For Intelligent Mobility
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TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY | 2016 FOR INTELLIGENT MOBILITY Think big, take small steps, learn fast. 2 “We need to make sure that Catapults insert themselves into the existing British institutional nexus, are close to market and have diverse sources of funding to ensure both their resilience and sensitivity to real business challenges.” Will Hutton, “Catapult to Success” The Transport Systems Catapult The way we move people and goods (TSC) has been established to around the globe is undergoing a create an environment that will radical change. It is being driven make the UK a world leader in by technological advances such as transport systems innovation. wireless communications, smart Our mission is to drive UK global devices, Open Data, the Internet leadership in Intelligent Mobility of Things and more recently (IM) – promoting sustained artificial intelligence. The digital economic growth and wellbeing transformation of transport is creating through integrated, efficient and sustainable transport amazing opportunities as well as significant challenges. systems. Intelligent Mobility gives the UK a tremendous The UK is well placed to take advantage of these momentous opportunity but, to take advantage of this, there needs changes and should aspire to be at the forefront of the global to be a shared vision with strong links and collaboration Intelligent Mobility (IM) market, estimated to be worth around across industry, academia and government. £900bn by 2025. The challenge is to acknowledge the uncertainty surrounding existing means of transport and to enable the The launch of this Technology Strategy marks an important transition towards a better future. We need to embrace change, milestone for the TSC. Following many months of work, we are collaborate and focus our investment towards areas where the pleased to be publishing our view of the global opportunities UK has the best chance of succeeding on a global stage. and to be highlighting where the UK needs to focus in order to maximise the economic potential of Intelligent Mobility innovation The TSC has an exciting mission and our market-aligned Technology and technologies. We hope that this document will help to foster Strategy will guide our work over the next few years. It captures a shared vision and direction for all organisations interested in eight Intelligent Mobility goals that will provide clear direction for Intelligent Mobility. all those working in this field. We also identify the market sectors where we believe the UK can compete on a global scale, and we In developing this Technology Strategy, we have consulted widely define the assets that are needed to make the UK the leading place with our stakeholders, customers and partners. We are grateful to develop new Intelligent Mobility products and services. for their invaluable insights. Our next step will be to work closely with the Intelligent Mobility community to deliver the vision This high-level view of the TSC’s Technology Strategy is also outlined in this document. supported by detailed research that addresses market alignment, UK capabilities and roadmaps. I encourage all our stakeholders to Together, and with a shared vision, the Intelligent Mobility engage with us and take full advantage of our online repository community can positively impact the UK economy by driving with its wealth of resources for the benefit of all organisations transport innovation and boosting UK business competitiveness. participating in the growth of the Intelligent Mobility market. Steve Yianni Paul Zanelli Chief Executive Officer Chief Technology Officer TSC VISION TSC MISSION To create an environment that will make the UK Drive UK global leadership in intelligent a world leader in transport systems innovation. mobility promoting sustained economic growth and wellbeing through integrated, efficient and sustainable transport systems. Transport Systems Catapult Technology Strategy 2016 3 THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORT: A NEW ERA OF OPPORTUNITY AND CHALLENGE THAT IMPACTS EVERYONE Transport in 2030 will look very different The opportunity for the UK is to be at the forefront of innovation in new transport products and services. This will not only improve than it does today. Intelligent Mobility transport in the UK but also better enable UK industry to capture a will have a profound impact on the way we large share of the fast growing global Intelligent Mobility market. move people and goods around the globe. The challenge is to navigate through existing uncertainties To create a people-centred, smart, around the future of transport in such a way as to not hinder sustainable and safe travel system, we progress. The UK needs to embrace this challenge and turn it need to prepare for the opportunity