% 4% 86% 250 SECOND CONG DIST - OCT 2014 5% 4% 11% 79% 320

Registered Democrat 1% 5% 10% 84% 68 Registered Unenrolled/Other 3% 6% 9% 83% 102 Registered Republican 11% 2% 16% 72% 123

Democrat 1% 4% 9% 87% 106 Independent 9% 7% 3% 82% 67 Republican 7% 2% 19% 72% 137

Will Definitely Vote 5% 4% 13% 78% 251 Will Vote Unless Emergency 2% 3% 3% 93% 52

Extremely Interested 8% 6% 16% 70% 134 Very Interested 2% 4% 6% 87% 117 Some/Little Interest 4% 2% 10% 84% 68

Gun Owner 6% 2% 11% 81% 190 Non-Gun Owner 4% 8% 15% 73% 108

Receives Assistance 0% 5% 35% 60% 11 Does Not Receive Assistance 5% 4% 11% 79% 300

2010 LePage Voter 6% 3% 12% 79% 171 2010 Cutler Voter 9% 6% 3% 82% 64 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 7% 15% 76% 39 Did Not Vote in 2010 0% 11% 0% 89% 19

18 to 34 0% 0% 11% 89% 66 35 to 49 5% 3% 11% 81% 93 50 to 64 4% 4% 15% 78% 87 65 and over 12% 10% 9% 69% 70

Male 8% 4% 12% 76% 137 Female 3% 4% 11% 81% 183

High school or less 6% 0% 7% 87% 78 Some college 3% 5% 15% 76% 84 College graduate 7% 7% 10% 76% 88 Post-graduate 4% 4% 15% 78% 68

Attend services 1 or more a week 1% 8% 15% 76% 89 1-2 times a month 23% 0% 10% 66% 31 Less often 4% 4% 14% 79% 89 Never 5% 2% 7% 87% 99

Northern Maine 4% 4% 17% 75% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 11% 2% 9% 78% 59 Central Maine 3% 6% 6% 86% 109

Decided on 2014 Governor Vote – Likely Voters

Definitely Leaning Toward Still Trying To Decided Someone Decide (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 34% 18% 48% 524 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 49% 21% 30% 489 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 58% 16% 26% 622

Registered Democrat 62% 16% 22% 188 Registered Unenrolled/Other 41% 21% 38% 185 Registered Republican 70% 13% 17% 203

Democrat 54% 15% 31% 245 Independent 54% 12% 34% 117 Republican 66% 17% 17% 247

LePage Supporter 71% 14% 15% 271 Cutler Supporter 42% 20% 39% 98 Michaud Supporter 57% 15% 28% 208

Will Definitely Vote 62% 15% 24% 529 Will Vote Unless Emergency 38% 19% 43% 93

Extremely Interested 70% 15% 15% 260 Very Interested 56% 19% 25% 235 Some/Little Interest 37% 10% 53% 126

Gun Owner 61% 15% 24% 332 Non-Gun Owner 54% 17% 29% 260

Receives Assistance 53% 22% 26% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 59% 15% 26% 586

2010 LePage Voter 65% 11% 23% 275 2010 Cutler Voter 53% 24% 23% 157 2010 Mitchell Voter 64% 16% 20% 86 Did Not Vote in 2010 38% 17% 45% 52

18 to 34 45% 18% 38% 131 35 to 49 63% 13% 23% 178 50 to 64 63% 15% 22% 176 65 and over 59% 17% 24% 124

Male 57% 18% 26% 302 Female 59% 14% 27% 321

High school or less 64% 10% 26% 128 Some college 60% 13% 27% 150 College graduate 57% 18% 25% 220 Post-graduate 51% 21% 29% 121

Attend services 1 or more a week 55% 16% 29% 131 1-2 times a month 51% 16% 33% 59 Less often 59% 18% 23% 197 Never 61% 14% 25% 214

Northern Maine 63% 11% 27% 147 Downeast/Coastal Maine 50% 17% 33% 116 Central Maine 62% 17% 22% 149 Southern Maine 56% 18% 26% 210

First Cong. Dist 57% 18% 25% 320 Second Cong. Dist 59% 13% 28% 302

2014 Governor Vote – Likely Voters

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 36% 15% 40% 1% 7% 503 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 38% 12% 40% 10% 482 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 45% 15% 34% 0% 6% 641

Registered Democrat 12% 13% 68% 0% 6% 200 Registered Unenrolled/Other 40% 19% 34% 0% 7% 185 Registered Republican 81% 9% 5% 0% 4% 216

Democrat 11% 16% 68% 0% 5% 263 Independent 34% 31% 23% 0% 11% 116 Republican 86% 8% 4% 0% 3% 249

Definitely Decided 55% 12% 34% 0% 0% 354 Leaning Toward Someone 42% 21% 34% 0% 2% 91 Still Trying To Decide 24% 23% 33% 0% 20% 156

Will Definitely Vote 46% 15% 34% 0% 5% 511 Will Vote Unless Emergency 38% 21% 33% 0% 8% 91 Early Voter 48% 8% 41% 0% 3% 40

Extremely Interested 44% 14% 36% 0% 5% 273 Very Interested 48% 15% 31% 0% 6% 248 Some/Little Interest 39% 19% 34% 0% 7% 120

Gun Owner 60% 13% 23% 0% 4% 337 Non-Gun Owner 24% 18% 50% 0% 8% 274

Receives Assistance 28% 17% 52% 0% 3% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 46% 15% 33% 0% 6% 608

2010 LePage Voter 83% 5% 8% 0% 4% 291 2010 Cutler Voter 8% 40% 48% 0% 5% 157 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 4% 91% 0% 3% 96 Did Not Vote in 2010 27% 27% 38% 0% 8% 44

18 to 34 42% 20% 38% 0% 0% 129 35 to 49 59% 14% 23% 0% 5% 180 50 to 64 36% 17% 39% 0% 7% 185 65 and over 42% 12% 37% 0% 9% 135

Male 52% 18% 24% 0% 6% 306 Female 38% 13% 44% 0% 5% 335

High school or less 60% 5% 28% 0% 6% 133 Some college 47% 19% 26% 0% 8% 156 College graduate 41% 15% 41% 0% 3% 227 Post-graduate 34% 23% 37% 0% 7% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 61% 13% 16% 0% 10% 137 1-2 times a month 56% 24% 16% 0% 3% 60 Less often 40% 12% 42% 0% 7% 198 Never 37% 18% 43% 0% 2% 227

Northern Maine 47% 14% 34% 0% 5% 145 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 16% 31% 0% 9% 119 Central Maine 48% 15% 31% 0% 6% 155 Southern Maine 41% 16% 38% 0% 4% 222

First Cong. Dist 42% 17% 36% 0% 4% 333 Second Cong. Dist 48% 13% 32% 0% 7% 308

2014 Governor Vote – With Leaners – Likely Voters

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 36% 16% 41% 1% 5% 503 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 39% 14% 41% 6% 482 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 45% 16% 35% 0% 4% 639

Registered Democrat 13% 13% 70% 0% 3% 199 Registered Unenrolled/Other 41% 20% 34% 0% 5% 184 Registered Republican 82% 9% 6% 0% 3% 216

Democrat 12% 16% 69% 0% 3% 261 Independent 34% 32% 26% 0% 8% 116 Republican 86% 8% 4% 0% 2% 249

Definitely Decided 55% 12% 34% 0% 0% 354 Leaning Toward Someone 42% 21% 34% 0% 2% 91 Still Trying To Decide 25% 24% 37% 0% 13% 155

Will Definitely Vote 46% 15% 35% 0% 4% 510 Will Vote Unless Emergency 39% 22% 36% 0% 4% 91 Early Voter 50% 8% 43% 0% 0% 39

Extremely Interested 45% 15% 37% 0% 3% 272 Very Interested 48% 16% 32% 0% 4% 247 Some/Little Interest 39% 19% 37% 0% 5% 119

Gun Owner 60% 13% 23% 0% 3% 337 Non-Gun Owner 25% 19% 52% 0% 4% 272

Receives Assistance 28% 17% 52% 0% 3% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 47% 16% 34% 0% 4% 606

2010 LePage Voter 84% 5% 9% 0% 3% 291 2010 Cutler Voter 8% 40% 51% 0% 1% 156 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 4% 91% 0% 2% 96 Did Not Vote in 2010 27% 27% 38% 0% 8% 44

18 to 34 42% 20% 38% 0% 0% 129 35 to 49 59% 14% 24% 0% 3% 179 50 to 64 37% 18% 40% 0% 5% 184 65 and over 43% 12% 38% 0% 7% 135

Male 53% 19% 25% 0% 4% 305 Female 39% 13% 45% 0% 3% 334

High school or less 61% 5% 30% 0% 4% 133 Some college 47% 19% 28% 0% 6% 155 College graduate 41% 15% 42% 0% 1% 226 Post-graduate 34% 24% 37% 0% 5% 123

Attend services 1 or more a week 62% 15% 18% 0% 5% 137 1-2 times a month 56% 24% 16% 0% 3% 60 Less often 40% 12% 44% 0% 4% 197 Never 37% 18% 43% 0% 2% 226

Northern Maine 48% 15% 35% 0% 3% 145 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 16% 34% 0% 5% 119 Central Maine 48% 15% 32% 0% 5% 155 Southern Maine 42% 17% 38% 0% 3% 220

First Cong. Dist 43% 18% 37% 0% 2% 331 Second Cong. Dist 48% 14% 33% 0% 5% 308

2014 Governor Vote – If LePage and Michaud – Likely Voters

Paul LePage Mike Michaud Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 44% 51% 0% 4% 498 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 44% 50% 1% 6% 477 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 50% 43% 2% 4% 641

Registered Democrat 14% 79% 4% 3% 199 Registered Unenrolled/Other 49% 44% 3% 4% 182 Registered Republican 85% 12% 0% 4% 215

Democrat 17% 77% 3% 3% 264 Independent 43% 49% 2% 6% 110 Republican 89% 7% 0% 4% 253

Definitely Decided 58% 39% 2% 0% 349 Leaning Toward Someone 48% 47% 2% 3% 91 Still Trying To Decide 34% 50% 4% 13% 157

LePage Supporter 99% 0% 0% 1% 290 Cutler Supporter 27% 64% 2% 7% 91 Michaud Supporter 0% 94% 6% 0% 224

Extremely Interested 50% 44% 3% 3% 274 Very Interested 54% 38% 3% 5% 246 Some/Little Interest 44% 52% 0% 3% 120

Gun Owner 65% 31% 1% 3% 340 Non-Gun Owner 30% 62% 3% 6% 272

Receives Assistance 43% 34% 20% 3% 22 Does Not Receive Assistance 51% 43% 1% 4% 607

