Making a Gang: Exporting US Criminal Capital to El Salvador
Making a Gang: Exporting US Criminal Capital to El Salvador Maria Micaela Sviatschi Princeton University∗y March 31, 2020 Abstract This paper provides new evidence on how criminal knowledge exported from the US affect gang development. In 1996, the US Illegal Immigration Responsibility Act drastically increased the number of criminal deportations. In particular, the members of large Salvadoran gangs that developed in Los Angeles were sent back to El Salvador. Using variation in criminal depor- tations over time and across cohorts combined with geographical variation in the location of gangs and their members place of birth, I find that criminal deportations led to a large increase in Salvadoran homicide rates and gang activity, such as extortion and drug trafficking, as well as an increase in gang recruitment of children. In particular, I find evidence that children in their early teens when the leaders arrived are more likely to be involved in gang-related crimes when they are adults. I also find evidence that these deportations, by increasing gang violence in El Salvador, increase child migration to the US–potentially leading to more deportations. However, I find that in municipalities characterized by stronger organizational skills and social ties in the 1980s, before the deportation shocks, gangs of US origin are less likely to develop. In sum, this paper provides evidence on how deportation policies can backfire by disseminating not only ideas between countries but also criminal networks, spreading gangs across Central America and back into parts of the US. ∗I am grateful for the feedback I received from Roland Benabou, Leah Boustan, Chris Blattman, Zach Brown, Janet Currie, Will Dobbie, Thomas Fujiwara, Jonas Hjort, Ben Lessing, Bentley Macleod, Beatriz Magaloni, Eduardo Morales, Mike Mueller-Smith, Suresh Naidu, Kiki Pop-Eleches, Maria Fernanda Rosales, Violeta Rosenthal, Jake Shapiro, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla, Santiago Tobon, Miguel Urquiola, Juan Vargas, Tom Vogl, Leonard Wanchekon, Austin Wright and participants at numerous conferences and seminars.
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