Is the Western Climate Establishment Corrupt?
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IS THE WESTERN CLIMATE ESTABLISHMENT CORRUPT? by Dr. David Evans The public might not understand the science, but they do understand cheating. SPPI COLLABORATIVE PAPER ♦ November 8, 2010 TABLE OF CONTENTS Summary for Policy Makers ............................................................................................................ 3 The Western Climate Establishment is Cheating ........................................................................ 3 Only a Fool Would Ignore the Message in the Pattern ............................................................... 3 Why Do They Measure Temperature Like This? ............................................................................. 4 More Thermometer Tricks ............................................................................................................ 13 What Difference Do Their Tricks Make? ....................................................................................... 14 Ocean Temperatures: The Argo Scandal ...................................................................................... 16 They Don’t Tell You the Current Global Warming Trend is Over 300 Years Old .......................... 18 They Don’t Tell You Global Warming Alternates With Global Cooling Within the Trend ............ 21 Notice How They Never Directly Compare Temperature With Human Emissions of CO2? ......... 22 The Hockey Stick ........................................................................................................................... 25 Other Climate Establishments Disagree ....................................................................................... 28 Most Western Climate Scientists Believe Global Warming is Man-Made: True But Murky ........ 30 How Did This Develop? ................................................................................................................. 31 They Neglect To Mention That Evidence For One Link of their Theory Is Missing ....................... 32 Empirical Test for the Link In Question ......................................................................................... 33 The Theory of Man-Made Global Warming Failed an Empirical Test........................................... 35 The Response of the Climate Establishment ................................................................................ 37 Why is the Official Language so Orwellian? .................................................................................. 38 Gore’s Convenient Lie ................................................................................................................... 40 Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................... 41 About the Author .......................................................................................................................... 42 2 IS THE WESTERN CLIMATE ESTABLISHMENT CORRUPT? The public might not understand the science, but they do understand cheating. by Dr. David Evans | November 8, 2010 SUMMARY FOR POLICY MAKERS How many excuses does it take? The Western Climate Establishment has allowed egregious mistakes, major errors, and obvious biases to accumulate — each factor on its own might be hard to pin down, but the pattern is undeniable. The Western Climate Establishment is Cheating Official thermometers are overwhelmingly in warm localities such as near air conditioner exhaust vents, buildings, concrete, tarmac, or asphalt. Officials hide the modern Argo data, which shows the world’s oceans are cooling. They ignore hundreds of thousands of weather balloon results that show the climate models overestimate future warming by at least 300%. Climate scientists frequently point to the last 130 years of global warming, but don’t mention the full story: the planet started warming before 1700, over a century before humans started pumping out meaningful amounts of CO2. Leading authors publish a crucial graph with a deceptive colour scheme that imitates the results they wish they’d got. Why did a leading peer-reviewed climate journal publish such a naked and childish attempt at cheating? Their adjustments blatantly transform the original raw data from thermometers into rising trends. And they selectively ignore thousands of other thermometers where there is less warming. The Russian, Chinese and Indian climate establishments, which are financially independent of the western climate establishment, are all skeptical. As are many scientists from other branches of science, as well as many retired climate scientists (who no longer have anything to lose by speaking their minds). Only a Fool Would Ignore the Message in the Pattern Once one or two major news outlets start printing these photos of official thermometers near artificial heating sources, and point out the deception, the rush will be on for our elected representatives to abandon the Global Warming Crusade. No one wants to be seen to be taken in by half-truths and 3 shameless deception. Who wants to look gullible because they didn’t ask the obvious burning questions? Those who support conclusions based on corrupt behaviour will be seen as negligent for not having considered the serious evidence here. Dr Evans is a scientist who was on the climate gravy train, and was horrified by what he saw. He first blew the whistle in a polite way in 2008. Too many of the world's politicians have not yet woken up, so here he collects the worst examples of climate shenanigans and explains them powerfully in terms that any politician can understand. These photos speak for themselves. The corruption of climate science has become so blatant, so obvious, that even non-scientists can no longer throw their hands in the air and say “I didn’t know”. You don’t need a PhD to know it is cheating to place thermometers near artificial heat sources and call it “global warming”. WHY DO THEY MEASURE TEMPERATURE LIKE THIS? Figure 1: An official thermometer at a waste water treatment plant. It gets extra warming from air conditioning and refrigeration exhaust, concrete, a brick wall, and some mechanical equipment. It is protected by windbreaks. In addition, the effluent flowing under the grates is well above freezing in winter when vapor can be seen rising from the grates. (The red lines show possible heat paths; obviously only a small portion of the heat from each source gets to the thermometer.) Photo courtesy of Anthony Watts, www.surfacestations.org and Steve Tiemeier. 4 Figure 2: There is a better site on the grass just across the car park, so why is the thermometer near the air conditioner, car engines, asphalt, and reflecting windbreak? Photo courtesy of Anthony Watts, www.surfacestations.org and Joel McDade. Global warming is measured in tenths of a degree per century, Why does the climate so any slight artificial nudge to the thermometer is important. establishment persist in measuring the official To avoid such nudges, the official siting requirements say that temperature record from the thermometer must be at least 100 feet (30 meters) from thermometers that are any paved or concrete surface, in a level open clearing, with 1 nearly all too close to ground cover typical of the region. artificial sources of heat? What motive could there Anthony Watts2, a 25-year broadcast meteorology veteran, be, other than to inflate recruited 650 volunteers to inspect and document the 1,221 official temperatures? land-based thermometers overseen by the National Oceanic 3 Why have we only found and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the USA. Of the 860 out about it because thermometers inspected by early 2009, 89% fail to meet the volunteers went out and official siting requirements because they are too close to an photographed the artificial source of heat (including artificial sources of reflected official thermometers? or radiated heat).4 5 Why does the climate establishment persist in measuring the official temperature record from thermometers that are nearly all too close to artificial sources of heat? What motive could there be, other than to inflate official temperatures? Why have we only found out about it because volunteers went out and photographed the official thermometers? Money can hardly have been the problem: NOAA’s budget is now over $4 billion per year.5 Over 2001 – 2008 NOAA finally took some steps to fix the problem, setting up a new network of 114 properly-sited thermometers that “50 years from now can with the highest degree of confidence answer the question: How has the climate of the nation changed over the past 50 years?”.6 However the old network still provides the official temperatures. NOAA have stopped using a handful of the poorly-sited thermometers whose photos have been circulating around the Internet. But the temperature data from those thermometers is still in the official temperature records. Figure 3: The thermometer at Marysville California7. Extra warming from car engines in the parking bays, air conditioner exhaust, asphalt, concrete, a wall, wind breaks, and (see Figure 4) reflections from a steel cell phone tower. Photo courtesy of Anthony Watts and www.surfacestations.org. 6 Figure 4: The same thermometer as in Figure 3, viewed from near the air conditioners. Extra warming reflected from a steel cell phone tower. Photo courtesy of Anthony Watts and www.surfacestations.org. Figure 5: Waste water is warm (due to the decomposing organic matter)—notice the lack of snow near these wastewater tanks, the rising vapor above