2010 LePage Voter 87% 10% 0% 3% 292 2010 Cutler Voter 16% 76% 4% 5% 151 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 91% 6% 0% 97 Did Not Vote in 2010 37% 57% 0% 6% 47

18 to 34 47% 51% 2% 0% 132 35 to 49 63% 31% 3% 4% 176 50 to 64 43% 49% 3% 5% 184 65 and over 48% 44% 2% 6% 135

Male 59% 35% 2% 4% 304 Female 43% 51% 3% 3% 336

High school or less 63% 31% 2% 4% 131 Some college 51% 39% 4% 6% 155 College graduate 47% 49% 2% 3% 228 Post-graduate 42% 52% 2% 4% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 65% 25% 4% 5% 140 1-2 times a month 65% 29% 0% 6% 58 Less often 44% 50% 1% 5% 201 Never 42% 54% 2% 2% 223

Northern Maine 51% 45% 0% 3% 147 Downeast/Coastal Maine 54% 35% 5% 6% 114 Central Maine 55% 37% 3% 5% 154 Southern Maine 45% 51% 2% 3% 225

First Cong. Dist 48% 47% 2% 3% 333 Second Cong. Dist 52% 40% 3% 4% 308

2014 Governor Vote – If LePage and Cutler – Likely Voters

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 38% 50% 3% 9% 498 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 41% 52% 0% 7% 470 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 48% 47% 1% 4% 625

Registered Democrat 15% 79% 0% 5% 184 Registered Unenrolled/Other 42% 52% 2% 5% 180 Registered Republican 82% 14% 0% 4% 217

Democrat 17% 78% 0% 4% 244 Independent 38% 54% 2% 6% 115 Republican 84% 12% 0% 4% 253

Definitely Decided 57% 40% 1% 2% 344 Leaning Toward Someone 43% 56% 0% 1% 94 Still Trying To Decide 29% 58% 0% 13% 147

LePage Supporter 97% 2% 0% 2% 290 Cutler Supporter 6% 93% 0% 1% 101 Michaud Supporter 5% 91% 0% 3% 202

Extremely Interested 49% 47% 0% 4% 273 Very Interested 52% 44% 0% 4% 235 Some/Little Interest 41% 52% 3% 5% 117

Gun Owner 62% 34% 0% 3% 332 Non-Gun Owner 29% 64% 1% 6% 265

Receives Assistance 37% 60% 0% 3% 21 Does Not Receive Assistance 49% 46% 1% 4% 593

2010 LePage Voter 85% 12% 0% 3% 293 2010 Cutler Voter 12% 84% 2% 2% 155 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 93% 0% 4% 87 Did Not Vote in 2010 28% 62% 0% 9% 40

18 to 34 49% 51% 0% 0% 123 35 to 49 59% 36% 1% 4% 179 50 to 64 38% 55% 1% 6% 182 65 and over 49% 46% 0% 6% 128

Male 54% 43% 0% 3% 305 Female 43% 50% 1% 5% 320

High school or less 63% 34% 0% 4% 128 Some college 52% 42% 0% 6% 152 College graduate 44% 52% 1% 3% 219 Post-graduate 37% 57% 0% 6% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 68% 27% 0% 5% 136 1-2 times a month 60% 39% 0% 1% 59 Less often 40% 52% 1% 6% 196 Never 41% 56% 0% 2% 218

Northern Maine 50% 43% 0% 6% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 49% 3% 3% 119 Central Maine 55% 41% 0% 4% 155 Southern Maine 44% 51% 0% 4% 211

First Cong. Dist 46% 50% 1% 3% 324 Second Cong. Dist 51% 43% 0% 6% 301

2014 Governor Election – Who Will Win – Likely Voters

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud Other DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 31% 7% 43% 0% 19% 526 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 38% 5% 37% 0% 20% 485 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 50% 2% 34% 0% 14% 665

Registered Democrat 29% 3% 52% 0% 16% 202 Registered Unenrolled/Other 47% 3% 37% 0% 14% 195 Registered Republican 76% 2% 11% 0% 11% 220

Democrat 31% 2% 56% 0% 12% 266 Independent 46% 3% 31% 1% 20% 122 Republican 73% 3% 12% 0% 12% 263

Definitely Decided 55% 1% 34% 0% 11% 359 Leaning Toward Someone 44% 8% 27% 1% 20% 97 Still Trying To Decide 42% 3% 36% 0% 19% 164

LePage Supporter 76% 3% 8% 0% 14% 290 Cutler Supporter 46% 7% 36% 0% 12% 101 Michaud Supporter 20% 0% 68% 0% 11% 224

Extremely Interested 54% 2% 33% 0% 11% 283 Very Interested 48% 4% 31% 0% 17% 251 Some/Little Interest 47% 1% 39% 0% 13% 131

Gun Owner 57% 2% 27% 0% 13% 353 Non-Gun Owner 39% 3% 44% 0% 14% 279

Receives Assistance 26% 2% 62% 0% 11% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 51% 3% 32% 0% 14% 628

2010 LePage Voter 74% 2% 13% 0% 11% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 29% 5% 54% 0% 12% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 25% 1% 59% 0% 15% 97 Did Not Vote in 2010 39% 0% 38% 0% 23% 53

18 to 34 42% 3% 43% 0% 11% 137 35 to 49 58% 0% 30% 0% 12% 187 50 to 64 49% 3% 35% 0% 12% 190 65 and over 54% 1% 26% 1% 18% 137

Male 54% 3% 28% 0% 15% 320 Female 47% 2% 39% 0% 12% 344

High school or less 60% 0% 25% 0% 14% 136 Some college 60% 2% 29% 0% 8% 160 College graduate 44% 3% 35% 0% 18% 241 Post-graduate 39% 4% 46% 1% 10% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 58% 2% 16% 1% 23% 141 1-2 times a month 79% 2% 14% 0% 5% 60 Less often 44% 2% 42% 0% 12% 211 Never 45% 3% 42% 0% 9% 232

Northern Maine 45% 2% 41% 1% 11% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 5% 27% 0% 23% 123 Central Maine 58% 0% 34% 0% 8% 160 Southern Maine 51% 3% 31% 0% 14% 230

First Cong. Dist 51% 4% 31% 0% 14% 346 Second Cong. Dist 50% 1% 36% 0% 13% 318

2014 Governor Candidate Who Best Understands People Like You

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud No Diff. DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 41% 19% 28% 3% 8% 665

Registered Democrat 11% 19% 56% 4% 9% 202 Registered Unenrolled/Other 37% 26% 24% 4% 9% 195 Registered Republican 72% 9% 8% 2% 8% 220

Democrat 12% 23% 53% 4% 8% 267 Independent 32% 34% 21% 3% 10% 121 Republican 75% 9% 6% 3% 7% 263

LePage Supporter 88% 4% 1% 2% 5% 290 Cutler Supporter 4% 71% 11% 7% 8% 101 Michaud Supporter 0% 16% 74% 2% 7% 225

Will Definitely Vote 41% 20% 27% 3% 9% 527 Will Vote Unless Emergency 38% 24% 27% 3% 8% 94 Early Voter 49% 3% 40% 5% 3% 44

Extremely Interested 42% 22% 29% 1% 6% 283 Very Interested 41% 18% 27% 6% 8% 251 Some/Little Interest 38% 16% 29% 4% 13% 131

Gun Owner 55% 15% 21% 4% 6% 353 Non-Gun Owner 24% 26% 39% 2% 9% 280

Receives Assistance 27% 22% 42% 6% 3% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 42% 19% 28% 3% 8% 628

2010 LePage Voter 76% 7% 8% 3% 5% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 44% 34% 6% 10% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 13% 81% 1% 2% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 30% 31% 20% 2% 17% 53

18 to 34 40% 27% 20% 1% 12% 137 35 to 49 51% 11% 24% 8% 6% 187 50 to 64 34% 24% 34% 1% 7% 190 65 and over 39% 18% 32% 2% 9% 137

Male 47% 24% 17% 2% 9% 320 Female 35% 14% 39% 4% 8% 344

High school or less 56% 7% 26% 3% 8% 136 Some college 43% 24% 20% 4% 9% 160 College graduate 39% 20% 31% 1% 10% 242 Post-graduate 27% 25% 35% 8% 5% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 54% 9% 22% 3% 12% 141 1-2 times a month 54% 21% 17% 0% 7% 60 Less often 36% 17% 33% 5% 9% 211 Never 36% 27% 31% 3% 3% 232

Northern Maine 42% 14% 32% 4% 7% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 38% 31% 20% 3% 8% 122 Central Maine 44% 19% 24% 3% 9% 160 Southern Maine 41% 16% 32% 2% 9% 230

First Cong. Dist 39% 21% 29% 2% 9% 345 Second Cong. Dist 44% 17% 27% 4% 7% 320

2014 Governor Candidate Is Most Likable

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud No Diff. DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 17% 22% 44% 6% 10% 663

Registered Democrat 5% 18% 65% 3% 9% 201 Registered Unenrolled/Other 13% 28% 47% 4% 9% 195 Registered Republican 36% 19% 26% 5% 14% 219

Democrat 4% 19% 64% 3% 10% 266 Independent 8% 24% 50% 13% 5% 121 Republican 35% 24% 22% 6% 14% 262

LePage Supporter 38% 23% 24% 5% 11% 289 Cutler Supporter 0% 57% 30% 10% 3% 101 Michaud Supporter 0% 9% 80% 3% 7% 224

Will Definitely Vote 18% 23% 43% 5% 11% 527 Will Vote Unless Emergency 10% 25% 46% 12% 6% 93 Early Voter 23% 13% 49% 4% 11% 44

Extremely Interested 22% 20% 45% 5% 8% 282 Very Interested 15% 31% 42% 4% 8% 250 Some/Little Interest 10% 11% 46% 11% 22% 131

Gun Owner 21% 23% 37% 9% 10% 353 Non-Gun Owner 8% 24% 54% 3% 11% 279

Receives Assistance 0% 40% 46% 7% 7% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 18% 22% 44% 6% 11% 627

2010 LePage Voter 33% 20% 32% 5% 11% 298 2010 Cutler Voter 0% 37% 47% 6% 10% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 10% 79% 6% 4% 97 Did Not Vote in 2010 4% 21% 40% 14% 22% 53

18 to 34 14% 25% 40% 10% 11% 137 35 to 49 16% 23% 45% 4% 13% 187 50 to 64 14% 25% 47% 7% 8% 189 65 and over 26% 14% 45% 4% 11% 137

Male 17% 26% 36% 9% 12% 319 Female 18% 19% 51% 3% 9% 344

High school or less 31% 16% 40% 4% 8% 136 Some college 18% 22% 42% 11% 8% 160 College graduate 14% 20% 47% 6% 13% 241 Post-graduate 7% 35% 46% 2% 11% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 32% 17% 36% 6% 9% 140 1-2 times a month 14% 25% 43% 6% 12% 60 Less often 11% 23% 46% 6% 15% 211 Never 14% 25% 48% 6% 7% 232

