DOCSLIB.ORG

Peter H. Diamandis, MD November 2013 Live Tweeting? I'm

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Peter H. Diamandis, MD November 2013 Live Tweeting? I'm Innovation & Breakthroughs on the Road to Abundance Peter H. Diamandis, MD November 2013 Live Tweeting? I’m @PeterDiamandis Exponential Technology Crowdsourcing Genius Live Tweeting? I’m @PeterDiamandis Human development over 150,000+ years… LOCAL + LINEAR Human development over 150,000+ years… EXPONENTIAL + GLOBAL Disruptive Stress /Opportunity LINEAR EXPONENTIAL 1996 2012 April 2012 MarketCap: $28B Bankrupt MarketCap: $1B Employees: 140,000 Employees: 17,000 Employees: 13 The New “Kodak Moment” LINEAR EXPONENTIAL In 10 years, it’s predicted that 40% of the Future 500 Companies will no longer exist. * Babson Olin School of Business, Fast Company April 2011, page 121. LINEAR EXPONENTIAL “The average lifespan of an S&P 500 company has decreased from: 67 years (1920’s) 15 years (today)” - Richard Foster, Yale University Singularity University – 10^9+ NASA – AUTODESK – GOOGLE – CISCO– NOKIA – GENENTECH – KAUFFMAN www.SingularityU.org Mountain View, California LINEAR EXPONENTIAL Exponential Technology Crowd/Community Tools 1. Computation/Networks 1. Incentive Competitions 2. Artificial Intelligence 2. (Big) Data Mining 3. Robotics 3. Gamification 4. 3D Printing 4. DIY Communities 5. Synthetic Biology 5. On Demand Workforce 6. Digital Medicine 6. Crowd Creativity 7. Crowd Funding Innovation Partnership Program What does EXPONENTIAL growth feel like? Take 30 13 12 LINEAR 11 paces… 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 30 meters 01 Take 30 EXPONENTIAL steps… 26X around the Earth! 01 02 04 08 16 32 64 128 256 … 1,073,741,824 meters “6D’s” – Exponential Framework Digitized (Information Tech) Democratize Deceptive Demonetize Disruptive Dematerialize Deceptive & Disruptive Linear Vs. Exponential Growth 0 0.01 150 Exponential Trend 1 0.02 140 2 0.04 130 Linear Trend 120 3 0.08 110 4 0.16 100 5 0.32 90 (Disruptive) 80 6 0.64 70 7 1.28 60 8 2.56 50 40 Knee of Curve 9 5.12 30 10 10.2 20 (Deceptive) 10 11 20.5 12 40.9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 13 81.9 Dematerialization 20 Years later… All of these fit in your pocket… … and come for free on your smart phone! Demonetization Record Stores Long Distance Book Stores Research/Libraries Local Stores Classifieds Democratization African Mobile Growth: >1B by 2016 Moore’s Law – 5th Paradigm of Exponential Growth Calculations/Sec per $1000 computer The exponential growth of computing on a Logarithmic Plot Calc./second for a $1000 laptop vs. Time 2050 Calculations per Second per $1000 2023 2010 Year 2 6 Recent News… Technologies making the news: AI, Cloud Computing, Robotics, 3D Printing, Synthetic Biology “WATSON vanquishes human opponents” Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Infinite Computing •2,880 POWER7 processor cores; •16 Terabytes of RAM •200 million pages of content (Wikipedia) •Process 1 million books per second Paradigm Change: Robotics Willow Garage – Scott Hassan Robotics Paradigm Change: Robotics Google’s Autonomous Car Robotics Paradigm Change: Robotics 6 Prius 3 RX450h >300,000 miles Legal in: - Nevada - California - Florida Google’s Autonomous Car Robotics Light Detection And Ranging) Paradigm Change: Robotics LIDAR 64 lasers 10 RPM LIDAR: Light Detection & Ranging 1.3 mil datapoints or 750 Mbytes/second Google’s Autonomous Car Robotics Light Detection And Ranging) Know Anything – Anytime LEO Constellations Quad Copter Google Glass ~ .5m global resolution ~ 1 cm global