Report 3529-GUB FLE COPY Guinea-Bissau An Introductory Basic Economic Report (inThree Volumes) Volume III: Annexes and Statistical Appendix Public Disclosure Authorized
May 21, 1982 West Africa II Division A FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized
Document of the World Bank Public Disclosure Authorized
This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS
1. Currency Unit: Guinea-Bissau Peso (GP)
2. The Guinea-Bissau Peso is pegged to the SDR.
3. Exchange Rates with respect to the U.S. dollar:
1974: 1 dollar = 25.4 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1975: 1 dollar = 25.5 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1976: 1 dollar = 30.2 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1977: 1 dollar = 33.7 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1978: 1 dollar = 35.0 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1979: 1 dollar = 34.0 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1980: 1 dollar = 33.8 Guinea-Bissau Pesos 1981: 1 dollar = 36.0 Guinea-Bissau Pesos
WEIGHTS AND MEASURES
1 meter (m) = 3.28 feet 1 kilometer (km) = 0.62 miles 1 hectare (ha) = 2.47 acres 1 square kilometer (km2 ) = 0.386 square miles 1 kilogram (kg) = 2.205 pounds 1 metric ton (t) = 2205 pounds 1 liter (1) = 0.26 gallons
FISCAL YEAR
January 1 - December 31 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
GUINEA-BISSAU: AN INTRODUCTORY ECONOMIC REPORT
VOLUME III
ANNEXES AND STATISTICAL APPENDIX
TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES IN THE TEXT ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
Table of Contents Page No.
ANNEXES
Annex A: State and Administrative Organization of Guinea-Bissau ..... 1
Structure of the Government ...... 1 Guinea-Bissau: Political Structure ...... 2 Guinea-Bissau Administrative Division ...... 3
Annex B: Guinea-Bissau Statistics ...... 4
Introduction ...... 4 Statistical Publications ...... 4 Basic Statistic...... 5
Annex C: Bank Mission Estimates and Projections ......
Gross Value Added, 1979...... 8 Components of National Expenditure...... 12 Macroeconomic Accounting Matrix, 1979...... 12 Macroeconomic Projections, 1985-90 ...... 12
Annex D: Ongoing and Planned Project Activities ...... 22
Agriculture ...... 23 Livestock ...... 33 Forestry ...... 34 Fisheries ...... 36 Mining ...... 37 Industry ...... 38 Trans ports ...... 40 Telecommunications ...... 44 Energy ...... 45 Education ...... 47 Public Health ...... 54
Annex E: Bibliography ...... 60
This document has a-restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. - ii -
Table of Contents (cont'd)
STATISTICAL APPENDIX Page No.
I. POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT
1.1 Distribution of the Population, 1950-1979 ...... 6 1.2 Population and Households by Regions and by Sex in 1979 ...... 65 1.3 Distribution of the Population by Ethnic Groups, 1950 and 1979 ..... 66 1.4 Population by Five-Year Age Groups, 1960 and 1979 ...... 67 1.5 Employment in Public and Private Enterprises, 1979 ...... 68
II. NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
2.1 Gross Domestic Product: Estimates of Output by Sector of Production in 1975-1980 ...... 69 2.2 Guinea-Bissau National Accounts Summary (Estimates)...... 70 2.3 Gross Domestic Product: Sectoral Estimates 1975-79 at 1979 Constant Prices...... 71 2.4 Deflators for Sectoral Production ...... 71 2.5 Guinea-Bissau National Accounts Summary (stimates) ...... 72
III. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
3.1 Summary Balance of Payments, 1975-1980 ...... 73 3.2 Guinea-Bissau Balance of Payments, 1975-1980 ...... 74 3.3 Exports of Main Products, 1975-1981 ...... 75 3.4 Exports in Volume and Unit Values, 1975-1981 ...... 76 3.5 Main Exports and Unit Values, 1961-1979 ...... 77 3.6 Imports of Principal Products, 1975-1981 ...... 78 3.7 Volume and Value of Imports, 1975-1981 ...... 79 3.8 Composition of Exports and Imports,'l975-1981 ...... 80 3.9 Imports and Export Price Indexes, 1975-1979 ...... 81 3.10 Trade Indices, 1975-1979 ...... 82 3.11 Direction of Trade, 1974-1981 ...... 83 3.12 Foreign Aid in Kind, 1976-1980 ...... 84 3.13 Food Aid ...... 85
IV. EXTERNAL DEBT
4.1 External Public Debt Outstanding Including Undisbursed ...... 4.2 86 Service Payments, Commitments, Disbursements and Outstanding Amounts of External Public Debt ...... ********************7*..... 87 V. PUBLIC FINANCE
5.1 Public Finance Summary, 1975-1980 ...... ,....88 5.2 Central Government Revenues, 197-1980 ...... g89 5.3 Central Government Ordinary Budget Expenditures, 1976-1980 ...... 90 5.4 Percentage Distribution of Central Government Ordinary Expenditures, 1977-1980 ...... 91 5.5 Public Investment Program, 1978-1981 ...... 92 -iii-
Page No. Table of Contents (cont'd)
VI. MONETARY STATISTICS 93 6.1 Monetary Survey, 1975-1980 ......
VII. WAGES AND PRICES ...... 94 7.1 Average Monthly Salaries by Occupation, 1979 and Mixed 7.2 Employment and Annual Salaries Paid in Public 95 Enterprises by Class of Monthly Salary, 1979 ...... 96 Major Consumer Goods Price Indices, 1975-1981 7.3 97 7.4 Structure of Consumer Price Index ...... Retail Price of Selected Consumer Goods in Bissau 7.5 Average 98 1975-1981 ......
VIII. NUTRITIONAL STATUS 99 8.1 Approximate Country Wide Calorie Balance ...... Intakes 8.2 Food Production, Consumption and Equivalent Calorie 100 per day ...... -
IX. PRODUCTION SECTORS 101 9.1 Guinea-Bissau: National Land Use, 1976 ...... 1976 ...... 102 9.2 Area Cultivated and Yield per Crops and Regions, 103 Main Ethnic Groups and Crops by Regions ...... 9.3 104 9.4 Guinea-Bissau - Weather Conditions ...... Agricultural Products ...... 105 9.5 Output and Producer Prices of Main ...... 106 9.6 Main Agricultural Purchases by State Companies 107 Estimated Livestock Population and Meat Production, 1980 ...... 9.7 108 9.8 Estimated Forestry Resources ...... 109 9.9 Forestry - Estimated Annual Yield ...... 10 9.10 Fisheries Production, 1975-1980 ...... 1979-1980 .111 9.11 Fishing Fleets Operating in Guinea-Bissau's Waters, ...... 112 9.12 Industrial Sector: Employment Status and Utilized Capacity 9.13 Manufacturing Output, 1975-1981...... 113
X. INFRASTRUCTURE
10.1 Cargo and Passenger Transport, 1976-79 ...... 114 10.2 Guinea-Bissau's Transport97l5 Fleet, 1979 ...... - iv -
Table of Contents (cont'd) Page No.
XI. SOCIAL SECTORS
11.1 Student enrollments, 1975/76 - 1979/80 ...... 116 11.2 Students, Teachers and Classrooms, 1975/76 - 1979/80 ...... 117 11.3 Promotion and Repetition Rates, 1975/76 - 1979/80 ...... 118 11.4 Teachers Qualifications, 1979/80 ...... 119 11.5 Students Abroad by Country and Study Field, 1980 ...... 120 11.6 Current Educational Expenditures, 1980...... 121 11.7 Extraordinary Educational Expenditures,1981/82 ...... 121 11.8 Cost Indices by Education Level, 1980 ...... 122
LIST OF TABLES IN TEXT OF ANNEXES
Table A: Agricultural Gross Value Added, Estimates for 1979 ...... 8 Table B: Livestock Value Added, Estimates for 19799.-79...... --...----.- 9 Table C: Estimating Gross979..--...-...-..---.-. Value Added, 1979 ...... 9 Table D: Macroeconomic Accounting Matrix, 1979 ...... 10 Table E: Equations of Guinea-Bissau's Model ...... 15 Table F: Model Initial Values and Parameters ...... 16 Table G: Comparison between Assumed Parameters and Past Values for Guinea-Bissau and Sub-Saharan Countries...... 18 Table H: Projection of National Accounts Variables, 1979-90...... 19 ABREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
ADF African Development Fund BAD African Development Bank BADEA Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa BNG Banco Nacional da Guine (National Bank of Guinea-Bissau) CAIG Complexo Agro-Industrial do Cumere (Cumere Agro-industrial complex) CEPI Centro de Educacao Popular Integrada (Center for Popular Integrated Education) CICER Companhia Industrial de Cervejas e Referigerigerantes (Industrial Company of Beer and Soft Drinks) EDF European Development Fund EEC European Economic Community EGA Empresa Guineense de Automoveis (Guinean Automobile Enterprise) FAC Fonds d'aide et Cooperation FAO Food and Agriculture Organization GDP Gross Domestic Product GUIALP Guine-Argelia Pescas (Guinea-Bissau-Algeria Fisheries) GWT Gross Weight Ton IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development IMF International Monetary Fund JAPG Junta Autonoma dos Portos da Guine-Bissau (Guinea-Bissau Autonomous Port Authority) LIA Linhas Internacionais Aereas (Guinea-Bissau International Airlines) MPW Ministry of Public Works MTC Ministry of Transport and Communications PAIC African Party for Independence of Cape Verde PAIGC African Party for Independence of Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde SIDA Swedish International Development Authority SOCOMIN Sociedade Comercial e Industrial (Industrial and Commercial Society) SOCOTRAM Sociedade para a Comercializacao e Tratamento de Madeiras (Society for the Commercialization and Treatment of Wood) I SUCO Service Universitaire Canadien d'Outre-Mer (Canadian University Service Overseas) TAP Portuguese Airlines (Transportes Aeros Portugueses) UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development UNDP United Nations Development Program UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization UNICEF United Nations International Children Emergency Fund USAID United States Agency for International Development WHO World Health Organization
GUINEp-BISSAU
STRUCTURE ОР TftE COVERlIliF.NT
Offlce of Che Р³е²l ´е´t
1nletry of lÆ nlncry о М1nl ²Á³Ã М1а1 ²[ ³Ã of M1n1e[ry о [ 1Æ аl ²Á³Ã М1 ¿1 ²[ ³Ã оЕ М1оЕ²[ М 1а1 ²[ ³Ã М1 ¿1²[ ³Ã М 1¿l ²¡³Ã of М 1n1 ²[ ³Ã о[ M4n1²tc7 о[ М1Æ ²[ ³7 of Е Pewlucloa. Е Wcural l е ²о¸³Áа² ¡оÂÂе³ее , оf l Áо»о ЕÁ оЕ of of 7 Âа»²ро[[, Р¸« 1Á 4brt Иеа3 Á¬ ²¸´ Qure1 ²Ál ооеl р р1 е А³Ï IoCarlor Р» е³g Ã а¿´ Plsherles ²о´ ²³² » i »f а» ²Ál о» F lg ¡оо³´ l Ë Ál о Р1Ë ¼ е Justlca iourfsa ²¿t аа´ 5оÁ1 ²1 М v аl ор¸ » ´ ¸Áа[1 о¿ е´ Ро³Á²² I »´¸еÁÂ Æ [ ²¿´ q 1[ ¸³² t ndfecafts А[[ аl ³² а¿´ Р1 а¼ 1¿ Commualcacio U³¬²¸l ²s §аl Еа³а U.C. Coordlnatlou -D.G. НÁо¿о Á l 5[ ¸´l ее D. ¡ . ¢³Ë о¸³Ã - ¡еае³еl - И²v à Serv:ca -D.C. АÂÁh1[ оÁ [. -D.C. [ о³ [ ¬а D. ¡ .S[ ¸´l е² ао´ -D.G.DOmeeclL а¿´ Р1²¿´Е¿g -D.C.Llvucbck - D.C.Ialo » ²clnn ¸ ´ Budgac АÁ[ о³¿еÃ а»´ Uc ±²elw Во²р е ² D.G.of i е² I I/ GUINEA-BISSAU POLITICAL STRUCTURE Party Structure Legislature Executive Bodies Bodies PERMANENT COMMISSION (8 members, daily leadership I KIECUTIVE OF THE STRUGGLE (26 PERMANENT COUNCIL OF COUNCIL OF membersCOUNCI] COMMITTEE STATE meet terly) 7 m ers) (15 members) STATE(headed MINISTERS by 1 Prime Mini ter) 7 1 SUPREME COUNCIL NATIONAL NATIONAL OF THE STRUGGLE COUNCIL OF POPULAR (90 members, GUINEA-BISSAU ASSEMBLY meets annually) (50 members) (150 members, STATE meets nnually) COMMIS- I /% SIONS PARTY CONG (every 4 arSs) 9 REGIONAL PARTY 9 REGIONA 9 REGIONAL COMMITTEES COUNCILS STATE COMMITTEES 1 1 36 PARTT-S-E-CT0R71 36 STATE [COMMITTEES SECTOR COMMITTEES URBAN PARTY BASE VILLAGE COMMITTEES(Work- PARTY places and neigh_ -COMMITTEES borhoods l/ As of October 1980. After the political change of November 1980, the Revolutionary Council has had control over the legislative and executive bodies. The President of the Revolutionary Council is the Secretary- General of the Party (elected during the Congress of November 1981). Elections for.the National Assembly are being planned for late 1982. - 3 - ANNEX A Page 3 GUINEA-BISSAU ADMINISTRATIVE DIVISION Regions: Biombo Cacheu Oio Bafati Gabu Tombali Quinara Bolama Quinhamel* Cacheu* Farim* Bafati* GabG* Cati6* Fulacunda* Bolama* Safim Cantcbungo Bissora Contuboel Sonaco Bedanda Tite Bubaque Bissau** Bula Mansoa Bambadinca Pirada Cacine Buba Caravela ro wPrabis S.Domingos Nhacra Galamaro Pitche Forrea Empada 0 Bigene Mansaba Xitole Bog Ga-mamudo Source: Introdugao a Geografia Econ6mica da Guing-Bissau, Ministry of Economic Coordination and Planning, April 1980. * Regional Capital ** Autonomous sector of Bissau - 4 - ANNEX B Page 1 GUINEA-BISSAU STATISTICS Introduction 1. In spite of the considerable effort by the Planning Ministry to improve the country's statistical base, Guinea-Bissauts statistics are still inadequate for economic analysis and evaluation. The General Direc- torate of Statistics in the Planning Ministry (DGE, Direcqao Geral de Estastisticas) is the central statistical office that is responsible for the promotion and coordination of data collection. Having started by coordinating data on external trade, the DGE has enlarged its activity; at present, it coordinates the publication of educational statistics, has published the first Statistical Yearbook (SY, 1977), and is preparing for the collection of industrial statistics. Important steps forward have been made in the past few years, e.g., the comprehensive census (held in 1979 with UNDP assistance), the ongoing estimation of national accounts (under the responsibility of two Portuguese consultants), and the first rural consumers survey (being carried out by a French anthropologist). There remain, however, areas of economic activity on which no statistical information is available, or where data collection is irregular. Moreover, major improvements have yet to be made towards the reorganization of government financial statistics and the establishment of an institutional framework within which existing and future data flows would be collected, analyzed, and processed as part of a necessary economic evaluation and development planning effort. Statistical Publications 2. The DGE has three regular statistical publications: the Statistical Yearbook (Anuario Estatistico, latest 1979 forthcoming); the quarterly review of statistics; and the quarterly statistics of external trade. Annual educational statistics are also available. A provisional Gazetteer of Guinea-Bissau - Introduction to Guinea-Bissau's Economic Geography - published in April 1980, provides a good description of the country's characteristics in terms of its geography, ecology, natural endowments, and main macroeconomic variables. 3. At the time of the economic mission (November 1980), the 1979 Sta- tistical Yearbook was still being printed. The only one available (1977) contained mainly tables and charts under chapter headings: Classification of economic activities; Commercialized production of agriculture; Livestock, forestry and fisheries; Industrial production; Public finance; Domestic trade; External trade; Territory and climate; Communications and transport; Social and demographic statistics; and Monetary statistics. Many statistics - 5 - ANNEX B Page 2 refer to 1977 only. Data on Government expenditures and revenues extend over 1973-77. Data on internal trade are limited to the number of estab- lishments (as of 1976) and sales of public commercial enterprises (1977). Data on external trade (disaggregated) and education go back to 1975. A long series, beginning in 1961, is available for merchandise exports and imports. Basic Statistics 4. The following is a review of some sectors of the statistical system in Guinea-Bissau. (a) Population and Manpower. The 1979 census has enormously im- proved the population data base, data on age, sex, training and labor force distribution being now assembled. The first analysis of the census results was completed in April 1981. It provides a static picture of employment levels in 1979, as well as of qualification levels. These data will need to be supplemented through regular surveys in order to provide updated elements on employment, human qualifications, and population growth. At present, and besides the census data, employment information is limited to the employment survey that was conducted in 1976 and contains information on the number of workers and establishments in three productive sectors: agriculture, manufacturing, and services. (b) Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing. The basic source of de- tailed agricultural statistics is still the Agricultural Census of 1952. The aerial survey conducted by SCET International in 1976 updated information on Guinea-Bissau agriculture and pro- vided estimates (with a + 20% error margin) for cultivated areas and different uses of available land. Yield estimates based on local information (obtained from ongoing agricultural projects and official estimates) were used to compute total agricultural production. During the discussion of the draft report (early 1982), the Ministry of Rural Development provided the mission with updated official estimates of agricultural output. Livestock production is well documented by the 1980 livestock census. Based on these values and estimates avail- able for 1972, annual meat production can be estimated. Potential and actual forestry production was estimated by the SCET Inter- national in 1976. The 1980 mission obtained updated values (1978-80) near the public enterprise SOCOTRAM: Data on fisheries are available for the industrial sector and the artisanal fisheries development project (Bijagos). The remain- ing activity in artisanal fisheries is estimated on the basis of the number of boats and whether or not these boats are motorized. - 6 - ANNEX B Page 3 (c) Manufacturing, Construction, and Public Utilities. Neither manufacturing nor construction is statistically monitored. Available elements exist for beer and soft drink production (provided by the mixed company CICER), rice-milling and ground-, nut decortication (provided by SOCOMIN and Armazens do Povo), furniture, foam products, and clay tiles. Bread, ice, and other industrial production are irregularly surveyed. The present state of the accounting of most industrial units hampers the collection of their levels of production, marketing patterns, operating costs, and prices. As for construction, there are no time series for the number and type of private buildings constructed. Information on the value of public sector construc- tion expenditures is only available by estimation from individual ministries or departmental budgets. There is no available in- formation on the water supply system; as for generation and sale of electricity, the elements apparently possessed by the National Institute of Energy were not available at the time of the mission visit. (d) Wholesale and Retail Trade; Restaurants and Hotels. Apart from import and export data, information on wholesale is limited to the state-owned enterprises (SOCOMIN and People's Stores); as for private retail trade, 1976 is the only year for which there exist values for total sales. Local restaurant trade also goes unrecorded, except for that included in the public owned tourism sector, for which some data elements exist for 1979. (e) Transport, Storage, and Communications. Certain operational statistics are collected through the registration of boats, cycles, and road vehicles. Information on traffic volume is limited to the port of Bissau (provided by the Junta Autonoma dos Portos da Guine, JAPG), and to the fluvial ports on the cargo traffic of SOCOMIN and People's Stores. Road traffic is less well covered, both with respect to cargo and to passenger traffic. (f) Education, Health, and Social Services. Information is collected by the ministries concerned. Educational data is quite complete, providing elements on enrollments by educational level and region, sex and age; repetition and success coefficients are also computed. Health and other community services are quite poorly covered. There is no data on the relative importance of the principal diseases, nor on the principal causes of adult mortality (ex- cluding health centers). (g) External Trade and Tourism. External trade statistics have improved steadily and are now available at detailed disaggregation level. Information is collected at the Customs, coordinated and pub- lished quarterly by the DGE. Tourism per se is quite limited in Guinea-Bissau. Information on incoming and outgoing foreign people is related to economic and external assistance missions and limited to number of hotel occupancies. - 7 - ANNEX B Page 4 (h) Money, Banking, Finance, and Balance of Payments. There are neither regular monetary statistics nor balance of payment figures. At the 1980 mission request, the BNG made available a specially prepared three-year series of monetary statistics (quarterly balance sheets of the Central Bank), ending in March 1980. No further updating has been possible. As for Balance of Pay- ments, our estimates are based on IMF values for 1975-77, and eompiled from different sources for the period 1978-80. The BOP figures that have been prepared for 1979 and 1980 with IMF assis- tance are still being reviewed by the Government and their utilization is awaiting official clearance. Data related to past aid flows and debt service are patchy and not centrally monitored. A special unit in the Finance Ministry is at present in charge of this area, and better information on foreign aid and external debt is expected soon. (i) Government. Existing budget data are incomplete. Development expenditures cannot be measured accurately, for line ministries have until recently carried out development programs, which were left out of the control of the Ministry of Finance. Only rough estimates of development outlays are therefore available. Re- current expenses are better monitored, although actual values (as opposed to budgeted values) are prepared with delays of over one year. The same happens with public revenues. Public expen- ditures are classified by ministries, rather than by economic or functional nature, which hampers the analysis of public consumption and investment. Accounting statements are being prepared under technical assistance to improve the method of reporting public expenditures and revenues. (j) Personal Income, Expenditure and Housing. No data exist in this field. A rural consumption survey near completion will add in- formation in this area. (k) Prices. Upon request, the Trade Ministry (D. G. Prices) provides a list of prices for the commodities whose prices are controlled and fixed by the Government. Price data for those commodities either not subject to price control or sold by private retail stores are nonexistant. The results of the above mentioned rural consumer survey are expected to enable the construction of a representative "consumer basket" and consequently of an overall weighted consumer price index. - 8 - ANNEX C Page 1 BANK MISSION ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS 1. Estimates of the major national accounts aggregates computed by the Bank mission were based on official information provided by the several ministries and data collected directly during interviews with the management of some public enterprises. The estimation procedure and the assumptions used to compute sectoral value added in 1979 are described below. A macro- economic accounting matrix was built for the same year in order to ensure consistency between sources and application of monetary flows as well as among monetary statistics, balance of payments, public finance and national accounts estimates (Table E). As mentioned in the main text, these values have to be taken with caution, for they only represent crude approximations of the composition of the internal production and monetary sectors. Gross Value Added, 1979 2. Agricultural value added was estimated on the basis of gross agricultural production (tentative estimates provided by the Rural Development Ministry), disaggregated by the principal crops. The total volume for each crop was then multiplied by the average farm-gate price per unit (kg) of that commodity to arrive at gross value of production. Intermediate consumption was assumed to be at 25%. Other agricultural production not included in the provided list of crops, together with possible underestimation, was assumed to represent 17% of the agricultural gross value added, as used in official estimates of gross agricultural production in volume for 1977 (Ministry of Planning, E33 , pp. 90). Table A: AGRICULTURAL GROSS VALUED ADDED, ESTIMATES FOR 1979 Production Price Gross Value Value Added ('000 tons) (GP/kg) (GP million) (GP million) Rice (paddy) 45.0 7.5 337.5 253.1 Manioc 45.0 6.5 292.5 219.4 Black Maize 30.0 7.5 225.0 168.8 Brazilian Maize 9.5 12.0 114.0 85.5 Millet/Sorghum 18.4 9.0 160.2 120.2 Groundnuts 21.6 5.0 108.0 81.0 Palm Kernels 7.6 5.0 37.9 28.4 Other 1/ .. .. 