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Thursday, February 24, 2000 ! Volume 6, Number 23 Page 1 of 8 High probability of The a Gore/Bayh ticket Howey !"#$%&'(")*&""#+#),(-&'.)!-(/)&/)%0$1#% By BRIAN A. HOWEY in and MARK SCHOEFF JR.. in Washington There was one memorable night in August 1996, at Political Chicago, during the first Democratic National Convention there since the bloody one in ‘68. This was the night of ’s address - his formal ascension to the national stage. The buzz in the crowd was the breaking news of Dick Report Morris’s cavorting with a toe-tickling prostitute. There were two other towering figures elbowing, glaring and seeking a The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is lengthy bask in the limelight: and Vice an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the President . Both spoke at length during the minimal political process in . network prime time coverage. Bayh proteges anxiously and Brian A. Howey, publisher quietly seethed at the infringement on Bayh’s airtime. Some of his allies wondered if the vice president and the first lady Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer weren’t keeping the young governor in his place. Certainly Jack E. Howey, editor the ‘72 fiasco when George McGovern gave his acceptance The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 speech in the wee hours of the morning was a present PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-254-2405 thought as the Bayh aides waited in the hallways, taking fre- Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 [email protected] quent peeks at their wristwatches. www.howeypolitics.com Evan Bayh began delivering his keynote address just Washington office: 202-775-3242 minutes before the 11 o’clock news on the Eastern Seaboard, and many markets stayed with the speech. It wasn’t a great Business Office: 317-254-0535. Pager: 317-320-2722 speech - though shorter than ’s bomb in ‘88. The Daytime number: 317-254-2400, Ext. 273 fact that Bayh was giving this speech, however, was an Subscriptions: $250 annually via e-mail or establishment nod at a potential legacy. fax. Call 317-254-1533. In evaluating the unfolding circumstances of the 2000 presidential race, and after talking to key insiders, HPR is © 2000, The Howey Political Report. All rights forecasting a strong probability that Bayh will join the reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- Democratic ticket as the vice presidential nominee, thus cre- tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without consent of the publisher. Continued on page 2

Ticker Tape: McIntosh hits BMV p. 2 “One of the things you get with a lopsided HPR Interview: Gov. O’Bannon p. 4 district is that the winners never feel threat- Horse Race: Phipps endorses Pence; ened and the losers always feel disenfran- Pool, Thompson back Griffiths; chised. That doesn’t help overall voter Sen. Lugar targets food, fuel; turnout...”- Republican Chairman John Sweezy, Kellems tapes Hill’s ‘phantom on the 6th CD, to the Indianapolis Star campaign HQ’ p. 7-8 Thursday, February 24, 2000 Page 2 of 8

relative outsider (to contrast Bush’s logi- Gore/Bayh, from page 1 cal attack on Gore as the consummate ating an ironic reunion of that weirdly insider). His geography would give him audacious night in Chicago, and com- an advantage over other short list pletely reframing the Indiana political Democrats: Sen. of environment. The chances of a Gore/Bayh , Energy Sec. Bill Richardson, McCAIN: DON’T FEAR THIS ticket as a marquee feature just above the or Sen. Diane Feinstein of California. CAMPAIGN: U.S. Sen. John historic Hillary Clinton-Guiliani Senate ! Gender: Due to the traditional McCain’s stunning victories race in New York makes great sense. Here GOP sag with female voters, Bush might in Michigan and Arizona brought an emphatic plea to is how we calculate this Republicans. McCain por- rather bold deduction: trayed his crusade as one of ! Electoral College: a “Reagan conservative, Do the math. Democratic protector of the unborn, a strategists believe Gore will tax cutter.” McCain declar- carry New York, California, ed, “I am Al Gore’s worst Pennsylvania and the nightmare. I will beat Al Northeast. George W. Bush Gore like a drum.” Indiana’s will carry Texas, Florida and presidential primary comes most of the South, the inter- on May 2. mountain West and the Great be inclined to select , who LUGAR ON VEEP RADAR: Plains. What is up for grabs is the Great Sen. Evan Bayh's Hoosier Midwest: The biggest plums being made her peace with him prior to New colleague, Republican (22), Michigan (18) and Ohio (21), for a Hampshire. Many Democratic observers Senator , is combined total of 61 EC votes. Add other don’t