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Central and Eastern Europe Development Outlook After the Coronavirus Pandemic
CHINA-CEE INSTITUTE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK AFTER THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC Editor in Chief: Dr. Chen Xin Published by: China-CEE Institute Nonprofit Ltd. Telephone: +36-1-5858-690 E-mail: [email protected] Webpage: www.china-cee.eu Address: 1052, Budapest, Petőfi Sándor utca 11. Chief Editor: Dr. Chen Xin ISSN: 978-615-6124-29-6 Cover design: PONT co.lab Copyright: China-CEE Institute Nonprofit Ltd. The reproduction of the study or parts of the study are prohibited. The findings of the study may only be cited if the source is acknowledged. Central and Eastern Europe Development Outlook after the Coronavirus Pandemic Chief Editor: Dr. Chen Xin CHINA-CEE INSTITUTE Budapest, October 2020 Content Preface ............................................................................................................ 5 Part I POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK ..................................... 7 Albanian politics in post-pandemic era: reshuffling influence and preparing for the next elections .............................................................................................. 8 BiH political outlook after the COVID-19 pandemic ...................................... 13 Bulgarian Political Development Outlook in Post-Pandemic Era ..................... 18 Forecast of Croatian Political Events after the COVID-19 .............................. 25 Czech Political Outlook for the Post-Crisis Period .......................................... 30 Estonian political outlook after the pandemic: Are we there yet? ................... -
Elections in the Western Balkans: Fragile Progress in Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Serbia
Elections in the Western Balkans: Fragile Progress in Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Serbia Graduate Policy Workshop January 2017 Authors Edward Atkinson, Nicholas Collins, Aparna Krishnamurthy, Mae Lindsey, Yanchuan Liu, David Logan, Ken Sofer, Aditya Sriraman, Francisco Varela Sandoval Advisor Jeff Fischer CONTENTS About the WWS Graduate Policy Workshop ........................................................................................iv Acknowledgements ..............................................................................................................................iv Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 1 Albania ................................................................................................................................................... 2 Background and Context .................................................................................................................. 2 Description of Electoral and Political Processes and Institutions ................................................... 3 Electoral and Political Issues ............................................................................................................ 4 Electoral Process Vulnerabilities .......................................................................................................................... 4 Political Process Vulnerabilities ........................................................................................................................... -
The Political Integration of the Roma In
The Political Integration of the Roma in Multicultural Societies The Cases of Macedonia and Serbia By Marina Vasić Submitted to Central European University Department of Political Science In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Supervisor: Professor Lea Sgier CEU eTD Collection Budapest, Hungary 2013 ABSTRACT Roma, as the largest and most disadvantaged European minority, are one of the hardest cases of social and political integration. The work of scholars on ‘multicultural citizenship’ provides a possible framework for integrating disadvantaged groups within the wider society. It explains three components: a proper categorization- status of national minorities, active participation from the groups and the input from the international community (pressure on national governments to implement certain affirmative action). This work takes into consideration two former Yugoslav republics (Macedonia and Serbia) that show different results in political integration of Roma. Macedonia, as an ethnically unstable country, serves as an exemplar case where the Roma are substantially integrated in society. The minority has a developed civil sector, with numerous non-governmental organizations. Romani political parties actively participate in the elections from the time when Macedonia was recognized as an independent country. In contrast, Serbia (as a less ethnically unstable country) shows less successful results in dealing with cultural diversity. Even though the group has obtained the status of national minority, the effects of this provision did not contribute to political integration. Roma prove to have their political parties and organizations but somehow the outcomes of parliamentary elections do not go in favor of political integration of the minority. -
Green Parties and Elections to the European Parliament, 1979–2019 Green Par Elections
