PORTLAND PRESS HERALD POLL #1
MAINE 2014 GENERAL ELECTION
Prepared by:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A.
The Survey Center University of New Hampshire
June, 2014
Contents
Technical Report ...... 1
Questionnaire ...... 2
Data Tables ...... 18
Portland Press Herald Poll #1 Maine 2014 General Election
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center June 2014
Technical Report
Field Period: June 12 to June 18, 2014
Hours: 9 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Median Completion Time: 11 minutes
Sample Size: 625 randomly selected Maine adults (RDD) 527 randomly selected Maine likely voters in the 2014 General Election (RDD)
Sampling Error: +/- 3.9% (all respondents) +/- 4.3% (likely voters)
Congressional Subsections: 258 likely voters in the 1st Congressional District (6.1% MOE) 269 likely voters in the 2nd Congressional District (6.0% MOE)
Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 21%
The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual Maine adult being selected. The data have also been weighted by the sex, age and the region of the state based on the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.
1
Portland Press Herald Poll #1 Conducted by the UNH Survey Center Summer, 2014
INTRO: “Good evening / afternoon. My name is ______and I’m calling from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. This month, the University is conducting a study of politics and public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.”
IF ASKED: “The survey will about 10 minutes."
IF ASKED: "This poll is being conducted for the Portland Press Herald and will be in the paper next week.”
“Before we begin, do you live in Maine all year round or are you on vacation?”
1 LIVE IN MAINE YEAR ROUND 2 SEASONAL, JUST VACATIONING “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing year round residents.” 3 NOT A MAINE RESIDENT “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing Maine residents.”
* 99 REFUSED TERMINATE
CELL1 “First, to confirm, have I reached you on your cell phone or a land line?”
1 CELL PHONE SKIPTO CELL2 2 LAND LINE SKIPTO BIR1
99 REFUSED TERMINATE
CELL2 “Are you currently driving a car of doing any activity that requires your full attention?”
1 IF YES: “Can I call back at a later time?” MAKE APPOINTMENT 2 NO SKIPTO AGE18
99 NA / REFUSED TERMINATE
AGE18 “And are you 18 years old or older?”
1 YES SKIP TO SEX 2 NO "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."
* 99 REFUSAL "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."
2
BIR1 “In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults aged 18 or older who currently live in your household -- including yourself -- who had the most recent birthday? I don’t mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?”
1 INFORMANT SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ SKIP TO INT2 3 DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME CONTINUE WITH BIR2 BELOW 4 DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN SKIP TO SEX
* 99 REFUSED -- ENTER NON-RESPONSE INFORMATION
BIR2 “Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?”
1 INFORMANT _____ SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ GO TO INT2 3 PERSON NOT AVAILABLE MAKE APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSED
INT2 ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON
“Hello, this is ______calling from the University of New Hampshire. This month the University is conducting a study of politics public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?”
1 YES SKIPTO SEX 2 APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSAL TERMINATE
SEX “Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Maine. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.”
“Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time.”
IF ASKED: “This survey will take about 10 minutes to complete.”
RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT
1 MALE 2 FEMALE
3 REFUSES TO DO SURVEY
* 99 NA
3
TOWN “First, in what town do you live?” ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET.
997 OTHER – TYPE IN______998 DK - DO NOT PROBE * 999 NA / REFUSED
PRESAPP “Let's start with a question about the President.” “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?”
(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as president, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as president, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as president?”
1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING
4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK
5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
* 99 NA
TRACKUS “Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
1 RIGHT DIRECTION 2 WRONG TRACK
98 DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) * 99 NA
4
HCAPP1 “Let me ask you about healthcare. In March of 2010, the U.S. House and Senate passed legislation that will overhaul the nation’s health care system. Based on what you have seen or heard, do you favor or oppose the health care reform legislation that was passed in Congress, or don’t you have an opinion?”
IF FAVOR OR OPPOSE: “Do you feel that strongly or not strongly?”
IF /DK/NO OPINION: “Would you say you lean toward favoring or opposing?
1 FAVOR – STRONGLY 2 FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TO FAVORING 4 DEPENDS - VOLUNTEERED 5 LEAN TO OPPOSING 6 OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 7 OPPOSE - STRONGLY
98 DON’T KNOW / NO OPINION 99 NA / REFUSED
HCAPP2 “Do you think you and your family will be better off or worse off under the new health care law, or will it not make much of a difference?”
1 BETTER OFF 2 WORSE OFF 3 NO DIFFERENCE
98 DON’T KNOW ENOUGH TO SAY/NOT SURE 99 NA/REFUSED
HCAPP3 “And from what you know of that legislation, do you think the amount you pay for medical care will increase, decrease or remain the same?”
1 INCREASE 2 DECREASE 3 REMAIN THE SAME
98 DON’T KNOW ENOUGH TO SAY/NOT SURE 99 NA/REFUSED
MIPME “Let’s turn to the State of Maine... there are many problems facing the State of Maine today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Maine today?” (PROBE: “Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”)
RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE PROBE FOR SPECIFIC ANSWER
5
TRACKME “Do you think things in Maine are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
1 RIGHT DIRECTION 2 WRONG TRACK
98 DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) * 99 NA / REFUSED
GOVAPP “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?”
(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?”
1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING
4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK
5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
* 99 NA / REFUSED
WEL1 “Let’s switch topics.”
“Please tell me which statement comes closer to your own view…government aid to the poor does more harm than good by making people too dependent on government assistance or government aid to the poor does more good than harm because people can’t get out of poverty until their basic needs are met.” ROTATE RESPONSES
1 MORE HARM THAN GOOD/MAKES PEOPLE DEPENDENT 2 MORE GOOD THAN HARM/MEETS BASIC NEEDS 3 NEITHER
98 DON’T KNOW/UNSURE 99 NA
6
WEL2 “And which of these statements comes closest to your own view … most people who receive government aid to the poor need the assistance they get or … most people who receive government aid to the poor do not need the assistance and are taking advantage of the system.” ROTATE RESPONSES
1 MOST PEOPLE NEED ASSISTANCE 2 MOST PEOPLE DO NOT NEED ASSISTANCE 3 NEITHER
98 DON’T KNOW/UNSURE 99 NA
REGVOTE “Let’s turn to politics.”
"Are you registered to vote at your current address?" IF YES: "Are you registered as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?"
1 REGISTERED DEMOCRAT 2 REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED / UNDECLARED 3 REGISTERED REPUBLICAN 4 REGISTERED - OTHER
98 NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
VOTEINT "I know that it is a long time away, but as you know, there is an election in November 2014 for Governor, Congress and state offices. How interested would you say you are in the 2014 general election ... extremely interested ...very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?"
1 EXTREMELY INTERESTED 2 VERY INTERESTED 3 SOMEWHAT INTERESTED 4 NOT VERY INTERESTED
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) 99 NA
MELV "Thinking ahead to the 2014 general election for Governor and Congress. Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)
1 I will probably NOT vote in the 2014 general election, SKIPTO D1 2 I MAY vote in the 2014 general election, SKIPTO D1 3 Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2014 general election, 4 I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2014 general election, or 5 I just don't know at this time." SKIPTO D1
* 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO D1
7
FAV "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of people involved in politics in Maine. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don’t know enough about them to say." "First, how about ... ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV10
FAV1 “Governor Paul LePage?" (la PAGE) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
1 FAVORABLE 2 NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED 3 UNFAVORABLE
98 DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY * 99 NA / REFUSED
FAV2 “Senator Susan Collins?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
FAV3 “Senator Angus King?” (READ IF NECESSARY) “Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?”
FAV4 “Congresswoman Chellie Pingree?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
FAV5 “Congressman Mike Michaud?” (MISH – shoe) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV6 “Attorney Eliot Cutler?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV7 “Former State Treasurer Bruce Poliquin?” (POL – i - kwin) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV8 “State Senator Emily Cain?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
8
FAV9 “Former ACLU Director Shenna Bellows?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
FAV10 “Political Activist Isaac Misiuk?” (MIS – shuk) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
GOVDC “I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the Maine Governor election in 2014 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
1 DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 3 STILL TRYING TO DECIDE
99 NA / REFUSED
GOV1 "If the 2014 Governor election was being held today would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Eliot Cutler, the Independent … Mike Michaud, the Democrat … or would you skip this election?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 PAUL LEPAGE SKIPTO GOV2 2 ELIOT CUTLER SKIPTO GOV2 3 MIKE MICHAUD SKIPTO GOV2 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO GOV2 5 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO GOV2
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO GOV2
GOV1LN "Would you say you are leaning towards Paul LePage, the Republican, Eliot Cutler, the Independent, or Mike Michaud, the Democrat?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 5 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
9
GOV2 "What if the candidates were Paul LePage and Mike Michaud… if the 2014 Governor election was being held today, would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Mike Michaud, the Democrat … or would you skip this election?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 MIKE MICHAUD 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
GOV3 "What if the candidates were Paul LePage and Eliot Cutler… if the 2014 Governor election was being held today, would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican … Eliot Cutler, the Independent … or would you skip this election?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
GOV4 “Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the 2014 Governor election, Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?”
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 PAUL LEPAGE 2 ELIOT CUTLER 3 MIKE MICHAUD 4 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
10
MEDEX “As you may know, earlier this year the legislature passed a bill to expand MaineCare coverage using federal funds in the health care law. Supporters said the bill would provide health coverage to roughly 60,000 low-income Maine residents. Governor LePage vetoed the measure because he said Maine could neither afford its existing MaineCare program, nor count on federal funding. Looking towards the November election, does this veto make you more or less likely to vote for Governor LePage or does this not make much difference in your vote?”
1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR 2 LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR 3 LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN YOUR VOTE
98 DK/NOT SURE 99 NA/REFUSED
SENDC “Let’s turn to the election for Senate. I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the Maine Senate election in 2014 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
1 DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 3 STILL TRYING TO DECIDE
99 NA / REFUSED
SEN1 "If the 2014 Senate election was being held today would you vote for Susan Collins, the Republican … Shenna Bellows, the Democrat … or would you skip this election?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 SUSAN COLLINS 2 SHENNA BELLOWS 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
11
SPLIT BY DISTRICT
CD1 "If the 2014 Congressional election was being held today would you vote for Issac Misiuk the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat… or would you skip this election?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 ISSAC MISIUK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
CD2 “If the 2014 Congressional Election was being held today would you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican …Emily Cain, the Democrat… or would you skip this election?"
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
ENDORS “When deciding which candidates to vote for in the general election, how important are endorsements the candidate receives from newspapers? Would you say they are very important … somewhat important … not too important … or not important at all?”
1 VERY IMPORTANT 2 SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 3 NOT TOO IMPORTANT 4 NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED
12
BEAR1 “As you may know, there will be a referendum on the November ballot which would prohibit certain bear hunting practices in Maine. How much have you heard about this referendum… a great deal … a fair amount … only a little … or nothing at all?”
1 A GREAT DEAL 2 A FAIR AMOUNT 3 ONLY A LITTLE 4 NOTHING AT ALL
98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 99 NA/REFUSED
BEAR2 “The question for the upcoming referendum is the following: ‘Do you want to make it a crime to hunt bears with bait, traps or dogs, except to protect property, public safety, or for research?’ If the 2014 referendum was held today would you vote for the referendum, against it, or would you skip voting on this question?”
1 VOTE FOR REFERENDUM (YES) 2 VOTE AGAINST IT (NO) 3 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
D1 “Now some final questions.”
“What is your current age?”
______: : : : (RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45) : : : :
96 NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA
D2 “What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you’ve completed and got credit for ...” [READ RESPONSES]
1 “Eighth grade or less, 2 Some high school, 3 High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.) 4 Technical school, 5 Some college, 6 College graduate, 7 Or postgraduate work?”
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
13
D3 “Are you or any other person in your household a member of a labor union?”
1 YES 2 NO
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
D4 “Are you or any person in your household a member or veteran of the armed forces?”
1 YES 2 NO
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
D5 "Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun?"
1 YES 2 NO
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
D6 "Are you of French Canadian descent?"
1 YES 2 NO
98 DON’T KNOW * 99 REFUSED
D7 "Does anyone in your household currently receive government assistance including TANF, that is Temporary Assistance For Needy Families, food stamps, also called SNAP, or general assistance from your town?"
1 YES 2 NO
98 DON’T KNOW * 99 REFUSED
14
D8 “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?”
(IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?” (IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?” (IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?”
1 STRONG DEMOCRAT 2 NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT 3 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS 4 INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER 5 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS 6 NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN 7 STRONG REPUBLICAN 8 OTHER PARTY
* 99 DK / NA / REFUSED
D9 “Think back to the election for Governor in 2010. Did you vote Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, Libby Mitchell, someone else, or did you skip that election?
1 PAUL LEPAGE - REPUBLICAN 2 ELIOT CUTLER - INDEPENDENT 3 LIBBY MITCHELL - DEMOCRAT 4 OTHER
97 DID NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED
D10 “Which of the following statements BEST represents your position on abortion ... abortions should be legal in ALL circumstances ... abortion should be legal in limited circumstances, such as in cases of rape or incest or when the mother’s life is in danger ... or, abortion should not be legal in ANY circumstance?” (ROTATE ANSWER OPTIONS)
1 LEGAL IN ALL CIRCUMSTANCES 2 LEGAL IN LIMITED CIRCUMSTANCES 3 NOT LEGAL IN ANY CIRCUMSTANCE
98 DK/NOT SURE (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
15
D11 "What is your religious preference? Is it Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, some other religion, or no religion?"
1 PROTESTANT 2 CATHOLIC 3 JEWISH 4 NONE, NO RELIGION 5 OTHER (SPECIFY)
97 REFUSED 98 DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED
D12 "How often do you attend religious services apart from occasional weddings, baptisms, or funerals ... more than once a week ... once week ... once or twice a month ... a few times a year ... or never?"
1 MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK 2 ONCE A WEEK 3 ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH 4 A FEW TIMES A YEAR 5 NEVER
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA
D13 “Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?”
1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE
98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED
16
D14 “Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”
0 NO LANDLINE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE
98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED
D15 “And on how many different cellphone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”
0 NO CELL PHONE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE
98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED
D16 “Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we've been talking about?”