believe that will be a Gore priority. being mentioned as a possi- probable battleground states in comple- ! Battle of Congress: Again, the ble vice presidential choice mentary media markets - Kentucky (8), fulcrum for control of the U.S. House lies for Texas Gov. George W. Missouri (11) and, yes, Indiana (12) with in the Ohio Valley with key races in Ohio, Bush, if he can stave off a favorite son on the ticket - and that Kentucky, Illinois and Indiana’s 8th and Sen. John McCain after his number swells to 92 votes. The balance of 9th CDs. With only six net seats between stunning loss in Michigan the Democrats and big power, Evan Bayh Tuesday. "I wouldn't be a bit the 2000 election teeters on a Great surprised to see Lugar on Midwest fulcrum. Evan Bayh emerges can make a reasonable case that his emer- the short list because he from the heart of it all. gence on the national ticket could offset complements Bush," said ! Reforming Governors: We Sen. Richard Lugar’s popularity in Ind- Charlie Cook of the Cook believe there is a strong potential that iana and perhaps nudge the 8th and 9th Political Report. "Bush Gov. Bush will select a fellow reformer CDs into the Democratic column. The fact needs someone with heavy governor as a running mate. A McCain that U.S. Rep. and 8th CD duty substantive Washing- nomination would bring unpredictable challengers Paul Perry and John Hamilton ton experience and some- choices. Bush defends his status as an out- have displayed potent fundraising power one who exudes adulthood. side reformer and has expressed great will make the Bayh scenario as part of the That describes Lugar." congressional picture very appealing. Ron Faucheux of Campaign admiration for his brethren governors. & Elections magazine, also Based on the Electoral College profile, ! Shadow of . Evan ranks Lugar highly. "If Bush three Republicans immediately jump to Bayh is no Dan Quayle, and enough peo- tries to get someone to the forefront: Govs. John Engler of ple know it. compensates for his lack of Michigan (now tainted), Tommy ! Vetting: Evan Bayh is squeaky foreign policy experience, Thompson of Wisconsin and Sen. George clean. National reporters wouldn’t be call- Lugar would be a good Voinovich of Ohio. Bush is said to also ing Indiana newsrooms on the day of the choice. He would be on the greatly admire Pennsylvania Gov. Tom veep selection bellowing, “Got any dirt on short list." Ridge. Bayh would be presented as a ...?” as they did in 1988 with Quayle. Democratic counterweight - a conserva- ! The Intangible. This is where Continued on page 3 tive, reformer (welfare) governor, and a Joe Andrew comes in. The Democratic Page 3 of 8 Thursday, February 24, 2000

National chair was a Bayh appointee in the best interest of winning. My job is when he emerged in Indiana, then whip- to make sure we have a strategy to win, ped out of his orbit and on to the national no matter who the presidential nominee is, stage a year ago. Andrew has the ear of let alone the vice presidential nominee." both President Clinton and Vice President Most observers agree that Bayh is Gore. He is the essential conduit who will on a short list with Richardson and Fein- McINTOSH HITS BMV: vividly and enthusiastically sell to Gore stein. "There's no homerun choice out Republican gubernatorial Bayh’s aforementioned attributes. Plus, there for Gore," said Charlie Cook, editor candidate castigated Gov. Bayh’s ascension helps Andrew with of the Cook Political Report. "If he starts Frank O’Bannon over “mis- things near and dear to his heart: It bol- looking for a good, solid double, then management” of the Bureau sters Gov. Frank O’Bannon and Baron Evan Bayh will fit the bill. I can't think of of Motor Vehicles on Tues- day. McIntosh said the BMV Hill, nips the national emergence of David anyone who has a better chance of getting has had six months of tur- McIntosh in the bud, tips U.S. Rep. John the nod." moil, and wasn’t prepared Hostettler to defeat while helping the "The first thing Gore's going to for the Y2K problems. He party regain control of the House, and have to do is decide whether he's going to advocated putting BMV sticks it to old nemesis Mike McDaniel - put a woman on the ticket," said Ron branches in banks and car all back home in Indiana. Faucheux, editor of Campaign & Elec- dealerships. “Anybody who Of course, it was Dick Morris who tions. "If you take the possibility of a has waited in line know it’s ignited the Bayh/veep talk on CNN’s woman off the table, then Evan Bayh time to make changes,” said Larry King Live late last year. would be the top choice among male McIntosh (WISH-TV) O’BANNON STRIKES ON Democrats at this point." TAXES: Gov. Frank Bayh for Safety, Record By virtue of his having to win