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DRAFT 2018 Regional Transportation Plan and Sustainable Communities Strategy

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StratoLaunch System by Scaled Composites, Mojave Air & Space Port DRAFT 2018 Regional Transportation Plan and Sustainable Communities Strategy Pedestrian Overpass, McFarland Bike Rodeo, Bike Bakersfield Amtrak, Bakersfield Station Native American Petroglyph Monument Median Art, Ridgecrest Kern Council of Governments Board of Directors Chairman: Cheryl Wegman Vice Chairman: Bob Smith Executive Director: Ahron Hakimi City of Arvin City of Bakersfield Jose Gurrola Bob Smith City of California City City of Delano Jennifer A. Wood Rueben Pascual City of Maricopa City of McFarland Gary Mock Manuel Cantu City of Ridgecrest City of Shafter Michael R. Mower Cathy Prout City of Taft City of Tehachapi Orchel Krier Philip A. Smith City of Wasco County of Kern Cheryl Wegman David Couch County of Kern Zack Scrivner Military Joint Planning Policy Board Golden Empire Transit District Scott Kiernan Cindy Parra Caltrans District 6 Gail Miller TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES-1 CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION Regional Planning Process 1-1 Federal Surface Transportation Act 1-3 Overview of State Requirements 1-3 Public Outreach 1-5 Transportation Planning in the Kern Region 1-6 Content of the 2014 RTP 1-9 Policy Element 1-9 Planning Assumptions 1-9 Sustainable Communities Strategy 1-10 Strategic Investment 1-10 Financial Element 1-10 Future Links 1-10 Monitoring Progress 1-10 Glossary & Acronyms 1-10 Appendices 1-11 CHAPTER 2 – TRANSPORTATION PLANNING POLICIES Introduction 2-1 Goals/Policies 2-2 Directions to 2050 Principles for Growth/RTP Goals Comparison Matrix 2-14 Integrated Performance Measures and 2-15 Environmental Justice/Title VI Analysis Performance Measures Analysis Methodology 2-15 CHAPTER 3 – PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS Growth Trends 3-1 Primary Forecasts 3-2 Number of Households 3-3 Population 3-3 Group Quarters Population 3-4 Average Household 3-4 Number of Housing Units 3-4 Vacancy Rate 3-5 Employment 3-5 Jobs Per Household 3-6 Comparison to Other Forecasts 3-6 Employment Forecast Comparison 3-8 Sub Regional Forecast Distributions 3-9 Demographics 3-12 Land Use Nexus 3-13 Sustainable Communities Strategy 3-14 CHAPTER 4 – SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITIES STRATEGY A Sustainable Communities Strategy for the Kern Region 4-1 What is the Sustainable Communities Strategy? 4-1 What is the Purpose of the Sustainable Communities Strategy? 4-2 The Kern Region: Unlike any Other in California 4-4 Local and Regulatory Framework for the Kern Region 4-5 Sustainable Communities Strategy Laying the Groundwork for the Sustainable Communities Strategy 4-5 Regulatory Framework 4-9 Community Engagement 4-11 Public Participation Requirements 4-11 Agency Input and Consultation with Local Elected Officials 4-12 Kern COG Public Involvement Procedure 4-13 Summary of Activities 4-14 Overview of Community Input 4-16 Environmental and Social Equity Roundtable 4-16 Sustainable Development Pattern 4-17 Current Uses, Residential Densities, and Building Intensities 4-17 Rural/Urban Connectivity Strategy 4-20 Forecast Development Pattern 4-23 Regional Housing Needs 4-33 Conserving Resource Areas and Farmland 4-35 Moving People and Goods in Kern County: A Sustainable 4-43 Transportation Network Revenue-Constrained Network 4-44 Transportation Demand Management Measures 4-49 Transportation System Management Measures 4-50 Pricing Measures 4-50 Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Kern County 4-50 Comparison to Reduction Targets 4-51 State Level Strategies 4-52 Regional Strategies 4-52 Incentives and Other Approaches 4-53 Promoting sustainability through Incentives and Collaboration 4-53 Other Sustainable Practices 4-55 SB 375 Streamlining the CEQA Process 4-56 Project Selection Criteria 4-58 Community Travel Feedback Monitoring System 4-60 A Great Start: Sustainable Community Success Stories 4-60 Adaptive Planning for Climate Change 4-61 CHAPTER 5 – STRATEGIC INVESTMENTS Introduction 5-1 Freight Movement Action Element 5-14 Existing System 5-14 Needs and Issues 5-21 Proposed Actions 5-23 Public Transportation Action Element 5-24 Existing Transit Services 5-24 Important Accomplishments 5-27 Transit Needs and Issues 5-28 Recent Transit Planning Activities 5-31 Proposed Public Transportation Actions 5-36 Active Transportation Action Element 5-38 Existing Systems 5-38 Accomplishments Since 2012 5-38 Needs and Issues 5-39 Current Planning Activities 5-40 Proposed Active Transportation Actions 5-40 Transportation Air Emissions Reduction Action Element 5-42 Existing System 5-42 Transportation Control Measures 5-43 Needs and Issues 5-44 Proposed Actions 5-46 Intelligent Transportation Systems Action Element 5-48 Kern Early Deployment plan Needs and Issues 5-48 Kern ITS Programs 