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DOCUMENT RESUME ED, 213 378 HE 014 886 TITLE AIR 1981-82. Forum 1981 Froceedings: Toward 2001: The IR Perspective (Minneapolis,Minnesota, May 17-20). The Association for Institutional Research Directory, 1981-82. INSTITUTION Association for Institutional Research. PUB DATE Dec 81 NOTE 281p.; Not available in papir copy due to marginal legibility of original document. AVAILABLE FROMThe Association for Institutional Research, 314 Stone Building, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL. EDRS PRICE MF01 Plus Postage. PC Not Available from EDRS. DESCRIPTORS Awards; Biology; *College Role; Committees; Computer Assisted Instruction; computers; Economic Factors; Educational History; Energy; *Futures (of Society); Geographic Location; Global Approach; *Higher Education; *Institutional Research; Interdisciplinary Approach; Liberal Arts; Nuclear Warfare; Organization Size (Groups); Political Influences; Population Trends; Prediction; Problem Solving; *Professional Associations; *Technology Transfer; Trend Analysis; World Affairs IDENTIFIERS *Association for Institutional Research; Bylaws ABSTRACT Proceedingo of the 1981 Association for Institutional Research (AIR) Forum and '"P. 1981-82 AIR Directory are presented in a single volume. General sel,.ton addresses and authors from the forum are as follows: "Some Possible Revolutions by 2001" (Michael Marion); "Information, the Non-Depletive Resource" (John W. Lacey); "What's Higher about Higher Education?" (Harland Cleveland); and "An Assessment of the Past-and a Look at the Future" (George Beatty, Jr.). Additionally, abstracts and summaries are presented of contributed papers, seminars, panels, workshops, and special interest/regional group meetings. Forum program participants and Educational Resource Information Cuter (ERIC) numbers for thepapers ire also identified. The AIR Directory includes: constitution and by-laws; guidelines for awarding distinguished membership, emeritus, and the outstanding service award; minutes of the 1981 annual _business sooting; a list of AIR committees and affiliated regional/spacial interest groups; an alphabetical list of members and addresses; a list of members by state, province, or country, and institutional affiliation; and data on membership by state, province, and country. This information is presented for 1,826 individual members located at 1,006 institutions in 27 countries. The membership figure represents an increase of 3.6 percentover the final count for 1980; the number of institution represented has also increased by 3.7 percent. Of the total, 414 m8mbers (23 percent) are new to AIRas of 1980-81. Moaners participating in committee work alsoare identified. (SW) 982 UAL OSPARTRIENT OF EENICATION PROCEEDINGSIwo NATYJOSAL RaTTTUTE OF EDUCATION EOUCAT CES INFORMATION co corm (ERIC) 0 document Me been reproduced as 14 received from the person or orrnismen Forum 19810 oroneting it. Z m Minor changes have beer»nede to improve -reproduction qualm toward 2001: M .., 0 the IR Perspective0 Patin of view or opinions sated in this docu- ment do not mama* represent official ME _ iii. position or policy. GI tj) GI 0 (i) cc a.SOW:133301dd >- DIRECTORY DIR cc- 0 0m I-1981-420--I la The Association 33 CC for .4 el< Institutional Research 0 >. "PERMISSION TO REPRODUCETHIS MATERIAL HAS BEENGRANTED BY cc Xi 01331:110 AE10.1.0 RESOURL ES TO THE EDUCATIONAL 14 INFORMATION CENTER(ERIC)." 2 Foreword This newly revised kdblicationAIR 1981-1982is a composife of the AIR Forum Proceedings and the AIR Directory It places within a single cover the map association reference materials for the yearmaterials which range from the text of the Forum keynote speech, to the ERIC number for a given paper, to the mailing address of the membership chairmah, to the number of members in Saskatchewan. One can learn here how to reach his or her counterpart in a neighboring institution, whose paper received the first Sus low Award, where the Forum will be held in 1986, who the president was in 1966 -67, and what happened at the 1981 annual business meeting. And more! Detail from the 1981 Forum is included in Section One. The Forumwith the theme, Toward 2001' The Institutional Research Perspectiveattracted to the Leamington Hotel in Minneapolis 772 individuals, 303 of whom participated in the program in one way or another. The Forum began with workshops on Sunday afternoon, May 17; included more than 100 separate sessions over the next three days; and concluded with a wind-up celobration on Wednesday evening, May 20. The committees which contributed to the success of the Forum as well as those persons who reviewed the papers generated by it are acknowleged on pages 91-93. Section Two includes information about the association itself and about