261.2 195.9 Total 1,536.3 1,152.2 1/ 17% of total production; includes allowance for underestimation. - 9 - ANNEX C Page 2 3. Livestock value added was computed in a similar way. Annual stock was estimated, using the compound rate of growth between 1972 and 1980--the only years for which there are data available. (Statistical Appendix, Table 9.7) Exploration rates, average weight per slaughtered animal, and unit prices were provided by the Ministry of Rural Development. Intermediate inputs were valued at 15% of gross production value. Table B: LIVESTOCK VALUE ADDED. ESTIMATES FOR 1979 Stock Explor. Av.Weight Yield Price Value Added ('000 heads) (%) (kg) (tons) (GP/kg) (GP million) Cattle 242.0 10.0 90.0 2,178.0 129.0 238.9 Sheep 263.9 30.0 9.0 712.5 100.0 60.6 Pigs 113.1 70.0 35.0 2,770.0 150.0 353.2 Poultry 550.6 100.0 0.7 385.0 144.0 47.2 Total - - - - - 699.9 4. Table C below describes the procedure, sources, and values used in computing the 1979 value added for the remaining sectors. Table C: ESTIMATING GROSS VALUE ADDED, 1979 Sectors Value Added Methodology and Sources (GP Million) Forestry 19.2 0.666 x (Sales of Sawn wood); SOCOTRAM Fisheries 100.9 Sema-pesca 9.5 Elements provided directly by these Guialp 2.6 enterprises Estrela do Mar 40.5 Artisanal-subsistence 36.5 3.700 tons of fish evaluated at the Other 11.8 average domestic price, using 10% of intermediate input consumption. (to be continued) - 10 - ANNEX C Page 3 Table C (cont'd): ESTIMATING GROSS VALUE ADDED, 1979 Sectors Value Added (GP Million) Methodology and Sources Food and Beverages 235.0 Beverages 194.1 CICER 114.9 Elements provided by the enterprise Sugarcane rum 76.9 GVA/Production = 90% Powdered milk 2.3 Elements of public enterprise Blufo Shelling and Oil 1/ 28.2 Gross value added (GP)/Production (kg): Shelling 21.2 Groundnut Shelling = 1.0 Rice Shelling = 2.0 Groundnut Residue = 0.88 Rice Husks = 0.54 Oil Production 7.0 Gross value added (GP)/Production (liters): Groundnut Oil - 18.3 Bakery Products 21.2 Gross value added/Production value = 0.28 Production estimated by means of: Bread Production = 0.54 Imported Wheat Flour Ice Production 0.3 Survey of industrial units, Ministry of Planning Others -1.8 Fruit jam and juices Titina Sila Textiles 9.2 Bambi 2.0 Gross value added/Production value = Others 7.2 idem 0.30 Construction 111.8 SOCOTRAM (parquet) 3.3 Elements provided by the enterprises through the Ministry of Trade. Maca (furniture) 5.5 Clay (Bandim) 3.3 National Ceramic 0.5 Public Works 99.2 Government public works. Estimated as 8.3% of project related expenditures (development expenditures - foreign grants in aid) 2/. (to be continued) -11 - ANNEX C Page 4 Table C (cont'd): ESTIMATING GROSS VALUE ADDED, 1979 Sectors Value Added Methodology and Sources (GP Million) Chemicals 3.2 Guine-Gaz 1.8 Provided by the enterprises through Pansau-Na (rubber) 1.4 the Ministry of Trade Metalomechanics 45.2 Ega 16.8 National Shipyards 18.4 SOCOMIN 3.9 Collected by the Ministry of Trade AP 3.1 near each enterprise Dicol 1.9 Cabevi 1.1 Transportation 40.1 Silodiata 24.5 Naguicave 6.0 Ministry of Planning and elements Guine-mar 3.1 provided by the enterprise during LIA 6.5 interviews with Bank mission. Commerce 568.5 People's Stores 297.7 SOCOMIN 118.8 Ministry of Planning and elements Farmedi 7.4 provided by the enterprises Dicol 40.5 Others 104.1 25% of VA generated by SOCOMIN and People's Stores, according to estimates of SOCOMIN's management. Tourism Guiotel 1.2 Ministry of Planning (to be continued) - 12 - ANNEX C Page 5 Table C (cont'd): ESTIMATING GROSS VALUE ADDED, 1979 and Sources Sectors Value Added Methodology (GP Million) expenditures Public Administration 1,068.6 69% of recurrent (ordinary expenditures) and 0.9% of project outlays 2/. Sources: In addition to the already mentioned: J. Moita and M.J. Larangeiro "Contas Nacionais, 1977"; Input-output matrix for Portugal, 1964; Lavalin/Delcandia Components of National Expenditure 5. Private consumption was estimated as residual, subtracting public consumption and total gross capital formation from overall expenditure (GDP + Resource Gap). Public consumption was computed as total ordinary expenditures + 0.56 development expenditures. Public capital formation was estimated as 44% of development expenditures. These two assumptions were based on the detailed analysis carried out in 1977 by J. Moita and M.J.Larangeiro [13]. Total gross capital formation was computed from the production side, adding the production value of the capital production sector (construction and metalomecanics) and imported capital goods. Private total investment was computed as residual: total capital formation minus public gross investment. Macroeconomic Accounting Matrix, 1979 6. The matrix depicted below (Table D) is based on the Statistical Appendix tables that report on national accounts and balance of payments. Due to lack of disaggregated data, many of the matrix entries were left empty -- mostly the transfers between the Government and private and external sectors. The use of such matrix is mainly to ensure consistency between the estimates which were prepared for the national accounts and the balance of payments. Macroeconomic Projections, 1985-90 7. The projections of GDP, public finance and balance of payments during 1980-90 as shown in the main text (Vol.I, Part C), were obtained with the help of a simple system of economic relationships -- essentially an accounting frame- work of national accounts and the balance of payments -- which derived from the Bank Revised Minimum Simulation Model (RMSM) seemed appropriate for this case of poor data basis. The parameters and coefficients of the model were chosen on the basis of the country's past average values and were adequately modified whenever those values fell considerably outside a range reasonable for a country at the economic development level of Guinea-Bissau. Some exogenous variables Table D: MACROECONOMIC ACCOUNTING MATRIX, 1979 ( in millions of Guinean Pesos) Gov't Bal. of Private Monetary National Total Budget Payments Sector System Accounts Sources Current Account Government Budget - - Tpg 171 - Tig 416 " " - - Rpg 248 - Sub -80 755 Balance of Payments - - - - Rb 1,748 1,748 Private Sector - Tfp -459 - - Fyp 4,163 3,704 National Accounts Cg 2,246 - Cp 2,525 - - (4,771) Sg -1,491 Sf 2,207 Sp 760 - - (1,476) CURRENT USES 755 1,748 3,704 - 6,247 (6,247) Capital Account Government Budget - PEg 2,454 Pp 28 Lmg 85 Sg -1,491 1,087 " " - - - Lmp 11 Balance of Payments - - - Res 247 Sf 2,207 2,454 Private Sector - - - Lo -165 Sp 760 594 to, i - - - - - Monetary System - - M2p 183 - - 178 " " - - Nolp -5 - - National Accounts Ig 1,087 - Ip 388 - -1,476 CAPITAL USES 1,087 2,454 594 178 1,476 Sources: Statistical Appendix, Tables: 2.2; 3.1; 5.1; 5.2; and 6.1. Abreviations: Cg, Cp Public and private consumption Rb Resource balance Fyp National income Res Reserves of monetary system Ig, Ip Investment, Public and Private Rpg Private transfers to government Lmg, Lmp Bank credit to government and Sf, Sg, Sp Foreign, government and private private sector savings Lo Other monetary assets Tfp Private transfers abroad M2p Money and quasi-money Tig Indirect taxes Nolp Other net liabilities Tpg Direct taxes PEg External capital flows into Gov't sector O,, ANNEX C Page 7 - 14 - Ce.g, the annual GDP growth rate, public expenditures and exports growth) were subect to simulation tests and the overall model was expressed in simple reduced forms to anAlyee the impact of an assumed growth in GDP and in public expendi- tures on the required foreign resources inflows during the next ten-year period. This type of model has several shortcomings, notably the lack of behavioral relations, employment and price variables, The use of a more complete and hence more realistic model could only be possible with a better data basis than that one possesses at this time, 8. The structure of the model is based on the following: (a) GDP is projected desaggregated into three sectors, each of them being projected at exogenously given growth rates. Ob) The investment function relates to GDP, given the impossibility of obtaining realistic functions for each of the investment components -, stock changes, replacement investment and additions to the capital stock. Given the spurt of investment in the last years, investment has grown to 33% of GDP in 1979, which is obviously an irrealistic value for Guinea-Bissau, given its poor absoptive capacity. Hence, we have assumed that in consequence of the Government intentions to concentrate development activities in the agricultural sector and to decrease the share of infrastructures in public investment, gross capital formation will be at 20% of GDP in 1985, which appears to be in the high values observed for other developing countries (Table F). Cc) Imports are disaggregated into capital goods (based on fixed investment), intermediate goods (fuel and others, related to GDP), and consumer goods (based on private consumption). The parameters of these import categories are exogenous and chosen according to past averages. (d) Exports of goods and services are projected at exogenous rates. We have considered 5 types of merchandise exports (groundnuts, palm kernels, cashew nuts, fish products and wood ) and an aggregated residual category. (e) The government sector is comprised of government consumption, determined by exogenous growth rate, and recurrent expenditpres associated with investment projects. Government current revenues are projected using an elasticity with respect to GDP (f) Private consumption and private savings are computed as residual, that is made a function of the available resources for consumption after exports, public consumption and investment are provided for. (g) Trade data is considered at constant and current prices. New debt to finance overall deficits in the balance of payments was assumed to be committed in the same terms as in the past: average interest rate of 2.6%; average maturity of 23 years (with 6 years of grace) implying a grant element of 51%. 9. The equations of the model and the values for the parameters are presented next, ANNEX C 15 8 Table Ei EQUATWNA OF GUINEA-BTSSAU MODEL CL) X Xi GDP at market prices, the sum of sectorial i Xvalue added (2) Xit XoC 1+ I Value added sector i. (3) E E ( 1+C )t Exports t to i1 (4) Mt Mio( 1+rLg ) Imports;i is elasticity of imports of commodity' i, with respect to the j compo- nent of national expenditure (5) RUt- M - E Resource balance t t t (6) Ct Cpt+ Gt Consumption G G r7)+ G Public consumption (8) Grt G ( 1+g )t Government recurrent expenditures not to related with development projects (9) Gi MGI Government recurrent expenditures related with investment projects (10) GIt = PIt Government investment (11) T = T ( l+rt .* )t Public current revenues where X is GDP growth rate. (12) I a + b X Investment t 0 o0t (13) C - X +RB -G -I Private consumption p t t t t (14) PE = PE .E Exports in value; PE is the export price t iindex of export i. (15) PM = PM .Mit Imports in value; PM is the import price tit index of commodity i (16) TTAdj- LEt _ PEt Terms of trade effect, where PMI and PEI is PMI PEI the global price index of imports and exports respectively. (17) GDY - X + TTAdj Gross domestic income (18) FSY - FSY*/IPI Net factor income(FSY*) deflated by inter- national price index (IPI) (191 NT n NT Net transfers (20) GNP mX + S Gross national income (21) GNS a GDY C + PSY + NT Gross national savings ANNEX C Page 9 - 16 10. The above equations are selfr-explanatory. Eq.(J) and (2) project GDP As the sum of sectorial value added, which were assumed to grow at exogenously given rates, X1; Eq.C31 describes exports in a similar way, with ei being the growth rate for a particular export. In eq.(4) imports of goods are related to private consumption, GDP or investment, through an elasticity value. The Resource balance in eq.(5) is merely the difference between total imports and exports of goods and non-factor services. Equations (7) to (9) describe government outlays, these being disaggregated into recurrent expenditures independent of investment projects (assumed to grow at the rate g) and those associated with investment projects, Gi, which are projected as a function of public investment G1. GI is made a function of total gross investment by a parameter,p. Indirect taxes, direct taxes and subsidies were aggregated into a single item, T, which represents current public revenues and is projected using an elasticity with respect to GDP, nex, as in Eq.(10). Equations (12) and(13) describe private consumption, as the difference between resources available (GDP+RB) and investment, public consumption and exports. Investment is a function of GDP in eq.(12), and in eq. (14)-(15), imports and exports are expressed in value by means of an index for their prices during the projection period, PM and PE , respect±v=.. The terms of trade adjustment, eq.(18), represents the incAase in ffie import capacity of the country, and is defined as the difference between exports deflated by the import price index and real exports. TTAdj is used to compute GDY, gross domestic income as in eq.(19), which subtracted from public and private consumption and added with net transfers (NT) and net factor income (FSY) yields gross national savings (GNS), as in eq. (22). 11. Table F below shows the model initial values and the parameters Table F: MODEL INITIAL VALUES AND PARAMETERS ( in millions of Guinean Pesos) X GDP at market prices 4,499 0 I Total investment 1,476 C Private consumption 2,525 Gr Government recurrent expenditures not related to projects 1,534 Gi Government recurrent expenditures related to projects . 712 G Total recurrent expenditures 2,246 GI Public Investment 1,087 T Public Current Revenues 835 M Imports, Goods and non-factor services 2,349 Mcf Consumer good imports, food 273 M Consumer good imports, others 295 134 if Imports of fuel products Mio imports of intermediate inputs, other than fuel 425 Capital imports 941 E Exports, goods and non-factor services 601 E Exports of groundnuts 211 96 2 Exports of palm kernels 2 Exports of cashew nuts 16 Exports of fish products 136 (to be continued) ANNEX C Page 10 - 17 - Table (cont'd); INITIAL VALUES AND PARAMETERS Cmillions of Guinean pesos) E5 Exports of wood products 22 E Other merchandise exports 10 Ents Exports of NFS 121 F Net factor income and private transfers -459 FS Foreign savings (BOP current account balance) 2,207 GS Government savings -1,491 PS Private savings 760 Xl Agriculture growth rate 0.025-0.035 X2 Secondary production growth rate 0.035-0.04 k3 Services growth rate 0.04 at Coefficient investment function 0.32-0.20 g Growth rate public expenditures 3.0 Ratio of public recurrent expenditures to capital outlays of public projects 1.2 p Share of public investment in total investment Rtx Elasticity of public revenues with respect to GDP 1.4 rmfc Elasticity of food imports with respect to private cons imption 1.1 rtmoc Elasticity of other consumer goods 1.2 'mif Elasticity of imports of fuel products with reect to GDP 1.0 rimio " of imports of other intermediate inputs with respect to GDP. 1.1 r'k Elasticity of capital imports with respect to investment 0.9 Growth of principal exports .05-.07 15. Table G compares the assumed values for the main parameters wi:h the average observed for the country during 1975-79 and with past averages for african countries at similar stages of development as Guinea-Bissau. The following comments apply to Table G values: (a) The rates assumed for primary and secondary production in Guinea-Bissau during 1980-90 are higher than those observed for the last decade in two groups of African countries. This is explained by the fact that Guinian primary and secondary production in the last years have been affected by drought and lack of adequate policies, problems we assumed would be removed leading to a recovery in the agricultural and industrial sector. (b) The public consumption in Guinea- Bissau has grown faster than in countries at similar stages of devel3pment (possibly at the cost of a reduction in real private consumption). We have projected for the current decade a slow-down in the growth of public recurrent expenses as a consequence of announced Government intentions. (c) The rate of investment in Guinea-Bissau (average 1975-80) has been higher than that of other African countries. Given the reduced absorptive capacity of the economy and the intentions of the Government to concentrate investment in projects less capital-intensive, we assumec a rate of investment of 20% furing the period 1981-90. (d) The structure of inports that results from the model is close to that observed for the remaining countries. The lower share of oil products in total imports, and the higher rate of intermediate goods is justified in light of the Government's plans to rehabilitate the existing industrial sector and concentrate in energy-saving artisanal activities. ANNEX C Page 11 -18 - Table G: ASSUMED PARAMETERS, AND PAST VALUES FOR GUINEA-BISSAU AND FOR TWO GROUPS OF_SUB-SAHARAN COUNTRIES Sub-Saharan African Countries Average Annual (1970-79) Guinea-Bissau Growth Group A 2/ Group B 3/ 1975-79 1980-85 1985-90 GDP 2.2 1.7 3.0 3.1 3.6 Agriculture 0,7 1.8 0.0 2.5 3.0 Industry 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.0 3.5 Others 4.3 4.0 8.7 4.0 4.5 Public consumption 6.3 2.9 12.3 3.4 2.6 Private consumption 3.1 3.8 - 4.1 3.6 Investment 6.8 2.3 18.6 - 3.6 Inports 5.5 -0.5 3.0 0.3 3.7 Exports 4.4 -2.7 1.9 6.9 5.3 Investment/GDP (7) 23.0 13.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 Structure of mports Food 22.0 14,0 30.9 14.0 14.0 Fuels 10 13.0 9.3 7.0 7.0 Capital goods 32 33.0 40.0 29.0 28.0 Others 38 39.0 19.8 50.0 51.0 1/ Data from Acelerated Development in Sub-Saharan Africa, IBRD, Washington 1981. 2/ Group A corresponds to the low income semiarid countries with an average GDP per capita of US$187 (1979). It includes the following countries: Chad, Somalia, Mali, Upper Volta, Gambia, Niger, Mauritania. 3/ Group B corresponds to the other low income countries with an average GDP per capita of US$247 (1979). It includes: Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau, Burundi, Malawi, Rwanda, Benin, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, Tanzania, Zaire, Guinea, Central African Republic, Madagascar, Uganda, Lesotho, Togo, and Sudan. 