resolution ~ 1 mm global resolution 5 Known Constellations Plummeting costs Including Skybox Solar Powered Paradigm Change: Robotics Telepresence Robots – today’s “Transporter” Robotics 3D Printer = The Star Trek Replicator Disrupting a $10 Trillion Manufacturing Industry 3D Printing 3D Printing Good Enough To Eat HOSPITALITY | EVENTS | STORE | HOME SOURCE: Fab@Home SOURCE:3DSYSTEMS PRODUCTS TO BUY ACCESSORIES | SHOES | TOYS | DOLLS SOURCE: GeoBeats Dolls: MakieLabs Safe Enough To Implant ORGANS | BONES | RESTORATIONS SOURCE: ExplainingTheFuture.com SOURCE: Wake Forest May 20, 2010 Market: 1st synthetic life FUEL & FOOD & VACCINES 1.1 million Basepairs Synthetic Biology Critical Insight… The only constant is change. And, the rate of change is increasing. 1st Conclusion: You either disrupt your own company, or someone else will. You must be constantly evolving your business. Standing still = death. 2nd Conclusion: If you’re dependent on innovation solely from inside your company, you will lose. Question: How will you do this? Exponential Technology Crowdsourcing Genius Crowdsourcing Genius • $10 Million purse • Privately funded teams • 3 person crew • 100 km altitude • Two flights within 2 weeks WINNING THE ANSARI X PRIZE • 26 Teams • From 7 Nations • Spending > $100 million ARCA Space Transport DaVinci Project Canadian Arrow Rocketplane Armadillo StarChaser Pablo DeLeon Scaled Composites Aerospace October 4th, 2004 Mojave Desert Image from Video OPENING A NEW ERA… > 10 Billion Media Impressions Worth in Excess of $120 Million VIDEO: Ansari X PRIZE (historical) History Was Made HALLMARKS OF AN X PRIZE COMPETITION • HIGHLY LEVERAGED: Typically 10 – 40x • EFFICIENT: only pays the winner • Sparks NEW INDUSTRY development • Non-traditional solutions $1B+ Industry start $100M Teams’ spend $2.5M – Start-up $10M - Purse St. Louis Ansari Family Board of Trustees & Benefactors Jim Cameron LARRY PAGE, RATAN TATA DR. CRAIG VENTER, Dr. ANOUSHEH ANSARI JAMES CAMERON CEO, Google Chairman of Tata Group Genetic Pioneer Astronaut & CEO Filmmaker and explorer Jim Gianopulos Wendy Schmidt DEAN KAMEN, RAY KURZWEIL ELON MUSK JIM GIANOPULOS WENDY SCHMIDT CEO, DEKA Research Inventor & Futurist CEO, Tesla & SpaceX Chairman/CEO, FOX Schmidt Family Fndtn Prize Groups Life Sciences Exploration Energy & Learning & Environment Global Dev. $10M HEALTHCARE IN THE PALM OF YOUR HAND… FUNDED BY THE QUALCOMM FOUNDATION Qualcomm Tricorder X PRIZE Team Distribution 25 from UK 2 from Sweden 2 from Denmark 2 from Russia 3 from Ireland 1 from Czech Rep. 16 from Canada 1 from Austria 5 from Germany 2 from Bulgaria 1 from Switzerland 2 from Georgia 115 from USA 1 from Portugal 2 from China 2 from Italy 4 from Singapore 1 from Turkey 1 from Kuwait 1 from Yemen 1 from Brazil 1 from Saudi Arabia 2 from Australia 1 from Argentina 20 from India 300+ TOTAL TEAMS 37 NATIONS Does it have to be a $10M purse? $1.4 million Target: 2x the 1,100 Gallon/Min $1.4 million • 350 pre-registered teams 7 of 10 finalists > 2x Improvement • 10 Finalists – head to head Top Team = 6x Improvement $1.4 million • 350 pre-registered teams 7 of 10 finalists > 2x Improvement • 10 Finalists – head to head • Target: 2x the 1,100 Gallon/Min Top Team = 6x Improvement Where is X PRIZE going next ? Global Software Competition -- Reading & Coding in 2 Years Health & Life Science X PRIZEs Alzheimer's Organo- Brain-Computer Disease Genesis Interface * Concept only - Purse need funding FORCE: Rising Billion Global Population GLOBAL POPULATION (BILLIONS) Internet Users 8,0 7,0 6,0 5,0 66% 4,0 3 BILLION 3,0 NEW MINDS 2,0 23% 1,0 