Vol 30 Issue 3
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
The Erosion of Strategic Stability and the Future of Arms Control in Europe
Études de l’Ifri Proliferation Papers 60 THE EROSION OF STRATEGIC STABILITY AND THE FUTURE OF ARMS COntrOL IN EUROPE Corentin BRUSTLEIN November 2018 Security Studies Center The Institut français des relations internationales (Ifri) is a research center and a forum for debate on major international political and economic issues. Headed by Thierry de Montbrial since its founding in 1979, Ifri is a non- governmental, non-profit organization. As an independent think tank, Ifri sets its own research agenda, publishing its findings regularly for a global audience. Taking an interdisciplinary approach, Ifri brings together political and economic decision-makers, researchers and internationally renowned experts to animate its debate and research activities. The opinions expressed in this text are the responsibility of the author alone. ISBN: 978-2-36567-932-9 © All rights reserved, Ifri, 2018 How to quote this document: Corentin Brustlein, “The Erosion of Strategic Stability and the Future of Arms Control in Europe”, Proliferation Papers, No. 60, November 2018. Ifri 27 rue de la Procession 75740 Paris Cedex 15 – FRANCE Tel.: +33 (0)1 40 61 60 00 – Fax: +33 (0)1 40 61 60 60 Email: [email protected] Website: Ifri.org Author Dr. Corentin Brustlein is the Director of the Security Studies Center at the French Institute of International Relations. His work focuses on nuclear and conventional deterrence, arms control, military balances, and U.S. and French defense policies. Before assuming his current position, he had been a research fellow at Ifri since 2008 and the head of Ifri’s Deterrence and Proliferation Program since 2010. -
LOOKING BACK: "Dr. Strangelove" at 40: the Continuing Relevance of a Cold War Cultural Icon Author(S): Paul S
Arms Control Association LOOKING BACK: "Dr. Strangelove" at 40: The Continuing Relevance Of a Cold War Cultural Icon Author(s): Paul S. Boyer Source: Arms Control Today, Vol. 34, No. 10 (DECEMBER 2004), pp. 46-48 Published by: Arms Control Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/23627447 Accessed: 01-10-2016 19:58 UTC JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at http://about.jstor.org/terms Arms Control Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Arms Control Today This content downloaded from 95.183.180.42 on Sat, 01 Oct 2016 19:58:14 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms By Paul S. Boyer lookinglooking back: back:"Dr. Strangelove" "Dr. Strangelove" at 40: at 40: TheThe Continuing Continuing Relevance Relevance Of a Cold War Cultural Icon Entertainment ColumbiaTristar Home We stand at a strange and disorienting moment in our 60-year necessary technology. Additionally, the Soviet Union, hostile though it was, at encounter with nuclear weapons, with all of its strategic, political,least had a stable government and com mand structure, in contrast to the volatile cultural, and moral dimensions. The dust from the Cold War and unpredictable regimes that currently worry us, such as Iran and North Korea. -
The Foundations of US Air Doctrine
DISCLAIMER This study represents the views of the author and does not necessarily reflect the official opinion of the Air University Center for Aerospace Doctrine, Research, and Education (CADRE) or the Department of the Air Force. This manuscript has been reviewed and cleared for public release by security and policy review authorities. iii Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Watts, Barry D. The Foundations ofUS Air Doctrine . "December 1984 ." Bibliography : p. Includes index. 1. United States. Air Force. 2. Aeronautics, Military-United States. 3. Air warfare . I. Title. 11. Title: Foundations of US air doctrine . III. Title: Friction in war. UG633.W34 1984 358.4'00973 84-72550 355' .0215-dc 19 ISBN 1-58566-007-8 First Printing December 1984 Second Printing September 1991 ThirdPrinting July 1993 Fourth Printing May 1996 Fifth Printing January 1997 Sixth Printing June 1998 Seventh Printing July 2000 Eighth Printing June 2001 Ninth Printing September 2001 iv THE AUTHOR s Lieutenant Colonel Barry D. Watts (MA philosophy, University of Pittsburgh; BA mathematics, US Air Force Academy) has been teaching and writing about military theory since he joined the Air Force Academy faculty in 1974 . During the Vietnam War he saw combat with the 8th Tactical Fighter Wing at Ubon, Thailand, completing 100 missions over North Vietnam in June 1968. Subsequently, Lieutenant Colonel Watts flew F-4s from Yokota AB, Japan, and Kadena AB, Okinawa. More recently, he has served as a military assistant to the Director of Net Assessment, Office of the Secretary of Defense, and with the Air Staff's Project CHECKMATE. -
Is War Still Becoming Obsolete?