16. Tables H and I present the values obtained with the model for the main macroeconomic variables -- national accounts and balance of payments. The national accounts are depicted in constant terms (1979 prices). As can be observed in the first table, the terms of trade effect erode in part the growth projected for exports and even when limiting public consumption growth to a much lower rate than in the past, the final result is a constant saving gap, which could only be offset by an increase in domestic production, a decrease in public consumption or a net flow of private foreign investment, which is likely to happen as a consequence of the Government's plans to initiate exploration of its sea and mineral resources with the help of direct foreign investment. These comments apply equally to the conclusion we can take from Table I, where the balance- of payments for Guinea-Bissau is proiected up to 1990. The debt service projected for the latest part of the decade increases with the new debt that will be needed to pay the balance deficits during the first half of the decade. ANNEX C Page 12 - 19 - Table K; PROJECTION OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS VARIABLES, 1979-9 ( in millions of Guinean Pesos, 1979 prices) 1979 1985 1990 1. Gross Domestic Product 4,499 5,568 6,655 2. Terms of Trade Effect /a 0 -93 -130 3. Gross Domestic Income 4,499 5,475 6,525 4. Resource Gap 1,748 1,595 1,752 5. Imports, NSF 2,349 2,394 2,868 6. Capacity to Import/b 601 799 1,116 7. Exports, NFS 601 892 1,246 8. Total Expenditures 6,247 7,070 7,277 9. Consumption 4,771 5,957 6,944 10. Public 2,246 2,742 3,113 11. Private 2,525 3,215 3,831 12. Investment 1,476 1,114 1,332 13. Domestic Savings/c -272 -482 -419 14. Net factor income and private transfers -459 -310 -383 15. National Savings -731 -792 -802 16. Savings Gap 2,207 1,906 2,134 Memorandum item; 17. Import price Index(1979=100) 100 148.5 204.3 Food 100 127.5 182.4 Other consumer goods 100 142.8 191.1 Fuel 100 251.2 387.2 Intermediate inputs 100 142.8 191.1 Capital Goods 100 142.8 191.1 18. Export Price Index 100 133.3 182.9 Groundnuts and cashew nuts 100 142.1 197.5 Palm kernels 100 120.5 155.4 Fish Products 100 127.5 182.4 Wood Products 100 143,7 199.4 La Terms of Trade Effect = Imports r capaicit to ipbit' lb Capacity to import m Exports at current prices/ Import Price Index Lc Domestic saving - Domestic income ' consumption Source; Bank mission and bank staff estimates. ANNEX C Page 13 - 20 - TABLE I; PROJECTION OF BALANCE OF PAYMNTS VARUABLES, 1979-90 C in millions of Guinean Pesos, current prices)1/ 1979 1985 1990 1. Exports, NFS 601 1,114 1,955 Merchandise 480 891 1,564 Groundnuts 211 336 568 Palm kernels 96 203 318 Cashew nuts 6 29 47 Fish Products 136 214 456 Wood Products 22 57 93 Other 9 53 82 2. Imports, NFS 2,349 3,534 5,814 Goods 2,068 3,157 5,205 Food 273 453 785 Other consumer goods 293 453 785 Fuel 134 401 738 Intermediate inputs 425 695 1,113 Capital goods 941 1,044 1,641 3. Resource Balance 1,748 2,420 3,859 4. Net Transfers and factor income (liq) -459 -443 -732/a (Interest M<) (-85) (-61) (-388) 5. Current Balance -2,207 -2,864 -4 591 6. Debt Service with M< Ammortization -43 -320 -742/a 7. Foreign Exchange Gap -2,250 -3,184 -5L333 8. Savings Gap /b -2,250 -2,721.7 -4,078 /a Includes debt which will result from the BOP deficits after 1979. The average terms of past debt were assumed: 2.6% interest rate; 23 years of payment; 6 years of grace, which is equivalent to 51% of grant element. Lb In current prices, using an index of world inflation of 1979=100; 1985=148; 1990-191. Sources; Bank mission estimates, ANNEX C -21 - 21 - Page 14 17. As gnAlyzed in the main text, the results just described indicate that throughout the decade Guinea-Bissau will continue to need large amounts of external financing, both to fill its domestic savings gap and to pay for the purchase of necessary imports associated with the GDP growth, investment expenditures and private and public consumption. The values presented in these tables should however, be examined with caution, for they are only crude projections and do not take into account changes in the official exchange rate -- the model run in terms was of US dollars and converted in Guinean Pesos at the 1979 official exchange rate, US$1 34.06 m GP e, changes in domestic prices, and the possibi- lity of greater export diversification and expansion at the end of the decade, notably of cotton and mining products. - 22 - ANNEX D ONGOING AND PLANNED PROJECT ACTIVITIES The project information included in the following pages was obtained by the economic mission during October-November 1980. Following our February 1982 mission, the agricultural projects were updated. All the other projects are described as they were in late 1980. -23 - ANNEX D Page 1 ONGOING AND PROSPECTIVE PROJECT ACTIVITIES Sector: Agriculture 1. Assistance to the Ministry of Rural Development Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 12.6 million (US$370,700) External Assistance: SIDA (US$320,000) Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1983 Note: Aims at supporting the implementation of a planning unit 2. Documentation Center and Extension Services Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: OP 5,740 (US$168,500) Foreign Assistance: FAO, US$130,000 (GBS/81/004) Status: To start in 1982 and be completed in two years Observations: It is the second phase of the FAO project (TCP/GBS/00037) 3. Development of Soils Department Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: All country Estimated Cost: GP 41.5 million ($1.26 million) External Assistance: FAO (GCP/GBS/008) Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1983 4. Aerial Survey Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Quinhamel (Biombo) Estimated Cost: US$40,000 Foreign Assistance: FAO (TCP/GBS/0104) Status: Started in 1981, expected to be completed in one year Observations: Complement'of soil department project - 24 - ANNEX D Page 2 Sector: Agriculture 5. Study on Agricultural Inputs Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: National Estimated Cost: US$1.47 million External Assistance: FAO (GCP/GBS/009) Status: Started in 1981, to last four years Note: This is the second phase of the GCP/GBS/008 project (n. 2). It aims at increasing rural output by means of inputs use. 6. Villages Credit Fund Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Estimated Cost: GP 20.3 million US$563,000) Foreign Assistance: OXFAM and Belgian Government Status: Being planned Observations: It was expected to start in 1981 and be implemented in three years. 7. Organization of Agricultural Credit System Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau, Cacheu, Oio, Bafata, Gabu Estimated Cost: US$ 655,000 External Assistance: Being sought Status: There is a project prepared by FAO (FAO/TCP/GBS/8906) being analyzed by Government. The project is expected to start in 1982 and last three years. 8. Workshop of Ministry of Rural Development Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: US$1.62 million External Assistance: SIDA (SK 6.0 million); USAID (GP 14.5 million) Status: To start in 1982, completion expected in 1985 Note: Aims at rehabilitating workshop and equipment in Pessube - 25 - ANNEX D Page 3 Sector: Agriculture 9. Rural Engineering Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Several areas Estimated Cost: FL 1.9 million Foreign Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Planned to start in 1982 Observations: This is the second phase of a two-year project that took place during 1977-79 in Biombo (FL 1.0 million). 10. Two Brigades of Rural Engineering Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Tite (Quinava), Catio (Tombali) Estimated Cost: US$10.5 Foreign Assistance: Being sought Status: Expected to begin in 1982 and last for five years Observations: It provides technical assistance. Equipment provided under project no. 9. 11. Training Center: For Rural Extensionists Executing Agency,: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafatg Estimated Cost: US$1.8 million External Assistance: Being sought Status: Project prepared by FAO being analyzed by GB government. There has been contact with UNSO for financing purposes. It is expected to start in 1982 and last three years. 12. Training Center: Seed Technology Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafati ((Contoboel) Estimated Cost: GP 14.9 million ($0.45 million) External Assistance: NORAD/FAD (GCP/GBS/001) Status: Started in 1981, to last 27 months Note: Consists of preparation of bids to constructors of storage and laboratory facilities. - 26 - ANNEX D Page 4 Sector: Agriculture 13. Implements in the Training Center of Contoboel Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Contoboel (Bafata) Extimated Cost: US$233,000 Foreign Assistance: SWISSAID Status: Started in 9/1980, completion expected in 1982 Observations: Equipment and construction 14. Center for Rice Technology Extension Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Carantaba (Gab) Estimated Cost: GP 100.8 million (US$2.8 million) Foreign Assistance: China Status: There is no information on the project. 15. Seed Multiplication Stations.- A Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Contoboel (Bafata) and Caboxanque (Tombali) Estimated Cost: GP 42.2 million ($1.28 million) External Assistance: UNDP/FAO (GSB/75/039) Status: Started in 1976, completion expected in 1982. (Renewed in five years) Note: Experiments with irrigated rice. 16. Seed Multiplication Stations - B Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Contoboel (Bafata) and Caboxanque (Tombali) Estimated Cost: US$2.6 million Foreign Assistance: UNDP/FAO (GBS/81/009) Status: Continuation of the project above to start in 1982 and be implemented in four years. - 27- ANNEX D Page 5 Sector: Agriculture 17. Equipment for the Seed Multiplication Station Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Contoboel, Caboxanque Estimated Cost: GP 7.5 million ($0.61 million) External Assistance: United Nations (GBS/81/001) Status: Expected to start in 1981 and be completed in two years. Note: Complements project no. 16 18. Recuperation of Rice Fields (Bolanhas) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Quinara and Tombali Regions Estimated Cost: GP 75.5 million ($2.3 million) External Assistance: BADEA (US$1.0 million), SIDA (US$24,000); OPEC (US$1.1 million) Status: Project executed by FAO (GEP/GBS/006) started in 1981 and is expected to be completed in 1983. 19. Rice Fields Rehabilitation Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Quinava and Tombali Estimated Cost: DM 230,000 Foreign Assistance: MISEREOR (127-1/23 KH 836) Status: Started in 1981 to be implemented in three years Observations: Aims at providing equipment and spare parts. 20. Rehabilitation of Rice Production Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Mangal, Como-Cair (Tombali) Estimated Cost: US$7.0 million Foreign Assistance: BAD/FIDA Status: Pending a BAD evaluation report Observations: It is expected to start in 1982 and be implemented in five years. - 28 - ANNEX D Page 6 Sector: Agriculture 21. Rice Storage and Decortication Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafata, Gabu Estimated Cost: GP 9.8 million ($0.29 million) External Assistance: FA0 (PEL/GBS/001) Status: Started in 1980 Note: The project comprises construction of storage facilities in ten villages. It also provides pesticides and rice milling machines. By July 1981, six of the storage facilities were built. 22. Exploration in Small Valleys Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafata, Gabu Foreign Assistance: Being sought Status: Contacts were held with FAO and UNSO Observations: Expected to start in 1982 and be completed in three years. 23. Study of GEBA Valley Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Contoboel, Bafata, Gabu Estimated Cost: US$155,000 Foreign Assistance: Being sought Status: Financing requested to FAO in 7/81. Expected to last one year after starting. 24. Rice Production in Geba Valley Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: River Geba Valley (Bafata/Contoboel) Estimated Cost: US$5.8 million External Assistance: USAID (657/0009) (US$4.5 million) Status: Started in 1981, to last four years -29- ANNEX D Page 7 Sector: Agriculture 25. Rural Extension Project of Bachile (Zone I) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Cacheu, Cantchungo, Bula and Caio Estimated Cost: GP 104.0 million ($3.2 million) External Assistance: The Netherlands and Germany (RFA) Status: Started in 1977, completion expected in 1982 Note: The project provides for extension services, distribution of agricultural inputs and equipment; 35 villages are involved in the project. 26. Integrated Rural Development (Zone I) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Cacheu, Oio, Boimbo Estimated Cost: GP 739.4 million (US$20.5 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Expected to start in 1982 and last four years 27. Integrated Rural Development (Zone II) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafata,and GabG Extimated Cost: GP 324.7 million (US$9.0 million) Foreign Assistance: EDF (EUC 6.8 million) FAC (EUC 3.6 million) Status: Planned to start in 1981 and be implemented in four years, the project has faced pro- blems owing to disbursement delays in fifth EDF program of aid. Observations: It is the continuation of the projects of groundnut and cotton. 28. Technical Assistance to Zone II Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafata and Gabu Estimated Cost: US$278,700 Foreign Assistance: UNDP (GBS 181/011) Status: In preparation. Expected to start in 1982 and be implemented in two years. - 30 - ANNEX D Page 8 Sector: Agriculture 29. Support to Rural Development (Zone II) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bafata and Gabu Estimated Cost: US$1.7 million Foreign Assistance: UNEF Status: Expected to begin in 1982 extension Observations: Aims at providing support for and communications services in small villages. 30. Caboxanque Integrated Project (Zone III) Executing Agency: Ministry of Planning Location: Quinara and Tombali the Estimated Cost: GP 29.3 million (US$0.84 million) for agricultural component External Assistance: World Council of Churches Status: Started in 1979; first and second phases to be completed by 1982. with a Note: The project has five components total cost of US$1.1 million. It is coordinated by the Planning Ministry and involves five ministries: (i) rural development - station of rice seeds and rural extension (ii) public health - construction of villages health posts and a health center at Caboxanque (iii) education - construction of a center of integrated education (CEPI) (iv) natural resources: construction of wells and storage facilities in villages (v) public works - rehabilitation of roads in the sector of Cubucare 31. Fruit and Vegetable Production Executing Agency: Ministry of Agriculture Location: Prabis Farm (Biombo) Estimated Cost: GP 10.6 million ($0.32 million) External Assistance: FAC be implemented Status: Expected to start in 1981 and in three years It Note: The project will include a 60 ha area. was formerly supported by the Belgian Government. - 31 - ANNEX D Page 9 Sector: Agriculture 32. Fruits and Vegetable Production Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Tombali (Cab xanq Estimated Cost: GP 7,772 (US 2159 ) Foreign Assistance: OXFAM (Great Britain) Status: Planned to start in 1981 and be implemented in two years. 33. Support to Vegetable Production Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Planning Location: Biombo Estimated Cost: GP 50.3 million (US$1.4 million) Foreign Assistance: Being sought Status: There is a project prepared by FAO. Depending on financial support, the project was expected to begin in 1982 and be com- pleted in 1985. 34. Wax and Honey Production (Second Phase) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Gabu Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: SIDA Status: To start in 1982 Note: The first phase was financed by Algeria in 1980 (US$0.13 million). 35. Tobacco Production Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: - Nhacra (Oio) Estimated Cost: GP 21.5 million (US$597,600) Foreign Assistance: Being sought Status: This is the second phase of a project initiated in 1978. It is expected to start in 1982 with financing from The Netherlands. - 32 - ANNEX D Page 10 Sector: Agriculture 36. Sugarcane Production (Feasibility Study) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Gambiel (Bafata) Estimated Cost: GP 4.2 million (US$116,700) Foreign Assistance: BADEA Status: The project was expected to last six months and be finished by 1982. 37. Production of Maiz Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissora (Oio) Estimated Cost: Unknown Foreign Assistance: Being sought Status: A feasibility study is being prepared by Romanian consultants. 38. Palm and Cocoa Trees Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Cacheu, Cantchungo, Bubaque Estimated Cost: GP 202 million (US$5.6 million) External Assistance: Being sought Status: The feasibility study was completed by FAO (TCP/GBS/8908) in 1980. The project was presented to Saudi Fund for financing. It is expected to start in 1982 and be im- plemented in six years. - 33 - ANNEX D Page 11 Sector: Livestock 1. Cattle Breeding Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissora (Oio) Estimated Cost: US$336,100 (First Phase), US$540,000 (Second Phase) External Assistance: Switzerland Status: The project is now in the second phase. The first phase was completed in 1980. 2. Livestock Development (Cattle Breeding) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Several Estimated Cost: GP 95.7 million (US$2.66) External Assistance: UNDP (GBS/81/005) Status: Expected to start in 1983 and last for three years. 3. Poultry and Pork Production Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau (Suinave), Jueudul (Oio), Bambadinca (Bafata) Estimated Cost: GP 194.0 million ($5.87 million) External Assistance: BAD Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1985. 4. Livestock Development Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Several Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: SIDA Status: Expected to start in 1982 and be completed in 1984. It is the continuation of a project that started in 1979. 5. Rehabilitation of the Slaughterhouse Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau Estimated Cost US$17,000 Foreign Assistance: FAO (GBS/010/DEN) Status: Study to be ready by 1982 ANNEX D - 34 - Page 12 Sector: Forestry: Plans for 1981/82 1. Assistance to National Forestry Service Executing Agency: National Forestry Service Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $0.45 million External Assistance: -- Status: -- Note: Includes equipment to support different programs in the sector. 2. Reforestation Executing Agency: National Forestry Service Location: -- Estimated Cost: $1.1 million External Assistance: -- Status: -- Note: Includes two forestry stations and a national program of reforestation, during two years. 3. Inventory of Forests Executing Agency: National Forestry Service Location: -- Estimated Cost: $0.54 million External Assistance: -- Status: Planned to last two years. Note: -- 4. Aerophotography Executing Agency: National Forestry Service Location: -- Estimated Cost: $0.5 million External Assistance: -- Status: -- Note: Connected with project no. 3. ANNEX D - 35 - Page 13 Sector: Forestry: Plans for 1981/82 5. Animal Inventory Executing Agency: National Forestry Service Location: -- Estimated Cost: $0.9 million External Assistance: -- Status: -- Note: To support a national policy of hunting control and establishment of national parks. 6. Protection Against "Queimadas" Executing Agency: National Forestry Service Location: -- Estimated Cost: $0.58 million External Assistance: -- Status: -- Note: Includes education at village level about the negative effects of soil clearance by burning. ANNEX D - 36 - Page 14 Sector: Fisheries 1. Artisanal Fishing Project (Bijagos) Executing Agency: National Secretariat for Fishing Location: Bijagos Estimated Cost: GP 275 million ($8.1 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: Includes distribution of boats, nets and motors to fishermen. 174 people were involved in 1979. 2. Artisanal Fishing Development (Cacheu) Executing Agency: National Secretariat for Fishing Location: Cacheu Estimated Cost: GP 35.0 million ($1.0 million) External Assistance: USAID/EEC Status: Planned to start in 1981. Note: The objectives are similar to those of the above project. ANNEX D - 37 - Page 15 Sector: Mining: Planned and Ongoing Projects 1. Bauxite Exploration Executing Agency: Directorate of Mining (Ministry of Rural Development) Location: Boe Region Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: USSR Status: Started in 1977, completion was expected in 1980. Note: Aimed at identifying location, quantity and content of bauxite; has been carried out by TECHNO-EXPORT (USSR). 