Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory David Andrés-Cerezo Thesis submitted for assessment with a view to obtaining the degree of Doctor of Economics of the European University Institute Florence, 22 June 2021 European University Institute Department of Economics Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory David Andrés-Cerezo Thesis submitted for assessment with a view to obtaining the degree of Doctor of Economics of the European University Institute Examining Board Prof. David Levine, EUI, Supervisor Prof. Philipp Kircher, Cornell University, Co-Supervisor Prof. Gerard Llobet, Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros (CEMFI) Prof. Guido Tabellini, Bocconi University © David Andrés-Cerezo, 2021 No part of this thesis may be copied, reproduced or transmitted without prior permission of the author Researcher declaration to accompany the submission of written work Department Economics - Doctoral Programme I David J. Andrés-Cerezo certify that I am the author of the work "Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory" I have presented for examination for the Ph.D. at the European University Institute. I also certify that this is solely my own original work, other than where I have clearly indicated, in this declaration and in the thesis, that it is the work of others. I warrant that I have obtained all the permissions required for using any material from other copyrighted publications. I certify that this work complies with the Code of Ethics in Academic Research issued by the European University Institute (IUE 332/2/10 (CA 297). The copyright of this work rests with its author. Quotation from it is permitted, provided that full acknowledgment is made. This work may not be reproduced without my prior written consent. This authorisation does not, to the best of my knowledge, infringe the rights of any third party. I declare that this work consists of 67626 words. Statement of inclusion of previous work: I confirm that chapter 1 was jointly co-authored with Ms Milena Almagro and I contributed 50% of the work. I confirm that chapter 2 was jointly co-authored with Ms Natalia Fabra and I contributed 50%of the work. I confirm that chapter 1 draws upon an earlier article I published in Theoretical Economics, 15 (2), 763-810 (2020). Signature and date: 14/02/2021 Abstract This thesis is a collection of three independent essays in applied microeconomic theory. The first chapter, co-authored with Milena Almagro, explores the conditions under which a state promotes a shared national identity on its territory. A forward-looking government that internalizes identity dynamics shapes them by implementing nation-building policies. Assimilation attempts are con- strained by political unrest, electoral competition, and the intergenerational transmission of identities. We find the long-run evolution of identities to be highly sensitive to initial conditions and to temporary shocks that affect the relative political power of the ethnic groups. Interestingly, when the conditions to promote the national identity are not present, the central government avoids long-run conflict by allowing regional identities to thrive. The results point to different nation-building behavior between autocracies and democracies, with the latter being more likely to preserve regional identities. The second chapter, co-authored with Natalia Fabra, analyzes how firms’ in- centives to operate and invest in energy storage depend on the market struc- ture. For this purpose, we characterize equilibrium market outcomes allowing for market power in storage and/or production, as well as for vertical integra- tion between storage and production. Market power reduces efficiency through two channels: it induces an inefficient use of the storage facilities, and it dis- torts investment incentives. We illustrate our theoretical results by simulating the Spanish wholesale electricity market. The results are key to understanding how to regulate energy storage, an issue which is critical for the deployment of renewables. The third chapter explores the difficulties that endogenous preferences pose for normative work, using environmental policy design as a motivating example. I first assess how the major positions in welfare economics can be adapted to contexts in which policies shape preference formation. The implications for policy design of using different welfare criteria are then illustrated with a simple 1 Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory model of carbon pricing. An empirically implementable method is proposed to micro-found the relative weights that a standard welfarist approach could give to pre-policy and post-policy preferences. 