IS WAR STILL BECOMING OBSOLETE? John Mueller Department of Political Science University of Rochester reformatted August 3, 2012 Prepared for presentation at the 1991 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, The Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, August 29 through September 1, 1991. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. ABSTRACT: In Retreat from Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War I concluded, as the subtitle suggests, that "major war" (defined as "war among developed countries") is obsolescent (defined as becoming [not being] obsolete). Although war obviously persists in the world, an important and consequential change has taken place with respect to attitudes toward the institution of war, one rather akin to the processes by which the once-accepted institutions of slavery and dueling became extinct. This paper develops eleven topics that relate to the theme of the book: 1. Summarizes the obsolescence of major war argument. 2. Deals with the argument that nuclear weapons have largely been irrelevant to the remarkable absence of war in the developed world since 1945. 3. Speculates about the future of war in the post Cold War era. 4. Discusses the connection, if any, between war-aversion and pacificism. 5. Deals with the continuing fascination with war in a era free from major war and also with the notion that war is somehow the natural fate of the human race. 6. Expands the book's suggestion that Hitler was a necessary condition for world war in Europe. 7. Considers what the demise of the Cold War suggests about the concept of polarity and about the tenets of some forms of realism. -
Air Defence in Northern Europe
FINNISH DEFENCE STUDIES AIR DEFENCE IN NORTHERN EUROPE Heikki Nikunen National Defence College Helsinki 1997 Finnish Defence Studies is published under the auspices of the National Defence College, and the contributions reflect the fields of research and teaching of the College. Finnish Defence Studies will occasionally feature documentation on Finnish Security Policy. Views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily imply endorsement by the National Defence College. Editor: Kalevi Ruhala Editorial Assistant: Matti Hongisto Editorial Board: Chairman Prof. Pekka Sivonen, National Defence College Dr. Pauli Järvenpää, Ministry of Defence Col. Erkki Nordberg, Defence Staff Dr., Lt.Col. (ret.) Pekka Visuri, Finnish Institute of International Affairs Dr. Matti Vuorio, Scientific Committee for National Defence Published by NATIONAL DEFENCE COLLEGE P.O. Box 266 FIN - 00171 Helsinki FINLAND FINNISH DEFENCE STUDIES 10 AIR DEFENCE IN NORTHERN EUROPE Heikki Nikunen National Defence College Helsinki 1997 ISBN 951-25-0873-7 ISSN 0788-5571 © Copyright 1997: National Defence College All rights reserved Oy Edita Ab Pasilan pikapaino Helsinki 1997 INTRODUCTION The historical progress of air power has shown a continuous rising trend. Military applications emerged fairly early in the infancy of aviation, in the form of first trials to establish the superiority of the third dimension over the battlefield. Well- known examples include the balloon reconnaissance efforts made in France even before the birth of the aircraft, and it was not long before the first generation of flimsy, underpowered aircraft were being tested in a military environment. The Italians used aircraft for reconnaissance missions at Tripoli in 1910-1912, and the Americans made their first attempts at taking air power to sea as early as 1910-1911. -
Environmental Consequences of Nuclear War
Environmental consequences of nuclear war Owen B. Toon, Alan Robock, and Richard P. Turco A regional war involving 100 Hiroshima-sized weapons would pose a worldwide threat due to ozone destruction and climate change. A superpower confrontation with a few thousand weapons would be catastrophic. Brian Toon is chair of the department of atmospheric and oceanic sciences and a member of the laboratory for atmospheric and space physics at the University of Colorado at Boulder. Alan Robock is a professor of atmospheric science at Rutgers University in New Brunswick, New Jersey. Rich Turco is a professor of atmospheric science at the University of California, Los Angeles. More than 25 years ago, three independent research ber of potential fatalities from a nuclear war and in the like- groups made valuable contributions to elaborating the conse- lihood of environmental consequences that threaten the bulk quences of nuclear warfare.1 Paul Crutzen and John Birks pro- of