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Naval War College Review Volume 61 Article 1 Number 4 Autumn 2008 Full Autumn 2008 Issue The .SU . Naval War College Follow this and additional works at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review Recommended Citation Naval War College, The .SU . (2008) "Full Autumn 2008 Issue," Naval War College Review: Vol. 61 : No. 4 , Article 1. Available at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss4/1 This Full Issue is brought to you for free and open access by the Journals at U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Naval War College Review by an authorized editor of U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Naval War College: Full Autumn 2008 Issue NAVAL WAR C OLLEGEREVIEW NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Autumn 2008 Volume 61, Number 4 Autumn 2008 Autumn Conversation with the Country N ES AV T A A L T W S A D R E C T I O L N L U E E G H E T I VIRIBU OR A S CT MARI VI Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 1 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 4, Art. 1 Cover A sampling of recent cover and poster art by the Graphic Arts Branch of the Naval War College’s Visual Communications Department. This by no means exhaus- tive selection suggests the scope and vari- ety of the College’s publications and events, and it reflects the striking diversity and quality of the images that the Col- lege’s graphic artists and illustrators have produced to support them. Reading from the top, left to right, on the front cover: the Combined Force Maritime Compo- nent Commander Flag Course series (Course 08-2C was held in Naples, Italy, in July 2008); a China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) conference held in De- cember 2007; the Naval War College Press Newport Paper monographs for 2008 (no. 33 in the series, pictured, is U.S. Naval Strategy in the 1980s: Se- lected Documents, edited by John B. Hattendorf and Peter M. Swartz, forth- coming as this goes to press); a December 2006 product of a long-term CMSI study; the Navy Title X War Game, known as Global ’08, held at the College in August 2008; the August 2007 Naval War Col- lege ethics conference, an ongoing pro- gram; Prof. Jeffrey H. Norwitz’s Armed Groups, which appeared in 2008; the June 2008 Current Strategy Forum; and the International Programs office’s next regional symposium, scheduled for Octo- ber 2008 in Bahrain. On the back cover: a Jerome P. Levy conference held in Febru- ary 2007; a war game at the College con- ducted in June 2008; a workshop held at the College in August 2008; the multicity, multiyear “Conversations with the Coun- try” program; a conference held at the College in June 2008; and the Naval War College’s most recent graduation cere- mony, on 20 June 2008. https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss4/1 2 Naval War College: Full Autumn 2008 Issue NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Autumn 2008 Volume 61, Number 4 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS 686 Cushing Road Newport, RI 02841-1207 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 3 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 4, Art. 1 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS ADVISORY BOARD PRESIDENT, NAVAL WAR COLLEGE Adam Bellow Rear Adm. Jacob L. Shuford, USN Capt. Wayne P. Hughes, USN (Ret.) PROVOST AND DEAN OF ACADEMICS (ACTING) Gale Mattox William R. Spain Robert Silano Marin Strmecki DEAN OF NAVAL WARFARE STUDIES Dov Zakheim Robert C. Rubel NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW EDITORIAL BOARD Carnes Lord, Editor Audrey Kurth Cronin Pelham G. Boyer, Managing Editor Peter Dombrowski Phyllis P. Winkler, Book Review Editor Stephen Downes-Martin Lori A. Almeida, Secretary and Circulation Manager Col. Theodore L. Gatchel, USMC (Ret.) Frank Uhlig, Jr., Editor Emeritus Capt. Dennis Mandsager, JAGC, USN (Ret.) William C. Martel Naval War College Review Col. Mackubin Owens, USMC (Ret.) Code 32, Naval War College Lt. Cdr. Derek S. Reveron, USN 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, RI 02841-1207 Capt. Peter M. Swartz, USN (Ret.) Fax: 401.841.1071 Scott C. Truver DSN exchange, all lines: 948 Karl F. Walling Website: www.nwc.navy.mil/press James J. Wirtz Editor, Circulation, or Business 401.841.2236 [email protected] Managing Editor 401.841.4552 [email protected] Newport Papers, Books [email protected] Essays and Book Reviews 401.841.6584 [email protected] Other Naval War College Offices 401.841.3089 