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Air Pollution Control Programme for the 2020 to 2029 Period

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Air Pollution Control Programme for the 2020 to 2029 Period Air Pollution Control Programme MZOE MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY AIR POLLUTION CONTROL PROGRAMME FOR THE 2020 TO 2029 PERIOD Air Pollution Control Programme MZOE CONTENT 1. REMARK ................................................................................................................. 1 2. INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 1 2.1. THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR THE PREPARATION OF NATIONAL AIR POLLUTION CONTROL PROGRAMME .............................................................. 2 2.2. SCOPE AND AIM OF THE PROGRAMME ........................................................... 4 2.3. AVAILABLE DATA SOURCE ............................................................................. 6 3. THE NATIONAL AIR QUALITY AND POLLUTION POLLICY FRAMEWORK ... 8 3.1. A BRIEF OVERVIEW ON THE SITUATION IN RELATION TO THE VALID PROGRAMME ..................................................................................................... 8 3.2. POLICY PRIORITIES AND THEIR RELATIONSHIP TO PRIORITIES SET IN OTHER RELEVANT POLICY AREAS .................................................................. 9 3.2.1. KOHERENCE OF INVENTORIES AND PROJECTIONS .............................. 26 3.2.2. COHERENCE WITH PLANS AND PROGRAMMES ................................. 32 3.3. RESPONSIBILITIES ATTRIBUTED TO NATIONAL, REGIONAL AND LOCAL AUTHORITIES .................................................................................................. 44 4. PROGRESS MADE BY CURRENT POLICIES AND MEASURES (PaMs) IN REDUCING EMISSIONS AND IMPROVING AIR QUALITY, AND THE DEGREE OF COMPLIANCE WITH NATIONAL AND UNION OBLIGATIONS, COMPARED TO 2005 ............................................................................................. 56 4.1. PROGRESS MADE BY CURRENT PaMs IN REDUCING EMISSIONS, AND THE DEGREE OF COMPLIANCE WITH NATIONAL AND UNION EMISSION REDUCTION OBLIGATIONS ............................................................................ 56 4.2. PROGRESS MADE BY CURRENT PaMs IN IMPROVING AIR QUALITY, AND THE DEGREE OF COMPLIANCE WITH NATIONAL AND UNION AIR QUALITY OBLIGATIONS ................................................................................. 63 4.3. CURRENT TRANSBOUNDARY IMPACT OF NATIONAL EMISSION SOURCES .......................................................................................................................... 79 Air Pollution Control Programme MZOE 5. PROJECTED FURTHER EVOLUTION ASSUMING NO CHANGE TO ALREADY ADOPTED POLICIES AND MEASURES ............................................ 82 5.1. PROJECTED EMISSIONS AND EMISSION REDUCTIONS (WM SCENARIO) ... 91 5.1.1. METHODOLOGY AND MODELS AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS AND PARAMETERS FOR PREPARATION OF PROJECTIONS (WM SCENARIO) ..... 96 5.1.2. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF PROJECTIONS ................................................ 97 5.2. PROJECTED IMPACT ON IMPROVING AIR QUALITY (WM SCENARIO), INCLUDING THE PROJECTED DEGREE OF COMPLIANCE ............................ 98 6. POLICY OPTIONS CONSIDERED TO COMPLY WITH THE EMISSION REDUCTION COMMITMENTS FOR 2020, AND 2030, INTERMEDIATE EMISSION LEVELS FOR 2025, AND STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION ........ 103 6.1. DETAILS CONCERNING THE PaMS CONSIDERED IN ORDER TO COMPLY WITH THE EMISSION REDUCTION (REPORTING AT PaM LEVEL) (2.6.1) ... 103 6.2. IMPACTS ON AIR QUALITY AND THE ENVIRONMENT OF INDIVIDUAL PAMS OR PACKAGES OF PAMS CONSIDERED IN ORDER TO COMPLY WITH THE EMISSION REDUCTION COMMITMENTS (2.6.2) .......................... 114 6.3. ESTIMATION OF COSTS AND BENEFITS OF THE INDIVIDUAL PAM OR PACKAGE OF PAMS CONSIDERED IN ORDER TO COMPLY WITH THE EMISSION REDUCTION COMMITMENTS ........................................................ 114 6.4. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CONCERNING THE MEASURES FROM ANNEX III PART 2 TO DIRECTIVE (EU) 2016/2284 TARGETING THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR TO COMPLY WITH THE EMISSION REDUCTION COMMITMENTS117 7. STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION .................................................................... 121 8. THE POLICIES SELECTED FOR ADOPTION BY SECTOR, INCLUDING A TIMETABLE FOR THEIR ADOPTION, IMPLEMENTATION AND REVIEW AND THE COMPETENT AUTHORITIES RESPONSIBLE .................................. 126 8.1. INDIVIDUAL PAMs OR PACKAGE OF PAMS SELECTED FOR ADOPTION AND THE COMPETENT AUTHORITIES RESPONSIBLE ................................. 126 8.2. AN ASSESSMENT OF HOW SELECTED PAMS ENSURE COHERENCE WITH PLANS AND PROGRAMMES SET UP IN OTHER RELEVANT POLICY AREAS130 Air Pollution Control Programme MZOE 9. PROJECTED COMBINED IMPACTS OF PAMS ('WITH ADDITIONAL MEASURES' - WAM) ON EMISSION REDUCTIONS, AIR QUALITY AND THE ENVIRONMENT AND THE ASSOCIATED UNCERTAINTIES .......................... 