1 YES “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ______2 NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)
99 NA / REFUSED
Q:END “Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”
17
Tabular Results
18
Approval Rating – President Barack Obama
Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 44% 7% 49% 618
Registered Democrat 75% 5% 20% 148 Registered Unenrolled/Other 47% 8% 45% 220 Registered Republican 11% 0% 89% 171
Democrat 81% 7% 12% 239 Independent 35% 6% 58% 144 Republican 9% 2% 89% 205
Likely Voter 45% 4% 51% 525 Non-Likely Voter 37% 24% 38% 93
Extremely Interested 50% 3% 47% 175 Very Interested 42% 2% 56% 225 Some/Little Interest 41% 15% 44% 212
Union household 53% 5% 42% 112 Non-union 42% 7% 51% 499
Gun Owner 34% 6% 60% 326 Non-Gun Owner 56% 9% 35% 275
French Canadian 42% 7% 51% 133 Non-French Canadian 45% 7% 48% 477
Receives Assistance 46% 7% 47% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 44% 7% 49% 550
Veteran 37% 4% 59% 167 Non-Veteran 47% 7% 46% 444
Abortion Legal In All Situations 64% 8% 28% 275 Limited Circumstances 30% 7% 63% 238 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 19% 9% 72% 57
2010 LePage Voter 11% 2% 86% 228 2010 Cutler Voter 69% 5% 26% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 81% 6% 13% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 50% 15% 34% 128
18 to 34 54% 17% 29% 149 35 to 49 30% 3% 66% 162 50 to 64 50% 5% 45% 166 65 and over 42% 3% 55% 130
Male 34% 6% 59% 302 Female 52% 8% 40% 317
High school or less 29% 19% 52% 124 Some college 35% 5% 59% 179 College graduate 50% 4% 46% 215 Post-graduate 64% 4% 33% 98
Protestant 31% 3% 65% 228 Catholic 45% 6% 49% 158 Other 61% 7% 32% 193
Attend services 1 or more a week 41% 2% 57% 110 1-2 times a month 30% 4% 66% 76 Less often 50% 4% 46% 194 Never 46% 13% 41% 222
Northern Maine 42% 10% 48% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 47% 6% 48% 112 Central Maine 27% 14% 59% 144 Southern Maine 54% 2% 44% 223
First Cong. Dist 51% 4% 44% 293 Second Cong. Dist 37% 10% 54% 326
19
Approval Rating – Governor Paul LePage
Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 41% 7% 52% 617
Registered Democrat 17% 4% 79% 149 Registered Unenrolled/Other 37% 4% 59% 219 Registered Republican 71% 7% 23% 171
Democrat 13% 3% 84% 240 Independent 41% 8% 51% 139 Republican 75% 6% 20% 208
Likely Voter 43% 3% 54% 519 Non-Likely Voter 29% 30% 42% 98
Extremely Interested 42% 1% 57% 175 Very Interested 40% 6% 54% 226 Some/Little Interest 40% 13% 47% 211
Union household 27% 5% 68% 112 Non-union 44% 7% 49% 498
Gun Owner 53% 5% 42% 325 Non-Gun Owner 24% 10% 66% 274
French Canadian 46% 5% 49% 130 Non-French Canadian 39% 8% 54% 480
Receives Assistance 25% 11% 64% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 42% 6% 52% 549
Veteran 49% 8% 42% 167 Non-Veteran 38% 6% 56% 443
Abortion Legal In All Situations 23% 6% 71% 278 Limited Circumstances 56% 7% 38% 238 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 58% 15% 27% 56
2010 LePage Voter 79% 5% 16% 226 2010 Cutler Voter 18% 2% 80% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 1% 96% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 26% 19% 56% 129
18 to 34 30% 12% 58% 152 35 to 49 44% 6% 50% 158 50 to 64 45% 5% 50% 167 65 and over 41% 5% 54% 127
Male 50% 7% 43% 297 Female 32% 7% 61% 321
High school or less 55% 16% 29% 123 Some college 40% 7% 53% 179 College graduate 37% 4% 59% 215 Post-graduate 31% 3% 65% 97
Protestant 54% 4% 42% 230 Catholic 42% 6% 53% 155 Other 26% 8% 66% 197
Attend services 1 or more a week 43% 5% 51% 109 1-2 times a month 58% 4% 38% 76 Less often 41% 5% 54% 195 Never 32% 11% 57% 223
Northern Maine 43% 11% 47% 137 Downeast/Coastal Maine 35% 3% 62% 108 Central Maine 48% 8% 44% 148 Southern Maine 37% 7% 57% 224
First Cong. Dist 36% 6% 58% 294 Second Cong. Dist 45% 8% 47% 324
20
U.S. Right Direction / Wrong Track
Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE 24% 69% 7% 610
Registered Democrat 43% 50% 7% 145 Registered Unenrolled/Other 25% 69% 6% 216 Registered Republican 11% 88% 1% 168
Democrat 41% 51% 8% 236 Independent 16% 79% 5% 136 Republican 11% 85% 4% 209
Likely Voter 25% 70% 5% 513 Non-Likely Voter 16% 66% 18% 96
Extremely Interested 24% 70% 6% 169 Very Interested 23% 71% 6% 224 Some/Little Interest 25% 66% 9% 211
Union household 29% 66% 5% 110 Non-union 23% 70% 7% 492
Gun Owner 20% 75% 5% 325 Non-Gun Owner 29% 61% 10% 269
French Canadian 26% 71% 3% 133 Non-French Canadian 23% 68% 8% 470
Receives Assistance 9% 82% 9% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 25% 68% 7% 541
Veteran 9% 86% 5% 162 Non-Veteran 29% 64% 7% 440
Abortion Legal In All Situations 34% 58% 8% 272 Limited Circumstances 14% 79% 6% 239 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 11% 79% 10% 53
2010 LePage Voter 8% 90% 2% 223 2010 Cutler Voter 40% 54% 6% 134 2010 Mitchell Voter 43% 52% 5% 74 Did Not Vote in 2010 27% 58% 15% 131
18 to 34 30% 60% 10% 148 35 to 49 17% 80% 3% 156 50 to 64 27% 67% 6% 166 65 and over 22% 71% 7% 126
Male 21% 74% 5% 293 Female 26% 65% 9% 317
High school or less 11% 73% 15% 125 Some college 21% 75% 4% 177 College graduate 29% 64% 6% 208 Post-graduate 32% 64% 4% 97
Protestant 17% 79% 4% 225 Catholic 33% 62% 5% 157 Other 27% 63% 10% 191
Attend services 1 or more a week 18% 76% 6% 109 1-2 times a month 13% 82% 5% 76 Less often 33% 63% 4% 190 Never 24% 65% 11% 219
Northern Maine 20% 72% 8% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 22% 70% 8% 110 Central Maine 18% 72% 10% 149 Southern Maine 32% 64% 4% 211
First Cong. Dist 32% 63% 5% 281 Second Cong. Dist 17% 74% 9% 329
21
Maine Right Direction / Wrong Track
Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE 43% 48% 10% 607
Registered Democrat 32% 56% 12% 147 Registered Unenrolled/Other 43% 50% 6% 220 Registered Republican 53% 37% 10% 161
Democrat 32% 58% 10% 236 Independent 46% 47% 7% 136 Republican 55% 37% 8% 205
Likely Voter 43% 49% 8% 510 Non-Likely Voter 40% 42% 18% 97
Extremely Interested 37% 54% 10% 165 Very Interested 41% 51% 8% 224 Some/Little Interest 49% 39% 12% 212
Union household 31% 61% 8% 111 Non-union 45% 45% 10% 488
Gun Owner 43% 48% 9% 319 Non-Gun Owner 41% 48% 11% 272
French Canadian 41% 50% 9% 130 Non-French Canadian 43% 47% 10% 469
Receives Assistance 46% 45% 9% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 42% 48% 10% 538
Veteran 45% 45% 10% 164 Non-Veteran 42% 49% 9% 435
Abortion Legal In All Situations 35% 54% 11% 274 Limited Circumstances 48% 45% 6% 235 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 44% 34% 22% 52
2010 LePage Voter 57% 36% 7% 217 2010 Cutler Voter 34% 56% 10% 137 2010 Mitchell Voter 15% 71% 13% 73 Did Not Vote in 2010 45% 40% 15% 132
18 to 34 47% 41% 12% 152 35 to 49 41% 49% 9% 154 50 to 64 42% 49% 9% 165 65 and over 41% 51% 8% 125
Male 43% 47% 9% 293 Female 42% 48% 10% 314
High school or less 48% 40% 12% 123 Some college 51% 43% 6% 178 College graduate 38% 50% 12% 209 Post-graduate 31% 59% 10% 95
Protestant 48% 45% 7% 221 Catholic 43% 50% 7% 157 Other 40% 47% 14% 195
Attend services 1 or more a week 45% 44% 11% 104 1-2 times a month 51% 42% 7% 76 Less often 49% 46% 5% 192 Never 33% 53% 14% 222
Northern Maine 46% 42% 12% 135 Downeast/Coastal Maine 40% 50% 10% 107 Central Maine 41% 55% 4% 144 Southern Maine 43% 45% 12% 221
First Cong. Dist 39% 50% 11% 288 Second Cong. Dist 46% 45% 9% 319
22
Favor / Oppose Health Care Legislation Passed in Congress
Favor Neutral/DK Oppose (N=) STATEWIDE 35% 17% 49% 625
Registered Democrat 69% 11% 20% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 35% 18% 46% 223 Registered Republican 7% 11% 82% 171
Democrat 69% 16% 14% 241 Independent 23% 14% 63% 144 Republican 6% 14% 80% 209
Likely Voter 36% 14% 50% 527 Non-Likely Voter 28% 31% 41% 98
Extremely Interested 45% 11% 45% 175 Very Interested 35% 10% 55% 228 Some/Little Interest 27% 27% 46% 216
Union household 48% 7% 46% 112 Non-union 32% 18% 50% 505
Gun Owner 28% 14% 58% 328 Non-Gun Owner 44% 19% 37% 279
French Canadian 31% 14% 55% 133 Non-French Canadian 36% 17% 47% 484
Receives Assistance 32% 23% 44% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 36% 15% 49% 556
Veteran 27% 18% 55% 169 Non-Veteran 38% 15% 47% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 55% 14% 31% 278 Limited Circumstances 22% 19% 59% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 10% 18% 72% 57
2010 LePage Voter 10% 10% 81% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 58% 16% 26% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 73% 13% 14% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 34% 28% 38% 132
18 to 34 43% 20% 37% 152 35 to 49 24% 10% 67% 162 50 to 64 38% 14% 48% 168 65 and over 37% 21% 42% 130
Male 29% 13% 58% 302 Female 40% 20% 40% 323
High school or less 12% 32% 56% 127 Some college 25% 15% 60% 180 College graduate 42% 12% 46% 217 Post-graduate 67% 7% 26% 98
Protestant 25% 13% 62% 230 Catholic 29% 22% 49% 159 Other 53% 13% 34% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 26% 15% 60% 110 1-2 times a month 23% 15% 61% 76 Less often 43% 13% 44% 195 Never 37% 21% 42% 226
Northern Maine 25% 20% 55% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 14% 40% 112 Central Maine 22% 22% 57% 149 Southern Maine 44% 12% 44% 224
First Cong. Dist 42% 14% 43% 294 Second Cong. Dist 28% 19% 53% 331
23
Will Your Family Be Better Or Worse Off Under the Health Care Law?
Better Off Worse Off No Difference DK (N=) STATEWIDE 16% 26% 54% 5% 625
Registered Democrat 35% 11% 50% 4% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 15% 25% 57% 3% 223 Registered Republican 4% 48% 44% 4% 171
Democrat 31% 11% 54% 4% 241 Independent 12% 17% 69% 2% 144 Republican 1% 51% 43% 6% 209
Likely Voter 17% 27% 52% 4% 527 Non-Likely Voter 7% 20% 62% 10% 98
Extremely Interested 24% 29% 42% 5% 175 Very Interested 18% 26% 52% 4% 228 Some/Little Interest 7% 22% 65% 5% 216
Union household 22% 22% 52% 4% 112 Non-union 14% 27% 54% 4% 505
Gun Owner 13% 30% 52% 4% 328 Non-Gun Owner 19% 19% 56% 6% 279
French Canadian 12% 27% 57% 5% 133 Non-French Canadian 17% 25% 53% 5% 484
Receives Assistance 6% 11% 82% 1% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 17% 27% 51% 5% 556
Veteran 8% 30% 57% 6% 169 Non-Veteran 19% 24% 53% 4% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 27% 13% 55% 6% 278 Limited Circumstances 6% 36% 53% 5% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 11% 42% 44% 3% 57
2010 LePage Voter 5% 47% 44% 4% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 24% 15% 60% 2% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 32% 18% 47% 3% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 19% 10% 62% 9% 132
18 to 34 18% 14% 65% 3% 152 35 to 49 10% 33% 53% 4% 162 50 to 64 23% 28% 44% 5% 168 65 and over 11% 26% 57% 7% 130
Male 13% 25% 58% 4% 302 Female 19% 26% 50% 6% 323
High school or less 6% 30% 53% 10% 127 Some college 9% 29% 57% 5% 180 College graduate 21% 24% 51% 4% 217 Post-graduate 28% 18% 55% 0% 98
Protestant 14% 37% 45% 5% 230 Catholic 8% 22% 66% 4% 159 Other 25% 17% 54% 4% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 15% 36% 46% 3% 110 1-2 times a month 7% 34% 53% 6% 76 Less often 16% 22% 58% 5% 195 Never 19% 21% 54% 6% 226
Northern Maine 10% 22% 62% 7% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 27% 29% 36% 8% 112 Central Maine 8% 32% 56% 5% 149 Southern Maine 19% 22% 56% 3% 224
First Cong. Dist 19% 22% 56% 3% 294 Second Cong. Dist 13% 29% 52% 7% 331
24
Under Health Care Law Do You Think Your Medical Care Costs Will Increase or Decrease?
Increase Decrease Remain The Same DK (N=) STATEWIDE 57% 7% 29% 8% 624
Registered Democrat 39% 15% 40% 6% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 59% 6% 27% 9% 221 Registered Republican 76% 1% 21% 2% 171
Democrat 39% 14% 39% 9% 240 Independent 59% 5% 29% 7% 144 Republican 78% 0% 19% 3% 209
Likely Voter 58% 7% 29% 7% 526 Non-Likely Voter 51% 5% 30% 13% 98
Extremely Interested 51% 13% 28% 8% 174 Very Interested 60% 3% 29% 8% 228 Some/Little Interest 58% 5% 31% 6% 216
Union household 59% 5% 24% 11% 112 Non-union 56% 7% 31% 6% 504
Gun Owner 65% 4% 24% 6% 327 Non-Gun Owner 45% 10% 35% 10% 279
French Canadian 62% 6% 28% 4% 133 Non-French Canadian 55% 7% 30% 9% 482
Receives Assistance 41% 1% 48% 9% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 58% 7% 27% 7% 556
Veteran 58% 4% 32% 7% 169 Non-Veteran 57% 8% 29% 7% 447
Abortion Legal In All Situations 45% 12% 35% 8% 277 Limited Circumstances 67% 2% 22% 8% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 64% 5% 25% 5% 57
2010 LePage Voter 78% 2% 16% 4% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 51% 9% 35% 4% 137 2010 Mitchell Voter 38% 11% 45% 6% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 37% 10% 37% 15% 132
18 to 34 34% 8% 45% 14% 152 35 to 49 76% 2% 20% 1% 162 50 to 64 59% 10% 26% 5% 167 65 and over 56% 7% 27% 10% 130
Male 59% 8% 27% 6% 302 Female 54% 6% 31% 9% 322
High school or less 62% 4% 21% 13% 127 Some college 59% 5% 31% 5% 180 College graduate 56% 8% 27% 9% 216 Post-graduate 46% 9% 40% 4% 98
Protestant 65% 4% 23% 8% 229 Catholic 57% 6% 30% 7% 159 Other 47% 12% 36% 5% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 56% 6% 30% 9% 110 1-2 times a month 69% 7% 19% 5% 76 Less often 56% 4% 32% 8% 194 Never 53% 10% 29% 8% 226
Northern Maine 59% 2% 30% 9% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 53% 9% 25% 13% 111 Central Maine 61% 5% 25% 9% 149 Southern Maine 54% 10% 33% 3% 224
First Cong. Dist 53% 9% 32% 6% 292 Second Cong. Dist 60% 5% 26% 9% 331
25
Does Welfare Do More Harm Than Good Or More Good Than Harm?
More Harm More Good Than Good Than Harm Neither DK (N=) STATEWIDE 46% 43% 7% 4% 620
Registered Democrat 35% 60% 4% 2% 149 Registered Unenrolled/Other 42% 46% 9% 3% 218 Registered Republican 68% 20% 8% 4% 171
Democrat 27% 65% 5% 3% 240 Independent 43% 43% 12% 2% 141 Republican 72% 21% 4% 4% 209
Likely Voter 47% 44% 7% 2% 523 Non-Likely Voter 42% 40% 6% 11% 97
Extremely Interested 45% 47% 5% 3% 175 Very Interested 43% 45% 9% 3% 224 Some/Little Interest 51% 39% 6% 5% 216
Union household 46% 42% 10% 2% 112 Non-union 47% 44% 6% 3% 501
Gun Owner 54% 34% 9% 3% 325 Non-Gun Owner 37% 54% 4% 5% 279
French Canadian 50% 37% 10% 3% 133 Non-French Canadian 45% 45% 6% 4% 479
Receives Assistance 38% 59% 1% 1% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 47% 42% 7% 4% 551
Veteran 52% 37% 5% 6% 169 Non-Veteran 45% 46% 8% 2% 444
Abortion Legal In All Situations 36% 54% 6% 4% 277 Limited Circumstances 58% 31% 7% 3% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 59% 32% 5% 4% 57
2010 LePage Voter 66% 25% 7% 2% 226 2010 Cutler Voter 35% 53% 9% 3% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 26% 69% 2% 3% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 36% 51% 6% 8% 132
18 to 34 44% 49% 4% 3% 148 35 to 49 56% 37% 5% 3% 161 50 to 64 45% 45% 8% 2% 168 65 and over 40% 43% 10% 7% 130
Male 51% 37% 7% 6% 298 Female 42% 49% 7% 2% 323
High school or less 45% 38% 6% 10% 126 Some college 57% 34% 6% 2% 179 College graduate 45% 43% 9% 2% 214 Post-graduate 31% 65% 2% 2% 98
Protestant 49% 40% 7% 4% 227 Catholic 55% 33% 9% 3% 159 Other 38% 56% 4% 3% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 50% 41% 8% 2% 110 1-2 times a month 45% 42% 9% 4% 76 Less often 45% 43% 8% 3% 191 Never 46% 44% 5% 5% 226
Northern Maine 52% 36% 7% 6% 139 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 49% 5% 1% 112 Central Maine 56% 31% 8% 5% 149 Southern Maine 37% 53% 7% 3% 221
First Cong. Dist 39% 52% 5% 4% 290 Second Cong. Dist 53% 35% 8% 4% 330
26
Do Most Welfare Recipients Need The Assistance They Receive?
