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Conerence Entitled "Understanding Population Change: *United States

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AUTHOR Roseman-, Curti And Others TITLE Population Redistribution in the Mi wes INSTITUTION North 'central Regional Center for Ru al Development Ames,. Iowa. 1PONS -AGENgY --Department-of Agriculture, WashingtoA C. PUB DATE Nay 81 . NOTE 22BR.: 'Papers were ofiginally presented at a conerence entitled "Understanding Population Change: Issuei and Consequences of Population Redistribution ' in the Midwest" (Champaign, IL, Birch 12, 1979). EDPS PRICE MF01/PC10 Plus Postage. DESCRIPTORS Decentraliiation: *Demography: Employment Patterns: Geography: Indubtry: Land Use: Migrants: *Migration' Patterns: Politics: *Population Distribution: Public Policy: Research Needs: *Rural Ardasi *Urban to Rural Migtation IDENTIFI *United States (Midwest ABSTRACT The-ninechapter0-in the book f4dus on the 1970s' metropolitan to-4nOnmetropolitan migration stream and address both population -patterns and`'-prooesses and the impacts and policy issues associated with the result-in-q, popUlation'redistribution in the Midwest. Peter A. Morrison places the Midwest in the national context of changing population structure and redistribution. John R Borchert traces the,Ilistorical and geographic forCeS which have shaped the 'current'patterts.:CalvinL.. Bealeand Glenn V. Fuguittfocus. on deiographicaspedtt Mf,redistribution'in.W Midwest. Ralph R. 'lifter' and Richard W. Buxbaum place Midwest trends in a policy context. Andrew J. Sofranko, James D. Williams, and prederick C. Fliegel disduss. a survey offecent migrantS to fastzgrowing Midwest' nonmetropolitan areas. RiehardLonsdale documents the decentralization trend in manufacturing employment and. its role, in population redistribution. David Bdtry-examinesthe:significance-of land cOnverSton:from rural to 'urban uses. Alvin D. Sokolov addresses - the localpolitical implications\of recent small town growth. ,Laurence S. ROsen.outlines and analyzes methods and data needed for population pitolectiOns.-- fAuthOt,SEI --_*****#****** ********. *.***_*********-. ** *** ***** Reprodu--tions supplied by EARS are the best that can be made from-the original -document. ***** *****. *************************** **** -41"' mr-Et ourimiPmvnx'-'11r- TNCENTRALREGION/u_CENTER FOR RURAL DEVELOPMENT iservirTMENT or Tion NISSI @N TO REPRODUCE THIS NATIONAL iNstiTuTE OFevuuM00. RIAL. HAS_REEN GRANTED SY EDUCATIONAL REROURCER !NFORMAT1ON CENTER (ERIC) _ThivdocomoRtAxiis000 roproducod es rived from the person orotoenlisiiin originetirte it. outdo to imptoue LI Minor chomps' Vtavo beim repr9doction tmelity. o Point!' M view or oginvine TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES oHiciEf NIE INFORMATION CENTER IERICL" went do'not neKostiottly roottotoot tion of' PONY: _ 'NA Curtis C. Roseman, University of Illinois Co drew J. Sofranko, University of Illinois ' D. Williams, New Mexico State Unive The'cbapters this book were developed from papers presented at- ±rifer entitledUnderstanding Population Change: Issues and Consequences of blcitiori Redistribution in the Midwest, which Was held March 12-14, 1979 _ . Champaign,: Illinois; The Conference was sponsored cooperatively by the North Central Regional Center for Rural DevelopmenA Iowa State Univers and the University of Illinois, This project was partially funded by This V, Rural Deve and the grant provisidhs of P. L.- ,9106. The North Central Regional Center for Rural Development progra ported by funds under. Title V of the Rural Development Act of 197 are able to everyone without regard to race color, sea, or national origin. siting, Iowa State University The previous numbered page in the original document was blank. One e Transitiion to Zero Population Growth ip the Midwest I ter A. Morrienn ChapterTv Geog raphicalifts in Midwestern Population in the Twentieth Century John R Borchert 25 Chapter Three Demographic PersPectives on Mid Population Redistribution . Calvin L. Beale and Glenn V. Fugllitt . ... ,49' chapter Four The Implications of Population Change for Public Policy in the Midwest Ralph R Widner and Richard W. Buxbatun Chapter Five Urban Migrants to the Rural Midwest.: Some Understandings and' Misunderstandings drew J. &frank), James D. Williams and Frederick C. Fliegel 97 Chapter Six Industry's Role in Nonmetropolitan Economic Development and Population Ch Richard E. Lonsdale = 129 Chapter Seven Population Redistribution and Con licts in LandUseA Midwestern Perspective David Berry 149 Chapter Eight , Local Politics an the TurnaroundMigration Min: Newcomer-Oldii er Relations in S 1 Communities Alvin D. Sokolov 109 Chipter Nine Availability.Of Recent Data on Migration and Population Distribution: Migrati n Estimation and. Population Projection Pre_ bl Laurence S. Rosen 191 Author Information 222 The