AMERICAN ASSOCIATION AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW

AMERICAN https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000060 . . POLITICAL SCIENCE

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May 2018, Volume 112, Issue 2

University of Athens of University . .

May 2018 Volume 112, Issue 2 Cambridge Core For further information about this journal https://www.cambridge.org/core ISSN: 0003-0554 please go to the journal website at:

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00030554_112-2.indd 1 21/03/18 7:36 AM LEAD EDITOR Jennifer Gandhi Andreas Schedler Thomas König Emory University Centro de Investigación y Docencia University of Mannheim, Claudine Gay Económicas, Mexico Frank Schimmelfennig ASSOCIATE EDITORS John Gerring ETH Zürich, Switzerland Kenneth Benoit University of Texas, Austin Carsten Q. Schneider London School of Economics Sona N. Golder Central European University, and Political Science Pennsylvania State University Budapest, Hungary Thomas Bräuninger Ruth W. Grant Sanjay Seth University of Mannheim Duke University Goldsmiths, University of London, UK Sabine Carey Julia Gray Carl K. Y. Shaw University of Mannheim University of Pennsylvania Academia Sinica, Taiwan Leigh Jenco Mary Alice Haddad Betsy Sinclair London School of Economics Wesleyan University Washington University in St. Louis and Political Science Peter A. Hall Beth A. Simmons Benjamin Lauderdale Harvard University University of Pennsylvania London School of Economics Mary Hawkesworth Dan Slater and Political Science Rutgers University University of Ingo Rohlfi ng Gretchen Helmke Rune Slothuus University of Cologne University of Rochester Aarhus University, D. Sunshine Hillygus Jeff Spinner-Halev

https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000060 EDITORIAL BOARD Duke University University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill . . Fiona Adamson Juliet Hooker Etel Solingen SOAS, University of London, UK University of Texas, Austin University of California, Irvine Elisabeth Anker Valerie M. Hudson Tavneet Suri George Washington University Texas A&M University Massachusetts Institute of Technology Zehra F. Kabasakal Arat Macartan Humphreys Margit Tavits University of Connecticut Washington University in St. Louis Amrita Basu Ana María Ibáñez Michelle Taylor-Robinson Amherst College Universidad de los Andes, Colombia Texas A&M University Janet Box-Steffensmeier Diana Kapiszewski Vera E. Troeger The Ohio State University Georgetown University Warwick University, UK Nancy Burns Gary King Karine Van der Straeten University of Michigan Harvard University Toulouse School of Economics, France Andrea Louise Campbell David Leheny Jennifer N. Victor https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Massachusetts Institute of Technology George Mason University Kanchan Chandra Jack S. Levy Barbara F. Walter New York University Rutgers University University of California, San Diego Wendy K. Tam Cho Evan S. Lieberman Leonard Wantchekon University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Massachusetts Institute of Technology Princeton University Nazli Choucri Melanie Frances Manion S. Laurel Weldon Massachusetts Institute of Technology Duke University Purdue University Lynette J. Chua Elizabeth K. Markovits Stephen K. White National University of Singapore, Mount Holyoke College Singapore Helen V. Milner Christina Wolbrecht Romand Coles Princeton University University of Notre Dame Australian Catholic University, Australia Sara McLaughlin Mitchell Kathy Cramer University of EDITORIAL STAFF University of Wisconsin-Madison Kristen Renwick Monroe Managing Editor Brian F. Crisp University of California, Irvine Alyssa Taylor Washington University in St. Louis Rebecca B. Morton Editorial Assistants Justin Crowe New York University, Abu Dhabi Emmy Lindstam Michael A. Neblo Ivana Popovic Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham The Ohio State University Guido Ropers , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , University of Maryland Elizabeth Maggie Penn Paola Romero Xinyuan Dai Tilko Swalve University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Lynda W. Powell Arduino Tomasi Laura Dugan University of Rochester Marta Wojciechowska University of Maryland Markus Prior John Duggan Princeton University Student Assistants University of Rochester Melvin L. Rogers Katerina Beebe Tulia G. Falleti University of California, Los Angeles Ashrakat Elshehawy 08 Oct 2021 at 13:45:36 at 2021 Oct 08 University of Pennsylvania Viktoriia Semenova

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00030554_112-2.indd 2 21/03/18 7:36 AM American Political Science Review Volume 112, Number 2, May 2018 Table of Contents

NOTESFROMTHEEDITORS...... iii ARTICLES Global Competition and Brexit

Italo Colantone and Piero Stanig ...... 201 https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000060 . . Whither Parties? Hume on Partisanship and Political Legitimacy Joel E. Landis ...... 219 Agency Problems in Political Campaigns: Media Buying and Consulting Gregory J. Martin and Zachary Peskowitz ...... 231 Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936–2014 Devin Caughey and Christopher Warshaw ...... 249 The Deliberative Sublime: Edmund Burke on Disruptive Speech and Imaginative

Judgment https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Rob Goodman ...... 267 Information Dissemination, Competitive Pressure, and Politician Performance between Elections: A Field Experiment in Uganda Guy Grossman and Kristin Michelitch ...... 280 Nonrepresentative Representatives: An Experimental Study of the Decision Making of Elected Politicians Lior Sheffer, Peter John Loewen, Stuart Soroka, Stefaan Walgrave, and Tamir Sheafer ...... 302 Businesspeople in Elected Office: Identifying Private Benefits from Firm-Level Returns David Szakonyi ...... 322 Elite Competition and State Capacity Development: Theory and Evidence from Post-Revolutionary Mexico Francisco Garfias ...... 339

, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh ...... 358 Social and Institutional Origins of Political Islam Steven Brooke and Neil Ketchley ...... 376 The Index of Emancipative Values: Measurement Model Misspecifications

Boris Sokolov ...... 395 08 Oct 2021 at 13:45:36 at 2021 Oct 08

, on on , Pragmatism and Prophecy: H. G. Wells and the Metaphysics of Duncan Bell ...... 409

LETTER

Convergence’s Problem: A Critique of Kogelmann and Stich University of Athens of University . . Benjamin R. Hertzberg ...... 423

CORRIGENDUM Nonrepresentative Representatives: An Experimental Study of the Decision Making of Elected Politicians - CORRIGENDUM

Lior Sheffer, Peter John Loewen, Stuart Soroka, Stefaan Walgrave, and Tamir Sheafer ...... 428

https://www.cambridge.org/core Downloaded from from Downloaded About APSA Former APSA Presidents Founded in 1903, the American Political Science Association is the leading Charles S. Hyneman professional organization for the study of political science and serves more Frank J. Goodnow Carl J. Friedrich than 13,000 members in over 80 countries. With a range of programs and Frederick N. Judson C. Herman Pritchett services for individuals, departments, and , APSA brings togeth- James Bryce David B. Truman er political scientists from all fi elds of inquiry, regions, and occupational en- A. Lawrence Lowell Gabriel A. Almond deavors within and outside academe in order to deepen our understanding of Robert A. Dahl politics, democracy, and citizenship throughout the world. Simeon E. Baldwin The direct advancement of knowledge is at the core of APSA activities. We promote scholarly communication in political science through a variety W. W. Willoughby Karl W. Deutsch American of initiatives including publishing four distinguished journals: Robert E. Lane Political Science Review Perspectives on Politics PS: Political Science & Politics, , , Heinz Eulau and Journal of Political Science Education. Robert E. Ward

https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000060 Avery Leiserson . . Offi cers Austin Ranney Paul S. Reinsch James MacGregor Burns PRESIDENT PAST-PRESIDENT Leo S. Rowe Samuel H. Beer David Lake William A. Dunning John C. Wahlke Massachusetts Institute of Technology University of California, San Diego Harry A. Garfi eld Leon D. Epstein James W. Garner Warren E. Miller PRESIDENT-ELECT TREASURER Charles E. Merriam Charles E. Lindblom Thomas Pepinsky Charles A. Beard University of Pennsylvania William Bennett Munro William H. Riker

https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Jesse S. Reeves Philip E. Converse PROGRAM CO-CHAIRS VICE-PRESIDENTS John A. Fairlie Richard F. Fenno Henry Farrell Evelyne Huber Benjamin F. Shambaugh Aaron B. Wildavsky The George Washington University University of North Carolina, Edward S. Corwin Samuel P. Huntington Chapel Hil Anna Grzymala-Busse William F. Willoughby Kenneth N. Waltz Stanford University Isidor Loeb Lucian W. Pye Harvard University & University of Walter Shepard Judith N. Shklar Sydney EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Francis W. Coker Theodore J. Lowi Steven Rathgeb Smith Arthur N. Holcombe James Q. Wilson Gary Segura Thomas Reed Powell Lucius J. Barker University of California, Los Angeles Clarence A. Dykstra Charles O. Jones Charles Grove Haines Council Robert C. Brooks Frederic A. Ogg

2015–2018 2016–2019 2017–2020 William Anderson M. Kent Jennings , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Amaney Jamal Matt Barreto Joseph Carens Robert E. Cushman , Jr. Princeton University University of California, University of Toronto Leonard D. White Robert O. Keohane Los Angeles Brett Ashley Leeds Lisa Garcia-Bedolla John Gaus Rice University Mark Crescenzi University of California, Walter F. Dodd Robert D. Putnam University of North Berkeley Arthur W. MacMahon James Mahoney 08 Oct 2021 at 13:45:36 at 2021 Oct 08 Carolina, Chapel Hill Henry R. Spencer Lilly J. Goren

, on on , Omar Encarnación Carrol University Byron D’Andra Orey James K. Pollock Bard College Jackson State University Simon Jackman Peter H. Odegard Kristian Gleditsch University of Sydney Luther Gulick Dianne M. Pinderhughes Bo Rothstein University of Essex Peter Katzenstein University of Gothenburg Matthew Kocher Pendleton Herring

University of Athens of University Ralph J. Bunche Henry E. Brady . . Juliet Hooker Cameron Thies University of Texas, Austin Charles McKinley Arizona State University Erin Richards Harold D. Lasswell G. Bingham Powell, Jr. Colleen Shogan Cascadia College Caroline Tolbert E. E. Schattschneider Library of Congress University of Iowa Valeria Sinclair-Chapman V. O. Key, Jr. John H. Aldrich Renée Van Vechten Purdue University R. Taylor Cole Rodney E. Hero Carol Weissert University of Redlands Carl B. Swisher Florida State University Laura Sjoberg Emmette S. Redford David Lake (2017–2018) Christina Wolbrecht University of Florida https://www.cambridge.org/core University of Notre Dame

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