Member State Last Week's Ranking
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Data accurate as of 28/09 (ECDC Data) (Testing % Data Here) - comparisons with 21/09 Click to find Member State of interest. Member State Last week’s Cases Per Last week’s Projected Colour Code under ranking - 100,000 last Infection Rate European comparison 14 days - comparison Commission (+/-) (+/-) Proposal 1. Spain - 319.9 +19 2. Czech Republic - 266.8 +68.8 3. France - 235 +42.5 4. Luxembourg - 189.4 +41.5 5. Netherlands +2 170.6 +60.8 6. Belgium - 167.4 +51.3 7. Denmark +5 127.8 +53.7 8. Hungary - 127 +19.8 9. Malta -4 116.7 -3.7 10. Austria -1 114.4 +8.7 11. United Kingdom +3 99.7 +29 12. Romania -2 98.8 +7.3 EU Average N/A 98.6 +20.1 13. Portugal -2 93.6 +18 14. Ireland +1 81.7 +15.2 15. Slovenia +1 79.2 +19.3 16. Croatia -3 65.4 -7.2 17. Slovakia - 65.1 +27.2 18. Sweden +3 42.7 +16 19. Estonia +1 39.6 +8.7 20. Greece +1 39.2 +5.5 21. Lithuania +3 37.6 +13.9 22. Italy -4 36.6 +2.6 23. Poland +2 34.7 +12.5 24. Bulgaria -1 30.5 +4.6 25. Germany -3 30.1 +4.2 26. Finland - 20 +6.3 27. Cyprus - 19.4 +9 28. Latvia - 10.5 +5.4 Key changes since last week: • DeHavilland have aligned epidemiological data, positive test rate % data and the current European Commission proposal for a harmonised colour coded system to provide a provisional classification as of 28/09/2020. European Level • The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control has published a new COVID-19 situation dashboard with simplified design and features. The Netherlands, Denmark and Hungary have been coloured red. International: • Lithuania has been added to Norway’s unsafe travel list after the country reported its highest daily spike in COVID-19 cases since February 28. • Travellers arriving in the UK from Denmark will have to self-isolate for 14 days. DeHavilland Information Services Ltd 2020 www.dehavilland.co.uk • Finland reintroduced border controls with Sweden, Iceland, Norway, Slovakia, Germany and Estonia on September 28. • Slovenia added Austria, Hungary and Croatia to their red list, whilst Poland and Serbia were added to the green list. Italy has been given an orange status. • Passengers of flights from Hungary to Greece will need a negative PCR test 72 hours prior to their flight. • Italy has lifted the 14-day quarantine for those arriving from Bulgaria. • Estonia removed the obligation of quarantine for persons arriving in the country from Lithuania, Latvia and Finland. • In the UK, Denmark, Iceland and Slovakia have been removed from the travel corridor list from 26/09. • Ireland has updated its Green list. It now includes only: Cyprus, Finland, Latvia, Liechtenstein. • Poland will reinstate flights to Schengen zone from Sept 30. Domestic • New Dutch domestic measures include making employers legally responsible for clusters of COVID-19 infections, impacted business being shut down for up to two weeks, and tightened restrictions for restaurants and bars. • Belgium has dropped a ban on travel to areas marked high-risk, in favor of “strong” advice not to travel there. In Brussels, face masks only have to be worn in busy areas such as near schools or commercial zones. • The period of emergency epidemic situation has been extended in Bulgaria until 30 November. • In France, all restaurants, cafes, and bars in the Aix-Marseille region will close and remain shut for 15 days. Bars in Paris will have to close from 10pm. Both these measures came in effect on 28 September. Domestic & International Speculation: Ekathimerini (Greece): The Greek Government is apparently planning on imposing wearing of face masks to be obligatory in outdoor spaces in Attica, as the region has seen an increase of cases the past weeks. The Telegraph (UK): Poland has entered the ‘Red-Zone’ – a system used by the UK to determine whether a country is taken off its quarantine-exempt list. Euractiv: The Slovak government will decide on the state of emergency on Wednesday 30 September 2020. Euractiv: German Chancellor Merkel is meeting all 16 state leaders today (29 September 2020) to discuss stricter measures to avoid the 19,000 new cases per day that Merkel anticipates for Christmas. Bavarian state premier calls for a standardised nationwide traffic light system among the states. Dutch News (Netherlands): Dutch Prime Minister Rutte did not rule out a possible national lockdown if the recently introduced measures do not have an effect in the next three weeks. DeHavilland Information Services Ltd 2020 www.dehavilland.co.uk Across the European Institutions European Commission Proposal on Harmonised Colour Coding System • The European Commission has adopted a proposal to ensure that harmonised and coordinated measures taken by Member States in order to restrict free movement due to the coronavirus pandemic. • In addition, it has published a set of recommendations