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Automotive Sector Is a Foresight Study on the Future Possibilities of the Automotive Industry, Both Locally and Globally, As the World Moves Towards the Year 2050

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Automotive Sector Is a Foresight Study on the Future Possibilities of the Automotive Industry, Both Locally and Globally, As the World Moves Towards the Year 2050 FINAL REPORT AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY SECTOR CONTENTS Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... i Chapter 1: Overview of Malaysia Industry ...................................................................................................1 1.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................1 1.2 Background of the Malaysian Automotive Industry ......................................................................2 1.3 Industrialisation Initiatives ...........................................................................................................3 1.3.1 Industrial Development Ecosystem .......................................................................................3 1.3.2 Initiatives from Early Years of Malaysia ..............................................................................6 1.3.3 Fundamental weaknesses in the Malaysian Industrialisation Ecosystem .............................7 1.3.4 Role of governmental institutions .........................................................................................9 1.3.5 Critical Gaps in the Malaysian Industrial Ecosystem Moving Forward ............................10 1.3.6 National Automotive Policy (NAP) 2014 ............................................................................17 1.4 Economic and Social Contributions by the Local Automotive Industry .....................................19 1.5 A Glance into the Future – Demand for Automobiles .................................................................24 1.6 Future anticipation .....................................................................................................................29 1.6.1 Fundamental technologies ..................................................................................................29 1.6.2 Automotive industry disruptive trends ................................................................................31 Chapter 2: Automotive Foresight - 2050 ....................................................................................................33 2.1 Overview of the Automotive Trend (2020 to 2050) ....................................................................33 2.1.1 In the near future: Year 2020 ..............................................................................................33 2.1.2 The Next Decade: Year 2030 ..............................................................................................35 2.1.3 Two decades onward: Year 2040 ........................................................................................36 2.1.4 Mobility in the Year 2050 ....................................................................................................37 2.1.5 The Journey to the Future ...................................................................................................39 2.1.6 The Disruptive Technologies ..............................................................................................40 2.2 Potential Impacts on Automotive ................................................................................................41 2.2.1 Transportation Infrastructure .............................................................................................41 2.2.2 Potential Geopolitics and Economic Impact .......................................................................42 2.2.3 Culture and Social Implications .........................................................................................44 2.2.4 Automotive Training and Educational Requirement ...........................................................46 2.2.5 Disruptive Technologies and the Focus Areas ....................................................................49 2.3 Market Entrance Timeline – Foresight .......................................................................................52 2.3.1 Global Demand foresight for Energy Efficient Vehicles (EEVs) ........................................53 2.4 Establishing Timeline ..................................................................................................................55 2.4.1 Global Projection of vehicle stock towards 2050 ...............................................................55 2.4.2 Global Projection of vehicle “Total Industry Volume (TIV)” towards 2050 .....................62 a 2.4.3 Timeline ...............................................................................................................................66 Chapter 3: Stakeholders Engagement .........................................................................................................66 3.1 Government, Academia and Industry Engagement Workshops ...................................................66 3.2 Short Term 2016 – 2026..............................................................................................................67 3.3 Medium Term 2027 - 2038 ..........................................................................................................69 3.4 Long Term 2039-2050 .................................................................................................................70 3.5 The Scenario ...............................................................................................................................70 Chapter 4: Governance ...............................................................................................................................74 4.1 Environment ................................................................................................................................74 4.2 Businesses and Trades ................................................................................................................77 4.3 Labour .........................................................................................................................................83 4.5 Standardisation and Certifications .............................................................................................85 4.6 Promotion of FCVs .....................................................................................................................85 4.7 Institute relevant support infrastructure .....................................................................................86 Chapter 5: Cross-referencing Between Sectors ..........................................................................................88 5.1 Transportation Sector .................................................................................................................88 5.2 Energy Sector ..............................................................................................................................88 5.3 Electronic and Electrical Sector .................................................................................................89 5.4 Housing Sector ............................................................................................................................90 5.5 Infrastructure Sector ...................................................................................................................91 5.6 Environment Sector .....................................................................................................................92 5.7 Plastic and Composite Sector .....................................................................................................92 5.8 Tourism Sector ............................................................................................................................93 5.9 Agriculture Sector .......................................................................................................................93 Chapter 6: Talent Development ..................................................................................................................95 6.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................95 6.2 NAP 2014 Human Capital Initiative ...........................................................................................96 6.3 The Initiatives of Enhancing Human Capital Development .......................................................97 6.4 Malaysian Skill Certificate..........................................................................................................97 6.5 National Occupational Skills Standards (NOSS) ........................................................................99 6.6 R & D & C Workers ..................................................................................................................100 Chapter 7: Research, Development & Commercialization .......................................................................103 7.1 Introduction ...............................................................................................................................103 7.2 R&D and S&T Priority Areas for Local Automotive industry ..................................................104 7.3 Relationships between Science & Technology,Research,Development & Commercialization 107 7.4 Automotive R&D Priority Areas ...............................................................................................109 7.5 R & D & C Funding Mechanism ..............................................................................................110
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