6% 0,0 2000 2010 2020 What will 3 Billion New Minds… create discover consume desire invent …Tens of trillions of annual PP …Greatest period of Innovation (ever) Get a copy of my Briefing Slides Text: DELOITTE, FIRST NAME , & EMAIL to: +46-737-494-551 Exponential Tech Crowdsourcing Genius ABUNDANCE ABUNDANCE: The Future Is Better Than You Think # 1 on Amazon; #2 on New York Times We are heading towards a world of Abundance… Really? AMYGDALA ALL VISUAL INFORMATION ALL AUDIO INFORMATION AL ALUMINUM Au GOLD AG NAPOLEAN III SILVER THE KING OF SIAM ABUNDANCE: ENERGY Solar – Exponential Change SOLAR PANELS AVG. PRICE PER WATT ANNUAL PV PRODUCTION MWATTS $35 8.000 7.000 $30 6.000 $25 1975-2012 97.2% 5.000 $20 4.000 $15 3.000 $10 2012: 84¢ 2.000 $5 1.000 $0 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 1995 2000 2005 2010 Bloomberg New Energy Finance reported that the price of solar panels fell by almost 50 percent in 2011. They are now just one-quarter of what they were in 2008. Source: GTM Research ABUNDANCE: WATER Dean Kamen’s Slingshot… ‣$2,500 each ‣1000 liters/day ‣$0.02 per liter ‣5 Year Lifetime ‣100 watts of power ABUNDANCE: COMMUNICATIONS ABUNDANCE: HEALTH & EDUCATION FORCE: Rising Billion Global Population GLOBAL POPULATION (BILLIONS) Internet Users 8,0 7,0 6,0 5,0 66% 4,0 3 BILLION 3,0 NEW MINDS 2,0 23% 1,0 6% 0,0 2000 2010 2020 What will 3 Billion New Minds… create discover consume desire invent …Tens of trillions of annual PP …Greatest period of Innovation (ever) Get a copy of my Briefing Slides Text: DELOITTE, FIRST NAME , & EMAIL to: +46-737-494-551 THANK YOU Peter H. Diamandis, MD Copy of Slides Text your name & email: (310) 299-8772 Follow me: @PeterDiamandis www.Diamandis.com (Sign up for BOLD Blog) www.xprize.org www.SingularityU.org .
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Virgin Galactic Th E First Ten Years Other Springer-Praxis Books of Related Interest by Erik Seedhouse
    Virgin Galactic Th e First Ten Years Other Springer-Praxis books of related interest by Erik Seedhouse Tourists in Space: A Practical Guide 2008 ISBN: 978-0-387-74643-2 Lunar Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on the Moon 2008 ISBN: 978-0-387-09746-6 Martian Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on Mars 2009 ISBN: 978-0-387-98190-1 The New Space Race: China vs. the United States 2009 ISBN: 978-1-4419-0879-7 Prepare for Launch: The Astronaut Training Process 2010 ISBN: 978-1-4419-1349-4 Ocean Outpost: The Future of Humans Living Underwater 2010 ISBN: 978-1-4419-6356-7 Trailblazing Medicine: Sustaining Explorers During Interplanetary Missions 2011 ISBN: 978-1-4419-7828-8 Interplanetary Outpost: The Human and Technological Challenges of Exploring the Outer Planets 2012 ISBN: 978-1-4419-9747-0 Astronauts for Hire: The Emergence of a Commercial Astronaut Corps 2012 ISBN: 978-1-4614-0519-1 Pulling G: Human Responses to High and Low Gravity 2013 ISBN: 978-1-4614-3029-2 SpaceX: Making Commercial Spacefl ight a Reality 2013 ISBN: 978-1-4614-5513-4 Suborbital: Industry at the Edge of Space 2014 ISBN: 978-3-319-03484-3 Tourists in Space: A Practical Guide, Second Edition 2014 ISBN: 978-3-319-05037-9 Erik Seedhouse Virgin Galactic The First Ten Years Erik Seedhouse Astronaut Instructor Sandefjord , Vestfold , Norway SPRINGER-PRAXIS BOOKS IN SPACE EXPLORATION ISBN 978-3-319-09261-4 ISBN 978-3-319-09262-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-09262-1 Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2014957708 © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015 This work is subject to copyright.