elec- O’Bannon is alleging that When it comes to choosing a vice tions and govern in a Republican state, the House Republican tax presidential candidate, politicos have Bayh has cultivated a moderate, crossover plan would increase home- something in common with doctors, they sheen. "What Bayh would bring is a clear owner taxes by 13 percent, while cutting business and have to follow the Hippocratic Oath: First appeal to the more independent-minded, utility taxes by 34 and 43 do no harm. Washington pundits and less partisan voter," said Thomas Mann, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. percent respectively. He scholars call Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh charged that the Senate a safe choice for Vice President Al Gore, Republican tax plan would if Gore wins the Democratic presidential Andrew's Influence have residential property nomination. Other Bayh strong suits Joe Andrew, who is at ground zero taxes increasing 33 percent include his centrist positions, intelligence, in the Democratic battle zone, is in a and farm taxes by 3 percent executive experience as a governor, prime position to help his friend. He will while business and utility telegenic face and elite political pedigree. get ample opportunity to bend Gore's ear. reductions would be 18 and 34 percent. “Both Repub- "No one is going to have to lobby on He also is scandal free. lican plans would help busi- Andrew said the vice presidential behalf of Evan Bayh to get him into the nesses at the expense of list is replete with people who share com- mix," said Chris Sautter, a Democratic homeowners,” O’Bannon mon policy approaches, including fiscal consultant in Washington. "On the other said. discipline, support for education reform, hand, it doesn't hurt to have a close politi- environmental preservation, Social cal friend as head of the DNC." Andrew O’BANNON PRIORITY Security and Medicare reform, and crime "wouldn't have his job, if he didn't have a DEFEATED: House Demo- reduction. Bayh fits comfortably in the relationship with Gore," Sautter said. It is crats let Gov. O’Bannon’s priority bill that would rubric. "He is someone who has not just unclear whether Andrew's voice will be impose higher penalties on preached fiscal discipline, he has lived it," decisive. "When you get to that choice, industrial polluters die in Andrew said. "That's the issue that makes it's going to be Gore with a few trusted their chamber. The first him and dozens of other candidates attrac- advisers," said Norm Ornstein of the attempt died on Feb. 1 when tive." But Andrew played Bayh's vice American Enterprise Institute. "That's how bill author Rep. Jeb Bardon presidential possibilities close to the vest. Gore operates. I'd be surprised if Joe was sick when the bill was "I'm going to continue to advocate what's Andrew is there."" continued on page 4 Thursday, February 24, 2000 Page 4 of 8 O’Bannon defends ISTEP, IDEM INDIANAPOLIS - I had been wait- tests. We must have a Graduation ing in the ancient lobby of Gov. Frank Qualification Exam. Otherwise we don’t O’Bannon’s outer office, when I heard a know if kids have academic skills when to be heard. Last Thursday, familiar, yet peculiar noise. they leave high school. What we’ve got House Speaker John Gregg A few minutes later, as the newspa- now in Indiana - got a meeting this refused to call down a com- per publisher-turned-governor greeted me Monday; the Education Roundtable - in mittee report for a vote. in his office, I told him about the noise. I which it’s half business people and half O’Bannon spokeswoman was listening to someone tap away on a educators, deciding on the policies and Cheryl Reed told the Anderson Herald-Bulletin, typewriter. I hadn’t heard that sound in a programs here in Indiana and how they “The governor will continue long time. O’Bannon, a man who continu- line up - align - to make sure we get the to work through the legisla- ally talks about the new millennium and results by tive process to get that lan- 2016, chuckled, talked for a spell about continuously guage revived in whatever his 14-year-old grandson playing basket- improving the form possible. It is still a ball, and the interview began. students. That priority for the governor.” Brian Howey: I haven’t seen your took a lot of Said bill sponsor, Rep. Jack reaction to the GQE. Put this into perspec- effort for the Lutz, “I don’t know what tive. Where do we stand on ISTEP? Are past two they are afraid of.” you pleased with the 83/17 pass/fail ratio? years to bring those groups together. And UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: Indiana’s December jobless Gov. O’Bannon: There’s no ques- I’m talking about the Chamber of rate stood at 2.9 percent, tion that we need tests