and into its biggest opportunity. challenge ahead. Sustainability can’t be like some We’re asking ourselves how we use innovation sort of a moral sacrifice or political to allow Ford to help tackle some of these dilemma or a philanthropical cause. large societal issues around congestion and It has to be a design challenge. A developed country transportation. And that is why we’re thinking Bjarke Ingels, Architect is not a place where of ourselves as not only a car and truck the poor have cars. company, but also as a mobility company. It’s where the rich use Mark Fields, CEO Ford public transportation. Mayor of Bogota, Colombia More change to come in the next 5 -10 years than in the last 50 years. Transport will be hit by a tsunami wave of Mary Marra, CEO General Moters change on par with the digital revolution in communications. Soon, commuters will be able to purchase mobility plans, as they would a cell phone service, at rates according to their needs. Together we will build People may outlaw Sampo Hietanen, CEO MaaS Finland a better future by driving cars because redefining traditional it’s too dangerous. car ownership. Elon Musk, Entrepreneur John Zimmer, Co-founder of Lyft If we can get you a car The key word for in five minutes, we can transportation in the get you anything in 21st century is choice. five minutes. Anthony Foxx, US Secretary We still live by the Electric cars are Travis Kalanick, CEO Uber of State for Transportation rules of the industry going to be very when the phone was important for urban created. But we live in transportation. the smartphone era and Carlos Ghosn, Renault things need to catch up. In the decades to I believe public Beth Stevens, Sidecar come, filling up a transport has a great car with petrol will future, it has a major sound as backwards role to play in helping as the horse and Europe and the rest Intelligent Mobility market is forecast cart is today. of the world meet to reach £900 billion globally by 2025, Richard Branson, Virgin the challenge of which corresponds to about 1 percent climate change. of the projected global GDP. Brian Souter, Transport Systems Catapult Founder of Stagecoach ARE YOU READY? Transport Systems Catapult Technology Strategy 2016 4 PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE: TAKING A MORE TARGETED APPROACH TO EXPLOITING INTELLIGENT MOBILITY OPPORTUNITIES Intelligent Mobility is not an incremental over the coming decade – with the exception of the autonomous vehicles segment, which is predicted to grow at 58% over the advance that supports or maintains the same period. status quo; instead it represents a radical overhaul of the entire transport market. This Technology Strategy assesses the UK’s capability in these market segments to better understand the UK’s competitive The UK must not just participate in this, advantage and to identify where investment would achieve but aspire to be at the forefront. the greatest impact. The methodology we used has been independently verified - we have selected market segments that are already large (or where growth rates are forecast to be large), Intelligent Mobility is the future of transport. It is about and in which the UK has significant strengths. harnessing innovation and emerging technologies to create more integrated, efficient and sustainable transport systems. It marks an exciting meeting point between traditional transport The Intelligent Mobility market size is not due and the new products and services that are emerging as we start to new spend but a redistribution of the market to exploit vast amounts of multi-layered data. As such it offers spend away from traditional transport to us a remarkable opportunity to make much more efficient use of networks and to revolutionise transport, all driven by the needs Mobility as a Service. of the end user. Market segments where the UK should focus its efforts include: Intelligent Mobility is also an exciting global market with immense intermodal smart ticketing; security, resilience, safety and cyber potential that the TSC has broken down into constituent market security; Internet of Things asset management; monitoring and segments. Each segment is associated with an extrapolated management systems; data management and analysis; data Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of between 5% and 25% collection and communication platforms; and autonomous vehicles. £100.0bn DATA COLLECTION DATA MANAGEMENT THE DIAMETER OF THE & COMMUNICATION PLATFORMS & ANALYSIS BUBBLES REPRESENTS CAGR £77.8bn | 19% £76.8bn | 19% £80.0bn MONITORING & MANAGEMENT M-commerce Connected Vehicle Products SYSTEMS FOR ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE £49.0bn | 13% £48.2bn | 21% £44.7bn | 23% £60.0bn IOT ASSET MANAGEMENT (ROAD) £47.1bn | 9% Monitoring, Modelling & Visualisation for Software Design £38.4bn | 10% SECURITY, RESILIENCE, SAFETY & CYBER SECURITY