ECOFRAM Aquatic Draft Report (PDF)
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To: all Reviewers of the ECOFRAM Aquatic Report. From: Paul Hendley and Jeff Giddings. May 4, 1999 This report is being sent out in AdobeTM PDF format to ensure that all pagination and diagrams remain consistent across platforms and software. In your reviews, please reference any comments by page number and line number and, if any more written material is issued (see below), by the version name from the header (in this case Aqex_ecofram_Peer01_may499.doc). This report is being issued today in order to give you all a reasonable chance to get through such a long report before the June deadlines. However, as you will see, there are a few areas highlighted to indicate that more effort/material is needed from one of the authors. We apologize that the report is still a “work in progress” but do not believe that these minor incompletions are fundamental to your comprehension of the thinking behind ECOFRAM. If any significant new material is developed in the next 4 weeks, we will send you the information as a courtesy but would not expect you to review the material unless you wished. As the senior editors, Jeff and I accept the responsibility for all errors and omissions but would like to acknowledge the hard work of the rest of the ECOFRAM aquatic workgroup members. Please do not hesitate to contact Jeff or I by email or phone to discuss questions that may occur to you. My contact info is: Paul Hendley Senior Scientist - Technology Development Zeneca Ag Products 1200 South 47th Street Richmond CA 94804-4610 Tel: (510) 231-1499 Fax: (800) 825-7690 Email: [email protected] Jeff’s details are: Jeffrey M Giddings Springborne Laboratories Inc Environmental Sciences Division 790 Main street Wareham, MA 02571 Tel: (508) 295-2550 xt 319 Fax: (508) 295-4724 [email protected] Thank you again for your willingness to review this package. We are looking forward to meeting you all in June. Sincerely Paul and Jeff. ECOFRAM Aquatic Workgroup Co-chairs Aqex_ecofram_Peer01_may499.doc Chapter 1-1 05/04/99 ECOFRAM Aquatic Report 2 Contents 4 1. Executive Overview -...................................................................................................................................................10 6 1.1. Summary 10 1.2. Examples of expression of risk probabilities 10 8 1.3. Recommendations 10 1.3.1. Risk Assessment 10 10 1.3.2. Exposure Assessment 10 1.3.3. Effects Assessment 10 12 1.4. List of tools available 10 1.5. Aquatic Risk Assessment Topics Not Addressed by ECOFRAM 10 14 2. ECOFRAM Aquatic Risk Assessment Process...............................................................................................................1 2.1. ECOFRAM History, Purpose, and Structure 1 16 2.2. Background 2 2.2.1. Earlier Recommendations for Improving Aquatic Risk Assessments 2 18 2.2.2. Rationale for Probabilistic Risk Assessment 2 2.3. ECOFRAM Aquatic Risk Assessment Process 5 20 2.3.1. Overview of the proposed ECOFRAM tiered process 5 2.3.1.1. Tier 1 - Screening......................................................................................................................................6 22 2.3.1.2. Tier 2 - Basic temporal and spatial risk characterization............................................................................7 2.3.1.3. Tier 3: Refining estimates of risk and uncertainty......................................................................................7 24 2.3.1.4. Tier 4: Major programs, sophisticated modeling or mitigation validation studies.......................................9 2.3.1.5. Risk characterization evaluation process..................................................................................................10 26 2.3.1.6. Risk management options........................................................................................................................12 2.3.1.7. The importance of the problem formulation step to the tiered process ......................................................13 28 2.3.2. Concepts Behind the Aquatic Exposure Refinement Process 14 2.3.3. Concepts Behind the Aquatic Effects Refinement Process 15 30 2.3.4. Uncertainty in the Aquatic Risk Assessment Process 16 2.3.5. Tier 1 Risk Assessments 17 32 2.3.5.1. Problem Formulation at Tier 1.................................................................................................................17 2.3.5.2. Exposure Characterization at Tier 1 ........................................................................................................17 34 2.3.5.3. Effects Characterization at Tier 1 ............................................................................................................18 1 Aqex_ecofram_Peer01_may499.doc Chapter 1-2 