2. Construction Materials Executing Agency: Directorate of Mining Location: Various Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: USSR Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1982. Note: Aimed at identifying the country!s construction material production potential. 3. Phosphates Executing Agency: Directorate of Mining Location: Farim Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: Started with French assistance. At present, none. Status: Started in 1979. Note: Due to lack of financing, project ended after preliminary reconnaissance. 4. Heavy Minerals in the Coast Executing Agency: Directorate of Mining Location: Coast Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: None Status: Completion was expected in 1980, but was interrupted because of lack of funding. Note: To prospect ilmenite and titanium potential. ANNEX D - 38 - Page 16 Sector: Industry: Planned and Ongoing Projects 1. Metalomechanic Plant Executing Agency: Ministry of Industry (CECIA) Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 40.0 million ($1.14 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Planned. Note: Includes production of farm implements and water pumps. 2. Volvo Workshop Executing Agency: Ministry of Industry (CECIA) Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 171 million ($4.9 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: To ensure maintenance and repair of Volvo, Berliet and Austin vehicles. The project includes technical training. 3. Assembly of Bicycles and Farm Implements Executing Agency: Ministry of Industry Location: Unidentified at this stage. Estimated Cost: $1.0 million External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Project is being planned. Note: To provide bicycles and farm implements to rural areas. 4. Rehabilitation of the Garage of Public Works Ministry Executing Agency: Public Works Ministry (CEOPCU) Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $2.3 million External Assistance: EEC Status: -- Note: To repair existing transportation equip- ment, 40 percent of which is presently immobilized. ANNEX D - 39 - Page 17 Sector: Industry: Planned and Ongoing Projects 5. Rural Development Ministry Workshop Restoration Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: 9.0 million Swedish crowns External Assistance: SIDA Status: First study was planned to begin January 1981. Note: -- 6. Agro-Industrial Complex of Cumere Executing Agency: Ministry of Industry (CECIA) Location: Cumere (Oio Region) Estimated Cost: GP 633 million ($20 million) External Assistance: Saudi Fund/OPEC Development FUnd/FAO Status: Started in 1976, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- ANNEX D - 40 - Page 18 Sector: Transports: Planned and Ongoing Projects 1. Bissau-Bissalanca (International Airport) Highway Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 135 million ($3.9 million) External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: Four lane 12 km road. 2. Jugudul-Bambadinca Road Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Bafata Region Estimated Cost: GP 639 million ($19.0 million) External Assistance: ADB/FAD Status: -- Note: Construction of a 200 meter bridge, paving of 36 km of road and rehabilitation of 24 km of road. 3. Bambadinca-Quebo Road Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Bafati and Tombali Regions Estimated Cost: $4.5 million External Assistance: EDF ($2.0 million) Status: Planned. Note: Planing and rehabilitation of existing road. 4. Road Rehabilitation and Construction Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Various Estimated Cost: GP 315 million ($9.0 million) External Assistance: IDA/EEC Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: Includes maintenance of 564 km of roads, equipment and technical assistance, executed by Berger. ANNEX D - - 41 - Page 19 Sector: Transports: Planned and Ongoing Projects 5. Bissau-Prabils Road Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 7 million ($0.2 million) External Assistance: Not yet identified Status: To begin in 1982. Note: Project will benefit fruit and vegetable producing region. 6. Bissau-Biombo Road Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 7.0 million ($0.2 million) External Assistance: Not yet identified. Status: To begin in 1982. Note: -- 7. Puebo-Boke Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 280.0 million ($8.0 million) External Assistance: EEC will finance feasibility study. Status: To'start in 1981. Note: -- 8. Port aud Navigation Infrastructures Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 1,050 million ($30.0 million) External Assistance: IDA/Kuwait Fund Status: Feasibility study in progress. Note: -- ANNEX D - 42 - Page 20 Sector: Transports: Planned and Ongoing Projects 9. Bissalanca International Airport Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Bissalanca Estimated Cost: GP 467.5 million ($14.0 million) External Assistance: Kuwait Fund ($8.8 million), Socovias ($4.9 million) Status: -- Note: Runway extension and navigation aids. 10. Bus Purchases Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 12.3 million ($0.4 million) External Assistance: Not yet identified Status: Planned. Note: Purchase of 30 second-hand buses. 11. Enlargement of Silo-Diata Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 102.0 million ($2.9 million) External Assistance: Islamic Development Bank Status: Planned. Note: Improvement of the national passenger transport company (Silo-Diata) including rehabilitation of the fleet. 12. Airplane for Lia Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: -- Estimated Cost: 35 million ($1.0 million) External Cost: EEC Status: Planned. Note: -- ANNEX D 43 - Page 21 Sector: Transports: Planned and Ongoing Projects 13. Aeronautic Training Center Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 46.2 million ($1.3 million) External Assistance: UNDP (Grant) Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: Promotes teaching in aeronautics and telecommunications. In 1979 had 31 students. ANNEX D - 44 - Page 22 Sector: Telecommunications: Planned and Ongoing Projects 1. Main Axis of Telecommunications Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation and Communications Location: Various Estimated Cost: GP 270.0 million ($8.0 million) External Assistance: SIDA/NORAD Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 2. Rural Telecommunications Network Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation and Communications Location: Various Estimated Cost: GP 6oo million ($17.6 million) External Assistance: Not identified Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1985. Note: -- 3. International Network Executing Agency: Ministry of Transportation and Communications Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 75 million ($2.2 million) External Assistance: Not identified Status: Planned. Note: -- ANNEX D - 45 - Page 23 Sector: Energy: Planned and Ongoing Projects 1. Elephant Project Executing Agency: National Institute of Energy Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 400 million ($12.0 million) External Assistance: Not identified Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: Axis Cumere-Nhana Airport-Bra-Bissau. Power capacity 7,000 kva (see para. 8.17 of main text). 2. Bogotg Electrical Island Executing Agency: National Institute of Energy Location: -- Estimated Cost: GP 28.9 million ($9.0 million) External Assistance: Not identified Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: Axis Xime-Bambadinca-Bafat'-Contuboel- Gabu'. Includes power station in Bafata (3,700 kva). 3. Gazela Project Executing Agency: National Institute of Energy Location: Various E8timated Cost: GP 3 4 7 .8 million ($11.0 million) External Assistance: SIDA/ADB Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: Electrification of rural centers with small generators. 4. Assistance to National Institute of Energy Executing Agency: National Institute of Energy Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 30.0 million ($1.0 million) External Assistance: UNDP Status: Started in 19??, completion expected in 198?. Note: -- ANNEX D - 46 - Page 24 Sector: Energy: Planned and Ongoing Projects 5. Bissau Power Distribution Network Executing Agency: National Institute of Energy Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 185 million ($5.3 million) External Assistance: Not identified. Status: Planned. Note: -- 6. Hydroelectric Project of Corubal (Feasibility Study) Executing Agency: Ministry of Natural Resources, Hydraulic Division Location: Corubal River Estimated Cost: $2.1 million External Assistance: UNDP ($1.5 million)/PAM ($51,000) Status: Feasibility study financed by UNDP started in 1980. Note: Capacity 35 MW, total cost $60 million (1975 prices). 7. Oil Promotion Project Executing Agency: Petrominas Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: US$5 million External Assistance: IDA (5 million) Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: Feasibility study and seismic survey. ANNEX D 47 Page 25 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing.Projects 1. Pre-primary Schooling Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 1.6 million ($50,000) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 2. Equipment for Pre-primary Schools Executing Agency: Ministry,of Education Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 2.3 million ($67,000) External Assistance: Being sought. Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 3. Development of Primary Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Whole country Estimated Cost: GP 5.3 million ($155,600) External Assistance: UNICEF Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 4. School Construction and Equipment for Complementary Basic Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Throughout the country Estimated Cost: GP 12.5 million ($370,000) External Assistance: SIDA (partially) Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- ANNEX D - 48 - Page 26 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing Projects 5. Equipment Repair and Furniture Executing Agencyi Ministry of Education Location: Throughout the country Estimated Cost: GP 18.8 million ($550,000) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 6. Construction of and Equipment for Eight Schools (Complementary Primary) Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Several Estimated Cost: GP 39.7 million ($1.17 million) External Assistance: EEC Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 7. Centers of Popular Integrated Education (CEPI) Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Tombali, Cacheu, Gabil Estimated Cost: GP 77.9 million ($2.29 million) External Assistance: SIDA, CGFD, the Netherlands Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 8. Pilot Projects for Integration of CEPI Students Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Cacheu, Cantchungo, Benitcha, Baloma, Tombali Estimated Cost: GP 21320 million ($0.63 million), External Assistance: Being sought. Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1983. Note: Distributed over five subprojects. ANNEX D - 49 - Page 27 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing Projects 9. Technical Institute for Professional Training Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 2.06 million ($60,500) External Assistance: ADB, UNDP Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 10. Technical Training Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Cacheu Estimated Cost: GP 660,000 ($19,4o) External Assistance: HIVOS (Dutch) Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 11. Primary Teacher Training Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bolama, Cacheu Estimated Cost': GP 88.1 million ($2.59 million) External Assistance: USAID Status: Started in 1976, completion expected in 1982. Note: Construction of school. 12. Primary Teacher Training Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Tombali Estimated Cost: 1.9 million ($55,800) External Assistance: HIVOS (Dutch) Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1983. Note: -- ANNEX D - 50 - Page 28 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing Projects 13. Training and Improvement of Teachers Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Whole country Estimated Cost: GP 26.3 million ($0.77 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 14. Institute for Teacher Training Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 74.1 million ($2.2 million) External Assistance: ADB/UNESCO/Great Britain Status: Unknown. Note: Construction and equipment. 15. Training of Secondary Education Teachers Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: GP 9.0 million ($264,200) External Assistance: UNDP Status: Started in 1981, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 16. School Material and Textbook Publication Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Whole country Estimated Cost: GP 22.4 million ($0.66 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- ANNEX D -51 - Page 29 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing Projects 17. School Libraries Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau, Bafatf, Cantchungo and Bolama Estimated Cost: GP 8 million ($235,000) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 18. Construction of Regional Centers for Adult Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Whole country Estimated Cost: GP 8.4 million ($0.25 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Unknown. Note: -- 19. Scholarships Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bblama, Pite, Jabada, Bula and C6 Estimated Cost: GP 3 million ($88,100) External Assistance: EEC Status: Started in 1976, completion expected in 1980. Note: -- 20. Scholarships Executing Agency: Ministry of Educaiton Location: Cacheu Estimated Cost: GP 2.2 million ($64,ooo) External Assistance: FIEU Status: Ongoing. Note: Renewable every year. ANNEX D - 52 - Page 30 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing Projects 21. Scholarships for Regional Coordinators of Adult Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau, Bafat6, Gabu' Estimated Cost: GP 2.07 million ($60,800) External Assistance: Broedelijk Delen Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 22. Special Projects Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Whole country Estimated Cost: GP 16.7 million ($0.49 million) External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: Housing construction for foreign assistants. 23. Assistance to National Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau, Cantchungo, Bafata, Bolama Estimated Cost: GP 10.7 million ($0.31 million) External Assistance: UNDP Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 24. Extraordinary Assistance to National Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Whole country Estimated Cost: GP 3.5 million ($0.10 million) External Assistance: UNDP Status: Started in 1980, completion expected in 1981. Note: Equipment and school material. ANNEX D - 53 - Page 31 Sector: Education: Planned and Ongoing Projects 25. Food Aid to Schools and Training Institutes Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Bissau, Cacheu, Tombali, Buba, Bolama Estimated Cost: GP 21.9 million ($0.64 million) External Assistance: PAM Status-: Project to last for two years, but its start is unknown. Note: -- 26. Integrated Project of Cabachanque - Subproject of Education Executing Agency: Ministry of Education Location: Cabucare, Catio Estimated Cost: GP 3.6 million ($0.11 million) External Assistance: COE Status: Started in 1979, completion date unknown. Note: -- ANNEX D - 54 - Page 32 Sector: Public Health: Planned and Ongoing Projects 1. Construction of Hospital (Mor@s) Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: MorCs Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: None Status: Started in 1975, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 2. Construction of Hospital in Quinhamel Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Quinhamel Estimated Cost: $120,000 External Assistance: SIDA Status: Project began in 1976, completion unknown due to a fire which burned installed equipment. Note: Needs more financing. 3. Construction of Center for Rehabilitation of Handicapped Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost. $3.6 million External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1977, completion expected in 1982. Note: Includes construction, equipment and technical assistance. 4. Public Health Units Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Various Estimated Cost: UCE 1,145 External Assistance: FED Status: Started in 1977, completion date unknown. Note: Includes construction of three sectoral hospitals, four health centers; one rehabilitation center for mental patients, equipment and medication. Several problems have delayed the project. ANNEX D -55 - Page 33 Sector: Public Health: Planned and Ongoing Projects 5. Reorganization of Sino Mendes Hospital Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: US$1.8 million External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1977, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 6. Equipment for 20 Public Health Standposts Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Various Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: The Netherlands (NOVID) Status: -- Note: -- 7. Construction of 28 Rural Health Centers Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Tombali, Buba, Cacheu Estimated Cost: US$2 million External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 8. Construction of Ten Urban Health Centers Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Various- Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: Portugal (Gulbenkian Foundation) Status: Initially planned to start in 1979. Still awaits decision. Note: -- ANNEX D - 56 - Page 34 Sector: Public Health: Planned and Ongoing Projects 9. Construction of Public Health Standposts Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Various Estimated Cost: $1.4 million External Assistance: UNHCR Status: Started in 1976, completion expected in 1980. Note: Comprises five dispensaries in Sonaco, Bubaqua, Catio, Fauri and San Domegos; twelve health standposts and equipment. 10. Equipment for Four Regional Hospitals Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Various Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: UNICEF Status: Delayed, although it had been programmed for 1978-79. Note: -- 11. Technical Assistance and Health Programs - 1 Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $1.03 million External Assistance: Cuba Status: Started in 1975, renewed in 1980. Note: Comprises 38 doctors, 4 nurses and 4 technicians. Technical Assistance and Health Programs - 2 Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $64,800 External Assistance: USSR Status: Started in 1975, renewed in 1980. Note: -- ANNEX D - 57 - Page 35 Sector: Public Health: Planned and Ongoing Projects Technical Assistance and Health Programs - 3 Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $4o,ooo External Assistance: Portugal Status: Started in 1977, renewed in 1979 after first phase was completed. Note: Two medical doctors. Technical Assistance and Health Programs - 4 Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: US$500,000 External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1977, completion expected in 1982. Note: Technical laboratory assistance. 12. Training of Former "Socorristas" Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Nhala, Quinara Estimated Cost: $56,000 External Assistance: DANIDA/UNICEF Status: Started in 1978, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- 13. Assistance to Health Educators Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $58,000 External Assistance: Manitese (Italy) Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1982. Note: -- ANNEX D -58 - Page 36 Sector: Public Health: Planned and Ongoing Projects 14. Public Health Laboratory Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $370,000 External Assistance: SIDA Status: Started in 1976, completion expected in 1981. Note: Construction, equipment and material. 15. Regional Transportation Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: Various Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: UNICEF Status: Planned. Note: Eight Land Rovers, twelve motorized boats, six canoes. 16. Project to Develop Medication from Local Plants Executing Agency: Ministry of Health Location: -- Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: ONUDI Status: Expected to start in 1981. It was prepared in 1979. Note: -- 17. Rehabilitation and Control of Water Ports Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Gabu', Bafat6, Oio and Cacheu Estimated Cost: Unknown External Assistance: UNDP/UNICEF Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: 400 water standposts. ANNEX D 59 - Page 37 Sector: Public Health: Planned and Ongoing Projects 18. Water Supply to Rural Areas Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Quinara and Tombali Regions Estimated Cost: $4.0 million External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1979, completion expected in 1981. Note: Includes a total of 450 water capture points. 