previous numbefed pago, In the original documentwatp(rt FOREWORD The Issue Miring the 1970s, dramatic changes occurred in the, patterns of 1-population distribution within the United, States and :within many other countries of the world. These have been largely the product of changing internal Migration pattern& For the first time in recent historY the United Statei, the inetropolitan-to-nonmetropolitin migration stream was larger numerically than the stream toward metropolitan areas. This "turnaround" ib net direction of migration was the product of reduced, metropolitan-bound migration, but more importantly; it resulted from major increases in metropolitan-to- nonme tropol i tan.mi gra Um. Reasons for the turnaround are varied but tend- to center on three basic factors: (1) the continuing decentralization of employ ment, in the secondary-sector, as well as in the expanding tertiary sector and the emerging quattrnary sector; (2) the increases in the numbers of people in the United :States who are relatively "free" to move, including elderly retirees and (3) the widespread preferences for living in smaller towns and rural areas. Because of the recent migration trend& the number of areas in the. United States now experiencing growth is greater than at any ,other time in the last several decades (see Chapter 2). The implica- tions of such widespread new and often unexpected, growth are far- reaching, including the sudden need and/or demand for new or ex Ipanded local services and facilities, and the changing geographic dimension of the demand for social services which is being felt by national, state, and local governments. I The thrust of research in the 1970s has been directed toward docuinenting,verifying,andinterpretingthepopula ion 'turriaround."iBut, while the turnaround'has been given early nd )videspread attention, there is still need for continued monitoring, imderstanding, the relationship between it and various societal con- editions, and addressing its implications for rural areas. The agenda for the 1980s should be enlarged to encompass these needs and in particular to address the impacts and policy issues which are likely to accompany the turnaround. This volunie bridges the concerns of the two decades by presenting a series of analyses which address both the population patterns and processes and the impacts and policy issues associated with the turnaround. The chapters in this volume, which focus on the Midwest (including the states indicated in Figure 4.2), were originally presented at a conference entitled "Understanding Population Change: Issues and Consequences of Population Redistribution in the Midwest," held at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in March 1979. The focus on the Midwest is appropriate because the recent trends are of major significance to the region, both in terms of its growth relative to the nation as a whole, and/in terms of population redistribution within the region. Theprevious numbered page in" the original document was blank. is L' The Contents The chapters in this volume can be grouped into two brdad categories. The first four embrace bread demographic, geographic, historical, and policy aspects of the recent population redistribution patterns. In the first contributien, Moirrison placeis the,,. Midivest_ in the national context of changing population structure and Te- distribution. This is followed by Borchert'Borchert'research, which traces the historiCal and geographic forces which ave shaped the current . patterns: In the third chapter, Beale and guitt focus on demo- graphic aspects of redistribution within theregion,7 .whilerin Chapter 4 Widner and Buxbaum situate Midwest trends within a policy crn text. The second group of ' t hapters exaniines in depth a set of particular issues which hayemerged along, with the population turnaround in the Midwest Sofranktil,-Williams, and .Fliegel discuss results of an extensive survey of recent migrants to fast-growing nonmetropolitan__aressAmithiri-the_regionsdalethexi_docunienta____ the decentralization -trend in manufacturing employment and its role in population redistribution. In Chapter 7, Berry examines the portance and implications of land conversion from rural to urban while in Chapter 8 Sokolow addresses the local politkal im- pacts of recent growth of small towns:4n the final chapter, Rosen outlines methods and data needed fdr population projections and points out theirystrengtha and weaknesses. The chapters represent 'Important statements, by experts in several social science fields, per- taining to several of the fundamental population redistribution is- sues facing the Midwest and the nation, The'Conterence The March 1979 conference, held in Champaign, Illinois, was sponsored by the North Central Regional Center for Rural Develop- ment, and by the Department tor Geography,
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