Northern Maine 20% 15% 47% 11% 7% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 11% 29% 42% 5% 13% 122 Central Maine 23% 23% 39% 4% 11% 160 Southern Maine 15% 23% 47% 4% 11% 228

First Cong. Dist 15% 25% 42% 5% 12% 343 Second Cong. Dist 19% 19% 46% 7% 9% 320

2014 Governor Candidate Who Is Strongest Leader

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud No Diff. DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 47% 14% 26% 1% 11% 664

Registered Democrat 14% 16% 54% 1% 14% 201 Registered Unenrolled/Other 48% 17% 18% 2% 15% 195 Registered Republican 77% 8% 7% 1% 6% 220

Democrat 18% 20% 47% 2% 14% 267 Independent 37% 19% 29% 2% 14% 121 Republican 82% 7% 4% 1% 6% 263

LePage Supporter 91% 1% 0% 2% 6% 290 Cutler Supporter 14% 60% 15% 0% 11% 101 Michaud Supporter 9% 12% 67% 1% 10% 225

Will Definitely Vote 47% 16% 24% 1% 12% 527 Will Vote Unless Emergency 47% 10% 32% 2% 9% 94 Early Voter 51% 8% 39% 0% 2% 43

Extremely Interested 46% 17% 28% 2% 7% 283 Very Interested 52% 15% 23% 1% 10% 251 Some/Little Interest 42% 8% 28% 1% 20% 130

Gun Owner 59% 11% 21% 1% 8% 352 Non-Gun Owner 30% 19% 35% 2% 14% 280

Receives Assistance 25% 20% 36% 7% 12% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 48% 14% 26% 1% 11% 628

2010 LePage Voter 81% 4% 7% 1% 7% 298 2010 Cutler Voter 15% 32% 40% 1% 12% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 8% 13% 68% 2% 10% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 39% 22% 15% 3% 22% 53

18 to 34 44% 13% 26% 1% 16% 137 35 to 49 59% 9% 20% 2% 10% 187 50 to 64 39% 23% 29% 0% 8% 190 65 and over 45% 13% 29% 2% 11% 137

Male 53% 17% 16% 2% 11% 320 Female 41% 12% 35% 1% 11% 344

High school or less 58% 6% 24% 0% 13% 136 Some college 50% 14% 20% 3% 13% 160 College graduate 45% 15% 28% 1% 11% 242 Post-graduate 36% 24% 33% 0% 7% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 59% 14% 13% 1% 13% 141 1-2 times a month 62% 17% 15% 4% 2% 60 Less often 44% 12% 30% 2% 12% 211 Never 39% 16% 34% 1% 10% 232

Northern Maine 48% 10% 35% 0% 8% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 50% 20% 15% 2% 13% 121 Central Maine 52% 18% 24% 0% 6% 160 Southern Maine 42% 12% 27% 3% 16% 230

First Cong. Dist 44% 16% 25% 2% 13% 345 Second Cong. Dist 51% 13% 27% 1% 8% 319

2014 Governor Candidate Most Effective At Managing Budget

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud No Diff. DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 47% 17% 25% 1% 9% 666

Registered Democrat 14% 18% 53% 2% 12% 202 Registered Unenrolled/Other 46% 20% 22% 1% 11% 195 Registered Republican 79% 10% 5% 0% 6% 220

Democrat 16% 23% 49% 1% 11% 267 Independent 36% 29% 22% 3% 11% 122 Republican 85% 8% 3% 0% 4% 263

LePage Supporter 94% 2% 0% 1% 3% 290 Cutler Supporter 11% 70% 5% 0% 13% 101 Michaud Supporter 5% 13% 71% 1% 10% 225

Will Definitely Vote 47% 18% 24% 1% 9% 528 Will Vote Unless Emergency 46% 19% 24% 0% 11% 94 Early Voter 50% 10% 37% 0% 3% 44

Extremely Interested 45% 19% 27% 0% 8% 283 Very Interested 50% 16% 25% 1% 8% 251 Some/Little Interest 47% 17% 21% 2% 13% 131

Gun Owner 62% 15% 16% 0% 7% 353 Non-Gun Owner 28% 23% 38% 1% 10% 281

Receives Assistance 37% 12% 37% 5% 8% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 48% 18% 25% 1% 8% 628

2010 LePage Voter 82% 7% 6% 1% 5% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 11% 44% 36% 1% 8% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 6% 12% 68% 1% 13% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 47% 10% 26% 0% 16% 53

18 to 34 46% 13% 28% 0% 13% 137 35 to 49 59% 15% 17% 2% 7% 187 50 to 64 38% 24% 29% 0% 9% 190 65 and over 45% 16% 30% 1% 8% 137

Male 55% 18% 16% 0% 10% 320 Female 40% 17% 33% 1% 9% 345

High school or less 58% 6% 25% 1% 9% 136 Some college 50% 20% 20% 1% 10% 160 College graduate 44% 18% 29% 1% 8% 243 Post-graduate 38% 26% 24% 0% 11% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 62% 14% 13% 1% 10% 141 1-2 times a month 66% 14% 13% 0% 7% 60 Less often 41% 15% 32% 2% 10% 212 Never 40% 23% 29% 0% 7% 232

Northern Maine 47% 17% 27% 0% 9% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 44% 23% 20% 2% 9% 122 Central Maine 52% 17% 22% 1% 8% 160 Southern Maine 46% 16% 28% 0% 10% 231

First Cong. Dist 46% 20% 26% 0% 8% 346 Second Cong. Dist 49% 15% 24% 1% 10% 320

2014 Governor Candidate Best Able To Work With Both Parties

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud No Diff. DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 22% 34% 31% 3% 9% 662

Registered Democrat 3% 31% 56% 1% 8% 202 Registered Unenrolled/Other 13% 47% 27% 6% 7% 195 Registered Republican 44% 27% 12% 4% 12% 218

Democrat 6% 32% 53% 1% 7% 267 Independent 19% 48% 27% 1% 4% 120 Republican 39% 31% 10% 7% 14% 261

LePage Supporter 45% 27% 9% 7% 12% 288 Cutler Supporter 6% 79% 13% 0% 2% 101 Michaud Supporter 1% 24% 70% 0% 4% 225

Will Definitely Vote 21% 34% 31% 3% 10% 525 Will Vote Unless Emergency 22% 41% 30% 1% 6% 94 Early Voter 29% 16% 40% 8% 7% 44

Extremely Interested 25% 32% 31% 4% 8% 282 Very Interested 20% 35% 34% 4% 7% 249 Some/Little Interest 18% 38% 28% 2% 15% 130

Gun Owner 29% 36% 22% 4% 9% 351 Non-Gun Owner 13% 34% 44% 2% 7% 280

Receives Assistance 2% 25% 53% 16% 5% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 23% 35% 30% 3% 9% 626

2010 LePage Voter 40% 27% 13% 7% 13% 296 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 54% 36% 0% 5% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 28% 71% 1% 1% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 17% 34% 35% 0% 14% 53

18 to 34 24% 47% 18% 0% 12% 137 35 to 49 26% 36% 24% 5% 8% 187 50 to 64 18% 31% 39% 5% 7% 190 65 and over 21% 22% 43% 3% 11% 136

Male 23% 38% 24% 3% 12% 318 Female 21% 30% 38% 4% 7% 344

High school or less 28% 28% 28% 2% 15% 136 Some college 27% 36% 28% 3% 6% 158 College graduate 19% 31% 36% 4% 11% 242 Post-graduate 14% 45% 31% 6% 3% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 27% 31% 24% 4% 14% 140 1-2 times a month 25% 45% 18% 4% 8% 60 Less often 20% 28% 40% 3% 11% 211 Never 20% 41% 31% 4% 5% 231

Northern Maine 21% 33% 30% 6% 10% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 18% 44% 25% 3% 10% 121 Central Maine 31% 31% 28% 3% 7% 160 Southern Maine 18% 32% 38% 3% 9% 229

First Cong. Dist 20% 36% 32% 3% 10% 342 Second Cong. Dist 24% 32% 31% 4% 9% 320

2014 Governor Candidate Best Able To Handle Mill Closures

Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud No Diff. DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 33% 12% 32% 4% 19% 664

Registered Democrat 10% 10% 59% 3% 17% 201 Registered Unenrolled/Other 29% 14% 33% 4% 20% 195 Registered Republican 57% 11% 11% 3% 18% 219

Democrat 10% 13% 56% 3% 18% 267 Independent 30% 14% 34% 4% 18% 121 Republican 59% 10% 7% 4% 20% 262

LePage Supporter 70% 5% 4% 4% 17% 290 Cutler Supporter 7% 45% 22% 3% 23% 100 Michaud Supporter 1% 7% 76% 4% 12% 225

Will Definitely Vote 31% 13% 32% 4% 20% 527 Will Vote Unless Emergency 39% 8% 32% 1% 19% 94 Early Voter 39% 6% 38% 0% 16% 43

Extremely Interested 32% 16% 34% 2% 15% 282 Very Interested 33% 12% 32% 5% 18% 251 Some/Little Interest 34% 1% 30% 4% 30% 130

Gun Owner 45% 12% 22% 4% 17% 352 Non-Gun Owner 19% 12% 47% 3% 20% 280

Receives Assistance 36% 11% 37% 7% 9% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 33% 12% 32% 4% 19% 627

2010 LePage Voter 61% 4% 12% 4% 19% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 6% 26% 45% 3% 20% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 1% 5% 75% 7% 12% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 31% 6% 35% 3% 26% 53

18 to 34 29% 13% 30% 0% 27% 137 35 to 49 47% 7% 26% 4% 16% 187 50 to 64 26% 16% 35% 6% 17% 189 65 and over 30% 9% 39% 3% 18% 137

Male 36% 11% 22% 4% 26% 320 Female 30% 12% 42% 3% 13% 344

High school or less 35% 3% 33% 3% 26% 136 Some college 37% 14% 23% 4% 21% 160 College graduate 32% 12% 34% 3% 19% 242 Post-graduate 28% 18% 40% 4% 10% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 40% 17% 19% 3% 22% 140 1-2 times a month 52% 10% 15% 4% 18% 60 Less often 28% 9% 40% 5% 18% 211 Never 28% 12% 38% 3% 20% 232

Northern Maine 26% 9% 35% 3% 27% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 29% 18% 25% 6% 22% 121 Central Maine 40% 12% 37% 2% 10% 160 Southern Maine 35% 10% 32% 4% 19% 229

First Cong. Dist 33% 15% 30% 4% 19% 344 Second Cong. Dist 33% 8% 35% 4% 20% 319

Decided on 2014 Senate Vote – Likely Voters

Definitely Leaning Toward Still Trying To Decided Someone Decide (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 16% 13% 71% 517 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 37% 12% 51% 481 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 46% 10% 45% 614

