<<

Volume XVIII Number 3: May/June 2004

Rating Ronald Reagan A Look Back at News Coverage of the Reagan Presidency

How did the media treat the Reagan presidency? How does his coverage compare to that of his opponents and successors? This issue of Media Monitor examines Mr. Reagan's media image from 1980 through 1988, based on content analyses by CMPA and other scholars.

Major Findings:

The Candidate In 1980 Reagan and both got five times as many negative as positive comments on TV news. Page 2

But in 1984 Walter Mondale got a majority of good press, while judgments of Reagan sank to 10 to 1 negative. Page 2

Enter Reagan In 1981 the new administration’s coverage was over 2 to 1 negative. Page 3

Reagan’s policies fared even worse, running a 3 to 1 negative ratio in the national press; his foreign policy took the hardest hits. Page 4

Reagan, Clinton, and George W. Bush all got mostly negative coverage during their first year in office, but Reagan's was the worst. Page 3

The Incumbent In 1983 Reagan's "mid-term reviews" were 13 to 1 negative on TV News. Page 6

Gorbachev fared better than Reagan in coverage of their summit meetings. Page 5

Exit Reagan As a “lame duck” after the 1988 election, Reagan’s TV news coverage was 2 to 1 negative - about the same as when he entered office. Page 6 Rating Ronald W. Reagan Tone of Coverage -- Election Coverage

Presidential Election Coverage TV News Percent Positive 19801 19842 100%

80% Mondale 56% 60%

40% Reagan Carter Reagan 16% 20% 15% 9%

0%

-20%

-40%

-60% 44%

-80% 85% 84% -100% 91% Percent Negative

Both Ronald Reagan and Jimmy Carter received overwhelmingly negative coverage on TV news during the 1980 general election campaign. But in 1984 the Democratic challenger, Walter Mondale, received a majority of positive coverage, while Reagan's coverage was ten to one negative.

(To determine how much good or bad press a president receives, we note every positive or negative evaluation of their record, policies, personal character and performance. Our tallies include all on-air opinions expressed by sources and reporters, excluding neutral or ambiguous statements. For examples of evaluations see page 7.)

Note: In addition to our own studies, this Media Monitor draws on the work of former Georgetown political scientist Michael Robinson, who pioneered the statement-based scientific content analysis that was the original model for CMPA's political news studies. The references for the data represented in these tables appear on page eight.

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 2 Rating Ronald W. Reagan Tone of Coverage--First Year

Percent Positive Press

TV News3 Administration Personal

Clinton Clinton GW Bush 38% GW Bush Reagan 39% Reagan 40% 38% 40% 36% 34% 36%

20% 20%

0% 0%

National Press4 Administration Personal Reagan Clinton Clinton 40% GW Bush 40% 40% 39% 35% GW Bush 36% Reagan 31% 29%

20% 20%

0% 0%

During their first year in office, the Reagan administration received worse press than the Clinton and GW Bush administrations. Reagan personally fared worst on TV news but came out best in the New York Times and Washington Post.

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 3 Rating Ronald W. Reagan Tone of Coverage--First Year

Percent Positive Press TV News5 Domestic Policy Foreign Policy Clinton GW Bush GW Bush 40% Reagan 40% 38% Clinton 35% 35% 33% 32% Reagan 28%

20% 20%

0% 0%

National Press6 Domestic Policy Foreign Policy Clinton

40% 40% 38% Clinton GW Bush GW Bush 32% 32% 31% Reagan Reagan 24% 26%

20% 20%

0% 0%

The national press rated Reagan's foreign and domestic policies worse than those of Clinton and Bush. On TV news Reagan's foreign policies also got the lowest marks.

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 4 Rating Ronald W. Reagan Tone of Coverage -- The Summits

TV News9 Reagan vs. Gorbachev Percent Positive Evaluations

Washington Summit (1987) Moscow Summit (1988)

90% Gorbachev 79% Gorbachev 76% 75%

60% Reagan 47% Reagan 46% 45%

30%

15%

0%

Reagan received far worse press than his Soviet counterpart during the summit meetings in Washington, D.C. in 1987 and Moscow in 1988.