2 Acknowledgments This thesis is the written legacy of a long journey, in which the good and happy moments have far outweighed the more difficult and stressful ones. Several things have been changing along the way: the places I've been living in, the extraordinary people who have accompanied me, even the research fields of the chapters that compose this thesis. But one thing has remained constant, always being there, and this has been my partner Ana. You are the main reason why I started the PhD, and only with your unconditional support I've been able to finish it. Thanks for your patience and for your unlimited energy and joy. Nobody makes me happier. I only hope that you continue to be what remains constant in my life. I am extremely grateful to my advisors. This thesis could not have been possi- ble without your dedication and immense support. First and foremost, thanks to David Levine for his professionalism and for always providing excellent guid- ance on any possible topic. Your supervision style, never pressing and always supporting, has been fundamental for helping me finding my way of doing re- search. It has been a true privilege to be in regular contact with such a great thinker and human being. A profound gratitude goes to Philipp Kircher, for his solid and constructive feedback, and for always taking the time to think about how to improve my work. This thesis is highly indebted to your sharp intellect and your kindness. I am also indebted to Andrea Galeotti, who pro- vided valuable guidance at the early stages of this thesis, and to Gerard Llobet and Guido Tabellini for accepting to be part of my thesis committee. This thesis would not exist without my amazing co-authors, from whom I al- ways learn what it takes to be an outstanding researcher. I am highly indebted to Natalia, my wonderful unofficial supervisor, who welcomed me to Carlos III without knowing me but still relied on me from the very first day. You opened me the doors of environmental & energy economics, and your academic and personal support has been (and still is) fundamental. Thank you very much for all the opportunities you are giving me. To the versatile Milena, thanks 3 Essays on Applied Microeconomic Theory for your help during these years and for all the good moments in Madrid and New York, there are many more to come. On top of being the best possible role models to look up to, you are also very good friends. During these years I have always felt very lucky for being part of the EUI's Economics Department. Thanks to all my professors and colleagues for cre- ating a stimulating and friendly environment, and to all members of staff at Villa la Fonte for their professionalism and kindness. I am also very grateful to all the friends I made during these years in Florence, with special mention to Carlos, Gonzalo, Iacopo, Daniele, Mustafa and, of course, to my anai David, who has played every possible role: classmate, flatmate and, mostly, friend. A substantial part of this thesis was written in Madrid. I would like to thank Alvaro´ and Agustina for several interesting conversations (we still have a paper pending) and to Michele and Clara for being genuine friends outside the walls of the department. I cannot forget about the link between the two departments, another constant of the PhD, the unique Juanjo Dolado, Juan in a million, which apart from being a great mentor is also a great friend. I also want to thank Toni, for making me his heir of San Marco's flat and for sharing research ideas, job market tips and good moments in Madrid. Los a~nosde la tesis han sido mas amables gracias a mis amigos, los hermanos que no tengo, que hicieron el camino menos duro y m´asdivertido. Sin necesidad de doctorados, conoc´eisla verdad profunda: econom´ıano se estudia, econom´ıa se sabe. Especial menci´onal aut´entico V que, sin pretenderlo y tal vez a su pesar, se ha convertido en un experto del mundo acad´emico. Por ´ultimo,lo fundamental, las ra´ıces. Esta tesis va a dedicada a toda mi familia, mis t´ıasy t´ıos,que siempre me han dado su cari~noy, con su ejemplo, me han transmitido los valores y principios que trato de seguir en mi vida. Sois una familia excepcional. Los mejores momentos siempre han sido a vuestro lado, que lo sigan siendo mucho tiempo. Estos agradecimientos solo pueden terminar con las dos personas que lo hicieron posible con su esfuerzo y amor desde mi primer d´ıade vida: mi madre y mi padre. Vosotros hicisteis todos los sacrificios necesarios para que yo nunca tuviera que hacer ninguno. Nunca un hijo fue tan querido, es un privilegio teneros como padres. Muchas gracias por estar siempre ah´ı,yo siempre estar´e para vosotros. Esta tesis es vuestra. 4 Contents 1 The Construction of National Identities 7 1.1 Introduction . .7 1.2 Related literature . 11 1.3 Model . 13 1.4 Solution to the dynamic problem and main results . 18 1.5 Non-interior steady state: A general result . 22 1.6 Nation-building under electoral competition . 26 1.7 Interpretation of the results: Case studies .