to assess what the Commerce and the teachers organizations, compared to a 3.7 percent outcomes are on our education, how well who came together to pass the bills last national rate. a student is doing. How well a school is year to set up the standards assessment doing. WIth the historic changes in the and accountability. It had never happened VISITING GAMBLING direction of public education that were before in the history of Indiana education. GROUND ZERO: Tom Grey, passed last year - the standards assessment That’s why I’m saying it’s the most executive director of the bill and the accountability bill - tests are a important thing. National Coalition Against vital part of that. Doesn’t mean it can’t be Howey: Are you getting the kind of Gambling, came to improved. Our goal is that we set these accountability you sought in your 1999 Hammond and told the Gary Post-Tribune, “Twenty per- standards like we do on the GQE, then State of the State address? cent of homeless people make sure everything we do from kinder- O’Bannon: Yes, we’re working on have a gambling problem. garten on follows certain standards in that. Right now our standard, as judged by As long as we get our sew- each class and they’re tested to see if the Fordham Foundation, says we have ers done and a vehicle tax they’re improving. It’s based on continu- the 10th best standards among all the rebate, that’s OK? I think ous improvement of each student and each states. we’re better than that.” Said school building. The only way to do it is Howey: That 17 percent - did that John Wolf of the Indiana not more inputs; make the class sizes surprise you? Put that in perspective. chapter, “We have reached smaller; have a better building; pay the O’Bannon: It was 40 percent to a rather critical point here in teachers more. This is based on outcomes; begin with. And through remediation that Indiana. We’re going to fight it all the way.” this is based on results. To do that you in ‘98 I had to find money ... $5 million to have to have some way to assess. The help go to the schools and say, “You O’BANNON ON I-69: During national education summit in 1996 that remediate these kids. We’ll help you.” the HPR Interview, we asked was called by the governors all over the They were doing it anyhow. They weren’t Gov. O’Bannon if the I-69 country and the CEOs of the big corpora- dropping out. As long as someone cared extension to Evansville tions focused on standards and assess- and gave them support, they were going would happen. He respond- ments. They’re moving next to building to pass it. We’ve got it up to 83 percent ed, “Well, it depends on the capacity, teacher training, teacher quality and with one more test, it ought to be, I engineering report as and that type of thing. So you can do don’t know, close to 90 percent. That’s required by the federal gov- those standards. So we must have ISTEP what we said two years ago: Give us rem- continued on page 5 Page 5 of 8 Thursday, February 24, 2000 ediation money and get this done. The Howey: I’ve heard both the hard thing on that first class; what I told Republican challengers talking about them, “It’s tough on you. We don’t know going to the Iowa Test and that there if you’ve really been prepared on that test ought to be some kind of assessment after to have everything aligned. To say that by each grade. ernment’s highway depart- the time you’ve been there you’ve been O’Bannon: I think we’ll do that. ment. That’s why we’re taught math and science and language We’ve got to see if there’s improvement looking at every alternative. arts that you’ve got to be able to pass. I’m every year. The Iowa Test would not fit We’re looking at I-69 from so excited. That’s one reason I look for- our standards. That has no relevance on Indianapolis past Bloom- ward to the next four years. This is going what we’re trying to do here. We’ve got to ington to Evansville; from to change education in Indiana. To dis- set our own standards based on the best Indianapolis to Terre Haute mantle it in some way is a great disservice standards we can find in the country. down 41, or we’re looking at to the leadership that has put this together. Howey: Is the state on a “stay the no route. That’s what the report will be about that Howey: How will the Roundtables course” mentality? everyone can look at. influence accountability? O’Bannon: The alternative is to Hopefully it will be done O’Bannon: When we started the say failure and stop when we’ve done with numbers that everyone informal roundtables back in ‘98, we some powerful things in the past 10, says, ‘These are the num- talked about measuring results and we had almost 15 years. We’ve done 250 discon- bers’ instead of different people come in that are experts on stan- nected