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 5 Rating Ronald W. Reagan Tone of Coverage -- Mid-term vs. Lame Duck

Snapshots of the Reagan Presidency

At Mid-term7 As Lame Duck8

93% Negative 65% Negative

7% Positive 35% Positive

A 1983 study by Robinson found that Ronald Reagan's press was 13 to 1 negative on TV news midway through his first term. CMPA studied Reagan's TV news coverage as a "lame duck" president, from election day 1988 to inauguration day 1989, when George H. W. Bush took office. The 2 to 1 negative ratio of evaluations suggests that the media's first look back at the Reagan presidency was far less laudatory than the coverage that followed his death in June 2004.

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 6 Rating Ronald W. Reagan Examples

Examples of evaluations:

Domestic Policy:

“Saying he’s [Reagan] balancing the budget while cutting bureaucracy... just shows where the insensitivity is and how removed he is from the lives of most people.” —day care center operator, NBC, 10/10/81

“While President Reagan was in St. Louis today speaking about an America on the mend, there was another America not far off... of 12 million unemployed, where the wounds are still too fresh and painful to mend.” —, CBS, 2/1/83

Elections:

“[Reagan's] campaign highlights the images and hides from the issues.” —, CBS, 10/04/84

“The president offered pomp and platitudes... a cynical campaign, manipulative.” —, NBC, 11/06/84

The Summits:

"The three images [of Reagan] are: he's an actor; he's a cowboy, and... he's a Rambo, some sort of wild man." —British professor, CBS, 6/3/88

“I think Mikhail Gorbachev is an outstanding statesman.” —Andre Sakharov, ABC, 6/3/88

Iran Contra:

“At best (his explanation of IranContra) tends to reinforce the notion that Mr. Reagan isn’t up to the job; at worst, the idea that he isn’t telling the truth.” —Sam Donaldson, ABC, 5/15/87

Transition to GHW Bush:

“Mr. Reagan got off to a bad start and ended badly.” —Vernon Jordan, Urban League, ABC, 1/14/89

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 7 Rating Ronald W. Reagan References

References:

1 Based on evaluations on the "CBS Evening News," January 1-November 3, 1980. From Robinson, M. J. & Sheehan, M. A. (1983). Over the Wire and on TV. New York: Russell Sage.

2 Based on evaluations on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news, Labor Day to Election Day, 1984. From Clancey, M. & Robinson, M. J., "General Election Coverage: Part I," Public Opinion, December-January 1985.

3 Based on evaluations made by sources and reporters on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news during the first year of each administration (1981, 1993, and 2001).

4 Based on evaluations appearing in front page stories of the New York Times and in 1981, 1993, and 2001.

5 Based on evaluations on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news during the first year of each administration in 1981, 1993, and 2001.

6 Based on evaluations appearing in front page stories of the New York Times and the Washington Post in 1981, 1993, and 2001.

7 Based on stories on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news January 1-February 28, 1983. From Robinson, M. J., Clancey, M.and Grand, L. "With Friends like These...," Public Opinion, June/July 1983.

8 Based on stories on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news Election Day 1988 to Inauguration Day 1989.

9 Based on evaluations on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news during the Washington, D.C. (11/ 30-12-10/87) and Moscow (5/22-6/5/88) summits.

Media Monitor (Copyright © 2004) is published bimonthly by the Center for Media and Public Affairs, a nonpartisan and nonprofit research organization. The Center conducts scientific studies of how the media treat social and political issues. Yearly individual and organizational subscriptions are available. Visit our home page at www.cmpa.com.

Editors: Dr. S. Robert Lichter Senior Research Fellow: Dr. Linda S. Lichter Trevor Butterworth Research Director: Production and Graphic: Daniel Amundson Mary Carroll Willi Political Studies Director: Director of Circulation: Mary Carroll Willi Keith Bundy Assistant Project Director: Media Director: Matt Curry Matthew T. Felling

© 2004 Media Monitor -- Page 8