Investor Presentation
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Investor Presentation November 2011 Disclaimer • This notice may contain estimates for future events. These estimates merely reflect the expectations of the Company’s management, and involve risks and uncertainties. The Company is not responsible for investment operations or decisions taken based on information contained in this communication. These estimates are subject to changes without prior notice. • This material has been prepared by Multiplus S.A. (“Multiplus“ or the “Company”) includes certain forward-looking statements that are based principally on Multiplus’ current expectations and on projections of future events and financial trends that currently affect or might affect Multiplus’ business, and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based on management’s expectations that involve a number of business risks and uncertainties, any of each could cause actual financial condition and results of operations to differ materially from those set out in Multiplus’ forward-looking statements. Multiplus undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements. • This material is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. 2 Multiplus is a growing loyalty network Network connecting people and companies around 9 mln 20.0 bln almost170 members points sold in 3Q11 partnerships +17.0% YoY +38.5% YoY +26.3% YoY points from several programs in positive network effect powerful support for partners to one single account generating strong growth acquire and retain clients Multiplus Exclusive and Strategic Relationship with TAM 2009: spin-off from TAM’s loyalty program Long term agreement (15 years + additional 5 year periods) 2010: launched as separated business unit and IPO Most desired airline in Brazil (Ibope Research) and Star Alliance member TAM SA holds 73,2% stake Air tickets: most appealing redemption with high value perception Note: based on 3Q11 3 Innovative business model Strong cash generation Low CAPEX requirement Negative working capital Scalable business Debt free Dividend player Sources of Profit outsourcing and CRM points selling redemption $ services unit revenue less unit cost $ spread point expiration $ breakage # of months 0 ~10 24 CASH IN CASH OUT ~10 months float $ interest income 4 Growing coalition network… Magazine Air Travel Travel Agency Gas Stations Bookstore Hotels Telecom Pay-TV Apparel Education Suscriptions Others Stock Exchange Members can collect and also redeem points in any coalition partner. Stock Broker Drugstore Real Estate Universities e-Commerce Beauty and Furniture and Gym Food Home Centers Groceries Insurance Car Rental Group Buying Pension Plan Healthy Decoration Note: blank slots refer to targeted segments 5 … and strong accrual and growing redemption network* Accrual Redemption Donation Hotels Financial Institutions Leisure Car Rental Retail and others Other Magazines and Newspapers *non exhaustive 6 Strategy: to diversify gross billings and redemptions Gross billings of points Current Long term target 26% Strategy: to diversify gross billings and redemptions 3% 15 to 20% 71% why? TAM Retail, Industry and Services Banks • Average unit price increase • Average unit cost reduction Costs of rewards • Controlled breakage decline, Current Long term target favoring member experience and volume growth 98% Long term margin expansion 2% 15 to 20% Air Tickets Others Note: based on 3Q11 7 Diversifying gross billings and redemptions how? 1 Expanding 2 Increasing 3 Improving partnerships network marketing actions client experience Point-of-sale Mailings Capillarity Some recent partnerships materials project Accrual, Drugstore Group buying balance checking, and redemption (collect points here) at the point-of-sale Pension Plan Car Rental Media investments Videos on board Newspapers, Magazines, etc. New website Roadmap TV commercial Groceries, entertainment, Call Center restaurants, beauty, others Radio spots improvements 8 Already a good track record Growing gross billings Stable breakage rate R$ millions 12 months average in % +32,4% +140 bps +12,1% +70 bps 24,0% 397,3 23,3% 339,9 354,6 23,0% 300,0 325,2 22,6% 22,6% 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 Growing member base Strong cash generation In millions Free Cash Flow to Equity, R$ millions +17,0% +7.7% +3,7% +26.3% 326,6 327,7 304,3 285,5 8,9 8,3 8,6 259,4 7,6 8,0 