Most People Most People Do Not Need Assistance Need Assistance Neither DK (N=) STATEWIDE 46% 41% 8% 5% 617
Registered Democrat 63% 32% 3% 2% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 46% 38% 13% 3% 217 Registered Republican 30% 53% 10% 7% 168
Democrat 71% 24% 3% 2% 241 Independent 41% 44% 13% 2% 139 Republican 25% 58% 10% 7% 206
Likely Voter 48% 40% 8% 4% 519 Non-Likely Voter 36% 43% 12% 9% 98
Extremely Interested 56% 31% 8% 5% 175 Very Interested 50% 37% 9% 4% 222 Some/Little Interest 35% 52% 9% 5% 213
Union household 55% 38% 4% 4% 112 Non-union 45% 42% 10% 4% 497
Gun Owner 37% 51% 9% 4% 323 Non-Gun Owner 58% 29% 8% 5% 277
French Canadian 36% 55% 7% 3% 129 Non-French Canadian 49% 37% 8% 5% 481
Receives Assistance 58% 33% 9% 0% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 46% 42% 7% 5% 548
Veteran 41% 41% 11% 7% 167 Non-Veteran 49% 41% 8% 3% 443
Abortion Legal In All Situations 62% 28% 7% 3% 278 Limited Circumstances 34% 53% 8% 5% 236 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 21% 55% 16% 8% 57
2010 LePage Voter 25% 61% 9% 6% 226 2010 Cutler Voter 65% 26% 6% 3% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 78% 18% 1% 3% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 44% 37% 13% 7% 127
18 to 34 46% 45% 6% 3% 148 35 to 49 39% 50% 9% 3% 159 50 to 64 51% 38% 9% 3% 168 65 and over 51% 30% 10% 9% 128
Male 45% 42% 9% 5% 294 Female 48% 40% 8% 4% 323
High school or less 25% 58% 9% 8% 124 Some college 44% 45% 8% 3% 180 College graduate 50% 37% 11% 2% 212 Post-graduate 69% 21% 3% 6% 98
Protestant 42% 41% 12% 5% 227 Catholic 36% 55% 6% 3% 154 Other 59% 32% 6% 3% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 43% 38% 13% 6% 110 1-2 times a month 35% 49% 10% 6% 76 Less often 48% 42% 8% 2% 190 Never 50% 40% 5% 5% 224
Northern Maine 33% 51% 10% 7% 135 Downeast/Coastal Maine 59% 29% 10% 3% 112 Central Maine 32% 55% 9% 4% 149 Southern Maine 58% 32% 7% 4% 221
First Cong. Dist 57% 34% 6% 3% 291 Second Cong. Dist 36% 47% 11% 6% 327
27
Interest in 2014 Election
Extremely Very Somewhat Not Very Interested Interested Interested Interested DK (N=) STATEWIDE 28% 36% 22% 12% 1% 625
Registered Democrat 42% 41% 12% 5% 0% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 21% 37% 30% 12% 0% 223 Registered Republican 31% 41% 21% 5% 2% 171
Democrat 34% 38% 18% 9% 0% 241 Independent 26% 32% 25% 17% 0% 144 Republican 24% 40% 27% 7% 2% 209
Likely Voter 33% 41% 22% 4% 0% 527 Non-Likely Voter 2% 13% 26% 55% 4% 97
Union household 39% 38% 18% 5% 0% 112 Non-union 26% 36% 24% 13% 1% 505
Gun Owner 24% 39% 24% 12% 0% 328 Non-Gun Owner 30% 34% 21% 13% 2% 279
French Canadian 28% 34% 30% 8% 1% 133 Non-French Canadian 28% 37% 20% 14% 1% 484
Receives Assistance 28% 26% 15% 31% 0% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 28% 38% 23% 10% 1% 555
Veteran 29% 35% 21% 13% 1% 169 Non-Veteran 28% 37% 23% 11% 1% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 31% 31% 25% 13% 0% 278 Limited Circumstances 25% 40% 22% 12% 1% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 26% 47% 12% 10% 5% 56
2010 LePage Voter 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 31% 47% 16% 6% 0% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 50% 34% 14% 2% 0% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 13% 20% 30% 35% 1% 131
18 to 34 17% 24% 28% 29% 2% 152 35 to 49 18% 39% 32% 10% 1% 162 50 to 64 37% 41% 14% 8% 0% 168 65 and over 41% 40% 15% 2% 1% 130
Male 29% 39% 20% 11% 0% 302 Female 27% 34% 24% 13% 2% 323
High school or less 14% 33% 26% 27% 0% 126 Some college 29% 33% 27% 10% 2% 180 College graduate 29% 41% 19% 11% 1% 217 Post-graduate 42% 37% 18% 1% 1% 98
Protestant 32% 45% 18% 4% 1% 230 Catholic 25% 33% 29% 12% 1% 159 Other 28% 32% 22% 17% 1% 197
Attend services 1 or more a week 32% 44% 17% 8% 0% 110 1-2 times a month 30% 31% 32% 5% 1% 76 Less often 22% 49% 19% 8% 1% 195 Never 30% 25% 24% 21% 0% 226
Northern Maine 26% 30% 27% 15% 1% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 32% 39% 16% 12% 1% 112 Central Maine 22% 41% 20% 16% 1% 149 Southern Maine 31% 37% 24% 8% 0% 224
First Cong. Dist 31% 35% 22% 11% 1% 293 Second Cong. Dist 25% 38% 23% 13% 1% 331
28
Likely To Vote In 2014 Election
Probably Will Vote Will Definitely Not Vote May Vote Unless Emerg. Vote Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE 5% 5% 10% 75% 6% 625
Registered Democrat 2% 3% 4% 91% 1% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 2% 8% 11% 75% 5% 223 Registered Republican 1% 5% 12% 78% 4% 171
Democrat 3% 5% 9% 82% 2% 241 Independent 8% 4% 11% 71% 6% 144 Republican 2% 7% 10% 76% 5% 208
Extremely Interested 0% 1% 5% 94% 0% 175 Very Interested 2% 2% 9% 85% 2% 228 Some/Little Interest 10% 13% 14% 50% 14% 216
Union household 1% 2% 5% 89% 2% 112 Non-union 5% 6% 10% 72% 6% 505
Gun Owner 4% 3% 11% 78% 4% 328 Non-Gun Owner 6% 8% 8% 70% 8% 279
French Canadian 3% 6% 11% 77% 3% 133 Non-French Canadian 5% 5% 9% 74% 7% 483
Receives Assistance 28% 2% 8% 48% 13% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 3% 6% 10% 78% 4% 555
Veteran 7% 3% 9% 75% 5% 169 Non-Veteran 4% 6% 10% 76% 5% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 5% 6% 6% 77% 5% 278 Limited Circumstances 4% 4% 13% 73% 6% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 8% 6% 7% 69% 10% 57
2010 LePage Voter 0% 4% 11% 84% 1% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 1% 3% 6% 89% 2% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 2% 7% 88% 3% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 19% 14% 12% 37% 17% 131
18 to 34 9% 11% 9% 60% 11% 152 35 to 49 3% 9% 10% 74% 4% 162 50 to 64 4% 1% 8% 84% 4% 168 65 and over 1% 1% 12% 82% 4% 130
Male 4% 5% 11% 75% 6% 302 Female 5% 6% 8% 75% 6% 323
High school or less 7% 4% 9% 61% 19% 126 Some college 5% 9% 10% 72% 4% 180 College graduate 5% 4% 11% 78% 2% 217 Post-graduate 1% 3% 5% 91% 1% 98
Protestant 2% 2% 12% 81% 4% 230 Catholic 3% 5% 9% 76% 6% 159 Other 10% 7% 7% 73% 3% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 8% 4% 10% 72% 6% 110 1-2 times a month 4% 1% 12% 83% 0% 76 Less often 4% 4% 10% 79% 4% 195 Never 4% 9% 7% 70% 9% 226
Northern Maine 8% 6% 8% 69% 8% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 2% 7% 11% 81% 0% 112 Central Maine 3% 7% 7% 74% 9% 148 Southern Maine 5% 3% 11% 76% 5% 224
First Cong. Dist 4% 3% 10% 78% 5% 293 Second Cong. Dist 5% 7% 9% 72% 6% 331
29
Favorability Ratings – Paul LePage – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE 40% 7% 51% 2% 525
Registered Democrat 17% 4% 77% 2% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 35% 10% 53% 2% 189 Registered Republican 74% 4% 19% 3% 154
Democrat 10% 5% 82% 3% 217 Independent 39% 10% 50% 1% 117 Republican 76% 7% 15% 2% 180
Extremely Interested 38% 4% 57% 1% 173 Very Interested 41% 7% 51% 2% 214 Some/Little Interest 41% 11% 44% 4% 137
Union household 29% 2% 68% 0% 106 Non-union 43% 8% 46% 2% 416
Gun Owner 51% 9% 38% 1% 290 Non-Gun Owner 23% 4% 69% 4% 218
French Canadian 42% 10% 48% 1% 117 Non-French Canadian 39% 6% 53% 2% 399
Receives Assistance 22% 2% 73% 2% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 41% 7% 50% 2% 482
Veteran 47% 8% 45% 1% 141 Non-Veteran 38% 7% 53% 2% 381
Abortion Legal In All Situations 22% 6% 72% 0% 232 Limited Circumstances 55% 8% 35% 2% 206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 60% 2% 28% 9% 43
2010 LePage Voter 76% 8% 15% 1% 216 2010 Cutler Voter 16% 10% 72% 1% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 1% 94% 2% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 17% 6% 75% 1% 65
18 to 34 25% 13% 61% 0% 104 35 to 49 43% 8% 48% 1% 135 50 to 64 45% 4% 48% 3% 154 65 and over 41% 4% 51% 3% 120
Male 49% 7% 43% 1% 258 Female 31% 7% 58% 3% 267
High school or less 60% 1% 36% 4% 88 Some college 44% 14% 41% 1% 149 College graduate 34% 7% 57% 2% 192 Post-graduate 27% 2% 68% 2% 93
Protestant 54% 8% 36% 2% 212 Catholic 40% 9% 49% 3% 136 Other 21% 5% 73% 1% 158
Attend services 1 or more a week 44% 8% 44% 5% 90 1-2 times a month 56% 8% 35% 0% 72 Less often 44% 7% 47% 2% 173 Never 27% 6% 65% 2% 174
Northern Maine 47% 10% 42% 1% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 8% 60% 2% 103 Central Maine 50% 11% 36% 2% 120 Southern Maine 35% 2% 61% 2% 193
First Cong. Dist 34% 3% 61% 2% 257 Second Cong. Dist 46% 10% 41% 2% 268
30
Favorability Ratings – Susan Collins – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE 71% 7% 19% 3% 523
Registered Democrat 61% 8% 27% 5% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 83% 3% 12% 1% 190 Registered Republican 65% 11% 21% 3% 154
Democrat 68% 7% 21% 4% 218 Independent 77% 6% 16% 2% 114 Republican 72% 9% 17% 2% 180
Extremely Interested 63% 7% 28% 3% 173 Very Interested 76% 8% 12% 3% 215 Some/Little Interest 76% 6% 17% 1% 134
Union household 63% 13% 22% 2% 106 Non-union 73% 6% 18% 3% 414
Gun Owner 75% 7% 17% 2% 291 Non-Gun Owner 66% 9% 21% 4% 216
French Canadian 70% 6% 23% 1% 118 Non-French Canadian 72% 8% 17% 3% 397
Receives Assistance 77% 0% 19% 3% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 72% 7% 18% 2% 481
Veteran 74% 6% 17% 3% 142 Non-Veteran 70% 8% 19% 3% 378
Abortion Legal In All Situations 75% 5% 18% 2% 232 Limited Circumstances 74% 9% 16% 1% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 51% 12% 30% 6% 43
2010 LePage Voter 71% 10% 17% 2% 214 2010 Cutler Voter 81% 1% 15% 2% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 49% 13% 36% 1% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 71% 8% 14% 7% 65
18 to 34 71% 6% 19% 4% 104 35 to 49 74% 8% 17% 0% 132 50 to 64 69% 6% 22% 4% 154 65 and over 74% 9% 15% 2% 121
Male 68% 9% 22% 1% 254 Female 75% 6% 16% 4% 268
High school or less 61% 17% 20% 1% 86 Some college 76% 4% 18% 2% 149 College graduate 75% 7% 16% 2% 193 Post-graduate 64% 5% 25% 6% 93
Protestant 71% 9% 17% 3% 213 Catholic 74% 5% 19% 2% 136 Other 70% 8% 19% 3% 158
Attend services 1 or more a week 70% 4% 21% 5% 91 1-2 times a month 80% 2% 17% 1% 72 Less often 72% 13% 11% 4% 174 Never 68% 6% 25% 1% 174
Northern Maine 78% 8% 13% 1% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 65% 14% 20% 1% 100 Central Maine 73% 6% 19% 3% 120 Southern Maine 70% 5% 21% 4% 194
First Cong. Dist 71% 5% 21% 3% 257 Second Cong. Dist 72% 10% 16% 2% 265
31
Favorability Ratings – Angus King – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE 66% 9% 21% 4% 526
Registered Democrat 85% 4% 9% 3% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 72% 8% 17% 4% 190 Registered Republican 41% 14% 40% 5% 154
Democrat 87% 6% 6% 2% 218 Independent 61% 11% 23% 5% 117 Republican 46% 11% 37% 6% 180
Extremely Interested 67% 5% 26% 2% 173 Very Interested 62% 13% 21% 4% 215 Some/Little Interest 74% 7% 11% 8% 137
Union household 64% 16% 19% 1% 106 Non-union 67% 7% 21% 5% 417
Gun Owner 59% 11% 25% 4% 291 Non-Gun Owner 77% 6% 12% 4% 219
French Canadian 64% 5% 25% 6% 118 Non-French Canadian 67% 10% 19% 4% 400
Receives Assistance 84% 4% 9% 3% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 66% 9% 21% 4% 484
Veteran 59% 7% 27% 7% 142 Non-Veteran 69% 10% 18% 3% 381
Abortion Legal In All Situations 81% 5% 12% 2% 232 Limited Circumstances 56% 11% 28% 6% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 54% 9% 34% 3% 43
2010 LePage Voter 42% 12% 41% 5% 217 2010 Cutler Voter 93% 1% 4% 2% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 84% 7% 7% 2% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 73% 17% 6% 5% 65
18 to 34 70% 19% 6% 5% 104 35 to 49 62% 5% 30% 3% 135 50 to 64 69% 7% 17% 7% 154 65 and over 68% 6% 25% 1% 121
Male 62% 10% 25% 4% 258 Female 71% 8% 17% 5% 268
High school or less 57% 13% 23% 6% 89 Some college 68% 6% 23% 4% 149 College graduate 65% 12% 20% 4% 193 Post-graduate 75% 5% 17% 3% 93
Protestant 58% 11% 28% 3% 213 Catholic 65% 11% 20% 4% 136 Other 79% 5% 10% 6% 158
Attend services 1 or more a week 67% 7% 22% 4% 91 1-2 times a month 67% 2% 28% 4% 72 Less often 61% 14% 22% 3% 174 Never 72% 8% 14% 6% 174
Northern Maine 62% 6% 30% 2% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 62% 19% 17% 2% 103 Central Maine 57% 6% 28% 9% 120 Southern Maine 77% 7% 13% 3% 194
First Cong. Dist 73% 10% 12% 5% 257 Second Cong. Dist 60% 8% 28% 4% 269
32
Favorability Ratings – Chellie Pingree – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) FIRST CONG DIST 54% 8% 28% 10% 257
Registered Democrat 82% 7% 7% 4% 75 Registered Unenrolled/Other 60% 9% 21% 9% 89 Registered Republican 15% 9% 61% 16% 71
Democrat 81% 8% 4% 7% 126 Independent 39% 5% 50% 5% 50 Republican 19% 7% 55% 18% 76
Extremely Interested 62% 7% 25% 5% 91 Very Interested 52% 10% 31% 7% 100 Some/Little Interest 45% 6% 27% 21% 66
Union household 62% 17% 20% 2% 58 Non-union 52% 5% 31% 12% 199
Gun Owner 44% 12% 33% 10% 124 Non-Gun Owner 64% 4% 22% 10% 126
French Canadian 51% 7% 32% 10% 58 Non-French Canadian 55% 8% 27% 9% 196
Receives Assistance 43% 5% 39% 13% 14 Does Not Receive Assistance 56% 8% 28% 8% 235
Veteran 35% 3% 48% 14% 77 Non-Veteran 62% 10% 20% 8% 180
Abortion Legal In All Situations 76% 8% 11% 4% 132 Limited Circumstances 37% 9% 40% 15% 82 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 10% 3% 68% 19% 18
2010 LePage Voter 24% 7% 54% 14% 90 2010 Cutler Voter 70% 8% 18% 4% 66 2010 Mitchell Voter 95% 2% 1% 2% 42 Did Not Vote in 2010 54% 15% 13% 18% 41
18 to 34 58% 16% 20% 6% 58 35 to 49 42% 5% 35% 17% 60 50 to 64 61% 6% 25% 8% 81 65 and over 51% 6% 34% 9% 54
Male 48% 3% 40% 9% 130 Female 60% 13% 17% 11% 127
High school or less 55% 16% 16% 13% 31 Some college 44% 4% 36% 16% 82 College graduate 53% 11% 29% 7% 97 Post-graduate 74% 3% 21% 2% 47
Protestant 38% 12% 37% 13% 88 Catholic 54% 13% 22% 11% 64 Other 66% 1% 26% 7% 101
Attend services 1 or more a week 39% 4% 44% 13% 36 1-2 times a month 56% 6% 17% 22% 28 Less often 54% 15% 25% 6% 79 Never 59% 5% 28% 8% 111
Downeast/Coastal Maine 54% 28% 16% 2% 37 Central Maine 40% 5% 43% 12% 29 Southern Maine 56% 4% 28% 11% 190
33
Favorability Ratings – Mike Michaud – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE 54% 6% 26% 14% 526
Registered Democrat 79% 6% 7% 8% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 57% 8% 21% 14% 190 Registered Republican 27% 5% 51% 17% 154