Chapter 1 Green Parties and Elections, 1979–2019 Green parties and elections to the European Parliament, 1979–2019 Wolfgang Rüdig Introduction The history of green parties in Europe is closely intertwined with the history of elections to the European Parliament. When the first direct elections to the European Parliament took place in June 1979, the development of green parties in Europe was still in its infancy. Only in Belgium and the UK had green parties been formed that took part in these elections; but ecological lists, which were the pre- decessors of green parties, competed in other countries. Despite not winning representation, the German Greens were particularly influ- enced by the 1979 European elections. Five years later, most partic- ipating countries had seen the formation of national green parties, and the first Green MEPs from Belgium and Germany were elected. Green parties have been represented continuously in the European Parliament since 1984. Subsequent years saw Greens from many other countries joining their Belgian and German colleagues in the Euro- pean Parliament. European elections continued to be important for party formation in new EU member countries. In the 1980s it was the South European countries (Greece, Portugal and Spain), following 4 GREENS FOR A BETTER EUROPE their successful transition to democracies, that became members. Green parties did not have a strong role in their national party systems, and European elections became an important focus for party develop- ment. In the 1990s it was the turn of Austria, Finland and Sweden to join; green parties were already well established in all three nations and provided ongoing support for Greens in the European Parliament. -
ESS9 Appendix A3 Political Parties Ed
APPENDIX A3 POLITICAL PARTIES, ESS9 - 2018 ed. 3.0 Austria 2 Belgium 4 Bulgaria 7 Croatia 8 Cyprus 10 Czechia 12 Denmark 14 Estonia 15 Finland 17 France 19 Germany 20 Hungary 21 Iceland 23 Ireland 25 Italy 26 Latvia 28 Lithuania 31 Montenegro 34 Netherlands 36 Norway 38 Poland 40 Portugal 44 Serbia 47 Slovakia 52 Slovenia 53 Spain 54 Sweden 57 Switzerland 58 United Kingdom 61 Version Notes, ESS9 Appendix A3 POLITICAL PARTIES ESS9 edition 3.0 (published 10.12.20): Changes from previous edition: Additional countries: Denmark, Iceland. ESS9 edition 2.0 (published 15.06.20): Changes from previous edition: Additional countries: Croatia, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden. Austria 1. Political parties Language used in data file: German Year of last election: 2017 Official party names, English 1. Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (SPÖ) - Social Democratic Party of Austria - 26.9 % names/translation, and size in last 2. Österreichische Volkspartei (ÖVP) - Austrian People's Party - 31.5 % election: 3. Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (FPÖ) - Freedom Party of Austria - 26.0 % 4. Liste Peter Pilz (PILZ) - PILZ - 4.4 % 5. Die Grünen – Die Grüne Alternative (Grüne) - The Greens – The Green Alternative - 3.8 % 6. Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (KPÖ) - Communist Party of Austria - 0.8 % 7. NEOS – Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (NEOS) - NEOS – The New Austria and Liberal Forum - 5.3 % 8. G!LT - Verein zur Förderung der Offenen Demokratie (GILT) - My Vote Counts! - 1.0 % Description of political parties listed 1. The Social Democratic Party (Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs, or SPÖ) is a social above democratic/center-left political party that was founded in 1888 as the Social Democratic Worker's Party (Sozialdemokratische Arbeiterpartei, or SDAP), when Victor Adler managed to unite the various opposing factions. -
Professionalization of Green Parties?
Professionalization of Green parties? Analyzing and explaining changes in the external political approach of the Dutch political party GroenLinks Lotte Melenhorst (0712019) Supervisor: Dr. A. S. Zaslove 5 September 2012 Abstract There is a relatively small body of research regarding the ideological and organizational changes of Green parties. What has been lacking so far is an analysis of the way Green parties present them- selves to the outside world, which is especially interesting because it can be expected to strongly influence the image of these parties. The project shows that the Dutch Green party ‘GroenLinks’ has become more professional regarding their ‘external political approach’ – regarding ideological, or- ganizational as well as strategic presentation – during their 20 years of existence. This research pro- ject challenges the core idea of the so-called ‘threshold-approach’, that major organizational changes appear when a party is getting into government. What turns out to be at least as interesting is the ‘anticipatory’ adaptations parties go through once they have formulated government participation as an important party goal. Until now, scholars have felt that Green parties are transforming, but they have not been able to point at the core of the changes that have taken place. Organizational and ideological changes have been investigated separately, whereas in the case of Green parties organi- zation and ideology are closely interrelated. In this thesis it is argued that the external political ap- proach of GroenLinks, which used to be a typical New Left Green party but that lacks governmental experience, has become more professional, due to initiatives of various within-party actors who of- ten responded to developments outside the party. -