Recommended publications
  • A Quantitative Theory of Political Transitions∗
    A Quantitative Theory of Political Transitions∗ Lukas Buchheimy Robert Ulbrichtz August 28, 2019 Abstract We develop a quantitative theory of repeated political transitions driven by revolts and reforms. In the model, the beliefs of disenfranchised citizens play a key role in determining revolutionary pressure, which in interaction with preemptive reforms determine regime dynamics. We study the quantitative implications of the model by fitting it to data on the universe of political regimes existing between 1946 and 2010. The estimated model generates a process of political transitions that looks remarkably close to the data, replicating the empirical shape of transition hazards, the frequency of revolts relative to reforms, the distribution of newly established regime types after revolts and reforms, and the unconditional distribution over regime types. Keywords: Democratic reforms, quantitative political economy, regime dynamics, revolts, transition hazards. JEL Classification: D74, D78, P16. ∗This paper supersedes an earlier working paper titled \Dynamics of Political Systems." We would like to thank the managing editor, Mich`eleTertilt, four anonymous referees, Daron Acemoglu, Toke Aidt, Matthias Doepke, Christian Hellwig, Johannes Maier, Uwe Sunde, and various seminar and conference participants for valuable comments and suggestions. yLMU Munich, Schackstr 4/IV, 80539 Munich, Germany. E-mail: [email protected]. zBoston College, 140 Commonwealth Avenue, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467. E-mail: [email protected]. 1 Introduction This paper develops a quantitative theory of political transitions based on the evolution of beliefs regarding the regime's strength. Traditionally, the literature has focused on explaining specific patterns of regime changes, focusing on isolated transition episodes.1 In this paper, we shift the focus to a macro perspective, aiming to account for a number of stylized facts in a unified framework.
    [Show full text]
  • Patience and Comparative Development*
    Patience and Comparative Development* Thomas Dohmen Benjamin Enke Armin Falk David Huffman Uwe Sunde May 29, 2018 Abstract This paper studies the role of heterogeneity in patience for comparative devel- opment. The empirical analysis is based on a simple OLG model in which patience drives the accumulation of physical capital, human capital, productivity improve- ments, and hence income. Based on a globally representative dataset on patience in 76 countries, we study the implications of the model through a combination of reduced-form estimations and simulations. In the data, patience is strongly corre- lated with income levels, income growth, and the accumulation of physical capital, human capital, and productivity. These relationships hold across countries, sub- national regions, and individuals. In the reduced-form analyses, the quantitative magnitude of the relationship between patience and income strongly increases in the level of aggregation. A simple parameterized version of the model generates comparable aggregation effects as a result of production complementarities and equilibrium effects, and illustrates that variation in preference endowments can account for a considerable part of the observed variation in per capita income. JEL classification: D03, D90, O10, O30, O40. Keywords: Patience; comparative development; factor accumulation. *Armin Falk acknowledges financial support from the European Research Council through ERC # 209214. Dohmen, Falk: University of Bonn, Department of Economics; [email protected], [email protected]. Enke: Harvard University, Department of Economics; [email protected]. Huffman: University of Pittsburgh, Department of Economics; huff[email protected]. Sunde: University of Munich, Department of Economics; [email protected]. 1 Introduction A long stream of research in development accounting has documented that both pro- duction factors and productivity play an important role in explaining cross-country income differences (Hall and Jones, 1999; Caselli, 2005; Hsieh and Klenow, 2010).