Democrat 78% 7% 7% 8% 218 Independent 53% 6% 24% 17% 117 Republican 26% 6% 51% 17% 180
Extremely Interested 57% 7% 28% 8% 173 Very Interested 52% 7% 27% 14% 215 Some/Little Interest 56% 3% 21% 19% 137
Union household 56% 12% 23% 8% 106 Non-union 54% 5% 27% 15% 417
Gun Owner 48% 8% 32% 13% 291 Non-Gun Owner 64% 5% 17% 15% 219
French Canadian 60% 7% 23% 10% 118 Non-French Canadian 53% 6% 27% 14% 400
Receives Assistance 70% 12% 11% 7% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 54% 6% 27% 13% 484
Veteran 52% 4% 33% 11% 142 Non-Veteran 55% 7% 23% 15% 381
Abortion Legal In All Situations 70% 10% 11% 9% 232 Limited Circumstances 46% 2% 41% 11% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 27% 5% 39% 28% 43
2010 LePage Voter 26% 6% 50% 18% 217 2010 Cutler Voter 74% 6% 13% 7% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 89% 2% 5% 5% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 62% 15% 5% 18% 65
18 to 34 62% 11% 16% 11% 104 35 to 49 48% 4% 33% 16% 135 50 to 64 57% 6% 22% 16% 154 65 and over 53% 5% 32% 10% 121
Male 51% 5% 33% 11% 258 Female 57% 7% 19% 17% 268
High school or less 51% 5% 30% 15% 89 Some college 56% 3% 25% 16% 149 College graduate 52% 11% 25% 13% 193 Post-graduate 58% 4% 27% 10% 93
Protestant 43% 8% 33% 17% 213 Catholic 58% 5% 27% 10% 136 Other 68% 6% 14% 12% 158
Attend services 1 or more a week 45% 3% 33% 19% 91 1-2 times a month 53% 0% 34% 13% 72 Less often 52% 11% 23% 14% 174 Never 64% 6% 20% 10% 174
Northern Maine 56% 5% 33% 6% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 55% 12% 28% 4% 103 Central Maine 49% 2% 32% 16% 120 Southern Maine 56% 6% 17% 21% 194
First Cong. Dist 56% 8% 18% 17% 257 Second Cong. Dist 52% 5% 33% 10% 269
34
Favorability Ratings – Eliot Cutler – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE 33% 11% 27% 29% 525
Registered Democrat 34% 12% 30% 24% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 37% 9% 27% 27% 189 Registered Republican 23% 15% 25% 37% 154
Democrat 38% 12% 29% 21% 218 Independent 28% 8% 30% 34% 116 Republican 29% 13% 24% 35% 180
Extremely Interested 28% 9% 39% 24% 172 Very Interested 39% 12% 22% 26% 214 Some/Little Interest 28% 11% 19% 42% 137
Union household 30% 14% 33% 23% 106 Non-union 33% 10% 26% 31% 416
Gun Owner 29% 12% 27% 32% 291 Non-Gun Owner 39% 10% 26% 26% 218
French Canadian 27% 7% 31% 35% 118 Non-French Canadian 35% 12% 26% 27% 399
Receives Assistance 29% 2% 33% 36% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 33% 11% 27% 28% 483
Veteran 24% 9% 32% 34% 141 Non-Veteran 36% 12% 25% 28% 381
Abortion Legal In All Situations 40% 11% 25% 24% 231 Limited Circumstances 32% 11% 24% 33% 206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 13% 14% 41% 32% 43
2010 LePage Voter 18% 12% 32% 37% 217 2010 Cutler Voter 62% 11% 17% 10% 129 2010 Mitchell Voter 18% 20% 42% 20% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 46% 0% 17% 37% 65
18 to 34 38% 16% 24% 22% 104 35 to 49 33% 9% 27% 31% 135 50 to 64 32% 10% 29% 29% 154 65 and over 30% 10% 29% 31% 120
Male 34% 10% 29% 27% 257 Female 31% 12% 25% 31% 268
High school or less 21% 15% 28% 36% 89 Some college 31% 12% 30% 27% 149 College graduate 35% 11% 24% 31% 192 Post-graduate 42% 6% 28% 24% 93
Protestant 33% 9% 28% 29% 212 Catholic 30% 12% 23% 35% 136 Other 36% 11% 28% 25% 158
Attend services 1 or more a week 29% 5% 25% 41% 91 1-2 times a month 30% 8% 33% 28% 72 Less often 35% 15% 25% 25% 174 Never 34% 12% 27% 27% 173
Northern Maine 24% 16% 21% 39% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 31% 15% 33% 21% 102 Central Maine 29% 8% 29% 33% 120 Southern Maine 41% 8% 26% 26% 194
First Cong. Dist 38% 8% 27% 27% 256 Second Cong. Dist 27% 14% 27% 32% 269
35
Favorability Ratings – Bruce Poliquin – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) SECOND CONG DIST 23% 7% 26% 43% 269
Registered Democrat 17% 5% 49% 30% 67 Registered Unenrolled/Other 26% 2% 22% 50% 101 Registered Republican 29% 15% 12% 44% 83
Democrat 9% 6% 47% 38% 92 Independent 23% 2% 21% 54% 67 Republican 36% 13% 12% 40% 104
Extremely Interested 32% 7% 34% 27% 81 Very Interested 21% 12% 23% 43% 115 Some/Little Interest 16% 0% 24% 60% 71
Union household 13% 18% 35% 34% 48 Non-union 25% 5% 25% 45% 219
Gun Owner 28% 10% 23% 40% 166 Non-Gun Owner 14% 4% 34% 48% 93
French Canadian 31% 4% 28% 37% 60 Non-French Canadian 20% 9% 27% 45% 204
Receives Assistance 13% 0% 26% 61% 12 Does Not Receive Assistance 22% 8% 27% 42% 248
Veteran 34% 8% 22% 36% 65 Non-Veteran 19% 7% 28% 46% 201
Abortion Legal In All Situations 13% 3% 39% 45% 99 Limited Circumstances 27% 11% 17% 45% 125 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 29% 12% 22% 37% 25
2010 LePage Voter 37% 11% 12% 40% 127 2010 Cutler Voter 12% 2% 39% 47% 64 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 8% 66% 24% 30 Did Not Vote in 2010 5% 8% 17% 70% 24
18 to 34 0% 4% 18% 78% 46 35 to 49 23% 12% 16% 49% 75 50 to 64 27% 5% 36% 32% 72 65 and over 30% 8% 37% 25% 67
Male 29% 10% 32% 29% 127 Female 18% 5% 21% 56% 142
High school or less 19% 12% 27% 42% 58 Some college 27% 9% 22% 42% 66 College graduate 19% 5% 23% 53% 96 Post-graduate 27% 3% 41% 29% 47
Protestant 26% 10% 21% 43% 125 Catholic 29% 1% 11% 59% 71 Other 12% 7% 52% 29% 57
Attend services 1 or more a week 28% 9% 18% 45% 54 1-2 times a month 40% 6% 27% 27% 44 Less often 19% 9% 19% 53% 96 Never 11% 6% 42% 41% 63
Northern Maine 22% 8% 23% 48% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 7% 14% 32% 48% 66 Central Maine 37% 2% 26% 34% 91
36
Favorability Ratings – Emily Cain – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) SECOND CONG DIST 32% 7% 17% 45% 269
Registered Democrat 53% 7% 4% 36% 67 Registered Unenrolled/Other 32% 6% 17% 45% 101 Registered Republican 18% 4% 30% 47% 83
Democrat 58% 6% 4% 32% 92 Independent 17% 9% 16% 58% 67 Republican 19% 6% 30% 46% 104
Extremely Interested 39% 6% 25% 30% 81 Very Interested 29% 9% 17% 45% 115 Some/Little Interest 29% 3% 9% 59% 71
Union household 40% 6% 18% 36% 48 Non-union 30% 7% 17% 46% 219
Gun Owner 33% 6% 21% 40% 166 Non-Gun Owner 31% 8% 7% 53% 93
French Canadian 25% 8% 15% 52% 60 Non-French Canadian 34% 6% 18% 42% 204
Receives Assistance 37% 8% 3% 52% 12 Does Not Receive Assistance 32% 5% 18% 45% 248
Veteran 29% 6% 14% 51% 65 Non-Veteran 33% 7% 18% 43% 201
Abortion Legal In All Situations 46% 2% 12% 41% 99 Limited Circumstances 24% 7% 21% 48% 125 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 34% 7% 22% 37% 25
2010 LePage Voter 14% 9% 29% 47% 127 2010 Cutler Voter 49% 2% 5% 44% 64 2010 Mitchell Voter 80% 6% 0% 14% 30 Did Not Vote in 2010 24% 6% 5% 66% 24
18 to 34 44% 7% 3% 46% 46 35 to 49 22% 2% 22% 53% 75 50 to 64 30% 13% 13% 43% 72 65 and over 38% 5% 22% 35% 67
Male 28% 10% 25% 38% 127 Female 35% 4% 10% 51% 142
High school or less 22% 5% 17% 56% 58 Some college 40% 8% 22% 30% 66 College graduate 26% 10% 12% 52% 96 Post-graduate 43% 1% 20% 36% 47
Protestant 28% 7% 23% 42% 125 Catholic 34% 7% 12% 47% 71 Other 38% 5% 11% 46% 57
Attend services 1 or more a week 25% 5% 23% 46% 54 1-2 times a month 30% 9% 19% 43% 44 Less often 33% 8% 17% 42% 96 Never 39% 6% 10% 45% 63
Northern Maine 38% 5% 17% 40% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 35% 1% 15% 50% 66 Central Maine 22% 12% 19% 46% 91
37
Favorability Ratings – Shenna Bellows – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) STATEWIDE 17% 6% 13% 64% 526
Registered Democrat 32% 7% 5% 57% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 16% 5% 7% 72% 190 Registered Republican 3% 7% 29% 60% 154
Democrat 32% 6% 4% 58% 218 Independent 8% 3% 15% 74% 117 Republican 3% 7% 24% 66% 180
Extremely Interested 21% 7% 17% 56% 173 Very Interested 20% 6% 15% 59% 215 Some/Little Interest 7% 3% 7% 83% 137
Union household 30% 7% 15% 48% 106 Non-union 13% 6% 13% 68% 417
Gun Owner 12% 6% 16% 65% 291 Non-Gun Owner 24% 5% 8% 62% 218
French Canadian 16% 6% 17% 61% 118 Non-French Canadian 17% 6% 12% 65% 400
Receives Assistance 13% 8% 6% 73% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 17% 6% 13% 64% 484
Veteran 8% 6% 16% 69% 142 Non-Veteran 20% 6% 12% 63% 382
Abortion Legal In All Situations 30% 4% 6% 60% 232 Limited Circumstances 8% 8% 18% 66% 206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 4% 8% 21% 67% 43
2010 LePage Voter 4% 6% 24% 66% 218 2010 Cutler Voter 27% 8% 4% 61% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 37% 8% 3% 52% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 26% 0% 9% 65% 65
18 to 34 27% 5% 2% 66% 104 35 to 49 14% 3% 20% 63% 136 50 to 64 17% 8% 12% 62% 154 65 and over 12% 6% 16% 67% 121
Male 14% 7% 21% 58% 258 Female 19% 5% 6% 71% 268
High school or less 5% 10% 18% 67% 89 Some college 8% 6% 17% 68% 149 College graduate 19% 4% 9% 67% 193 Post-graduate 37% 4% 9% 50% 93
Protestant 14% 5% 17% 65% 212 Catholic 11% 9% 16% 64% 136 Other 28% 3% 6% 63% 159
Attend services 1 or more a week 12% 7% 19% 63% 91 1-2 times a month 13% 4% 14% 69% 72 Less often 18% 6% 14% 62% 174 Never 20% 5% 9% 65% 174
Northern Maine 10% 7% 13% 70% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 27% 5% 11% 57% 103 Central Maine 11% 4% 17% 69% 120 Southern Maine 18% 6% 12% 63% 194
First Cong. Dist 20% 7% 12% 62% 258 Second Cong. Dist 13% 5% 15% 67% 269
38
Favorability Ratings – Isaac Misiuk – Likely Voters
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) FIRST CONG DIST 6% 8% 6% 80% 257
Registered Democrat 5% 7% 5% 83% 75 Registered Unenrolled/Other 9% 6% 2% 83% 89 Registered Republican 2% 13% 12% 73% 71
Democrat 7% 5% 3% 85% 126 Independent 8% 9% 3% 81% 50 Republican 3% 12% 12% 73% 76
Extremely Interested 3% 9% 8% 80% 91 Very Interested 11% 8% 3% 78% 100 Some/Little Interest 2% 6% 8% 84% 66
Union household 10% 4% 13% 73% 58 Non-union 4% 9% 4% 83% 198
Gun Owner 9% 10% 10% 71% 125 Non-Gun Owner 2% 6% 1% 91% 125
French Canadian 5% 10% 12% 74% 58 Non-French Canadian 6% 8% 4% 82% 196
Receives Assistance 5% 5% 5% 85% 14 Does Not Receive Assistance 6% 8% 6% 80% 235
Veteran 4% 8% 12% 77% 76 Non-Veteran 7% 8% 3% 82% 180
Abortion Legal In All Situations 5% 6% 4% 85% 133 Limited Circumstances 6% 13% 12% 68% 81 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 0% 0% 0% 100% 18
2010 LePage Voter 3% 12% 7% 77% 90 2010 Cutler Voter 3% 7% 5% 86% 66 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 11% 1% 84% 42 Did Not Vote in 2010 21% 0% 12% 68% 41
18 to 34 13% 6% 14% 67% 58 35 to 49 1% 6% 0% 93% 60 50 to 64 2% 9% 7% 81% 81 65 and over 8% 8% 3% 80% 54
Male 4% 9% 9% 79% 131 Female 8% 7% 3% 82% 126
High school or less 6% 18% 0% 75% 31 Some college 5% 8% 12% 75% 83 College graduate 8% 7% 2% 83% 96 Post-graduate 2% 2% 8% 88% 47
Protestant 11% 6% 6% 77% 87 Catholic 3% 16% 8% 73% 65 Other 3% 5% 4% 88% 101
Attend services 1 or more a week 5% 9% 14% 73% 36 1-2 times a month 4% 5% 2% 90% 28 Less often 11% 6% 5% 78% 78 Never 3% 10% 5% 82% 111
Downeast/Coastal Maine 18% 10% 0% 72% 37 Central Maine 0% 5% 9% 86% 29 Southern Maine 4% 8% 7% 81% 190
39
Decided on 2014 Governor Vote – Likely Voters
Definitely Leaning Toward Still Trying To Decided Someone Decide (N=) STATEWIDE 34% 18% 48% 524
Registered Democrat 33% 30% 37% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 27% 16% 57% 190 Registered Republican 47% 13% 39% 152
Democrat 31% 23% 45% 216 Independent 21% 18% 61% 118 Republican 47% 13% 41% 179
Extremely Interested 48% 25% 27% 172 Very Interested 32% 21% 47% 214 Some/Little Interest 19% 7% 74% 136
Union household 41% 23% 36% 106 Non-union 32% 17% 50% 415
Gun Owner 39% 13% 48% 289 Non-Gun Owner 27% 26% 48% 218
French Canadian 38% 12% 51% 115 Non-French Canadian 34% 20% 46% 400
Receives Assistance 56% 9% 35% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 34% 19% 47% 481
Veteran 44% 11% 45% 141 Non-Veteran 31% 21% 48% 380
Abortion Legal In All Situations 34% 19% 47% 232 Limited Circumstances 34% 18% 48% 206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 34% 30% 36% 42
2010 LePage Voter 46% 11% 43% 216 2010 Cutler Voter 23% 20% 57% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 39% 31% 30% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 13% 27% 60% 65
18 to 34 12% 21% 67% 104 35 to 49 32% 15% 53% 135 50 to 64 36% 22% 42% 152 65 and over 52% 16% 32% 121
Male 38% 20% 42% 258 Female 30% 17% 53% 266
High school or less 43% 14% 44% 88 Some college 34% 11% 55% 148 College graduate 26% 25% 48% 192 Post-graduate 43% 20% 36% 93
Protestant 34% 17% 49% 213 Catholic 38% 17% 45% 135 Other 32% 24% 45% 157
Attend services 1 or more a week 39% 21% 40% 90 1-2 times a month 39% 13% 48% 72 Less often 29% 18% 53% 174 Never 36% 20% 44% 173
Northern Maine 36% 15% 49% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 43% 18% 39% 102 Central Maine 38% 19% 43% 118 Southern Maine 26% 20% 54% 194
First Cong. Dist 30% 19% 51% 258 Second Cong. Dist 38% 18% 44% 266
40
2014 Governor Vote – Likely Voters
Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 36% 15% 40% 1% 7% 503
Registered Democrat 11% 13% 69% 0% 8% 141 Registered Unenrolled/Other 26% 20% 42% 3% 8% 181 Registered Republican 79% 10% 8% 0% 4% 146
Democrat 5% 16% 70% 3% 6% 213 Independent 33% 16% 35% 0% 16% 106 Republican 75% 14% 8% 0% 4% 175
Definitely Decided 53% 4% 41% 0% 1% 177 Leaning Toward Someone 23% 16% 60% 0% 1% 95 Still Trying To Decide 28% 24% 32% 2% 14% 229
Extremely Interested 34% 14% 47% 0% 6% 173 Very Interested 37% 15% 39% 3% 7% 210 Some/Little Interest 37% 20% 34% 0% 9% 118
Union household 27% 9% 55% 6% 3% 99 Non-union 38% 17% 37% 0% 8% 401
Gun Owner 44% 13% 35% 2% 5% 275 Non-Gun Owner 23% 18% 50% 0% 9% 211
French Canadian 36% 14% 42% 0% 9% 109 Non-French Canadian 35% 16% 40% 1% 7% 387
Receives Assistance 17% 15% 62% 0% 5% 25 Does Not Receive Assistance 37% 16% 39% 1% 7% 463
Veteran 46% 10% 38% 0% 6% 140 Non-Veteran 32% 17% 41% 2% 8% 360
Abortion Legal In All Situations 19% 19% 54% 2% 5% 224 Limited Circumstances 49% 13% 32% 0% 6% 197 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 63% 10% 22% 0% 5% 42