05/04/99 2.3.5.4. Risk Characterization at Tier 1................................................................................................................19 2 2.3.6. Tier 2 Risk Assessments 21 2.3.6.1. Problem Formulation at Tier 2.................................................................................................................21 4 2.3.6.2. Exposure Characterization at Tier 2 ........................................................................................................22 2.3.6.3. Effects Characterization at Tier 2 ............................................................................................................23 6 2.3.6.4. Risk Characterization at Tier 2................................................................................................................24 2.3.6.5. Risk Management and Mitigation Decisions where Risk Characterization is Judged “Adequate” at Tier 226 8 2.3.7. Tier 3 Risk Assessments 29 2.3.7.1. Problem Formulation at Tier 3.................................................................................................................30 10 2.3.7.2. Exposure Characterization at Tier 3 ........................................................................................................30 2.3.7.3. Effects Characterization at Tier 3 ............................................................................................................32 12 2.3.7.4. Risk Characterization at Tier 3................................................................................................................35 2.3.7.5. Risk Management and Mitigation Decisions at Tier 3..............................................................................36 14 2.3.8. Tier 4 Risk Assessments 36 2.3.8.1. Problem Formulation at Tier 4.................................................................................................................37 16 2.3.8.2. Exposure Characterization at Tier 4 ........................................................................................................37 2.3.8.3. Effects Characterization at Tier 4 ............................................................................................................38 18 2.3.8.4. Risk Characterization at Tier 4................................................................................................................39 2.4. Expression of Probabilities and Reporting of Risk 40 20 2.4.1. Expressing Exposure 40 2.4.2. Expressing Effects Characterization 41 22 2.4.3. Expressing Risk Characterization 41 2.4.3.1. Example..................................................................................................................................................43 24 2.5. Risk Management and Mitigation 44 2.5.1. Risk Assessment Interface 44 26 2.5.2. Mitigation and Risk Reduction 45 2.5.2.1. Overview of Approaches for Mitigating and Managing Perceived Risk....................................................46 28 2.5.2.2. Selecting Mitigation Practices .................................................................................................................47 2.5.3. Communication of Mitigation Alternatives to the Risk Manager 48 30 2.6. Recommendations for Improving Aquatic Risk Assessment and Characterization 49 2.6.1. Recommendations to Improve the Overall Assessment Process 49 32 2.6.2. Recommendations to Improve Risk Characterization 50 2.6.3. Recommendations to Improve Risk Management and Mitigation 52 34 2.7. Aquatic Risk Assessment Issues Not Addressed by ECOFRAM 52 3. ECOFRAM Aquatic Exposure Workgroup Report .........................................................................................................1 36 3.1. Summary and Recommendations 1 3.1.1. Summary 1 2 Aqex_ecofram_Peer01_may499.doc Chapter 1-3 05/04/99 3.1.2. Recommendations 3 2 3.1.2.1. Recommendations to Improve Aquatic Exposure Assessment: ...................................................................3 3.1.2.2. Recommendations to Improve Aquatic Exposure Modeling .......................................................................6 4 3.1.2.3. Aquatic Exposure Modeling and Assessment Issues Not Addressed by ECOFRAM .................................11 3.2. Introduction 12 6 3.2.1. Team Members and Affiliations 12 3.2.2. Initial Workgroup Objectives and Scope 13 8 3.3. A Brief History of Aquatic Risk Assessment Under FIFRA 13 3.4. Background 16 10 3.4.1. Status/Activities of Aquatic Exposure Monitoring Initiatives 16 3.4.1.1. The National Water-Quality Assessment Program (NAWQA) .................................................................16 12 3.4.1.2. Mid-Continent Monitoring Project ..........................................................................................................17 3.4.1.3. Heidelberg College Monitoring