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Regional Energy Demand Report 3.1.2 3sCE417P3 Introduction of Regional Energy Concepts Regional Energy Demand Report 3.1.2 publicity July 2013, The Polish National Energy Conservation Agency; public Consulted with: Michał Elertowicz internet Bartosz Dubiński print non public This project is implemented through the CENTRAL EUROPE Programme co-financed by the ERDF The sole responsibility for the content of this [webpage, publication etc.] lies with the authors. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the European Communities. The European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein. Table of contents 1. Energy demand model in Mazowsze region ................................................................... 3 1.1. Region description .............................................................................................. 3 1.2. Geography .......................................................................................................... 7 1.3. Economy ........................................................................................................... 13 1.4. Environment and climate .................................................................................. 17 1.5. Social infrastructure .......................................................................................... 18 2. Definition of methodology for research execution .................................................. 19 2.1. Definition „Desk research” ................................................................................ 19 2.2. Information sources .......................................................................................... 20 2.3. Description of respondents ............................................................................... 20 3. Energy demand ...................................................................................................... 22 3.1. Households ....................................................................................................... 26 3.2. Industry and trade............................................................................................. 28 3.3. Transport .......................................................................................................... 30 3.4. Public sector demand ........................................................................................ 33 4. Analyses of hazards and obstacles related to key report results .............................. 34 5. Project results ........................................................................................................ 36 6. References ............................................................................................................. 37 2 3sCE417P3 – 3.1.2, Regional Energy Demand Report introduction of Regional Energy Concepts 1. Energy demand model in Mazowsze region 1.1. Region description Region description Name: Mazowsze Region classification according to NUTS 2: Mazowsze voivodeship the Nomenclature of Territorial Units NUTS 3 : Warsaw for Statistics (NUTS) Population profile - number of 5 285 604 residents residents Statistics on employed persons 2 166 898 residents (data as of 2011, Central Statistical Office (GUS), Warsaw, 2012) The Mazowsze Voivodeship comprises 42 county districts (37 townships and 5 country districts). County districts are divided into 314 communes - 35 - urban, 50 - urban- country and 229 country communes [1]. The capital of Poland - Warsaw - is located within the territory of the Mazowsze voivodeship. The capital city is a commune - city county - (Polish: Miasto na prawach powiatu, lit. city with county rights) is a city in Poland that has the status of a county (Polish: powiat). Warsaw is divided into 18 districts which maintain their individual character and compose the entire image of the city. The districts are as follows: Bemowo, Białołęka, Bielany, Mokotów, Ochota, Praga Południe, Praga Północ, Rembertów, Śródmieście, Targówek, Ursus, Ursynów, Wawer, Wesoła, Wilanów, Włochy, Wola, Żoliborz [2]. The Mazowsze area, thanks to its location, is one of the most interesting regions in Poland. Location of Mazowsze around Warsaw, the capital city functions of Warsaw, large population and economy potential, dynamic market of products, services and labour, unpolluted area of nature including the Kampinos Forest, the Kozienicka Forest, the Biała Forest, as well as six landscape parks and over a thousand nature reserves make Mazowsze "the heart" of Poland in which all of the most important "life" processes of Polish economy gather. Population profile Current population of Mazowsze reaches over 5 million. It is the largest region in Poland in terms of population with young and well educated population [3]. 