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss4/1 4 Naval War College: Full Autumn 2008 Issue The Naval War College Review was established in 1948 as a forum for discussion of public policy matters of interest to the maritime services. The thoughts and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the U.S. government, the U.S. Navy Department, or the Naval War College. The journal is published quarterly. Distribution is limited generally to commands and activities of the U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard; regular and reserve officers of U.S. services; foreign officers and civilians having a present or previous affiliation with the Naval War College; selected U.S. government officials and agen- cies; and selected U.S. and international libraries, research centers, publications, and educational institutions. Contributors Please request the standard contributors’ guidance from the managing editor or access it online before submitting manuscripts. The Naval War College Review nei- ther offers nor makes compensation for articles or book reviews, and it assumes no responsibility for the return of manuscripts, although every effort is made to return those not accepted. In submitting work, the sender warrants that it is original, that it is the sender’s property, and that neither it nor a similar work by the sender has been accepted or is under consideration elsewhere. 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ISSN 0028-1484 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 5 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 4, Art. 1 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss4/1 6 Naval War College: Full Autumn 2008 Issue CONTENTS From the Editors. 5 President’s Forum . 9 Europe’s Unstable Southeast . 15 John R. Schindler Western accomplishments in the Balkans since the 1990s are genuine and important, but has the mission been accomplished? The costs of recent inattention are mounting and may yet again lead to crisis in the region, which NATO and the United States will be unable to ignore. The Maritime Strategy and China Assessing the New U.S. Maritime Strategy A Window into Chinese Thinking . 35 Andrew S. Erickson Chinese reactions to the U.S. Navy’s new maritime strategy provide a window into a larger strategic dynamic—not just in East Asia, where China is already developing as a great power, but globally, where it has the potential to play a major role as well. Three unofficial Chinese articles seem particularly useful for assessing those reactions. The New U.S. Maritime Strategy Surfaces . 54 Lu Rude The U.S. Military’s “Maritime Strategy” and Future Transformation. 62 Wang Baofu The U.S. Maritime Strategy’s New Thinking: Reviewing the “Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower” . 68 Su Hao World War II: Operational Deception Fortuitous Endeavor Intelligence and Deception in Operation TORCH . 73 Commander John Patch, U.S. Navy (Retired) The Allied invasion of North Africa in November 1942 combined detailed planning, aggressive signals intelligence, deception, operational security, and good luck to achieve success seldom repeated—and that cannot be in the future if the episode’s lessons are not heeded. Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 7 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 4, Art. 1 2 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW “Catching the Fox Unaware” Japanese Radio Denial and Deception and the Attack on Pearl Harbor . 99 Robert J. Hanyok In the months before the Pearl Harbor attack, a comprehensive radio denial and deception plan fed the Americans information that seemed to confirm that the Imperial Japanese Navy was doing what it had exercised for decades—awaiting the attack of the U.S. Pacific Fleet. But Admiral Yamamoto had changed the script. EASTERN EXIT Rescue “. From the Sea” . 125 Gary J. Ohls Operation EASTERN EXIT, the January 1991 evacuation of the U.S. embassy in Mogadishu, Somalia, was an early and improvised, but highly successful, application of the expeditionary concepts devised to meet the emerging (dis)order of the post–Cold War world. Book Reviews Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet: The New Geopolitics of Energy, by Michael T. Klare reviewed by Richmond M. Lloyd . 149 The Terrorism Ahead: Confronting Transnational Violence in the Twenty-first Century, by Paul Smith reviewed by Christopher Jasparro . 150 Salvaging American Defense: The Challenge of Strategic Overstretch, by Anthony Cordesman reviewed by Peter Dombrowski .