Registered Democrat 42% 14% 44% 185 Registered Unenrolled/Other 42% 6% 52% 180 Registered Republican 56% 12% 33% 202

Democrat 42% 11% 46% 239 Independent 38% 5% 56% 117 Republican 53% 10% 36% 246

Will Definitely Vote 50% 10% 41% 525 Will Vote Unless Emergency 23% 10% 68% 89

Extremely Interested 51% 17% 32% 260 Very Interested 51% 4% 45% 234 Some/Little Interest 24% 4% 72% 120

Gun Owner 49% 9% 43% 329 Non-Gun Owner 44% 9% 48% 256

Receives Assistance 51% 0% 49% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 46% 10% 44% 578

2010 LePage Voter 52% 8% 40% 275 2010 Cutler Voter 41% 12% 46% 156 2010 Mitchell Voter 56% 14% 30% 82 Did Not Vote in 2010 11% 12% 77% 49

18 to 34 23% 12% 65% 124 35 to 49 47% 10% 43% 178 50 to 64 56% 8% 36% 176 65 and over 53% 9% 38% 123

Male 48% 11% 42% 297 Female 44% 9% 47% 317

High school or less 43% 13% 44% 128 Some college 42% 6% 52% 150 College graduate 41% 12% 46% 217 Post-graduate 61% 6% 33% 117

Attend services 1 or more a week 47% 14% 39% 130 1-2 times a month 50% 5% 46% 59 Less often 45% 9% 45% 191 Never 43% 10% 48% 214

Northern Maine 45% 6% 49% 147 Downeast/Coastal Maine 50% 14% 37% 116 Central Maine 47% 11% 42% 146 Southern Maine 43% 9% 48% 206

First Cong. Dist 45% 11% 44% 316 Second Cong. Dist 46% 9% 45% 298

2014 Senate Vote – Likely Voters

Susan Collins Shenna Bellows Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 72% 17% 1% 10% 495 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 59% 29% 0% 11% 469 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 63% 29% 0% 8% 617

Registered Democrat 38% 56% 0% 6% 191 Registered Unenrolled/Other 64% 27% 1% 8% 178 Registered Republican 85% 6% 0% 10% 212

Democrat 37% 56% 0% 7% 245 Independent 65% 26% 1% 8% 108 Republican 87% 6% 0% 8% 251

Definitely Decided 73% 25% 0% 2% 275 Leaning Toward Someone 51% 39% 0% 10% 59 Still Trying To Decide 56% 28% 0% 16% 238

Will Definitely Vote 62% 29% 0% 9% 501 Will Vote Unless Emergency 76% 16% 1% 8% 75 Early Voter 52% 47% 0% 1% 41

Extremely Interested 57% 36% 0% 8% 274 Very Interested 62% 30% 0% 8% 230 Some/Little Interest 79% 10% 1% 10% 111

Gun Owner 73% 20% 0% 7% 326 Non-Gun Owner 49% 43% 0% 7% 263

Receives Assistance 57% 40% 0% 3% 19 Does Not Receive Assistance 63% 29% 0% 8% 590

2010 LePage Voter 84% 7% 0% 8% 280 2010 Cutler Voter 42% 49% 1% 9% 150 2010 Mitchell Voter 27% 71% 0% 2% 90 Did Not Vote in 2010 68% 26% 0% 6% 45

18 to 34 63% 26% 0% 11% 111 35 to 49 67% 24% 1% 9% 181 50 to 64 60% 33% 0% 6% 181 65 and over 61% 31% 0% 7% 130

Male 64% 27% 0% 9% 292 Female 62% 31% 0% 7% 324

High school or less 65% 16% 1% 18% 123 Some college 69% 23% 0% 8% 156 College graduate 59% 35% 0% 5% 217 Post-graduate 57% 39% 0% 4% 119

Attend services 1 or more a week 66% 18% 0% 16% 128 1-2 times a month 84% 14% 0% 2% 53 Less often 60% 33% 0% 7% 200 Never 58% 36% 1% 5% 218

Northern Maine 64% 24% 0% 12% 147 Downeast/Coastal Maine 61% 29% 0% 10% 108 Central Maine 64% 28% 0% 8% 146 Southern Maine 62% 33% 1% 5% 215

First Cong. Dist 60% 33% 1% 6% 326 Second Cong. Dist 66% 25% 0% 10% 291

2014 Senate Vote – Likely Voters – With Leaners

Susan Collins Shenna Bellows Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 61% 31% 0% 7% 469 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 65% 30% 0% 4% 616

Registered Democrat 40% 57% 0% 2% 191 Registered Unenrolled/Other 66% 30% 1% 4% 178 Registered Republican 88% 6% 0% 7% 212

Democrat 39% 58% 0% 3% 244 Independent 65% 27% 1% 7% 107 Republican 89% 6% 0% 5% 251

Definitely Decided 73% 25% 0% 1% 275 Leaning Toward Someone 61% 39% 0% 1% 59 Still Trying To Decide 59% 32% 0% 9% 238

Will Definitely Vote 64% 31% 0% 5% 501 Will Vote Unless Emergency 80% 16% 1% 3% 75 Early Voter 53% 47% 0% 0% 41

Extremely Interested 59% 37% 0% 4% 274 Very Interested 63% 32% 0% 5% 230 Some/Little Interest 83% 11% 1% 4% 111

Gun Owner 74% 20% 0% 6% 325 Non-Gun Owner 52% 45% 0% 3% 263

Receives Assistance 57% 40% 0% 3% 19 Does Not Receive Assistance 65% 30% 0% 4% 590

2010 LePage Voter 87% 8% 0% 6% 280 2010 Cutler Voter 44% 52% 1% 3% 150 2010 Mitchell Voter 28% 71% 0% 1% 90 Did Not Vote in 2010 68% 28% 0% 4% 45

18 to 34 68% 29% 0% 4% 111 35 to 49 68% 25% 1% 6% 181 50 to 64 61% 35% 0% 3% 181 65 and over 63% 32% 0% 4% 130

Male 67% 28% 0% 5% 292 Female 63% 33% 0% 4% 324

High school or less 71% 16% 1% 12% 123 Some college 69% 27% 0% 4% 155 College graduate 62% 37% 0% 1% 217 Post-graduate 57% 39% 0% 4% 119

Attend services 1 or more a week 71% 18% 0% 10% 128 1-2 times a month 84% 14% 0% 2% 53 Less often 62% 35% 0% 2% 199 Never 59% 37% 1% 4% 218

Northern Maine 69% 26% 0% 4% 147 Downeast/Coastal Maine 64% 29% 0% 7% 108 Central Maine 65% 31% 0% 4% 146 Southern Maine 62% 34% 1% 3% 215

First Cong. Dist 62% 34% 1% 4% 325 Second Cong. Dist 68% 27% 0% 5% 291

2014 Congressional District 1 Vote– Likely Voters

Isaac Misiuk Chellie Pingree Richard Murphy Other Undecided (N=) FIRST CONG DIST – JUNE 2014 22% 56% 2% 20% 227 FIRST CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 13% 66% 5% 17% 212 FIRST CONG DIST - OCT 2014 17% 55% 9% 1% 18% 284

Registered Democrat 1% 83% 4% 2% 9% 119 Registered Unenrolled/Other 9% 48% 18% 1% 25% 73 Registered Republican 47% 14% 12% 1% 26% 77

Democrat 1% 85% 6% 2% 6% 136 Independent 5% 61% 16% 1% 17% 37 Republican 41% 15% 12% 0% 32% 108

LePage Supporter 38% 19% 9% 1% 33% 108 Cutler Supporter 2% 62% 28% 0% 9% 48 Michaud Supporter 2% 88% 2% 2% 4% 113

Extremely Interested 17% 55% 11% 2% 15% 134 Very Interested 17% 55% 7% 1% 20% 111 Some/Little Interest 15% 54% 8% 1% 21% 40

Gun Owner 26% 34% 12% 1% 26% 126 Non-Gun Owner 7% 74% 6% 2% 12% 149

Receives Assistance 21% 60% 0% 0% 18% 11 Does Not Receive Assistance 17% 55% 9% 1% 18% 270

2010 LePage Voter 41% 21% 10% 1% 27% 97 2010 Cutler Voter 2% 71% 11% 0% 16% 91 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 91% 5% 1% 2% 57 Did Not Vote in 2010 18% 45% 18% 1% 18% 21

18 to 34 11% 61% 10% 4% 15% 56 35 to 49 24% 45% 12% 0% 19% 75 50 to 64 13% 57% 9% 1% 21% 86 65 and over 18% 57% 7% 2% 17% 59

Male 16% 46% 13% 2% 24% 142 Female 18% 63% 5% 1% 12% 142

High school or less 24% 43% 9% 0% 24% 46 Some college 26% 40% 12% 0% 21% 62 College graduate 11% 58% 12% 2% 17% 126 Post-graduate 15% 74% 0% 0% 11% 49

Attend services 1 or more a week 22% 41% 15% 2% 20% 43 1-2 times a month 36% 30% 14% 0% 20% 26 Less often 13% 62% 4% 3% 17% 93 Never 12% 60% 10% 0% 17% 117

Downeast/Coastal Maine 22% 43% 13% 0% 23% 59 Central Maine 11% 63% 5% 1% 20% 45 Southern Maine 17% 56% 9% 2% 16% 180

2014 Congressional District 1 Vote– Likely Voters – With Leaners

Isaac Misiuk Chellie Pingree Richard Murphy Other Undecided (N=) FIRST CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 15% 69% 5% 12% 212 FIRST CONG DIST - OCT 2014 19% 57% 10% 1% 13% 283

Registered Democrat 2% 84% 4% 2% 7% 119 Registered Unenrolled/Other 9% 49% 18% 1% 23% 73 Registered Republican 55% 17% 12% 1% 15% 76

Democrat 2% 87% 6% 2% 3% 136 Independent 5% 61% 16% 1% 17% 37 Republican 47% 17% 12% 0% 24% 106

LePage Supporter 44% 20% 10% 1% 26% 107 Cutler Supporter 2% 67% 28% 0% 4% 48 Michaud Supporter 2% 90% 2% 2% 3% 113

Extremely Interested 20% 57% 11% 2% 10% 134 Very Interested 18% 57% 7% 1% 17% 109 Some/Little Interest 19% 55% 8% 1% 16% 39

Gun Owner 30% 36% 13% 1% 20% 125 Non-Gun Owner 8% 76% 6% 2% 9% 149

Receives Assistance 31% 65% 0% 0% 3% 11 Does Not Receive Assistance 18% 57% 9% 1% 14% 268