its members. The list of members was compiled from records located in the executive office and includes information received through October 23, 1981. (Errors should be called to the attention of the executive secretary.) Listed here are the names of 1826 individual members (1739 regular, 65 graduate- student, seventeen emeritus, and five distinguished) who are located at 1006 institutions in twenty-seven countries. (This membership figure represents an increase of 3.6% over the final count for 1980; the number of ,nstitutions represented has also increased, by 3.7%; and of the total, 414 members (23%) are new to AIR this year ) Also included in this section are the names of more than 200 members who ate participating in committee work. We hope that you will take a few minutes to become familiar with the wide range of information contained in this volume and that it will prove interesting and useful to you The publications board, which has overall responsibility, and the executive secretary, who is responsible for the compilation and production, welcome your comments and suggestions. Tallahassee, Florida December 1981 Important note: The listing of information about members of Ain is for their personal and professional use only. Appropriation or use of the list for other purposes (such as mailings or solicitations), without he express written consent of the Association, is strictly prohibited. 3 Table of Contents Forums over the YearsLocations and Themes Inside front cover Foreword secnaiONE: FORUM PROCEEDINGS,lam Wiled Session Addresses Possible-Revolutions by 2001 Sor 3 MIcheel Marten kdormadon, the Non-Dopletive Resoirce 16 John W. Lacey What's Higher about Higher Education? 27 HarlanCleveland An Assessment of the Past and a Look tothe Future 34 George Beatty, Jr. 37 The Sidney Susie* Outstanding Forum PaperAward Abstracts and Summaries of ContributedPapers, Seminars, Panels, 39 Wodurhops, and Special Interest/ReglonelGroup ideldincle 85 Pwticipants in the Forum Program 91 Acknowledgements Ordering Information for the ERIC Collection o"AIR Forum 1961" Papers . 94 SECTION TWO AIR DIRECTORY, 1ee1-52 Governance Documsc 100 Constitution and By-LIT 106 Guidelines for Awarding DistinguishedMembership 107 Guidelines for Awarding Emeritus Membership 107 Guidelines for the Outstanding Service Award 109 Minutes of the 1981 Annual Business Meeting 125 AIR Committees and AffiliatedRegional/Special Interest Groups 137 Members-11.W elphabetkally MembersHoled by slats, province, or sour**and Institutional affiliation . 253 Membership Countby stale, province and country 283 Frequently Called Numbers Past Presidents, Past Forum Chairpersons,Distinguished Members, Emeritus Members, Recipients of the Outstanding Servile Award,and Recipients of the Sidney Sudo* Inside back cover Outstanding Forum Paper Award SECTION ONE AIR FORUM PROCEEDINGS,1981 Toward 2001: The institutional Research Perspective Minneapolis May 17-20, 1981 (Invited General Session Addresses SOME POSSIBLE REVOLUTIONS BY 2001 (Keynote Andress! Michael Marian Editor, Future Survey . World Future Society mow Faiiiiwng is Om bud of IM keynotea?diasa delivered at the Afonday morning 2enafal mason ) I am delighted and greatly honored to have theopportunity to speak about the future in keynoting the twenty-first AIR Forum. The future is alwaysappropriate for keynote addresses became) it it a broad concern that we all share. It is especiallyappropriate for a conference entitled "Toward 2001" and attended by higher education researchersand planners. "lbward 2001," however, is fuzzy. It could mean a serious inquiry intowhat the world might be like twenty years from now. It could also mean the actions that aretaken tomorrow, with relevance to 1985, 1995, or any year we choose. Or it could merelybe a futuristic titling used as window dressing, a bit of verbal pizazz spoiled to the same old present-orientedtopics. The future is often used in this way, appending bold phrases such as In the 1980s,"In the year 2000," or In post-industrial society" onto the titles of any inquiry. Such petty fraudulencegives the appearance of forward thinking, for nobody wishes to be seen as backward thinking,except for historians. I shall, take the title "Toward 2001" very seriously and considerwhat our world may be like in 2001.1don'tknow what our world wiM be like. Nobody does. The best anyone cando is make some appradmations lux, informecispeCulations. If I can leave you withonly one idea, it is this: a or world has been and will be shaped by ideaswhich include bothtechnologies and our notions of man, nature, and sod tyand by events, both natural andman-made. The portentous ideas and events now on the horizon make it likelymore than 50-53 asI see itthat some revolution or revolutions will significantly reshape our wirld in