    [Show full text]
  • Aerospace Industry Review Paper Canadian Space Society Introduction in 1962, Canada Became the Third Country in Space with the L
    Aerospace Industry Review Paper Canadian Space Society Introduction In 1962, Canada became the third country in space with the launch of Alouette-1. Since then, Canada has had a proud history of significant contributions in science and technology through space research and development. In 1967, the Chapman Report provided a series of recommendations that helped guide Canada’s original focus and investments in space technology. The Chapman Report also provided a practical plan that outlined how space can address the areas of greatest need for Canadians. Given our large geographic area and disperse population, satellite communications and remote sensing (including space-based earth observation) was, and still is, a practical and cost effective means to address Canada’s needs. As such, space technology has helped Canadians stay connected, coast to coast to coast, and has given us a higher vantage point to monitor our large country. In addition, research and development into space technology has provided us the Canadarm, an iconic symbol of Canada’s innovative and imaginative ability. 50-years have now passed since the launch of Aloutte-1 and Canada’s space program is at a crossroads. The global community has yet to chart a course for space exploration and NASA has ended its Space Shuttle program. India and China have entered the space arena with significant strides in rocketry, satellite manufacturing, human space flight and has set its targets on the Moon. The private sector in the USA has entered the arena providing its own space transportation systems (SpaceX), and is setting ambitious targets to mine space resources (Planetary Resources).
    [Show full text]
  • The Space Race Continues
    The Space Race Continues The Evolution of Space Tourism from Novelty to Opportunity Matthew D. Melville, Vice President Shira Amrany, Consulting and Valuation Analyst HVS GLOBAL HOSPITALITY SERVICES 369 Willis Avenue Mineola, NY 11501 USA Tel: +1 516 248-8828 Fax: +1 516 742-3059 June 2009 NORTH AMERICA - Atlanta | Boston | Boulder | Chicago | Dallas | Denver | Mexico City | Miami | New York | Newport, RI | San Francisco | Toronto | Vancouver | Washington, D.C. | EUROPE - Athens | London | Madrid | Moscow | ASIA - 1 Beijing | Hong Kong | Mumbai | New Delhi | Shanghai | Singapore | SOUTH AMERICA - Buenos Aires | São Paulo | MIDDLE EAST - Dubai HVS Global Hospitality Services The Space Race Continues At a space business forum in June 2008, Dr. George C. Nield, Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation at the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), addressed the future of commercial space travel: “There is tangible work underway by a number of companies aiming for space, partly because of their dreams, but primarily because they are confident it can be done by the private sector and it can be done at a profit.” Indeed, private companies and entrepreneurs are currently aiming to make this dream a reality. While the current economic downturn will likely slow industry progress, space tourism, currently in its infancy, is poised to become a significant part of the hospitality industry. Unlike the space race of the 1950s and 1960s between the United States and the former Soviet Union, the current rivalry is not defined on a national level, but by a collection of first-mover entrepreneurs that are working to define the industry and position it for long- term profitability.
    [Show full text]
  • Evidence Review – Environmental Innovation Prizes for Development
    Evidence Review – Environmental Innovation Prizes for Development DEW Point Enquiry No. A0405 A Report by Bryony Everett With support from Chris Barnett and Radha Verma Peer Review by William Masters July 2011 Acknowledgements We would like to thank all the interviewees detailed in Annex 1 for their time and support in providing us with their insights and information, without which we would not have been able to produce this report. Particular thanks go to Erika, Jaison and Will. Disclaimer This report is commissioned under DEW Point, the DFID Resource Centre for Environment, Water and Sanitation, which is managed by a consortium of companies led by Harewelle International Limited1. Although the report is commissioned by DFID, the views expressed in the report are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent DFID’s own views or policies, or those of DEW Point. Comments and discussion on items related to content and opinion should be addressed to the author, via the “Contact and correspondence” address e-mail or website, as indicated in the control document above. 1 Consortium comprises Harewelle International Limited, DD International, Practical Action Consulting, Cranfield University and AEA Energy and Environment Table of Contents Evidence Review – Environmental Innovation Prizes for Development Summary .................................................................................................................................... 1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Download of Your Pictures to Your Computer