19. Water Supply to Urban Centers (Three programs) Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Various Estimated Cost: $3.8 million External Assistance USSR/The Netherlands Status: Started in 1977, completion expected in 1981. Note: -- 20. Institutional Building Executing Agency: Ministry of Rural Development Location: Bissau Estimated Cost: $2.0 million External Assistance: The Netherlands Status: Started in 1977, completion expected in 1981. Note: To aid reorganization of the Ministry of Natural Resources. - 60 - BIBLIOGRAPHY 1. Cabral, A. Unitd et Lute, Maspero Editions, Paris 1980 2. CECEP. First Principles for the Definition of a Development Strategy. Bissau, November 1977. 3. CECEP. Introdugo A Geografia Econ6mica da Guin6-Bissau. April 1980. 4. Davidson, B. The Liberation of Guine: Aspects of an African Revolution. Penguin African Library, 1971. 5. Davidson, B. "The PAIGC Republics: Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde" in West Africa, 1976. 6. Freire, P. Cartas 'a Guin6-Bissau. Department for Publishing and Diffusion of Books and Records, Bissau, 1978. 7. Goulet, D. Looking at Guinea-Bissau: a New Nation's Development Strategy. Overseas Development Council, Occasional Paper No.9, March 1978. 8. Hidoussi, A. and J.Binet. Organisation du Credit Agricole en Guin6e-Bissau. FAO, Rome, September 1980. 9. Hopkins, A.G. An Economic History of West Africa. Columbia University Press, New York 1973. 10. International Monetary Fund . Guinea-Bissau: Recent Economic Developments, 1979. 11. Lavalin/Delcadia Consultants. 9tude Gfnfrale sur les Transports en Guinde- Bissau. November 1979. 12. Macedo, Rev. F. A Educarao na Republica da Guin*-Bissau. Braga, 1978. 13. Moita, J. and M.J. Larangeiro. Contas Nacionais, 1977. CECEP, Bissau, May 1980. 14. Mota, T. Guinf-Portuguesa. Agtncia Geral do Ultramar, Lisbon, 1954. 15. Resolurao Geral do III Congresso do PAIGC. Edigoes do PAIGC, Cadernos do Congresso, No. 6, 1977. 16. SCET International, Plan Decennel de Developpement de SEMAPESCA, State Secretary for Fisheries, Bissau, May 1979. 17. SCET Interna ional, Republique de Guinfe-Bissau: Potentialitfs Agricoles, Forestiires et Pastorales, 1978. 18. Schwarz, C. Estatfsticas do Arroz, 1979. Ministry of Rural Development, ENTA 3/79, ENTA 3/79, Bissau 1979. 19. Washington, S. The Post-Revolutionary Evolution of Guinea-Bissau, unpublished dissertation, Howard University, 1978. 61 - STATISTICAL APPENDIX Table of Contents I. POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT 1.1 Distribution of the Population, 1950-1979 1.2 Population and Households by Regions and by Sex in 1979 1.3 Distribution of the Population by Ethnic Groups 1.4 Population by Five-Year Age Groups, 1960 1.5 Employment in Government and Private Sectors by Sector, 1979 II. NATIONAL ACCOUNTS 2.1 Gross Domestic Product: Estimates of Output by Sector of Production in 1975-1979, at Current Market Prices 2.2 Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure: Preliminary Estimates, 1975-1979 2.3 ,,Gross Domestic Product: Sectorial Estimates, 1975-1979, at 1979 Constant Prices 2.4 Deflators for Sectorial Production III. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 3.1 Summary Balance of Payments, 1975-1979 3.2 Exports of Main Products, 1975-1980 3.3 Exports in Volume and Unit Values, 1975-1979 3.4 Main Exports and Unit Values, 1961-1979 3.5 Imports of Principal Products, 1975-1980 3.6 Volume and Value of Imports, 1975-1980 3.7 Composition of Exports and Imports, 1974-1979 3.8 Import and Export Prices Indices, 1975-1979 3.9 Trade Indices, 1975-1979 3.10 Direction of Trade, 1974-1979 3.11 Foreign Aid in Kind, 1976-1980 3.12 Food Aid IV. EXTERNAL DEBT 4.1 External Public Outstanding, Including Undisbursed 4.2 Service Payments Commitments and Outstanding Amounts of External Debt - 62 - V. PUBLIC FINANCE 5.1 Summary of Budgetary Operations, 1975-1979 5.2 Central Government Revenues, 1977-1980 5.3 Central Government Ordinary Budget Expenditures, 1976-1980 5.4 Percentage Distribution of Central Government Ordinary Expenditures, 1977-1980 5.5 Public Investment Program, 1978-1981 VI. MONETARY STATISTICS 6.1 Monetary Survey, 1975-1980 VII. WAGES AND PRICES 7.1 Average Monthly Salaries by Occupation, 1979 7.2 Distribution of Salaries and Employment by Class of Salary in Public and Mixed Enterprises 7.3 Major Consumer Goods Price Indices, 1975-1980 7.4 Structure of Consumer Price Index 7.5 Average Retail Price of Selected Consumer Goods in Bissau, 1975-1980 VIII. NUTRITIONAL STATUS 8.1 Approximate Country Wide Calorie Balances 8.2 Food Production, Consumption and Equivalent Calorie Intakes per Day IX. PRODUCTION SECTORS 9.1 National Land-Use. 1976 9.2 Area Cultivated and Yield per Crops and Regions. 1976 9.3 Main Ethnic Groups and Crops by Regions 9.4 Guinea-Bissau - Weather Conditions 9.5 Producer Prices, 1974-1980 9.6 Purchase of Agricultural Products by Armazens do Povo and Socomi, 1976-1980 9.7 Estimated Livestock Population and Meat Production, 1978 9.8 Estimated Forestry Resources 9.9 Forestry - Estimated Annual Yield 9.10 Fisheries Production, 1975-1980 9.11 Fishing Fleets Operating in Guinea-Bissau's Waters, 1979-1980 9.12 Industrial Sector: Employment Status and Utilized Capacity 9.13 Manufacturing Output, 1975-1979 - 63 - X. INFRASTRUCTURE 10.1 Cargo and Passenger Transport, 1976-79 10.2 Guinea-Bissau's Transport Fleet, 1979 XI. SOCIAL SECTORS 11.1 Student Enrollments, 1975/76 - 1979/80 11.2 Students, Teachers and Classrooms, 1975/76 - 1979/80 11.3 Promotion and Repetition Rates, 1975/76 - 1979/80 11.4 Teachers Qualifications, 1979/80 11.5 Students Abroad by Country and Field of Study, 1980 11.6 Current Educational Expenditures, 1980 11.7 Extraordinary Educational Expenditures, 1981/82 11.8 Cost Indices by Education Level, 1980 Table 1.1: DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION, 1950-1979 Surface Population Density (Sq.km) 1950 1979 1950 1979 (Numbers) % (Numbers) % Total Guinea-Bissau 36, 125 517,290 105.0 767,731 100.0 14.3 21.3 Bissau (Autonomous Sector) 80 18,325 3.5 109,214 14.2 229.1 1,356.9 Bafata 5,981 70,376 13.6 116,030 15.1 11.8 19.4 Biombo 836 31,696 6.1 56,463 7.4 37.9 67.5 Bolama 2,624 19,829 3.8 25,743 3.3 7.6 9.8 Quinara 3,138 20,739 4.0 35,531 4.6 6.6 11.3 Cacheu 5,175 118,951 23.0 130,227 17.0 23.0 25.2 Gabu 9,150 58,188 11.3 104,313 13.6 6.4 11.4 Oio 5,403 146,952 28.4 135,112 17.6 27.2 25.0 Tombali 3,736 32,234 6.2 55,098 7.2 8.6 14.7 Sources: Census, 1950,1979 - 65 - Table 1.2: POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLDS BY REGIONS AND BY SEX IN 1979 Population Total Male Female Households Villages Total 767,731 379,726 409,288 123,807 3,628 Bissau (Sector autonomous) 109,214 54,140 57,995 19,360 - Bafata 116,0 0 58,885 60,343 18,632 881 Biombo 56,463 27,552 30,421 8,841 133 Botama 25,743 12,970 13,623 3,908 195 Quinara 35,531 17,634 20,064 5,817 232 Cacheu 130,227 62,915 70,359 20,760 593 Gabu 104,313 52,796 53,104 15,868 672 Oio 135,112 65,321 71,892 21,921 621 Tombali 55,098 27,513 31,487 8,700 301 Source: 1979 Census. Table 1.3: DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION BY ETHNIC GROUPS, 1950 and 1979 Ethnic 1950 1979 Principal Regions (Share in Total Groups ('000) % ('000) % of Each Region) Balantes 160.3 31.5 200.9 26.2 Oio (60%), Tombali (50%), Quinara (44%) Fulas 108.4 21.3 179.0 23.3 Gab6 (75%), Bafata (59%) Mandjaks 71.7 14.0 82.9 10.8 Cacheu (46%) Mandinkas 68.8 13.6 95.3 12.4 Oio (26%), Bafat9 (21%), Gab6 (15%) Pepels 36.3 7.2 78.8 10.3 Biombo (74%) Brames ("Macanhe") 16.3 3.3 26.0 3.4 Bolama (10%) and Bissau (11%) Beafades 11.6 2.3 25.1 3.3 Quinara (33%), Tombali (5%) Bijagos 10.3 2.0 19.7 2.6 Bolama (61%) Felupes 8.2 1.6 14.0 1.8 Cacheu (10%) Nalus 3.0 0.6 6.4 0.8 Tombali (10%) Others 14.1 2.6 39.6 5.2 Bissau (48%), Oo (17%) Total 509.0 100.0 767.7 100.0 Sources: Population Censuses, 1950 and 1979. - 67 - Table 1.4: POPULATION BY 5-YEAR AGE GROUPS, 1960 and 1979 1960 1979 Age Group Total % Total % 0-4 75,488 14.4 139,849 18.2 5-9 74,828 14.2 123,938 16.1 10-14 38,383 7.3 82,816 10.8 15-19 36,691 7.0 74,384 9.7 20-24 44,975 8.6 62,210 8.1 25-29 55,764 10.6 56,828 7.4 30-34 43,316 8.2 44,485 5.8 35-39 40,675 7.7 42,970 5.6 40-44 29,400 5.6 32,510 4.2 45-49 26,088 5.0 27,460 3.6 50-54 18,084 3.4 22,423 2.9 55-59 14,598 2.8 14,724 1.9 60-64 11,877 2.2 12,815 1.7 65-69 7,277 1.4 10,117 1.3 70-74 3,988 0.8 9,141 1.2 75-79 2,081 0.4 5,897 1.0 80-e 1,924 0.4 5,164 0.5 Total 525,437 100.0 767,731 100.0 Source: Population Censuses, 1960 and 1979. - 68 - Table 1.5: EMPLOYMENT IN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ENTERPRISES, 1979 Principal Occupations Public and Private 1/ Total Mixed Sector Sector Primary Production 157,320 816 156,504 of Which: Agriculture 156,048 317 155,731 Fisheries 1,150 415 735 Manufacturing 3,006 1,388 of Which: Agro-processing 139 23 116 Food and Beverages 693 296 397 Textiles 915 40 875 Wood Industry 511 511 Other 748 748 Construction 1,727 274 1,453 Services of Which: 35,105 22,889 12,216 Commerce and Tourism 5,250 3,150 2,100 Transports 2,438 410 2,028 Public Administration 19,329 19,329 - Personal Services 8,088 .. 8,088 Other 1,425 1,425 Total Employment 198,583 27,022 171,561 - Includes informal sector. 2/ 2 Includes 650 members of the construction cooperative. Source: Bank mission estimates based on elements provided by the authorities of Guinea-Bissau, and Population Census of 1979. - 69 - Table 2.1: GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: ESTIMATES OF OUTPUT BY SECTOR OF PRODUCTION IN 1975-1980 (Millions of Guinea-Bissau Pesos at Current Market Prices) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Provis. Primary Production 1,717.0 1,841.2 1,690.7 2,074.0 2,373.0 2,499.7 Agriculture 904.2 954.0 723.8 1,047.8 1,152.2 1,151.4 Livestock 439.2 473.5 521.7 562.2 699.9 794.8 Forestry 11.1 8.1 4.5 6.7 19.2 20.7. Fishing, of which 21.7 45.8 60.7 67.3 100.9 121.0 Subsistence (17.2) (18.6) (25.0) (27.7) (36.5) (51.8) Nonmonetary output 1/ 340.5 359.8 380.0 390.0 400.8 411.9 Secondary Production 277.2 187.8 253.1 396.1 447.4 448.1 Manufacturing 224.0 137.7 182.1 253.3 307.8 Food and Beverages 171.6 82.2 112.5 170,3 215.1 219.3 Shelling and Oils 31.7 25.5 40.1 28.1 28.2 18.9 Textiles 6.2 12.8 9.7 9.2 9.2 13.4 Chemicals - - - 15.4 3.2 7.4 Metalomechanics 11.5 12.2 12.9 23.4 45.2 Others 3.0 5.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 Construction 2/ 30.2 25.1 43.2 115.0 111.8 Energy and Water 23.0 25.0 27.8 27.8 27.8 Services 933.8 1,090.4 1,040.5 1,213.7 1,678.4 1,790.9 Wholesale and Retail Trade 3/ 373.5 436.2 359.6 456.0. 568.5 611.8 Tourism 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2 0.6 Transport 22.4 26.1 24.9 29.0 40.1 35.0 Government 537.9 628.1 656.0 727.7 1,068.6 1,143.5 Gross Domestic Product 2,928.0 3,119.4 2,984.3 3,683.8 4,498.6 4,738.7 (Market Prices) - Indirect Taxes -142.3 -207.2 -243.5 -269.2 -415.9 -401.5 + Subsidies 35.3 38.6 84.8 67.6 79.8 80.0 GDP (Factor Prices) 2,821.0 2,950.0 2,825.5 3,482.2 4,162.7 4,417.3 Sources: Bank mission estimates based on data provided by Guinea-Bissau authorities. Including Construction in Subsistence Sector. Including Manufacturing of Construction Materials. 2/ Including Indirect Taxes. - 70 - Table 2.21 GUINEA-BISSAU NATIONAL ACCOUNTS SUMARY (ESTIMATES) (Millions of GP at Current Prices) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Provis. 1. Gross Domestic Product 2,428.0 3,119.4 2,984.3 3,683.8 4,498.6 4,738.7 2. Resource Gap (M-X) 897.7 1,041.5 855.1 1,413.9 1,747.8 1,769.7 3. Imports, NFS 1,085.1 1,244.5 1,389.6 1,942.2 2.348.7 2,452.9 4. Exports, NFS 187.4 203.0 534.5 528.3 600.9 683.2 5. Total Expenditures 3,825.7 4,160.9 3,839.4 5,097.7 6,246.4 6,508.4 6. Consumption 3,279.9 3,546.9 3,124.7 4,097.7 4,770.9 7. Public 1,033.2 1,197.4 1,378.2 1,966.8 2,246.4 8. Private 2,246.7 2,349.5 1,746.5 2,130.9 2,524.5 9. Investment 545.8 614.0 714.7 1,000.0 1,475.5 10. Public 201.0 226.7 338.4 725.3 1,087.1 11. Private 344.8 387.3 376.3 274.7 388.4 12. Domestic Savings -351.9 -427.5 -140.4 -413.9 -272.3 13. Net Factor Income 101.5 -315.6 -231.6 -299.2 -84.4 -33.1 14. Current Transfers - - - - - 15. National Savings -250.4 -743.1 -372.0 -713.1 -356.7 Average Exchange Rate 16. GB Pesos per US$ 25.553 30.223 33.670 35.039 34.057 33.811 17. GB Pesos per SDR 31.021 34.893 39.320 43.804 44.000 44.000 Source: Bank mission estimates based on elements provided by the Guinea-Bissau authorities. .. Not available. - 71 - Table 2.3: GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: SECTORAL ESTIMATES 1975-79 AT 1979 CONSTANT PRICES ( In millions of GP Pesos ) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 (Prov. Primary Production 2,398.0 2,586.0 2,251.3 2,579.6 2,373.0 2,308.1 of which: Agriculture 1,363.6 1,447.3 1,054.1 1,342.6 1,152.2 1,061.0 Livestock 521.6 561.3 604.1 650.2 699.7 753.2 Fisheries 22.2 61.7 81.5 94.0 100.5 94.4 Secondary Production 402.2 249.7 327.8 447.6 447.4 407.4 Services 1,203.2 1,365.1 1,320.0 1,383.7 1,678.4 1,675.3 Total 4,002.4 4,200.3 3,899.1 4,410.9 4,498.8 4,390.8 Source: Bank mission estimates, based on Tables 2.1 and 2.4. Table 2.4: DEFLATORS FOR SECTORAL PRODUCTION (1979 100) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980(Prov.) Primary Production 71.6 71.2 75.1 80.4 100.0 108.3 of which:- Agriculture 66.3 65.9 83.5 78.1 100.0 108.5 Fisheries 67.9 41.6 63.2 68.2 100.0 128.1 Livestock 84.3 84.4 86.4 86.5 100.0 105.5 Secondary Production 68.9 75.2 77.2 88.-S 100.0 110.0 Services 77.7 79.9 78.8 87.7 100.0 106.9 Total Weighted Index 73.2 74.3 76.5 83.5 100.0 107.9 Source: Bank mission estimates. - 72 - Tgble 2,5; GUTNEA-BISSAU NATTONAL ACCOUNTS SUMARY (ESTMTES) (Millions of US$ at constant 1978 prices) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Provis. 1. Gross Domestic Product 130.7 116.0 96.7 105.1 110.3 104.7 2, Terms of Trade Effect 1/ -2.9 -6.2 -1.2 0.0 -0.7 -3.6 3. Gross Domestic Income 127,8 109.8 95.5 105.1 109.1 101.1 4. Resource Gap (5-6) 50.8 49.0 40.6 40.3 42.2 39.1 5. Imports, NFS 64.2 56.4 56.0 55.4 56.6 54.2 6. Capacity to import 2/ 13.4 7.4 15.4 15.1 14.4 15.1 7. (Exports, NFS) 3/ 16.3 13.6 16.6 15.1 15.1 18.7 8. Total Expenditures 178.6 158.8 146.1 145.4 151.8 140.2 9. Consumption 152.9 135.4 110.9 116.9 118.8 10. Investment 25.7 23.4 25.2 28.5 34.0 11. Domestic Savings -25.1 -26.6 -15.4 -11.8 -8.2 12. Factor income and private transfers (net) 5.4 -13.8 -8.2 -8.5 -2.0 -8.4 13. National savings -19.7 -40.4 -23.6 -20.3 -10.2 Deflators 14. Gross Domestic Product 0.877 0.890 0.916 1.00 1.198 1.292 15. Imports, NFS 0.661 0.905 1.031 1.00 1,218 1.337 16. Exports, NFS 0.541 0.494 0.956 1.00 1.166 1.079 17. Total Expenditures 0.830 0.873 0.842 1.00 1.275 18. Consumption 0.830 0.873 0.842 1.00 1.235 19. Investment 0.830 0.873 0.842 1.00 1.275 20. Exchange Rate Index (US Cents per GP) 1.371 1.159 1.041 1.00 1.029 1.036 Sources: Mission estimates based on official data, 1/ (2) = (6) - (7) i/ Export earnings deflated by the import price index, 3/ Real exports: export earnings deflated by the export price index, - 73 - Table 3.1: GUINEA-BISSAU BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, 1975-80 (Millions of Guinea-Bissau Pesos) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Exports, NFS 187.4 203.0 534.5 528.3 600.9 683.2 Merchandise (fob) 149.9 162.4 427.6 422.6 479.7 382.3 Non-factor Services 37.j 40.6 106.9 105.7 121.2 300.9 Imports, NFS 1,085.1 1,244.5 1,389.6 1,942.2 2,348.7 2,452.9 Merchandise (fob) 868.1 995.7 1,111.7 1,553.8 1,942.7 1,868.0 Freight and Insurance 96.4 110.6 123.5 172.6 215.9 207.6 Other Non-factor Services 120.6 138.2 154.4 215.8 190.1 377.3 Resource Balance -897.7 -1,041.5 -855.1 -1,413.9 -1,747.8 -1,769.7 Net Factor Income and Private Transfers 101.5 -315.6 -231.6 -299.2 -459.1 -583.6 (M< Interest Paid) G.*) (**) (..) (1..) (-84.4) (-33.1) Current Balance -796.2 -1,357.1 -1,086.7 -1,713.1 -,2,206.9 -2.353.3 Capital Flows: 757.9 1,338,8 880.0 1,339.7 2,453.6 2,097.2 Official Grant Aid 236.5 426.0 705.1 940.0 991.7 968.0 Net M< Loans 451.3 253.3 306.8 567.6 1,546.9 468.7 Disbursements (451.3) (253.9) (308.1) (579.3) (1,590.0) (568.3) Repayments (0.0) (-.6) (-1.3) (-11.7) (-43.1) (-97.6) Net Credit from IMF 0.0 0.01 0.0 33.3 43.4 0.0 Net Short-term Capital ...... -11.2 37.8 Capital Flows NEI (including Errors and Omissions) 70.1 709.5 -131.9 -201.2 -117.3 622.7 Overall Balance -38.3 31.7 -206.7 -373.4 246.6 -256.1 Change in Net Reserves (- indicates increase) 38.3 -31.7 206.7 373.4 -246.6 256.1 Foreign Exchange -31.5 -212.8 153.1 308.7 -83.7 192.1 Payments Arrears 69.8 181.1 153.5 64.7 -162.9 64.0 Memorandum item: Net Foreign Reserves 223.9 255.6 48.9 -324.5 -77.9 -158.9 Cross Internation reserves 270.1 530.8 499.2 331.7 603.8 422.4 Equivalent Month's imports 3.2 5.1 3.2 2.1 3.1 2.1 Sources: Mission estimates based on IKF report (1975-77) and official data (1975-80) - 74 - Table 3.2: GUINEA-BISSAU BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, 1975-80 ( In millions of current US$ ) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Exports, NFS 7.3 6.7 15.9 15.1 17.6 20.2 Merchandise (fob) 5.9 5.4 12.7 12.1 14.1 11.3 Non-factor Services 1.4 1.3 3.2 3.0 3.5 8.9 Imports, NFS 42.5 41.2 41.3 55.4 68.9 72.5 Merchandise (fob) 34.0 32.9 33.0 44.3 57.0 55.2 Freight and Insurance 3.8 3.7 3.7 4.9 6.3 6.1 Other Non-factor Services 4.7 4.6 4.6 6.2 5.6 11.2 Resource Balance -35.2 -34.5 -25.4 -40.3 -51.3 -52.3 Net Factor Income and Private Transfers 4.0 -10.4 -6.9 -8.5 -13.5 -17.3 (M< Interest Paid) (..) (..) (..) (..) (-2.1) (0.9) Current Balance -31.2 -44.9 -32.3 -48.8 -64.8 -69.6 Capital account 29.7 46.0 26.2 38.1 72.0 62.0 Official Grant Aid 9.3 14.1 20.9 26.8 29.1 8.6 Net M< Loans 17.7 8.4 9.1 16.2 45.4 13.9 Disbursements (17.7) (8.4) (9.2) (16.5) (46.7) (16.8) Repayments (0.0) (0.0) (-0.1) (-0.3) (-1.3) (-2.9) Net Credit from IMF ...... 1.0 1.3 - Net Short-term Capital ...... - -0.3 1.1 Capital Flows NEI (including Errors and Omissions) 2.7 23.5 -3.8 -5.9 3.5 Overall Balance -1.5 1.1 -6.1 -10.7 7.2 -7.6 Change in Net Reserves (- indicates increase) 1.5 -1.1 6.1 10.7 -7.2 7.6 Foreign Exchange -1.2 -7.0 4.5 8.8 -2.5 5.7 Payment Arrears 2.7 5.9 1.6 1.9 -4.7 1.9 Memorandum item: Net foreign reserves 6.6 7.5 1.4 -9.5 -2.3 -9.9 Cross foreign reserves 11.5 17.7 14.8 9.5 17.7 12.5 Equivalent month's imports 3.2 5.1 3.2 2.1 3.1 2.1 Sources; Bank mission estimates based on IMF Reports (1975-77) and official data (1975-80). - 75 - Table 3.3 EXPORTS OF MAIN PRODUCTS, 1975 - 1981 (in millions of Guinea-Bissau pesos) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Jan.-Sept. 1980 1981 Total 149.9 162.4 427.6 422.6 479.6 382.3 198.9 392.1 Groundnuts 105.4 96.6 265.5 180.8 211.0 100.4 8.8 Shelled .79.1 99.0 95.8 258.0 169.3 207.0 92.7 5.8 75.8 Unshelled 3.9 .4 -- -- .2 3.0 3.0 1.8 Residue 2.4 .1 7.5 11.5 3.8 4.7 -- 1.5 Oil ------ Palm products 16.6 21.0 56.6 129.6 96.2 69.8 50.2 Palm kernels 61.6 16.3 18.3 53.4 120.4 93.71 65.4 48.2 59.2 Palm oil .3 2.7 3.1 9.2 2.5 4.4 2.0 2.4 Cashew nuts -- 3.1 10.5 -- 5.9 14.7 14.6 27.0 Fishing products -- 16.5 82.1 92.8 135.6 134.0 81.7 162.9 Fish -- 7.8 17.9 25.8 15.6 16.3 6.7 Shrimp 25.1 -- 8.7 55.7 61.2 117.1 112.9 73.3 Others 132.2 -- -- 8.5 5.8 2.9 4.8 1.7 5.6 Wood Products 13.0 12.3 9.6 11.4 21.6 33.0 33.0 248 Logs and saun wood 12.9 11.5 6.4 9.3 16.4 28.2 28.2 Parket flooring 21.2 .1 .5 3.0 2.1 5.2 4.8 4.8 3.6 Other -- .3 .2 -- -- .. Beeswax 1.4 3.9 1.1 3.6 3.2 0.1 -- -- Hides and skins 1.1 .9 .9 1.4 1.3 2.1 1.9 0.2 Beer and soft drinks .2 .1 ------5.4 2.8 -- Cotton - - - - - 13.5 -- 32.8 Uthers 12.2 7.4 1.2 2.6 4.8 9.3 5.9 3.7 Sources; Data provided by Guinean authorities; and Direccao Geral de Estatistica, Anuarios Estatisticos e Buletim Trimestral de Estatistica. - 76 - Table 3.4: EXPORTS IN VOLUME AND UNIT VALUES, 1975 - 1981 Jan-Sept. 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1980 1981 (volume in metric tons) Shelled groundnuts 8,249 10,000 16,335 8,395 10,506 6,770 270 3,710 Unshelled groundnuts 604 35 - - 15 226 226 106 Groundnut residue 1,050 80 1,566 1,751 545 630 -- 200 Groundnut oil - 6 ------Palm kernels 4,425 4,950 6,325 11,950 6,370 6,048 4,548 5,501 Palm oil 43 141 169 346 111 147 67 82 Cashew nuts -- 971 1,150 -- 400 929 928 1,345 Fish -- 1,033 11,005 916 739 250 104 1,437 Shrimp -- 99 504 527 742 488 312 685 Logs and sawn wood 4,681 3,555 1,320 1,952 2,585 1,981 1,778 1,406 Parquet flooring 13 98 261 134 362 152 152 99 Beeswax 32 57 15 23 21 2 - 4 Hides and animal skins 40 50 59 34 64 59 -- -- Cotton ------340 -- 943 (unit values, in Guinean pesos per kg) Shelled groundnuts 12.00 9.58 15.79 20.17 19.71 13.69 21.5 20.4 Unshelled groundnuts 6.49 11.13 -- -- 15.20 13.17 13.2 16.9 Groundnut residue 2.31 1.75 4.76 6.56 6.97 7.42 -- 7.26 Groundnut oil -- 35.19 ------Palm kernels 3.68 3.70 8.43 10.07 14.70 10.80 10.6 10.8 Palm oil 8.57 19.34 18.60 26.60 22.50 30.13 29.3 28.9 Cashew nuts -- 3.15 9.09 -- 14.80 15.77 15.8 20.1 Fish -- 7.53 17.59 28.17 21.10 65.2 64.3 17.4 Shrimp -- 88.43 110.58 116.13 157.80 231.44 234.9 193.0 Logs and sawn wood 2.76 3.27 4.83 4.76 6.34 14.24 19.0 14.0 Parquet flooring 5.69 5.21 11.39 15.67 14.36 31.4 31.4 35.9 Beeswax 43.63 68.75 70.07 156.50 152.40 34.0 -- -- Hides and animal skins 10.04 8.09 18.51 41.2 20.30 34.5 -- Cotton ------39.7 -- 34.8 Sources: Data provided by the Guinea-Bissau authorities, and Direccao Geral de Estatistica, boletim trimestral 1976-September 1981 Table 3.5 MAIN EXPORTS AND UNIT VALUES, 1961-1979 (in millions of Guinean Pesos) 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Trade deficit -44.0 -120.6 -211.6 -248.7 -295.7 -344.2 -364.2 -403.4 -548.0 -679.6 -811.5 -784.8 -982.7 -1.007.0 -783.9 -919.4 -807.6 -1,303.8 -1,58.I Exports (f.o.b.) 248.A 221.9 195.6 182.9 123.7 99.3 107.6 103.2 124.2 106.4 67.7 Imports (c.i.f.) 82.0 94.0 88.4 180.6 162.4 427.6 422.6 292.1 342.6 407.2 431.7 419.3 479.6 433.5 471.9 506.7 672.3 786.0 879.2 866.8 1,076.7 1,095.3 964.5 1,106.3 Shelled Rroundnuts 1,235.2 1,726.4 2,067.7 Value .. 