Predicting Riverbank Collapse Using Numerical Modelling Goyder Institute for Water Research Technical Report Series No. 15/41
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Predicting Riverbank Collapse Using Numerical Modelling Mark Jaksa, Yien Lik Kuo, Chen Liang, Bertram Ostendorf, Tom Hubble and Elyssa De Carli Goyder Institute for Water Research Technical Report Series No. 15/41 www.goyderinstitute.org Riverbank Collapse Task 5 Report Goyder Institute for Water Research Technical Report Series ISSN: 1839-2725 The Goyder Institute for Water Research is a partnership between the South Australian Government through the Department for Environment, Water and Natural Resources, CSIRO, Flinders University, the University of Adelaide, the University of South Australia and ICE WaRM (the International Centre of Excellence in Water Resources Management). The Institute will enhance the South Australian Government’s capacity to develop and deliver science-based policy solutions in water management. It brings together the best scientists and researchers across Australia to provide expert and independent scientific advice to inform good government water policy and identify future threats and opportunities to water security. The following organisation contributed to this report: Enquires should be addressed to: Goyder Institute for Water Research Level 4, 33 King William St, Adelaide SA 5000 tel: (08) 8236 5209 e-mail: [email protected] Citation Jaksa, MB, Kuo, YL, Liang, C, Ostendorf, B, Hubble, T, and de Carli, E. 2015, Predicting Riverbank Collapse Using Numerical Modelling, Goyder Institute for Water Research Technical Report Series No. 15/41, Adelaide, South Australia Copyright © 2015 University of Adelaide. To the extent permitted by law, all rights are reserved and no part of this publication covered by copyright may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means except with the written permission of University of Adelaide. Disclaimer The Participants advise that the information contained in this publication comprises general statements based on scientific research and does not warrant or represent the completeness of any information or material in this publication. Page 2 of 77 Riverbank Collapse Task 5 Report Table of Contents Executive Summary............................................................................................... 8 1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 10 2 GIS-based Analysis of Riverbank Collapses at Long Island Marina and Tailem Bend ................................................................................................................. 12 2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Background and Methodology .................................................................................. 14 2.3 Results ........................................................................................................................ 18 2.4 Summary .................................................................................................................... 19 3 Back Analysis of Historical Riverbank Collapses ................................................. 20 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 20 3.2 Methodology ............................................................................................................. 22 3.3 Results ........................................................................................................................ 29 3.4 Summary .................................................................................................................... 33 4 Effects of River Level Fluctuation and Climate on Riverbank Stability ................ 34 4.1 Background ................................................................................................................ 34 4.2 Study Area .................................................................................................................. 36 4.3 Methodology ............................................................................................................. 38 4.4 Results ........................................................................................................................ 47 4.5 Summary .................................................................................................................... 55 5 Identifying the Areas Susceptible to Riverbank Instability ................................. 56 5.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 56 5.2 Methodology and Results .......................................................................................... 56 5.3 Summary .................................................................................................................... 