Electoral Processes in the Mediterranean
Electoral Processes Electoral processes in the Mediterranean This chapter provides information on jority party if it does not manage to Gorazd Drevensek the results of the presidential and leg- obtain an absolute majority in the (New Slovenia Christian Appendices islative elections held between July Chamber. People’s Party, Christian Democrat) 0.9 - 2002 and June 2003. Jure Jurèek Cekuta 0.5 - Parties % Seats Participation: 71.3 % (1st round); 65.2 % (2nd round). Monaco Nationalist Party (PN, conservative) 51.8 35 Legislative elections 2003 Malta Labour Party (MLP, social democrat) 47.5 30 9th February 2003 Bosnia and Herzegovina Med. Previous elections: 1st and 8th Februa- Democratic Alternative (AD, ecologist) 0.7 - ry 1998 Federal parliamentary republic that Parliamentary monarchy with unicam- Participation: 96.2 %. became independent from Yugoslavia eral legislative: the National Council. in 1991, and is formed by two enti- The twenty-four seats of the chamber ties: the Bosnia and Herzegovina Fed- Slovenia are elected for a five-year term; sixteen eration, known as the Croat-Muslim Presidential elections by simple majority and eight through Federation, and the Srpska Republic. 302-303 proportional representation. The voters go to the polls to elect the 10th November 2002 Presidency and the forty-two mem- Previous elections: 24th November bers of the Chamber of Representa- Parties % Seats 1997 tives. Simultaneously, the two entities Union for Monaco (UPM) 58.5 21 Parliamentary republic that became elect their own legislative bodies and National Union for the Future of Monaco (UNAM) independent from Yugoslavia in 1991. the Srpska Republic elects its Presi- Union for the Monegasque Two rounds of elections are held to dent and Vice-President. -
DEMOCRACY and the STATE of EMERGENCY New Upsurge of the Corona Crisis in the Western Balkans, Croatia and Slovenia Contents
ANALYSIS This is the fourth and last DEMOCRACY AND HUMAN RIGHTS edition in a series of reports which sets out to analyse the effects of the Corona crisis management on institutions, political and civil rights, DEMOCRACY parties, civil society, as well as external factors. AND THE STATE Elections in the times of the Corona crisis were held in Serbia and Croatia. In both OF EMERGENCY countries, the incumbent parties were the clear winners New Upsurge of the Corona Crisis in the Western while voter turnout was below 50 %. Balkans, Croatia and Slovenia A new upsurge of the number Max Brändle, Tamara Brankovic, Arjan Dyrmishi, of infections is putting the Besa Kabashi-Ramaj, Igor Luksic, fight against the pandemic Nenad Markovikj, Tara Tepavac, Nenad Zakosek, back on the political agenda. Miroslav Zivanovic The re-introduction of repressive measures is met Report Four, July 13, 2020 with strong resistance by the population and has led to violent clashes in Serbia. DEMOCRACY AND HUMAN RIGHTS DEMOCRACY AND THE STATE OF EMERGENCY New Upsurge of the Corona Crisis in the Western Balkans, Croatia and Slovenia Contents EDITORIAL 2 1. ALBANIA 4 2. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA 8 3. CROATIA 13 4. KOSOVO 19 5. MONTENEGRO 24 6. NORTH MACEDONIA 28 7. SERBIA 34 8. SLOVENIA 41 1 FRIEDRICH-EBERT-STIFTUNG – DEMOCRACY AND THE STATE OF EMERGENCY Editorial Max Brändle The Corona crisis in South East Europe is not coming to an academia and civil society, we have asked experts, political end, the epidemiological situation is getting even worse than scientists, sociologists and political analysts to write reports before. -
Experimental Evidence from Montenegro by Nemanja Stankov
Nothing Else Matters? The Role of Ethnic Voter-Party Linkage in Voting: Experimental Evidence from Montenegro By Nemanja Stankov Submitted to Central European University Department of Political Science In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Supervisor: Professor Gabor Toka CEU eTD Collection Budapest, Hungary 2016 Abstract This study analyses the voting behavior patterns in an ethnically divided post-communist society. More precisely, I argue that the long lasting rule of Democratic Party of Socialists and a small rate of electoral volatility in Montenegro, is a consequence of ethnic, cleavage, based voting. To test this assumption I apply a two-stage experimental design to a sample of 240 Montenegrin students. In the first stage respondents are treated with cues on candidate’s ethnicity. The results indicate that there is a clear ethnic link and effect of that link on vote choice in the case of Montenegrins, while the results are inconclusive in the case of Serbs. Furthermore, in the second stage, respondents are provided with misbehavior information about the same candidate, namely corruption information. I hypothesize that corruption information about the candidate will increase the volatility rate for the out-group candidate. No evidence was found to support that claim. On the contrary, Montenegrins tend to punish their in-group candidate more when corruption charges are raised against him. This study complements the scholarly literature on ethnic cleavage voting, voting in Montenegro and an emerging literature on identity shifts in Montenegro. CEU eTD Collection i Acknowledgements First of all, I would like to thank the Department for giving me the opportunity to spend an amazing two years in Budapest. -