improvements. We need to connect groups and places giving us dards and testing. Such as Achieve, which them all and focus on those standards. new numbers.” is the not-for-profit arm of the governors You can’t do that by saying we’re going and businesses that they put together to to stop and start again. The way we’re NEW SOUDER STAFFER: judge the states. We just had our standards doing it now can be the most successful Rep. (R-CD 4) judged by Achieve this past six months. way that it can be done. has hired Elizabeth Vandelene Rogers as a leg- Howey: I want to shift to IDEM We need to improve. We need to be more islative assistant. Rogers rigorous. But they’re jargon free and and the fish kill. From your perspective, will handle federal budget they’re clear. That came out of the round- what have we learned from the White and tax legislation, and reg- table discussions. We had people come in River? ulatory issues, including and talk about early childhood develop- O’Bannon: There are still big dis- commerce, trade and health ment, education, new brain research. asters that can happen in a fish kill in the care. Rogers previously We’ve talked about teacher quality and White River or any river. Ohio had the worked for three years as the importance of professional training. same thing in the Ohio River last June. assistant director of govern- That training at the college level and in- They haven’t got it answered yet. It’s the ment affairs for the Insurance Institute of service has got to be focused again on same kind of results that we’ve had. Indiana. Her husband, those standards. The roundtable overlooks We’ve got ours more focused on it. What George, is a legislative this and all the policies and programs that we learned from this is that our rapid assistant for Republican we have in Indiana education - whether response team was there early; as soon as Sen. Richard Lugar. we add to them, drop them or realign. It’s they were notified. They were notified a a powerful movement forward. It’s diffi- week late. They began to determine if it CLERK POSTS TEN COM- cult to explain because everyone either was harmful to human health and it was- MANDMENTS: Delaware talks about schools as failures or teachers n’t. Then they kept watching it and the County Clerk Karen Wenger working so hard they’re getting burned foam got bigger and the fish certainly has posted the Ten Com- out. died. DNR was there for that so they kept mandments in her private office after the Indiana Howey: Do the urban disparities in testing; over 300 tests to try and figure House and Senate each ISTEP scores concern you? where it came from. They couldn’t get the passed bills approving the O’Bannon: Sure. It’s a big concern answers from the treatment plant initially. display. "I want to challenge and something we ought to look at direct- As we’ve looked at it and we’ll be the issue," Wenger told the ly. We do know that how kids do in reviewing it, the biggest improvement Star Press. "I feel that school is almost directly connected to the could be on information. families’ economic condition. continued on page 7 continued on page 6 Thursday, February 24, 2000 Page 6 of 8

Howey: Relayed to the public? that we’ve had as long as I have been in O’Bannon: Yes. And they didn’t state government. In every department of do it. If it’s human health it’s disseminat- government. And out of those reversions ed right away. If it’s animal health then they amount to one, one and a half per- you do that a different way. It was con- cent. I think it might have gone up to 6 fined to the fish. It didn’t kill anything percent during the recession. It’s lower strongly about it." else. They knew, so they took that path. than most departments. Those reversions What happened was there was so much go back into the general fund. We try to ALLIANCE FOR BETTER anxiety in the public with the dead fish cut those down; we tell them “Don’t bud- CAMPAIGNS FORMS: A star-studded "Indiana and the big foam that there should have get your reversions.” We say, if you’re Alliance for Better Cam- been more information and that’s why we going to do it, do it up front, so we know paigns" announced its affili- did the four meetings later on to explain what they are. It used to be we plan 50, ation with the national orga- every step that was taken. We’ll review 100, 150 million dollars out of $8-9 bil- nization and will "urge the that when this thing is concluded; after we lion budget. Over 10 years they total it up television industry to open do our job of catching the polluter and to over $14 million (IDEM/DNR). In the airwaves to brief nightly levying the penalties, whenever that might those 10 years, IDEM’s budget has grown forums in the 2000 election be done. The