2010 LePage Voter 46% 22% 10% 1% 20% 96 2010 Cutler Voter 2% 73% 11% 0% 14% 91 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 93% 5% 1% 1% 57 Did Not Vote in 2010 25% 47% 18% 1% 9% 21

18 to 34 14% 61% 10% 4% 12% 56 35 to 49 25% 47% 12% 0% 16% 75 50 to 64 14% 61% 9% 1% 15% 85 65 and over 20% 58% 8% 2% 12% 59

Male 20% 47% 13% 2% 19% 142 Female 18% 67% 6% 1% 8% 141

High school or less 26% 47% 9% 0% 18% 46 Some college 30% 42% 12% 0% 16% 62 College graduate 11% 60% 12% 2% 14% 126 Post-graduate 19% 77% 0% 0% 4% 48

Attend services 1 or more a week 26% 45% 16% 2% 12% 42 1-2 times a month 36% 36% 14% 0% 13% 26 Less often 13% 64% 4% 3% 16% 93 Never 15% 60% 11% 0% 13% 116

Downeast/Coastal Maine 22% 47% 14% 0% 17% 58 Central Maine 16% 63% 5% 1% 15% 45 Southern Maine 19% 58% 9% 2% 12% 180

2014 Congressional District 2 Vote – Likely Voters

Bruce Poliquin Emily Cain Blaine Richardson Other Undecided (N=) SECOND CONG DIST - JUNE 2014 39% 44% 0% 17% 222 SECOND CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 40% 30% 3% 0% 26% 220 SECOND CONG DIST - OCT 2014 39% 38% 8% 1% 13% 292

Registered Democrat 4% 81% 6% 1% 8% 65 Registered Unenrolled/Other 23% 41% 17% 0% 19% 87 Registered Republican 73% 9% 4% 3% 12% 116

Democrat 6% 76% 6% 2% 9% 96 Independent 24% 39% 19% 1% 18% 61 Republican 72% 8% 5% 1% 15% 129

LePage Supporter 77% 5% 2% 2% 14% 139 Cutler Supporter 17% 46% 30% 0% 8% 39 Michaud Supporter 0% 85% 5% 0% 9% 94

Extremely Interested 50% 37% 5% 0% 8% 132 Very Interested 32% 39% 14% 1% 14% 100 Some/Little Interest 26% 41% 5% 5% 23% 60

Gun Owner 48% 35% 8% 2% 8% 178 Non-Gun Owner 18% 48% 10% 0% 23% 96

Receives Assistance 46% 35% 7% 0% 13% 8 Does Not Receive Assistance 39% 38% 8% 1% 13% 281

2010 LePage Voter 62% 16% 5% 2% 15% 158 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 71% 17% 2% 5% 58 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 86% 2% 1% 10% 38 Did Not Vote in 2010 33% 32% 29% 0% 7% 15

18 to 34 41% 38% 6% 0% 14% 55 35 to 49 55% 27% 6% 0% 13% 90 50 to 64 27% 49% 8% 4% 12% 81 65 and over 32% 41% 13% 1% 13% 65

Male 42% 31% 10% 3% 14% 127 Female 37% 44% 6% 0% 13% 166

High school or less 45% 32% 6% 1% 16% 66 Some college 36% 42% 7% 4% 11% 83 College graduate 46% 39% 8% 1% 6% 77 Post-graduate 28% 39% 11% 0% 22% 66

Attend services 1 or more a week 59% 21% 6% 1% 13% 84 1-2 times a month 47% 13% 10% 0% 30% 27 Less often 26% 50% 9% 0% 15% 83 Never 28% 52% 9% 3% 7% 87

Northern Maine 42% 40% 8% 2% 8% 144 Downeast/Coastal Maine 40% 33% 4% 1% 22% 51 Central Maine 34% 39% 10% 1% 16% 98

2014 Congressional District 2 Vote – Likely Voters – With Leaners

Bruce Poliquin Emily Cain Blaine Richardson Other Undecided (N=) SECOND CONG DIST - SEPT 2014 43% 33% 5% 0% 18% 219 SECOND CONG DIST - OCT 2014 41% 40% 8% 1% 9% 291

Registered Democrat 4% 82% 6% 1% 8% 65 Registered Unenrolled/Other 28% 43% 17% 0% 12% 87 Registered Republican 74% 11% 4% 3% 9% 116

Democrat 6% 77% 6% 2% 9% 96 Independent 31% 42% 19% 1% 8% 61 Republican 75% 10% 5% 1% 10% 128

LePage Supporter 81% 8% 2% 2% 7% 139 Cutler Supporter 17% 50% 30% 0% 3% 39 Michaud Supporter 0% 86% 5% 0% 8% 94

Extremely Interested 52% 39% 5% 0% 4% 130 Very Interested 33% 42% 14% 1% 10% 100 Some/Little Interest 33% 41% 5% 5% 16% 60

Gun Owner 48% 36% 8% 2% 7% 178 Non-Gun Owner 24% 53% 10% 0% 13% 94

Receives Assistance 46% 35% 7% 0% 13% 8 Does Not Receive Assistance 42% 40% 8% 1% 9% 279

2010 LePage Voter 67% 19% 5% 2% 7% 156 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 72% 17% 2% 4% 58 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 86% 2% 1% 10% 38 Did Not Vote in 2010 33% 32% 29% 0% 7% 15

18 to 34 49% 38% 6% 0% 7% 55 35 to 49 55% 29% 6% 0% 10% 90 50 to 64 28% 49% 8% 4% 12% 81 65 and over 35% 46% 13% 1% 5% 63

Male 47% 32% 10% 3% 7% 125 Female 37% 46% 6% 0% 10% 166

High school or less 54% 35% 6% 1% 5% 66 Some college 37% 44% 7% 4% 9% 83 College graduate 48% 40% 9% 1% 3% 75 Post-graduate 28% 41% 11% 0% 20% 66

Attend services 1 or more a week 62% 25% 6% 1% 6% 82 1-2 times a month 66% 15% 10% 0% 9% 27 Less often 26% 52% 9% 0% 14% 83 Never 29% 52% 9% 3% 7% 87

Northern Maine 44% 41% 8% 2% 5% 144 Downeast/Coastal Maine 48% 35% 4% 1% 12% 51 Central Maine 34% 42% 10% 1% 13% 96

Knowledge of Bear Trapping Referendum – Likely Voters

A Great A Fair Only A Nothing Deal Amount Little At All Don’t Know (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 18% 22% 30% 30% 0% 527 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 37% 29% 25% 8% 0% 489 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 64% 23% 11% 1% 1% 667

Registered Democrat 61% 26% 10% 2% 0% 203 Registered Unenrolled/Other 58% 26% 13% 1% 2% 195 Registered Republican 74% 14% 10% 1% 0% 220

Democrat 56% 28% 14% 2% 1% 267 Independent 67% 23% 8% 2% 0% 123 Republican 72% 18% 9% 1% 0% 263

Will Definitely Vote 64% 23% 11% 1% 0% 529 Will Vote Unless Emergency 60% 28% 10% 2% 0% 94 Early Voter 78% 9% 6% 1% 7% 44

Extremely Interested 68% 20% 10% 2% 0% 284 Very Interested 64% 26% 8% 1% 1% 252 Some/Little Interest 59% 22% 17% 2% 0% 131

Gun Owner 72% 20% 7% 1% 0% 353 Non-Gun Owner 56% 27% 13% 2% 1% 281

Receives Assistance 62% 13% 18% 7% 0% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 65% 23% 10% 1% 1% 629

2010 LePage Voter 69% 23% 7% 1% 0% 299 2010 Cutler Voter 60% 31% 8% 1% 0% 160 2010 Mitchell Voter 67% 18% 12% 0% 3% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 47% 16% 34% 4% 0% 53

18 to 34 57% 23% 18% 0% 2% 137 35 to 49 67% 21% 10% 2% 0% 187 50 to 64 68% 22% 10% 1% 0% 190 65 and over 66% 25% 5% 2% 1% 137

Male 61% 27% 12% 1% 0% 322 Female 68% 19% 10% 2% 1% 345

High school or less 65% 21% 12% 2% 0% 136 Some college 61% 26% 10% 3% 0% 160 College graduate 67% 19% 11% 1% 2% 243 Post-graduate 63% 28% 9% 0% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 65% 20% 13% 1% 1% 141 1-2 times a month 63% 27% 6% 3% 0% 60 Less often 69% 18% 12% 1% 0% 212 Never 61% 28% 9% 1% 1% 232

Northern Maine 77% 12% 9% 2% 0% 152 Downeast/Coastal Maine 56% 35% 8% 1% 0% 123 Central Maine 70% 21% 7% 1% 1% 160 Southern Maine 56% 25% 15% 2% 1% 231

First Cong. Dist 59% 25% 13% 1% 1% 347 Second Cong. Dist 70% 21% 8% 2% 0% 320

Vote on Bear Referendum – Likely Voters

For Against Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE – JUNE 2014 48% 44% 8% 450 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 41% 53% 6% 441 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 36% 57% 7% 631

Registered Democrat 54% 41% 5% 188 Registered Unenrolled/Other 32% 58% 10% 178 Registered Republican 24% 69% 7% 216

Democrat 50% 44% 6% 247 Independent 41% 54% 5% 117 Republican 20% 72% 8% 256

Heard A Great Deal 34% 61% 5% 418 Heard A Fair Amount 44% 49% 7% 145 Heard Only A Little 37% 54% 10% 56 Heard Nothing At All 46% 40% 14% 8

Will Definitely Vote 38% 56% 6% 496 Will Vote Unless Emergency 30% 62% 8% 92 Early Voter 26% 63% 11% 43

Extremely Interested 36% 60% 4% 270 Very Interested 38% 53% 9% 236 Some/Little Interest 35% 57% 7% 124

Gun Owner 29% 65% 6% 340 Non-Gun Owner 48% 46% 7% 260

2010 LePage Voter 24% 71% 5% 291 2010 Cutler Voter 51% 44% 6% 151 2010 Mitchell Voter 54% 35% 11% 92 Did Not Vote in 2010 33% 64% 3% 45

18 to 34 19% 71% 10% 127 35 to 49 30% 65% 5% 179 50 to 64 44% 49% 7% 182 65 and over 49% 46% 5% 133

Male 29% 67% 4% 310 Female 44% 47% 9% 321

High school or less 32% 65% 2% 133 Some college 30% 64% 5% 154 College graduate 38% 52% 9% 223 Post-graduate 45% 48% 8% 118

Attend services 1 or more a week 34% 57% 9% 136 1-2 times a month 12% 79% 8% 59 Less often 43% 55% 3% 198 Never 37% 54% 9% 218

Northern Maine 34% 61% 5% 149 Downeast/Coastal Maine 39% 58% 3% 116 Central Maine 34% 59% 7% 151 Southern Maine 38% 52% 9% 215