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 Note: Excluding dividends and capital reduction effects 9 Loyalty market has multiples growth opportunities Expanding credit card usage in Brazil Increasing domestic consumption Credit Card Transaction Value (R$ billions) Personal Consumption Expenditure (R$ billions) CAGR +22% CAGR +12% 2,226 1,966 1,787 314 1,594 256 1,429 215 174 142 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: ABECS Source: IBGE Growing passenger traffic (Airline Segment) Improving wealth distribution RPK in Brazil (billions) Social classes in Brazil* (% of the population) 23% Multiplus’ target 70 57 48 44 40 2005 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: ANAC Source: Research Cetelem- Ipsos 2010 *Note: Average income of classes D and E - R$ 6,126/year; class C - R$13,944/year; and classes A and B - R$ 75,942 /year. 10 Appendix Appendix I: Typical Accrual and Redemption Flows Accrual flow: cash in due to sales of points to partners PARTNER WITH STANDALONE PROGRAM POINTS earns Partner’s A Points accumulates converts to Program MEMBER buys Products and PARTNER WITH NO STANDALONE PROGRAM (consumer) Services B earns Redemption flow: cash out due to purchase of points, products and services from partners and suppliers POINTS COALITION AND REDEMPTION PARTNERS converts to Partner’s C Points accumulates earns Program Products and Services MEMBER redeems D earns (consumer) MULTIPLUS WEBISITE Products and E earns Services 12 Appendix II: Shareholders’ Structure and Stock Performance Shareholders’ Structure Average Stock Price and Average Daily Trading Volume Average Daily Trade Volume (R$ million) 29,66 28,85 29,28 Average Stock Price 28,32 27,95 27,40 27,54 27,28 26,29 25,80 TAM S.A. 24,74 25,48 24,99 23,36 19,96 17,48 17,87 15,99 16,58 16,17 14,90 19,4 z z 73,14% 26,86% 15,3 13,3 12,3 11,4 10,5 9,7 9,5 8,8 7,9 7,6 8,2 8,2 6,1 6,6 6,4 5,0 5,6 4,1 2,1 2,4 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 2010 2011 13 Appendix IV: Loyalty Market Penetration as % of population Multiplus member base penetration as % of population North 52,8 3,6 Northeast 2,5 46,9 Central-West 6,4 Southeast 35,7 5,2 31,0 27,6 27,3 South 4,5 23,7 23,5 21,0 18,0 15,7 13,4 13,0 9,5 9,4 4,4 3,8 2,3 Nectar UK Nectar Nectar ITA Nectar AirMiles UK AirMiles Smiles BRA Smiles FlyBuys NZL FlyBuys Velocity AUS Velocity FlyBuys AUS FlyBuys AirMiles CAN AirMiles Multiplus BRA Multiplus Aeroplan CAN Aeroplan Sky Miles USA Miles Sky LANPASS CHL LANPASS Flying Blue FRA Blue Flying Miles&More DEU Miles&More AAdvantage USA AAdvantage Club Premier MEX Club Premier Qantas Program AUS Program Qantas JAL Mileage Bank JPN Bank Mileage JAL Source: Principal Global Indicators and Companies’ website and reports Notes: 1. Programs belonging to airlines: Flying Blue to AirFrance/KLM; Sky Miles to Delta Airlines; AAdvantage to American Airlines; Miles&More to Lufthansa; JAL Mileage Bank to Japan Airlines; Velocity to Virgin Blue; Smiles to Gol Airlines; and Club Premier to AeroMexico 2. Programs associated with airlines: FlyBuys NZL with Air New Zealand; FlyBuys AUS with Jet Set; Aeroplan with AirCanada; AirMiles UK with British Airways; and Multiplus with TAM Airlines. 14 Appendix V: 3Q11 results Operating highlights Item 3Q11 YoY QoY Points issued 20.0 bln +38.5% +7.9% Points redeemed 12.5 bln +171.7% +14.7% Breakage rate 24.0% +140bps +70bps Financial highlights Item 3Q11 YoY QoY Gross Billings of points R$ 397.3 mln +32.4% +12.1% Net Revenue R$ 321.5 mln +147.3% +12.8% EBITDA R$ 78.1 mln +64.5% -14.6% (margin of 24.3%) Adjusted EBITDA R$ 82.3 mln -7.0% +1.3% (margin of 22.2%) Net Income R$ 51.3 mln +15.3% -36.8% (margin of 16.0%) 15 Appendix VI: Income Statement (R$ thousand) 3Q11 vs 3Q11 vs 3Q10 3Q11 2Q11 Income Statement 3Q10 2Q11 Gross revenue 143,940 353,652 145.7% 314,568 12.4% Sale of points 105,163 249,834 137.6% 224,200 11.4% TAM Airlines - TLA 13,535 54,605 303.4% 44,821 21.8% Banks, Retail, Industry and Services 91,628 195,229 113.1% 179,379 8.8% Breakage 35,962 93,130 159.0% 83,621 11.4% Hedge 0 7,097 N.A. 3,448 105.8% Other revenues 2,815 3,591 27.6% 3,299 8.9% Taxes on sales -13,863 -32,172 132.1% -29,505 9.0% Net Revenue 130,077 321,480 147.1% 285,063 12.8% Cost of the points redeemed -69,544 -218,818 213.3% -174,085 25.7% Air tickets -69,275 -214,890 210.2% -171,880 25.0% Other products / services -269 -3,928 1360.2% -2,205 78.1% Accounting Adjustments 420 1,209 187.9% 0 N.A.