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LAPORAN HASIL SURVEI CALON PEMIMPIN INDONESIA 2024 : BANJIR TOKOH MENUJU 2024 Lembaga Survei Kedaikopi Keterangan Umum Survei

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LAPORAN HASIL SURVEI CALON PEMIMPIN INDONESIA 2024 : BANJIR TOKOH MENUJU 2024 Lembaga Survei Kedaikopi Keterangan Umum Survei LAPORAN HASIL SURVEI CALON PEMIMPIN INDONESIA 2024 : BANJIR TOKOH MENUJU 2024 Lembaga Survei KedaiKOPI Keterangan Umum Survei Nama Kegiatan : “SURVEI CALON PEMIMPIN INDONESIA 2024 : BANJIR TOKOH MENUJU 2024” Wilayah Survei : Nasional (34 Provinsi) Tanggal Survei : 29 Maret – 4 April 2021 Metode Survei : Telesurvei Jumlah Responden : 1260 responden (response rate : 14,76% dari 8538 panel responden survei KedaiKOPI) Enumerator : Lembaga Survei KedaiKOPI Desain & Analisa Data : Lembaga Survei KedaiKOPI Laporan Akhir : Lembaga Survei KedaiKOPI Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 2 Komposisi Sampel Responden No Provinsi Sampel No Provinsi Sampel 1 Aceh 24 18 Kep. Riau 10 2 Bali 19 19 Lampung 40 3 Banten 51 20 Maluku 10 4 Bengkulu 10 21 Maluku Utara 10 5 DI Yogyakarta 16 22 Nusa Tenggara Barat 26 6 DKI Jakarta 46 23 Nusa Tenggara Timur 25 7 Gorontalo 10 24 Papua 24 8 Jambi 15 25 Papua Barat 10 9 Jawa Barat 208 26 Riau 30 10 Jawa Tengah 173 27 Sulawesi Barat 10 11 Jawa Timur 181 28 Sulawesi Selatan 44 12 Kalimantan Barat 23 29 Sulawesi Tengah 21 13 Kalimantan Selatan 20 30 Sulawesi Tenggara 15 14 Kalimantan Tengah 11 31 Sulawesi Utara 13 15 Kalimantan Timur 16 32 Sumatera Barat 27 16 Kalimantan Utara 10 33 Sumatera Selatan 36 17 Kep. Bangka Belitung 10 34 Sumatera Utara 66 TOTAL 126060 Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 3 DEMOGRAFI Demografi (1) Pendidikan Kategori Usia Tamat S2/S3 0,6 Boomers (56 - 75 tahun) 10,6 Tamat D4/S1 10,2 Tamat D1/D2/D3 Gen X (41 - 55 tahun) 29,5 5,3 Tamat SLTA sederajat 58,5 Gen Y (25 - 40 tahun) 40,4 Tamat SLTP sederajat 14,5 Tamat SD sederajat 8,8 Gen Z (< 25 tahun) 19,5 Tidak tamat SD 2,1 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 Basis: Seluruh responden(n=1260) % Basis: Seluruh responden(n=1260) Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 3 Demografi (2) Perhitungan berdasarkan pengeluaran rata-rata rumah tangga per bulan Pekerjaan melingkupi: makan, minum, SES sekolah, transport, listrik, air, pakaian. Karyawan swasta 36,1 TIDAK termasuk tabungan, Berusaha sendiri/wiraswasta/pedagang 24,6 SES AB: >Rp. 3.000.000 17,1 pembelian barang mewah/ Mahasiswa/siswa 8,9 elektronik, cicilan rumah SES C1: Rp. 2.000.001 - Rp. Buruh 8,0 42,4 Petani/nelayan 5,8 3.000.000 Freelance/tidak tetap 4,5 SES C2: Rp. 1.500.001 - Rp. Tidak/belum bekerja 3,3 2.000.000 13,9 Pegawai honorer 1,7 Pensiunan/purnawirawan 1,5 SES D: Rp. 1.000.001 - Rp. 17,0 Pengajar/guru/dosen (dengan status tetap) 1,5 1.500.000 Ibu rumah tangga 1,2 SES E1: Rp. 500.001 - Rp. PNS 1,0 1.000.000 6,0 Profesional (dokter, pengacara, dll.) 0,4 Pegawai BUMN 0,4 SES E2: ≤Rp. 500.000 3,6 TNI/POLISI 0,1 Lainnya (supir, ojek online, sales, dll.) 1,0 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Basis: Seluruh responden(n=1260) % Basis: Seluruh responden(n=1260) Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 4 TEMUAN SURVEI Elektabilitas Terbuka “Siapa nama tokoh yang menurut Anda layak menjadi Presiden di 2024?” (open question) Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Prabowo Subianto 24,5 Joko Widodo 18,5 Ganjar Pranowo 16,0 Ridwan Kawil 13,3 Anies Baswedan 12,5 Sandiaga Uno 6,6 Tri Rismaharini 4,4 Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 1,4 Basuki Tjahaja Purnama 0,6 Susi Pudjiastuti 0,5 Gatot Nurmantyo 0,2 Puan Maharani 0,2 Tuan Guru Bajang 0,1 Surya Paloh 0,1 Sri Sultan Hamengkubuwono X 0,1 Chairul Tanjung 0,1 Rachmat Gobel 0,1 Erick Thohir 0,1 Lainnya 0,6 Tidak menyebutkan 0,1 0,0 20,0 40,0 % 60,0 80,0 100,0 Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 8 Kelemahan Pemerintah “Menurut Anda, apa kelemahan dari pemerintah saat ini?” (open question) Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Ekonomi 16,8 Korupsi 13,3 Mengatasi COVID-19 12,5 