75.6 64.5 72.3 69.6 56.4 58.2 62.5 78.3 72.6 29.4 57.0 60.8 40.3 99.0 95.8 Volume ('000 tons) .. 14.7 12.5 14.1 13.6 11.0 11.2 12.0 258.0 169.3 211.0 15.1 13.9 5.6 11.0 11.7 7.7 8.2 10.0 16.3 8.4 Unit Price (Gp/kg) .. 5.13 5.16 10.5 5.13 5.13 5.14 5.20 5.20 5.20 5.21 5.21 5.19 5.21 Unshelled groundnuts 5.27 12.0 9.58 15.79 20.17 19.71 Value 148.61/ 81.0 82.8 67.7 5.5 0 .. Volume ('000 tons) 40.01/ .. O .. 1.7 2.0 6.7 24.0 24.4 19.9 1.6 .0 7.2 3.9 4 - - Unit price .. .. 0 .. .5 .6 .2 3.71 3.38 3.40 3.40 3.38 2.0 1.8 .6 .4 3.37 .. .. 3.48 .. - .0 3.44 3.44 3.44 4.04 6.49 11.13 Palm kernels - 15.20 Value 55.2 44.8 27.9 29.8 34.8 28.8 31.0 29.7 28.3 18.6 21.9 6.9 10.6 18.2 16.3 18.3 53.4 Volume ('000 tons) 16.7 17.6 12.4 9.1 9.0 8.2 10.2 8.0 120.4 93.7 9.3 6.8 7.3 3.0 10.6 6.7 4.4 5.0 6.3 12.0 Unit price 3.31 6.4 2.54 2.26 3.28 3.87 3.51 3.02 3.70 3.03 2.74 3.60 2.32 2.25 2.73 3.68 3.70 8.43 Cashew nut 10.07 14.70 Value .. .0 .0 .3 .3 1.6 1.4 1.3 .5 4.0 1.8 2.2 4.2 3.1 10.5 Volume ('000 tons) .. .0 .0 .6 .1 .8 .7 - .5 .2 1.2 .7 1.0 .. 1.3 .. 1.0 1.2 - Unit Price .. 4.05 1.19 2.06 3.03 2.05 2.10 2.40 2.32 3.33 2.26 2.35 3 .. .1. 9.2 3.27 - 1 4 . 3.15 9.09 - Sawn Wood 14.80 Value 4.3 4.2 3.2 .5 1.4 2.1 .. 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.1 4.2 6.8 Volume ('000 tons) 5.5 5.3 5.1 12.9 11.5 6.4 9.3 16.4 4.0 .6 1.8 2.6 .. 2.7 3.6 3.9 5.1 5.1 8.0 3.9 4.6 3.5 Unit Price 1.3 2.0 2.6 .79 .79 .81 .81 .81 .82 .. .82 .82 .91 .82 .82 .85 1.30 2.76 3.27 4.81 4.76 Beeswax 6.34 Valum 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.9 1.4 1.4 .6 1.5 .5 1.1 1.5 .1 Volume(tons) 81 72 62 57 1.0 1.4 3.9 1.1 3.6 3.2 83 64 57 26 62 2& 48 79 5 35 32 57 1. Unit price 23 21 21.31 21.14 21.09 21.15 22.90 21.13 24.12 21.67 23.57 21.39 22.99 18.86 20.32 29.94 43.63 68.75 70.07 156.50 Source: 152.40 Direccao Geral de Estatistica, Anuario Estatistico 1977, Relatorios Trimestrais 1978-1979. 1/ Includes Shelled groundnuts. - 78 - Table 3.6 IMPORTS OF PRINCIPAL PRODUCTS, 1975-1981 (In millions of Guinea-Bissau pesos) Jan.-Sept. 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 Total 964.5 1106.3 1,235.2 1,726.4 2,067 .7 1,8600 1,490 .6 1,346.8 Foodstuffs 243.3 244.8 291.6 678.8 272.7 344.5 254.3 327.5 for Household Consumption (232.7) (221.6) (244.3) (630.6) (220.7) (322.5) (235.6) (263.5) for Industry Consumption (10.6) (23.2) (47.3) (48.2) (52.0) (22.0) (18.7) (64.0) By-products: Rice 140.3 80.6 101.7 411.9 96.6 146.4 115.5 166.9 Dairy Products 53.2 29.5 60.2 61.8 31.9 26.2 15.0 16.5 Wheat Flour 10.0 22.3 38.8 37.9 40.8 14.9 14.9 16.2 Corn .. 27.5 8.6 59.6 6.7 4.8 4.8 1.1 Sugar 1.8 23.3 15.1 23.8 20.6 30.0 20.4 24.7 Canned Food .. 15.9 8.7 14.3 11.8 21.4 14.7 7.3 Prepared Soups .. 2.3 2.9 4.4 3.4 Other 38.0 43.4 55.6 65.1 60.9 100.8 69.0 94.8 Beverages and Tobacco 56.1 64.6 63.5 63.2 45.6 40.5 35.0 31.8 Beverages 33.4 36.7 35.8 32.4 19.0 T7.8 17.7 2. Tobacco 22.7 27.9 27.7 30.8 26.6 22.7 17.3 19.6 Other Consumer Goods 97.8 145.0 210.3 132.5 249.7 185.5 147.9 108.1 Non-durables, of Which: . 56.6 100.0 75.1 124.2 107.4 86.6 49.4 Drugs and Medical Products (13.8) (36.5) (58.0) (38.8) (77.8) (66.3) (47.8) (29.6) Semi-durables 43.9 71.5 91.3 46.5 61.4 54.7 46.2 37.3 Durables 9.5 16.9 19.0 11.0 64.1 18.4 15.1 21.4 Intermediate Goods 137.1 259.0 224.9 269.4 424.7 472.7 374.9 283.3 Oils 131.8 104.2 152.8 78.8 134.0 113.5 95.5 102.6 Diesel Oil 75.3 46.9 75.4 39.3 77.0 63.5 63.5 84.2 Gasoline 52.5 33.7 42.8 18.9 35.0 18.2 10.8 4.5 Lubricants 4.0 6.0 6.9 16.4 13.0 25.1 21.2 13.9 Machinery and Electrical Equipment1 34.9 118.3 185.0 288.7 617.2 298.6 233.3 283.8 Transportation Equipment 144.7 127.6 106.8 215.0 323.7 409.6 379.7 209,7 Passenger Vehicles 32.2 _5 26.4 64.2 46.3 78.9 72.1 50.9 Industrial 96.9 53.5 47.0 101.8 79.7 265.4 260.5 80.9 Nonindustrial 3.5 6.5 7.9 6.6 96.9 4.9 3.2 4.2 Spare Parts 12.1 9.6 25.5 42.4 100.8 60.4 44.2 73.7 Othere 118.8 42.8 .3 ------ Sources: Data provided by Guinea-Bissau authorities and Direccao Geral de Estatistica, Anuario Estatistico and Boletim Trimestral de Estatistica. 1/ Includes beverages. - Includes tobacco. Does not include electromestics included in durable consumer goods. Mainly errors and omissions. - 79 - Table 3.7 VOLUME AND VALUE OF IMPORTS. 1975-1981 (Volume in metric tons; value in millions of Guinean pesos) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1980 1981 Jan.-Sept. Jan.-Sept. Total Volume 64,702 67,258 74,486 76,611 62,227 57,677 45,584 40,526 Value 965 1,106 1,235 1,726 2,068 1,860 1,491 1,347 Animal Products Volume 1,035 843 1,591 689 505 505 332 219 Value 59 31 62 67 37 27 16 19 Vegetal Products Volume 16,848 19,826 22,896 44,256 19,928 15,980 13,572 15,889 Value 163 143 167 526 162 182 146 209 Edible Oil and Fate Volume 327 478 205 601 224 566 319 902 Value 5 19 10 47 12 36 22 43 Food and Beverages Volume 3,988 5,870 4,984 4,119 3,838 4,065 3,042 1,774 Value 81 127 116 103 106 133 97 90 Mineral Products Volume 36,830 30,533 34,031 16,792 26,016 26,591 19,254 11,150 Value 157 113 167 112 '192 193 155 150 Chemicals Volume 1,736 2,078 2,880 2,766 2,778 1,544 1,331 2,534 Value 46 66 88 61 109 105 80 69 Plastic and Rubber Volume 114 187 320 293 276 288 212 282 Value 7 12 22 23 34 33 24 60 Hides, Skins Volume 29 31 12 3 3 0 0 0 Value 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 Wood Products Volume 271 306 514 72 401 546 189 67 Value 9 4 10 3 17 32 24 3 Paper Products Volume 333 246 687 309 375 196 185 127 Value 9 10 23 19 23 16 13 13 Textiles Volume 1,154 1,627 1,285 1,108 1,255 1,172 1,100 749 Value 109 224 170 159 220 185 169 112 Volume 99 123 256 33 38 31 24 7 Value 13 13 24 7 8 4 4 4 Stone and Glasa Products Volume 238 269 1,464 803 1,136 1,470 1,273 758 Value .4 7 15 10 15 41 35 11 Metal Products Volume 157 1,978 1,314 1,778 171 1,939 1,496 1,436 Value 34 56 65 79 151 140 105 89 Machines and Electrical Equipment Volume 294 961 824 1,508 3,212 1,262 833 998 Value 35 106 153 281 619 296 197 297 Transportation Material Volume 1,101 1,633 1,015 1,398 1,874 2,370 2,303 3,597 Value 212 136 97 211 333 403 378 160 Others Volume 148 269 207 83 197 152 119 37 Value 18 38 43 19 29 33 27 18 Sources: Direccao Geral de Estatistica, Boletins Trimeatrais and Anuario Estatistico. - 80 - Table 3.8: COMPOSITION OF EXPORTS AND IMPORTS, 1975-81 (in percent) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Jan-Sept Exports Groundnuts 58.4 59.5 62.1 42.8 44.0 26.3 20.2 Shelled 54.8 (59.0) (60.3) (40.1) (43.2) (24.3) (19.3) Unshelled 2.2 (0.2) ( - ) ( - ) ( - ) (2.0) (0.9) Palm Products 9.2 13.0 13.2 30.7 20.1 18.3 15.7 Palm kernels (9.0) (11.3) (12.5) (28.5) (19.5) (17.1) (15.1) Oil (0.2) (1.7) (0.7) (2.2) (0.6) (1.2) (0.6) Cashew nuts - 1.9 2.5 - 1.2 3.9 6.9 Fishing Products - 10.2 19.2 22.0 28.3 35.1 41.6 Fish (4.8) (6.1) (6.1) ( 3.9) (5.6) (7.9) Shrimp - (5.4) (13.0) (15.9) (24.4) (29.6) (33.7) Wood Products 7.2 7.6 2.3 2.7 4.5 8.5 6.3 Logs and sawn wood (7.2) (7,1) (1.5) (2.2) (3.4) (7.4) (5.4) Parquet Flooring - (0.3) (0.7) (0.5) (1.1) (1.2) (0.9) Beeswax o.8 2.4 0.2 0.9 0.7 Hides and Skins 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6. Cotton - - - - - 3.5 8.4 Other 23.81' 4.8 0.2 0.1 .9 3.7 7.8 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Imports Foodstuffs 25.2 22.1 23.6 39.3 13.2 18.5 24.3 Rice (14.6) (7.3) (8.2) (23.9) (4.7) (7.9) (12.4) Others (10.6) (14.8) (15.4) (15.4) (8.5) (10.5) (11.9) Beverages and Tobacco 5.8 5.8 5.1 3.7 2.2 2.2 2.4 Beverages (3.4) (3.3) (2.9) (1.9) (0.9) (1.0) (0.9) Tobacco (2.4) (2.5) (2.2) (1.8) (1.3) (1.2) (1.5) Other consumer goods 10.1 13.1 17.0 7.7 12.1 10.0 8.1 Intermediate goods 14.2 23.4 18.3 15.6 20.5 25.3 21.0 Oils 13.7 9.4 12.4 4.6 6.5 6.0 7.6 Machinery 3.6 10.7 15.0 16.6 29.8 16.0 21.0 Transportation Equipment 15.0 11.5 8.6 12.5 15.7 22.0 15.6 Others 1/ 12.4 4.0 - - - - Sources: Tables 3.2 and 3.5 I/ Mainly errors and omissions. - 81 -- Table 3.9: IMPORTS AND EXPORT PRICE INDEXES, 1975-79 (1976 - 100) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Exports Shelled groundnuts 125.3 100.0 164.8 210.5 205.7 142.9 212.9 Residue 132.0 100.0 272.0 374.9 398.3 424.0 414.9 Palm kernels 99.5 100.0 227.8 272.7 397.3 291.9 291.9 Palm oil 44.3 100.0 96.2 137.5 116.3 155.8 149.4 Cashew nuts -- 100.0 288.6 - 469.8 500.6 638.1 Fish -- 100.0 233.6 295.6 280.2 865.9 - 'Shrimp - 100.0 125.0 131.3 178.4 261.7 218.3 Logs and sawn wood 84.4 100.0 147.7 145.6 193.9 435.5 428.1 Parquet 109.2 100.0 218.6 200.8 275.6 602.7 671.8 Beeswax 63.5 100.0 101.9 222.6 221.7 49.5 -- Export price index 117.6 100.0 200.0 217.4 290.0 387.8 446.1 Annual variation (in percent) .. -15.0 100.0 8.7 33.4 33.7 15.0 Volume of exports 94.6 100.0 131.6 119.6 101.8 60.7 104.0 Value of exports 111.2 100.0 263.3 200.2 295.3 235.4 464.1 Imports Rice 132.3 100.0 105.1 175.8 100.0 165.3 174.9 Maize .. 100.0 97.2 187.0 101.8 96.8 241.1 Powdered milk 102.3 100.0 140.7 120.3 174.6 162.4 215.6 Butter 61.5 100.0 64.5 190.3 149.7 54.4 161.3 Wheat flour 67.1 100.0 47.7 52.8 77.5 60.4 103.0 Sugar 280.6 100.0 77.3 77.2 71.7 104.8 282.3 Import price index 90.6 100.0 100.8 137.0 202.0 152.0 154.5 Annual variation (in percent) .. 100.0 .8 35.9 38.5 -24.7 1.6 Volume of imports 96.2 100.0 110.7 113.9 92.5 85.7 76.2 Value of imports 87.2 .100.0 111.7 156.1 186.9 130.3 177.7 Terms of trade 129.8 100.0 198.2 158.7 143.6 255.1 288.8 Source: Guinea-Bissau authorities and Direccao Geral de Estatistica, Boletim Trimestral de Estatistica, 1976-Sept. 1981. - 82 - Table 3.10: TRADE INDICES, 1975-79 (1976 = 100) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Sept. Domestic exports Value 111.2 100.0 263.3 260.2 295.3 235.4 464.1 Price 117.6 100.0 200.0 217.4 290.0 387.8 446.2 Quantity 94.6 100.0 131.6 119.6 101.8 60.7 104.0 Imports Value 87.2 100.0 111.7 156.1 186.9 130.3 177.7 Price 90.6 100.0 100.9 137.0 202.0 152.0 154.5 Quantity 96.2 100.0 110.7 113.9 92.5 85.7 76.2 Terms of trade 129.8 100.0 198.2 158.7 143.6 255.1 288.8 Sources: Data provided by the Guinea-Bissau authorities and Bank staff computations. - 83 - Table 3.11 DIRECTION OF TRADE, 1974 - 1981 Qn percent of total) 1/ 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 19817 Exports 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Algeria - 5.5 1.9 .1 .. ------Angola ------34.9 23.4 - -- Cape Verde 1.4 10.9 3.8 .6 - 2.1 6.0 -- China (People's Republic) ------1.2 3.8 -- Egypt ------18.2 ------Prance .9 .3 .4 3.1 2.3 -- 0.2 9.0 Gambia, The -- .3 1.6 .3 -- .6 0.9 0.5 Germany, Federal Rep. -- 7.2 ------India -- -- 1.9 ------Mozambique 1.9 ------Netherlands -- 1.9 .8 1.6 -- 1.3 5.5 0.1 Nigeria -- -- 4.1 1.8- Pakistan 2.9 ------. Portugal 92.0 73.4 76.6 59.0 18.0 38.0 26.5 23.9 Senegal -- -- 6.1 10.9 1.9 6.0 1.4 10.0 Spain ------2.6 18.3 20.8 24.9 28.0 United Kingdom -- .1 .8 -- 10.02/ 4.7 -- 5.1 Other .9 .2 2.1 1.9 9.5- 1.9 7.9 6.5 Switzerland ------22.9 15.6 Imports 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Austria ------10,2 -- -- Argentina -- 4.9 ------Belgium-Luxembourg .3 4.7 .2 .8 .7 -- - -- Brazil 5.1 ------6.0 China, People's Republic -- 2.3 7.0 1.2 1.5 -- 1.2 0.3 France 1.3 2.6 2.4 6.7 4.6 8.d 11.4 4.3 Germany, Democratic Repub. -- 1.2 3.0 .4 3.6 6.2 0.6 0.5 Germany, Federal Republic 1.4 .6 2.7 3.6 .5 4.9 1.4 1.7 Italy .5 4.2 5.2 .2 7.3 7.4 1.3 4.6 Japan 5.6 1.3 .7 1.2 .6 .5 0.5 0.4 Malawi 1.1 .8 .2 .2 .1 .1 0.1 Netherlands 1.5 110 1.5 4.0 4.3 4.0 7.4 6.6 Pakistan -- 1.6 1.7 4.3 -- 1.1 1.4 -- Portugal 63.6 43.6 45.5 39.9 20.6 26.7 31.3 27.8 Senegal - .9 2.2 1.0 1.4 4.0 0.1 9.0 Spain 6.4 2.6 2.1 .7 .7 1.8 2.7 1.8 Sweden -- 3.5 7.7 8.1 .6 9.7 8.4 4.2 United Kingdom 4.1 2.0 3.6 2.9 4.1 3.6 2.3 1.5 U.S.S.R. -- 16.4 2.9 .2 8.5 8.8 7.0 4.5 United States .6 .5 .7 3.3 10.2 1.1 - 0.1 Other 6.9 5.3 10.8 21.3 10.5 9.4 22.9 26.7 Source: Data provided by the Guinea-Biasau authorities. I/ January-September 2/ Includes Denmark purchases of 6.3 million GP. - 84 - Thble 3.12 FOREIGN AID IN KIND, 1976-1980 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 (in millions of Guinean pesos and metric tons) Total (millions GP) 306.2 352.0 423.2 704.82/ 165.4 Food, of which: 176.9 127.5 195.5 206.7 Rice Value 113.5 79.0 120.7 159.0 Tons ('000) 14.1 10.8 9.8 15.3 Maiz Value 28.3 -- -- 4.0 Tons ('000) 6.5 -- -- 1.0 Wheat Flour Value 4.2 19.6 17.0 7.8 Tons ('000) .3 2.8 2.6 .5 Milkl/ Value 9.7 21.6 13.6 21.4 Tons 300 526 210 394 Other than food 129.3 224.5 227.7 498.1 (in percentage of imports) Total 27.7 28.0 24.5 34.1 Food, of which: 62.8 38.9 27.5 70.9 Rice Value 140.8 77.7 29.3 164.6 Tons 128.4 82.4 32.6 117.6 Maiz Value 100.0 -- -- 59.7 Tons 100.0 - -- 62.5 Wheat Flour Value 18.8 50.5 44.9 19.1 Tons 16.6 42.4 45.8 12.2 Milk Value 35.5 43.0 63.2 60.3 Tons 39.3 40.0 70.7 87.9 Other than food (in percentage 56.2 78.3 48.3 52.9 of imports of capital goods) Sources: Data provided by Guinea-Bissau authorities. 1/ Condensed and powder milk. 1) This value has to be revised; it exceeds customs' elements in 111.3 MGP. - 85 - Table 3.13 FOOD AID (In metric tons) 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Rice 14,100 10,789 9,812 15,336 110 Maize 6,500 - - 1,000 - Wheat 1/ 300 2,759 2,633 512 Milk 2/ 300 526 210 394 Sugar 10 - - 47 Oil 300 161 540 31 Canned Food 250 68 - 130 Other 3/ 40 - 1 80 Total 21,800 14,189 12,985 17,530 1/ includes wheat flour which is the major part 2/ condensed and powder 3/ beans (In million pesos) 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Rice 113.5 79.0 120.7 159.0 2.7 Maize 28.3 - - 4.0 Wheat 4.2 19.6 17.0 7.8 Milk 9.7 21.6 13.6 21.4 Sugar 0.3 - - 0.5 Oil 13.3 4.5 44.2 1.3 Canned food 7.0 2.8 - 8.4 Other 0.6 - 0.03 4.3 Total 176.9 127.5 195.5 206.7 Sources: Official Data Table 4.1: EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT OUTSTANDING INCLUDING UNDISBURSED AS OF DEC. 31, 1979 INCLUDES ONLY DEBT COMMITTED JAN. 1, 1900 - DEC. 31, 1979 DEBT REPAYABLE IN FOREIGN CURRENCY AND GOODS (IN THOUSANDS OF U.S. DOLLARS) DE B T U TSTANDING IN ARREARS TYPE OF CREDITOR ------:------CREDITOR COUNTRY DISBURSED :UNDISBURSED: TOTAL PRINCIPAL INTEREST SUPPLIERS CREDITS BELGIUM 4.323 - 4.323 - FRANCE 3.653 - 3,653 - GERMAN DEM. REP. 2,816 - 2.816 - SWITZERLAND - 7,595 7,595 - TOTAL SUPPLIERS CREDITS 10,792 7.595 18,387 - FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FRANCE 952 3.615 4,567 - UNITED STATES 2.500 - 2,500 - TOTAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 3.452 3,615 7,067 - MULTILATERAL LOANS AFRICAN DEV. BANK 4.756 4,756 - OD AFRICAN DEV. FUND 1,480 25,394 26,874 - IDA 503 8,497 9,000 - ISLAMIC DEV. BANK - 10,124 10,124 - OPEC SPECIAL FUND 3,150 500 3,650 - TOTAL MULTILATERAL LOANS 5,133 49,271 54.404 - BILATERAL LOANS ALGERIA 1.000 1,000 2,000 - ANGOLA 1,000 - 1,000 - CAPE VERDE IS. 8,585 - 8,585 - CHINA 2,494 13,740 16,234 - FRANCE - 602 602 - KUWAIT 128 7,195 7,323 - LIBYA 3,000 - 3,000 - NETHERLANDS 3,434 7,848 11,282 - PORTUGAL 8,371 568 8,939 - SAUDI ARABIA 3,566 1,160 4,726 - USSR 13,156 7,492 20,648 - TOTAL BILATERAL LOANS 44,734 39,605 84.339 - TOTAL EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT 64.111 100,086 164,197 - NOTES: (1) ONLY DEBTS WITH AN ORIGINAL OR EXTENDED MATURITY OF OVER ONE YEAR ARE INCLUDED IN THIS TABLE. (2) DEBT OUTSTANDING INCLUDES PRINCIPAL IN ARREARS BUT EXCLUDES INTEREST IN ARREARS. Table 4.2: SERVICE PAYMENTS, COMMITMENTS, DISBURSEMENTS AND OUTSTANDING AMOUNTS OF EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT PROJECTIONS BASED ON DEBT OUTSTANDING INCLUDING UNDISBURSED AS OF DEC. 31, 1979 INCLUDES ONLY DEBT COMMITTED JAN. 1, 1900 - DEC. 31. 1979 - DEBT REPAYABLE IN FOREIGN CURRENCY AND GOODS (IN THOUSANDS OF U.S. DOLLARS) TOTAL YEAR DEBT OUTSTANDING AT TRAN S ACTI 0 N 0 URING PERI 0 D OTHER CHANGES BEGINNING OF PERIOD DISBURSED INCLUDING COMMIT- DISBURSE- S E R V I C E P A Y M E N T S CANCEL- ADJUST- : ONLY UNDISBURSED MENTS MENTS :------: LATIONS MENT * PRINCIPAL INTEREST TOTAL : (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) 1975 - - 36.926 ------1,932 1976 - 34,994 24.495 10.497 - - - - 229 1977 10,208 59,718 1,650 3,394 - 1.003 1,003 - -4 1978 12,332 61,364 - 4.550 - - - - -671 1979 16.211 60.693 59,482 16,495 - 2 2 - 35.437 1980 55,526 155.612 * * * * * * THE FOLLOWING FIGURES ARE PROJECTED * * * * * * 1980 55,526 155,612 - 33,182 6,700 1,594 8,294 - - 1981 82,008 148,912 - 29,523 6.028 2,005 8.033 - 5 1982 105,502 142,889 - 16.806 13,190 2,415 15.605 - 2 00 1983 109.119 129,701 - 8,873 13,890 2,127 16,017 - 2 1984 104,105 115,813 - 5,298 8,171 1,543 9,714 - 2 1985 101.235 107,644 - 3.058 9,404 1,285 10.689 - -3 1986 94,885 98.237 - 1,961 8,147 1.044 9,191 - - 1987 88,698 90.090 - 1,234 5,879 862 6,741 - - 1988 84,052 84,211 - 159 5,119 801 5.920 - -3 1989 79,089 79,089 - - 5,753 752 6,505 - -2 1990 73.334 73,334 - - 5,141 703 5,844 - - 1991 68,193 68,193 - - 5,066 661 5,727 - -2 1992 63,125 63,125 - - 5.066 617 5,683 - -1 1993 58.058 58.058 - - 5,016 577 5.593 - -4 1994 53,038 53,038 - - 4,861 536 5,397 - - 1995 48,177 48.177 - - 2,330 494 2,824 - -1 1996 45,846 45,846 - - 2,330 453 2,783 - -1 1997 43.515 43,515 - - 2,267 413 2,680 - -2 1998 41.246 41,246 - - 2,110 374 2,484 - -i 1999 39,135 39.135 - - 2,049 339 2.388 - -1 * THIS COLUMN SHOWS THE AMOUNT OF ARITHMETIC IMBALANCE.IN THE AMOUNT OUTSTANDING INCLUDING UNDISBURSED FROM ONE YEAR TO THE NEXT. THE MOST COMMON CAUSES OF IMBALANCES ARE CHANGES IN EXCHANGE RATES AND TRANSFER OF DEBTS FROM ONE CATEGORY TO ANOTHER IN THE TABLE. - 88 - Table 5.1 PUBLIC FINANCE SUMMARY, 1975-1980 (millions of Guinea-Bissau Pesos) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1/ 1981 1/ Ordinary Budget Current Revenues 529.1 532.6 531.0- 519.0 834.6 806.7 950.1 Current Expenditures 776.1 907.5 945.3 1,039.1 1,533.5 1,620.3 1 923 4 Deficit -247.0 -374.9 -414.3 -520.1 -698.9 -813.6 -1,073.3 Extrabudgetary Expenditures 458.1 16.6 771.3 1,653.0 2/ 1,800.02/ 2,828.0 3/ 2,000.0 Overall Deficit -705.1 -i" -1,156.2 -2,173.1 -2,498.9 - .3 Foreign Financing 687.8 679.3 1,011.9 1,507.6 2,538.6 960.8 Loans 451.3 253.3 306.8 567.6 1,546.9 468.7 Drawings (451.3) (253.3) (308.1) (579.3) (1,590.0) (568.3) Amortization ( - ) ( - ) (-1.3) (-11.7) (-43.1) (-97.6) Grants 236.5 426.0 705.1 940.0 991.7 492.1 Cash (54.7) (119.8) (353.1) (516.8) (286.9) (271.9) Kind (181.8) (306.2) (352.0) (423.2) (704.8) (222.0) Domestic Financing 150.6 258.7 326.8 556.3 84.8 Banking System 150.6 258.7 326.8 556.3 84.8 Budgetary Accounts 150.6 460.4 511.2 743.7 118.1. Government Advances net of deposits (107.3) (536.1) (668.5) (677.4) (386.8) Special Commissariat Accounts (43.3) (-175.7)(-157.3) (-66.3) (-268.7) Earmarket Deposits - 101.7 184.4 -187.4 -33.3 Other Financing 5/ -133.3 -46.5 -182.5 109.5 -124.5 Sources: Data piovided by Guinea-Bissau althorities and Bank mission estimates. Values of foreign and domestic financing for 1975, 1976 and 1977 are IMF staff eatimatea. 1/ Provisory estimate. 2/ Provisory. provided by CECEP 3/ Estimated value, provided by CECEP 4/ Value estimated by IMF staff. Official records show a difference of 709.5 million. in GP in drawn loans. 5/ Represents mainly timing differences between the accounts of the different sources utilized. - 89 - Table 5.2 CENTRAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES, 1977-1980 1977 1978 1979 1980 (in millions of Guinean pesos) Total revenues 531.0 519.0 834.6 806.7 Tax revenues 349.6 450.3 586.3 596.6 Direct taxes 106.1 181.9 171.3 f86.5 Indirect taxes 243.5 269.2 415.9 401.5 Import duties (92.4) (78.1) (131.0) (147.2) Export duties (22.3) (9.0) (25.7) (17.0) Excise duties (69.4) (112.2) (182.2) (158.4) Other (59.4) (69.9) 77.0 (78.9) Non tax revenues 181.4 68.3 248.3 210.1 Administrative fees 20.2 21.2 21.7 18.7 Profit share and interest 13.0 -- 60.6 63.1 Reimbursements and refunds 10.2 13.7 29.3 22.2 Consigned receipts .0.9 i24.4 86.8 69.8 Other 137.1 - 9.1 49.9 ./ 36.3 (As a percentage of total revenues) Tax Revenues 65.8 86.8 70.3 74.0 Direct taxes 20.0 34.9 20.4 24.2 Indirect taxes 45.8 51.9 49.8 49.8 Import duties (17.4) (15.1) (15.7)- (18.3) Export duties (4.2) (1.7) (3.1) (2.1) Excise duties (13.0) (21.6) (21.8) (19.6) Other (11.2) (13.5) (9.2) (9.8) Nontax revenues 34.2 13.2 29.7 26.0 Administrative fees 3.8 4.± 2.6 2.3 Profit sharing and interest 2.5 - 7.3 7.8 Reimbursements and refunds 2.0 2.6 3.5 2.8 Consigned receipts 0.2 4.7 10.4 8.7 Other 25.7 1.8 5.9 4.4 Source: Data provided by the Guinea-Bissau authorities and Bank staff estimates. 1/ Includes G.P. 66.3 million of extraordinary revenues for emergency purposes. 