2010 LePage Voter 77% 6% 13% 0% 4% 205 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 36% 54% 0% 6% 126 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 1% 86% 0% 10% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 20% 16% 42% 9% 12% 62
18 to 34 17% 23% 46% 6% 8% 96 35 to 49 48% 18% 30% 0% 5% 129 50 to 64 34% 13% 45% 0% 8% 149 65 and over 39% 10% 42% 0% 9% 120
Male 45% 16% 33% 0% 6% 250 Female 27% 15% 47% 2% 8% 253
High school or less 50% 10% 34% 0% 7% 78 Some college 44% 13% 37% 0% 6% 146 College graduate 31% 17% 40% 3% 9% 184 Post-graduate 22% 21% 54% 0% 4% 93
Protestant 49% 14% 27% 3% 7% 209 Catholic 37% 13% 46% 0% 5% 129 Other 18% 18% 55% 0% 9% 152
Attend services 1 or more a week 48% 10% 37% 0% 6% 87 1-2 times a month 51% 20% 26% 0% 3% 71 Less often 35% 16% 38% 3% 8% 166 Never 24% 16% 51% 0% 8% 169
Northern Maine 37% 14% 45% 0% 4% 95 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 17% 43% 6% 4% 96 Central Maine 54% 11% 30% 0% 5% 118 Southern Maine 28% 18% 43% 0% 11% 193
First Cong. Dist 29% 16% 44% 2% 9% 256 Second Cong. Dist 43% 15% 37% 0% 5% 247
41
2014 Governor Vote – With Leaners – Likely Voters
Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 36% 16% 41% 1% 5% 503
Registered Democrat 11% 14% 70% 0% 5% 141 Registered Unenrolled/Other 27% 21% 43% 3% 6% 181 Registered Republican 79% 10% 9% 0% 3% 146
Democrat 5% 18% 72% 3% 3% 213 Independent 34% 17% 36% 0% 13% 106 Republican 75% 15% 8% 0% 3% 175
Definitely Decided 53% 4% 42% 0% 1% 177 Leaning Toward Someone 24% 16% 60% 0% 0% 95 Still Trying To Decide 29% 26% 33% 2% 10% 229
Extremely Interested 35% 15% 48% 0% 3% 173 Very Interested 37% 15% 40% 3% 6% 210 Some/Little Interest 37% 22% 35% 0% 6% 118
Union household 27% 9% 57% 6% 2% 99 Non-union 39% 18% 38% 0% 6% 401
Gun Owner 45% 14% 35% 2% 4% 275 Non-Gun Owner 23% 20% 51% 0% 6% 211
French Canadian 37% 16% 43% 0% 3% 109 Non-French Canadian 36% 16% 41% 1% 5% 387
Receives Assistance 17% 15% 64% 0% 3% 25 Does Not Receive Assistance 37% 17% 40% 1% 5% 463
Veteran 46% 11% 39% 0% 4% 140 Non-Veteran 33% 18% 42% 2% 5% 360
Abortion Legal In All Situations 19% 21% 55% 2% 3% 224 Limited Circumstances 50% 14% 32% 0% 4% 197 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 63% 10% 22% 0% 5% 42
2010 LePage Voter 78% 6% 13% 0% 3% 205 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 37% 54% 0% 4% 126 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 4% 91% 0% 2% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 20% 18% 42% 9% 10% 62
18 to 34 17% 25% 46% 6% 6% 96 35 to 49 48% 18% 31% 0% 3% 129 50 to 64 35% 13% 46% 0% 6% 149 65 and over 39% 12% 44% 0% 5% 120
Male 45% 16% 35% 0% 4% 250 Female 28% 17% 48% 2% 5% 253
High school or less 50% 11% 34% 0% 6% 78 Some college 44% 14% 37% 0% 5% 146 College graduate 32% 18% 41% 3% 6% 184 Post-graduate 22% 21% 55% 0% 2% 93
Protestant 50% 15% 28% 3% 5% 209 Catholic 37% 13% 46% 0% 4% 129 Other 18% 19% 57% 0% 6% 152
Attend services 1 or more a week 48% 10% 38% 0% 4% 87 1-2 times a month 51% 20% 26% 0% 3% 71 Less often 35% 16% 38% 3% 7% 166 Never 25% 19% 53% 0% 4% 169
Northern Maine 39% 14% 45% 0% 1% 95 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 18% 44% 6% 2% 96 Central Maine 54% 11% 31% 0% 5% 118 Southern Maine 28% 20% 44% 0% 8% 193
First Cong. Dist 29% 17% 45% 2% 7% 256 Second Cong. Dist 44% 15% 37% 0% 3% 247
42
2014 Governor Vote – If LePage and Michaud – Likely Voters
Paul LePage Mike Michaud Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 44% 51% 0% 4% 498
Registered Democrat 12% 82% 1% 5% 141 Registered Unenrolled/Other 41% 56% 0% 3% 179 Registered Republican 85% 10% 0% 4% 146
Democrat 7% 90% 0% 3% 212 Independent 47% 44% 1% 8% 101 Republican 87% 9% 0% 4% 175
Definitely Decided 55% 45% 0% 0% 176 Leaning Toward Someone 28% 72% 0% 0% 93 Still Trying To Decide 42% 48% 1% 9% 226
LePage Supporter 99% 0% 0% 1% 183 Cutler Supporter 41% 53% 1% 5% 74 Michaud Supporter 0% 99% 0% 0% 207
Extremely Interested 40% 58% 0% 2% 171 Very Interested 45% 49% 1% 5% 208 Some/Little Interest 48% 46% 0% 6% 117
Union household 34% 65% 0% 1% 101 Non-union 47% 48% 0% 5% 394
Gun Owner 55% 40% 1% 4% 274 Non-Gun Owner 27% 69% 0% 5% 207
French Canadian 46% 50% 0% 4% 108 Non-French Canadian 43% 52% 0% 4% 383
Veteran 55% 40% 0% 4% 140 Non-Veteran 40% 55% 0% 4% 355
Abortion Legal In All Situations 25% 74% 0% 1% 219 Limited Circumstances 57% 36% 0% 6% 197 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 74% 24% 0% 1% 42
2010 LePage Voter 83% 14% 0% 3% 205 2010 Cutler Voter 18% 75% 1% 6% 123 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 97% 0% 0% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 23% 69% 0% 9% 61
18 to 34 32% 65% 0% 2% 94 35 to 49 57% 41% 0% 2% 126 50 to 64 41% 53% 0% 6% 149 65 and over 42% 51% 1% 6% 118
Male 53% 44% 0% 3% 245 Female 35% 59% 0% 6% 253
High school or less 53% 38% 0% 8% 78 Some college 52% 45% 0% 3% 147 College graduate 40% 55% 0% 5% 180 Post-graduate 31% 66% 1% 2% 90
Attend services 1 or more a week 52% 43% 0% 5% 87 1-2 times a month 63% 35% 0% 2% 70 Less often 47% 49% 1% 4% 164 Never 29% 66% 0% 5% 166
Northern Maine 52% 46% 0% 2% 97 Downeast/Coastal Maine 39% 58% 1% 2% 96 Central Maine 60% 35% 0% 6% 114 Southern Maine 33% 60% 0% 6% 191
First Cong. Dist 34% 61% 0% 5% 254 Second Cong. Dist 55% 41% 0% 4% 244
43
2014 Governor Vote – If LePage and Cutler – Likely Voters
Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 38% 50% 3% 9% 498
Registered Democrat 18% 74% 1% 8% 136 Registered Unenrolled/Other 26% 55% 7% 12% 183 Registered Republican 77% 16% 0% 7% 145
Democrat 10% 81% 4% 6% 208 Independent 35% 41% 5% 19% 109 Republican 73% 18% 0% 8% 173
Definitely Decided 58% 33% 7% 2% 171 Leaning Toward Someone 24% 74% 1% 2% 91 Still Trying To Decide 30% 52% 0% 18% 233
LePage Supporter 92% 1% 0% 7% 180 Cutler Supporter 3% 90% 0% 7% 82 Michaud Supporter 9% 79% 7% 4% 195
Extremely Interested 36% 54% 3% 7% 168 Very Interested 37% 48% 4% 11% 208 Some/Little Interest 42% 47% 0% 11% 120
Union household 28% 65% 3% 4% 105 Non-union 41% 45% 3% 11% 390
Gun Owner 47% 42% 2% 8% 278 Non-Gun Owner 24% 62% 3% 11% 205
French Canadian 43% 40% 3% 14% 110 Non-French Canadian 36% 53% 3% 8% 381
Veteran 51% 36% 4% 9% 137 Non-Veteran 33% 54% 2% 10% 358
Abortion Legal In All Situations 20% 71% 4% 5% 221 Limited Circumstances 51% 38% 0% 11% 195 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 71% 19% 1% 9% 41
2010 LePage Voter 82% 11% 0% 7% 211 2010 Cutler Voter 3% 86% 4% 7% 129 2010 Mitchell Voter 4% 80% 7% 9% 66 Did Not Vote in 2010 16% 70% 0% 14% 57
18 to 34 20% 70% 0% 9% 98 35 to 49 46% 39% 6% 9% 131 50 to 64 39% 46% 3% 12% 144 65 and over 42% 48% 2% 8% 115
Male 45% 41% 3% 10% 243 Female 31% 58% 2% 9% 255
High school or less 52% 33% 1% 14% 78 Some college 45% 37% 6% 11% 141 College graduate 34% 57% 0% 9% 188 Post-graduate 24% 67% 4% 4% 89
Attend services 1 or more a week 47% 43% 0% 10% 85 1-2 times a month 48% 43% 0% 9% 70 Less often 34% 53% 3% 10% 165 Never 32% 54% 5% 8% 168
Northern Maine 41% 43% 4% 11% 100 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 62% 4% 4% 97 Central Maine 54% 36% 1% 10% 117 Southern Maine 31% 55% 3% 10% 184
First Cong. Dist 34% 55% 3% 8% 246 Second Cong. Dist 43% 44% 2% 11% 252
44
2014 Governor Election – Who Will Win – Likely Voters
Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Mike Michaud Other DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE 31% 7% 43% 0% 19% 526
Registered Democrat 19% 8% 57% 0% 17% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 26% 7% 44% 0% 23% 190 Registered Republican 53% 6% 24% 0% 16% 154
Democrat 16% 7% 59% 0% 18% 218 Independent 28% 9% 41% 0% 22% 117 Republican 51% 5% 25% 0% 19% 180
LePage Supporter 63% 3% 18% 0% 15% 183 Cutler Supporter 17% 21% 43% 0% 19% 82 Michaud Supporter 12% 3% 72% 0% 13% 207
Extremely Interested 37% 7% 39% 0% 17% 173 Very Interested 27% 8% 45% 0% 20% 215 Some/Little Interest 30% 4% 44% 0% 21% 137
Union household 28% 3% 46% 0% 23% 106 Non-union 32% 7% 42% 0% 18% 417
Gun Owner 39% 6% 38% 0% 16% 291 Non-Gun Owner 20% 7% 50% 0% 22% 219
French Canadian 32% 7% 45% 0% 16% 118 Non-French Canadian 32% 6% 42% 0% 19% 400
Veteran 35% 5% 42% 0% 18% 142 Non-Veteran 30% 7% 43% 0% 19% 381
Abortion Legal In All Situations 21% 9% 53% 0% 18% 232 Limited Circumstances 40% 4% 38% 0% 18% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 51% 5% 27% 0% 17% 43
2010 LePage Voter 53% 5% 26% 0% 16% 217 2010 Cutler Voter 25% 9% 48% 0% 18% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 8% 8% 65% 0% 20% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 14% 7% 53% 0% 26% 65
18 to 34 17% 9% 59% 0% 16% 104 35 to 49 36% 9% 41% 0% 14% 135 50 to 64 36% 7% 39% 0% 18% 154 65 and over 32% 2% 37% 0% 28% 121
Male 38% 5% 43% 0% 14% 258 Female 25% 8% 43% 0% 24% 268
High school or less 46% 4% 33% 0% 16% 89 Some college 32% 2% 48% 0% 19% 149 College graduate 25% 13% 43% 0% 19% 193 Post-graduate 29% 3% 46% 0% 22% 93
Protestant 39% 8% 33% 0% 19% 213 Catholic 32% 7% 47% 0% 14% 136 Other 22% 4% 53% 0% 21% 158
Attend services 1 or more a week 34% 8% 39% 0% 19% 91 1-2 times a month 43% 6% 35% 0% 15% 72 Less often 29% 7% 40% 0% 24% 174 Never 28% 6% 52% 0% 14% 174
Northern Maine 25% 5% 49% 0% 21% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 8% 41% 0% 21% 103 Central Maine 41% 4% 37% 0% 18% 120 Southern Maine 29% 8% 45% 0% 18% 194
First Cong. Dist 28% 9% 45% 0% 18% 257 Second Cong. Dist 34% 5% 41% 0% 20% 269
45
Medicaid Expansion Veto Affect LePage Vote – Likely Voters
More Likely Less Likely Little Difference To Vote For To Vote For In Your Vote DK/Unsure (N=) STATEWIDE 28% 31% 39% 2% 527
Registered Democrat 9% 57% 34% 0% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 26% 29% 41% 5% 191 Registered Republican 52% 10% 36% 1% 154
Democrat 6% 56% 35% 3% 218 Independent 30% 22% 47% 1% 118 Republican 52% 7% 38% 2% 180
Definitely Decided 38% 28% 32% 1% 178 Leaning Toward Someone 19% 52% 28% 0% 96 Still Trying To Decide 24% 26% 47% 3% 249
Extremely Interested 27% 43% 30% 0% 173 Very Interested 29% 32% 36% 3% 215 Some/Little Interest 27% 16% 55% 3% 137
Union household 21% 38% 35% 6% 106 Non-union 30% 30% 39% 1% 418
Gun Owner 37% 22% 37% 4% 291 Non-Gun Owner 15% 45% 40% 0% 219
French Canadian 31% 24% 44% 1% 118 Non-French Canadian 27% 34% 37% 2% 401
Receives Assistance 10% 49% 41% 0% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 28% 31% 38% 2% 484
Veteran 31% 22% 46% 2% 142 Non-Veteran 27% 35% 36% 2% 382
Abortion Legal In All Situations 14% 46% 36% 4% 232 Limited Circumstances 35% 21% 43% 1% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 49% 29% 22% 0% 43
2010 LePage Voter 56% 9% 34% 1% 218 2010 Cutler Voter 9% 45% 44% 2% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 2% 69% 29% 0% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 12% 39% 40% 8% 65
18 to 34 17% 33% 44% 5% 104 35 to 49 40% 19% 39% 2% 136 50 to 64 24% 40% 35% 1% 154 65 and over 28% 35% 36% 2% 121
Male 31% 27% 42% 0% 258 Female 25% 36% 35% 4% 268
High school or less 32% 20% 45% 3% 89 Some college 31% 24% 45% 0% 149 College graduate 28% 37% 31% 4% 193 Post-graduate 21% 43% 36% 0% 93
Protestant 37% 28% 30% 4% 213 Catholic 24% 24% 52% 1% 136 Other 18% 43% 39% 1% 159
Attend services 1 or more a week 33% 34% 32% 1% 91 1-2 times a month 37% 24% 36% 3% 72 Less often 28% 29% 41% 3% 174 Never 21% 37% 41% 1% 174
Northern Maine 36% 23% 40% 0% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 20% 42% 30% 8% 103 Central Maine 39% 19% 40% 2% 120 Southern Maine 21% 38% 41% 0% 195
First Cong. Dist 19% 37% 42% 2% 258 Second Cong. Dist 37% 26% 35% 2% 269
46
Decided on 2014 Senate Vote – Likely Voters
Definitely Leaning Toward Still Trying To Decided Someone Decide (N=) STATEWIDE 16% 13% 71% 517
Registered Democrat 19% 15% 65% 140 Registered Unenrolled/Other 8% 17% 74% 187 Registered Republican 25% 5% 69% 151
Democrat 16% 17% 66% 212 Independent 13% 14% 73% 117 Republican 19% 6% 75% 177
Extremely Interested 33% 14% 53% 170 Very Interested 10% 14% 76% 211 Some/Little Interest 4% 9% 87% 135
Union household 31% 10% 59% 103 Non-union 13% 13% 74% 411
Gun Owner 15% 13% 71% 285 Non-Gun Owner 16% 13% 71% 216
French Canadian 18% 7% 75% 116 Non-French Canadian 16% 14% 69% 393
Receives Assistance 7% 44% 48% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 17% 11% 72% 476
Veteran 22% 14% 64% 140 Non-Veteran 14% 12% 73% 375
Abortion Legal In All Situations 18% 13% 69% 229 Limited Circumstances 14% 12% 74% 202 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 25% 12% 63% 42
2010 LePage Voter 19% 5% 77% 216 2010 Cutler Voter 11% 18% 71% 126 2010 Mitchell Voter 28% 18% 54% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 11% 13% 76% 64
18 to 34 5% 20% 75% 103 35 to 49 10% 8% 82% 132 50 to 64 20% 13% 68% 151 65 and over 28% 12% 60% 120
Male 22% 12% 67% 253 Female 11% 14% 76% 265
High school or less 12% 7% 82% 87 Some college 18% 16% 66% 146 College graduate 13% 14% 72% 189 Post-graduate 25% 9% 66% 93
Protestant 15% 16% 69% 207 Catholic 14% 13% 73% 136 Other 21% 8% 71% 155
Attend services 1 or more a week 18% 23% 59% 88 1-2 times a month 15% 11% 74% 71 Less often 13% 11% 76% 172 Never 19% 9% 72% 172
Northern Maine 16% 17% 67% 106 Downeast/Coastal Maine 20% 15% 65% 102 Central Maine 14% 5% 81% 118 Southern Maine 16% 13% 71% 191
First Cong. Dist 18% 11% 71% 253 Second Cong. Dist 14% 14% 71% 264
47
2014 Senate Vote – Likely Voters
Susan Collins Shenna Bellows Other Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 72% 17% 1% 10% 495
Registered Democrat 45% 44% 1% 10% 138 Registered Unenrolled/Other 81% 9% 1% 9% 182 Registered Republican 86% 2% 3% 9% 141
Democrat 53% 34% 1% 13% 209 Independent 87% 5% 1% 7% 113 Republican 86% 4% 3% 8% 164
Definitely Decided 61% 34% 2% 3% 82 Leaning Toward Someone 77% 21% 0% 2% 59 Still Trying To Decide 73% 12% 2% 13% 345
LePage Supporter 87% 3% 3% 6% 172 Cutler Supporter 72% 20% 0% 8% 77 Michaud Supporter 62% 31% 1% 7% 200
Extremely Interested 61% 29% 1% 9% 169 Very Interested 77% 12% 0% 11% 204 Some/Little Interest 79% 7% 4% 10% 120
Union household 58% 29% 1% 12% 100 Non-union 76% 14% 1% 9% 392
Gun Owner 78% 10% 3% 10% 274 Non-Gun Owner 63% 26% 0% 11% 204
