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DOCUMENT RESUME ED 323 088 SE 051 538 AUTHOR Brown, Lester R.; And Others TITLE Stai-p of +110 WorlA 1990. A WorlAwatch Institute Report on Progress toward a Sustainable Society. INSTITUTION Worldwatch Inst., Washington, D.C. REPORT NO ISBN-0-393-30614-3 PUB DATE 90 NOTE 268p. AVAILABLE FROMW. W. Norton and Company, Inc., 500 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10110 ($9.95; hardcoverISBN-0-393-20788-0). PUB TYPE Books (010) -- Reports - Research/Technical (143) EDRS PRICE MF01/PC11 Plus Postage. DESCRIPTORS Air Pollution; *Conservation (Environment); Energy Conservation; *Environmental Education; *Global Approach; Higher Education; *International Cooperation; *Natural Resources; Postsecondary EducaLion; Productivity; Water IDENTIFIERS *Global Climate Change ABSTRACT As the world enters the last decade of the 20th century, tLe environmental problems facing human societies have been given increased emphasis in world policy debates. The goal of the Worldwatch Institute is to help raise the level of public understanding of global environmental threats to the point where the public will support policies needed to reverse these trends. This document focuses on major policy initiatives needed to stabilize the global environment for human civilization. In this seventh annual issue of the description of the status of global environmental problems, 10 issues are presented and discussed. These issues include:(1) progress and productivity; (2) global climate change; (3) global water supplies;(4) global food supplies;(5) sea level changes;(6) air quality;(7) global bicycle use;(8) poverty; (9) the proliferation of peace; and (10) efforts to sustain world resources. (CW) *********************************************************************** Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made from the original document. **************It******.***************************************A********* 00 Cri3 -c4 Lester R. Brown and Alan Durning Christopher Flavin Hilary French Jodi Jacobson Marcia Lowe Sandra Postel U S DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION Orke ot Educational Rosearch and Improvement "PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE THIS Michael Renner EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES INFORMATION TERIAL HAf.BEEN G NTED BY CENTER (ERIC) document has been reproduced as received from the person or organization ArokOcy (ls Linda Starke originating P Minor changes have been made to improve reproduction quality a Points of view, opinions stated in thisdocu- rr)John Young Men( do not necessarily reOreSent official TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES OER1Positon or policy INFORMA lION CENTER (ERIC)." AWoridwatch InstituteReporton Progress TowardaSustainable Society -REST COPY AVAILABLE 2 STATE OF THE WORLD 1990 Other Norton/Worldwatch Books Lester R. Brown et al. State of the World 1984 State of the World 1985 State of the World 1986 State of the World 1987 State of the World 1988 State of the World 1989 4 STATE OF THE WORLD 1990 AWorldwatch InstituteRetorton Progress TowardaSustainable Society PROJECT DIRECTOR SENIOR RESEARCHERS Lester R. Brown Lester R. Brown ASSOCIATE PROJECT Alan B. Durning DIRECTORS Christopher Flavin Christopher Flavin Jodi Jacobson Sandra Postel Sandra Postel EDITOR Michael Rennei Linda Starke RESEARCHERS Hilary E French Marcia D. Lowe John E.Young WW.NORTON & COMPANY NEW YORK LONDON 5 Copyught © 1990 by Worldwatch Institute All rights ieseived Printed in the United StatesorAmin Ica ISBN 0-393-20788-0 ISBN 0-393-3G614-3 {PBK.} W W. Nol ton & Compa, Inc..500 Fifth Avenue. New Yot k, N.Y. 10110 W. W Norton & Company Ltd.. 37Great Russell Street. London WCIB 3NU 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 s WORLD WATCH INSTITUTE BOARD OF DIRECTORS Orville L. Freeman, Chairman Mahbub ul Hag UNITED STATES PAKISTAN Andrew E. Rice, Vice Chairman Hazel Henderson UNITED STATES UNITED STATES Lester R. Brown (Ex Officio) Anne-Marie Holenstein UNITED STATES SWITZERLAND Carlo M. Cipolla Abd-E1 Rahman Khane ITALY ALGERIA Edward S. Cornish Larry Minear UNITED STATES UNITED STATES Lynne Gallagher UNITED STATES WORLDWATCH INSTITUTE STAFF Holly Brough Jennifer Hamilton Lester R. Brown Jodi Jacobson Denise Byers Steven R. Kaufman Linda Doherty Reah Janise Kauffman Stephen Dujack Nicholas Lenssen Alan B. Durning Marcia D. Lowe Christopher Flavin Meri McCoy-Thompson Hilary F. French Sandra Postel Guy Gorman Michael Renner James Gorman John Ryan Barbara Granzen John E. Young Blondeen Gravely Howard Youth Joseph Gravely OFFICERS Lester R. Brown Christopher Flavin PRESIDENT Sandra Poste! Blondeen Gravely VICE PRESIDENTS, RESEARCH ;CE PRESIDENT, ADMINISTRATION AND FINANCE Acknowledgments State of the Worldhas become something provided by the United Nations Popula- of an institution. Each year it is used by tion Fund and, through the Sasakawa governments and citizens throughout Environment Prize, the United Nations the world as a sort of touchstone of Environment Programme. progress in the search for a sustainable Chapters of this year's edition were course on the planet. But its growing reviewed on a moment's notice