Use of Oral Contraceptives (OC) and Breast Cancer Risk Among Young Women by OC Formulation
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Use of oral contraceptives (OC) and breast cancer risk among young women by OC formulation and breast cancer subtype Elisabeth Frances Beaber A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy University of Washington 2012 Reading Committee: Christopher I. Li, Chair Diana S.M. Buist Kathleen E. Malone Program Authorized to Offer Degree: Epidemiology – Public Health University of Washington Abstract Use of oral contraceptives (OC) and breast cancer risk among young women by OC formulation and breast cancer subtype Elisabeth Frances Beaber Chair of the Supervisory Committee: Professor Christopher I. Li Epidemiology – Public Health Background: Many studies suggest a modest increased breast cancer risk is associated with recent oral contraceptive (OC) use, but risks associated with contemporary OCs and molecular subtypes of breast cancer are less well known. Estrogen and progestin doses have declined and new progestins have been used since OCs were introduced. Furthermore, the vast majority of studies have relied on self-reported OC use, rather than pharmacy data. Methods: Two studies examining invasive breast cancer risk were conducted in western Washington state. The first was a population-based interview case-control study among women ages 20-44 from 2004-2010 (985 cases, 882 controls). Logistic regression was used to estimate associations between lifetime OC use, overall risk, and breast cancer risk by subtype (estrogen receptor positive (ER+), ER-, and triple-negative (ER-/PR-/HER2-)). The second study was a nested case-control study among Group Health Cooperative health plan enrollees. Cases were ages 20-49 at diagnosis from 1990-2009 (n=1102) and controls were randomly selected (n=21952). Associations between recent OC use (within 1 year of reference date) by OC formulation and ER status were evaluated using conditional logistic regression. Results: In the first study, recent OC use for ≥5 years increased breast cancer risk (odds ratio (OR)=1.6), as well as lifetime duration of use for ≥15 years (OR=1.5). There was no statistically significant risk heterogeneity by OC formulation. ORs were generally greater among women ages 20-39. ER- cancer ORs were greater than ER+ ORs. Triple-negative breast cancer ORs were especially elevated. In the second study, recent OC use increased breast cancer risk (OR=1.6). Risk was greater for ER+ (OR=1.7) than ER- cancer (OR=1.3). Risk varied by OC formulation, with some OCs associated with an increased risk and others not associated with risk. Conclusions: We found that recent use of contemporary OCs increases breast cancer risk among women ages 20-49 and that long durations of use increases risk among ages 20-44. Risks may be greater among younger women and for triple-negative breast cancer. Risks may also vary by OC formulation. Continued monitoring of breast cancer risk is essential as OC formulations and use patterns continue to evolve. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Tables.................................................................................................................................ii Chapter 1: Oral contraceptive use and breast cancer risk overall and by molecular subtype among women ages 20-44 Abstract...........................................................................................................................................1 Introduction.....................................................................................................................................2 Methods..........................................................................................................................................3 Results............................................................................................................................................7 Discussion.....................................................................................................................................10 Chapter 2: Recent oral contraceptive use by formulation and breast cancer risk among young women Abstract.........................................................................................................................................23 Introduction...................................................................................................................................24 Methods........................................................................................................................................25 Results .........................................................................................................................................31 Discussion.....................................................................................................................................34 Bibliography................................................................................................................................52 i LIST OF TABLES Table Number and Title Page 1.1 Selected characteristics of controls and cases.......................................................................16 1.2 Oral contraceptive (OC) use and risk of breast cancer...........................................................18 1.3 Risk of breast cancer associated with current use of specific combined oral contraceptive (OC) preparations for 5 years or longer........................................................................................19 1.4 Risk of breast cancer associated with ever or current use of specific combined oral contraceptive (OC) preparations...................................................................................................20 1.5 Duration of oral contraceptive (OC) use, recency of use, and risk of estrogen receptor positive (ER+), ER negative (ER-), and triple-negative (ER-/PR-/HER2-) breast cancer ............21 2.1 Descriptive characteristics of controls and cases...................................................................44 2.2 Additional descriptive characteristics among a subset of controls and cases ages 20-44 (reference years: 1995-2009).......................................................................................................45 2.3 Recent oral contraceptive (OC) use and invasive breast cancer risk by estrogen receptor (ER) status....................................................................................................................................46 2.4 Recent oral contraceptive (OC) use by number of scripts and pills and invasive breast cancer risk by estrogen receptor (ER) status................................................................................47 2.5 Recent oral contraceptive (OC) use and invasive breast cancer risk by age..........................48 2.6 Recent oral contraceptive (OC) use by estrogen dose and progestin type and invasive breast cancer risk, by all cases (left) and ER positive cases (right)..............................................49 2.7 Recent oral contraceptive (OC) use by monophasic formulations and invasive breast cancer risk, by all cases (left) and ER positive cases (right).....................................................................50 2.8 Recent oral contraceptive (OC) use by triphasic formulations and invasive breast cancer risk, by all cases (left) and ER positive cases (right).....................................................................51 ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank my dissertation chair, Chris Li, for his mentorship and support. His critical input, enthusiasm, and commitment to my research all have been integral to my experience as a graduate student at the University of Washington. I feel very fortunate to have worked with such an outstanding mentor. In addition, I would like to acknowledge Diana Buist for her contributions to the research conducted at Group Health Research Institute (GHRI) and her professional guidance. I also sincerely appreciate the expertise and assistance from Kathi Malone, Susan Reed, and Bill Barlow. This work could not have been completed without the support of numerous individuals in the Cancer Epidemiology Research Cooperative at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, as well as the research team at GHRI. I especially would like to thank Mei Tang for her biostatistical support and the REACH study participants for donating their time. I would like to acknowledge the continual support and encouragement of my parents, siblings, and dear friends during my journey as a graduate student. In particular, thank you to Jed, Sara, Gaia, and Erin. iii DEDICATION To my dad, Larry Beaber. In memory of his constant love and support, good cheer, and commitment to lifelong learning. iv 1 CHAPTER 1: Oral contraceptive use and breast cancer risk overall and by molecular subtype among women ages 20-44 ABSTRACT Background: The majority of studies demonstrate recent oral contraceptive (OC) use is associated with a small increased breast cancer risk among young women; yet risks associated with modern OC formulations and by molecular subtype have not been well characterized. Methods: We conducted a population-based case-control study of invasive breast cancer among women ages 20-44 residing in the Seattle-Puget Sound area from 2004-2010 (985 cases and 882 controls). We collected detailed information on contraceptive use and participant characteristics via an in-person interview. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Current OC use