last thing is we’re the pro- by 33 percent; grown by another third in season." The co-chairs of tectors and restorers of our rivers. Our the number of employees. But the impres- the Indiana Alliance are for- rivers are in better shape in Indiana than sion you get - from people writing and lis- mer congressman Jr. and former state they ever have been. It doesn’t mean they tening - is we’re understaffed. We’ve senator Virginia Blanken- are all the best. improved IDEM and continue to take baker. Others involved are Howey: The Republicans are say- those steps. We can do better, but the state U.S. Rep. , ing the legislation you pushed in your is moving in the right direction. Amos Brown, Prof. Steve State of the State speech is dying in the Howey: Would you consider a Bell, Paul Severance, Prof. legislature because you don’t want to talk death penalty moratorium? David Hadley, Mary Ann about it. O’Bannon: We always look at that. Maroon-Davis, Barry Levitt, O’Bannon: I’ve discussed it from That’s probably the toughest job as gover- Christopher Williams, Dr. the day in the first week that we knew nor; going back and combing through Walter Gantz, Sam Jones, what happened. I met with IDEM for the everything that’s taken place. Indiana has Suellen Jackson-Boner, Dr. Dick Yeager, C. Edward first two hours. We spent New Years Eve a very advanced system of protection Weistheimer, Sheila Suess- afternoon seeing if they’d taken each step against anyone being convicted on the Kennedy, Rabbi Eric Bram, properly. The next week I met with the death penalty while being innocent. I’m Harriet Wilkins, Gordon press. We’ve followed this all the way not saying it’s perfect, because humans Durnil, Rev. John Wolf, Karl through seeing if we took all the right aren’t perfect. Berron, Dr. Jack Miller, Sen. steps. I think we have. That doesn’t mean Howey: Politically, are you satis- Becky Skillman, Sen. we can’t do it better. They talk about fied with where you stand at this point? Richard Young, Jeff staffing. I asked, “Did we have enough O’Bannon: It’s hard to say. All you Modisett, Prof. William people on the rapid response team?” Yes can do is be committed to the political Blomquist, Prof. Patrick we did. “Did we have enough people?” contest. If I’m asking people to support McGeever, Irene Wagner, Rep. Bob Behning, Well, they all had to work overtime; we me with time and resources, I’ve got to be Secretary of State Sue Anne could have had more people. It never fails totally committed to it, as is Judy. Then Gilroy and Marian Towne. in a crisis, you don’t have enough people. go out and carry the message of what The Alliance, a coalition of When things are good, then you have too we’ve been able to do with all the people 31 advocacy organizations, many people in government. Like the of Indiana over the last four years, will "challenge television Republicans in ‘95 tried to cut out IDEM; whether it’s a $1.3 billion tax cut that stations to meet their public tried to reduce the staff; tried to reduce effects all taxpayers, not just one group or interest obligations by vol- their budget. They didn’t want regulation. the other. If we’re talking about changing untarily airing five minutes Howey: Are the IDEM/DNR bud- the direction of public education and I’ll a night of candidate-cen- get reversions fair to bring up? keep saying that all the way through tered discourse 30 days prior to primary and general O’Bannon: Sure. It’s reversions because that’s what is happening. " Page 7 of 8 Thursday, February 24, 2000 Indiana 2000 Racing Form gubernatorial, congressional races U.S. Senate: Republican: U.S. Sen. Richard Lugar. Democrat: David L. Johnson. 1988 results: Lugar (R) 1,430,525, Wickes (D) 668,778. 1994 results: Lugar (R) 1,039,625, elections." Said Jacobs, Jontz (D) 470,799, Bourland (L) 17,343, Barton (A) 15,801. 2000 Forecast: Lugar concluded "Thirty-second TV ads are a powerful week legislatively. He announced the Lugar Hunger Relief Tax Incentive Act which the junk food of politics, and would allow small businesses, farmers and if voters are fed a steady diet restaurant owners to benefit from tax breaks by of ads and get little of the donating excess food to food banks, soup healthful fare of issue kitchens and shelters. He announced the forums and candidate Sustainable Fuels and Chemicals Act by pro- debates, they will be badly claiming, “Everybody is complaining about the high price of gasoline; Dick Lugar is doing malnourished and our something about it.” That act would fund research and development to bring to market a cheap democracy will suffer the form of biomass ethanol that could replace much of the OPEC gas in the U.S. market. “This consequences." Contact the current price gouging by OPEC is the kind of event that could end our strong economic growth Alliance at 317-205-3535. and trigger inflation and painful levels,” Lugar said. Status: Safe Lugar. Congressional District 1: Republican: Cyril B. Huerter, Mark Levya, Jack CARSON SOUNDS OFF ON Reynolds. Democrat: U.S. Rep. , Sandra K. Smith. Geography: Northern ELIAN: U.S. Rep. Julia Lake, Porter County. 