by a host statur- makes its production none the of scholars outside the institute. Among easier. them were James Broadus, Chris Cal- Dozens of people labored in one way well, Robert Chambers, Andy Clarke, or another to make possible this year's Mohamed El-Ashry, Malin Falkenmaik, edition. Our exceptional crew of re- Jonathan Feldman, Ellen Fletcher, Frank search assistants undertakes the Sisy- Gable, Graham Giese, Peter Gleick, phean task of tracking developments in Ralph Hirsch, Ken Hughes, Charles Ko- dozens of fieldsimultaneously. For manoff, Michael Lipton, Philip Micklin, their enthusiasm and fresh insight we John Milliman, Setty Pendakur, Paul thank Holly Brough (Chapters 8 and 9), Quigley, W. Robert Rangeley, Michael Meri McCoy-Thompson (Chapter 5), Replogle, Peter Sand, Mark Svendsen, and John Ryan (Chapters 3 and 10). For and Fiona Weir. Our thanks go to them their exceptional endurance and sea- all. sonedinstincts,wethankNicholas While the research staff labored on Lenssen (Chapters 2 and 10) and John preparingState of the World 1990,our ca- Young (Chapters 1 and 10). pable administrative and financial staff, TheState of the Wolldseries Las bene- skillfully guided by Vice President Blon- fited from the unflagging suppo,of a deen Gravely, kept sales ofState of the core group of funders from its inception. Wolld 1989flowing briskly and managed principally, The Rockefeller Brothers the massive daily tide of letters and tele- Fund and Winthrop Rockefeller Trust. phone calls. Linda Doherty' (in-house re- In addition, the report draws on re- cycling coordinator) saw to it that tens of search funded by several foundations, thousands of publications orders coin- includingtheGeraldineR.Dodge, ing in were quickly filled. Guy Gorman George Gund, William and Flora Hew l- distributed millions of facts among the ett, W. Alion Jones, William D. and researchers as he maintained our el er Catherine T. MacArthur, Andrew W. expanding library. And Reah Janise Mellon, Curtis and Edith Munson, Ed- Kauffman deftly managed our growing ward John Noble, Jessie Smith Noyes, computer network, all the while shoul- Public Welfare, and Rockefeller founda- dering the heavy burden of assisting the tions. Additional research funding was Institute's President. These Worldwatch Acknowledgments veterans were joined by gifted neyy com- ton & Company in Neu York, u ho ac- ers Joseph GraYely , Steye Kaufman, and commodate out idiosy nuacies uithout Barbara Granzen along with part-timer complaint, and to Bart Brou n, indexer Jennifer Hamilton. par excellence, for his speedy work with Director of Communications Stephen our page proofs. Dujack, assisted ably by Denise By ers, The cy cle of birth and death has been edited the Worldwatch Paper series, deeply felt in our small community this oversaw a hectic mailing schedule, and year. Joy.ously, yy elcomed a daughter facilitated relations with publishers, re- to Cynthia Pollock Shea and a son to porters, and citizens on every continent Michael Renner. Our y oungest research (exceptAntarctica). James Gorman, assistants have already been put to work aided by Howard Youth (in-house orni- proving that disposable diapers are ao thologist), carried the banncr of our better than cloth. award-winning magazine World Watch Sadly, we bid farewell to Felix Gorrell, during the onslaught of State of the World treasurer since Worldwatch's Yell incep- production. tion in 1974. More than just our trea- Some long-standing members of our surer, he was initially a midwife, helping team severed ties with the institute this bring the Institute into the world, and year to pursue other ambitions. Among then a godfather, always there with ad- them was Susan Norris, who retreated ice when we needed it. Over the y ears, from urban life to the farm country of he ceaselessly went beyond the call of southern Virginia. Cynthia Pollock Shea, duty to see that our resources were se- now in Calgary, Canada, divides her time cure, well invested, and carefully moni- between motherhood and Worldwatch, tored. This s o 1 um e is dedicated to his and Lori Heise is on a year's sabbatical memory; in it, we aspire to his unique doing health work with Indian women in blend ofis i o n and pragmatism. Guatemala. We owe a debt of gratitude to Iva Lestei R. Thown, Christopher Flavin, Ashner and Andy Marasia at W.W. Nor- and Sandra Postel Contents List of Tables and Figures xi 4 FeeCing the World in the Nineties, Acknowledgments Vii byLesleiR. Brown and John E. Young 59 Foreword xv DEGRADATION A FFECTING I IAR VESTS I The Illusion of Progress, by Lesley I? LAND, WATER, AND FERTI LIZER Mown 3 BIOTEC IINO LOGY: A LIMITED THE EARTH 'S DECLINING CONTRIBUTION PRODUCTIVITY TH E SOVIET AGRICULTURAL RECALCULATING ECO NOM IC PROSPECT PROGRESS A TOUGH DECADE AHEAD THE BOTFOM LINE A POLITICAL AWAKEN! NG 5 Holding Back the Sea, by Jodi L. Jacobson 79 GLOBAL CHA NGES, LOCAL 2 Slowing Global Warming, OUTCOMES by Unstop/lei Flavin 17 LANDS AND PEOPLES AT RISK TII E GLOBAL CA RBON BUDGET MOST VULNERABLE, LEAST ALTERNATIVES TO FOSSIL FUELc RESPONSI BLE SUPPORT FOR THE TRANSITION PAVING BY THE METER OTHER GREENHOUSE STRATEGIES PLANNING AHEAD A NATIONAL AND GLOBAL POLICY A GEN DA 6 Clearing the Air, by Ildai) F.