5-49 2018 ITS Plan for the Kern Region 5-49 ITS Benefits 5-50 San Joaquin Valley ITS Plan 5-50 Proposed Actions 5-51 Congestion Management Program Action Element 5-52 Purpose 5-52 Contents 5-53 Monitoring and Implementation Process 5-55 Designated Regional Transportation System 5-55 Congestion Management Program System 5-56 Level of Service Standards 5-59 Adopted Level of Service Standards 5-59 Mitigating Deficiencies 5-60 Congestion Management Agency Role 5-61 Conformance Monitoring 5-62 Determination of Nonconformance 5-62 Appeals Process 5-63 Regional Streets and Highways Action Element 5-64 Existing Streets and Highways System 5-64 Major Accomplishments 5-65 Needs and Issues 5-69 Proposed Regional Streets and Highways Actions 5-78 Aviation Action Element 5-80 Existing Aviation System 5-80 Needs and Issues 5-85 Recent Aviation Planning Activities 5-86 Proposed Actions 5-87 Safety/Security Action Element 5-88 Recent Planning Activities 5-89 Transportation Security 5-90 Land Use Action Element 5-92 Global Gateways Land Use Actions 5-93 Conflicting Land Uses – Setback Distances 5-96 Global Gateways – Land Use Actions 5-98 Rail/Transit Land Use Actions 5-99 Existing Tools and Concepts 5-101 New Tools and Concepts 5-102 Proposed Rail/Transit-Related Land Use Actions 5-106 Highway/Road Land Use Actions 5-107 Proposed Road/Highway Land Use Actions 5-115 Land Use Decisions Outside Kern County 5-116 Proposed Actions 5-116 CHAPTER 6 – FINANCING TRANSPORTATION Financial Analysis Process 6-1 Revenue Projection Assumptions 6-1 Revenue Sources 6-5 Local Revenue 6-5 State Revenue 6-7 Federal Revenue 6-7 Baseline Expenditures 6-7 Financial Constraint Demonstration 6-8 Funding Shortfall of $36.7 Billion 6-8 Future Revenue Shortfalls for Transportation Maintenance & Expansion 6-9 Possible Solution: Toll-based System and Congestion Pricing 6-10 Possible Solution: Mileage-Based User Fee 6-11 (or Equivalent Fuel Tax Adjustment) CHAPTER 7 – FUTURE LINKS Corridor Preservation 7-1 Needed Unfunded Projects and Funding Mechanisms 7-2 Adaptive Cruise Control and Driverless Car Technology 7-3 High-Speed Rail 7-3 Terminal Impact Analysis 7-7 Potential Commuter Rail Feeder System 7-7 Heavy Maintenance Facility 7-8 Air Quality Contingencies 7-8 Valleywide Chapter 7-9 CHAPTER 8 – MONITORING PROGRESS Federal Transportation Improvement Program (FTIP) 8-1 Regional Transportation Improvement Program (RTIP) 8-2 Transportation Improvement Database Management 8-2 Air Quality Conformity Monitoring 8-2 California Clean Air Act Transportation Performance Standards 8-4 Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS) and Regional 8-4 And Regional Traffic Count Program Regional Travel Demand Model 8-5 Congestion Management Program (CMP) 8-7 Community Progress Tracking and Assistance Program 8-7 Intergovernmental Review 8-8 Conclusion 8-8 CHAPTER 9 – GLOSSARY AND ACRONYMS 9-1 APPENDICES APPENDIX A Regional Transportation Plan Checklist APPENDIX B Public Information Policies and Procedures APPENDIX C Outreach Results APPENDIX D Integrated Performance Measures Analysis APPENDIX E A Great Start: Sustainable Community Success Stories APPENDIX F San Joaquin Valley Regional Overview APPENDIX G CIP Expenditure Plan By Sub Areas APPENDIX H Response to Comments (To Be Included with Final RTP) TABLES Table 2-1: Regional Transportation Plan Goals, Policies and Actions 2-2 Table 2-2: Directions to 2050 Principles for Growth/RTP Goals 2-14 Comparison Matrix Table 2-3: RTP Goals, Performance Measures Analysis Summary 2-16 By RTP Goals for System Level, Smart Mobility Framework, Health Equity and Environmental Justice and Title VI areas Table 3-1: Number of Households Forecast Summary, Kern County 3-3 Table 3-2: Population Forecast Summary, Kern County 3-4 Table 3-3: Number of Housing Units Forecast Summary, Kern County 3-5 Table 3-4: Total Employment Forecast Summary, Kern County 3-6 Table 3-5: Growth Trends for Kern County and Selected Communities 3-10 Table 4-1: Farmers Markets in the Kern Region 4-20 Table 4-2: RHNA by Income Category 4-34 Table 4-3: Vacant Land Capacity for housing Units by Jurisdiction 4-35 Table 4-4: Kern County Important Farmland Conversion 1988-2042 4-40 Table 4-5: Bicycle Travel Facility Mileage in Kern County 4-48 Table 4-6: Results of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Vehicle 4-51 Trips Reductions Table 4-7: Proposed Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Vehicle Trips 4-54 Reduction Strategies Table 4-8: Consistency of RTP Goals with Performance 4-58 Measures Outcomes Table 4-9: Consistency of SCS Framework Strategies with 4-59 Funding Program Outcomes Table 5-1: Constrained Capital Improvement Program 5-4 Table 5-2: Unconstrained Program of Projects 5-9 Table 5-3: Public Transit Operators Within Kern County 5-25 Table 5-4: Passengers Transported by Kern County Transit Operators 5-26 Table 5-5: Examples of ITS Benefits 5-50 Table 5-6: Levels of Service 5-59
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