65 6 Summary .......................................................................................................... 68 7 References ....................................................................................................... 69 Page 3 of 77 Riverbank Collapse Task 5 Report List of Figures FIGURE 1: LOCATION OF THE STUDY AREA. .......................................................................................... 12 FIGURE 2: LONG ISLAND MARINA STUDY SITE: (A) LOCATIONS OF 5 SIGNIFICANT FAILURES; (B) LOCATION PLAN OF IN SITU TESTING AND RECORDED COLLAPSES; AND (C) DISTRIBUTION OF BANK CROSS-SECTIONS IN 3D PERSPECTIVE. ................................................................................. 13 FIGURE 3: EXAMPLES OF VISUAL INTERPRETATION OF 2008 AND 2010 AERIAL IMAGES USING ARCGIS AT: (A) MURRAY BRIDGE; AND (B) TAILEM BEND. ......................................................................... 13 FIGURE 4: RIVER MURRAY WATER LEVEL AT MURRAY BRIDGE 1/12/1986 TO 11/07/2011 (BASED ON DFW, 2010). .................................................................................................................................... 15 FIGURE 5: SCHEMATIC OF THE LOCATIONS AND THE SELF-WEIGHT OF THE STRUCTURES ON THE RIVERBANK. .................................................................................................................................... 16 FIGURE 6: MINIMUM FOS AND POTENTIAL SLIP SURFACE OF A DEEP-SEATED ROTATIONAL FAILURE OBTAINED FROM SVSLOPE AT LOCATION NO. 21 WHEN THE WATER LEVEL WAS AT 0 M AHD. .. 16 FIGURE 7: BACK ANALYSES USING THREE GEOTECHNICAL MODELS. .................................................... 17 FIGURE 8: FACTORS OF SAFETY OF NEIGHBOURING CROSS SECTIONS (0 AND 0.5 M AHD). ................ 18 FIGURE 9: PREDICTIONS OF RIVERBANK SUSCEPTIBILITY WITH RIVER LEVELS AT (A) 0 M AHD AND (B) 0.5 M AHD. ..................................................................................................................................... 19 FIGURE 10: THE GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATIONS OF THE FOUR STUDIED SITES AND MAJOR RIVERBANK COLLAPSES IN THE PAST, AS WELL AS THE PROXIMITIES OF THE BOREHOLE AND RIVER LEVEL OBSERVATION STATIONS. ............................................................................................................... 21 FIGURE 11: ADOPTED VISUAL INTERPRETATION METHOD OF HIGH-RESOLUTION AERIAL IMAGES: (A), (C), (E) AND (G) ARE AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHS ACQUIRED IN MARCH 2008 AT MN, WR, RFR AND WS, RESPECTIVELY; (B), (D), (F), AND (H) ARE AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHS ACQUIRED IN MAY 2010 AT MN, WR, RFR AND WS, RESPECTIVELY. .......................................................................................... 23 FIGURE 12: EXAMPLE OF ADOPTED ELEVATION COMPARISON METHOD ON DEMS AT WR (A) 1 M RESOLUTION DEM ACQUIRED IN 2008; (B) 0.2 M RESOLUTION DEM ACQUIRED IN 2010). .......... 24 FIGURE 13: RESULTS OF CPTU SOUNDING (A) PROFILE; AND (B) PORE PRESSURE DISSIPATION TEST RESULTS. ......................................................................................................................................... 27 FIGURE 14: DAILY RIVER LEVELS AND DAILY RAINFALL RECORDED AT (A) MANNUM (MN) SITE IN APRIL 2009; (B) WOODLANE RESERVE (WR) SITE IN FEBRUARY 2009; (C) RIVER FRONT ROAD, MURRAY BRIDGE (RFR) SITE IN FEBRUARY 2009; AND (D) WHITE SANDS (WS) SITE IN APRIL 2009. ........................................................................................................................................................ 28 FIGURE 15: RIVERBANK STABILITY ANALYSIS OF THE MANNUM (MN) SITE ON 21 APRIL 2009. .......... 30 FIGURE 16: RIVERBANK STABILITY ANALYSIS OF THE WOODLANE RESERVE (WR) SITE ON 26 FEBRUARY 2009. ............................................................................................................................. 30 FIGURE 17: RIVERBANK STABILITY ANALYSIS OF THE RIVER FRONT ROAD, MURRAY BRIDGE (RFR) SITE ON 6 FEBRUARY 2009. .................................................................................................................... 30 Page 4 of 77 Riverbank Collapse Task 5 Report FIGURE 18: RIVERBANK STABILITY ANALYSIS OF THE WHITE SANDS (WS) SITE ON 23 APRIL 2009. ..... 31 FIGURE 19: RIVERBANK COLLAPSE FACTOR OF SAFETY TIME SERIES FOR MANNUM (MN) IN APRIL 2009. ............................................................................................................................................... 31 FIGURE 20: RIVERBANK COLLAPSE FACTOR OF SAFETY TIME SERIES FOR WOODLANE RESERVE (WR) IN FEBRUARY 2009. ............................................................................................................................