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FY2019 Mid-Bay Annual Report

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FY2019 Mid-Bay Annual Report • Jacobs . Traffic Engineers' Report for Fiscal Year 2019 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority MID-BAY Mid-Bay Bridge Authority Jacobs . Contents Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................................. 1 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 2 2. Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System ........................................................................................................... 3 2.1 Traffic and Revenue Results and Comparison with Forecasts................................................................... 3 2.2 Rebate Results ........................................................................................................................................... 5 2.3 Effect of Extraordinary Events .................................................................................................................... 6 3. Mid-Bay Bridge .......................................................................................................................................... 8 3.1 Traffic and Revenue Results .................................................................................................................... 10 3.2 Comparison with Forecast ........................................................................................................................ 18 3.3 Effect of Extraordinary Events .................................................................................................................. 19 3.4 Tolls and Inflation ...................................................................................................................................... 20 4. Walter Francis Spence Parkway ............................................................................................................ 26 4.1 Traffic and Revenue Results .................................................................................................................... 28 4.2 Comparison with Forecast ........................................................................................................................ 34 4.3 Effect of Extraordinary Events .................................................................................................................. 35 4.4 Tolls ........................................................................................................................................................... 37 5. External Factors ...................................................................................................................................... 39 5.1 Expansion of US 331 Bridge ..................................................................................................................... 39 5.2 Other Projects ........................................................................................................................................... 40 6. Traffic and Revenue-Related Services ................................................................................................. 41 Tables Table 1 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Actual vs. Forecast Toll Revenue, FY 2019 ........................................ 3 Table 2 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System SunPass vs. Cash/TBP, FY 2019 ....................................................... 3 Table 3 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Actual vs. Forecast Traffic, FY 2019 ................................................... 4 Table 4 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Rebate Transactions and Changes – FY 2018 and FY 2019 ............ 5 Table 5 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Rebate Amounts and Changes – FY 2018 and FY 2019 .................. 5 Table 6 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Change in Traffic by Vehicle Class ....................................................... 6 Table 7 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Change in Traffic Market Share ............................................................ 6 Table 8 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Changes in Toll Revenue ..................................................................... 7 Table 9 Mid-Bay Bridge Actual vs. Forecast Toll Revenue, FY 2019 ..................................................................... 8 Table 10 Mid-Bay Bridge Actual vs. Forecast Traffic, FY 2019 .............................................................................. 8 Table 11 Mid-Bay Bridge Rebate Transactions and Changes – FY 2018 and FY 2019 ...................................... 9 Table 12 Mid-Bay Bridge Rebate Amounts and Changes – FY 2018 and FY 2019............................................. 9 Table 13 Mid-Bay Bridge Quarterly Toll Revenue, FY 2019 vs. FY 2018 ............................................................ 10 Table 14 Mid-Bay Bridge Traffic and Revenue, FY 1994-FY 2019 ...................................................................... 12 Table 15 Mid-Bay Bridge Monthly Traffic Fluctuations, FY 2019 .......................................................................... 14 Table 16 Mid-Bay Bridge Traffic and Toll Revenue, SunPass/TBP v. Cash, FY 2019......................................... 16 Table 17 Mid-Bay Bridge Actual and Forecasted Traffic, FY 2019....................................................................... 18 Table 18 Mid-Bay Bridge Change in Traffic by Vehicle Class .............................................................................. 19 Table 19 Mid-Bay Bridge Change in Traffic Market Share ................................................................................... 20 i Jacobs . Table 20 Mid-Bay Bridge Changes in Toll Revenue ............................................................................................. 20 Table 21 Mid-Bay Bridge History of Toll Increases ............................................................................................... 22 Table 22 Mid-Bay Bridge Passenger Car Toll Rate Adjusted to CPI .................................................................... 23 Table 23 Mid-Bay Bridge Toll vs. Consumer Price Index (CPI) ............................................................................ 24 Table 24 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Actual vs. Forecast Toll Revenue, FY 2019 ..................................... 27 Table 25 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Actual vs. Forecast Traffic, FY 2019 ................................................ 27 Table 26 Spence Parkway Rebate Transactions and Changes – FY 2018 and FY 2019 .................................. 28 Table 27 Spence Parkway Rebate Amounts and Changes – FY 2018 and FY 2019 ........................................ 28 Table 28 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Monthly Toll Revenue, FY 2019 vs. FY 2018 ................................... 29 Table 29 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Traffic and Revenue, FY 2014-FY 2019 .......................................... 29 Table 30 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Monthly Traffic Fluctuations, FY 2019 .............................................. 31 Table 31 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Traffic and Toll Revenue, SunPass vs. TBP, FY 2019 .................... 32 Table 32 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Actual and Forecasted Traffic, FY 2019 ........................................... 35 Table 33 Spence Parkway Change in Traffic by Vehicle Class ............................................................................ 35 Table 34 Spence Parkway Change in Traffic Market Share ................................................................................. 36 Table 35 Spence Parkway Changes in Toll Revenue .......................................................................................... 36 Table 36 Walter Francis Spence Parkway History of Toll Increases ................................................................... 38 ii Jacobs . Figures Figure 1 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Traffic and Toll Revenue, FY 2019 .................................................... 4 Figure 2 Mid-Bay Bridge Quarterly Toll Revenue Fluctuations, FY 2005-FY 2019 .............................................. 11 Figure 3 Mid-Bay Bridge Toll Revenue Trend, FY 1994-FY 2019 ........................................................................ 11 Figure 4 Mid-Bay Bridge Average Toll Revenue Trend, FY 1994-FY 2019 ......................................................... 14 Figure 5 Mid-Bay Bridge Monthly Traffic Fluctuations, FY 2019 .......................................................................... 15 Figure 6 Mid-Bay Bridge Traffic and Toll Revenue, FY 2019 ............................................................................... 17 Figure 7 Mid-Bay Bridge Quarterly Revenue Results, Actual vs. Forecast, FY 2019 .......................................... 19 Figure 8 Mid-Bay Bridge Impact of Inflation on the Cash, 2-axle Toll Rate .......................................................... 25 Figure 9 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Quarterly Received Toll Revenue Trends, FY 2014-FY 2019 .......... 30 Figure 10 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Toll Revenue Trend, 4-Quarter Moving Average, FY 2014-FY 2019 ............................................................................................................................................................................... 31 Figure 11 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Monthly Traffic Fluctuations, FY 2019............................................. 32 Figure 12 Walter Francis Spence Parkway Traffic and Toll Revenue, SunPass vs.
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