2012 SERBIA PUBLIC OPINION STUDY Respondent Booklet A
2012 SERBIA PUBLIC OPINION STUDY Respondent Booklet A Page 1 • Boris Tadić Choice for a Better Life • Tomislav Nikolić Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) • Ivica Dačić SPS, PUPS, JS • Vojislav Koštunica Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) • Zoran Stanković United Regions of Serbia (URS) • Čedomir Jovanović LDP, SPO, SDU... • Jadranka Šešelj Serbian Radical Party (SRS) • Vladan Glišić "Dveri" • Istvan Pasztor SVM • Zoran Dragišić Pokret radnika i seljaka • Muamer Zukorlić Citizen's group • Danica Grujičić Social Democratic Alliance Page 2 • Choice for a Better Life - Boris Tadić • Let’s Get Serbia Moving - Tomislav Nikolić • Ivica Dačić - Socialist Party of Serbia - PUPS-US • Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) - Vojislav Koštunica • Turnover - Čedomir Jovanović • United Regions of Serbia - Mlađan Dinkić • Serbian Radical Party - Vojislav Šešelj • Dveri for the Life of Serbia • Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians - István Pásztor • Movement of Workers and Peasants • Communist party - Josip Broz • Party of Democratic Action of Sanjak - Sulejman Ugljani • All Together - BDU, CAH, DUC, DFVH, Slovak - Emir Elfić • "None of the offered answers" • Social Democratic alliance - Nebojša Leković • Albanians Coalition from Preševo Valley (KAPD) • Reformist party - Milan Višnjić • Montenegrin party - Nenad Stevović Page 3 • For a European Serbia - Boris Tadić • Serbian Radical Party - Vojislav Šešelj • Democratic Party of Serbia - New Serbia - Vojislav Koštunica • Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) - PUPS - US • Liberal Democratic Party - Čedomir Jovanović • Hungarian -
Emi Board Elections 2021-2023 Final List of Candidates
EMI BOARD ELECTIONS 2021-2023 FINAL LIST OF CANDIDATES PRESIDENT Eva MAYDELL, MEP nominated by: European People’s Party (EPP), Association des États Généraux des Étudiants de l’Europe (AEGEE-Europe), Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE Party), EM Croatia, EM France, EM Germany, EM Italy, European Youth Forum (EYF), Party of European Socialists (PES) TREASURER Maria HEIDER, nominated by: European Environmental Bureau (EBB), EM Ireland, EM Serbia, European Green Party (EGP) Nataša OWENS, nominated by: EM Croatia, EM Germany, EM North Macedonia, EM France, European People’s Party (EPP), Europäischer Verband Beruflicher Bildungsträger e.V. European Association of Institutes for Vocational Training (EVBB), Party of European Socialists (PES) VICE PRESIDENTS (NATIONAL COUNCILS) Francisco, ALDECOA LUZARRAGA nominated by: EM Spain, EM Croatia, EM Italy Yves, BERTONCINI, nominated by: EM Denmark, EM Croatia, EM France, EM Germany, EM Italy Christine BOSSE, nominated by: EM Croatia, EM Denmark, EM Finland, EM France, EM Germany, EM Ireland, EM Norway Tobias KÖCK, nominated by: EM Croatia, EM Denmark, EM Finland, EM France, EM Germany, EM Serbia, European Youth Forum (EYF) Noelle O’CONNELL, nominated by: EM Finland, EM Serbia, EM Ireland, EM United Kingdom European Movement International Place du Luxembourg 2 | B-1050 Brussels | T +32 (0)2 508 30 88 www.europeanmovement.eu | [email protected] Democracy | Freedom | Solidarity | Unity | Equality VICE PRESIDENTS (INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATIONS) Brando BENIFEI, MEP nominated -
Party Politics in the Western Balkans
Party Politics in the Western Balkans Edited by Věra Stojarová and Peter Emerson 2 Legacy of communist and socialist parties in the Western Balkans Věra Stojarová As Ishiyama and Bozóki note, the development of communist successor parties1 in post- communist politics has had an important effect upon the development of democracy (Bozóki and Ishiyama 2002: 393). In some countries the communist party was outlawed; in many cases it was transformed into a party of a socialist or social democratic character; elsewhere, the communist party began to take part in the democratic process, which led to varying results; in some cases, the party transformed itself into a classic socialist or social democratic party; while in other cases it retained a communist ideology. As the literature reveals, the type of the regime, the modus of transition, the manner of financing political parties, the organisation of the parties, as well as the whole political context, all matter. Ishiyama suggests that the patrimonial communist regime (as in Serbia) produced communist successor parties which had to distinguish themselves from the previous communist system and hence turned towards nationalism, while in a national- consensus regime (Slovenia, Croatia), the successor parties developed policies that divorced the party from the past, and led to the emergence of a social democratic identity (Ishiyama 1998: 81–2). Nevertheless, the application of the above- mentioned theory reveals the exceptionality of the Western Balkan countries. In Bosnia and Herzegovina, the ethnic structure and the different goals of the three ethnicities had a great impact on the formation of political parties, which were mainly based on ethnic grounds, and left little space to the parties with a social democratic orientation.