humanity. Unfortunately, that assumption is incorrect. In- posed that massive fires and smoke emissions in the lower at- deed, we estimate that the direct effects of using the 2012 ar- mosphere after a global nuclear exchange would create severe senals would lead to hundreds of millions of fatalities. The short-term environmental aftereffects. Extending their work, indirect effects would likely eliminate the majority of the two of us (Toon and Turco) and colleagues discovered “nuclear human population. winter,” which posited that worldwide climatic cooling from stratospheric smoke would cause agricultural collapse that Casualty and soot numbers threatened the majority of the human population with starva- Any of several targeting strategies might be employed in a tion. -
Highlights of Recent RAND Research on Counterinsurgency
Highlights of Recent RAND Research on Counterinsurgency For more information, contact Shirley Ruhe, Director of Congressional Relations, at 703-413-1100, x5632 or [email protected], or Kurt Card, National Security Legislative Analyst, at 703-413-1100 x5259 or [email protected] As the leading research authority on counterinsurgency, the RAND Corporation has developed a wide selection of materials for policy makers. With multiple insurgencies operating in several theaters this research was developed to provide a historical, geographical, and functional understanding of past and present insurgencies and counterinsurgency operations. Social Science for Counterterrorism Putting the Pieces Together Darcy Noricks et al., 2009 This report from an interdisciplinary project to survey and integrate the scholarly social- science literature relevant to counterterrorism answers questions related to why some individuals become terrorists, how terrorists generate public support, how terrorist organizations make decisions, and why individuals disengage. A Stability Police Force for the United States Justification and Options for Creating U.S. Capabilities Terrence K. Kelly et al., 2009 Establishing security is the sine qua non of stability operations, since it is a prerequisite for reconstruction and development. Security requires a mix of military and police forces to deal with a range of threats from insurgents to criminal organizations. This research examines the creation of a high-end police force, which the authors call a Stability Police Force. 1 Underkill Scalable Capabilities for Military Operations amid Populations David C. Gompert et al., 2009 The battle for Gaza revealed an extremist strategy: hiding in cities and provoking attack to cause civilian deaths that can be blamed on the attacking forces. -
The Use of Helicopters Against Guerrillas the Israeli Model
JEMEAA - FEATURE The Use of Helicopters against Guerrillas The Israeli Model DR. TAL TOVY ince its establishment, the State of Israel has been facing a bloody struggle against terrorism and guerrilla warfare, in addition to four conventional wars.1 The Israeli war against guerrilla fighters or terrorists began almost Simmediately after the War of Independence. Palestinian terrorists attempted to infiltrate Israel from the surrounding Arab countries and perform sabotage ac- tions near the border, which were little more than lines drawn on a map and proved wholly inadequate in stopping the infiltrations. After the 1967 war, most terrorists crossed over from Jordan. Following the “Black September” conflict in 1970 and up until 1982 (Operation Peace for Galilee), most terrorists infiltrated through the Lebanese border. In the 1980s and 1990s, Israel fought against the Shiite Amal Movement and Hezbollah organization in Lebanon. Since October 2000, Israel has struggled against widespread military uprisings in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. To counter these activities, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) uses various opera- tional methods. Special Forces have raided known terrorist bases and routine se- curity activities have been conducted along the borders and in the major cities. A third method has been targeting specific terrorist leaders or installations in the Middle East and in Europe. Most operations of the first and third categories are still classified. The IDF has launched a few large attacks targeting terrorist infra- structure—for example Karameh and Litany—with the most extensive one being the Lebanon War (1982), at least initially. In these large-scale operations, Israel has deployed massive infantry, armor, and artillery forces. -
Cyber Warfare a “Nuclear Option”?
