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PPCR Investment Plan for Madagascar

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PPCR Investment Plan for Madagascar PPCR/SC.21/8 November 13, 2017 Meeting of the PPCR Sub-Committee Washington D.C. Tuesday, December 12 – Wednesday, December 13, 2017 Agenda Item 8 PPCR STRATEGIC PROGRAM FOR CLIMATE RESILIENCE FOR MADAGASCAR PROPOSED DECISION The PPCR Sub-Committee, having reviewed the document PPCR/SC.21/8, Strategic Program for Climate Resilience (SPCR) for Madagascar [endorses] the SPCR. The Sub-Committee encourages the Government of Madagascar and the MDBs to actively seek resources from other bilateral or multilateral sources to fund further development and implementation of the projects foreseen in the strategic plan. STRATEGIC PROGRAM FOR CLIMATE RESILIENCE: MADAGASCAR PILOT PROGRAM FOR CLIMATE RESILIENCE CELLULE DE PREVENTION ET GESTION BUREAU NATIONAL DE COORDINATION DES DES URGENCES CHANGEMENTS CLIMATIQUES (CPGU) (BNCCC) Template for Summary of SPCR1 Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Summary of Strategic Program for Climate Resilience (1) Country/Region: MADAGASCAR (2) PPCR Funding Request (in USD Grant: 165 Million USD Loan: million): (3 National PPCR Focal Point: Mamy Nirina RAZAKANAIVO (4) National Implementing Agency CPGU (Cellule de Prévention et Gestions des Urgences) (Coordination of Strategic Program): (5) Involved MDB World Bank and African Development Bank (6) MDB PPCR Focal Point and Project/ Headquarters-PPCR Focal Point: TTL: Program Task Team Leader (TTL): Kanta Kumari RIGAUD (World Bank) Michel MATERA (World Bank) Leandro Azevedo (African development Zinso BOUE (African Development Bank) Bank) (7) Description of SPCR: (a) Key challenges related to vulnerability to climate change/variability: Madagascar faces significant risks imposed by an increasingly variable and changing climate. Cyclones, droughts and floods are all recurrent occurrences in the country, affecting food security, drinking water supply and irrigation, public health systems, environmental management and development prospects overall. In a country of predominantly rural and vulnerable population, climate change is expected to disproportionately affect farmers (about 80% of the population) and make their livelihoods even more precarious. Malagasy smallholders, especially female-led households, are particularly at risk owing to their high dependence on rain-fed agriculture, chronic food insecurity, physical isolation and the lack of access to social safety nets. In urban settings, an unplanned and rapid expansion of informal settlements and the increasing frequency and intensity of weather events is a risk-multiplying equation. While the rural poor are expelled from their land and climate-induced migrants seek alternative livelihoods in cities, urban plans and building codes are not in place and new settlements sprout in areas prone to flooding, landslides or cyclones. The intensification of risks requires for the authorities to adapt their rural and urban development strategies and implement policies that are more resilient: more could be done to better equip national institutions, to develop sector-specific responses and integrate climate risks into planning and to build financial resilience. (b) Areas of Intervention – sectors and themes To address its climate adaptation challenges, Malagasy stakeholders engaged in the SPCR formulation process have decided to guide the program according to five guiding principles that have oriented thematic interventions: (2) Spatial resilience: acknowledgement of the particular challenges of different regions in the country, (3) Sectorial resilience: addressing sector-specific vulnerabilities in priority sectors, (4) Communities’ resilience: applying a community-based adaptation approaches, (5) Infrastructures’ resilience: ensuring the climate-proofing of public investments, (6) Fiscal resilience (addressing the vulnerability of public finances to climate shocks. Vulnerable sectors where program interventions have been selected include: • Hydrometeorology: enhancing hydro-meteorological services to allow a better management of climate risks. • Urban: upgrading public infrastructure to protect vulnerable communities and avoid macroeconomic loss. • Coastal management: introducing innovative approaches to equip communities and local authorities facing climate risks in the coastline. • Social protection: strengthening social safety nets and lifeline infrastructure to reduce extreme vulnerability. • Agriculture: supporting irrigation infrastructure to spur agribusiness productivity and job creation. • Biodiversity: promoting ecotourism as a means to diversify livelihoods and build resilience. ii (c) Expected Outcomes from the Implementation of the SPCR • Climate knowledge base, institutional capacities and policy frameworks for climate resilience are