2/ Includes G.P. 26.8 million of emergency extraordinary revenues. - 90 - Table 5.3 CENTRAL GOVERNMENT ORDINARY BUDGET EXPENDITURES, 1976 - 1980 (in millions Guinea-Bissau pesos) 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 budget realiz. budget real. budget realiz. budget realiz. budget budget Total ordinary expenditure 1,249.3 907.5 1,324.7 949.8 1,318.3 1,039.1 1.474.3 1,533.5 1,620.3 National Assembly 1.8 0.7 2.8 1.4 3.1 1.7 2.5 1.6 2.4 2.6 Office of the President 12.7 9.9 26.2 18.5 28.4 24.7 35.1 47.1 34.6 40.9 Office of the Prime Minister / 46.5 32.1 42.9 41.8 53.2 44.3 50.0 47.7 56.4 68.6 Ministry of Defense, National Security and Expenditures with Veterans 226.3 195.9 234.2 198.2 222.5 200.7 268.3 231.9 292.2 307.9 Ministry of Economic Coor- dination of Planning - - 10.9 5.7 13.8 7.9 13.0 17.6 11.5 13.9 Ministry of Finance 41.6 22.6 47.1 21.8 214.4 67.2 240.4 150.2 256.9 382.3 Ministry of Rural Development 58.7 46.8 68.5 48.0 68.2 54.8 73.5 62.3 71.9 81.4 Ministry of Commerce and Articrafts 4.7 2.1 5.5 2.7 6.3 3.0 25.0 18.3 11.6 14.7 Ministry of Natural Resources ------10.0 18.8 35.0 39.2 Ministry of Industry and Energy 64.1 42.0 37.3 22.5 43.9 38.5 17.1 12.6 15.5 2.6 Secretariat for Fisheries - - - - 15.2 3.8 3.8 4.2 21.9 24.4 Ministry of Transportation and Tourism _2 33.3 88.8 43.5 23.5 34.3 25.3 37.8 34.6 41.3 48.2 Ministry of Public Works 66.3 77.1 64.6 68.7 43.7 48.1 44.5 57.5 44.5 50.6 Ministry of Education 175.9 104.4 182.7 148.4 187.9 177.9 195.9 178.7 207.5 241.8 Ministry of Information and Culture 1 28.3 18.8 31.9 25.6 23.5 19.8 25.7 20.4 25.9 29.4 Ministry of Health and Welfare 139.9 101.5 148.3 129.4 125.1 123.1 140.1 161.4 154.1 177.5 Ministry of Interior 51.3 47.6 62.2 58.5 76.7 72.9 140.2 38.5 144.8 170.0 Ministry of Justice 24.1 10.8 23.3 15.6 21.0 16.0 19.9 18.0 18.5 21.5 Ministry of Foreign Affairs 14.4 11.2 35.3 23.0 35.6 32.2 35.6 42.3 66.3 78.4 Total MinIstries 990.5 810.9 1,072.3 854.4 1,216.5 961.8 1,378.4 1,163.6 1,513.0 1,795.9 Public Debt 4/ 8.1 .. (34.9) .. (135,3) (13.2) (161.3) (65.8) (165.7) Autonomous Institutions 47.1 97.0 66.0 95.4 101.8 77.3 95.9 369.9 107.3 General Expenditures 5/ 203.6 151.5 Source: Ministry of Finance 1/ Includes "General Directorate" of Internal Administration. 2/ Includes Tourism since 1979. 3/ Includes Culture since 1979. 7f Included in the Ministry of Finance after1977. 3/ Divided through the ministries after 1978. - 91 - Table 5.4: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF CENTRAL GOVERNMENT ORDINARY EXPENDITURES, 1977-1980 Organic 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Classification (budget) (budget) Administration 7.5 7.1 6.3 5.9 9.0 Defense and Public Safety 20.9 19.3 15.3 18.0 17.1 Economy and Finance 2.9 7.2 10.9 16.6 20.0 Agriculture and Natural Resources 5.1 5.3 5.3 6.6 7.4 Commerce and Articrafts 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 Industry and Energy 2.4 4.1 1.2 2,3 - Communication and Transportation 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.7 Information and Culture 2.7 1.9 1.3 1.6 1.6 Education 15.6 17.1 11.7 12.8 13.5 Health and Welfare 13.6 11.8 10.5 9.5 9.9 Public Works 7.2 4.6 'j.8 2.7 2.9 Interior 3.6 7.0 2.5 8.9 9.5 Justice 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 Foreign Affairs 2.4 3.1 2.8 4.1 4.4 Public Debt 1/ 3.7 (1.3) (4.3) (10.2) Autonomous Institutions 6.9 7.4 24.1 6.6 Other 1.1 - - - - Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Data provided by the Guinea-Bissau authorities, Ministry of Finance. 1/ Included in Ministry of Finance since 1978. Table 5.5 PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM, 1978 - 1981 (in millions of Guinea-Bissau Pesos) 1978 1979 1980 1981 Amount Percent Amount Percent Amount Percent Amount Percent TOTAL 2,271.1 100.0 3,283.3 100.0 5,521.2 100.0 3,172.9 100.0 (Actually executed) (1,650.0) (72.7) (1,800.0) (54.8) (1,950.0) (35.3) (2,150.0) (67.7) Productive Sectors 1,433.4 45.2 1,729.4 31.3 928.0 29.2 Agriculture, Forestry and Livestock 237.6 10.5 201.7 6.1 597.0 10.8 369.9 11.7 Fisheries 98.2 4.3 700.8 21.3 397.4 6.9 219.0 6.9 Natural Resources 147.7 4.5 211.8 3.8 121.8 3.8 Water Resources ** ** (27.0) (.8) (76.9) (1.4) (77.0) (2.4) Mini.ng ** ** (120.0) (3.7) (134.9) (2.4) (44.8) (1.4) Industry 342.4 15.1 433.3 13.2 541.2 9.8 217.3 6.8 Economic Infrastructures 922.3 40.6 1,089.6 33.2 2,563.0 46.4 1,260.0 39.7 Energy 51.2 2.3 119.0 3.6 725.0 13.1 236.0 7.4 3 Transportation 832.5 36.7 709.8 21.6 1,441.0 26.1 773.0 24.4 Commerce 26.7 .8 76.0 1.4 19.0 .6 Telecommunications 38.6 1.7 203.0 6.2 247.7 4.5 147.3 4.6 Tourism .. .. 28.8 .9 70.3 1.3 81.7 2.6 Meteorology .. .. 2.2 .1 2.7. .0 2.7 .0 Social Sectors 573.3 17.5 1,012.8 18.3 786.3 24.8 Education 110.3 4.9 256.6 7.8 556.0 10.1 470.2 14.8 Health 13.7 .6 64.4 2.0 170.0 3.1 136.8 4.3 Housing, Urban Development and Sewerage 6.9 .3 237.8 7.2 254.0 4.6 159.9 5.0 Information and Culture .. .. 14.9 .5 32.6 .6 19.4 .6 Others 2/ 19.0 .8 136.6 4.2 216.0 3.9 198.6 6_ Sources: Authorities of Guinea-Bissau, Programa de Investimentos para 1978, 1979, 1980, 1981. Actual expenditures provided by CECEP as provisionary values. = not available 1/ Actual expenditures exist only for the total. 2/ Includes 'administrative and financial' infrastructures. Table 6.1 MONETARY SURVEY, 1975 - 1980 (In millions of Guine-Bissau pesos) 1979 1980 1975 1976 1977 1978 March June Sept Dec March Foreign assets (net) 223.9 255.6 48.9 -324.5 -493.5 -554.2 -395.5 -77.9 -255.7 Foreign assets 293.7 534.4 502..2 673.3 480.5 423.5 507.3 767.8 656.1 Correspondents (net) (266.3) (427.9) (367.9) (413.1) (211.9) (158.5) (235.5) (497.4) (369.8) Others ( 27.4) (106.5) (101.0) (260.2) (268.6) (265.0) (271.8) (270.4) (286.3) Less: foreign liabilities -69.8 -278.8 -453.3 -997.8 -974.0 -977.7 -902.8 845.7 911.8 Payment arrears (-69.8) (-250.9) (-304.4) (-369.1) (-359.7) (-359.9) (-198.3) (-206.8) (-210.2) Others ( - ) (-27.9) (-148.9) (-628.7) (-614.3) (-617.8) (-704.5) (-638.9) (-710.6) Domestic assets (net) 400.8 479.2 845.9 1,537.5 1,803.0 1,837.8 1,718.3 1,468.9 1,680.6 Net claims on Government 110.9 369.6 696.4 1,252.7 1,381.9 1,453.0 1,602.6 1,337.5 1,435.5 Operational accounts (net) 144.1 680.2 1,348.7 2,026.1 2,175.1 2,198.0 2,451.1 2,412.9 2,393.3 Advances (184.7) (1,130.2) (2,431.1) (4,052.6) (4,398.6)(4,707.9) (5,079.7)(2,534.2) (2,953.9) Deposits (-40.4) (-450.0)(-1,082.4)(-2,026.5)(-2,223.5 -2,509.9)(-2,628.6) (-121.3) (-560.6) Commisariat accounts -33.2 -208.9 -366.2 -299.9 -361.2 -318.5 -475.5 -568.6 -478.0 Earmarked deposits - -101.7 -286.1 -473.5 -432.0 -426.3 -373.0 -506.8 -479.8 Credit to nonfinancial public enterprises 312.2 314.8 335.8 627.9 602.1 557.6 482.1 411.0 443.9 Credit to private sector 50.9 116.5 107.4 79.7 61.7 102.5 Other items (net) -22.3 -205.2 --186.3 -394.0 -296.7 -280.2 -446.1 -341.3 -301.3 Monetary liabilities 624.7 734.8 894.8 1,182.5 1,280.3 1,253.2 1,297.9 1,365.7 1,398.6 Notes and coins in circulation 387.0 539.7 645.9 657.8 733.8 739.3 729.8 802.1 838.2 Demand deposits 237.7 195.1 248.9 524.7 546.5 513.9 568.1 563.6 560.4 Nonfinancial public enter- 217.2 prises 178.7 160.3 158.1 218.8 218.3 Business and Individuals 346.0 377.1 345.9 339.4 339.3 334.8 Quasi-monetary liabilities 30.5 30.0 30.4 30.0ces: 34 B25.32724.9 26.3 Sources: IMF: 1975-1977; Banco Nacional Guinea-Bissau: 1978-1980. - 94 - Table 7.1 AVERAGE MONTHLY SALARIES BY OCCUPATION, 1979 (In Thousand Guinea-Bissau Pesos) Managerial Public Enterprises Mixed Enterprises General Director 8.7-18.0 16.4-25.0 Financial Director 7.5-20.0 13.5-16.5 Commercial Director 9.1-15.5 13.5 White Collar Accounting 2.5-10.0 4-13.0 Cashier 2.4-9.0 4-11.3 Secretary 3-6.5 4.5-10.8 Porters 2.4-4.2 2.4-13.3 Blue Collar Car driver 3.4-8.0 4-11.3 Carpenter 6-10.3 4-6.6 Cleaning and Cooking 2.0-8.5 2.4-5.0 Driver assistant 4.0 2.4 Electrician 4.2-12.0 4-10.0 Forgeman 4.9-10.0 8-11.0 Mechanic 3.3-11.0 7.0-15.0 Mechanic assistant 3.6-4.2 1.8-8.0 Painter 4.2-8.7 5.2-9.0 Sailor 2.4-5.0 Others Pilot (airplane) 40.0 Commandant 33.0-39.0- Pilot assistant 20.0-48.0 Radio operator 8.0 Master (Boat) - 5.0-7.0 Boat Mechanic - 7.0 Weighted Average: 3.867 6.414 Source: Data provided by Guinea-Bissau authorities. Table 7.2 EMPLOYMENT AND ANNUAL SALARIES PAID IN PUBLIC AND MIXED ENTERPRISES BY CLASS OF MONTHLY SALARY, 1979 TOTAL PUBLIC ENTERPRISES MIXED ENTERPRISES Monthly Salary class (in 'OOO PG) Employment Salaries Employment Salaries Employment Salaries Total % 'OOOGP % Total % '000GP % Total % 'OOOGP % Less than 2.4 (US$70.5) 273 3.6 3,671 2.5 173 4.1 3,671 1.9 - - - - 2.4-3.0 (US$70-88) 2,230 45.9 70,068 28.8 2,185 51.1 68,642 34.5 45 7.7 1,126 3,2 3.1-5.0 (US$91-145) 1,437 29.6 72,571 29.8 1,194 27.9 59,833 30.1 243 41.8 12,738 28.4 5.1-11.0 (US$150-320) 892 18.4 76,626 31.4 638 14.9 52,997 26.7 254 43.6 23,629 52.7 11.1-13.8 (US$325-400) 77 1.6 11,382 4.7 56 1.3 8,241 4.1 21 3.6 3,141 7.1 More than 13.8 (US$400) 47 0.9 9,286 3.8 28 0.7 5,420 2.7 19 3.3 3,865 8.6 TOTAL 4L856 100.0 243,604 100.0 198,805 100.0 198,805 100.0 582 100.0 44,799 100.0 Average salary Annual 50.2 46.5 77.0 Monthly 4.2 3.9 6.4 IL - 96 - Table 7.3 MAJOR CONSUMER GOODS PRICE INDICES, 1975-1981 ( 1976 - 100) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 WEIGHTS 1. FOOD Rice 100 100 100 117 150 150 150 0.341 Manioc ...... 100 112 162 235 0.045 Bread 100 100 100 100 100 310 1125 0.061 Potatoes 69 100 149 183 109 110 116 0.016 Onions ...... 100 83 75 61 0.013 Salt ...... 100 100 100 120 .0.004 Sugar 100 100 100 100 100 115 120 0.024 Groundnut oil 100 100 114 125 125 155 164 0.033 Butter ...... 100 121 133 129 0.062 Fish 100 100 100 154 131 228 274 0.097 Baguite ...... 100 58 112 192 0.028 Candja ...... 100 80 168 280 0.014 Djagatu ...... 100 50 88 83 0.004 Meat 118 100 118 118 184 214 Chicken 88 100 150 150 180 180 Eggs 100 100 100 100 133 133 2. FUEL Wood ...... 100 194 278 278 0.011 Kerosene 100 100 113 188 253 396 413 0.013 Charcoal ...... 100 180 640 1250 0.102 3. OTHERS Soap 90 100 120 120 214 324 375 0.032 4. RENT AND OTHERS ** ** ** 100 100 167 167 0.100 Weighted Index Low estimatea/ 99 100 102 116 141 221 379 1.000 High estimateb/ 99 100 117 145 232 280 452 1.000 Sources: Tables 7.4 and 7.5. a/ Using all listed goods and index 100 for missing data. b/ Index of goods with complete information for the whole period. = not available - 97 - Table 7.4: STRUCTURE OF CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (Consumption Commodity Basket for a 5-Member Household in Bissau, 1979) Monthly Unit Consumption Percentage Consumption Price Expenditure of Total (Volume) (GP) (GP) (%) 1. FOOD -- -- 3,916 74.2 Rice (Kg) 100.0 18.0 1,800 34.1 Manioc (Kg) 25.0 9.5 237 4.5 Bread (Units) 80.0 4.0 320 6.1 Potatoes (Kg) 4.0 21.1 84 1.6 Onions (Kg) 2.0 34.2 68 1.3 Salt (Kg) 5.0 4.0 20 0.4 Sugar (Kg) 5.0 25.0 125 2.4 Ground Oil (Liters) 5.0 35.0 175 3.3 Butter (Kg) 2.5 131.3 328 6.2 Fish (Kg) 30.0 17.0 510 9.7 Baguithe (Bunches) 60.0 2.5 150 2.8 Candja (Bunches) 30.0 2.5 75 1.4 Djagatee (Bunches) 15.0 1.5 23 0.4 2. FUEL 671 12.5 Wood (Sticks) 90.0 0.7 63 1.1 Kerosene (Liters) 5.0 13.5 68 1.3 Charcoal (Kg) 300.0 1.8 540 10.2 3. SOAP (and Drugs) (Kg) 3.8 42.8 163 3.2 4. CLOTHING, RENT AND OTHERS -- -- 528 10.0 TOTAL -- -- 5278 100.0 Sources: Bank mission estimates; Table 7.5. - 98 - Table 7.5: AVERAGE RETAIL PRICE OF SELECTED CONSUMER GOODS IN THE CITY OF BISSAU, 1975-81 (In Guinean Pesos) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Rice (Kg) 12.0 12.0 12.0 14.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 Manioc (Kg) ...... 8.5 9.5 13.8 19.3 Bread (Unit) 3.63 3.86 3.66 4.0 4.0 12.4 45.0 Potatoes (Kg) 12.0 18.0 20.0 19.3 21.1 21.3 22.5 Onions (Kg) ...... 41.2 34.2 30.9 25.0 Salt (Kg) ...... 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 Sugar (Kg) 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 28.8 30.0 Groundnut Oil (Liter) 25.0 28.0 28.0 32.0 35.0 43.3 46.0 Butter (Kg) 108.7 131.3 145.0 140.0 Fish (Kg) 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.5 17.0 29.7 35.6 Baguithe (Bunch) ...... 2.5 2.5 2.9 5.0 Candje (Bunch) ...... 2.0 2.0 4.2 7.0 Djagatee (Bunch) ...... 1.5 1.5 2.7 2.5 Wood (Stick) .. 0.35 0.47 0.50 0.7 1.0 1.0 Kerosene (Liter) 5.3 .. .. 8.5 13.5 21.1 22.0 Charcoal (Kg) ...... 1.0 1.8 6.4 12.5 Soap (Kg) 17.9 20.0 24.0 25.0 42.8 64.8 75.0 Housing (Rent) ...... 600 600 700 700 Source: Data provided by Guinea-Bissau authorities 11 June. Table 8.1 APPROXIMATE COUNTRY WIDE CALORIE BALANCE ( Average 1976-79) Gross Net LOCAL CONSUMPTION Production Production ports Exports Million Per capita ('000 tons) ('000 tons) ('000 tons) ('000 tons) '000 tons Cal/day kg. Cal/day CEREALS 122.2 90.2 25.6 - 115.1 994.7 15i.5 1,335 Rice 68.3 44.4 16.4 - 60.8 590.9 81.6 793 Millet/Sorghum .53.9 45.8 4.6 50.4 366.4 67.7 492 Others - 4.6 - 4.6 37.4 6.2 50 OTHERS 38.6 34.8 2.9 13.9 24.5 455.0 32.8 611 Groundnuts 34.0 23.8 - 11.3 12.5 98.2 16.8 132 Sugar - - 2.1 - 2.1 21.9 2.8 29 Meat 5.5 4.6 0.1 - 4.7 15.8 6.3 21 Fish - 7.1 - 2.6 4.5 32.0 6.0 43 Milk - - 0.7 - 0.7 1.5 0.9 2 Other foodstuffs (calories) - - - - - 285.6 - 384 Total ('000 tons) 160.8 125.0 28.5 13.9 140.3 - 188.3 - Total Calorie Intake - 1,302.9 254.1 107.3 - 1,449.7 - 1,946 Population l- - - - 745.0 - 1/ Using 1979 Population (767,700) and an average annual growth of 2% per annum. Source: Table 8.2. - 100 - Table 8.2 FOOD PRODUCTION. CONSUMPTION AND EWIVALENT CALORIE INTAKE P DAY (in '000 metric tons and daily calories) Average 1976 1977 1978 1979 76-79 Observations CEREALS Rice Gross Production 108.0 45.0 75.0 45.0 68.3 Net product (651) 70.2 29.3 48.8 29.3 44.4 Imports 10.9 13.3 28.1 13.1 16.4 Exports - - - - Cnmion 81.1 42.6 76.9 42.3 60.8 clories/day 78.2 41.6 748.4 411.2 590.9 3,552 cal/kg 9,730 cal/day/ton Millet/Sorghum Gross Production 49.8 52.5 55.2 57.9 53.9 Net (85%) 42.3 44.6 46.9 49.2 45.8 Imports 6.9 2.1 7.7 1.5 4.6 Conpion 49.2 46.7 54.6 50.7 50.4 2,656 cal/kg Calories day 358.0 339.8 397.3 368.9 366.4 7,277 cal/day Others Imported wheat 1.8 6.5 5.7 4.2 4.6 3,000 cal/kg Calories/day 14.8 53.4 46.8 34.5 37.4 8,219 cal/day/ton TOTAL CEREALS Net 110.1 73.4 94.9 78.0 89.1 Imported 19.6 21.7 43.5 26.4 26.0 Cn tin132.1 95.8 137.2 104.9 117.5 Con 12L~ 1.12. 807.8 11.5 814.6 994.7 GROUNDNUTS Gross Production 30.0 41.0 35.0 30.0 34.0 Net (70%) 21.0 28.7 24.5 21.0 23.8 Imports - - - - - Exports 10.0 16.3 8.4 10.5 11.3 Local Consumption 11.0 12.4 16.1 11.5 12.5 Calories/day 894.7 95.5 I24.0 8.6 98.2 2,500 cal/kg 7,700 cal/day /ton SUGAR Imports 1.9 1.6 2.5 2.3 2.1 3,848 cal/kg Calories/day 20.0 T 2T. 27 21.9 10,500 cal/day /ton Gross Production 4.9 5.3 5.7 6.1 5.5 Net (83%) 4.0 4.4 4.7 5.1 4.6 T 1 -rr - - - 0.1 0.1 Consution 4.0 4,4 4.7 5.2 4.7 1,229 cal/kg Calories day 13.5 14.8 15.8 17.5 15.8 3,367 cal/daY/ton FISH Production 3.4 8.8 4.2 5.4 7.1 Exports 0.6 1.6 0.8 1.0 2.6 Cnmtion 2.8 7.2 3.4 4.4 4.5 2,611 cal/kg Calories/da 20.0 51.5 24.3 31.5 32.0 7,150 cal/day MILK Imported 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 808 cal/kg Calories/day 1.6 2.9 0.6 1.0 1.5 221 cal/day OTHERS Calories/day 349.2 164.0 367.7 255.4 285.6 TOTAL CALORIE INTAKE (per day) 1,627.7 1,153.3 1,751.3 1,2. 1,447.1 Population (Annual growth: 2% p.a.) 722.9 737.4 752.2 767.7 745.0 Per capital calories/day 2,283.9 1,564.0 2,328.2 1,605.8 1,942.4 below Minimum (2,440) 6.4 35.9 4.6 34.2 20.4 Sources: Bank mission estimates based on official data for production and imports of food Table 9.1: GUInEA-BISSAU: NATIONAL LAND USE, 1976 (thousand hectare) Rainfed Crops Inhabited Savannah Total Total 1953 Chanxe Rice Paddy (Bolanha) and Fallov Palm Forest and occas- and 1976 1953 - 100 Salt-water Fresh-water Total Fields Trees lonal crops Mangrove_ Paddy Other Total Paddy Other Total Tomball Total 24.9 11.1 36.0 8.3 6.1 198.6 0.8 83.7 333.5 Cultivated 13.0 8.0 21.0 3.8 1.2 2.0 0.4 - 28.4 11.5 5.3 16.8 183 142 169 Quinara Total 11.5 11.1 22.6 7.7 5.4 177.1 0.5 48.2 261.5 Cultivated 7.0 8.0 15.0 3.2 1.0 2.7 0.3 -- 22.2 Bolama 9.9 9.2 19.1 156 129 127 Total 0.8 - 0;8 5.5 15.9 53.4 1.2 86.3 163.1 Cultivated 0.4 - 0.4 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.6 - 5.1 Bissau Total 14.0 - 14.0 12.2 2.3 10.6 5.6 35.7 80.4 Cultivated 7.0 - 7.0 5.4 0.7 0.5 2.0 -- 15.4 9.0 7.5 16.5 78 115 95 Cacheu Total 25.3 7.9 33.2 41.1 73.6 119.7 4.3 198.7 470.6 Cultivated 13.0 5.0 18.0 20.2 17.8 2.1 2.8 -- 60.9 27.4 49.4 46.7 66 87 79 Oio Total 30.5 13.1 43.6 64.0 35.5 354.1 3.4 47.9 548.5 Cultivated 17.0 9.0 26.0 33.5 7.7 7.0 2.2 -- 76.4 42.1 131.9 143.9 62 38 53 Bafaeta Total 1.2 20.9 22.2 62.6 21.7 464.3 3.6 19.0 593.3 Cultivated 0.6 14.0 14.6 23.0 . 4.5 5.5 2.2 -- 49.8 14.5 62.6 77.1 100 56 65 Gabu Total - 7.7 7.7 62.6 31.6 782.8 1.4 12.6 898.7 Cultivated - 5.0 5.0 22.0 6.2 4.5 0.9 - 38.6 10.1 73.3 83.4 49 46 46 Total Area 108.2 72.4 180.6 264.0 192.1 2,160.6 20.8 533.5 3,351.6 Cultivated 58.2 49.0 107.2 113.1 40.7 24.8 11.4 -- 297.0 124.8 339.2 463.2 92 56 64 I ) (33.8) (67.7) (56.2) (42.8) (21.2) (1.2) (54.8) (-) (8.9) (69.1) (10.7) (13.8) Source? SCET International, Republica da Guine-Bissau Potentialites Agricoles. Foreatieres at Pastorales, Vol.1 and II, Paris, 1978. Table 9.2: AREA CULTIVATED AD YIELD PE COPS AND REGIU, 1976 Rice (Pa4dy-Bolanha) Rainfed Crops Groundnuts Manioc Palm kernels Area Production Yield Area Production Yield Area Production Yield Area Production Yield Area Production Yield Regions ('000 ha) ('000 tons) (ton/ha) ('000 ha) ('000 tons) (ton/ha) ('000 ha) ('000 tons) (ton/ha) ('000 ha) ('000 tons) (son/ha) ('000 ha) ('000 tons) (ton/ha) Tombali 21.0 27.3 1.30 5.0 3.0 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.0 2.2 2.2 1.5 2.0 1.33 Quinara 15.0 13.5 0.90 3.2 1.6 0.5 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.5 5.0 1.43 Bolama/Bijagos 0.4 0.3 0.80 2.6 1.3 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.8 2.0 15.0 22.0 1.47 Biombo 7.0 4.9 0.70 3.0 1.2 0.4 2.5 1.2 0.48 2.0 3.5 1.8 2.0 3.0 1.50 Cacheu 18.0 10.2 0.60 27.5 13.8 0.5 10.0 6.0 0.6 3.5 5.9 1.69 70.0 74.0 1.06 Oio 26.0 19.5 0.75 30.7 18.4 0.6 13.0 9.0 0.69 4.0 8.0 2.0 20.0 22.0 1.10 Bafata 14.6 7.3 0.50 17.0 11.5 0.68 15.0 11.0 0.73 1.5 3.6 2.4 12.0 12.0 1.00 Gabu 5.0 2.0 0.40 16.0 11.2 0.70 14.0 10.4 0.74 2.0 4.8 2.4 11.0 11.0 0.90 Total 1976 107.0 85.0 0.80 105.0 62.0 0.60 60.0 41.0 0.70 15.0 30.0 2.0 135.0 150.0 1.11 Total 1953 124.8 91.5 0.73 216.3 67.3 0.31 105.0 64.0 0.61 14.8 24.2 1.6 Change Index (1953 - 100) 86 93 110 49 92 .194 57 64 115 101 124 125 Sources: 1953 Agricultural Census; SCET International. op. cit. Vol. I. Table 9.3: MAIN ETHNIC GROUPS AND CROPS BY REGIONS Main Agricultural Regions Surface of Region Population (1979) Ethnic Groups Crop ('000 ha) Total Habit/km4 Tombali 373.6 55,098 14.7 Balantas (54%) Rice Quinara 313.8 35,531 11.3 Balantas (41%)/Beafades (33%) Rice Bolama/Bijag7a 262.4 25,743 9.8 Bijagos (61%) Coconut Biombol/ 91.6 165,677 180.9 Papeis (41%) Rice Cacheu 517.5 130,227 25.2 Manjacos (46%)/Balantes (23%) Rice/Groundnuts Oio 540.3 135,112 25.0 Balantas (55%)/Mandingas (26%) Rice/Groundnuts Bafata 598.1 116,030 19.4 Fulas (59%)/Mandingas (21%) Groundnuts Gab5 915.0 104,313 11.4 Fulas (76%)/Mandingas (15%) Groundnuts Tal 31612.5 767,731 21.3 1/ Includes Bissau's autonomous sector population of 109,486 people. 0 Source: Geografia da Guin&-Bissau. - 104 - Table 9.4 GUINEA BISSAU: WEATHER CONDITIONS A. Averages during 1947-77 and 1980 Meteorological Stations Bissau Bolama Bafata 1948-77 1980 1948-77 1980 1948-77 1980 Percipitation (mm) 1,877 1,579 2,300 1,636 1,470 965 Number of rainy days 112 43 125 43 107 34 Rainy Season June-October June-October June-October Temperature Annual average (C*) 26.5 27.3 26.9 27.4 27.4 28.5 Monthly Minimum (January) 18.5 19.5 18.8 19.7 15.6 17.7 Maximum (March) 33.3 32.6 33.9 33.5 38.8 39.0 Average Relative Humidity (%) 70.8 66.8 70.8 69.2 70.8 60.8 Annual Evaporation 1,837 1,818 1,458 1,712 2,507 1,937 Annual Sunlight(Hours) 2,638 .. 2,741 .. 2,583 B. Monthly Percipitation, 1976, 1977 and 1980 ( in mm ) BISSAU BOLAMA BAFATA 1976 1977 1980 1976 1977 1980 1976 1977 1980 January ------February - - 22 - 0 11 - - 17 March - - - - 1 - - - - April ------May 53 - 5 40 1 1 27 - 3 June 201 103 107 387 73 73 194 145 -82 July 453 267 316 646 332 552 214 347 189 August 617 321 457 883 327 500 584 328 322 September 249 222 590 609 281 445 436 292 274 October 156 76 55 314 116 29 184 198 61 November 34 - 27 60 - 25 71 - 17 December 2 1 - 2 - 0 3 - 0 Total 1,766 989 1,579 2,940 1,129 1,634 1,312 2,940 965 Sources: Boletins de Estatistica, Ministry of Plan. - 105 - Table 9.5: OUTPUT AND PRODUCER PRICES OF MAIN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS, 1975-80 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION (In metric tons) Food Crops Rice (Paddy) 101,432 108,000 45,000 75,000 45,000 25,000 Black Maize 22,300 24,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 32,000 Brazilian Maize 7,700 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500 10,000 Manioc 26,400 30,000 35,000 40,006 45,000 50,000 Sorghum/Millet 17,600 17,800 18,000 18,200 18,400 18,600 Export Crops Groundnut (Unshelled) 26,700 30,000 22,000 24,000 21,600 20,000 Palm Kernels 5,086 5,091 6,494 12,296 7,570 6,850 Cotton - FARM-GATE PRICES (In Guinea-Bissau Pesos per kg) Food Crops Rice (Paddy) 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 7.5 8.5 Black Maize 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 7.5 7.5 Brazilian Maize 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 12.0 12.0 Manioc 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.5 6.5 7.0 Sorghum/Maize 3.