    w ww om .estesrockets.c TABLE OF CONTENTS Index . .2 Skill Level 2 Rocket Kits . .26 How To Start . .3 Skill Level 3 Rocket Kits . .30 What to Know . .4 “E” Engine Powered Kits . .32 Model Rocket Safety Code . .5 Blurzz™ Rocket Racers . .33 Ready To Fly Starter Sets . .6 How Model Rocket Engines Work . .34 E2X® Starter Sets . .8 Model Rocket Engine Chart . .35 Ready to Fly Launch Sets . .10 Engine Time/Thrust Curves . .36 E2X® Launch Sets . .12 Model Rocket Accessories . .37 Ready To Fly Rockets . .14 Estes Airplanes . .38 E2X® Rocket Kits . .15 Estes Educator™ Products . .41 Skill Level 1 Rocket Kits . .20 Estes Specialty Products . .42 INDEX 220 Swift™. 21 Lucky Seven . 17 36 D Squared™ . 27 Max Trax® Starter Set. 7 Accessories. 37 Mini Super Shot™ Starter Set . 9 AeroX™ Interceptor™R/C Mobile Launcher. 40 Model Rocket Bulk Packs . 41 Air Force 1 Electric R/C Jet. 39 No. 2 Estes Sky Writer® . 17 Air Powered Action Hero. 43 NSA Starship™ . 7 Air Powered Blast Jets®. 43 Operation Search & Destroy™ Launch Set . 11 Air Show™ Launch Set. 13 Oracle™ Digital Camera Rocket . 19 Alpha®. 21 Outlander™ . 31 Alpha III®. 17 Patriot™ Starter Set. 7 Alpha III® Starter Set . 9 Presidential VIP Electric R/C Jet Airplane. 39 Astrocam® 110 . 19 Quickfire™ Catapult R/C Airplane . 39 Baby Bertha™. 21 Quark™ . 21 Bandito™ . 15 Renegade™ . 31 Big Bertha® . 23 Riptide™ Launch Set. 11 Big Daddy™ . 32 Rocket Bulk Packs. 41 Blue Ninja™ . 17 Rubicon . 25 Blurzz™ Rocket Powered Cars . 33 Scissor Wing Transport™ . 31 Bull Pup 12D™.
    [Show full text]
  • Dominant Suborbital Space Tourism Architectures
    Dominant Suborbital Space Tourism Architectures The MIT Faculty has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters. Citation Guerster, Markus and Edward F. Crawley. "Dominant Suborbital Space Tourism Architectures." Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets 56, 5 (September 2019): dx.doi.org/10.2514/1.a34385 As Published http://dx.doi.org/10.2514/1.a34385 Publisher American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) Version Author's final manuscript Citable link https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126666 Terms of Use Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike Detailed Terms http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ JOURNAL OF SPACECRAFT AND ROCKETS Dominant Suborbital Space Tourism Architectures Markus Guerster∗ and Edward F. Crawley† Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139 DOI: 10.2514/1.A34385 In the early stages of maturity of a system built for a specific function, it is common for the solutions to lie in a broad architectural space, in which numerous concepts are being developed, built, and tested. As the product matures, certain concepts become more dominant. This pattern can currently be observed in the suborbital tourism industry, in which the obvious question is what system architecture will provide the best combination of cost and safety and in the long run become the dominant architecture. This paper addresses this question by defining a broad architectural space of thousands of possibilities and exploring it comprehensively. We identified 33 feasible architectures, 26 of which had not been proposed earlier. A genetic algorithm optimizes each architecture with respect to the launch mass (a proxy for cost) and operational safety.
    [Show full text]
  • Space Planes and Space Tourism: the Industry and the Regulation of Its Safety
    Space Planes and Space Tourism: The Industry and the Regulation of its Safety A Research Study Prepared by Dr. Joseph N. Pelton Director, Space & Advanced Communications Research Institute George Washington University George Washington University SACRI Research Study 1 Table of Contents Executive Summary…………………………………………………… p 4-14 1.0 Introduction…………………………………………………………………….. p 16-26 2.0 Methodology…………………………………………………………………….. p 26-28 3.0 Background and History……………………………………………………….. p 28-34 4.0 US Regulations and Government Programs………………………………….. p 34-35 4.1 NASA’s Legislative Mandate and the New Space Vision………….……. p 35-36 4.2 NASA Safety Practices in Comparison to the FAA……….…………….. p 36-37 4.3 New US Legislation to Regulate and Control Private Space Ventures… p 37 4.3.1 Status of Legislation and Pending FAA Draft Regulations……….. p 37-38 4.3.2 The New Role of Prizes in Space Development…………………….. p 38-40 4.3.3 Implications of Private Space Ventures…………………………….. p 41-42 4.4 International Efforts to Regulate Private Space Systems………………… p 42 4.4.1 International Association for the Advancement of Space Safety… p 42-43 4.4.2 The International Telecommunications Union (ITU)…………….. p 43-44 4.4.3 The Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS).. p 44 4.4.4 The European Aviation Safety Agency…………………………….. p 44-45 4.4.5 Review of International Treaties Involving Space………………… p 45 4.4.6 The ICAO -The Best Way Forward for International Regulation.. p 45-47 5.0 Key Efforts to Estimate the Size of a Private Space Tourism Business……… p 47 5.1.