CYBER WARFARE A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? ANDREW F. KREPINEVICH CYBER WARFARE: A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? BY ANDREW KREPINEVICH 2012 © 2012 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. All rights reserved. About the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA) is an independent, nonpartisan policy research institute established to promote innovative thinking and debate about national security strategy and investment options. CSBA’s goal is to enable policymakers to make informed decisions on matters of strategy, secu- rity policy and resource allocation. CSBA provides timely, impartial, and insight- ful analyses to senior decision makers in the executive and legislative branches, as well as to the media and the broader national security community. CSBA encour- ages thoughtful participation in the development of national security strategy and policy, and in the allocation of scarce human and capital resources. CSBA’s analysis and outreach focus on key questions related to existing and emerging threats to US national security. Meeting these challenges will require transforming the national security establishment, and we are devoted to helping achieve this end. About the Author Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich, Jr. is the President of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, which he joined following a 21-year career in the U.S. Army. He has served in the Department of Defense’s Office of Net Assessment, on the personal staff of three secretaries of defense, the National Defense Panel, the Defense Science Board Task Force on Joint Experimentation, and the Defense Policy Board. He is the author of 7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century and The Army and Vietnam. -
The Beginnings of Radio Habana Cuba
The Beginnings of Radio Habana Cuba by José Altshuler, Dr.Sc.* The first decade of the 20th century saw the installation and regular operation of the first radio communication stations in Cuba, using De Forest and Telefunken low- and medium- frequency spark transmitters to provide wireless telegraphy services, essentially ship-shore. By 1916, in the context of World War I, the Cuban government equipped its station at the entrance of the bay of Havana with a 20 kW transmitter so that it could reach “the United States and [...] any ship 500 miles or more from the island” [5]. Radio broadcasting began in 1922, initially in an amateurish way, and shortly after with a 500 watt medium-wave transmitter installed and operated in Havana by ITT through its subsidiary, the Cuban Telephone Company. Erected with a view to enhancing the corpo- rate image of ITT, the facility was one of the nine most powerful ones in the Western hemisphere at the time [6]. Commercial broadcasting expanded rapidly from 29 medium- wave stations operating in 1923 to 81 in 1935, when the number of radio receivers in the country was about 45 000 [3]. By the end of 1933, the first shortwave commercial broadcasting station was in- stalled. A few other low-power shortwave transmitters went into regular operation afterwards for the purpose of serving the interior of the country, but they were not effective enough and most of them were put off after some time. Only a few low-power shortwave broadcasting stations remained in operation in Cuba in the 1950s, each one dedicated to the simultaneous transmission of the ordinary commercial programs broadcast by associated medium-wave stations serving a national audience. -
HPSC0039 Science, Warfare & Peace Course Syllabus
HPSC0039 Science, Warfare & Peace Course Syllabus 2019-20 session | Convenor: Professor Brian Balmer| [email protected] Course Information This module explores the relationships between science, war and the prevention of war. It will place military and security technologies within social, political, and historical contexts. There is particular emphasis on the twentieth and twenty-first centuries and on weapons usually designated as `unconventional’ or `weapons of mass destruction’. In addition to thinking about how science, technology and warfare have shaped each other, this module also considers the changing role of the scientist in relation to the state, and considers broader themes such as the arms control, disarmament, ethics, and popular culture in relation to war. Basic course information Course website: On Moodle Moodle Web site: Search ‘HPSC0039’ Assessment: This term’s course will be assessed on the basis of one written assignments: review (60%) and an exam (40%). Timetable: www.ucl.ac.uk/timetable Prerequisites: no pre-requisites, course designed primarily for year 3 undergraduate students Required texts: See reading list Course tutor: Professor Brian Balmer Contact: [email protected] Web: https://www.ucl.ac.uk/sts/people/professor-brian-balmer Office location: 22 Gordon Square, Room 2.1 Office hours: See Moodle or Staff Website (above) HPSC0039 Science, Warfare & Peace 2019-20 session Prof. Brian Balmer Schedule UCL Week Topic Date Essential Reading 21 Science: Technology: War: Security 14 Jan Kaldor, M (2013) 22 21 Jan Thorpe, -
Applying Traditional Military Principles to Cyber Warfare
2012 4th International Conference on Cyber Confl ict Permission to make digital or hard copies of this publication for internal use within NATO and for personal or educational use when for non-profi t or non-commercial C. Czosseck, R. Ottis, K. Ziolkowski (Eds.) purposes is granted providing that copies bear this notice and a full citation on the 2012 © NATO CCD COE Publications, Tallinn first page. Any other reproduction or transmission requires prior written permission by NATO CCD COE. Applying Traditional Military Principles to Cyber Warfare Samuel Liles Marcus Rogers Cyber Integration and Information Computer and Information Operations Department Technology Department National Defense University iCollege Purdue University Washington, DC West Lafayette, IN [email protected] [email protected] J. Eric Dietz Dean Larson Purdue Homeland Security Institute Larson Performance Engineering Purdue University Munster, IN West Lafayette, IN [email protected] [email protected] Abstract: Utilizing a variety of resources, the conventions of land warfare will be analyzed for their cyber impact by using the principles designated by the United States Army. The analysis will discuss in detail the factors impacting security of the network enterprise for command and control, the information conduits found in the technological enterprise, and the effects upon the adversary and combatant commander. Keywords: cyber warfare, military principles, combatant controls, mechanisms, strategy 1. INTRODUCTION Adams informs us that rapid changes due to technology have increasingly effected the affairs of the military. This effect whether economic, political, or otherwise has sometimes been extreme. Technology has also made substantial impacts on the prosecution of war. Adams also informs us that information technology is one of the primary change agents in the military of today and likely of the future [1].