French Canadian 75% 17% 1% 7% 109 Non-French Canadian 71% 17% 2% 10% 379
Veteran 83% 9% 1% 7% 130 Non-Veteran 68% 20% 1% 11% 362
Abortion Legal In All Situations 61% 29% 0% 10% 224 Limited Circumstances 84% 6% 4% 6% 192 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 74% 12% 0% 14% 39
2010 LePage Voter 86% 3% 3% 8% 208 2010 Cutler Voter 70% 22% 1% 7% 127 2010 Mitchell Voter 38% 52% 0% 10% 70 Did Not Vote in 2010 56% 19% 0% 24% 53
18 to 34 65% 23% 4% 9% 90 35 to 49 85% 8% 0% 7% 132 50 to 64 62% 23% 1% 13% 147 65 and over 75% 15% 1% 9% 117
Male 75% 18% 1% 6% 242 Female 69% 15% 2% 13% 253
High school or less 69% 10% 7% 15% 78 Some college 82% 9% 0% 8% 138 College graduate 74% 16% 1% 9% 185 Post-graduate 56% 35% 0% 9% 91
Attend services 1 or more a week 79% 12% 1% 8% 87 1-2 times a month 76% 14% 0% 10% 72 Less often 73% 13% 1% 12% 158 Never 65% 25% 3% 8% 164
Northern Maine 85% 10% 0% 5% 102 Downeast/Coastal Maine 66% 18% 5% 11% 99 Central Maine 77% 15% 0% 8% 112 Southern Maine 65% 21% 1% 12% 182
First Cong. Dist 64% 21% 2% 13% 239 Second Cong. Dist 79% 13% 1% 7% 255
48
2014 Congressional District 1 Vote– Likely Voters
Isaac Misiuk Chellie Pingree Other Undecided (N=) FIRST CONG DIST 22% 56% 2% 20% 227
Registered Democrat 5% 87% 0% 8% 73 Registered Unenrolled/Other 15% 54% 6% 25% 80 Registered Republican 58% 15% 1% 26% 59
Democrat 2% 86% 0% 12% 123 Independent 26% 26% 12% 36% 36 Republican 57% 16% 2% 26% 63
LePage Supporter 61% 16% 2% 21% 61 Cutler Supporter 9% 76% 0% 15% 37 Michaud Supporter 5% 83% 4% 8% 106
Extremely Interested 23% 67% 2% 9% 86 Very Interested 22% 45% 4% 29% 93 Some/Little Interest 20% 59% 0% 21% 48
Union household 16% 64% 0% 21% 52 Non-union 24% 54% 3% 19% 174
Gun Owner 24% 45% 5% 26% 107 Non-Gun Owner 18% 68% 0% 14% 114
French Canadian 23% 58% 1% 18% 48 Non-French Canadian 21% 56% 3% 21% 177
Receives Assistance 12% 34% 40% 15% 12 Does Not Receive Assistance 21% 59% 0% 20% 208
Veteran 37% 37% 7% 18% 68 Non-Veteran 15% 64% 0% 20% 159
Abortion Legal In All Situations 7% 78% 0% 16% 125 Limited Circumstances 34% 42% 2% 22% 65 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 73% 1% 0% 26% 14
2010 LePage Voter 53% 21% 2% 24% 73 2010 Cutler Voter 7% 79% 0% 14% 60 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 91% 0% 7% 42 Did Not Vote in 2010 12% 49% 0% 38% 38
18 to 34 11% 68% 0% 21% 49 35 to 49 22% 48% 8% 22% 52 50 to 64 22% 56% 2% 20% 73 65 and over 31% 52% 0% 17% 49
Male 28% 48% 4% 20% 115 Female 15% 64% 1% 20% 112
High school or less 15% 55% 0% 30% 21 Some college 31% 43% 7% 20% 75 College graduate 22% 58% 0% 20% 85 Post-graduate 10% 75% 1% 14% 45
Protestant 30% 38% 1% 30% 81 Catholic 21% 62% 0% 17% 55 Other 15% 67% 5% 13% 88
Attend services 1 or more a week 39% 39% 2% 19% 33 1-2 times a month 24% 61% 0% 15% 28 Less often 19% 58% 0% 23% 71 Never 18% 60% 5% 17% 92
Downeast/Coastal Maine 19% 61% 0% 20% 33 Central Maine 29% 53% 0% 18% 22 Southern Maine 21% 56% 3% 20% 171
49
2014 Congressional District 2 Vote – Likely Voters
Bruce Poliquin Emily Cain Other Undecided (N=) SECOND CONG DIST 39% 44% 0% 17% 222
Registered Democrat 12% 77% 0% 11% 58 Registered Unenrolled/Other 31% 48% 0% 20% 82 Registered Republican 74% 9% 0% 17% 72
Democrat 4% 87% 0% 9% 82 Independent 28% 33% 1% 39% 46 Republican 78% 7% 0% 14% 89
LePage Supporter 72% 11% 0% 16% 96 Cutler Supporter 46% 34% 1% 18% 26 Michaud Supporter 3% 88% 0% 9% 82
Extremely Interested 41% 47% 1% 11% 70 Very Interested 43% 43% 0% 14% 94 Some/Little Interest 28% 42% 0% 29% 55
Union household 38% 45% 1% 17% 41 Non-union 40% 43% 0% 17% 178
Gun Owner 45% 38% 0% 17% 142 Non-Gun Owner 25% 56% 0% 19% 71
French Canadian 43% 38% 0% 19% 51 Non-French Canadian 38% 45% 0% 16% 166
Receives Assistance 30% 70% 0% 0% 6 Does Not Receive Assistance 39% 43% 0% 17% 207
Veteran 40% 34% 1% 26% 57 Non-Veteran 39% 46% 0% 14% 163
Abortion Legal In All Situations 15% 62% 0% 24% 81 Limited Circumstances 52% 35% 0% 13% 105 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 66% 30% 0% 3% 20
2010 LePage Voter 66% 9% 0% 24% 106 2010 Cutler Voter 17% 74% 0% 9% 54 2010 Mitchell Voter 0% 99% 0% 1% 25 Did Not Vote in 2010 20% 62% 0% 17% 21
18 to 34 17% 77% 0% 7% 30 35 to 49 55% 21% 0% 24% 62 50 to 64 34% 47% 1% 18% 61 65 and over 37% 46% 1% 16% 62
Male 49% 37% 0% 13% 102 Female 30% 49% 0% 20% 119
High school or less 46% 39% 0% 16% 47 Some college 43% 41% 1% 16% 60 College graduate 36% 45% 0% 19% 74 Post-graduate 34% 49% 1% 16% 39
Protestant 51% 32% 0% 17% 109 Catholic 38% 41% 1% 21% 61 Other 18% 74% 0% 8% 43
Attend services 1 or more a week 41% 48% 0% 11% 43 1-2 times a month 57% 27% 0% 17% 36 Less often 43% 36% 0% 20% 83 Never 18% 63% 1% 18% 52
Northern Maine 32% 46% 0% 21% 90 Downeast/Coastal Maine 30% 56% 1% 13% 58 Central Maine 55% 30% 0% 15% 73
50
Impact of Newspaper Endorsements – Likely Voters
Very Somewhat Not Too Not At All Important Important Important Important Don’t Know (N=) STATEWIDE 5% 22% 22% 49% 2% 526
Registered Democrat 7% 34% 25% 32% 2% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 6% 14% 20% 59% 2% 191 Registered Republican 3% 18% 21% 55% 2% 154
Democrat 6% 29% 24% 38% 2% 218 Independent 6% 15% 24% 55% 0% 118 Republican 3% 17% 20% 58% 2% 180
Extremely Interested 7% 23% 18% 51% 1% 173 Very Interested 2% 23% 26% 46% 2% 215 Some/Little Interest 7% 18% 22% 52% 1% 136
Union household 9% 20% 22% 49% 0% 106 Non-union 4% 22% 22% 49% 2% 417
Gun Owner 5% 22% 20% 52% 1% 291 Non-Gun Owner 4% 22% 26% 45% 3% 218
French Canadian 7% 20% 21% 49% 3% 118 Non-French Canadian 4% 22% 23% 49% 2% 401
Receives Assistance 8% 10% 5% 72% 5% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 5% 22% 24% 48% 2% 484
Veteran 3% 25% 21% 48% 2% 142 Non-Veteran 6% 20% 23% 49% 2% 382
Abortion Legal In All Situations 6% 21% 24% 48% 1% 232 Limited Circumstances 3% 23% 25% 46% 2% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 8% 22% 14% 50% 5% 43
2010 LePage Voter 6% 20% 17% 55% 2% 217 2010 Cutler Voter 3% 19% 25% 51% 3% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 8% 37% 18% 34% 3% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 4% 20% 37% 39% 0% 65
18 to 34 1% 17% 42% 38% 2% 104 35 to 49 4% 10% 15% 70% 1% 136 50 to 64 6% 29% 17% 47% 1% 154 65 and over 9% 30% 21% 36% 4% 121
Male 6% 24% 17% 51% 2% 258 Female 5% 20% 27% 46% 2% 268
High school or less 7% 29% 19% 45% 0% 88 Some college 6% 22% 16% 55% 2% 149 College graduate 4% 18% 28% 46% 3% 193 Post-graduate 4% 22% 24% 49% 1% 93
Protestant 3% 18% 26% 50% 3% 212 Catholic 10% 19% 18% 52% 1% 136 Other 3% 30% 20% 45% 1% 159
Attend services 1 or more a week 5% 22% 21% 49% 2% 90 1-2 times a month 3% 18% 26% 52% 2% 72 Less often 4% 18% 26% 50% 2% 174 Never 6% 28% 18% 46% 2% 174
Northern Maine 9% 18% 23% 49% 1% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 3% 29% 23% 40% 4% 103 Central Maine 5% 27% 22% 44% 2% 120 Southern Maine 5% 17% 21% 56% 1% 195
First Cong. Dist 4% 20% 22% 52% 1% 258 Second Cong. Dist 6% 23% 22% 46% 3% 269
51
Knowledge of Bear Trapping Referendum – Likely Voters
A Great A Fair Only A Nothing Deal Amount Little At All Don’t Know (N=) STATEWIDE 18% 22% 30% 30% 0% 527
Registered Democrat 16% 26% 38% 20% 0% 142 Registered Unenrolled/Other 20% 17% 25% 38% 0% 191 Registered Republican 20% 26% 29% 24% 0% 154
Democrat 16% 24% 34% 25% 0% 218 Independent 13% 20% 30% 37% 1% 118 Republican 24% 22% 26% 28% 0% 180
Extremely Interested 29% 28% 26% 17% 0% 173 Very Interested 13% 22% 35% 29% 0% 215 Some/Little Interest 13% 15% 27% 45% 0% 137
Union household 17% 27% 33% 22% 0% 106 Non-union 18% 21% 29% 32% 0% 418
Gun Owner 23% 24% 26% 27% 0% 291 Non-Gun Owner 12% 20% 35% 33% 1% 219
French Canadian 23% 20% 22% 36% 0% 118 Non-French Canadian 17% 23% 32% 28% 0% 401
Receives Assistance 19% 12% 35% 34% 0% 26 Does Not Receive Assistance 19% 23% 29% 29% 0% 484
Veteran 14% 20% 28% 37% 1% 142 Non-Veteran 20% 23% 31% 27% 0% 382
Abortion Legal In All Situations 18% 22% 33% 27% 0% 232 Limited Circumstances 20% 22% 29% 30% 0% 207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 18% 25% 17% 39% 0% 43
2010 LePage Voter 21% 24% 28% 27% 0% 218 2010 Cutler Voter 20% 17% 35% 27% 0% 130 2010 Mitchell Voter 17% 37% 26% 21% 0% 72 Did Not Vote in 2010 16% 8% 29% 46% 0% 65
18 to 34 22% 5% 24% 49% 0% 104 35 to 49 14% 24% 25% 37% 0% 136 50 to 64 18% 27% 37% 17% 1% 154 65 and over 20% 26% 32% 22% 1% 121
Male 22% 26% 28% 23% 0% 258 Female 14% 18% 31% 36% 0% 268
High school or less 19% 25% 31% 25% 1% 89 Some college 17% 20% 28% 34% 0% 149 College graduate 20% 22% 28% 31% 0% 193 Post-graduate 16% 22% 36% 25% 1% 93
Protestant 17% 25% 27% 31% 0% 213 Catholic 23% 21% 28% 27% 0% 136 Other 17% 19% 35% 29% 0% 159
Attend services 1 or more a week 14% 18% 30% 38% 0% 91 1-2 times a month 22% 22% 33% 23% 0% 72 Less often 13% 25% 35% 27% 0% 174 Never 23% 23% 24% 29% 1% 174
Northern Maine 18% 22% 25% 34% 0% 109 Downeast/Coastal Maine 14% 32% 27% 27% 0% 103 Central Maine 24% 21% 24% 31% 1% 120 Southern Maine 17% 17% 37% 28% 0% 195
First Cong. Dist 16% 22% 34% 28% 0% 258 Second Cong. Dist 21% 23% 25% 31% 0% 269
52
Vote on Bear Referendum – Likely Voters
For Against Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 48% 44% 8% 450
Registered Democrat 56% 34% 10% 129 Registered Unenrolled/Other 58% 36% 6% 151 Registered Republican 31% 59% 9% 138
Democrat 61% 31% 8% 187 Independent 53% 41% 6% 101 Republican 28% 64% 8% 153
Heard A Great Deal 31% 67% 2% 89 Heard A Fair Amount 47% 49% 4% 109 Heard Only A Little 55% 32% 13% 131 Heard Nothing At All 54% 37% 9% 118
Extremely Interested 44% 48% 9% 157 Very Interested 51% 42% 8% 179 Some/Little Interest 50% 44% 7% 112
Union household 53% 33% 14% 94 Non-union 46% 48% 6% 353
Gun Owner 40% 53% 7% 254 Non-Gun Owner 61% 32% 8% 183
French Canadian 42% 48% 10% 109 Non-French Canadian 50% 43% 7% 335
Receives Assistance 80% 17% 3% 24 Does Not Receive Assistance 46% 46% 8% 412
Veteran 43% 45% 11% 118 Non-Veteran 49% 44% 6% 329
Abortion Legal In All Situations 58% 33% 9% 198 Limited Circumstances 42% 50% 8% 176 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 26% 73% 1% 36
2010 LePage Voter 32% 61% 7% 195 2010 Cutler Voter 56% 37% 8% 108 2010 Mitchell Voter 58% 30% 12% 63 Did Not Vote in 2010 69% 29% 2% 48
18 to 34 47% 46% 7% 85 35 to 49 42% 54% 4% 118 50 to 64 53% 40% 7% 140 65 and over 47% 37% 15% 99
Male 44% 49% 7% 223 Female 52% 40% 9% 227
High school or less 35% 58% 7% 77 Some college 44% 49% 7% 128 College graduate 55% 36% 8% 160 Post-graduate 51% 42% 8% 82
Protestant 41% 51% 7% 180 Catholic 45% 45% 11% 114 Other 61% 34% 4% 141
Attend services 1 or more a week 43% 46% 11% 71 1-2 times a month 44% 49% 7% 64 Less often 52% 43% 6% 150 Never 49% 42% 9% 153
Northern Maine 45% 46% 8% 87 Downeast/Coastal Maine 40% 55% 5% 86 Central Maine 40% 52% 7% 103 Southern Maine 58% 33% 9% 174
First Cong. Dist 53% 39% 8% 226 Second Cong. Dist 43% 50% 7% 223
53
Most Important Problem in Maine
Jobs/ Budget/ Health Other/ Education Taxes Governor Econ Welfare Govt. Poverty Care DK (N=) STATEWIDE 6% 6% 12% 37% 12% 8% 4% 3% 13% 601
Registered Democrat 4% 3% 30% 27% 8% 6% 6% 5% 10% 144 Registered Unenrolled/Other 10% 7% 6% 39% 14% 8% 2% 3% 11% 216 Registered Republican 4% 8% 4% 43% 13% 9% 0% 4% 15% 165
Democrat 7% 3% 24% 32% 6% 8% 6% 4% 10% 236 Independent 5% 9% 4% 37% 15% 3% 6% 2% 19% 137 Republican 6% 7% 3% 42% 17% 9% 0% 3% 13% 199
Extremely Interested 3% 6% 23% 30% 9% 10% 3% 5% 11% 174 Very Interested 3% 3% 10% 44% 11% 8% 3% 3% 14% 215 Some/Little Interest 10% 8% 4% 36% 14% 5% 5% 2% 15% 205
Union household 8% 9% 17% 33% 12% 5% 4% 0% 11% 111 Non-union 5% 5% 11% 38% 12% 7% 3% 4% 14% 482
Gun Owner 5% 6% 10% 42% 13% 7% 3% 2% 13% 316 Non-Gun Owner 6% 5% 14% 32% 10% 9% 5% 5% 15% 268
French Canadian 4% 10% 11% 36% 12% 7% 3% 4% 14% 130 Non-French Canadian 6% 4% 12% 37% 12% 8% 4% 3% 14% 463
Receives Assistance 0% 4% 10% 31% 1% 8% 12% 11% 22% 42 Does Not Receive Assistance 6% 6% 12% 37% 13% 8% 3% 3% 13% 534
Veteran 7% 8% 12% 37% 9% 10% 4% 1% 13% 165 Non-Veteran 5% 5% 12% 38% 13% 6% 4% 4% 14% 428
Abortion Legal In All Situations 7% 5% 16% 36% 8% 9% 4% 3% 11% 277 Limited Circumstances 5% 6% 8% 37% 16% 8% 3% 3% 14% 220 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 1% 5% 9% 41% 10% 4% 3% 7% 20% 55
2010 LePage Voter 3% 6% 1% 44% 21% 9% 1% 2% 13% 221 2010 Cutler Voter 5% 5% 21% 42% 5% 4% 4% 2% 11% 135 2010 Mitchell Voter 6% 0% 40% 20% 2% 13% 5% 6% 7% 73 Did Not Vote in 2010 10% 7% 4% 26% 10% 8% 8% 5% 22% 125
18 to 34 14% 7% 2% 33% 9% 3% 7% 3% 21% 146 35 to 49 4% 7% 6% 44% 18% 6% 1% 3% 11% 158 50 to 64 1% 3% 17% 40% 11% 9% 4% 4% 11% 161 65 and over 4% 6% 22% 31% 7% 13% 2% 4% 12% 123
Male 2% 9% 12% 41% 8% 11% 3% 2% 13% 289 Female 9% 3% 12% 34% 15% 5% 4% 4% 14% 312
High school or less 7% 3% 7% 33% 19% 10% 1% 6% 14% 110 Some college 3% 7% 7% 42% 9% 9% 6% 2% 15% 178 College graduate 8% 8% 12% 35% 11% 7% 2% 4% 14% 214 Post-graduate 4% 2% 24% 38% 9% 5% 5% 2% 11% 96
Protestant 4% 4% 10% 38% 15% 9% 3% 4% 12% 225 Catholic 4% 7% 10% 39% 18% 5% 3% 3% 11% 151 Other 9% 7% 16% 34% 3% 6% 5% 3% 15% 187
Attend services 1 or more a week 2% 5% 13% 34% 17% 4% 5% 4% 15% 109 1-2 times a month 4% 4% 10% 32% 24% 8% 4% 0% 15% 71 Less often 5% 3% 10% 42% 10% 7% 4% 4% 16% 186 Never 9% 9% 13% 36% 7% 10% 3% 3% 10% 218
Northern Maine 1% 4% 7% 41% 18% 9% 5% 1% 15% 131 Downeast/Coastal Maine 9% 1% 19% 30% 12% 11% 1% 3% 14% 109 Central Maine 7% 8% 8% 37% 14% 8% 4% 2% 13% 143 Southern Maine 6% 7% 14% 40% 6% 5% 4% 5% 13% 218
First Cong. Dist 8% 7% 13% 38% 8% 6% 4% 5% 10% 286 Second Cong. Dist 3% 4% 11% 37% 15% 9% 3% 2% 17% 315
54
Party Registration
Registered Unenrolled/ Registered Democrat Other Republican (N=) STATEWIDE 28% 41% 31% 543
Democrat 63% 35% 2% 214 Independent 5% 78% 17% 115 Republican 3% 26% 70% 199
Likely Voter 29% 39% 32% 487 Non-Likely Voter 13% 57% 30% 55
Extremely Interested 39% 29% 33% 164 Very Interested 29% 38% 33% 213 Some/Little Interest 16% 58% 27% 162
Union household 34% 41% 25% 107 Non-union 26% 41% 33% 433
Gun Owner 21% 44% 35% 296 Non-Gun Owner 37% 36% 27% 232
French Canadian 28% 42% 30% 115 Non-French Canadian 28% 41% 31% 419