strengthened • Capacities of the hydro-meteorological services fortified to provide user-oriented data that can inform planners • Selected basic services and flood-control infrastructure of Greater Antananarivo is enhanced improving the living conditions of vulnerable communities and strengthening capacities for integrated climate risk management • Selected coastal cities have developed capacities to respond to climate impacts and communities have enhanced their resilience. • Social protection and basic infrastructure in the Grand Sud region is scaled-up building the resilience of extremely vulnerable selected communities. • Irrigation infrastructure developed enhancing agricultural production and food security in the Grand Sud region. • Conditions for the deployment of ecotourism schemes in preserved areas are enhanced contributing to green growth and biodiversity protection (8) Expected Key results from the Implementation of the Investment Strategy (consistent with PPCR Results Framework): A. TRANSFORMATIONAL IMPACT: Increased resilience of communities and sectors most exposed to climate variability and change in Madagascar Results Success Indicators (indicative) Increased resilience of highly vulnerable households, • Percentage of people with year-round access to reliable and communities, sectors, society, livelihoods and assets to safe water supply (domestic, agricultural) and whose livelihoods climate variability and climate change – PPCR Result A1 have improved in areas of PPCR intervention • Number of people supported by the PPCR to cope with the disaggregated by gender, effects of climate change, disaggregated by gender – PPCR Core Indicator A1.3 Strengthened integration of Degree of integration of climate change in government planning climate change into development (fiscal protection tools operational; Number national, sectoral and planning – PPCR Core Result A2 local plans and budgets integrating climate risks) – link to PPCR Core Indicators A2.1/A2.2 B. PROGRAM LEVEL (TIME FRAME: 2 – 10 YEARS) Climate resilience mainstreamed into Madagascar’s core development planning [contributing to climate proofing the Country’s National Development and building resilience in key geographical areas, sectors and institutions] Results Success Indicators (indicative) Increased use of climate-related information (risk maps, Evidence showing that climate information products/services are vulnerability maps, climate change scenarios) in decision used in decision making in climate sensitive sectors and regions making – link to PPCR Core result B3 (Number of sub-national authorities accessing vulnerability/risk maps) Strengthened adaptive capacities – PPCR Core Result B1 Extent to which vulnerable households, communities, business and public-sector services use improved PPCR supported tools, instruments, and guidelines to respond to climate vulnerability or climate change – PPCR Core Indicator B1 Improved institutional framework in place – Evidence of strengthened government capacities and performance PPCR Core result B2 of coordination mechanisms to mainstream climate resilience – PPCR Core Indicator B2 Climate Responsive Investment approaches identified and Quality and extent to which climate responsive instruments/ implemented – PPCR Result B5 investment projects pilot approached have been tested and replicated – PPCR Core Indicator B5.1 iii C. PROJECT LEVEL (TIME FRAME: 2 – 10 YEARS) Catalyzing Priority Investment Projects for Strengthening Climate Resilience in Madagascar IP1: Hydro-Met Services Strengthened Result Success Indicators (indicative) Strengthened capacity of hydro-met institutions to collect, • Number of government institutions with an installed capacity generate and analyze reliable hydro-met data, and provide to collect, process, standardize and share climate-related quality and timely climate /weather services for informed information planning and decision-making process • Number of national/regional and sectoral climate change scenarios developed and utilized Improved community preparedness during extreme events Number of communities using functioning early warning systems IP2: Enhancing Climate Resilience of Urban Communities and Infrastructure in Greater Antananarivo Result Success Indicators (indicative) Key urban infrastructure improved/climate-proofed Incidence of seasonal flooding reduced as a result of green infrastructure enhancement Regulations (standards/codes of practice) for infrastructure Guidelines for the use of green infrastructure for climate proofing resilience adopted by municipal authorities key urban infrastructure, developed and adopted by pilot municipalities and replicated by others. Enhanced capacity of authorities, CSO and business to develop Awareness and training programs implemented for government climate-proofed urban infrastructure officials, contractors
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