for a common COVID-19 testing approach in Europe. • In its report, the European Parliament called Member States to adopt the same definition for a positive case of COVID-19, establish a common quarantine period and coordinate travel restrictions. A Common Colour Code: Green: Total COVID-19 cases per 100,000 less than 25 over 14-day period & Positive COVID-19 tests fewer than 3%. Orange: New COVID-19 cases less than 50 per 100,000 but % of positive tests is 3%+ Or Number of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 is between 25 and 150 but % of positive tests is less than 3% Red: Total COVID-19 cases per 100,000 is more than 50 over 14-day period and percentage of positive tests is more than 3%. Or the total number of new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 is more than 150 over a 14-day period. Grey: Where there is insufficient information available or where number of COVID-19 tests per 100,000 is less than 250 EU Coordination on COVID-19: The Presidency published a progress report on COVID 19 - EU coordination. The ECDC will be asked to provide a comprehensive data set of the following key indicators on a weekly basis. Member States should also inform the public and relevant stakeholders as early as 24 hours earlier before new general measures come into effect. Trust in EU Institutions: Eurofound published a comprehensive study into the impact of COVID-19 on Europe which found that trust in the EU went up significantly, and is now higher in the EU than national governments. Vaccine Availability: The European Commission was not able to say when a COVID-19 vaccine will be available, EU health Commissioner Stella Kyriakides admitted on Thursday 24 September. Action in Parliament: The European Parliament ITRE and ENVI Committees held a public hearing in the state of play of the Covid-19 vaccine development, distribution, and approval within the EU and beyond. DeHavilland Information Services Ltd 2020 www.dehavilland.co.uk Austria – More Information Cases Per 100 000 (last 114.4 14 days) Border Status (EU) • Only Austrian, EU/EEA, or Swiss citizens as well as people with a residence permit are allowed to enter Austria without restrictions • Non-eligible travellers to present negative test in previous 72 hours. Border Status (Non-EU) • Entry possible from non-EU countries without “stable COVID-19 situation”. • Without negative COVID test, quarantine for 10 days alongside presentation of negative test. Domestic Restrictions • Masks are mandatory in enclosed public places and on public transportation. Economic Analysis – European Commission Data Projected GDP Impact • -7.10% (Summer Forecast %) • (15/28) Projected 2020 • +5.90% Unemployment Rate • (26/28) (Spring Forecast %) Just Transition Fund • €331m Allocation (Jan 2020) • (16/27) Cohesion Fund • Not in receipt of cohesion funding. Allocation (2014-2020) Grants allocation (RRF) • €2,082m (2021-2022) / €913m (2023) Net • Contributor Contributor/Beneficiary • +€1534m 2018) • 6th Highest Net-Contributor Political Analysis Sebastian Kurz has been Chancellor of Austria since January 2020 and previously had a tenure from December 2017 to May 2019, which came to an end because of a scandal with the coalition partner. Austria closed all schools on 15 March 2020, two days before the third COVID-19 death was confirmed. Non-essential movement has been banned one day later. As of 17 August, there have been 23,373 cases (0.26% of the population) and 728 COVID-19 deaths (3.11% of cases). On 2 September Austria’s government has presented a new set of coronavirus recommendations including private gatherings to be limited to 25 people. According to a Statista poll in July 2020, 70% of Austrians were either very satisfied (27%) or rather satisfied (43%) with the COVID-19 measures while 20% were rather not satisfied and 10% were not at all satisfied. However, 51% did not approve how the government managed the economic consequences of the crisis. The opposition in Austria pressured Chancellor Kurz to undo the measures as quickly as to not drastically interfere with the peoples’ basic rights any longer. 56% of Austrians, however, say that the easing of measures including the freedom of travel came too fast. Austria was a member of the “frugal four” at the EU Council summit, asking for reductions of spending. Therefore, the Austrian Chancellor was very satisfied with the outcome, as Austria additionally received an increased rebate. The next Austrian presidential election will take place in 2024. DeHavilland Information Services Ltd 2020 www.dehavilland.co.uk Belgium - More information Cases Per 100 000 (last 167.4 14 days) Border Status (EU) • 14-day quarantine period needed for those coming from high risk areas including regions in Croatia, Spain, France and Romania, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria and Hungary.