First Cong. Dist 38% 55% 7% 325 Second Cong. Dist 35% 60% 6% 306

Generic Vote for Maine House – Likely Voters

Republican Democrat Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 32% 39% 1% 28% 455 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 36% 36% 2% 26% 643

Registered Democrat 4% 72% 1% 23% 193 Registered Unenrolled/Other 28% 32% 3% 38% 188 Registered Republican 78% 7% 1% 14% 214

Democrat 3% 71% 1% 24% 256 Independent 19% 28% 5% 48% 117 Republican 78% 6% 0% 15% 257

Heard A Great Deal 41% 32% 2% 25% 411 Heard A Fair Amount 29% 44% 3% 25% 152 Heard Only A Little 30% 41% 0% 28% 67 Heard Nothing At All 20% 44% 0% 36% 9

Extremely Interested 41% 39% 1% 19% 280 Very Interested 37% 33% 2% 28% 244 Some/Little Interest 26% 35% 4% 36% 118

Gun Owner 48% 27% 1% 24% 341 Non-Gun Owner 20% 51% 2% 27% 270

Receives Assistance 33% 49% 0% 18% 22 Does Not Receive Assistance 37% 36% 1% 26% 608

2010 LePage Voter 61% 13% 2% 24% 293 2010 Cutler Voter 14% 55% 3% 29% 157 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 82% 1% 14% 97 Did Not Vote in 2010 40% 40% 0% 20% 46

18 to 34 30% 40% 2% 29% 129 35 to 49 45% 29% 1% 25% 184 50 to 64 30% 41% 2% 27% 184 65 and over 39% 37% 2% 22% 133

Male 43% 31% 2% 24% 310 Female 30% 41% 2% 27% 333

High school or less 49% 28% 2% 21% 130 Some college 39% 25% 1% 36% 157 College graduate 31% 43% 2% 23% 234 Post-graduate 30% 46% 2% 22% 120

Attend services 1 or more a week 56% 19% 1% 25% 137 1-2 times a month 41% 18% 6% 35% 60 Less often 26% 43% 2% 29% 202 Never 33% 48% 1% 19% 224

Northern Maine 46% 29% 1% 24% 148 Downeast/Coastal Maine 34% 38% 2% 26% 121 Central Maine 39% 35% 2% 24% 158 Southern Maine 29% 41% 3% 27% 215

First Cong. Dist 33% 42% 2% 22% 330 Second Cong. Dist 40% 30% 1% 29% 313

Generic Vote for Maine House – With Leaners - Likely Voters

Republican Democrat Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 35% 42% 1% 22% 453 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 39% 39% 2% 20% 642

Registered Democrat 5% 75% 1% 18% 193 Registered Unenrolled/Other 31% 37% 3% 29% 188 Registered Republican 80% 7% 1% 12% 214

Democrat 3% 76% 1% 19% 256 Independent 25% 32% 6% 37% 117 Republican 82% 7% 0% 11% 257

Will Definitely Vote 40% 38% 2% 19% 517 Will Vote Unless Emergency 28% 38% 0% 33% 90 Early Voter 47% 53% 1% 0% 35

Extremely Interested 43% 41% 1% 14% 279 Very Interested 41% 36% 2% 21% 244 Some/Little Interest 26% 40% 4% 30% 118

Gun Owner 53% 28% 1% 18% 341 Non-Gun Owner 20% 57% 2% 21% 270

Receives Assistance 33% 49% 0% 18% 22 Does Not Receive Assistance 40% 39% 2% 20% 607

2010 LePage Voter 66% 15% 2% 17% 293 2010 Cutler Voter 15% 57% 3% 25% 157 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 85% 1% 11% 96 Did Not Vote in 2010 40% 47% 0% 13% 46

18 to 34 35% 46% 2% 17% 129 35 to 49 47% 29% 2% 22% 184 50 to 64 33% 45% 2% 20% 184 65 and over 41% 38% 2% 19% 133

Male 48% 35% 2% 15% 309 Female 31% 43% 2% 24% 333

High school or less 52% 32% 2% 14% 129 Some college 41% 29% 2% 28% 157 College graduate 35% 45% 2% 18% 233 Post-graduate 31% 48% 2% 20% 120

Attend services 1 or more a week 60% 21% 1% 18% 137 1-2 times a month 48% 28% 7% 17% 60 Less often 29% 45% 2% 25% 202 Never 33% 50% 1% 16% 224

Northern Maine 47% 29% 1% 23% 148 Downeast/Coastal Maine 40% 42% 2% 16% 121 Central Maine 41% 36% 2% 22% 158 Southern Maine 32% 46% 3% 18% 215

First Cong. Dist 35% 46% 3% 16% 329 Second Cong. Dist 43% 32% 1% 24% 313

Generic Vote for Maine Senate - Likely Voters

Republican Democrat Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 36% 37% 1% 26% 465 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 41% 36% 2% 20% 645

Registered Democrat 13% 69% 1% 18% 192 Registered Unenrolled/Other 28% 39% 4% 29% 192 Registered Republican 82% 4% 1% 12% 213

Democrat 5% 75% 1% 19% 259 Independent 32% 23% 7% 37% 117 Republican 83% 4% 0% 12% 256

Will Definitely Vote 43% 35% 2% 20% 513 Will Vote Unless Emergency 31% 38% 0% 31% 91 Early Voter 46% 50% 1% 3% 41

Extremely Interested 49% 35% 2% 15% 276 Very Interested 40% 36% 2% 23% 244 Some/Little Interest 28% 42% 3% 27% 124

Gun Owner 53% 26% 1% 20% 338 Non-Gun Owner 25% 53% 2% 20% 275

Receives Assistance 32% 58% 3% 8% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 42% 36% 2% 20% 608

2010 LePage Voter 64% 14% 2% 20% 292 2010 Cutler Voter 21% 51% 3% 25% 155 2010 Mitchell Voter 8% 82% 0% 9% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 43% 40% 0% 17% 48

18 to 34 41% 37% 2% 20% 133 35 to 49 52% 26% 1% 21% 181 50 to 64 31% 45% 4% 20% 184 65 and over 42% 38% 1% 19% 133

Male 49% 30% 3% 18% 311 Female 34% 43% 1% 22% 334

High school or less 49% 34% 2% 14% 130 Some college 40% 28% 1% 30% 157 College graduate 42% 40% 2% 16% 232 Post-graduate 33% 43% 2% 21% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 63% 20% 0% 17% 134 1-2 times a month 51% 21% 7% 20% 60 Less often 31% 45% 2% 22% 207 Never 36% 44% 2% 18% 225

Northern Maine 44% 32% 0% 24% 149 Downeast/Coastal Maine 44% 41% 2% 14% 118 Central Maine 50% 27% 2% 22% 157 Southern Maine 32% 44% 4% 20% 220

First Cong. Dist 39% 41% 3% 17% 331 Second Cong. Dist 44% 31% 1% 23% 314

Generic Vote for Maine Senate – With Leaners - Likely Voters

Republican Democrat Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 38% 39% 1% 22% 465 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 43% 39% 2% 16% 643

Registered Democrat 13% 72% 1% 13% 192 Registered Unenrolled/Other 30% 41% 4% 25% 191 Registered Republican 83% 5% 1% 11% 212

Democrat 5% 81% 1% 14% 259 Independent 36% 23% 7% 34% 117 Republican 86% 4% 0% 9% 254

Will Definitely Vote 45% 38% 2% 15% 513 Will Vote Unless Emergency 32% 38% 0% 30% 91 Early Voter 47% 51% 1% 0% 39

Extremely Interested 50% 38% 2% 11% 275 Very Interested 42% 37% 2% 20% 244 Some/Little Interest 30% 44% 3% 23% 124

Gun Owner 55% 26% 1% 17% 336 Non-Gun Owner 25% 57% 2% 15% 275

Receives Assistance 32% 58% 3% 8% 23 Does Not Receive Assistance 44% 38% 2% 17% 607

2010 LePage Voter 67% 15% 2% 16% 291 2010 Cutler Voter 21% 55% 3% 20% 155 2010 Mitchell Voter 8% 82% 0% 9% 98 Did Not Vote in 2010 44% 47% 0% 9% 48

18 to 34 41% 39% 2% 18% 133 35 to 49 54% 29% 1% 16% 181 50 to 64 33% 46% 4% 17% 183 65 and over 44% 39% 1% 16% 132

Male 51% 32% 3% 14% 310 Female 35% 45% 1% 18% 333

High school or less 51% 35% 2% 12% 130 Some college 44% 31% 1% 23% 156 College graduate 43% 42% 2% 13% 232 Post-graduate 33% 45% 2% 20% 123

Attend services 1 or more a week 63% 21% 0% 16% 133 1-2 times a month 56% 22% 7% 15% 60 Less often 33% 48% 2% 17% 206 Never 37% 46% 2% 15% 225

Northern Maine 47% 35% 0% 18% 149 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 41% 2% 13% 117 Central Maine 51% 30% 2% 17% 157 Southern Maine 34% 46% 4% 17% 220

First Cong. Dist 40% 43% 3% 14% 330 Second Cong. Dist 46% 34% 1% 19% 313

Most Important Problem in Maine

Jobs/ Budget/ Health Other/ Education Taxes Governor Econ Welfare Govt. Poverty Care DK (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 6% 6% 12% 37% 12% 8% 4% 3% 13% 601 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 4% 7% 8% 36% 13% 7% 5% 2% 17% 571 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 6% 4% 7% 50% 9% 3% 2% 5% 15% 727

Registered Democrat 7% 4% 13% 51% 1% 3% 2% 10% 10% 211 Registered Unenrolled/Other 4% 4% 6% 47% 10% 3% 4% 3% 18% 210 Registered Republican 1% 5% 2% 58% 12% 5% 0% 2% 15% 226

Democrat 7% 4% 11% 49% 1% 3% 3% 8% 14% 280 Independent 6% 3% 11% 43% 14% 3% 0% 4% 15% 143 Republican 4% 5% 0% 55% 13% 4% 1% 2% 16% 288

Will Definitely Vote 6% 4% 8% 50% 7% 4% 2% 5% 13% 524 Will Vote Unless Emergency 7% 3% 1% 54% 14% 1% 1% 0% 19% 94 Early Voter 0% 2% 6% 54% 8% 7% 1% 11% 11% 44

Extremely Interested 5% 3% 11% 54% 7% 4% 3% 3% 11% 286 Very Interested 7% 4% 5% 50% 9% 4% 1% 6% 12% 264 Some/Little Interest 4% 4% 3% 44% 11% 2% 2% 4% 26% 176

Gun Owner 4% 4% 5% 49% 13% 4% 1% 3% 16% 373 Non-Gun Owner 8% 3% 9% 52% 4% 3% 2% 7% 12% 320

Receives Assistance 9% 0% 10% 45% 3% 3% 2% 6% 23% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 6% 4% 7% 50% 9% 3% 2% 5% 14% 668