    [Show full text]
  • Did We Overestimate the Role of Social Preferences? the Case of Self-Selected Student Samples
    Did we overestimate the role of social preferences? The case of self-selected student samples Armin Falk,∗ Stephan Meier,y and Christian Zehnderz July 13, 2010 Abstract Social preference research has fundamentally changed the way economists think about many important economic and social phenomena. However, the em- pirical foundation of social preferences is largely based on laboratory experiments with self-selected students as participants. This is potentially problematic as students participating in experiments may behave systematically different than non-participating students or non-students. In this paper we empirically inves- tigate whether laboratory experiments with student samples misrepresent the importance of social preferences. Our first study shows that students who ex- hibit stronger prosocial inclinations in an unrelated field donation are not more likely to participate in experiments. This suggests that self-selection of more prosocial students into experiments is not a major issue. Our second study com- pares behavior of students and the general population in a trust experiment. We find very similar behavioral patterns for the two groups. If anything, the level of reciprocation seems higher among non-students implying an even greater importance of social preferences than assumed from student samples. Keywords: methodology, selection, experiments, prosocial behavior JEL: C90, D03 ∗University of Bonn, Department of Economics, Adenauerallee 24-42, D-53113 Bonn; [email protected]. yColumbia University, Graduate School of Business, 710 Uris Hall, 3022 Broadway, New York, NY 10027; [email protected]. zUniversity of Lausanne, Faculty of Business and Economics, Quartier UNIL-Dorigny, Internef 612, CH-1015 Lausanne; [email protected]. 1 1 Introduction Social preferences such as trust and reciprocity play an increasingly important role in economics.
    [Show full text]
  • Econ 0040: Behavioural Economics Fall 2020
    Econ 0040: Behavioural Economics Fall 2020 Lecturer information Dr. Zeynep Gurguc E-mail: [email protected] Student feedback hours (online): Thursdays 13:15-14:15 during first term or by appointment & later by appointment. What will you learn about? The purpose of this course is to provide students an overview of research in Behavioural Economics, a field of economics that draws on knowledge in psychology to capture important aspects of human behaviour and social interactions that standard economic models cannot explain. The topics we will cover include: Heuristics and Biases, Decision Making under Uncertainty, Prospect Theory, Reference Dependence, Intertemporal Choice, Social Preferences, Bounded Rationality, Nudge as well as Heterogeneity and Malleability of Preferences. Throughout this course, we will link theory to practice and discuss empirical applications in areas and topics such as consumer choice, saving behaviour, procrastination, education, labour supply, finance and policy making. How will you learn? We will use a mixture of online asynchronous and synchronous content. Each Monday by 11:45 am you will get access to the core materials for the week as well as the tasks. In addition, both your lecturer and your teaching assistant will have regular student support and feedback hours where you can drop in to discuss any issues around this module. Weekly Live Sessions with Dr Gurguc: Wednesdays 11AM-12:30PM. The lectures will be on zoom except for weeks 6, 7, 12 and 14 (i.e. October 7, October 14, November 18 and December 2) when the live lecture will be held face-to-face (F2F). F2F lectures will take place in Wilkins Building (main building), Jeremy Bentham Room.
    [Show full text]
  • David Huffman 416 N
    DAVID HUFFMAN 416 N. Chester Rd., Apt. 2 Swarthmore, PA 19081 E-mail: [email protected] Webpage: http://www.swarthmore.edu/x28019.xml PERSONAL Birth Date: April 4th, 1974 Citizenship: USA EMPLOYMENT SINCE PH.D. Associate Professor (with tenure), Swarthmore College February 2012 – Present Assistant Professor, Swarthmore College January 2008 – February 2013 IZA Senior Research Associate 2006 – 2007 Deputy Director, Behavioral and Personnel Economics Program Area IZA Laboratory Coordinator IZA Research Associate 2003 – 2006 EDITORIAL POSITIONS Associate Editor for Management Science January 2013 – present EDUCATION University of California, Berkeley Ph.D. Economics 2003 Primary Fields: Behavioral economics, labor economics, applied microeconomics. Dissertation Advisor: Professor George Akerlof Oberlin College, Oberlin Ohio B.A., magna cum laude in Economics 1996 PUBLICATIONS “Implicit Contracts, Unemployment, and Market Segmentation” IZA Discussion Paper, No. 5001 (with Steffen Altmann, Armin Falk, and Andreas Grunewald), forthcoming in Review of Economic Studies. “When a Nudge isn’t Enough: A Field Test of the Power of Defaults to Influence Savings of Low- Income Tax Filers”, NBER Working Paper, No. 16887 (with Erin Bronchetti, Thomas Dee, and Ellen Magenheim), forthcoming in National Tax Journal. “Validating an Ultra-Short Survey Measure of Impatience”, forthcoming in Economics Letters (with Thomas Dohment, Armin Falk, Jürgen Schupp, Uwe Sunde, Thomas Vischer, and Gert Wagner). “Competition Between Organizational Groups: Its Impact on Altruistic and Antisocial Motivations”, Management Science, 2012, 58(5), 948–960 (with Lorenz Goette, Stephan Meier, and Matthias Sutter). “The Impact of Social Ties on Group Interactions: Evidence from Minimal Groups and Randomly Assigned Real Groups”, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2012, 4(1), 101–115 (with Lorenz Goette and Stephan Meier).