Receives Assistance 17% 63% 20% 31 Does Not Receive Assistance 29% 38% 32% 489
Veteran 19% 39% 42% 143 Non-Veteran 31% 41% 28% 397
Abortion Legal In All Situations 38% 46% 16% 245 Limited Circumstances 20% 38% 42% 208 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 19% 17% 64% 48
2010 LePage Voter 10% 33% 57% 214 2010 Cutler Voter 36% 46% 17% 132 2010 Mitchell Voter 67% 31% 2% 74 Did Not Vote in 2010 24% 53% 23% 80
18 to 34 25% 50% 25% 109 35 to 49 13% 48% 40% 146 50 to 64 40% 36% 24% 157 65 and over 33% 32% 35% 121
Male 24% 37% 39% 255 Female 30% 45% 25% 288
High school or less 24% 36% 40% 99 Some college 15% 49% 36% 156 College graduate 28% 45% 27% 194 Post-graduate 52% 25% 23% 91
Protestant 17% 38% 45% 220 Catholic 35% 38% 27% 140 Other 38% 46% 16% 159
Attend services 1 or more a week 26% 27% 47% 97 1-2 times a month 17% 49% 34% 72 Less often 31% 40% 30% 173 Never 31% 47% 22% 188
Northern Maine 23% 45% 32% 117 Downeast/Coastal Maine 25% 41% 34% 100 Central Maine 26% 42% 32% 130 Southern Maine 33% 38% 29% 196
First Cong. Dist 32% 37% 31% 256 Second Cong. Dist 24% 44% 32% 287
55
Party Identification
Democrat Independent Republican (N=) STATEWIDE 41% 24% 35% 594
Registered Democrat 91% 4% 4% 148 Registered Unenrolled/Other 34% 41% 24% 216 Registered Republican 3% 12% 85% 164
Likely Voter 42% 23% 35% 516 Non-Likely Voter 30% 34% 36% 78
Extremely Interested 48% 22% 30% 172 Very Interested 42% 21% 37% 222 Some/Little Interest 33% 31% 36% 198
Union household 48% 24% 29% 107 Non-union 39% 25% 36% 487
Gun Owner 33% 24% 43% 316 Non-Gun Owner 51% 25% 25% 265
French Canadian 37% 25% 38% 127 Non-French Canadian 42% 24% 34% 463
Receives Assistance 30% 47% 23% 43 Does Not Receive Assistance 42% 22% 36% 538
Veteran 28% 31% 41% 164 Non-Veteran 45% 22% 33% 430
Abortion Legal In All Situations 61% 20% 19% 268 Limited Circumstances 26% 23% 51% 232 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 22% 24% 54% 52
2010 LePage Voter 11% 26% 63% 228 2010 Cutler Voter 65% 16% 19% 134 2010 Mitchell Voter 88% 9% 3% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 43% 29% 28% 115
18 to 34 47% 27% 26% 136 35 to 49 23% 33% 43% 156 50 to 64 50% 19% 30% 164 65 and over 42% 18% 40% 128
Male 33% 28% 39% 290 Female 48% 21% 32% 304
High school or less 32% 23% 45% 114 Some college 35% 26% 39% 174 College graduate 41% 30% 29% 209 Post-graduate 61% 10% 29% 97
Protestant 26% 25% 49% 228 Catholic 45% 22% 33% 154 Other 53% 26% 21% 192
Attend services 1 or more a week 30% 29% 42% 108 1-2 times a month 25% 29% 47% 75 Less often 50% 18% 32% 188 Never 45% 25% 30% 213
Northern Maine 34% 36% 30% 126 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 18% 36% 111 Central Maine 29% 21% 50% 141 Southern Maine 49% 23% 28% 216
First Cong. Dist 48% 21% 31% 285 Second Cong. Dist 33% 27% 39% 309
56
Likely Voter
Likely Voter Non-Likely Voter (N=) STATEWIDE 84% 16% 625
Registered Democrat 95% 5% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 86% 14% 223 Registered Republican 90% 10% 171
Democrat 90% 10% 241 Independent 82% 18% 144 Republican 86% 14% 208
Extremely Interested 99% 1% 175 Very Interested 95% 5% 228 Some/Little Interest 63% 37% 216
Union household 95% 5% 112 Non-union 83% 17% 505
Gun Owner 89% 11% 328 Non-Gun Owner 79% 21% 279
French Canadian 88% 12% 133 Non-French Canadian 83% 17% 483
Receives Assistance 57% 43% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 87% 13% 555
Veteran 84% 16% 169 Non-Veteran 85% 15% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 83% 17% 278 Limited Circumstances 86% 14% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 76% 24% 57
2010 LePage Voter 95% 5% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 94% 6% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 95% 5% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 50% 50% 131
18 to 34 69% 31% 152 35 to 49 84% 16% 162 50 to 64 92% 8% 168 65 and over 93% 7% 130
Male 86% 14% 302 Female 83% 17% 323
High school or less 70% 30% 126 Some college 83% 17% 180 College graduate 89% 11% 217 Post-graduate 95% 5% 98
Protestant 92% 8% 230 Catholic 86% 14% 159 Other 80% 20% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 82% 18% 110 1-2 times a month 95% 5% 76 Less often 89% 11% 195 Never 77% 23% 226
Northern Maine 78% 22% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 92% 8% 112 Central Maine 81% 19% 148 Southern Maine 87% 13% 224
First Cong. Dist 88% 12% 293 Second Cong. Dist 81% 19% 331
57
Union Household
Union Household Non-Union Household (N=) STATEWIDE 18% 82% 617
Registered Democrat 25% 75% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 20% 80% 221 Registered Republican 16% 84% 170
Democrat 21% 79% 241 Independent 17% 83% 144 Republican 15% 85% 208
Likely Voter 20% 80% 524 Non-Likely Voter 7% 93% 93
Extremely Interested 25% 75% 173 Very Interested 19% 81% 226 Some/Little Interest 12% 88% 211
Gun Owner 20% 80% 328 Non-Gun Owner 15% 85% 274
French Canadian 19% 81% 133 Non-French Canadian 18% 82% 478
Receives Assistance 12% 88% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 19% 81% 550
Veteran 17% 83% 169 Non-Veteran 19% 81% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 25% 75% 273 Limited Circumstances 15% 85% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 6% 94% 57
2010 LePage Voter 13% 87% 228 2010 Cutler Voter 24% 76% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 28% 72% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 13% 87% 127
18 to 34 17% 83% 147 35 to 49 16% 84% 162 50 to 64 26% 74% 168 65 and over 11% 89% 129
Male 18% 82% 296 Female 18% 82% 321
High school or less 12% 88% 122 Some college 15% 85% 180 College graduate 20% 80% 217 Post-graduate 27% 73% 98
Protestant 19% 81% 230 Catholic 19% 81% 158 Other 17% 83% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 12% 88% 110 1-2 times a month 16% 84% 75 Less often 27% 73% 195 Never 16% 84% 221
Northern Maine 21% 79% 134 Downeast/Coastal Maine 22% 78% 112 Central Maine 13% 87% 147 Southern Maine 18% 82% 224
First Cong. Dist 21% 79% 293 Second Cong. Dist 15% 85% 324
58
Gun Ownership
Gun Owner Non-Gun Owner (N=) STATEWIDE 54% 46% 607
Registered Democrat 41% 59% 147 Registered Unenrolled/Other 61% 39% 215 Registered Republican 63% 37% 165
Democrat 44% 56% 238 Independent 54% 46% 142 Republican 67% 33% 201
Likely Voter 57% 43% 510 Non-Likely Voter 38% 62% 97
Extremely Interested 49% 51% 165 Very Interested 58% 42% 221 Some/Little Interest 56% 44% 215
Union household 62% 38% 107 Non-union 53% 47% 495
French Canadian 66% 34% 131 Non-French Canadian 51% 49% 471
Receives Assistance 47% 53% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 55% 45% 542
Veteran 72% 28% 161 Non-Veteran 48% 52% 441
Abortion Legal In All Situations 50% 50% 271 Limited Circumstances 64% 36% 235 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 34% 66% 56
2010 LePage Voter 69% 31% 220 2010 Cutler Voter 51% 49% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 31% 69% 73 Did Not Vote in 2010 46% 54% 132
18 to 34 57% 43% 152 35 to 49 54% 46% 157 50 to 64 54% 46% 166 65 and over 51% 49% 123
Male 59% 41% 293 Female 50% 50% 314
High school or less 53% 47% 124 Some college 61% 39% 175 College graduate 50% 50% 211 Post-graduate 51% 49% 98
Protestant 62% 38% 222 Catholic 56% 44% 157 Other 47% 53% 195
Attend services 1 or more a week 51% 49% 110 1-2 times a month 62% 38% 73 Less often 54% 46% 190 Never 54% 46% 220
Northern Maine 62% 38% 137 Downeast/Coastal Maine 60% 40% 110 Central Maine 55% 45% 143 Southern Maine 45% 55% 217
First Cong. Dist 49% 51% 285 Second Cong. Dist 58% 42% 322
59
French Canadian Heritage
French Canadian Non-French Canadian (N=) STATEWIDE 22% 78% 617
Registered Democrat 21% 79% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 22% 78% 221 Registered Republican 21% 79% 164
Democrat 19% 81% 241 Independent 22% 78% 144 Republican 24% 76% 204
Likely Voter 23% 77% 519 Non-Likely Voter 16% 84% 98
Extremely Interested 21% 79% 171 Very Interested 20% 80% 225 Some/Little Interest 23% 77% 215
Union household 23% 77% 112 Non-union 22% 78% 499
Gun Owner 27% 73% 324 Non-Gun Owner 16% 84% 278
Receives Assistance 7% 93% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 23% 77% 551
Veteran 22% 78% 167 Non-Veteran 22% 78% 445
Abortion Legal In All Situations 16% 84% 278 Limited Circumstances 24% 76% 239 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 32% 68% 55
2010 LePage Voter 23% 77% 225 2010 Cutler Voter 23% 77% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 28% 72% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 16% 84% 132
18 to 34 18% 82% 152 35 to 49 24% 76% 160 50 to 64 24% 76% 166 65 and over 19% 81% 129
Male 23% 77% 295 Female 21% 79% 321
High school or less 17% 83% 125 Some college 24% 76% 176 College graduate 22% 78% 217 Post-graduate 21% 79% 98
Protestant 11% 89% 226 Catholic 39% 61% 158 Other 22% 78% 197
Attend services 1 or more a week 23% 77% 109 1-2 times a month 29% 71% 75 Less often 18% 82% 193 Never 22% 78% 226
Northern Maine 22% 78% 139 Downeast/Coastal Maine 9% 91% 111 Central Maine 30% 70% 146 Southern Maine 22% 78% 222
First Cong. Dist 22% 78% 291 Second Cong. Dist 21% 79% 326
60
Receives Government Assistance (TANF, SNAP, etc.)
Receives Assistance No Assistance (N=) STATEWIDE 8% 92% 601
Registered Democrat 4% 96% 149 Registered Unenrolled/Other 9% 91% 207 Registered Republican 4% 96% 165
Democrat 5% 95% 239 Independent 14% 86% 138 Republican 5% 95% 203
Likely Voter 5% 95% 510 Non-Likely Voter 22% 78% 90
Extremely Interested 8% 92% 166 Very Interested 5% 95% 225 Some/Little Interest 10% 90% 205
Union household 5% 95% 111 Non-union 8% 92% 485
Gun Owner 7% 93% 318 Non-Gun Owner 9% 91% 268
French Canadian 3% 97% 129 Non-French Canadian 9% 91% 468
Veteran 12% 88% 160 Non-Veteran 6% 94% 436
Abortion Legal In All Situations 6% 94% 278 Limited Circumstances 6% 94% 236 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 14% 86% 55
2010 LePage Voter 2% 98% 222 2010 Cutler Voter 3% 97% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 3% 97% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 16% 84% 124
18 to 34 11% 89% 146 35 to 49 6% 94% 159 50 to 64 8% 92% 161 65 and over 6% 94% 126
Male 6% 94% 293 Female 9% 91% 307
High school or less 13% 87% 119 Some college 9% 91% 171 College graduate 6% 94% 213 Post-graduate 1% 99% 97
Protestant 8% 92% 223 Catholic 5% 95% 152 Other 10% 90% 196
Attend services 1 or more a week 15% 85% 106 1-2 times a month 2% 98% 72 Less often 5% 95% 190 Never 8% 92% 221
Northern Maine 14% 86% 135 Downeast/Coastal Maine 4% 96% 110 Central Maine 2% 98% 140 Southern Maine 8% 92% 216
First Cong. Dist 7% 93% 284 Second Cong. Dist 8% 92% 317
61
Veteran in Household
Veteran Non-Veteran (N=) STATEWIDE 27% 73% 617
Registered Democrat 18% 82% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 26% 74% 221 Registered Republican 35% 65% 170
Democrat 19% 81% 241 Independent 35% 65% 144 Republican 32% 68% 209
Likely Voter 27% 73% 524 Non-Likely Voter 29% 71% 93
Extremely Interested 28% 72% 173 Very Interested 26% 74% 227 Some/Little Interest 28% 72% 211
Union household 25% 75% 112 Non-union 28% 72% 505
Gun Owner 35% 65% 328 Non-Gun Owner 17% 83% 274
French Canadian 27% 73% 133 Non-French Canadian 27% 73% 478
Receives Assistance 43% 57% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 26% 74% 550
Abortion Legal In All Situations 24% 76% 273 Limited Circumstances 30% 70% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 25% 75% 57
2010 LePage Voter 30% 70% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 19% 81% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 19% 81% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 29% 71% 127
18 to 34 25% 75% 147 35 to 49 19% 81% 162 50 to 64 22% 78% 168 65 and over 47% 53% 130
Male 32% 68% 296 Female 23% 77% 321
High school or less 22% 78% 122 Some college 33% 67% 180 College graduate 28% 72% 217 Post-graduate 22% 78% 98
Protestant 33% 67% 230 Catholic 23% 77% 159 Other 25% 75% 197
Attend services 1 or more a week 33% 67% 110 1-2 times a month 33% 67% 76 Less often 21% 79% 195 Never 28% 72% 221
Northern Maine 29% 71% 135 Downeast/Coastal Maine 25% 75% 112 Central Maine 25% 75% 147 Southern Maine 29% 71% 224
First Cong. Dist 31% 69% 293 Second Cong. Dist 24% 76% 324
62
Views on Abortion
Legal in All Legal in Limited Not Legal in All Circumstances Circumstances Circumstances (N=) STATEWIDE 48% 42% 10% 576
Registered Democrat 64% 30% 6% 144 Registered Unenrolled/Other 56% 39% 4% 198 Registered Republican 25% 55% 19% 158
Democrat 70% 25% 5% 235 Independent 45% 45% 10% 121 Republican 26% 60% 14% 197
Likely Voter 48% 43% 9% 482 Non-Likely Voter 50% 36% 14% 93
Extremely Interested 54% 37% 9% 160 Very Interested 41% 46% 13% 209 Some/Little Interest 52% 42% 6% 202
Union household 63% 34% 3% 107 Non-union 44% 44% 11% 464
Gun Owner 45% 49% 6% 304 Non-Gun Owner 53% 33% 14% 259
French Canadian 36% 49% 15% 119 Non-French Canadian 52% 40% 8% 453
Receives Assistance 44% 37% 19% 40 Does Not Receive Assistance 49% 42% 9% 529
Veteran 44% 47% 9% 152 Non-Veteran 49% 40% 10% 418
2010 LePage Voter 29% 56% 15% 206 2010 Cutler Voter 70% 27% 3% 134 2010 Mitchell Voter 71% 19% 10% 74 Did Not Vote in 2010 50% 42% 7% 125
18 to 34 55% 42% 3% 144 35 to 49 44% 42% 14% 146 50 to 64 52% 36% 13% 157 65 and over 40% 49% 11% 121
Male 48% 42% 10% 271 Female 49% 41% 10% 305
High school or less 29% 59% 13% 117 Some college 45% 46% 10% 162 College graduate 56% 36% 8% 201 Post-graduate 63% 26% 10% 95
Protestant 37% 51% 12% 218 Catholic 42% 47% 11% 145 Other 64% 29% 7% 186
Attend services 1 or more a week 22% 43% 35% 104 1-2 times a month 53% 47% 0% 67 Less often 50% 44% 6% 182 Never 58% 37% 4% 216
Northern Maine 49% 43% 8% 133 Downeast/Coastal Maine 47% 48% 5% 106 Central Maine 35% 48% 16% 139 Southern Maine 58% 33% 9% 198
First Cong. Dist 57% 34% 9% 266 Second Cong. Dist 41% 49% 11% 310
63
Vote in 2010 Governor Election
Paul LePage Eliot Cutler Libby Mitchell Did Not Vote (N=) STATEWIDE 40% 24% 13% 23% 575
Registered Democrat 16% 35% 36% 14% 139 Registered Unenrolled/Other 36% 31% 12% 21% 196 Registered Republican 74% 14% 1% 11% 164