64% of overall population are the residents of cities. Remaining 36% are the residents of countryside. Similarly to entire country, it is women who dominate in the Mazowsze 3 3sCE417P3 – 3.1.2, Regional Energy Demand Report introduction of Regional Energy Concepts Voivodeship. There are 3.6% of women more than men. An average lifetime of residents of the Mazowsze Voivodeship is higher than the average in Poland. Data on population in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2011 are presented in table 1 and figure 1. Table 1. Population of Mazowsze Detailed list 2000 2005 2010 2011 as of 31.12.2012. Overall 5115010 5157729 5267072 5285604 Cities 3307907 3338255 3380942 3393043 Villages 1807103 1819474 1886130 1892561 Source: „Rocznik Statystyczny województwa mazowieckiego 2012”, Urząd Statystyczny w Warszawie, Warszawa, 2012. Source: „Rocznik Statystyczny województwa mazowieckiego 2012”, Urząd Statystyczny w Warszawie, Warszawa, 2012. Fig. 1. Population of Mazowsze 13.1% of population of Poland inhabits Mazowsze which makes the region the most populated voivodeship. This is where the largest city of Poland - Warsaw - is located as well. Its population reaches around 18 million including adjacent towns - 2.5 million [4]. One can define 2 areas of Warsaw conurbation as an urban complex. The functional-spatial complex – 1st area (Metropolitan Area of Warsaw) comprises Warsaw and: Legionowo, Marki, Ząbki, Zielonka, Kobyłka, Wołomin, Sulejówek, Józefów,Otwock, Karc zew, Konstancin-Jeziorna, Piaseczno, Piastów, Pruszków, Ożarów Mazowiecki, Łomianki. Whereas 2nd area is a functional area, namely towns from the area 1 and: Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki, Radzymin, Góra Kalwaria, Milanówek, Brwinów, Podkowa Leśna, Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Błonie, Halinów, Jabłonna. 4 3sCE417P3 – 3.1.2, Regional Energy Demand Report introduction of Regional Energy Concepts The voivodeship is inhabited by 5 285 604 persons which makes it the top scorer in terms of population in Poland. The Mazowsze Voivodeship was one of four voivodeships in Poland (along with Pomorskie, Małopolskie and Wielkopolskie), in which - compared to 2009 - relatively the highest increase of population (over 0.3 %) was noticed [5]. Typical farmland county s of Mazowsze: Siedlce, Ostrołęka and Płock countys. The lowest population inhabited in the country are characteristic of: Wołomin, Żyrardów and Otwock countys [6]. Demography A process of suburbanisation is something one can observe in the Mazowsze voivodeship which concentrated population strongly in the capital city suburban area with simultaneous depopulation of its peripheral areas. Settlement network map of the Mazowsze voivodeship is presented on figure 2. Migration of population - table 2. Source: „Strategia rozwoju Województwa Mazowieckiego do 2030 r., Inteligentne Mazowsze, Projekt, Warszawa, 2012”. Developed by MBPR according to GUS data. 5 3sCE417P3 – 3.1.2, Regional Energy Demand Report introduction of Regional Energy Concepts Fig. 2 Settlement network map Table 2. Internal and external migrations of population for permanent residence (2005, 2010, 2011) Detailed Influx Efflux list Balance from from from to overall cities villages abroad overall to cities villages abroad migration IN ABSOLUTE NUMBERS Overall 2005 70922 45802 24147 973 55837 30758 24644 408 15085 2010 70897 46292 23323 1282 57520 30595 26333 292 13377 2011 70042 45132 23469 1441 55688 30099 24802 797 14354 Cities 2005 44910 28169 15911 830 35667 18421 16865 381 9243 2010 42885 26913 14919 1053 37845 18690 18640 515 5040 2011 43814 27064 15575 1175 36101 18074 17365 662 7713 Villages 2005 26012 17633 8236 143 20170 12364 7779 27 5842 2010 28012 19379 8404 229 19675 11905 7693 77 8337 2011 26228 18068 7894 266 19587 12025 7437 125 6641 Source: „Rocznik Statystyczny Województwa Mazowieckiego 2012”, Urząd Statystyczny w Warszawie, Warszawa, 2012. According to the data presented by Central Statistical Office (GUS) in 2011, efflux of population from the Mazowsze region reached 55 837 citizens and influx 70 042. Positive migration balance results from the fact that this area provides a huge opportunity for promotion and much higher salary. One of the trends applies to citizens of neighbouring towns moving in to the capital city. These towns are as follows: Siedlce, Ciechanów and other towns near Warsaw, which recently almost became districts of Warsaw. Citizens of the Lublin Voivodeship troubled by unemployment of the Ściana Wschodnia move to the Mazovia more frequently. The capital city attracts people dreaming of carriers in large corporations, as well as people employed in services. Yet another trend is related to citizens of large towns of Mazowsze voivodeship. One can easily notice a second trend. Due to improved financial situation numerous citizens do plan to move to quieter
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