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T H E Wilson Q Uart E R Ly T H E WILSON Q UART E R LY ,. hi. AUTUMN 1990 THE ~N ILSON QUART~RLY Published by the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars COVER STORY EVERYDAY LII;E IN JAPAN 19 8- What to make of the Japanese? In the Western mind, the samurai of b~·ka yore has been replaced by the efficient "sa2aryman" and the obedient worker. But perhaps the most important figures in Japanese society are d its shop owners, its venerated rice farmers, and its devoted housewives. These people have been in many ways responsible for the nation's re- mcilkable success since World War II. David W PIath, Theodove C, Besfou, William W Kelly, and 1Margavet Lock evoke the worlds of these Japanese and describe the problems that now face them. O ISAMERICA DECLINING? 67 "Declinists" warn that America is going the way of ancient Rome and 19th-century England. "Tritlmphalists" insist that America's role as world leader is not in jeopardy. Richard Rosecrance finds both argtl- ments inadegunte and suggests that it is misleading to compare Ameri- ca's position to those of the great powers of the past. IDEAS IN PRAISE OF THE ESSAY 54 Every age has its favorite literary form. 0, B. Havdison, Jv., explains why the essay is popular in troubled times-such as our own. REFLECTIONS D E P A R T M E N T S LINCOLNAND DOUGLASS 102 Editor's Comment 4 A president and an ex-slave together changed the course of race relations in America. Douo- Periodicals 7 fhy Wickenden recalls a little-known episode Current Books 86 in history. Research Reports 136 AN EXILE'S DILEMMA 114 Commentary 138 Can you go home again if you are one of RLIS- sia's greatest dissident novelists? Vladimiv Index 142 Voinovich describes the Russia of the recent i~over: Diary, ALcgusr22, 1968, by Tetsuya Noda. Lent by Felix past and contrastsit to the countryhe would ..d HelenJuda, the Contemporary Japanese Art Collection, return To. Los Angeles, California. USPS346670 aA VOL.MV NO.4 The Wilson Quarterly (ISSN-0363-3276) is published in Innuary (Winter), Apn'l (Spr`ng), July (Summer), and October (AutumnJ by the Woodrow Wilson Intemational Center for Scholars at 370 L'Enfant Promenade S.W., Suite 704, Washington, D.C. 20024. Indexed biennially. Subscrip~ionr one year. 824 two years, 843. outside U.S.: one year, 830.50; two years, 856. Air mail outside U.S.: one year, 839; two years, 873. Single copies ,nailed upon request: 86; : selected back issues 86, including postage and handling; outside LI.S. and possessions, 87. Second-class postage paid at Washington, D.C., and additional ~nniling offices. All unsolicited rnanuscripts should be accompanied by a self-addressed stamped envelope. Members: Send changes of address and all subscription correspondence with Wilson Quarterly mailing label to Subscriber Service, The Wilson Quarterly, I)o. Box 56161, Boulder, Cole. 80322-616/. (Suhscriber hot Une: 1-800-876-8828) Posrmastec Send all address changes to The Wilson Quarterly, P.O. Box 56161, Boulder, Cole. 80301. MicroFlm copies are available from Ilniversity Microfilmr Inlmafionnl. 300 North Zeeb Road Ann Arbor, Michigan 48106. O.SA, newsstand distribution by Easrem News Distributors, Inc., 1130 Cleveland Road, Sandusky, Ohio 44870. We plan to lose money PriorityReading Deterrence and the Revolution on this offer in Soviet Military Doctrine ~-- Raymond L. Garthoff Illuminatingthe Soviet militarymind and radical "new thinking!' of the Gorbachev era. cloth $29.95/ paper $11.95 Europe 1992 ,d u An American Perspective P"o GaryClyde Hufbauer, Editor I SJ · ~if~ I I I Going global? Some corporations will F~; win and some will lose. What businesses cJ', r andpolicy experts need to know now to plan for the future. cloth $31.951paper$12.95 ··~`4:1~~~,3 An American Trade Srategy Options for the 1990s Robert Z. Lawrence and America's Firsl Silver Dollar Charles L. 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InternationalDebt TheU.S. dollar sign is believedto derive BackgroundPaper by Rudiger Dornbusch fromthe scroll-effectpillars ofthe reverse. Findingnew initiatives forresolving the international debt crisis. Some were carried byclipper ships to APN~ority PressPublication China, where our supply was found, of the Twentieth Century Fund. bearing authentic "chopmarks"of Chi- cloth$18.95 1paper 9.95 nese merchants. Each big 39mm silver dollar contains 27 grams of.903 silver and comes with a Soviet National Security CertificateofAuthenticity BtteStingto ill Radicalrethinking oipM~I:C~P~ tMh~SGOY~ scarce Fine quality and genuine status. Union precipitated the rush of democratic While current supplies last, our reduced changes we are witnessing. MccGwireis the price for new customers is just $49 first to offer a satisfactory explanation that postpaid(limit 5). 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