    [Show full text]
  • The Annual Compendium of Commercial Space Transportation: 2017
    Federal Aviation Administration The Annual Compendium of Commercial Space Transportation: 2017 January 2017 Annual Compendium of Commercial Space Transportation: 2017 i Contents About the FAA Office of Commercial Space Transportation The Federal Aviation Administration’s Office of Commercial Space Transportation (FAA AST) licenses and regulates U.S. commercial space launch and reentry activity, as well as the operation of non-federal launch and reentry sites, as authorized by Executive Order 12465 and Title 51 United States Code, Subtitle V, Chapter 509 (formerly the Commercial Space Launch Act). FAA AST’s mission is to ensure public health and safety and the safety of property while protecting the national security and foreign policy interests of the United States during commercial launch and reentry operations. In addition, FAA AST is directed to encourage, facilitate, and promote commercial space launches and reentries. Additional information concerning commercial space transportation can be found on FAA AST’s website: http://www.faa.gov/go/ast Cover art: Phil Smith, The Tauri Group (2017) Publication produced for FAA AST by The Tauri Group under contract. NOTICE Use of trade names or names of manufacturers in this document does not constitute an official endorsement of such products or manufacturers, either expressed or implied, by the Federal Aviation Administration. ii Annual Compendium of Commercial Space Transportation: 2017 GENERAL CONTENTS Executive Summary 1 Introduction 5 Launch Vehicles 9 Launch and Reentry Sites 21 Payloads 35 2016 Launch Events 39 2017 Annual Commercial Space Transportation Forecast 45 Space Transportation Law and Policy 83 Appendices 89 Orbital Launch Vehicle Fact Sheets 100 iii Contents DETAILED CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .
    [Show full text]
  • Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) Putting the Zero in Zero-G
    June 2021 Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) Putting the Zero in Zero-G We are short shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., often described as the only publicly traded space-tourism company. After going public in October 2019 by way of a merger with a “blank check” company, Virgin Galactic has seen its share price and trading volume soar. It’s become a retail darling, with day traders captivated by images of billionaires donning space suits, blasting off from launchpads, and looking down on the blue marble of Earth. But Virgin Galactic’s $250,000+ commercial “spaceflights” – if they ever actually happen, after some 17 years of delays and disasters – will offer only the palest imitations of these experiences. In lieu of pressurized space suits with helmets – unnecessary since so little time will be spent in the upper atmosphere – the company commissioned Under Armour to provide “high-tech pajamas.” In lieu of vertical takeoff, Virgin’s “spaceship” must cling to the underside of a specialized airplane for the first 45,000 feet up, because its rocket motor is too weak to push through the lower atmosphere on its own. In lieu of the blue-marble vista and life in zero-g, Virgin’s so-called astronauts will at best be able to catch a glimpse of the curvature of Earth and a few minutes of weightlessness before plunging back to ground. This isn’t “tourism,” let alone Virgin’s more grandiose term, “exploration”; it’s closer to a souped- up roller coaster, like the “Drop of Doom” ride at Six Flags.