Pengangguran 5,7 Kurang Tegas/Teliti 5,1 Mendahulukan Masalah Politik 3,6 Pendidikan 3,2 Kurang Mendengarkan Rakyat/Merakyat 3,1 Kebijakan yang Diambil/Peraturan yang Dibuat 2,9 Terorisme 2,3 Kejahatan/Kurangnya Keamanan 2,1 Banyaknya Demo/Ricuh 2,1 Bantuan Sosial Tidak Merata 2,0 Kurangnya Kerjasama antar Pemerintah 1,9 Ketidakadilan/Kesenjangan Sosial 1,8 Menurunnya Toleransi/Isu Rasisme/Radikalisme 1,7 Impor Bahan Baku/Perdagangan 1,7 Harga Bahan Baku Semakin Mahal 1,3 Kurang Adanya Kerja Nyata 1,3 Kesehatan 1,3 Hutang negara 1,1 Lainnya (Mediasi pemerintah, bencana alam, dll.) 11,7 Tidak ada 1,5 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 9 Tokoh yang Dapat Menangani Kelemahan Pemerintah “Menurut Anda, siapa yang dapat mengatasi kelemahan pemerintah tersebut?” (open question) Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Presiden Joko Widodo 32,6 Prabowo Subianto 14,1 Pemerintah 10,0 Ganjar Pranowo 8,3 Masyarakat 7,9 Ridwan Kawil 7,0 Anies Baswedan 5,2 Diri Sendiri 3,1 Tri Rismaharini 2,7 Kepolisian 1,9 Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 1,3 Sandiaga Uno 1,2 KPK 1,0 Basuki Tjahaja Purnama 0,5 Habieb Rizieq 0,3 Generasi Muda/Mahasiswa 0,2 DPR 0,2 Susi Pudjiastuti 0,2 Lainnya (Novel Baswedan, Puan Maharani, dll.) 0,7 Tidak tahu/Tidak ada 1,6 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 10 Kondisi Finansial “Bagaimana kondisi keuangan Anda hari ini jika dibandingkan dengan tanggal yang sama pada tahun lalu?” Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) 100,0 80,0 60,0 48,2 % 42,6 40,0 20,0 9,2 0,0 Lebih buruk Sama saja Lebih baik Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 11 Elektabilitas Tokoh Ekonom “Dari tokoh ekonom berikut ini, siapa yang menurut Anda mampu menyelesaikan permasalahan ekonomi Indonesia dan berpotensi terpilih menjadi presiden di 2024?” Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Gita Wirjawan 18,3 Muhammad Chatib Basri 18,2 Rizal Ramli 17,1 Perry Warjiyo 8,0 Rhenald Khasali 7,8 Agus Martowardojo 7,2 Kwik Kian Gie 6,6 Faisal Basri 6,4 Bambang Brodjonegoro 5,3 Ichsanuddin Noorsy 5,1 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 12 Elektabilitas Tokoh Parpol “Dari tokoh partai politik berikut ini, siapa yang menurut Anda berpotensiterpilih menjadi presiden di 2024?” Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Airlangga Hartarto 17,6 Prabowo Subianto 15,6 Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno 13,7 Puan Maharani 9,6 Muhaimin Iskandar 9,6 Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 9,0 Ahmad Syaikhu 8,3 Jusuf Kalla 5,9 Megawati Soekarnoputri 5,9 Ahmad Sahroni 4,8 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 13 Elektabilitas Tokoh Antikorupsi “Dari tokoh antikorupsi berikut ini, siapa yang menurut Anda layak menjadi calon presiden di 2024?” Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Novel Baswedan 27,1 Bambang Widjojanto 11,3 Febri Diansyah 9,4 Sudirman Said 9,0 Firli Bahuri 8,8 Busyro Muqoddas 8,1 Zainal Arifin Mochtar 7,8 Agus Rahardjo 6,7 Bivitri Susanti 6,3 Abraham Samad 5,5 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 14 Elektabilitas Tokoh Oposisi “Dari tokoh oposisi berikut ini, siapa yang menurut Anda layak menjadi calon presiden di 2024?” Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Gatot Nurmantyo 13,7 Rocky Gerung 13,7 Rizal Ramli 12,6 Refly Harun 12,4 Mardani Ali Sera 11,6 Emha Ainun Najib 9,0 Din Syamsudin 7,9 Abdullah Hehamahua 7,9 Said Didu 6,7 Habib Rizieq Shihab 4,5 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 15 Elektabilitas Tokoh Non Parpol “Dari nama-nama tokoh non-parpol dan non-pemerintahan berikut ini, siapa yang menurut Anda layak menjadi calon presiden di 2024?” Basis: Seluruh responden (n=1260) Susi Pudjiastuti 30,9 Gatot Nurmantyo 14,1 Abraham Samad 14,0 Rizal Ramli 11,9 Jusuf Kalla 10,6 Sudirman Said 8,0 Abdul Somad/Ustad Abdul Somad 3,4 TGB Muhammad Zainul Majdi 3,3 Abdullah Gymnastiar/Aa Gym 2,3 Tidak ada 1,5 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 % Laporan Survei Calon Pemimpin Indonesia 2024 16 .
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