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 9.0 9.0 Export Crops Groundnuts 4.2 4.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 7.5 Palm Kernels 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 Cotton First Quality - - 7.0 9.5 12.5 Second Quality - - 5.0 7.5 8.0 Source: Data provided by the Ministry of Rural Development. - 106 - Table 9.6 MAIN AGRICULTURAL PURCHASES BY STATE COMPANIES (in metric tons) 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Rice (paddy) 7,793 8,750 1,654 8j730 3,427 1055 Arm. Povo 5,205 4,605 742 6,101 2,312 122 Socomin 2,588 4,145 913 2,629 1,115 944 Rice (husked) - 284 90 1,776 777 222 Arm Povo - 234 20 630 Socomin - 50 70 1,046 Groundnuts 18,580 29,663 18,585 20,681 Arm. Povo 10,147 14,529 10,687 10,021 Socomin 8,433 15,134 7,898 10,660 Palm Kernels .. .646 7,456 Arm.Povo .. 3,106 .. 3,309 Socomin 4,135 4,540 4,723 4,147 Cashew Nuts .. 685 281 963 Arm Povo .. 435 184 602 Socomin .. 250 97 361 Pour Memoire: Production, trade and consumption of rice(estimates) 1. Production (paddy) 1/ 107,970 45,000 75,000 45,000 25,000 2. Farmers Sales 7,793 8,750 1,655 8,730 3,427 3. Available for self consumption 100,177 36,250 73,345 36,270 21,573 4. Available for sale in domestic market(husked) 15,956 18,997 29,182 18,769 14,176 33,732 4.1 Domestic 2/ 5,065 5,588 1,075 4,675 2,228 686 4.2 Imported 10,891 13,309 28,107 13,094 11,948 33,046 5. Sales by State Owned Enterprises 5.1 Recorded 13,953 16,558 24,823 16,356 13,979 5.2 Others 3/ 2,003 2,419 4,359 2,413 197 6. Consumption (rice) 81,050 42,597 76,882 41,369 28,176 [Per capita (kg)] (112) (58) (102) (54) (36) Self-consumption 65,100 23,600 47,700 23,600 14,000 harketed 15,956 18,997 29,182 18,769 14,176 33,732 Sources: Data provided by Armazens do Povo and Socomin; Ministry of Rural Development, Bank mission estimates. 1/ Purchases by Armazens do Povo and Socomin. 2/ Paddy sold by farmers x .65 . 3/ Includes offers to schools and hospitals, change in stocks and others. Table 9.7i ESTIMATED LIVESTOCK POPULATION AND MEAT PRODUCTION, 1980 STOCK (Heads) PRODUCTION (Tons) Regions Cattle Sheep/Goats Pigs Poultry Red Meat White Meat Tombali 5,914 6,032 7,076 29,700 244 21 Quinara 2,996 4,790 4,920 16,204 162 11 Bolama 1,718 4,505 3,521 10,894 115 8 Biombe- 8,487 8,681 16,504 28,721 506 20 Cacheu 25,565 36,533 37,364 148,680 1,253 104 Oio 34,060 61,531 41,244 132,966 1,498 93 o Bafata 74,283 104,319 9,965 125,464 1,219 88 GabCt 105,225 64,652 1,359 98,406 1,170 69 Total 1980 Stock 258,248 291,043 121,953 591,000 6,167 414 Meat Production: Rate of Exploration 10% 30% 70% 100% AverAge weight slaught. animal(kg) 90 9 35 0.7 Meat Production (tons) 2,322 856 2,989 414 Per Memoire: Stock in 1972 153,500 132,900 66,600 335,400 Average anual growth(1972-80) 6.7% 10.3% 7.9% 7.3% Sources: Elements provided by the Ministry of Rural Development; for 1972, Junta de Investigacoes do Ultramar 1972, Prospectiva do Desenvolvimento Ec6nomico e Social da Guing. Table 9.8: ESTIMATED FORESTRY RESOURCES L/ Total Area Total Volume Total Utilizable Volume (000 ha) (000/m )W(m3/ha) (000 m3) (m3/ha) Regions Tombali 204.7 8,091.5 39.5 3,644.5 17.9 Guinara 182.5 4,065.0 22.3 2,124.0 11.6 Bolama 69.3 1,547.0 39.4 754.5 10.9 Biombo 10.6 69.0 6.5 15.2 1.4 0 Cacheu 193.3 2,357.7 12.2 725.8 3.8 Oio 389.6 7,557.5 19.4 2,240.2 5.8 Bafata 486.0 9,964.5 20.5 2,872.0 5.9 Gabu 813.7 7,478.0 9.2 1,683.0 2.1 Total Country 2,349.7 41,130.2 17.5 13,136.2 5.6 3.9 (in tons) (x 0.7) 28,791.2 12.3 9,195.4 Source: SCET International Report Table 9.9: FORESTRY - ESTIMATED ANNUAL YIELD (tons) Total Marketable Construction grade Export quality Heating and and accessible for local market Charcoal REGIONS Tombali 20,300 10,500 7,000 2,800 Quinara 10,500 2,450 1,050 7,000 Bolama - - Biombo - Cacheu Oio 38,500 6,300 4,200 28,000 Bafata 31,500 7,875 2,625 21,000 Gabu 26,600 4,760 840 21,000 Total Regions 127,400 31,885 15,715 79,800 2/ Source: SCET International Report 1/ Estimates based on data collected by SCET - International in 1976. It is assumed 100 years to reconstitute the actual potential, constant forested area and the present conditions of accessibility. 2/ Equivalent to 14,360 tons of charcoal. - 110 - Table 9.10: FISHERIES PRODUCTION, 1975-1980 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1981 Volume (In metric tons) 1. TOTAL PRODUCTION 3,0552/ 7 732 6,709 6,91 7,352 8,643 INDUSTRIAL .2751 5,591 4.139 3,818 3,652 3,503 Fish 1,271 5,323 3,571 3,127 2,950 2,585 Exported (433) (2,013) (1,928) (838) (..) (..) Domestic market (838) (3,310) (1,653) (2,289) (..) (..) Shrimp 268 568 691 702 918 Exported (.) (179) (545) (666) (., (..) Domestic market (.. (89) (13) (25) (.,) (..) ARTISANAL 1 1,784 2,141 2.570 3,083 3j772 5,140 2. EXPORTS 433 2,192 2,473 I,504 1,635 Fish (.) (2,013) (1,928) (838) (..) (..) Shrimp (.. (179) (545) (666) (..) (..) 3. DOMESTIC MARKET 2,622 5,540 4,236 5.397 La717 INDUSTRIAL 838 3,399 1,666 2,314 1,945 ARTISANAL 2,764 2,141 2,570 3,083 772 5,140 Value (in thousands Guinean Pesos) 1. TOTAL PRODUCTION 31,655 95,459 225,819 139,562 2 323,602 INDUSTRIAL 12,597 74,736 98,022 108,777 I7,364 266,040 wish 12,597 51,522 40,139 31,224 31,752 77,333 Exported (3,645) (..) (18,315) (.) (17,657) (50,521) Int. market (8,952) (.. (21,824) (..) (14,095) (26,812) Shrimp .. 23,214 57,883 77,553 145.612 188,707 zxported (..) (..) (46,408) (,.) (93,127) (18,277) Int. market (..) (..) (14,475) (,.) (52.485) (8,420) ARTISANAL 19,058 20,723 27,797 30,785 40,500 57,563 2. EXPORTS 1,645 40,215 76,857 79,422 jj0,74 230,798 Fish 3,645 .. .. 1.7,657 50,521 Shrimp * . . .. 93,127 180,277 3. DOMESTIC MARKET 28,010 55 2 4 48,962 60,140 I0TA180 92,804 INDUSTRIAL 8,952 34,521 21,165 29,355 66,680 35,241 ARTISANAL 19,058 20,723 27,797 30,785 40,500 57,563 Source: Program Bienal de Desenvolvimentc 1980/81, Vol. 2, Ministeric da Coordenacac Economica e Plano, Bissau 1980. If Provisory. 2/ Production of E. Peralta not included 3/ Estimate; includes 72 tons in 1979 and 700 in 1980 of the Bijagos Project. .. * not available - 111 - Table 9,11; FISHING FLEET OPERATING IN GUINEA-BISSAU'S WATERS (179L1980) Boats Capacity Fee per Volume of Ton Catch (Tons) 1-Under Fishing Permit CEE 1/ 20 trawlers 6,500 US$3002/ 30 tuna-catchers 30,000 FF .04/kg - Japan 2 freezers 893 US$225 - Portugal 6 trawlers 3,037 US$100 - Senegal 2 shrimpers 219 FF500 - Spain 2 trawlers 850 US$225 3/ USSR- 25 freezers 42,530 agreement - TOTAL 87 84,029 2- National Estrela do Mar 8 3,900 3,154 Guialp 4 .. 0 Sema-Pesca 8(1978-79) 420 317 2 (1980) 3- Artisanal 5/ E.R.Peral a .. canoes .. 98 Bijagos 6/ 124 canoes .. 72 Subsistence 826 canoes7 / 1,472 - 3,700 Sources: Programa Bienal de Desenvolvimento 1980/81, Vol. 2, Commissariado de Estado de Coordenacao Economica e Plano, Bissau 1980. Not available 1/ The CEE countries in 1979 were France, Netherlands and Italy, with 3,348, 1,002; and 893 tons capacity respectively. 2/ US$100 payed by ship operators and US$200 by CEE. 3/ 15% of catch value is invested in the construction of the freezing station in Bissau. 4/ Two boats of 236 tons/capacity operating during five months in 1979. 5/ The only private company in the sector. The boats weue given to the employees who sell the catch to the company for commercialization 6/ Project implemented in 1979 with Swedish financing. 7/ Of which 121 with motorization. - 112 - Table 9.12: INDUSTRIAL SECTOR: EMPDLOYMENT STATUS AND UTILIZIED CAPACITY Capacity Employment Utilized Sub-sector .19IL) Year Regime (A22I2 Fisheries 493 Estrela do Mar 167 1975 Mixed 27% Sema-Pesca 217 1978 Mixed 70% Guialp 31 1976 Mixed 0% E.R. Peralta 78 (a) Private Agro-processing . 17..1[ Armazens do Povo .. 1950 Public 18% Socomin 23 1950 Mixed Gouveia 16 1950 Private 22% Food and Beverages [!! CICER 144 1974 Mixed 26% Aguardente Destillaries/ 450 (a) 66% Milk Buflo 38 1979 Public 16% Backery Cacheu 33 (a) Private Backery Independencia 28 1975 Public 63% J. Lucas 12 (a) Private Ice Factory Imperio 12 (a) Public 8% Ice Soempa 4 1978 Public 14% Titina Sila (Bolama) 28 1977 Public 30% Textiles 90 Bambi 50 (a) Private 50% Cotton Treatment Factory 40 1979 Public 5% Chemicals Oxygen-acetylen plant 25 1977 Public 22% Foam products 20 1979 Public 8% 2 Construction ! 0__ SocotramV! 458 1976 Public 47% Maca 40 1978 Public CUp 694 (a) Cooperative Sandino 224 1978 Public 0% Clay Plant Bandim 41 (a) Public 65% Cabevi. 500 Construction material (230) (a) Private Sawmills (57) (a) Private Furniture (213) (a) Private Construction Lda. 143 (a) Private Mateus Sanha 160 (a) Private ANCAR 186 (a) Private Artistic Clay (Pluba) 24 1978 Public Cement tiles 17 (a) Private Metalomechanica IsA2-/ Repair of transportation equipment 941 Ministry of Public Works 324 .. Public Ministry of Natural Resources 60 .. Public Ministry of Rural Development (5 units) 6o .. Public Socotram (2 units) 17 .. Public Socomin 86 .. Mixed National shipyards 240 (a) Public 15% Socomin's shipyard 99 (a) Mixed 50% Ilha do Rei Shipyard (Armazena do Povo) 55 (a) Public Repair of industrial equipment 75 National Institute of Energy 65 .. Public Cicer 10 .. Mixed Production 127 Nails Cabevi 7 (a) Private EGA 104 1979 Public 'Cruchers' Socomin .. .. Mixed 'Tambores' Dicol 16 .. Public 6% Volvo Plant 120 1980 Public (a) Before independence. 1 Does not include 1,905 artisanal fishermen. 2/ 15 units of which 13 are private and 2 are public. 2 Includes materials for construction and furniture. j/ Does not include artisanal construction estimated at 75% of sectorial production. 2! Includes all activities of Socotram. Does not include artisanal blacksmiths estimated around 1,000. = not available Sources. Programa Bienal de Desenvolvimento 1980/81, op. cit. Vol. 2. - 113 - Table 9.13: MANUFACTURING OUTPUT, 1975- 81 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 (In volume) Shelled groundnuts (tons) 10,400 20,800 9,814 14,193 9,190 - Groundnut residue (tons) 502 759 1,136 476 218 256 Groundnut Oil ('000 liters) 467 490 955 380 132 127 Rice Shelling (tons) 2,957 4,664 222 3,229 2,210 - Rice husks (tons) 317 704 6 249 239 - Beer ('000 liters) 1,948 2,167 4,003 4,231 4,852 3,490 Soft Drinks ('000 liters) 320 204 608 1,105 1,213 487 Sugarcane rum ('000 liters) 600 1,035 .. Ice (tons) 1,014 556 419 132 Palm kernels (shell + oil)A/ 5,091 6,494 12,296 6,481 8,847 1,789 Foam Rubber.Mattress (units) -- 2,5112/ 5,361 Shirts (units) -- 75,687 76,504 75,000 66,600 58,700 Furniture (piece) -- 4,500 .. .. Cement Tiles (m3) -- 6,850 .. .. *. Parquet Flooring (tons) -- 261 134 370 (In millions of Guinean Pesos) Shelled groundnuts ...... *, Groundnut Residue 0.8 1.2 2.4 1.1 1,1 1.4 Groundnut Oil 13.1 13.7 30.5 13.5 4,8 6.0 Rice shelling .. .. Rice husks 0.6 1.4 0.0 0.6 0.7 - Bebr .. 45.7 139.5 167.9 177.5 175.4 Soft Drinks .. 5.4 17.0 36.7 32.5 '16.0 Sugarcane rum 30.1 52.0 .. 85.4 Ice .. 0.7 0.5 1.0 Palm kernels2/ 21.6 56.5 129.6 96.2 69.8 85.7 Foam Rubber Mattress -- 3.22/ 6.3 8.4 6.8 1.7 Shirts -- 12.9 16.5 12.5 18.2 18.9 Furniture -- 7.6A/ 9.8 6.7 71.2 15.9 Cement Tiles -- 0.4 0.9 1.2 2.4 3.3 Parquet Flooring -- 3.0 2.1 5.0 26.3 Sources: Boletim Trimestral de Estatistica and Elements of Enterprises. 1/ Estimate 2/ Export Values 3/ First quarter is not included 4/ Of which 2.5 from Socotram. - 11.4 - Table 10.1: CARGO AND PASSENGER TRANSPORT, 1976-79 (in metric tons and number of passengers) Type of Transport 1976 1977 1978 1979 Port of Bissau: Imports 1/ 50,192 77,553 86,061 61,886 Exports 24,719 27,986 27,287 21,166 Throughout 74,911 105,539 113,348 83,052 Fluvial and Coastal Trafic: Cargo: To Bissau .. 33,700 16,700 19,700 People's Stores .. 15,000 10,900 13,500 Socomin .. 18,700 5,800 6,200 From Bissau .. 5,200 3,600 15,600 People's Stores .. 2,200 1,000 14,300 Socomin .. 3,000 2,600 1,300 Throughout .. 38,900 17,300 Passengers (Guinemar): ...... 18,800 Road Traffic Cargo: ... .22,000 of which: People's Stores ...... 12,000 Socomin ...... 10,000 Passengers(No. vehicles) 4,123 Silodiata ...... 77 Private Motorcycles ...... 968 Automobiles ...... 2,693 Trucks and Vans ...... 1,430 Air Traffic Cargo (tons) .. 292 304 466 Exports .. 73 74 102 Imports .. 212 230 364 Passengers(Number) .. 22,800 19,600 11,900 In .. 12,700 10,600 6,500 Out .. 10,100 9,000 5,400 Postal Units .. 48,000 42,000 48,000 In .. 36,000 28,000 28,000 out .. 12,000 14,000 20,000 Aircrafts .. 358 376 395 1/ Does not include 20,000 tons of petroleum imports (annual average). Yources: Lavallin-Delcadia; People's Stores; Socomin: Ministries of Planning and Transport. Table 10.2; GUINEA-BISSAU'S TRANSPORT FLEET, 1979 Cargo Passengers Type Total Total of Capacity Capacity Transport Company Units (tons) Company Units (No.Passengers) Maritime NAGUICAVE 2 5200------ FluTl Total 69 3,515 GUINEHAR 6 486 People's Stores 39 2,480 of which: 1 196 SOCOMIN 30 1,135 2 40 3 70 Ra-d Total 91 758 Private 4,123 People's Stores 54 446 of which: of which: Motorcicles 968 Volvo 35 327 Automobiles 2,698 Morris 4 24 Trucks 1,430 .. Austin 10 50 Berliet 5 45 Public Ln Silodiata 77 .. SOCOMIN 37 312 of which: of which: Volvo 35 Volvo 10 120 Leyland 30 Dodge 8 50 Saviem 6 Scania 4 45 Toyota 6 Berliet 4 40 Mercedes 5 25 Unimog 1 3 Other 5 29 Air-Traffic ...... LIA 13 295 of which: CESSNA 206 2 10 Dornier 27 1 5 Dornier 28 1 12 DC-3 8 224 HS 748 1 44 Sources: Ministry of Planning and Ministry of Transport. - 116 - Table 11.1 STUDENT ENROLLMENTS, 1975/76-1979/80 of which 1975/76 - 1976/77 1977/78 _ 1978/79 1979/80 Bissau 95,004 26,450 TOTAL 97,053 95,033 100,007 96,156 (8,986) Females (..) (..) (30,702) (28,484) (27,383) 384 1. PRE-PRIMARY 26.796 29 57 (84) I.A (401) (29) ( ) (57) 21,873 2. PRIMARY 67,816 91,483 94,646 90,447 87,835 (8,144) (Females) (..) (..) (29,588) (27,413) (26,059) 15,342 ELEMENTARY (1st-4th grades) 62,587 81,642 85,268 79,874 74,941 (23,217) (6,530) (Females) (.. ) (26,358) (27,357) (24,868) 14,820 Regular 50,763 74,292 76,197 72,991 68,151 653 I.A 1,025 836 975 841 6,137 522 Adults 10,799 6,514 8,096 6,042 6,531 COMPLEMENTARY (5th-6th 5,229 9,841 9,378 10,573 1 grades) (1,614) (Females) (3,631) .. (2,231) (2,665) (2,842) 7,173 3,616 Regular 3,082 9,665- 5,603 6,539 I.A 176 415 467 732 Adults 2,147 . 3,360 3,389 4,586 2,915 CEPI ...... 178 403 4,406 3. SECONDARY (7th-lth grades) 2,351 3,409 5,077 5,314 6,382 (832) (Females) (664) .. (745) (890) (1,135) 4,406 GENERAL 2,008 3,219 5,001 5,085 6,124 3,423 2,724 Regular 1,676 2,785 2,982 3 , 3 0 7 1 I.A 332 434 389 .. 272 1,682 Adults .. .. 1,630 1,549 2,429 PROFESSIONAL 343 190 76 229 258 ITFP 343- 1903/ 76- 114 162 96 Agriculture ...... 115 Nursing .. .. *. 100 4. MIDDLE POLYTECHNIC ...... 100 (6) (6) (Females) . . .. 36 36 Physical Education ...... 64 Law School ...... 64 Nursing ...... Administration 5. TEACHER TRAINING 90 202 284 395 303 71 Females (43) (17) (21) (9) (4) 160 Compensation (4th-6th grades)...... 71 Training (Tth-9th grades) ...... 143 Training (10th-llth grades) ...... Secondary (IFAPE) ...... Source: Ministry of Education 1/ Includes adults. / Includes Instituto de Amizade students. Former technical education students. Note: IA - Instituto de Amizade (Friendship Institute). ITFP - Technical Institute of Professional Training. not avaliable - 117 - Table 11.2 STUDENTS, TEACHERS AND CLASSROOMS, 1975/76-1979/80 1975/76 1976/77 1977/78 1978/79 1979/80 Bissau TOTAL Students 97,058 95,033 100,007 96,156 95,004 26,450 Teachers 2,882 2,782 3,237 3,187 3,518 993 Schools 555 647 665 736 729 38 PRIMARY ELEMENTARY Students 62,587 81,642 85 268 79,874 74,941 15,342 Teachers 2,462 2,303 2,658 -. 2,323 2,457 428 Schools 549 631 637 703 677 28 PRIMARY COMPLEMENTARY Students 5,229 9,841 9,378 10,573 12,894 6,531 Teachers 283 334 565 683 343 Schools 9 14 18 22 31 4 GENERAL SECONDARY Students 2,008 3,219 5,001 5,085 6,124 4,406 Teachers 161 225 559 244 267 189 Schools 3 6 4 7 9 3 PROFESSIONAL SECONDARY Students 343 190 76 229 258 - Teachers 40 23 .. 19 13 Schools 2/ .. .. 2 1 - POLYTECHNIC Students - - - - 100 100 Teachers - - - 16 16 Schools - - - - 2 2 TEACHER TRAINING Students 90 202 284 395 303 71 Teachers 12 (n.a.) (n.a) 30 48 17 Schools 2 3 3 4 5 1 Source: Ministry of Education 1/ Includes primary complementary teachers. 2 Incomplete information. - 118 - Table 11.3 PRONDTION AND REPETITION RATES, 1975/76-1979/80 3 Average GRADES 1975/76 1976/77 1977/78 1978/79 1979/80-' 75/76-78/79 PRIMARY let grade: Promotion 46.0 32.2 34.9 34.5 36.0 36.9 Repetition 31.3 34.4 34.5 35.7 .. 3/ 34.0 Dropout 22.7 33.4 30.6 29.8 17.4- 29.1 2nd grade: Promotion 60.0 63.7 48.9 54.0 52.0 56.7 Repetition 20.8 26.5 25.4 26.4 .. 24.8 Dropout 19.2 9.8 25.7 19.6 9.7 18.5 3rd grade: Promotion 69.0 75.0 63.4 66.6 62.0 68.5 Repetition 17.6 20.3 25.7 21.6 .. 21.3 Dropout 13.4 4.7 10.9 11.8 8.2 10.2 4th grade: Promotion 106.2 52.2 39.4 38.8 59.0 43.5!/ Repetition 19.8 24.0 26.3 28.3 .. 24.6 Dropout .. 23.8 24.3 32.9 6.1 31.9 Graduation ...... 60.0 .. 60.0 COMPLEMENTARY 5th grade: Promotion 117.3 13.7 68.7 44.8 48.8 44.811 Repetition 66.2 8.9 23.0 32.7 .. 32.7 Dropout .. .. 8.3 22.5 17.4 22.5 6th grade: Promotion 67.4 31.8 122.8 47.3 55.9 47.3 Repetition 67.6 2.6 17.2 24.3 . 24.3 Dropout ...... 28.4 19.4 28.4 GENERAL SECONDARY 7th grade: Promotion 82.3 49.7 48.3 36.4 33.4 44.8 Repetition 35.4 13.3 24.7 21.6 .. 19.9 Dropout .. 36.4 27.0 42.0 14.2 35.3 8th grade: Promotion 63.0 69.8 54.9 36.4 37.5 56;0 Repetition 21.3 11.4 23.6 12.6 .. 17.2 Dropout 15.7 18.8 21.5 51.0 2.1 26.8 9th grade: Promotion 62.0 69.8 51.6 69.3 74.6 63.2 Repetition 5.2 10.8 26.2 13.3 .. 13.9 Dropout 32.8 19.4 22.2 17.4 .. 22.9 10th grade: Promotion 48.0 53.5 43.7 55.7 49.7 50.9 Repetition .. 23.8 28.1 42.7 .. 31.5 Dropout .. 22.7 28.2 1.6 .. 17.6 11th grade: Promotion ...... 50.5 Repetition .. -- ** ** ** Dropout ...... ** -. Source: Ministry of Education. 1/ Average 76-78/79 2/ Only 1978/79 3/ Dropout during the schooling year. = not available - 119 - Table 11.4 TEACHERS QUALIFICATTON, 1979/80 Primary Secon- Teacher Elementary Comple- dary Training Polytechnic Total % mentary Primary Teachers: with diploma (a) 17 28 ------45 1.3 without diploma (b) 22 -- -- 2 -- 24 0.7 'Posto' Teachers with diploma (c) 151! 6 3 11 -- 171 5.0 without diploma (d) 693 2 -- 8 -- 703 20.4 'Monitores' (e) 1,540 ------1,540 44.7 Brigada Pedagogica (f) 34 2?5 30 5 -- 294 8.5 .Others: expatriates (g) 3 -- 135 -- 14 152 4.4 with university attendance -- 2 ------2 0.1 having the 10th-llth grade -- 81 93_' 14 -- 188 5.5 having less than the 9th -- 301 23 1 -- 325 9.4 Total 2,450 645 284 41 14 3,444 100.0 Source: Ministry of Education. (a) Completed the 9th grade plus two years of teacher training. (b) Completed the 11th grade and has some experience. (c) Completed the 4th grade and has four years of teaching experience. (d) Completed the 7th grade and has no experience. (e) Completed the 4th grade and has some experience. (f) Students enrolled in the 9th-llth grades. (g) Most have college degrees or attended college. 1/ Includes 21 Instituto de Amizade (AI) teachers. 2/ Includes 15 IA teachers. Includes 46 IA teachers. Includes 14 IA teachers. / Includes 17 Institute for Professional Training teachers. - 120 - Table 11.5 STUDENTS ABROAD BY COUNTRY AND STUDY FIELD, 1980 Professional Secondary Higher Training Education Education Total Total- 177 404 460 1,041 By Country Portugal 4 121 128 253 Cuba 47 106 63 216 USSR 82 85 29 196 Romania 14 1 76 91 Yugoslavia -13 21 34 Brasil - 30 30 Algeria -14 12 26 Others 30 64 101 195 By Subject Social Sciences 34 154 144 332 Industrial Technology 57 108 127 292 Para-medicals 3 28 91 122 Natural Sciences 3 70 26 99 Communication 25 15 21 61 Natural Resources - 1 28 29 Admnistration 3 12 10 25 Art -10 12 22 Transports -6 1 7 High School -52 - - Source: Ministry of Education. - 121 - Table 11.6 CURRENT EDUCATIONAL WENDITURES, 1980 (Budget, in thousand GP) Personnel Percentage Percentage Non- of total of total Teachers Teachers Material Others Total Expendit. Students Admnistration - 9,697 - 1,610 15,499 7.5 - Friendship Institute 1/ ...... 21,000 10.1 1.9 Pre-primary 1,101 - - - 1,101 0.5 0.4 Primary elementary 89,795 6,678 3,110 - 99,582 48.0 78.2 Primary complementary 33,524 1,942 1,280 - 36,747 17.7 12.8 Secondary general 23,618 2,198 628 - 26,444 12.7 6.2 Professional 1,848 746 574 - 3,168 1.5 0.2 Teachers Training 2,641 1,053 276 - 3,970 1.9 0.3 Total 152,536 22,315 10,060 22,060 207,521 100.0 100.0 Source: Ministry of Education 1/ Exact breakdown is not available. Table 11.7 EXTRAORDINARY EDUCATIONAL EXPENDITURES, 1981/62 (Budget, in thousand of GP) 2/ 2/ General Construction Equipment Training Support Total Pre-primary - .. Primary elementary 12,500 .. .. 3,500 16,000 Primary complementary 58,068 ...... 58,068 (CEPI) 1/ (44,832) ...... (44,832) Secondary 145,945 ...... 145,945 Professional training 79,680 273 12,606 .. 92,559 Teachers Training 203,855 .. .. 54,842 258,697 Adult Literacy 8,400 .. .. o. 8,400 Total 510,321 33,200 135,524 71,079 750,124 Source: Ministry of Education. 1/ Centros de Educacao Popular Integrada. 2/ Breakdown is not available. - 122 - Table 11.8 COST INDICES BY EDUCATIONAL LEVEL, 1980 (In PG thousands) Average cost Average salary per pupil per teacher Pre-primary 3.67 44.04 Primary elementary 0.75 37.09 Complementary 3.02 55.97 Secondary general 4.52 96.40 Professional 19.56 142.20 Teacher-training 13.10 55.02 Instituto de Amizade 11.43 n.a. Source: Ministry of Education.