1994 results: Visclosky 68,612, Larson 52,920. 1996 Results: Visclosky Carson has again urged the 132,430, Petyo (R) 56,205, Crass (L) 3,122. 1998 Results: Visclosky (D) 92,634, Petyo (R) return of little Elian Gonzalez 33,503. 2000 Forecast: Visclosky is in great shape; it doesn’t matter who the Republican nom- to his father in . inee is. Status: Solid D. "Basically, it comes down to Congressional District 2: Republican: , State Rep. Jeff Linder, Brad a family preservation issue Steele, , Cliff Federle, David Campbell. Democrat: Ron Gyure, Bob Rock Jr., and I am ashamed that main- Troy Liggett, Angela Burks. Independent: Bill Fraizer. Geography: Muncie, Anderson, taining the relationship Richmond, Shelbyville, Columbus and East Central Indiana. 1994 results: McIntosh 93,592, between Elian and his father Hogsett 78,241. 1996 Results: McIntosh 122,288, Carmichael (D) 83,478, Zimmerman (L) is not a priority held by our 4,662. 1998 Results: McIntosh (R) 99,584, Boles (D) 62,426, Federle (L) 2,236. 2000 nation," Rep. Carson said. Forecast: Fraizer opted out of the GOP primary and announced he will run as an independent. Phipps dropped out of the race and endorsed Pence, giving the latter even more clout in the MOCK ENDORSES PRICE: religious right community. Linder began his radio ad campaign this week. While the State Rep. Dean Mock, R- Republican primary looks to essentially be a three-way race among Pence, Linder and Messer, Elkhart, announced that he Pence is the guy to beat. On the Democratic side, Angela Burks of Columbus decides to cash was changing his endorse- in on her Politically Incorrect appearance and run. This race is very muddled, with neither ment of David McIntosh to Rock or Gyure having much money. We haven’t even heard from Gyure, which should tell you John R. Price in the gover- how plugged in he is. Primary Status: Leans Pence (R); Tossup (D). nor's race. "It seems to me Congressional District 3: Republican: . Democrat: U.S. Rep. that if a candidate offers , Steven W. Osburn. Geography: South Bend, Mishawaka, Elkhart, Northern himself as a future governor Indiana. 1994 results: Roemer 72,497, Burkett 58,787. 1996 Results: Roemer 114,381, Zakas to the voters, he has an (R) 80,748, Taylor (L) 2,331. 1998 Results: Roemer 84,625, Holtz 61,041. 2000 Forecast: A obligation to set forth, in good national dynamic for the Republicans could put this race into play as Chocola will be detail, where he would lead well-funded. This will be our national barometer race. Status: LEANS D. our state in the years ahead," Mock wrote in a let- Republican: U.S. Rep. Mark Souder, Mike Loomis. Congressional District 4: ter to Price. "You have done Democrat: Mike Foster, Dave Roach. Geography: Fort Wayne, Huntington, NE Indiana. exactly that. I am pleased to 1994 results: Souder 83,466, Long (D) 65,956. 1996 Results: Souder 118,344, Houseman (D) change my endorsement and 76,152, Bisson (L) 4,743. 1998 Results: Souder 93,671, Wehrle 54,286. 2000 Forecast: proud to endorse you as the Souder and Foster will emerge, with Souder winning easily next fall. Status: Solid Souder. next governor." Congressional District 5: Republican: U.S. Rep. . Democrat: Greg Goodnight, John Arnold, McAlister Ellis, Jr., Hugh Salisbury. Geography: Kokomo, Marion, FREEMAN-WILSON SWORN Peru, Monticello, Lowell, Northern Indiana. 1994 results: Buyer 108,575, Beatty 43,619, IN AS ATTORNEY GENERAL: continued on page 8 Thursday, February 24, 2000 Page 8 of 8

Alfred (L) 3,328. 1996 Results: Buyer 133,604, Clark (D) 67,125, Lehman (L) 5,255. 1998 Results: Buyer (R) 101,567, Steele 58,504 (D), Waters (L) 2,317. 2000 Forecast: Greg Goodnight has the AFL-CIO and ISTA endorsements and will win the Democratic primary, but it’s tough to see how Buyer will be in much trouble. Status: Safe Buyer. Congressional District 6: Republican: U.S. Rep. . Democrat: Nick Arena, Darin Patrick Greisey, George Holland, Nag Nagarajan. Geography: Greenfield, Former Gary Judge Karen Franklin, Tipton, Indianapolis collar counties. 1994 results: Burton 136,876, Bruner 40,815. Freeman-Wilson was sworn 1996 Results: Burton 189,461, Dillard-Tramell (D) 58,362, Peterson (L) 5,295. 1998 Results: in as attorney general on Burton (R) 135,169, Kern 31,472 (D), Hauptmann (L) 21,015. 