    [Show full text]
  • 1 Property Rights and Economic Development: Taking Stock, Looking Ahead. Carmine Guerriero University of Bologna* Abstract
    Property Rights and Economic Development: Taking Stock, Looking Ahead. Carmine Guerriero University of Bologna ∗ Abstract: Although property rights are crucial to economic development, our understanding of their origins remains limited. A recent strand of research, however, has made a major advance by documenting that the ex post misallocation—driven by the mix of strongly protected property rights and large transaction costs—explains the distribution of property rights significantly better than does the disincentive effect of predation by the state and powerful elites. This conclusion leads to several key questions on the impact of the protection of property rights on the extent of private expropriation, the scope of firms, the size of markets and, ultimately, economic development. In this essay, I illustrate the challenges involved in answering these questions, and I highlight potential policy implications. Keywords: Property Rights; Transaction Costs; Contracts; Markets; Economic Development. JEL classification: D23; D40; D82; K11; L11; P14; Z10. ∗ Department of Economics, University of Bologna, Strada Maggiore 45, 40125 Bologna, Italy. E- mail: [email protected]. I would like to thank Raffaella Paduano, Claude Menard, and Mary Shirley for insightful comments on how to present more incisively the material covered by this essay. 1 “The New Institutional Economics [NIE] is the little engine that could. Its best days lie ahead” [Williamson 2001, p. 611]. 1. Introduction The Coase theorem, the cornerstone of the New Institutional Economics [Williamson 2001, p. 598], claims that alternative property rights assignments internalize conflicts and externalities in equivalently efficient manners when the obstacles to bargaining are limited.1 Poorly defined property rights and large transaction costs, however, prevent contracting,2 and thus the initial legal entitlements shape the efficiency of the final allocation (Coase, 1960).
    [Show full text]
  • Why Do Business Losses Cause Conflict?
    November 18, 2019 Why do business losses cause conflict? Abstract Evidence suggests that conflicts between contracting parties are more prone to occur when a party has suffered a significant loss. It is argued that the phenomenon is difficult to understand within conventional contract theory, which assumes full rationality, while behavioral theories based on the concepts of motivated reasoning and reciprocity provide interesting explanations. Thus, losses can trigger motivated, self-serving perceptions and beliefs, which in turn are likely to induce negative reciprocity as well as counter-productive acts aimed at bolstering self-image. These explanations are demonstrated to be well supported by experiments. 1. Introduction Contract managers claim that parties are more likely to become involved in conflict, i.e. to enter into a period of less than efficient cooperation, after having suffered 1 economic losses. For example, in an interview concerning a large construction project1 an experienced contract manager2 claimed that contractors often ´attempt to recuperate losses by raising more unwarranted claims´. Unwarranted claims may then undermine the client’s trust and so lead to a deterioration of the relationship and sometimes to litigation. That losses can engender lack of cooperation and conflicts is an element of several case studies and surveys (e.g. Kadefors, (2005) and Zhang et. al (2019)), and has also been confirmed in experiments (e.g. Feldman, Schurr, & Teichman (2013), and Fehr, Hart and Zehnder (2011)). Hence, this article proceeds from the understanding that losses can indeed lead to conflict, and inquires what might explain this conflict-after- loss phenomenon. Specifically, the article inquires whether it can be explained within conventional contract theory or whether behavioral theories are needed.