2010 LePage Voter 3% 5% 2% 51% 12% 4% 2% 2% 19% 307 2010 Cutler Voter 12% 2% 11% 47% 7% 3% 4% 5% 9% 169 2010 Mitchell Voter 7% 3% 19% 56% 0% 4% 0% 8% 4% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 1% 1% 4% 44% 13% 2% 0% 8% 26% 88

18 to 34 11% 0% 1% 44% 15% 0% 0% 5% 25% 171 35 to 49 6% 4% 3% 55% 8% 2% 5% 5% 13% 195 50 to 64 3% 6% 11% 53% 7% 3% 1% 5% 11% 201 65 and over 3% 4% 13% 50% 4% 9% 2% 4% 12% 145

Male 7% 4% 7% 48% 10% 3% 2% 1% 19% 349 Female 5% 4% 7% 52% 8% 4% 2% 8% 11% 378

High school or less 2% 5% 4% 45% 9% 3% 3% 3% 25% 149 Some college 4% 5% 7% 48% 13% 2% 1% 5% 15% 188 College graduate 8% 2% 8% 54% 7% 5% 1% 6% 9% 262 Post-graduate 8% 3% 9% 56% 4% 2% 4% 2% 12% 124

Attend services 1 or more 7% 5% 8% 50% 5% 7% 1% 4% 13% 150 1-2 times a month 6% 2% 5% 51% 15% 3% 2% 0% 17% 61 Less often 5% 5% 6% 46% 9% 3% 4% 6% 16% 224 Never 5% 3% 7% 54% 9% 2% 1% 5% 14% 268

Northern Maine 1% 3% 5% 53% 13% 0% 2% 3% 19% 163 Downeast/Coastal Maine 10% 5% 9% 43% 5% 7% 2% 2% 16% 131 Central Maine 7% 3% 7% 52% 11% 3% 2% 3% 12% 175 Southern Maine 6% 4% 7% 51% 6% 3% 1% 8% 14% 259

First Cong. Dist 7% 5% 7% 48% 8% 5% 2% 6% 13% 386 Second Cong. Dist 4% 2% 7% 53% 10% 1% 2% 3% 17% 341

Party Registration

Registered Unenrolled/ Registered Democrat Other Republican (N=) STATEWIDE – JUNE 2014 28% 41% 31% 543 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 35% 38% 27% 529 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 32% 33% 35% 653

Democrat 67% 29% 4% 257 Independent 20% 61% 18% 112 Republican 5% 23% 72% 271

Likely Voter 33% 32% 35% 576 Early Voter 36% 24% 40% 42 Non-Likely Voter 26% 50% 25% 35

Extremely Interested 38% 21% 41% 275 Very Interested 32% 37% 31% 237 Some/Little Interest 23% 46% 30% 140

Gun Owner 20% 35% 45% 333 Non-Gun Owner 48% 30% 21% 287

Receives Assistance 35% 55% 10% 34 Does Not Receive Assistance 33% 30% 37% 603

2010 LePage Voter 11% 31% 58% 286 2010 Cutler Voter 45% 39% 15% 150 2010 Mitchell Voter 77% 21% 2% 96 Did Not Vote in 2010 24% 54% 22% 63

18 to 34 18% 53% 29% 126 35 to 49 28% 30% 42% 187 50 to 64 41% 30% 29% 185 65 and over 39% 22% 39% 141

Male 28% 37% 36% 305 Female 36% 29% 34% 348

High school or less 31% 30% 39% 144 Some college 25% 33% 42% 155 College graduate 37% 32% 31% 232 Post-graduate 35% 38% 28% 117

Attend services 1 or more a week 25% 18% 57% 134 1-2 times a month 17% 37% 47% 56 Less often 38% 36% 26% 209 Never 35% 37% 28% 233

Northern Maine 22% 34% 44% 145 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 34% 36% 118 Central Maine 27% 31% 41% 160 Southern Maine 44% 32% 24% 230

First Cong. Dist 41% 30% 29% 346 Second Cong. Dist 23% 36% 41% 307

Party Identification

Democrat Independent Republican (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 41% 24% 35% 594 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 41% 24% 35% 564 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 39% 20% 40% 718

Registered Democrat 82% 11% 7% 209 Registered Unenrolled/Other 36% 33% 30% 207 Registered Republican 5% 9% 86% 225

Likely Voter 40% 19% 40% 610 Early Voter 50% 13% 38% 44 Non-Likely Voter 18% 37% 44% 62

Extremely Interested 41% 13% 45% 284 Very Interested 40% 22% 38% 256 Some/Little Interest 35% 29% 36% 175

Gun Owner 28% 21% 50% 374 Non-Gun Owner 54% 19% 27% 316

Receives Assistance 35% 32% 33% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 39% 19% 41% 663

2010 LePage Voter 16% 16% 67% 307 2010 Cutler Voter 57% 24% 18% 168 2010 Mitchell Voter 85% 13% 2% 101 Did Not Vote in 2010 33% 31% 36% 87

18 to 34 36% 26% 38% 166 35 to 49 33% 18% 49% 197 50 to 64 46% 21% 33% 198 65 and over 42% 16% 41% 145

Male 32% 25% 43% 350 Female 46% 17% 38% 368

High school or less 34% 19% 47% 149 Some college 30% 24% 46% 183 College graduate 42% 21% 37% 263 Post-graduate 54% 15% 32% 120

Attend services 1 or more a week 24% 21% 54% 146 1-2 times a month 19% 21% 59% 62 Less often 50% 17% 32% 224 Never 43% 21% 36% 267

Northern Maine 34% 16% 50% 161 Downeast/Coastal Maine 35% 30% 35% 129 Central Maine 34% 24% 42% 169 Southern Maine 48% 16% 36% 259

First Cong. Dist 44% 19% 37% 386 Second Cong. Dist 33% 22% 44% 332

Likely Voter

Likely Voter Early Voter Non-Likely Voter (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 84% 16% 625 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 83% 17% 591 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 85% 6% 9% 731

Registered Democrat 89% 7% 4% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 87% 5% 8% 213 Registered Republican 89% 7% 4% 228

Democrat 88% 8% 4% 279 Independent 81% 4% 16% 146 Republican 85% 6% 9% 290

Extremely Interested 91% 8% 1% 287 Very Interested 89% 6% 5% 265 Some/Little Interest 71% 2% 27% 178

Gun Owner 88% 6% 6% 376 Non-Gun Owner 81% 6% 13% 321

Receives Assistance 51% 2% 47% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 87% 6% 6% 671

2010 LePage Voter 89% 8% 4% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 92% 2% 5% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 84% 12% 4% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 62% 0% 38% 86

18 to 34 76% 4% 20% 171 35 to 49 90% 5% 5% 197 50 to 64 88% 7% 5% 201 65 and over 84% 9% 7% 148

Male 85% 5% 9% 354 Female 85% 6% 8% 377

High school or less 84% 5% 11% 152 Some college 79% 5% 15% 190 College graduate 85% 9% 7% 261 Post-graduate 97% 3% 0% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 89% 6% 5% 148 1-2 times a month 96% 2% 3% 62 Less often 87% 7% 7% 227 Never 80% 7% 14% 269

Northern Maine 90% 3% 7% 163 Downeast/Coastal Maine 88% 5% 7% 132 Central Maine 87% 6% 7% 173 Southern Maine 80% 8% 12% 263

First Cong. Dist 82% 7% 11% 392 Second Cong. Dist 89% 5% 6% 339

Gun Ownership

Gun Owner Non-Gun Owner (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 54% 46% 607 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 50% 50% 577 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 54% 46% 700

Registered Democrat 33% 67% 205 Registered Unenrolled/Other 57% 43% 203 Registered Republican 71% 29% 211

Democrat 38% 62% 278 Independent 57% 43% 140 Republican 69% 31% 273

Likely Voter 56% 44% 592 Early Voter 50% 50% 41 Non-Likely Voter 36% 64% 63

Extremely Interested 54% 46% 269 Very Interested 56% 44% 257 Some/Little Interest 49% 51% 172

Receives Assistance 37% 63% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 55% 45% 651

2010 LePage Voter 71% 29% 288 2010 Cutler Voter 43% 57% 167 2010 Mitchell Voter 34% 66% 100 Did Not Vote in 2010 49% 51% 89

18 to 34 60% 40% 160 35 to 49 60% 40% 192 50 to 64 51% 49% 197 65 and over 43% 57% 141

Male 59% 41% 337 Female 49% 51% 363

High school or less 57% 43% 141 Some college 59% 41% 181 College graduate 51% 49% 257 Post-graduate 48% 52% 121

Attend services 1 or more a week 50% 50% 141 1-2 times a month 62% 38% 56 Less often 57% 43% 224 Never 51% 49% 267

Northern Maine 68% 32% 153 Downeast/Coastal Maine 56% 44% 128 Central Maine 52% 48% 164 Southern Maine 45% 55% 256

First Cong. Dist 47% 53% 380 Second Cong. Dist 62% 38% 320

Receives Government Assistance (TANF, SNAP, etc.)

Receives Assistance No Assistance (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 8% 92% 601 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 12% 88% 586 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 6% 94% 719

Registered Democrat 6% 94% 209 Registered Unenrolled/Other 9% 91% 202 Registered Republican 1% 99% 226

Democrat 6% 94% 277 Independent 10% 90% 142 Republican 5% 95% 288

Likely Voter 4% 96% 610 Early Voter 2% 98% 43 Non-Likely Voter 34% 66% 63

Extremely Interested 4% 96% 285 Very Interested 4% 96% 258 Some/Little Interest 13% 87% 173

Gun Owner 4% 96% 376 Non-Gun Owner 9% 91% 320

2010 LePage Voter 4% 96% 307 2010 Cutler Voter 4% 96% 163 2010 Mitchell Voter 4% 96% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 17% 83% 89

18 to 34 11% 89% 162 35 to 49 7% 93% 196 50 to 64 3% 97% 203 65 and over 6% 94% 147

Male 7% 93% 346 Female 6% 94% 373

High school or less 8% 92% 147 Some college 9% 91% 187 College graduate 5% 95% 260 Post-graduate 4% 96% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 2% 98% 150 1-2 times a month 5% 95% 59 Less often 7% 93% 225 Never 8% 92% 266

Northern Maine 7% 93% 161 Downeast/Coastal Maine 6% 94% 127 Central Maine 5% 95% 172 Southern Maine 8% 92% 259

First Cong. Dist 7% 93% 386 Second Cong. Dist 5% 95% 333

Age of Respondent

18 to 34 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and Over (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 25% 26% 27% 21% 611 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 24% 27% 28% 20% 580 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 24% 27% 28% 21% 719

Registered Democrat 11% 26% 37% 27% 206 Registered Unenrolled/Other 32% 27% 27% 15% 209 Registered Republican 16% 35% 24% 25% 224