2000 Forecast: Arena decries Monday. "I stand before you Indianapolis Star story saying this race is over before it begins. But it would be hard to find a today, motivated by the pro in either party that would say otherwise. Status: SOLID R. past, humbled by the pre- Congressional District 7: Republican: Brian Kerns, Bob Griffiths, Dr. Alex sent and challenged by the Gatzimos, Doug Hess, Matt Branam, Bryan Donaldson, Tony Duncan, Michael Graf, John future," she said at her cer- Timm. Democrat: Jeff Clapper, Sam Hillenburg. Geography: Terre Haute, Lafayette and emony at the Statehouse. Western Indiana. 1994 results: Myers 104,359, Harmless 55,941. 1996 Results: Pease 130,010, Hellmann (D) 72,705, Bourland (L) 7,125. 1998 Results: Pease (R) 109,553, Hillenburg (D) MORE INDIANAPOLIS BUD- 44,749. 2000 Forecast: Former legislators Dick Thompson and Dan Pool - who challenged John GET SHORTFALLS: The Myers in 1996 - are backing Griffiths, as well as Peterson administration in Tippecanoe County Chair Ruth Davidson. Ed Indianapolis is already Pease is backing Kerns, so this is a two-way bat- scrambling around trying to tle that, as Max Jones of the Terre Haute figure out how to cover a Tribune-Star wrote, “will be wide open” because $10 million police/fire pen- “there’s not a household name in the bunch.” Republican Primary Status: TOSSUP. sion shortfall and must Congressional District 8: Republican: U.S. Rep. . Democrat: cover a $33 million loan for John Hamilton, Dr. Paul Perry, John W. Taylor. Geography: Evansville, Bloomington, Circle Centre Mall due on Vincennes and SW Indiana. 1994 results: Hostettler (R) 93,529, McCloskey (D) 84,857. 1996 Aug. 1. Now the Indiana- Results: Hostettler (R) 109,582, Weinzapfel (D) 106,134, Hager (L) 3,799. 1998 Results: polis Star is reporting that Hostettler (R) 92,227, Riecken (D) 81,381, Hager (L) 3,395. 2000 Forecast: Perry began offi- there is another $15 million cially announcing his campaign Tuesday in Evansville and Sullivan, with additional stops in shortfall in Children In Need Vincennes, Indianapolis and Bloomington on Wednesday. Hostettler’s brother, Daniel, is chal- of Services fund. Mayor lenging State Rep. Jonathon Weinzapfel in Indiana HD76. Weinzapfel lost to the congressman in said he will 1996, so that will create an interesting sideshow. Democratic Primary Status: TOSSUP. approach the legislature for Congressional District 9: Republican: Kevin Shaw Kellems, Michael Bailey. help in the CHINs and pen- Democrat: U.S. Rep. Baron Hill, Lendall B. Terry, James McClure. Geography: Lawrence- sion funding. burg, Rising Sun, Connersville, New Albany Jeffersonville, Madison, Nashville and SE Indiana. 1994 results: Hamilton 91,459 (D), Leising (R) 84,315. 1996 Results: Hamilton (D) 128,885, DEDELOW ANNOUNCES Leising (R) 97,747, Feeney (L) 2,315. 1998 Results: Hill (D) 92,477, Leising (R) 87,278, FOR LG: Hammond Mayor Feeney (L) 2,397. 2000 Forecast: Kellems released a video tape of the candidate showing up at Duane Dedelow Jr. has Hill’s Seymour campaign office. Kellems has alleged that Hill is running his re-election cam- formed an exploratory com- paign via his congressional office and calls the Seymour address “Hill’s phantom campaign mittee and announced he is office.” A Hill spokeswoman said that the campaign office has been up and running and the year running for the Republican end 1999 FEC report showed that utilities had been paid. In the video tape, Kellems looks into lieutenant governor nomina- the camera and says, “We’re just here to make sure he got the letter I have written to Baron Hill tion. "The Democratic Party to ask him to discuss the issues with me all over the district. It’s dark, no signs up or anything, has always counted on and, oh look, there’s that letter. I had left that letter there a week ago, I slipped it under the door , particu- because no one answered.” Kellems then interviewed a nearby shop keeper and two residents on larly Lake County, for a the block who said there had been no campaign activity. Status: Leans D. large Democratic plurality. I Republican: Tony Samuel, Marvin Scott. Democrat: believe that possibly with Congressional District 10: some of my background in U.S. Rep. Julia Carson, Bobby Kern Hildago, Ralph Spelbring. Geography: Indianapolis. 1994 labor support as well as my results: Jacobs (D) 58,573, Scott 50,998. 1996 Results: Carson (D) 90,869, Blankenbaker (R) ability to attract Democrat 69,248, St. Angelo (L) 3,505. 1998 Results: Carson 69,673, Hofmeister (R) 46,892, Peterson and independent voters may (L) 3,009. 2000 Forecast: Scott entered the Republican race. On the Democratic side, so did be a bonus to the statewide perennial candidates Bobby Kern Hidalgo and Ralph Spelbring of Elkhart. Ho-hum. Republican ticket," Dedelow Republican Primary Status: LEANS SAMUEL. told the Times of Northwest - Brian A. Howey " Indiana. "