    [Show full text]
  • Rewarding Energy Innovation to Achieve Climate Stabilization
    Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons Faculty Publications 2011 Eyes on a Climate Prize: Rewarding Energy Innovation to Achieve Climate Stabilization Jonathan H. Adler Case Western University School of Law, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarlycommons.law.case.edu/faculty_publications Part of the Environmental Law Commons, and the Science and Technology Law Commons Repository Citation Adler, Jonathan H., "Eyes on a Climate Prize: Rewarding Energy Innovation to Achieve Climate Stabilization" (2011). Faculty Publications. 656. https://scholarlycommons.law.case.edu/faculty_publications/656 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Publications by an authorized administrator of Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons. \\jciprod01\productn\H\HLE\35-1\HLE101.txt unknown Seq: 1 14-MAR-11 12:33 EYES ON A CLIMATE PRIZE:REWARDING ENERGY INNOVATION TO ACHIEVE CLIMATE STABILIZATION Jonathan H. Adler* Stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases at double their pre-in- dustrial levels (or lower) will require emission reductions far in excess of what can be achieved at a politically acceptable cost with current or projected levels of tech- nology. Substantial technological innovation is required if the nations of the world are to come anywhere close to proposed emission reduction targets. Neither tradi- tional federal support for research and development of new technologies nor tradi- tional command-and-control regulations are likely to spur sufficient innovation. Technology inducement prizes, on the other hand, have the potential to significantly accelerate the rate of technological innovation in the energy sector.
    [Show full text]
  • Non-Traditional Flight Safety Systems and IVHM
    Non-Traditional Flight Safety Systems & Integrated Vehicle Health Management Systems Descriptions of Proposed & Existing Systems and Enabling Technologies & Verification Methods Final Report Produced for: The Office of the Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration Section AST-300 Produced by: Michael Fudge Thomas Stagliano Sunny Tsiao ITT Industries, Advanced Engineering & Sciences Division 2560 Huntington Avenue Alexandria, Virginia 22303 Contract DTFA01-01-D-03013 Delivery Order #3 August 26, 2003 i EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This paper describes present and future flight safety systems (FSS) and integrated vehicle health management (IVHM) systems relevant to reusable launch vehicle (RLV) design and operation. FSS design and implementation for RLVs in the launch-regime will be based mainly upon the evolving flight safety infrastructure presently utilized for expandable launch vehicles (ELV)s and the Space Shuttle. The evolution towards a more autonomous “space-based” range is the most significant issue within the RLV launch-phase flight safety paradigm, and the ability to confidently use Global Positioning System (GPS) receivers on both ELVs and RLVs to conduct real-time vehicle tracking and trajectory assessment is the key enabling technology towards this vision. Experiments utilizing sounding rockets to test this technology are currently ongoing. A flight safety paradigm for RLVs in the post-reentry phase of operations (atmospheric powered or gliding-flight ) is postulated in this paper; it is based upon current Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) flight safety practices and designs. The emphasis in this paper is placed upon flight safety for uncrewed RLVs; however, pertinent post-reentry flight safety issues and possible system operations for crewed RLVs are also addressed.
    [Show full text]
  • Third Quarter 2003 Quarterly Launch Report 1
    Third Quarter 2003 Quarterly Launch Report 1 Introduction The Third Quarter 2003 Quarterly Launch Report features launch results from the second quarter of 2003 (April-June 2003) and launch forecasts for the third quarter of 2003 (July-September 2003) and fourth quarter of 2003 (October-December 2003). This report contains information on worldwide commercial, civil, and military orbital space launch events. Projected launches have been identified from open sources, including industry references, company manifests, periodicals, and government sources. Projected launches are subject to change. This report highlights commercial launch activities, classifying commercial launches as one or both of the following: • Internationally-competed launch events (i.e., launch opportunities considered available in principle to competitors in the international launch services market) • Any launches licensed by the Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation of the Federal Aviation Administration under 49 United States Code Subtitle IX, Chapter 701 (formerly the Commercial Space Launch Act) Contents Second Quarter 2003 Highlights . .2 Vehicle Use . .3 Commercial Launch Events by Country . .4 Commercial vs. Non-commercial Launch Events . .4 Payload Use . .5 Payload Mass Class . .5 Commercial Launch Trends . .6 Appendix A: Second Quarter 2003 Orbital Launch Events . .A-1 Appendix B: Third Quarter 2003 Projected Orbital Launch Events . .B-1 Appendix C: Fourth Quarter 2003 Projected Orbital Launch Events . .C-1 Cover: A Zenit 3SL, marketed by Boeing Launch Services and launched by the multina­ tional consortium Sea Launch, sends Thuraya 2 on its way to geosynchronous orbit on June 10, 2003 from the central Pacific Ocean. Third Quarter 2003 Quarterly Launch Report 2 Second Quarter 2003 Highlights U.S.-based Scaled Composites unveiled its entry for the X PRIZE competition during the second quarter of 2003.
    [Show full text]