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November 2019 Volume 113, Issue 4

ISSN: 0003-0554

https://www.cambridge.org/core Downloaded from from Downloaded LEAD EDITOR Jennifer Gandhi Andreas Schedler Thomas König Emory University Centro de Investigación y Docencia University of Mannheim, Germany Claudine Gay Económicas, Mexico Frank Schimmelfennig ASSOCIATE EDITORS John Gerring ETH Zürich, Switzerland Kenneth Benoit University of Texas, Austin Carsten Q. Schneider London School of Economics Sona N. Golder Central European University, and Political Science Pennsylvania State University Budapest, Hungary Thomas Bräuninger Ruth W. Grant Sanjay Seth University of Mannheim Duke University Goldsmiths, University of London, UK Sabine Carey Julia Gray Carl K. Y. Shaw University of Mannheim University of Pennsylvania Academia Sinica, Taiwan Leigh Jenco Mary Alice Haddad Betsy Sinclair London School of Economics Washington University in St. Louis and Political Science Wesleyan University Peter A. Hall Beth A. Simmons Benjamin Lauderdale University of Pennsylvania University College London Harvard University Mary Hawkesworth Dan Slater Ingo Rohlfi ng University of Chicago University of Cologne Rutgers University

Gretchen Helmke Rune Slothuus https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055419000571

. . Aarhus University, Denmark EDITORIAL BOARD University of Rochester Jeff Spinner-Halev Fiona Adamson D. Sunshine Hillygus University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill SOAS, University of London, UK Duke University Etel Solingen Elisabeth Anker Juliet Hooker University of California, Irvine George Washington University University of Texas, Austin Zehra F. Kabasakal Arat Valerie M. Hudson Tavneet Suri University of Connecticut Texas A&M University Massachusetts Institute of Technology Amrita Basu Macartan Humphreys Margit Tavits Amherst College Columbia University Washington University in St. Louis Janet Box-Steffensmeier Ana María Ibáñez Michelle Taylor-Robinson The Ohio State University Universidad de los Andes, Colombia Texas A&M University Nancy Burns Diana Kapiszewski Vera E. Troeger University of Michigan Georgetown University Warwick University, UK https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Andrea Louise Campbell Gary King Karine Van der Straeten Massachusetts Institute of Technology Harvard University Toulouse School of Economics, France Kanchan Chandra David Leheny Jennifer N. Victor New York University Princeton University George Mason University Barbara F. Walter Wendy K. Tam Cho Jack S. Levy University of California, San Diego University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Rutgers University Leonard Wantchekon Nazli Choucri Evan S. Lieberman Princeton University Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lynette J. Chua S. Laurel Weldon Melanie Frances Manion Purdue University National University of Singapore, Duke University Singapore Stephen K. White Elizabeth K. Markovits University of Virginia Romand Coles Mount Holyoke College Australian Catholic University, Australia Christina Wolbrecht Helen V. Milner Kathy Cramer University of Notre Dame Princeton University University of Wisconsin-Madison Brian F. Crisp Sara McLaughlin Mitchell EDITORIAL STAFF Washington University in St. Louis University of Iowa Managing Editor Justin Crowe Kristen Renwick Monroe Alyssa Taylor University of California, Irvine Williams College Editorial Assistants , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham Rebecca B. Morton New York University, Abu Dhabi Brittney Bolin University of Maryland Samuel Müller Xinyuan Dai Michael A. Neblo The Ohio State University Felix Olsowski University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Ivana Popovic Elizabeth Maggie Penn Laura Dugan Guido Ropers University of Chicago University of Maryland Paola Romero John Duggan Lynda W. Powell Arduino Tomasi University of Rochester University of Rochester

24 Sep 2021 at 14:48:11 at 2021 Sep 24 Marta Wojciechowska Tulia G. Falleti Markus Prior

, on on , University of Pennsylvania Princeton University Student Assistants Songying Fang Melvin L. Rogers Katerina Beebe Rice University University of California, Los Angeles Anna Panutsa

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Downloaded from from Downloaded Permission to copy (for users in the U.S.A.) is available from Copyright Clearance Center http://www.copyright.com, email: [email protected] American Political Science Review Volume 113, Number 4, November 2019 Table of Contents

NOTES FROM THE EDITORS ...... iii

ARTICLES https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055419000571 . . Who Leads? Who Follows? Measuring Issue Attention and Agenda Setting by Legislators and the Mass Public Using Social Media Data Pablo Barberá, Andreu Casas, Jonathan Nagler, Patrick J. Egan, Richard Bonneau, John T. Jost, and Joshua A. Tucker ...... 883 Persuading the Enemy: Estimating the Persuasive Effects of Partisan Media with the Preference-Incorporating Choice and Assignment Design Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Matthew A. Baum, Adam J. Berinsky, and Teppei Yamamoto ...... 902 The Party or the Purse? Unequal Representation in the US Senate

https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Jeffrey R. Lax, Justin H. Phillips, and Adam Zelizer ...... 917 Pitch Perfect: Vocal Pitch and the Emotional Intensity of Congressional Speech Bryce J. Dietrich, Matthew Hayes, and Diana Z. O’Brien ...... 941 Do Fairer Elections Increase the Responsiveness of Politicians? George Kwaku Ofosu ...... 963 Why Some Persistent Problems Persist Robert Powell ...... 980 Investment in the Shadow of Conflict: Globalization, Capital Control, and State Repression Mehdi Shadmehr ...... 997 Can Violent Protest Change Local Policy Support? Evidence from the Aftermath of the 1992 Los Angeles Riot Ryan D. Enos, Aaron R. Kaufman, and Melissa L. Sands ...... 1012 Ethnic Riots and Prosocial Behavior: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan

, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Anselm Hager, Krzysztof Krakowski, and Max Schaub ...... 1029 Mass Purges: Top-Down Accountability in Autocracy B. Pablo Montagnes and Stephane Wolton ...... 1045

LETTERS

BARP: Improving Mister P Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 24 Sep 2021 at 14:48:11 at 2021 Sep 24

James Bisbee ...... 1060 , on on , Political Theory in an Ethnographic Key Matthew Longo and Bernardo Zacka ...... 1066 Does Public Opinion Constrain Presidential Unilateralism? 170.106.35.234 Dino P. Christenson and Douglas L. Kriner ...... 1071 Concentrated Burdens: How Self-Interest and Partisanship Shape Opinion on Opioid Treatment Policy

. IP address: address: IP . Justin de Benedictis-Kessner and Michael Hankinson ...... 1078

https://www.cambridge.org/core Downloaded from from Downloaded About APSA Former APSA Presidents Founded in 1903, the American Political Science Association is the leading Frank J. Goodnow Carl J. Friedrich professional organization for the study of political science and serves more C. Herman Pritchett than 12,000 members in over 80 countries. With a range of programs and Frederick N. Judson David B. Truman services for individuals, departments, and institutions, APSA brings together James Bryce Gabriel A. Almond political scientists from all fields of inquiry, regions, and occupational en- A. Lawrence Lowell Robert A. Dahl deavors within and outside academe in order to deepen our understanding of politics, democracy, and citizenship throughout the world. Simeon E. Baldwin The direct advancement of knowledge is at the core of APSA activities. We Karl W. Deutsch promote scholarly communication in political science through a variety of W. W. Wi l l o u g h by Robert E. Lane initiatives including publishing four distinguished journals: American Polit- Heinz Eulau

ical Science Review, Perspectives on Politics, PS: Political Science & Politics, and Robert E. Ward https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055419000571 . . the Journal of Political Science Education. Avery Leiserson Austin Ranney James MacGregor Burns Officers Paul S. Reinsch Samuel H. Beer PRESIDENT PRESIDENT-ELECT Leo S. Rowe John C. Wahlke Paula D. McClain Janet Box-Steffensmeier William A. Dunning Leon D. Epstein Duke University Ohio State University Harry A. Garfield Warren E. Miller James W. Garner Charles E. Lindblom VICE-PRESIDENTS PAST PRESIDENT Charles E. Merriam Kerstin Hamann Charles A. Beard William H. Riker https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms University of Central Florida University of Pennsylvania William Bennett Munro Philip E. Converse Jesse S. Reeves Richard F. Fenno Leonard Wantchekon TREASURER John A. Fairlie Aaron B. Wildavsky Princeton University Thomas Pepinsky Benjamin F. Shambaugh Samuel P. Huntington Cornell University Edward S. Corwin Kenneth N. Waltz Melissa Williams William F. Willoughby Lucian W. Pye University of Toronto EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Isidor Loeb Judith N. Shklar Steven Rathgeb Smith Walter Shepard Theodore J. Lowi Francis W. Coker James Q. Wilson Council Arthur N. Holcombe Lucius J. Barker 2017–2020 2018–2021 2019–2022 Thomas Reed Powell Charles O.Jones Joseph Carens Adam J. Berinsky Ben Ansell Clarence A. Dykstra University of Toronto Massachusetts Institute University of Oxford Charles Grove Haines of Technology Robert C. Brooks

, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Lisa Garcia-Bedolla Erik Bleich Frederic A. Ogg M. Kent Jennings University of Ann O’M. Bowman Middlebury College William Anderson , Jr. California, Berkeley Texas A&M University Robert E. Cushman Robert O. Keohane Alexandra Filindra Leonard D. White Lilly J. Goren Julia S. Jordan-Zachery University of Illinois at John Gaus Robert D. Putnam Carroll University University of North Chicago Walter F. Dodd 24 Sep 2021 at 14:48:11 at 2021 Sep 24 Carolina, Charlotte Arthur W. MacMahon , on on , Simon Jackman Rebecca Gill Henry R. Spencer University of Sydney Lori J. Marso University of Nevada, LV Union College James K. Pollock Matthew Kocher Soo Yeon Kim Peter H. Odegard Dianne M. Pinderhughes 170.106.35.234 Johns Hopkins Alberto Simpser National University of Luther Gulick Peter Katzenstein University Instituto Tecnológico Singapore Pendleton Herring Henry E. Brady Autónomo de México Ralph J. Bunche . IP address: address: IP . Erin Richards David Leal Charles McKinley G. Bingham Powell, Jr. Cascadia College Charles Smith University of Texas, Austin Harold D. Lasswell University of E. E. Schattschneider John H. Aldrich Valeria Sinclair-Chapman California, Irvine Suzanna Linn V. O. Key, Jr. Rodney E. Hero Purdue University Penn State University R. Taylor Cole Rocío Titiunik Carl B. Swisher David Lake Laura Sjoberg University of Michigan Melanye Price Emmette S. Redford University of Florida Prairie View A&M Charles S. Hyneman Rogers Smith https://www.cambridge.org/core Lisa Wedeen University University of Chicago

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