    [Show full text]
  • Longevity and Patience
    A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Falk, Armin; Hermle, Johannes; Sunde, Uwe Working Paper Longevity and patience Discussion Paper, No. 201 Provided in Cooperation with: University of Munich (LMU) and Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190: Rationality and Competition Suggested Citation: Falk, Armin; Hermle, Johannes; Sunde, Uwe (2019) : Longevity and patience, Discussion Paper, No. 201, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München und Humboldt- Universität zu Berlin, Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190 - Rationality and Competition, München und Berlin This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/222098 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Longevity and Patience Armin Falk (University of Bonn) Johannes Hermle (UC Berkley) Uwe Sunde (LMU Munich) Discussion Paper No.
    [Show full text]
  • Screening, Competition, and Job Design:* Economic Origins of Good Jobs
    Screening, Competition, and Job Design:* Economic Origins of Good Jobs a) b) c) Björn Bartling , Ernst Fehr and Klaus M. Schmidt This version: November 17, 2009 Abstract: In recent decades many firms offered more discretion to their employees, which can increase the productivity of effort but also provides more shirking opportunities. This development is difficult to understand in terms of standard moral hazard models. Here we show experimentally that complementarities between high effort discretion, rent-sharing, screening opportunities, and competition may be important driving forces behind these new forms of work organization. We document, in particular, the endogenous emergence of two fundamentally distinct types of jobs. Employers either implement a control strategy, which consists of limited effort discretion, low wages, low effort requests, and little or no rent-sharing, or they implement a trust strategy, which stipulates high effort discretion, high wages, high effort requests, and substantial rent-sharing. If employers cannot screen employees the control strategy prevails. The possibility of screening causes a substantial increase in the prevalence of the trust strategy. The introduction of competition further fosters the trust strategy and induces a substantial increase in welfare such that both employers and employees are better off. Keywords: contract design, job characteristics, screening, reputation, competition, trust, control, high-performance work systems, social preferences, complementarities JEL: C91, D86 *) A previous
    [Show full text]
  • Aspirations and the Persistence of Poverty and Inequalities
    DISSERTATION zur Erlangung des Doktorgrades der Wirtschaftswissenschaften (Dr. rer. pol.) Aspirations and the persistence of poverty and inequalities vorgelegt von Svenja Flechtner am 22.06.2016 an der Europa-Universität Flensburg Internationales Institut für Management und ökonomische Bildung Erster Gutachter: Zweiter Gutachter: Prof. Dr. Stephan Panther Prof. Dr. Carlo D’Ippoliti Europa-Universität Flensburg Sapienza University of Rome Contents Page Acknowledgements . .7 List of Figures . .9 List of Tables . 12 Introduction 13 I Aspirations: contouring a concept 23 1 Understanding human development: what can aspirations contribute? 25 1.1 Why does poverty persist? . 27 1.2 What can aspirations contribute? . 31 2 Models 39 2.1 Reference point models . 41 2.2 Debraj Ray: aspiration windows and aspiration gaps . 43 2.3 Aspirations, inequality and growth in a formal model . 48 2.4 Psychological aspiration traps . 55 2.5 Other models with applications to specific contexts . 60 3 How do aspirations develop? Insights from behavioural economics 65 3.1 Aspirations and ‘non-standard’ preferences . 66 3.1.1 Social learning and cultural transmission . 67 3.1.2 Adaptive processes . 72 3.2 Aspirations and ‘non-standard’ beliefs . 76 3.2.1 Cognitive dissonance . 79 3 3.2.2 Self-views, self-biases and attribution errors . 83 3.2.3 Selective awareness and mental short-cuts . 85 3.2.4 Mental models and cognitive frames . 88 4 Broadening the view: aspirations and different notions of rationality 93 4.1 The approach of mainstream behavioural economics . 94 4.2 Aspirations and alternative conceptions of rationality . 98 4.3 Rational aspirations in the light of identities .