Democrat 21% 24% 33% 22% 277 Independent 30% 25% 29% 17% 144 Republican 22% 34% 23% 21% 286

Likely Voter 21% 29% 29% 20% 610 Early Voter 16% 21% 32% 31% 43 Non-Likely Voter 53% 15% 16% 16% 64

Extremely Interested 19% 24% 36% 21% 282 Very Interested 16% 32% 26% 25% 259 Some/Little Interest 42% 26% 18% 14% 177

Gun Owner 26% 31% 27% 16% 373 Non-Gun Owner 20% 24% 30% 25% 317

Receives Assistance 38% 32% 12% 18% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 22% 27% 30% 21% 662

2010 LePage Voter 18% 36% 25% 21% 307 2010 Cutler Voter 25% 30% 27% 18% 167 2010 Mitchell Voter 15% 12% 43% 30% 99 Did Not Vote in 2010 52% 17% 26% 6% 88

Male 30% 23% 26% 21% 353 Female 18% 32% 30% 20% 367

High school or less 19% 29% 25% 27% 152 Some college 31% 18% 31% 20% 189 College graduate 27% 30% 27% 17% 256 Post-graduate 11% 35% 32% 22% 119

Attend services 1 or more a week 18% 16% 27% 39% 143 1-2 times a month 21% 33% 26% 20% 61 Less often 17% 32% 37% 14% 227 Never 33% 29% 22% 16% 267

Northern Maine 23% 29% 30% 18% 163 Downeast/Coastal Maine 20% 28% 25% 28% 127 Central Maine 19% 30% 29% 23% 171 Southern Maine 29% 25% 28% 18% 259

First Cong. Dist 27% 26% 28% 19% 381 Second Cong. Dist 20% 29% 28% 22% 338

Sex of Respondent

Male Female (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 48% 52% 625 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 48% 52% 592 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 48% 52% 734

Registered Democrat 40% 60% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 52% 48% 213 Registered Republican 48% 52% 228

Democrat 40% 60% 281 Independent 59% 41% 147 Republican 52% 48% 290

Likely Voter 49% 51% 623 Early Voter 44% 56% 44 Non-Likely Voter 50% 50% 64

Extremely Interested 50% 50% 287 Very Interested 43% 57% 267 Some/Little Interest 55% 45% 179

Gun Owner 53% 47% 376 Non-Gun Owner 43% 57% 325

Receives Assistance 52% 48% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 48% 52% 673

2010 LePage Voter 54% 46% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 53% 47% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 29% 71% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 52% 48% 89

18 to 34 61% 39% 171 35 to 49 41% 59% 197 50 to 64 45% 55% 203 65 and over 50% 50% 148

High school or less 64% 36% 152 Some college 50% 50% 190 College graduate 43% 57% 263 Post-graduate 37% 63% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 45% 55% 151 1-2 times a month 54% 46% 62 Less often 47% 53% 227 Never 51% 49% 270

Northern Maine 40% 60% 164 Downeast/Coastal Maine 58% 42% 132 Central Maine 44% 56% 175 Southern Maine 52% 48% 263

First Cong. Dist 53% 47% 392 Second Cong. Dist 43% 57% 342

Highest Level of Education

High School or Less Some College College Graduate Post-Graduate (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 20% 29% 35% 16% 622 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 23% 27% 32% 18% 588 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 21% 26% 36% 17% 729

Registered Democrat 22% 19% 41% 19% 209 Registered Unenrolled/Other 20% 24% 35% 21% 212 Registered Republican 25% 29% 32% 14% 227

Democrat 18% 20% 39% 23% 281 Independent 20% 30% 38% 12% 145 Republican 24% 29% 34% 13% 290

Likely Voter 21% 24% 36% 19% 620 Early Voter 18% 23% 51% 8% 44 Non-Likely Voter 26% 46% 28% 0% 63

Extremely Interested 18% 24% 39% 20% 285 Very Interested 19% 24% 38% 18% 265 Some/Little Interest 28% 33% 28% 11% 177

Gun Owner 21% 28% 35% 15% 376 Non-Gun Owner 19% 23% 39% 20% 324

Receives Assistance 26% 38% 27% 10% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 20% 25% 37% 18% 672

2010 LePage Voter 31% 26% 31% 12% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 11% 20% 44% 24% 169 2010 Mitchell Voter 10% 19% 44% 27% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 16% 39% 38% 7% 88

18 to 34 17% 35% 40% 8% 171 35 to 49 23% 17% 39% 21% 197 50 to 64 19% 29% 34% 19% 203 65 and over 28% 26% 29% 18% 146

Male 28% 27% 32% 13% 353 Female 15% 25% 40% 21% 376

Attend services 1 or more a week 27% 32% 25% 17% 151 1-2 times a month 19% 27% 32% 21% 62 Less often 19% 21% 39% 21% 227 Never 20% 26% 40% 14% 269

Northern Maine 29% 29% 28% 13% 162 Downeast/Coastal Maine 20% 21% 42% 17% 131 Central Maine 21% 20% 32% 27% 175 Southern Maine 16% 30% 41% 13% 262

First Cong. Dist 17% 26% 43% 14% 390 Second Cong. Dist 25% 26% 28% 20% 340

Frequency Attending Religious Services

1 or More a Week 1-2 Times a Month Less Often Never (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 18% 13% 32% 37% 607 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 21% 11% 33% 34% 568 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 21% 9% 32% 38% 710

Registered Democrat 17% 5% 39% 40% 205 Registered Unenrolled/Other 12% 10% 36% 42% 205 Registered Republican 34% 12% 25% 29% 221

Democrat 13% 4% 41% 42% 276 Independent 23% 9% 28% 40% 138 Republican 28% 13% 25% 34% 284

Likely Voter 22% 10% 33% 36% 602 Early Voter 22% 2% 34% 41% 44 Non-Likely Voter 12% 3% 25% 61% 61

Extremely Interested 26% 8% 31% 35% 279 Very Interested 23% 9% 32% 36% 254 Some/Little Interest 10% 9% 34% 47% 175

Gun Owner 19% 9% 34% 37% 368 Non-Gun Owner 22% 7% 30% 41% 319

Receives Assistance 6% 6% 38% 50% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 22% 9% 32% 37% 657

2010 LePage Voter 28% 13% 28% 32% 304 2010 Cutler Voter 10% 8% 32% 50% 168 2010 Mitchell Voter 15% 5% 39% 41% 100 Did Not Vote in 2010 10% 4% 44% 42% 83

18 to 34 16% 8% 23% 53% 167 35 to 49 12% 10% 37% 40% 192 50 to 64 19% 8% 43% 30% 197 65 and over 39% 9% 22% 30% 142

Male 19% 10% 31% 40% 346 Female 23% 8% 33% 36% 364

High school or less 27% 8% 29% 36% 149 Some college 26% 9% 26% 39% 183 College graduate 15% 8% 35% 43% 253 Post-graduate 20% 11% 38% 31% 124

Northern Maine 28% 8% 26% 39% 158 Downeast/Coastal Maine 24% 9% 25% 42% 127 Central Maine 23% 10% 36% 31% 168 Southern Maine 14% 8% 37% 40% 257

First Cong. Dist 15% 8% 35% 42% 381 Second Cong. Dist 28% 10% 29% 34% 329

Region of State

Northern Downeast/Coastal Central Southern (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 22% 18% 24% 36% 625 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 22% 18% 24% 36% 592 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 22% 18% 24% 36% 734

Registered Democrat 15% 17% 21% 48% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 23% 19% 24% 34% 213 Registered Republican 28% 18% 29% 25% 228

Democrat 19% 16% 21% 44% 281 Independent 18% 27% 27% 28% 147 Republican 28% 15% 25% 32% 290

Likely Voter 24% 19% 24% 34% 623 Early Voter 13% 16% 24% 47% 44 Non-Likely Voter 17% 14% 19% 50% 64

Extremely Interested 26% 17% 24% 33% 287 Very Interested 13% 22% 28% 37% 267 Some/Little Interest 30% 14% 17% 39% 179

Gun Owner 27% 19% 23% 31% 376 Non-Gun Owner 15% 17% 24% 43% 325

Receives Assistance 24% 16% 18% 43% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 22% 18% 24% 36% 673

2010 LePage Voter 27% 17% 27% 30% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 20% 25% 20% 35% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 13% 17% 28% 43% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 20% 11% 18% 51% 89

18 to 34 22% 15% 19% 44% 171 35 to 49 24% 18% 26% 33% 197 50 to 64 24% 15% 24% 36% 203 65 and over 20% 24% 26% 31% 148

Male 19% 21% 22% 38% 355 Female 26% 15% 26% 33% 379

High school or less 31% 17% 24% 28% 152 Some college 25% 14% 18% 42% 190 College graduate 17% 21% 21% 40% 263 Post-graduate 17% 18% 39% 27% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 29% 20% 26% 24% 151 1-2 times a month 19% 19% 27% 35% 62 Less often 18% 14% 26% 42% 227 Never 23% 20% 19% 38% 270

First Cong. Dist 0% 18% 15% 67% 392 Second Cong. Dist 48% 18% 34% 0% 342

Congressional Districts

First District Second District (N=) STATEWIDE - JUNE 2014 47% 53% 625 STATEWIDE - SEPT 2014 49% 51% 592 STATEWIDE - OCT 2014 53% 47% 734

Registered Democrat 67% 33% 212 Registered Unenrolled/Other 49% 51% 213 Registered Republican 45% 55% 228

Democrat 60% 40% 281 Independent 49% 51% 147 Republican 49% 51% 290

Likely Voter 51% 49% 623 Early Voter 61% 39% 44 Non-Likely Voter 70% 30% 64

Extremely Interested 53% 47% 287 Very Interested 55% 45% 267 Some/Little Interest 52% 48% 179

Gun Owner 47% 53% 376 Non-Gun Owner 62% 38% 325

Receives Assistance 62% 38% 46 Does Not Receive Assistance 53% 47% 673

2010 LePage Voter 45% 55% 310 2010 Cutler Voter 58% 42% 170 2010 Mitchell Voter 60% 40% 102 Did Not Vote in 2010 67% 33% 89

18 to 34 60% 40% 171 35 to 49 51% 49% 197 50 to 64 53% 47% 203 65 and over 49% 51% 148

Male 58% 42% 355 Female 49% 51% 379

High school or less 43% 57% 152 Some college 53% 47% 190 College graduate 63% 37% 263 Post-graduate 45% 55% 124

Attend services 1 or more a week 39% 61% 151 1-2 times a month 48% 52% 62 Less often 58% 42% 227 Never 59% 41% 270

Northern Maine 0% 100% 164 Downeast/Coastal Maine 52% 48% 132 Central Maine 34% 66% 175 Southern Maine 100% 0% 263