Democrat 11% 39% 29% 22% 228 Independent 49% 18% 5% 28% 120 Republican 71% 12% 1% 16% 204
Likely Voter 45% 27% 15% 14% 485 Non-Likely Voter 13% 9% 4% 74% 89
Extremely Interested 39% 27% 23% 11% 161 Very Interested 46% 30% 12% 12% 215 Some/Little Interest 34% 15% 7% 44% 196
Union household 30% 33% 21% 16% 101 Non-union 42% 22% 12% 24% 469
Gun Owner 50% 23% 7% 20% 307 Non-Gun Owner 26% 26% 20% 28% 256
French Canadian 41% 25% 17% 17% 125 Non-French Canadian 39% 24% 12% 25% 445
Receives Assistance 16% 13% 7% 64% 32 Does Not Receive Assistance 41% 25% 14% 20% 526
Veteran 47% 18% 10% 25% 147 Non-Veteran 38% 26% 14% 21% 423
Abortion Legal In All Situations 23% 35% 19% 23% 269 Limited Circumstances 53% 17% 6% 24% 218 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 59% 9% 15% 18% 52
18 to 34 18% 21% 3% 58% 142 35 to 49 54% 26% 11% 10% 147 50 to 64 42% 26% 19% 13% 158 65 and over 46% 24% 20% 11% 121
Male 49% 17% 12% 22% 283 Female 31% 31% 14% 24% 292
High school or less 50% 7% 11% 32% 114 Some college 43% 25% 7% 25% 163 College graduate 39% 23% 15% 23% 204 Post-graduate 25% 46% 21% 8% 94
Protestant 53% 22% 11% 15% 216 Catholic 42% 25% 11% 23% 146 Other 25% 28% 20% 28% 182
Attend services 1 or more a week 44% 18% 12% 26% 100 1-2 times a month 56% 31% 8% 5% 73 Less often 39% 31% 10% 20% 185 Never 32% 19% 19% 31% 207
Northern Maine 41% 20% 11% 28% 119 Downeast/Coastal Maine 36% 30% 13% 20% 107 Central Maine 51% 17% 12% 20% 139 Southern Maine 33% 28% 16% 23% 209
First Cong. Dist 35% 25% 16% 23% 274 Second Cong. Dist 44% 23% 11% 22% 301
64
Age of Respondent
18 to 34 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and Over (N=) STATEWIDE 25% 26% 27% 21% 611
Registered Democrat 19% 12% 42% 27% 149 Registered Unenrolled/Other 25% 32% 26% 18% 220 Registered Republican 16% 35% 23% 25% 166
Democrat 27% 15% 35% 23% 237 Independent 25% 36% 22% 16% 144 Republican 18% 33% 24% 25% 204
Likely Voter 20% 26% 30% 24% 515 Non-Likely Voter 50% 27% 15% 9% 96
Extremely Interested 15% 17% 37% 32% 169 Very Interested 17% 29% 31% 23% 222 Some/Little Interest 40% 32% 17% 11% 214
Union household 23% 24% 40% 13% 109 Non-union 25% 27% 25% 23% 497
Gun Owner 27% 26% 28% 19% 323 Non-Gun Owner 24% 27% 28% 22% 275
French Canadian 21% 30% 30% 19% 131 Non-French Canadian 26% 25% 27% 22% 476
Receives Assistance 35% 21% 28% 16% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 24% 27% 27% 22% 548
Veteran 22% 19% 22% 37% 167 Non-Veteran 25% 30% 30% 16% 440
Abortion Legal In All Situations 29% 24% 30% 18% 274 Limited Circumstances 25% 26% 24% 25% 238 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 7% 35% 35% 23% 57
2010 LePage Voter 11% 35% 29% 25% 226 2010 Cutler Voter 22% 28% 30% 21% 137 2010 Mitchell Voter 6% 21% 40% 32% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 63% 11% 16% 10% 130
Male 21% 27% 27% 25% 298 Female 29% 26% 28% 18% 314
High school or less 17% 26% 34% 23% 122 Some college 26% 26% 28% 19% 180 College graduate 32% 29% 21% 18% 214 Post-graduate 16% 22% 33% 29% 95
Protestant 15% 30% 25% 31% 226 Catholic 23% 27% 32% 18% 158 Other 32% 23% 31% 13% 193
Attend services 1 or more a week 22% 18% 26% 33% 109 1-2 times a month 7% 48% 24% 22% 75 Less often 26% 24% 31% 19% 194 Never 31% 25% 27% 17% 220
Northern Maine 29% 27% 24% 21% 137 Downeast/Coastal Maine 25% 20% 24% 31% 110 Central Maine 23% 29% 28% 20% 143 Southern Maine 24% 28% 32% 17% 221
First Cong. Dist 26% 24% 30% 20% 289 Second Cong. Dist 24% 28% 25% 22% 322
65
Sex of Respondent
Male Female (N=) STATEWIDE 48% 52% 625
Registered Democrat 41% 59% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 42% 58% 223 Registered Republican 58% 42% 171
Democrat 40% 60% 241 Independent 56% 44% 144 Republican 54% 46% 209
Likely Voter 49% 51% 527 Non-Likely Voter 45% 55% 98
Extremely Interested 50% 50% 175 Very Interested 52% 48% 228 Some/Little Interest 45% 55% 216
Union household 48% 52% 112 Non-union 48% 52% 505
Gun Owner 52% 48% 328 Non-Gun Owner 44% 56% 279
French Canadian 50% 50% 133 Non-French Canadian 47% 53% 484
Receives Assistance 40% 60% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 50% 50% 556
Veteran 57% 43% 169 Non-Veteran 45% 55% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 46% 54% 278 Limited Circumstances 48% 52% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 48% 52% 57
2010 LePage Voter 60% 40% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 35% 65% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 45% 55% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 48% 52% 132
18 to 34 41% 59% 152 35 to 49 50% 50% 162 50 to 64 48% 52% 168 65 and over 57% 43% 130
High school or less 52% 48% 127 Some college 52% 48% 180 College graduate 47% 53% 217 Post-graduate 41% 59% 98
Protestant 47% 53% 230 Catholic 47% 53% 159 Other 50% 50% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 47% 53% 110 1-2 times a month 44% 56% 76 Less often 47% 53% 195 Never 51% 49% 226
Northern Maine 43% 57% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 45% 55% 112 Central Maine 51% 49% 149 Southern Maine 52% 48% 224
First Cong. Dist 51% 49% 294 Second Cong. Dist 46% 54% 331
66
Highest Level of Education
High School or Less Some College College Graduate Post-Graduate (N=) STATEWIDE 20% 29% 35% 16% 622
Registered Democrat 16% 16% 37% 32% 149 Registered Unenrolled/Other 16% 35% 39% 10% 221 Registered Republican 23% 33% 31% 12% 170
Democrat 15% 25% 35% 25% 241 Independent 18% 31% 44% 7% 144 Republican 25% 32% 29% 13% 209
Likely Voter 17% 28% 37% 18% 524 Non-Likely Voter 39% 32% 24% 5% 97
Extremely Interested 10% 30% 36% 24% 173 Very Interested 19% 26% 39% 16% 226 Some/Little Interest 30% 31% 30% 9% 216
Union household 14% 24% 39% 23% 111 Non-union 21% 30% 34% 14% 505
Gun Owner 20% 32% 32% 15% 328 Non-Gun Owner 21% 24% 38% 17% 279
French Canadian 16% 32% 36% 16% 133 Non-French Canadian 22% 28% 35% 16% 484
Receives Assistance 35% 33% 29% 3% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 19% 28% 36% 17% 555
Veteran 16% 35% 36% 13% 169 Non-Veteran 21% 27% 35% 17% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 12% 26% 40% 22% 278 Limited Circumstances 29% 31% 30% 10% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 26% 28% 29% 17% 57
2010 LePage Voter 25% 31% 34% 10% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 6% 29% 34% 31% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 17% 16% 41% 26% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 27% 31% 36% 6% 132
18 to 34 14% 31% 46% 10% 152 35 to 49 20% 29% 38% 13% 162 50 to 64 24% 30% 26% 19% 168 65 and over 22% 27% 30% 21% 130
Male 22% 31% 34% 14% 301 Female 19% 27% 36% 18% 321
Protestant 19% 33% 32% 16% 230 Catholic 22% 25% 39% 14% 159 Other 17% 26% 38% 19% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 11% 33% 38% 18% 110 1-2 times a month 17% 32% 33% 18% 76 Less often 19% 26% 38% 17% 195 Never 25% 29% 33% 12% 226
Northern Maine 21% 30% 29% 20% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 24% 24% 39% 13% 112 Central Maine 27% 29% 33% 11% 147 Southern Maine 14% 31% 38% 18% 223
First Cong. Dist 15% 31% 38% 16% 292 Second Cong. Dist 25% 27% 32% 15% 329
67
Religious Preference
Protestant Catholic Other (N=) STATEWIDE 39% 27% 34% 586
Registered Democrat 26% 33% 41% 147 Registered Unenrolled/Other 40% 26% 34% 210 Registered Republican 61% 23% 16% 162
Democrat 26% 30% 44% 231 Independent 40% 24% 36% 140 Republican 56% 25% 20% 202
Likely Voter 42% 27% 31% 508 Non-Likely Voter 22% 29% 49% 79
Extremely Interested 43% 24% 33% 169 Very Interested 47% 24% 29% 220 Some/Little Interest 26% 34% 40% 194
Union household 40% 28% 32% 107 Non-union 39% 27% 34% 479
Gun Owner 43% 28% 29% 318 Non-Gun Owner 33% 27% 40% 256
French Canadian 20% 47% 33% 130 Non-French Canadian 44% 21% 34% 452
Receives Assistance 40% 17% 44% 44 Does Not Receive Assistance 39% 27% 34% 528
Veteran 47% 23% 31% 161 Non-Veteran 36% 29% 35% 425
Abortion Legal In All Situations 31% 23% 46% 261 Limited Circumstances 48% 29% 23% 232 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 47% 29% 24% 57
2010 LePage Voter 52% 28% 21% 221 2010 Cutler Voter 36% 27% 38% 134 2010 Mitchell Voter 31% 21% 48% 74 Did Not Vote in 2010 27% 29% 44% 115
18 to 34 25% 28% 47% 133 35 to 49 43% 27% 29% 155 50 to 64 34% 30% 36% 166 65 and over 56% 23% 21% 124
Male 38% 27% 35% 282 Female 40% 28% 32% 304
High school or less 40% 31% 29% 111 Some college 45% 24% 31% 168 College graduate 35% 29% 35% 210 Post-graduate 37% 23% 40% 96
Attend services 1 or more a week 62% 31% 7% 108 1-2 times a month 59% 26% 14% 76 Less often 40% 37% 23% 189 Never 19% 17% 64% 208
Northern Maine 43% 38% 19% 124 Downeast/Coastal Maine 52% 15% 33% 107 Central Maine 42% 29% 29% 137 Southern Maine 29% 26% 45% 219
First Cong. Dist 32% 27% 41% 287 Second Cong. Dist 46% 27% 26% 300
68
Frequency Attending Religious Services
1 or More a Week 1-2 Times a Month Less Often Never (N=) STATEWIDE 18% 13% 32% 37% 607
Registered Democrat 17% 8% 36% 39% 148 Registered Unenrolled/Other 12% 16% 31% 41% 219 Registered Republican 28% 15% 32% 25% 163
Democrat 13% 8% 39% 40% 240 Independent 22% 15% 25% 38% 141 Republican 22% 17% 29% 31% 204
Likely Voter 18% 14% 34% 34% 512 Non-Likely Voter 20% 4% 22% 54% 96
Extremely Interested 20% 14% 26% 40% 169 Very Interested 21% 11% 43% 25% 224 Some/Little Interest 13% 13% 25% 49% 210
Union household 12% 11% 47% 31% 111 Non-union 20% 13% 29% 38% 491
Gun Owner 17% 14% 32% 37% 324 Non-Gun Owner 20% 10% 32% 38% 270
French Canadian 19% 17% 27% 37% 132 Non-French Canadian 18% 11% 33% 38% 471
Receives Assistance 35% 4% 22% 38% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 17% 13% 33% 37% 545
Veteran 22% 15% 25% 38% 164 Non-Veteran 17% 12% 35% 36% 438
Abortion Legal In All Situations 8% 13% 33% 46% 276 Limited Circumstances 19% 13% 34% 34% 237 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 64% 0% 20% 17% 57
2010 LePage Voter 20% 18% 32% 30% 222 2010 Cutler Voter 13% 17% 42% 28% 137 2010 Mitchell Voter 16% 8% 25% 51% 75 Did Not Vote in 2010 20% 3% 28% 49% 130
18 to 34 16% 3% 34% 46% 150 35 to 49 13% 23% 29% 35% 156 50 to 64 17% 11% 36% 36% 166 65 and over 28% 13% 29% 30% 127
Male 18% 11% 32% 39% 293 Female 18% 14% 33% 35% 314
High school or less 11% 11% 31% 48% 120 Some college 20% 14% 29% 37% 176 College graduate 19% 12% 34% 35% 215 Post-graduate 21% 14% 35% 29% 96
Protestant 29% 20% 34% 17% 227 Catholic 21% 13% 44% 22% 158 Other 4% 6% 22% 69% 196
Northern Maine 22% 14% 36% 28% 134 Downeast/Coastal Maine 20% 6% 36% 37% 108 Central Maine 20% 17% 27% 36% 144 Southern Maine 14% 12% 31% 43% 221
First Cong. Dist 14% 11% 31% 44% 290 Second Cong. Dist 21% 14% 33% 31% 317
69
Region of State
Northern Downeast/Coastal Central Southern (N=) STATEWIDE 22% 18% 24% 36% 625
Registered Democrat 18% 17% 22% 43% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 24% 19% 24% 33% 223 Registered Republican 22% 20% 25% 33% 171
Democrat 18% 21% 17% 44% 241 Independent 31% 14% 20% 34% 144 Republican 18% 19% 34% 29% 209
Likely Voter 21% 20% 23% 37% 527 Non-Likely Voter 32% 10% 29% 30% 98
Extremely Interested 21% 21% 19% 39% 175 Very Interested 18% 19% 26% 36% 228 Some/Little Interest 28% 14% 25% 33% 216
Union household 25% 22% 17% 36% 112 Non-union 21% 17% 25% 36% 505
Gun Owner 26% 20% 24% 30% 328 Non-Gun Owner 18% 16% 23% 43% 279
French Canadian 23% 8% 33% 37% 133 Non-French Canadian 22% 21% 21% 36% 484
Receives Assistance 42% 11% 7% 40% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 21% 19% 25% 36% 556
Veteran 23% 16% 22% 38% 169 Non-Veteran 21% 19% 25% 35% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 23% 18% 18% 41% 278 Limited Circumstances 24% 21% 28% 27% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 20% 9% 40% 32% 57
2010 LePage Voter 22% 17% 31% 31% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 17% 23% 17% 43% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 17% 18% 22% 43% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 26% 16% 22% 36% 132
18 to 34 26% 18% 22% 34% 152 35 to 49 22% 14% 26% 38% 162 50 to 64 19% 15% 24% 42% 168 65 and over 22% 26% 22% 29% 130
Male 20% 17% 25% 39% 302 Female 25% 19% 23% 33% 323
High school or less 24% 21% 31% 24% 127 Some college 23% 15% 24% 38% 180 College graduate 19% 20% 22% 39% 217 Post-graduate 29% 15% 17% 40% 98
Protestant 23% 24% 25% 28% 230 Catholic 30% 10% 25% 35% 159 Other 12% 18% 20% 50% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 27% 20% 26% 27% 110 1-2 times a month 24% 9% 32% 35% 76 Less often 25% 20% 20% 35% 195 Never 17% 18% 23% 42% 226
First Cong. Dist 0% 14% 11% 75% 294 Second Cong. Dist 42% 22% 35% 0% 331
70
Congressional Districts
First District Second District (N=) STATEWIDE 47% 53% 625
Registered Democrat 54% 46% 150 Registered Unenrolled/Other 43% 57% 223 Registered Republican 47% 53% 171
Democrat 57% 43% 241 Independent 41% 59% 144 Republican 42% 58% 209
Likely Voter 49% 51% 527 Non-Likely Voter 36% 64% 98
Extremely Interested 53% 47% 175 Very Interested 45% 55% 228 Some/Little Interest 44% 56% 216
Union household 56% 44% 112 Non-union 46% 54% 505
Gun Owner 43% 57% 328 Non-Gun Owner 52% 48% 279
French Canadian 48% 52% 133 Non-French Canadian 47% 53% 484
Receives Assistance 47% 53% 45 Does Not Receive Assistance 47% 53% 556
Veteran 54% 46% 169 Non-Veteran 45% 55% 448
Abortion Legal In All Situations 55% 45% 278 Limited Circumstances 38% 62% 241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances 41% 59% 57
2010 LePage Voter 42% 58% 229 2010 Cutler Voter 50% 50% 138 2010 Mitchell Voter 57% 43% 76 Did Not Vote in 2010 49% 51% 132
18 to 34 49% 51% 152 35 to 49 43% 57% 162 50 to 64 51% 49% 168 65 and over 45% 55% 130
Male 49% 51% 302 Female 45% 55% 323
High school or less 34% 66% 127 Some college 50% 50% 180 College graduate 51% 49% 217 Post-graduate 49% 51% 98
Protestant 40% 60% 230 Catholic 48% 52% 159 Other 60% 40% 198
Attend services 1 or more a week 38% 62% 110 1-2 times a month 41% 59% 76 Less often 46% 54% 195 Never 57% 43% 226
Northern Maine 0% 100% 140 Downeast/Coastal Maine 35% 65% 112 Central Maine 22% 78% 149 Southern Maine 100% 0% 224
71