    [Show full text]
  • Economic Perspectives
    The Journal of The Journal of Economic Perspectives Economic Perspectives The Journal of Spring 2018, Volume 32, Number 2 Economic Perspectives Symposia Does the US Really Gain from Trade? Arnaud Costinot and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, “The US Gains From Trade: Valuation Using the Demand for Foreign Factor Services” Robert C. Feenstra, “Alternative Sources of the Gains from International Trade: Variety, Creative Destruction, and Markups” Teresa C. Fort, Justin R. Pierce, and Peter K. Schott, “New Perspectives on the Decline of US Manufacturing Employment” Dani Rodrik, “What Do Trade Agreements Really Do?” A journal of the Risk in Economics and Psychology American Economic Association Ted O’Donoghue and Jason Somerville, “Modeling Risk Aversion in Economics” Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, and Uwe Sunde, “On the Relationship 32, Number 2 Spring 2018 Volume between Cognitive Ability and Risk Preference” Hannah Schildberg-Hörisch, “Are Risk Preferences Stable?” Rui Mata, Renato Frey, David Richter, Jürgen Schupp, and Ralph Hertwig, “Risk Preference: A View from Psychology” Articles Matthew Weinzierl, “Space, the Final Economic Frontier” Daron Acemoglu, “Dave Donaldson: Winner of the 2017 Clark Medal” Features Bruce Elmslie, “Retrospectives: Adam Smith’s Discovery of Trade Gravity” Recommendations for Further Reading Spring 2018 The American Economic Association The Journal of Correspondence relating to advertising, busi- Founded in 1885 ness matters, permission to quote, or change Economic Perspectives of address should be sent to the AEA business EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE office: [email protected]. Street ad- Elected Officers and Members dress: American Economic Association, 2014 A journal of the American Economic Association President Broadway, Suite 305, Nashville, TN 37203.
    [Show full text]
  • Democracy Does Cause Growth∗
    Democracy Does Cause Growth∗ Daron Acemoglu Suresh Naidu Pascual Restrepo James A. Robinson MIT Columbia MIT Harvard November, 2016. Abstract We provide evidence that democracy has a significant and robust positive effect on GDP per capita. Our empirical strategy controls for country fixed effects and the rich dynamics of GDP, which otherwise confound the effect of democracy on economic growth. To reduce measurement error, we introduce a new dichotomous measure of democracy that consolidates the information from several sources. Our baseline results use a dynamic panel model for GDP, and show that democratizations increase GDP per capita by about 20% in the long run. We find similar effects of democratizations on annual GDP when we control for the estimated propensity of a country to democratize based on past GDP dynamics. We obtain comparable estimates when we instrument democracy using regional waves of democratizations and reversals. Our results suggest that democ- racy increases GDP by encouraging investment, increasing schooling, inducing economic reforms, improving the provision of public goods, and reducing social unrest. We find little support for the view that democracy is a constraint on economic growth for less developed economies. Keywords: Democracy, Growth, Political Development. JEL Classification: P16, O10. ∗ We thank Isaiah Andrews, Joshua Angrist, Jushan Bai, Harald Uhlig, two referees, and seminar participants at AEA 2015, NYU-Abu Dhabi, Boston University and Harvard for very useful comments. Acemoglu gratefully acknowledges support from the Bradley Foundation and ARO MURI Award No. W911NF-12-1-0509. 1 Introduction With the spectacular economic growth under nondemocracy in China, the eclipse of the Arab Spring, and the recent rise of populist politics in Europe and the United States, the view that democratic institutions are at best irrelevant and at worst a hindrance for economic growth has become increasingly popular both in academia and policy discourse.
    [Show full text]