131 9.1. PROJECTED ATTAINMENT OF EMISSION REDUCTION COMMITMENTS ... 131 9.2. NON-LINEAR TRAJECTORY FOR EMISSION REDUCTIONS ......................... 135 9.3. THE USE OF FLEXIBILITIES .......................................................................... 137 9.4. PROJECTED IMPROVEMENT IN AIR QUALITY ............................................ 138 9.5. PROJECTED IMPACTS ON THE ENVIRONMENT ........................................... 139 9.6. METHODOLOGIES AND UNCERTAINTIES OF WAM POLICY OPTIONS ...... 140 9.7. MONITORING PROGRESS IN IMPLEMENTATION OF THE PAMS AND THE NATIONAL AIR POLLUTION CONTROL PROGRAMME ................................ 141 10. DISSEMINTION OF THE NATIONAL AIR POLLUTION PROGRAMMME ...... 144 LITERATURA ............................................................................................................. 146 APPENDIX 1. DESCRIPTION OF CURRENTLY APPLIED AND ADOPETED PAM's149 APPENDIX 2. INITIAL ASSUMPTIONS AND PARAMETERS FOR PROJECTIONS 168 Air Pollution Control Programme MZOE POPIS TABLICA Table 1-1: Emission ceilings for period up to 2020 according to the Article 5 of the NEC Regulation ....................................................................................................................................... 3 Table 1-2: Table 5. from Annex I of the NEC Regulation ................................................................. 6 Table 4-1: Overview of adopted and applied PaMs whose impact is integrated into the scenario with existing measures (WM scenario) .......................................................................................... 83 Table 4-2: Sensitivity analysis overview ........................................................................................ 97 Table 8-1: Overview of the sensitivtiy analysis ............................................................................ 140 Table P 2-1: Assumptions for projections – Energy and Transport .............................................. 168 Table P 2-2: Assumptions for projections – Industrial processes and use of solvents .................. 170 Table P 2-3: Assumptions for projections - agriculture ................................................................. 170 Table P 2-4: Assumptions for projections – waste management .................................................. 171 Table P 2-5: Parameters on projections – general economic parameters .................................... 172 Table P 2-6: Parameters on projections – energy sector: total fuel consumption, total electricity generation, ‘with existing measures’ scenario .............................................................................. 172 Table P 2-7: Parameters on projections – energy sector: final energy consumption ................... 172 Table P 2-8: : Parameters on projections – weather parameters ................................................. 172 Table P 2-9: Parameters on projections – industry ...................................................................... 173 Table P 2-10: Parameters on projections – transport ................................................................... 173 Table P 2-11: Parameters on projections – agriculture ................................................................ 173 Table P 2-12: Parameters on projections – waste management .................................................. 174 Air Pollution Control Programme MZOE POPIS SLIKA Figure 4-1: Trend and projections of SO2 emissions for WM scenario ............................................. 93 Figure 4-2: Trend and projections of NOX emissions for WM scenario ............................................ 93 Figure 4-3: Trend and projections of NH3 emissions for WM scenario ............................................ 94 Figure 4-4: Trend and projections of NMVOC emissions for WM scenario ..................................... 94 Figure 4-5: Trend and projections of PM2,5 emissions for WM scenario .......................................... 95 Figure 4-6: Trend and projections of PM10 emissions for WM scenario........................................... 95 Figure 4-7: Emission Sensitivity Analysis for WM Scenario ............................................................. 97 Figure 8-1: Historic trend and projections of SO2 emissions for WM and WAM scenario ............. 131 Figure 8-2: Historic trend and projections of NOx emissions for WM and WAM scenario ............ 132 Figure 8-3: Historic trend and projections of NH3 emissions for WM and WAM scenario ............ 133 Figure 8-4: Historic trend and projections of NMVOC emissions for WM and WAM scenario ..... 133 Figure 8-5: Historic trend and projections of PM2,5 emissions for WM and WAM scenario .......... 134 Figure 8-6: Historic trend and projections of PM10 emissions for WM and WAM scenario .......... 134 Air Pollution
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